JP5965048B2 - 複合式太陽光追尾方法及び装置、並びに太陽光発電ブラインドシステム - Google Patents
複合式太陽光追尾方法及び装置、並びに太陽光発電ブラインドシステム Download PDFInfo
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Description
このため、段階(S12)で、コンピュータは第1発電量測定データと第1発電量予測データの間で時差誤差(lagged error)を以下の式1のとおり生成することができる。
41、51 第1発電量予測部
42、52 第2発電量予測部
43 第3発電量予測部
44、54 太陽光追尾制御部
60 太陽光発電ブラインドシステム
61 ブラインドスラット
62 電力量測定部
63 複合式太陽光追尾装置
64 駆動部
Claims (12)
- コンピュータを利用した複合式太陽光追尾方法であって、
前記コンピュータが、
過去の第1発電量測定データを時系列分析して第1発電量予測データを生成する段階と;
第1発電量測定データと第1発電量予測データの間で時差誤差を生成する段階と;
第1発電量測定データ、第1発電量予測データ及び時差誤差に基づいて、第2発電量予測データを予測する回帰分析(RA)モデルを構築し、第2発電量予測データを導出する段階と;
第1発電量測定データ、第1発電量予測データ及び時差誤差に基づいて、第3発電量予測データを予測する人工神経回路網(ANN)モデルを構築し、第3発電量予測データを導出する段階と;
現在の第2発電量測定データが、第2発電量予測データの第1誤差範囲と第3発電量予測データの第2誤差範囲に基づいた有効範囲内にあるか否かによって、太陽光発電量基盤太陽光追尾方式と位置時間基盤太陽光追尾方式のいずれかを選択する段階と;
選択された太陽光追尾方式に応じて、太陽光パネルの方向を決定する段階とを含む
ことを特徴とする複合式太陽光追尾方法。 - 第1発電量測定データに関する時系列分析が、ARIMA(Auto−Regressive Integrated Moving Average)分析またはSARIMA(Seasonal ARIMA)分析に基づく
請求項1に記載の複合式太陽光追尾方法。 - 第1誤差範囲または第2誤差範囲が、平均絶対誤差百分率(MAPE)または標準誤差率(SER)のいずれかを利用し、上限と下限をそれぞれ設定することによって決定される範囲である
請求項1または2に記載の複合式太陽光追尾方法。 - 有効範囲が、第1誤差範囲と第2誤差範囲が互いに重畳される交差範囲である
請求項1ないし3のいずれかに記載の複合式太陽光追尾方法。 - 有効範囲が、第1誤差範囲と第2誤差範囲が互いに重畳される交差範囲の上限と下限を所定の許容限界率だけ拡大した範囲である
請求項4に記載の複合式太陽光追尾方法。 - 過去の第1発電量測定データを時系列分析して第1発電量予測データを生成する第1発電量予測部と;
第1発電量測定データと第1発電量予測データの間で時差誤差を入手し、第1発電量測定データ、第1発電量予測データ及び時差誤差に基づいて、第2発電量予測データを予測する回帰分析(RA)モデルを構築し、第2発電量予測データを導出する第2発電量予測部と;
第1発電量測定データ、第1発電量予測データ及び時差誤差に基づいて、第3発電量予測データを予測する人工神経回路網(ANN)モデルを構築し、第3発電量予測データを導出する第3発電量予測部と;
現在の第2発電量測定データが、第2発電量予測データの第1誤差範囲と第3発電量予測データの第2誤差範囲に基づいた有効範囲内にあるか否かによって、太陽光発電量基盤太陽光追尾方式と位置時間基盤太陽光追尾方式のいずれかを選択し、選択された太陽光追尾方式に応じて、太陽光パネルの方向を決定する太陽光追尾制御部とを含む
ことを特徴とする複合式太陽光追尾装置。 - 第1発電量測定データに関する時系列分析が、ARIMA分析またはSARIMA分析に基づく
請求項6に記載の複合式太陽光追尾装置。 - 第1誤差範囲または第2誤差範囲が、平均絶対誤差百分率(MAPE)または標準誤差率(SER)のいずれかを利用し、上限と下限をそれぞれ設定することによって決定される範囲である
請求項6または7に記載の複合式太陽光追尾装置。 - 有効範囲が、第1誤差範囲と第2誤差範囲が互いに重畳される交差範囲である
請求項6ないし8に記載の複合式太陽光追尾装置。 - 有効範囲が、第1誤差範囲と第2誤差範囲が互いに重畳される交差範囲の上限と下限を所定の許容限界率だけ拡大した範囲である
請求項9に記載の複合式太陽光追尾装置。 - 太陽光パネルがそれぞれ付着した複数のブラインドスラットと;
太陽光パネルで生成された電力量を測定する電力量測定部と;
複合式太陽光追尾装置と;
複合式太陽光追尾装置によって決定された太陽光パネルの方向に応じて、前記ブラインドスラットの方向を制御する駆動部とを含み、
前記複合式太陽光追尾装置が、
過去の第1発電量測定データを時系列分析して第1発電量予測データを生成する第1発電量予測部と;
第1発電量測定データと第1発電量予測データの間で時差誤差を入手し、第1発電量測定データ、第1発電量予測データ及び時差誤差に基づいて、第2発電量予測データを予測する回帰分析(RA)モデルを構築し、第2発電量予測データを導出する第2発電量予測部と;
第1発電量測定データ、第1発電量予測データ及び時差誤差に基づいて、第3発電量予測データを予測する人工神経回路網(ANN)モデルを構築し、第3発電量予測データを導出する第3発電量予測部と;
現在の第2発電量測定データが、第2発電量予測データの第1誤差範囲と第3発電量予測データの第2誤差範囲に基づいた有効範囲内にあるかどうかによって、太陽光発電量基盤太陽光追尾方式と位置時間基盤太陽光追尾方式のいずれかを選択し、選択された太陽光追尾方式に応じて、太陽光パネルの方向を決定する太陽光追尾制御部を含む
ことを特徴とする太陽光発電ブラインドシステム。 - 前記駆動部が、
決定された太陽光パネルの方向に応じて、角度調節用ロープをワイヤープラーとモーターを利用して巻いたり緩めたりするブラインドスラットの角度を調節することによって、ブラインドスラット上の太陽光パネルの垂直方向を調節し、
窓枠とハウジングにそれぞれ固定されたギアを、モーターを利用して駆動し、窓枠に対して相対的にハウジング全体を回転させることによって、ハウジングにぶら下がったブラインドスラット上の太陽光パネルの水平方向を調節するように動作する
請求項11に記載の太陽光発電ブラインドシステム。
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US20190296685A1 (en) * | 2018-03-20 | 2019-09-26 | Manoj Abraham | Solar panel arrangement |
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KR102092860B1 (ko) * | 2019-01-22 | 2020-03-24 | 인천대학교 산학협력단 | 미래의 기상 예보 데이터를 이용하지 않는 기계학습 기반의 태양광 발전량 예측 장치 및 방법 |
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