WO2023002614A1 - 定常範囲決定システム、定常範囲決定方法、および、定常範囲決定プログラム - Google Patents

定常範囲決定システム、定常範囲決定方法、および、定常範囲決定プログラム Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2023002614A1
WO2023002614A1 PCT/JP2021/027357 JP2021027357W WO2023002614A1 WO 2023002614 A1 WO2023002614 A1 WO 2023002614A1 JP 2021027357 W JP2021027357 W JP 2021027357W WO 2023002614 A1 WO2023002614 A1 WO 2023002614A1
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Prior art keywords
range
steady
signal
value
probability
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English (en)
French (fr)
Japanese (ja)
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聖陽 青木
昌彦 柴田
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Mitsubishi Electric Corp
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Mitsubishi Electric Corp
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Priority to PCT/JP2021/027357 priority Critical patent/WO2023002614A1/ja
Priority to KR1020247001132A priority patent/KR102680482B1/ko
Priority to CN202180100547.7A priority patent/CN117651957A/zh
Priority to DE112021007666.3T priority patent/DE112021007666B4/de
Priority to JP2023534415A priority patent/JP7353539B2/ja
Priority to TW110142181A priority patent/TWI869638B/zh
Publication of WO2023002614A1 publication Critical patent/WO2023002614A1/ja
Priority to US18/524,446 priority patent/US20240095559A1/en
Anticipated expiration legal-status Critical
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    • G—PHYSICS
    • G05—CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05B—CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B23/00—Testing or monitoring of control systems or parts thereof
    • G05B23/02—Electric testing or monitoring
    • G05B23/0205—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults
    • G05B23/0218—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults characterised by the fault detection method dealing with either existing or incipient faults
    • G05B23/0224—Process history based detection method, e.g. whereby history implies the availability of large amounts of data
    • G05B23/0227—Qualitative history assessment, whereby the type of data acted upon, e.g. waveforms, images or patterns, is not relevant, e.g. rule based assessment; if-then decisions
    • G05B23/0235—Qualitative history assessment, whereby the type of data acted upon, e.g. waveforms, images or patterns, is not relevant, e.g. rule based assessment; if-then decisions based on a comparison with predetermined threshold or range, e.g. "classical methods", carried out during normal operation; threshold adaptation or choice; when or how to compare with the threshold
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06N—COMPUTING ARRANGEMENTS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS
    • G06N7/00—Computing arrangements based on specific mathematical models
    • G06N7/01—Probabilistic graphical models, e.g. probabilistic networks
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G05—CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05B—CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B23/00—Testing or monitoring of control systems or parts thereof
    • G05B23/02—Electric testing or monitoring
    • G05B23/0205—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults
    • G05B23/0259—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults characterized by the response to fault detection
    • G05B23/0267—Fault communication, e.g. human machine interface [HMI]
    • G05B23/0272—Presentation of monitored results, e.g. selection of status reports to be displayed; Filtering information to the user
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G05—CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05B—CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B23/00—Testing or monitoring of control systems or parts thereof
    • G05B23/02—Electric testing or monitoring
    • G05B23/0205—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults
    • G05B23/0259—Electric testing or monitoring by means of a monitoring system capable of detecting and responding to faults characterized by the response to fault detection
    • G05B23/0283—Predictive maintenance, e.g. involving the monitoring of a system and, based on the monitoring results, taking decisions on the maintenance schedule of the monitored system; Estimating remaining useful life [RUL]
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/04—Manufacturing

Definitions

  • the present disclosure relates to a steady range determination system, a steady range determination method, and a steady range determination program.
  • the present invention relates to a steady range determination system, a steady range determination method, and a steady range determination program for determining a steady range of a multilevel signal in operating data.
  • Patent Document 1 discloses a system that allows maintenance personnel to obtain clues for identifying sensors or programs that cause trouble without setting exhaustive conditions.
  • unsteady temporal changes are automatically detected in a binary signal that expresses binary values such as ON and OFF of a sensor, and a multi-value signal that takes values other than 0 and 1 such as a current value or a pressure value.
  • a multilevel signal is converted into a binary signal, a normal value of the binary signal is predicted, and an unsteady change in the signal is detected.
  • a non-stationary change is detected in the multilevel signal, the non-stationary portion of the converted binary signal is specified, and what value should be taken if the signal is stationary is obtained as a predicted value.
  • a trouble such as a stoppage of a production line occurs, it is necessary to check how the value of the multi-valued signal differs from normal in order to identify the cause.
  • the stationary range of the multilevel signal is determined based on the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal exists within the range determined based on the threshold. Accordingly, it is an object of the present invention to display in an easy-to-understand manner for the operator what kind of signal value the multilevel signal has compared with the steady range.
  • a steady range determination system is a steady range determination system that determines a steady range of a multilevel signal in operational data including the multilevel signal, a conversion unit that sets one or more thresholds for a multilevel signal included in the operation data and converts the multilevel signal into one or more binary signals using the thresholds;
  • the binary signal converted by the conversion unit is input to a prediction model for predicting the signal value of the operating data in a steady state, and the predicted value of the binary signal converted by the conversion unit is converted into a predicted value of the binary signal.
  • a prediction unit that calculates as Based on the converted binary signal predicted value and the threshold, calculate a probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal included in the operation data exists within a range determined based on the threshold, and calculate the operation based on the probability.
  • a range determination unit that determines a stationary range of the multilevel signal included in the data.
  • the steady-state range determination system determines the steady-state range of the multilevel signal based on the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal exists in the range determined based on the threshold. Therefore, according to the steady-state range determination system according to the present disclosure, the steady-state range of the multi-level signal can be determined appropriately, and the signal value of the multi-level signal compared with the steady range can be determined. It can be displayed in an easy-to-understand manner.
  • FIG. 1 is a diagram showing a configuration example of a stationary range determination system according to Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. 1 is a diagram showing a configuration example of a steady range determination device according to Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. 4 is a diagram showing an example of the functional configuration of a model generation unit according to Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. 4 is a diagram showing a functional configuration example of a determining unit according to Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. FIG. 4 is an overall flowchart of steady range determination processing by the steady range determination device according to Embodiment 1;
  • 4A and 4B are diagrams showing a specific example of conversion processing according to the first embodiment;
  • FIG. 4 is a diagram showing an example of inputs and outputs of a prediction model according to Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. 4 is a diagram showing an example in which predicted values for one signal are output in time series in the prediction process according to Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. 4 is a diagram showing an example in which predicted values for three signals are output in time series in the prediction process according to Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. 5 is a diagram showing an example of calculating the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal exists within the range according to the first embodiment;
  • FIG. 4 is a detailed flowchart of processing for calculating a probability within a range of signal values of a multilevel signal according to the first embodiment;
  • FIG. 5 shows a specific example of a first determination method of the steady range determination process according to the first embodiment;
  • FIG. 8 is a flowchart showing an example of a second determination method of the steady range determination process according to the first embodiment
  • FIG. FIG. 11 is a flowchart showing another example of the second determination method of the steady range determination process according to Embodiment 1
  • FIG. 7 shows a specific example of a third determination method of the steady range determination process according to the first embodiment
  • FIG. 10 is a diagram showing a specific example of a fifth determination method of the steady-state range determination process according to Embodiment 1
  • FIG. FIG. 4 is a diagram showing a configuration example of a steady-state range determination device according to a modification of Embodiment 1;
  • FIG. 1 is a diagram showing a configuration example of a stationary range determination system 500 according to this embodiment.
  • a steady range determination system 500 includes a steady range determination device 100 , a data collection server 200 , and a target system 300 .
  • the steady range determination device 100 monitors a target system 300 such as a factory line. Equipment 301 to equipment 305 exist in the target system 300 . Although the number of facilities is five in FIG. 1, there is no restriction on the number of facilities. Each facility consists of multiple devices such as sensors and robots. Each facility is connected to a network 401 , and facility operation data 31 is accumulated in the data collection server 200 .
  • the operating data 31 includes binary signals and multilevel signals.
  • a binary signal is, for example, a signal representing ON and OFF of a sensor.
  • a multilevel signal is, for example, a signal representing a torque value of a robot hand.
  • Data collection server 200 is connected to stationary range determination device 100 via network 402 .
  • the steady-state range determination device 100 determines the steady-state range of the multilevel signal in the operation data 31 of the facility. Also, the steady range determination device 100 detects non-steady state of the operation data 31 . Also, the steady state range determination device 100 displays whether the operation data 31 is steady state or non-steady state.
  • the steady range determination device 100 is also called a non-stationary detection device or a non-stationary display device.
  • FIG. 2 is a diagram showing a configuration example of steady-state range determination device 100 according to the present embodiment.
  • Stationary range determination device 100 is a computer.
  • Stationary range determination device 100 includes processor 910 and other hardware such as memory 921 , auxiliary storage device 922 , input interface 930 , output interface 940 and communication device 950 .
  • the processor 910 is connected to other hardware via signal lines and controls these other hardware.
  • the steady-state range determination device 100 includes a model generation unit 110, a determination unit 120, and a storage unit 130 as functional elements.
  • the storage unit 130 stores an operation database 131 , a threshold group database 132 and a prediction model 133 .
  • Storage unit 130 is provided in memory 921 . Note that the storage unit 130 may be provided in the auxiliary storage device 922 or may be distributed between the memory 921 and the auxiliary storage device 922 .
  • Processor 910 is a device that executes a steady range determination program.
  • the steady range determination program is a program that implements the functions of the model generator 110 and the determiner 120 .
  • the processor 910 is an IC (Integrated Circuit) that performs arithmetic processing. Specific examples of the processor 910 are a CPU (Central Processing Unit), a DSP (Digital Signal Processor), and a GPU (Graphics Processing Unit).
  • the memory 921 is a storage device that temporarily stores data.
  • a specific example of the memory 921 is SRAM (Static Random Access Memory) or DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory).
  • Auxiliary storage device 922 is a storage device that stores data.
  • a specific example of the auxiliary storage device 922 is an HDD.
  • the auxiliary storage device 922 may be a portable storage medium such as an SD (registered trademark) memory card, CF, NAND flash, flexible disk, optical disk, compact disk, Blu-ray (registered trademark) disk, or DVD.
  • SD registered trademark
  • SD® is an abbreviation for Secure Digital
  • CF is an abbreviation for CompactFlash®.
  • DVD is an abbreviation for Digital Versatile Disk.
  • the input interface 930 is a port connected to an input device such as a mouse, keyboard, or touch panel.
  • the input interface 930 is specifically a USB (Universal Serial Bus) terminal.
  • the input interface 930 may be a port connected to a LAN (Local Area Network).
  • the output interface 940 is a port to which a display device cable such as a display is connected.
  • the output interface 940 is specifically a USB terminal or an HDMI (registered trademark) (High Definition Multimedia Interface) terminal.
  • the display is specifically an LCD (Liquid Crystal Display).
  • Output interface 940 is also referred to as a display interface.
  • the communication device 950 has a receiver and a transmitter.
  • a communication device 950 is connected to a communication network such as a LAN, the Internet, or a telephone line.
  • the communication device 950 is specifically a communication chip or NIC (Network Interface Card).
  • the steady range determination program is executed in the steady range determination device 100.
  • the steady range determination program is loaded into processor 910 and executed by processor 910 .
  • the memory 921 stores not only the regular range determination program but also an OS (Operating System).
  • Processor 910 executes the steady-state range determination program while executing the OS.
  • the steady range determination program and OS may be stored in the auxiliary storage device 922 .
  • the steady-state range determination program and OS stored in auxiliary storage device 922 are loaded into memory 921 and executed by processor 910 . Note that part or all of the steady-state range determination program may be incorporated in the OS.
  • the steady range determination device 100 may include multiple processors that replace the processor 910 . These multiple processors share the execution of the steady range determination program. Each processor, like processor 910, is a device that executes a stationary range determination program.
  • the data, information, signal values and variable values used, processed or output by the steady range determination program are stored in the memory 921, the auxiliary storage device 922, or the register or cache memory within the processor 910.
  • the "parts" of each part of the model generating part 110 and the determining part 120 may be read as “circuit”, “process”, “procedure”, “processing”, or “circuitry”.
  • the steady range determination program causes the computer to execute model generation processing and determination processing.
  • "Processing" in model generation processing and determination processing may be read as “program”, “program product”, “computer-readable storage medium storing program”, or “computer-readable recording medium storing program”. good.
  • the steady range determination method is a method performed by the steady range determination device 100 executing a steady range determination program.
  • the steady range determination program may be stored in a computer-readable recording medium and provided. Also, the steady-state range determination program may be provided as a program product.
  • FIG. 3 is a diagram showing a functional configuration example of the model generation unit 110 according to this embodiment.
  • the solid arrows in FIG. 3 represent the calling relationships between the functional elements, and the broken arrows represent the data flow between the functional elements and the database.
  • the model generation unit 110 generates a prediction model 133 for predicting the next signal value of the operation data during normal operation of the facility. In other words, the model generation unit 110 generates the prediction model 133 for predicting the signal value of the operation data in steady state.
  • the model generation unit 110 includes an acquisition unit 111 , a threshold group calculation unit 112 , a conversion unit 113 and a learning unit 114 .
  • the acquisition unit 111 receives operation data from the data collection server 200 via the communication device 950 and stores the operation data in the operation database 131 .
  • the operation data is, for example, data such as a binary signal representing ON and OFF of the sensor, or a multilevel signal representing the torque value of the robot hand. It should be noted that the process of receiving and storing necessary data is executed in real time as much as possible every time the data collection server 200 receives more data.
  • the threshold value group calculation unit 112 acquires operation data from the operation database 131 , calculates threshold values for converting multilevel signals in the operation data into binary signals, and stores the threshold values in the threshold value group database 132 .
  • the conversion unit 113 acquires threshold values from the threshold group database 132 and converts the multilevel signal into a binary signal based on the threshold values.
  • the learning unit 114 acquires operation data from the operation database 131, calls the conversion unit 113, and converts the multi-level signal of the operation data acquired by the conversion unit 113 into a binary signal.
  • the learning unit 114 learns the normal signal pattern of the signal included in the operation data from the binary signal included in the operation data and the binary signal obtained by converting the multi-level signal included in the operation data by the conversion unit 113. . After that, the learning unit 114 stores the learned model for predicting a normal signal pattern as the prediction model 133 .
  • the threshold value group calculation unit 112 sets threshold values so that, for example, the signal values of the multilevel signal are converted into binary signals that switch at points where the tendency of the values, such as increasing, decreasing, or constant, changes.
  • An arbitrary value and an arbitrary number of thresholds can be set for converting a multilevel signal into a binary signal, and the calculation method is not limited.
  • FIG. 4 is a diagram showing a functional configuration example of the determination unit 120 according to this embodiment.
  • the solid arrows in FIG. 4 represent the calling relationships between the functional elements, and the broken arrows represent the data flow between the functional elements and the database.
  • the determination unit 120 predicts the next signal value of the signal during normal operation from the operation data, determines the presence or absence of unsteady state, identifies the unsteady point, determines the steady state range, and displays it together with the operation data.
  • the determination unit 120 includes an acquisition unit 121 , a conversion unit 122 , a prediction unit 123 , a determination unit 124 , a specification unit 125 , a range determination unit 126 and a display unit 127 .
  • the acquisition unit 121 receives operation data from the data collection server 200 via the communication device 950 and stores the operation data in the operation database 131 .
  • the conversion unit 122 acquires threshold values from the threshold value group database 132 and converts the multilevel signal into a binary signal based on the threshold values.
  • the prediction unit 123 uses the prediction model 133 to calculate a prediction value, which is a stationary value of the signal value to be output next, for the binary signal converted by the conversion unit 122 and the operation data of the binary signal. All inputs to the predictive model 133 are binary signals.
  • the binary signal obtained by converting the multilevel signal in the operating data by the conversion unit 122 that is, the binary signal output by the conversion unit 122, may be referred to as a converted binary signal.
  • the determination unit 124 acquires operation data from the operation database 131, calls the conversion unit 122 and the prediction unit 123, and executes conversion processing by the conversion unit 122 and prediction processing by the prediction unit 123.
  • the determination unit 124 compares the measured values of the binary signal and converted binary signal in the operation data with the predicted values output by the prediction unit 123 . Based on the comparison result, determination unit 124 determines whether or not the operation data is steady, that is, whether or not it matches the learned normal signal pattern. The determination unit 124 outputs the determination result as unsteady determination information. When it is determined that the operation data is non-steady, the determination unit 124 calls the identification unit 125, and the identification unit 125 identifies the non-steady part. The determination unit 124 also calls the display unit 127 and displays the determination result on the display device by the display unit 127 .
  • the identifying unit 125 identifies which signal was non-stationary and when based on the binary signal and converted binary signal in the operation data and their predicted values.
  • the identifying unit 125 outputs the identified information as unsteady identification information.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines the stationary range of the signal values in the multilevel signal before being converted into the transformed binary signal, based on the predicted value of the transformed binary signal.
  • the display unit 127 may determine the stationary range of the multilevel signal by calling the range determination unit 126 .
  • the display unit 127 uses the steady range of the multilevel signal to display the measured values of the operation data, the predicted values output from the prediction unit 123, the unsteady determination information output from the determination unit 124, and the output from the identification unit 125.
  • Information such as non-stationary specific information received is visualized and displayed on a display device in an easy-to-understand manner.
  • the operating procedure of the steady range determination system 500 corresponds to the steady range determination method.
  • a program that realizes the operation of the steady range determination system 500 corresponds to a steady range determination program that causes a computer to execute the steady range determination process.
  • the operation of the steady range determination system 500 is the operation of each device of the steady range determination system 500 .
  • FIG. 5 is an overall flowchart of steady range determination processing by steady range determination device 100 according to the present embodiment.
  • step S107 calculation processing of existence probability of signal value of multi-level signal
  • step S108 processing of determining stationary range of signal value of multi-level signal
  • step S ⁇ b>101 the acquisition unit 121 copies the operation data from the data collection server 200 to the operation database 131 via the communication device 950 .
  • the operation database 131 stores the binary signal as the operation data. Both signals and multilevel signals are stored.
  • the prediction process by the prediction unit 123 requires past operation data for a certain period of time. Therefore, the operation database 131 holds operation data for a certain past period of time necessary for prediction processing. Note that the acquisition unit 121 copies the operation data from the data collection server 200 to the operation database 131 in real time as much as possible.
  • step S ⁇ b>102 the conversion unit 122 converts the signal data of the multilevel signal among the operation data stored in the operation database 131 into the signal data of the binary signal.
  • the conversion unit 122 sets one or more thresholds for the multilevel signal included in the operation data, and uses the thresholds to convert the multilevel signal into one or more binary signals. Specifically, the conversion unit 122 acquires thresholds from the threshold group database 132 .
  • the conversion unit 122 converts the signal data of the multilevel signal among the operation data stored in the operation database 131 into the signal data of the binary signal based on the threshold value. Details of the conversion process will be described later.
  • step S103 the prediction unit 123 predicts the next signal value from the past binary signal held in the operation database 131 and the converted binary signal obtained by converting the past multilevel signal held in the operation database 131.
  • a prediction model 133 generated in advance by the model generation unit 110 is used for prediction.
  • the prediction unit 123 inputs the binary signal originally included in the operation data and the converted binary signal to the prediction model 133, and outputs a predicted value, which is the steady-state signal value of the signal included in the operation data.
  • the prediction unit 123 inputs the transformed binary signal to the prediction model 133, converts the predicted value of the transformed binary signal into the transformed binary signal Output as predicted value.
  • step S104 the determination unit 124 compares the predicted value of the operation data signal calculated in step S103 with the actual measurement value of the operation data signal stored in the operation database 131, and calculates the degree of abnormality.
  • step S105 the determination unit 124 determines whether the operation data is steady or non-steady based on the degree of abnormality calculated in step S104. If it is determined not to be steady, the process proceeds to step S106. If it is determined to be steady, the process proceeds to step S107.
  • the identifying unit 125 identifies which signal was non-stationary and when. Specifically, the identifying unit 125 can identify an unsteady point by extracting a signal and a time at which the predicted value and the measured value differ by a predetermined value or more.
  • step S107 the range determining unit 126 calculates the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal exists within the range from the predicted signal value of the operation data calculated in step S103. Specifically, the range determining unit 126 calculates the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal included in the operation data exists within the range determined based on the threshold based on the converted binary signal predicted value and the threshold.
  • the transformed binary signal predicted value is a predicted value of the transformed binary signal obtained by inputting the binary signal transformed by the transformation unit 122 into the prediction model 133 .
  • a threshold is a threshold used when converting a multilevel signal into a binary signal.
  • step S108 the range determination unit 126 determines the stationary range of the multilevel signal included in the operation data based on the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal calculated in step S107 exists within the range.
  • step S109 the display unit 127 presents to the user the determination result of the binary signal or multilevel signal included in the operation data.
  • the display unit 127 presents to the user the determination result of the binary signal or multilevel signal included in the operation data.
  • an example of presentation to the user by displaying on a display device is shown.
  • it may be presented to the user by other methods such as outputting to a printer or outputting as electronic data.
  • the display unit 127 displays the movement of the signal in time series, and if it is a binary signal, displays the predicted value of the binary signal as normal operation.
  • the display unit 127 displays the signal values of the multi-level signal superimposed on a range determined based on the threshold including the steady range. For example, the display unit 127 sets the background color of the steady range determined in step S108 to a first color (eg, green), changes the background color to a second color (eg, yellow) according to the degree of deviation from the steady range, and It may be displayed in a third color (for example, red) and the signal value of the multilevel signal may be superimposed. Furthermore, the display unit 127 may display the line color of the signal value outside the normal range in a second color (eg, yellow) or a third color (eg, red) according to the degree of deviation.
  • FIG. 6 is a diagram showing a specific example of conversion processing according to this embodiment.
  • the conversion unit 122 converts the multilevel signal into one or more binary signals using one or more thresholds. It is not always necessary to convert to a binary signal with multiple thresholds.
  • the multilevel signal is converted into binary signals for the number of thresholds. When two thresholds are set for a multilevel signal as shown in FIG. 6, it is converted into two binary signals. Specifically, the conversion unit 122 converts the multilevel signal into a binary signal that takes 1 if the signal value at each time exceeds the threshold and takes 0 otherwise.
  • FIG. 7 is a diagram showing an example of inputs and outputs of the prediction model 133 according to this embodiment.
  • the prediction model 133 learns the signal pattern of normal binary signals and outputs the predicted value of the signal. As shown in FIG. 6, the predicted value is a real number between 0 and 1, and corresponds to the probability that the signal value will be 1 at the next time.
  • the output is not the time-varying pattern of the binary signal, but the predicted value of only one next point in time for each binary signal.
  • the signal A value of 0.8 is output as the predicted value of signal 1, and a value of 0.2 is output as the predicted value of signal 2.
  • the probability that the value of signal 1 will be 1 at the next time is 0.8
  • the probability that the value of signal 2 will be 1 at the next time is 0.2.
  • FIG. 8 is a diagram showing an example in which predicted values for one signal are output in time series in the prediction processing according to the present embodiment.
  • the prediction is repeated and the predicted values at each time are arranged in chronological order.
  • the input/output is one signal, ie, a binary signal obtained from one threshold.
  • FIG. 9 is a diagram showing an example in which predicted values for three signals are output in time series in the prediction process according to the present embodiment.
  • predicted values for three signals are arranged in time series. Multiple signal values at the same time are collectively output from the prediction model. That is, each of predicted values 1 to 4 in FIG. 9 is collectively output from the prediction model.
  • FIG. 10 is a diagram showing an example of calculating the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal exists within the range according to the present embodiment.
  • the predicted value output from the prediction unit 123 is a real number between 0 and 1, and corresponds to the probability that the signal value is 1 at each time. Therefore, the predicted value of the binary signal obtained by transforming the multi-level signal so that it becomes 1 if the signal value exceeds the threshold and becomes 0 otherwise, corresponds to the probability that the signal value will exceed the threshold.
  • the probability that the signal value exists in the range between the two thresholds is obtained by the following equation (1).
  • the probability that the signal value of the multilevel signal exists within the range is calculated from the predicted value of the binary signal converted by setting the threshold value for the multilevel signal.
  • the probability is a real number between 0 and 1 inclusive.
  • the conversion unit 122 may set a plurality of thresholds for the multilevel signal and convert it into a binary signal that takes 0 if the signal value exceeds the threshold and 1 otherwise.
  • the predicted value of the binary signal corresponds to the probability that the signal value at each instant is below the threshold.
  • the probability that the signal value exists in the range between two thresholds, the probability that the signal value exists in the range above the maximum threshold value, and the probability that the signal value exists in the range below the minimum value are given by equation (4) and equation ( 5) and from equation (6).
  • FIG. 11 is a detailed flowchart of processing for calculating the probability within the range of the signal values of the multilevel signal according to the present embodiment.
  • the range determination unit 126 selects one unselected threshold from the plurality of thresholds used when converting the multilevel signal into the binary signal.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines whether or not there is a threshold smaller than the selected threshold. If it exists, the process proceeds to step S203. If not, the process proceeds to step S204.
  • step S203 the range determining unit 126 determines the probability that the signal value exists in the range between the selected threshold value and the lower threshold value adjacent to the selected threshold value. Calculate If there is no threshold value smaller than the selected threshold value, in step S204, the range determining unit 126 calculates the probability that the signal value exists in the range below the minimum threshold value.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines whether or not there is an unselected threshold. If there are unselected thresholds, the process returns to step S201 and repeats the process until there are no unselected thresholds. If there is no unselected threshold, in step S207 the range determining unit 126 calculates the probability that the signal value exists in a range above the maximum threshold.
  • FIG. 12 is a diagram showing a specific example of the first determination method of the steady range determination process according to the present embodiment.
  • the range determining unit 126 determines, as the stationary range, a range in which the probability is equal to or greater than the determined value in the range determined based on the threshold.
  • a predetermined value is a predetermined constant value.
  • the range determining unit 126 defines a range in which the probability of the signal value at the same time is equal to or greater than a certain value as the steady range.
  • FIG. 12 shows an example in which a range in which the probability is 0.5 or more is determined as the steady range.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines the range with the maximum probability among the ranges determined based on the threshold as the steady range. Specifically, the range determination unit 126 sets the range in which the probability of the signal value at the same time is the maximum as the stationary range.
  • FIG. 13 is a flowchart showing an example of the second determination method of the steady range determination process according to this embodiment.
  • FIG. 13 shows a determination method based on range selection in descending order of probability.
  • the range determination unit 126 selects a range in descending order of probability from the range determined based on the threshold, and the range until the total value of the probabilities of the selected range is equal to or greater than the determined value. is determined as the steady-state range.
  • the range determining unit 126 selects ranges in descending order of probability at the same point in time, and determines the steady range until the sum of the probabilities of the selected ranges reaches a certain value or more.
  • step S301 the range determination unit 126 selects an unselected range with the maximum value probability.
  • step S302 the range determination unit 126 repeats step S301 until the sum of the probabilities of the selected range reaches or exceeds a certain value.
  • step S303 when the sum of the probabilities of the selected range is equal to or greater than a certain value, the range determination unit 126 determines the selected range as the stationary range.
  • FIG. 14 is a flow chart showing another example of the second determination method of the steady range determination process according to the present embodiment.
  • FIG. 14 shows a determination method by selection of adjacent maximum probability range.
  • the range determination unit 126 selects a range with the maximum probability from among the ranges determined based on the threshold, and selects the range with the higher probability from among the ranges adjacent to the selected range. Repeat choosing.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines the range until the total value of the probabilities of the selected range is equal to or greater than a predetermined value as the steady range.
  • the range determination unit 126 selects a range with the maximum probability at the same time, selects a range with a high probability among ranges adjacent to the selected range, and repeats the selection of the selected range.
  • the stationary range is defined as the period until the sum of the probabilities reaches or exceeds a certain value.
  • step S401 the range determination unit 126 determines the range in which the probability of the value is maximum as the steady range.
  • step S402 range determination unit 126 proceeds to step S403 if the sum of the probabilities in the steady range is not equal to or greater than a certain value. If the sum of the probabilities in the stationary range is greater than or equal to the given value, the process is terminated.
  • step S402 the range determining unit 126 determines a range having a high probability among the ranges adjacent to the steady range as the steady range, and repeats steps S402 and S403 until the sum of the probabilities of the steady range reaches or exceeds a certain value.
  • FIG. 15 is a diagram showing a specific example of the third determination method of the steady range determination process according to the present embodiment.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines, as the stationary range, a range in which the probability density, which is the value obtained by dividing the probability by the width of the range, is equal to or greater than a predetermined value, among the ranges determined based on the threshold.
  • the range determination unit 126 defines a range in which the probability density of the signal values at the same time is equal to or greater than a certain value as the steady range.
  • FIG. 15 shows an example in which the probability density is calculated and the range in which the probability density is 0.0100 or more is determined as the steady range.
  • the range determining unit 126 may determine a range in which the probability density is maximum among the ranges determined based on the threshold as the steady range. Specifically, the range determination unit 126 sets the range in which the probability density at the same time is the maximum as the steady range.
  • the range determination unit 126 selects a range in descending order of probability density from the range determined based on the threshold, and the range until the total value of the probability density of the selected range is equal to or greater than a predetermined value is set as a steady range. may decide. Specifically, the range determining unit 126 selects ranges in descending order of probability density at the same point in time, and determines the steady range until the sum of the probability densities of the selected ranges reaches a certain value or more.
  • the range determination unit 126 selects a range having the maximum probability density from among the ranges determined based on the threshold, and selects a range having a higher probability density from among the ranges adjacent to the selected range. . Then, the range determination unit 126 may determine the range until the total value of the probability densities of the selected range is equal to or greater than a predetermined value as the steady range. Specifically, the range determination unit 126 selects a range having the maximum probability density at the same time, and selects a range having a high probability density among ranges adjacent to the selected range. The steady range is defined as the sum of the probability densities in the specified range exceeding a certain value.
  • the range determination unit 126 may determine the non-stationary range step by step when determining the steady range of the multilevel signal.
  • the range determining unit 126 determines the unsteady degree of the unsteady range according to the probability for the range determined based on the threshold. Specifically, the range determining unit 126 determines the non-stationary degree of the range according to the probability of values at the same time. For example, when the probability is in the range of 0.5 or more to be steady, the probability is 0.2 or more and less than 0.5 is mild non-stationary, and the probability is less than 0.2 is severe non-stationary. Three or more unsteady degrees may be defined. Further, the range determination unit 126 may determine the non-stationary degree of the non-stationary range according to the probability density instead of the probability for the range determined based on the threshold value.
  • FIG. 16 is a diagram showing a specific example of the second stepwise unsteady range determination method of the steady range determination process according to the present embodiment.
  • FIG. 16 shows an example of stepwise determination of the steady range according to the degree of separation from the steady range.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines the unsteady degree of the range determined based on the threshold according to the degree of deviation of the range from the steady range.
  • the range determination unit 126 determines the degree of unsteadyness based on the degree of deviation of the range from the steady range. Ranges adjacent to the stationary range are determined to be mildly nonstationary, and ranges two or more away from the stationary range are determined to be severely nonstationary.
  • the functions of the model generation unit 110 and the determination unit 120 are realized by software.
  • the functions of the model generation unit 110 and the determination unit 120 may be realized by hardware.
  • steady range determination device 100 includes electronic circuit 909 in place of processor 910 .
  • FIG. 17 is a diagram showing a configuration example of steady-state range determination device 100 according to a modification of the present embodiment.
  • the electronic circuit 909 is a dedicated electronic circuit that implements the functions of the model generation unit 110 and the determination unit 120 .
  • Electronic circuit 909 is specifically a single circuit, a composite circuit, a programmed processor, a parallel programmed processor, a logic IC, GA, ASIC, or FPGA.
  • GA is an abbreviation for Gate Array.
  • ASIC is an abbreviation for Application Specific Integrated Circuit.
  • FPGA is an abbreviation for Field-Programmable Gate Array.
  • the functions of the model generation unit 110 and the determination unit 120 may be realized by one electronic circuit, or may be distributed and realized by a plurality of electronic circuits.
  • part of the functions of the model generating unit 110 and the determining unit 120 may be implemented by electronic circuits, and the remaining functions may be implemented by software. Also, part or all of the functions of the model generation unit 110 and the determination unit 120 may be realized by firmware.
  • Each processor and electronic circuit is also called processing circuitry.
  • the functions of the model generation unit 110 and the determination unit 120 are realized by processing circuitry.
  • the steady-state range determining apparatus 100 calculates the steady-state range of the signal value of the multi-level signal based on the probability that the signal value of the multi-level signal exists between two threshold values. Therefore, according to the steady-state range determination device 100 according to the present embodiment, it is possible to clearly display to the operator how the signal values of the multilevel signal differ from the steady-state range.
  • the steady-state range determining apparatus 100 can also calculate the steady-state range of the signal value of the multilevel signal based on the probability density in the range. It is conceivable that the probability that the signal values of the multilevel signal exist in the range increases as the range width increases. Therefore, according to the steady range determination device 100 according to the present embodiment, by determining the steady range based on the probability density, the degree of steady state in the range where the probability is low due to the small width is appropriately evaluated. be able to.
  • each part of the steady-state range determination device is described as an independent functional block.
  • the configuration of the steady-state range determination device does not have to be the configuration of the embodiment described above.
  • the functional blocks of the steady-state range determination device may have any configuration as long as they can implement the functions described in the above embodiments.
  • the stationary range determining device may be a system composed of a plurality of devices instead of a single device.
  • this embodiment may be implemented as a whole or partially in any combination. That is, in Embodiment 1, it is possible to freely combine each embodiment, modify any component of each embodiment, or omit any component from each embodiment.
  • Operation data 100 Stationary range determination device, 110 Model generation unit, 111, 121 Acquisition unit, 112 Threshold group calculation unit, 113, 122 Conversion unit, 114 Learning unit, 120 Determination unit, 123 Prediction unit, 124 Judgment unit, 125 Identification unit 126 Range determination unit 127 Display unit 130 Storage unit 131 Operation database 132 Threshold group database 133 Prediction model 200 Data collection server 300 Target system 301, 302, 303, 304, 305 Equipment 401 , 402 network, 500 stationary range determination system, 909 electronic circuit, 910 processor, 921 memory, 922 auxiliary storage device, 930 input interface, 940 output interface, 950 communication device.

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PCT/JP2021/027357 2021-07-21 2021-07-21 定常範囲決定システム、定常範囲決定方法、および、定常範囲決定プログラム Ceased WO2023002614A1 (ja)

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TW110142181A TWI869638B (zh) 2021-07-21 2021-11-12 常態範圍決定系統、常態範圍決定方法以及常態範圍決定程式產品
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