JP6735219B2 - 予測システム及び予測方法 - Google Patents

予測システム及び予測方法 Download PDF

Info

Publication number
JP6735219B2
JP6735219B2 JP2016236189A JP2016236189A JP6735219B2 JP 6735219 B2 JP6735219 B2 JP 6735219B2 JP 2016236189 A JP2016236189 A JP 2016236189A JP 2016236189 A JP2016236189 A JP 2016236189A JP 6735219 B2 JP6735219 B2 JP 6735219B2
Authority
JP
Japan
Prior art keywords
curve
prediction
data
module
value
Prior art date
Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
Active
Application number
JP2016236189A
Other languages
English (en)
Japanese (ja)
Other versions
JP2018092445A5 (https=
JP2018092445A (ja
Inventor
将人 内海
将人 内海
渡辺　徹
徹 渡辺
郁雄 茂森
郁雄 茂森
洋 飯村
洋 飯村
広晃 小川
広晃 小川
Current Assignee (The listed assignees may be inaccurate. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the list.)
Hitachi Ltd
Original Assignee
Hitachi Ltd
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by Hitachi Ltd filed Critical Hitachi Ltd
Priority to JP2016236189A priority Critical patent/JP6735219B2/ja
Priority to US16/332,054 priority patent/US11107094B2/en
Priority to EP17877683.7A priority patent/EP3550499A4/en
Priority to PCT/JP2017/041168 priority patent/WO2018105341A1/ja
Publication of JP2018092445A publication Critical patent/JP2018092445A/ja
Publication of JP2018092445A5 publication Critical patent/JP2018092445A5/ja
Application granted granted Critical
Publication of JP6735219B2 publication Critical patent/JP6735219B2/ja
Active legal-status Critical Current
Anticipated expiration legal-status Critical

Links

Classifications

    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce
    • G06Q30/02—Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising
    • G06Q30/0201—Market modelling; Market analysis; Collecting market data
    • G06Q30/0202—Market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING OR CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • H—ELECTRICITY
    • H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02J—ELECTRIC POWER NETWORKS; CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H—ELECTRICITY
    • H02—GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02J—ELECTRIC POWER NETWORKS; CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00—Circuit arrangements for AC mains or AC distribution networks
    • H02J3/003—Load forecast, e.g. methods or systems for forecasting future load demand

Landscapes

  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Development Economics (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Finance (AREA)
  • Accounting & Taxation (AREA)
  • Operations Research (AREA)
  • Quality & Reliability (AREA)
  • Public Health (AREA)
  • Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Data Mining & Analysis (AREA)
  • Power Engineering (AREA)
  • Educational Administration (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)
  • Supply And Distribution Of Alternating Current (AREA)
JP2016236189A 2016-12-05 2016-12-05 予測システム及び予測方法 Active JP6735219B2 (ja)

Priority Applications (4)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
JP2016236189A JP6735219B2 (ja) 2016-12-05 2016-12-05 予測システム及び予測方法
US16/332,054 US11107094B2 (en) 2016-12-05 2017-11-15 Prediction system and prediction method
EP17877683.7A EP3550499A4 (en) 2016-12-05 2017-11-15 PREDICTION SYSTEM AND PREDICTION PROCEDURE
PCT/JP2017/041168 WO2018105341A1 (ja) 2016-12-05 2017-11-15 予測システム及び予測方法

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
JP2016236189A JP6735219B2 (ja) 2016-12-05 2016-12-05 予測システム及び予測方法

Publications (3)

Publication Number Publication Date
JP2018092445A JP2018092445A (ja) 2018-06-14
JP2018092445A5 JP2018092445A5 (https=) 2019-05-09
JP6735219B2 true JP6735219B2 (ja) 2020-08-05

Family

ID=62490894

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
JP2016236189A Active JP6735219B2 (ja) 2016-12-05 2016-12-05 予測システム及び予測方法

Country Status (4)

Country Link
US (1) US11107094B2 (https=)
EP (1) EP3550499A4 (https=)
JP (1) JP6735219B2 (https=)
WO (1) WO2018105341A1 (https=)

Families Citing this family (14)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
JP6735219B2 (ja) 2016-12-05 2020-08-05 株式会社日立製作所 予測システム及び予測方法
US11137926B1 (en) * 2018-03-30 2021-10-05 Veritas Technologies Llc Systems and methods for automatic storage tiering
US11080726B2 (en) * 2018-08-30 2021-08-03 Oracle International Corporation Optimization of demand forecast parameters
US11727335B2 (en) * 2019-01-11 2023-08-15 Johnson Controls Tyco IP Holdings LLP Systems and methods for managing energy usage intensity of buildings
JP7157683B2 (ja) * 2019-03-12 2022-10-20 株式会社東芝 情報処理装置、情報処理方法及びコンピュータプログラム
CN111179111B (zh) * 2019-12-06 2023-11-14 国网辽宁省电力有限公司经济技术研究院 基于基尼系数公平性的火电机组年度电量计划制定方法
JP7474623B2 (ja) * 2020-03-27 2024-04-25 本田技研工業株式会社 電力算出装置
CN112381669B (zh) * 2020-11-20 2023-01-24 广东电网有限责任公司电力科学研究院 一种台风下配网系统的安全预警方法及装置
JP7595476B2 (ja) * 2021-02-04 2024-12-06 三菱重工業株式会社 電力需要予測装置、及び電力需要予測方法
CN114066079B (zh) * 2021-11-22 2022-11-25 北京白龙马云行科技有限公司 一种基于多租户的网约车供需差预测方法及装置
CN114757722B (zh) * 2022-06-09 2023-11-14 荣耀终端有限公司 一种电子设备的销量预测方法和装置
CN117371339B (zh) * 2023-12-08 2024-03-26 西电济南变压器股份有限公司 基于物联网的变压器运行监测系统
CN118432092B (zh) * 2024-07-05 2024-10-25 山东和信新能源技术有限公司 新能源电网储能设备能量响应时效性指数预测方法及系统
CN120049401B (zh) * 2024-12-19 2026-02-06 国兴能(杭州)能源科技有限公司 一种储能系统负荷预测方法

Family Cites Families (23)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
WO1996010219A1 (en) * 1994-09-26 1996-04-04 Kabushiki Kaisha Toshiba Method and system for optimizing plant utility
US6032123A (en) * 1997-05-12 2000-02-29 Jameson; Joel Method and apparatus for allocating, costing, and pricing organizational resources
US7343311B2 (en) * 2002-03-01 2008-03-11 I2 Technologies Us, Inc. Generating an optimized supplier allocation plan
US7072723B2 (en) * 2002-10-23 2006-07-04 Clearsight Systems Inc. Method and system for optimization of general problems
JP2007199862A (ja) * 2006-01-24 2007-08-09 Nippon Telegr & Teleph Corp <Ntt> エネルギー需要予測方法、予測装置、プログラム、および記録媒体
JP5029822B2 (ja) * 2007-07-31 2012-09-19 東芝ライテック株式会社 光源および照明装置
US9137815B2 (en) * 2009-06-17 2015-09-15 Qualcomm Incorporated Multi-user multiple input multiple output wireless communications
JP5618501B2 (ja) * 2009-07-14 2014-11-05 株式会社東芝 需要予測装置、プログラムおよび記録媒体
US8880202B2 (en) * 2010-07-09 2014-11-04 Emerson Process Management Power & Water Solutions, Inc. Optimization system using an iteratively coupled expert engine
US8370283B2 (en) * 2010-12-15 2013-02-05 Scienergy, Inc. Predicting energy consumption
US9792568B2 (en) * 2011-12-23 2017-10-17 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Development Lp Generating a capacity schedule for a facility
JP2014180187A (ja) * 2013-03-15 2014-09-25 Toshiba Corp 電力需要予測装置、方法及びプログラム並びに需要抑制計画策定装置
JP6232258B2 (ja) * 2013-11-07 2017-11-15 株式会社エヌ・ティ・ティ・データ 予測装置、予測方法、及びプログラム
US20170017215A1 (en) * 2013-12-10 2017-01-19 Panasonic Intellectual Property Management Co., Ltd. Demand prediction system and program
JP6334177B2 (ja) * 2014-01-16 2018-05-30 株式会社東芝 運転計画作成装置、制御装置、運転計画作成方法、およびプログラム
CN106796618A (zh) * 2014-10-21 2017-05-31 株式会社日立制作所 时序预测装置和时序预测方法
US20170364839A1 (en) * 2014-12-05 2017-12-21 Nec Corporation Information processing device, model construction method, and program recording medium
CN104573879B (zh) 2015-01-30 2017-07-25 河海大学 基于最优相似日集的光伏电站出力预测方法
JP6408451B2 (ja) 2015-05-21 2018-10-17 株式会社日立製作所 エネルギー需要予測システム及びエネルギー需要予測方法
JP6720562B2 (ja) * 2016-02-10 2020-07-08 富士電機株式会社 制御装置、制御システム、制御プログラム、及び制御方法
JP6735219B2 (ja) 2016-12-05 2020-08-05 株式会社日立製作所 予測システム及び予測方法
JP7319757B2 (ja) 2016-12-05 2023-08-02 株式会社日立製作所 データ処理システム及びデータ処理方法
JP6831280B2 (ja) 2017-03-24 2021-02-17 株式会社日立製作所 予測システム、及び、予測方法

Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
EP3550499A4 (en) 2020-05-27
WO2018105341A1 (ja) 2018-06-14
EP3550499A1 (en) 2019-10-09
JP2018092445A (ja) 2018-06-14
US11107094B2 (en) 2021-08-31
US20190370832A1 (en) 2019-12-05

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
JP6735219B2 (ja) 予測システム及び予測方法
JP6837949B2 (ja) 予測システム及び方法
JP6895416B2 (ja) エネルギー需要予測システム及びエネルギー需要予測方法
JP7319757B2 (ja) データ処理システム及びデータ処理方法
US11593690B2 (en) Data prediction system and data prediction method
US20190228329A1 (en) Prediction system and prediction method
JP2018092439A5 (https=)
JP6079215B2 (ja) 電力需要予測装置、プログラム
Park et al. A framework for baseline load estimation in demand response: Data mining approach
JP2006011715A (ja) 資源消費量の推定方法及び装置
JP7114956B2 (ja) 電力需要算出装置およびプログラム
WO2017212880A1 (ja) データ予測システムおよびデータ予測方法
JP2020202739A (ja) 電力需要量予測装置及び電力需要量予測方法
CN117057487A (zh) 一种配电网碳排放强度预测方法、系统、设备及存储介质
Upadhaya et al. A robust approach to extend deterministic models for the quantification of uncertainty and comprehensive evaluation of the probabilistic forecasting
WO2016185919A1 (ja) エネルギー需要予測システム及びエネルギー需要予測方法
CN113902195A (zh) 电力销售金额预测方法和系统
Sinitsyna et al. Identification of electric power consumption patterns in relation to standard load profiles
WO2024014035A1 (ja) データ予測支援方法およびデータ予測システム
Konda Peak Load Forecast using Long Short Term Memory Networks.
Case Saving electrical energy in commercial buildings
Griffin et al. An Economic Investigation of Urban Water Demand in the US
Abdul Ghani et al. Development of low voltage customer load profile database and applications

Legal Events

Date Code Title Description
A521 Request for written amendment filed

Free format text: JAPANESE INTERMEDIATE CODE: A523

Effective date: 20190326

A621 Written request for application examination

Free format text: JAPANESE INTERMEDIATE CODE: A621

Effective date: 20190326

A131 Notification of reasons for refusal

Free format text: JAPANESE INTERMEDIATE CODE: A131

Effective date: 20200519

A521 Request for written amendment filed

Free format text: JAPANESE INTERMEDIATE CODE: A523

Effective date: 20200617

TRDD Decision of grant or rejection written
A01 Written decision to grant a patent or to grant a registration (utility model)

Free format text: JAPANESE INTERMEDIATE CODE: A01

Effective date: 20200630

A61 First payment of annual fees (during grant procedure)

Free format text: JAPANESE INTERMEDIATE CODE: A61

Effective date: 20200713

R150 Certificate of patent or registration of utility model

Ref document number: 6735219

Country of ref document: JP

Free format text: JAPANESE INTERMEDIATE CODE: R150