CN116629628A - Comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural area - Google Patents

Comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural area Download PDF

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Publication number
CN116629628A
CN116629628A CN202310461781.3A CN202310461781A CN116629628A CN 116629628 A CN116629628 A CN 116629628A CN 202310461781 A CN202310461781 A CN 202310461781A CN 116629628 A CN116629628 A CN 116629628A
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emergency
evaluation
evaluation result
reduction
scheme
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赵军
张英喆
李�杰
殷德山
郑瑞臣
高宇
李英华
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China Academy of Safety Science and Technology CASST
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China Academy of Safety Science and Technology CASST
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0637Strategic management or analysis, e.g. setting a goal or target of an organisation; Planning actions based on goals; Analysis or evaluation of effectiveness of goals
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/10Services
    • G06Q50/26Government or public services
    • G06Q50/265Personal security, identity or safety
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02ATECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02A10/00TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE at coastal zones; at river basins
    • Y02A10/40Controlling or monitoring, e.g. of flood or hurricane; Forecasting, e.g. risk assessment or mapping

Abstract

The invention provides a comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention, disaster reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural areas, which comprises the following steps: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme according to a first evaluation condition to acquire a first evaluation result; performing emergency simulation exercise according to the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating an emergency simulation exercise effect according to a second evaluation condition to obtain a second evaluation result; according to a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and according to a third evaluation condition, evaluating personnel emergency treatment quality to obtain a third evaluation result; and summarizing the first evaluation result, the second evaluation result and the third evaluation result, and combining the evaluation results implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization to obtain a comprehensive evaluation result. The invention can scientifically evaluate the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of the regional space of the rural area by comprehensively and accurately evaluating the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability.

Description

Comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural area
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability assessment, and particularly relates to a comprehensive assessment method for disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural areas.
Background
Disaster prevention and reduction is to resist and alleviate various natural disasters, artificial disasters and secondary disasters caused by the natural disasters, and various preventive measures including flood control, earthquake prevention, fire protection and the like are adopted for damages to lives, properties and various engineering facilities of residents.
Along with the development and perfection of an emergency system in China, the construction of emergency capability aiming at various disasters and accidents is gradually perfected; the natural condition of rural areas in China is complex, the disaster occurrence rate is higher, the overall disaster prevention and reduction level is lower, but because the disaster prevention and reduction safety consciousness of people is weaker, especially in some regional spaces, the emergency capability level of disaster prevention and reduction and accident prevention is not high enough, and the comprehensive evaluation of the emergency capability of disaster prevention and reduction and accident prevention still has the conditions that the evaluation method is not simple or the evaluation content unit and the evaluation result is inaccurate, so that the scientific judgment of the emergency capability of disaster prevention and reduction and accident prevention is influenced, the misjudgment of the emergency capability is easy to cause, and the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency rescue are influenced.
Therefore, it is necessary to provide a comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of the regional space of the rural area.
Disclosure of Invention
The comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of the regional space of the rural area can improve the comprehensiveness and accuracy of the evaluation by multiparty evaluation of disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency, and is beneficial to scientific evaluation of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of the regional space of the rural area.
The invention provides a comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention, disaster reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural areas, which comprises the following steps:
s1: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme according to a first evaluation condition to acquire a first evaluation result;
s2: performing emergency simulation exercise according to the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating an emergency simulation exercise effect according to a second evaluation condition to obtain a second evaluation result;
s3: according to a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and according to a third evaluation condition, evaluating personnel emergency treatment quality to obtain a third evaluation result;
s4: and summarizing the first evaluation result, the second evaluation result and the third evaluation result, and combining the evaluation results implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization to obtain a comprehensive evaluation result.
Further, S1 includes:
s101: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme and an accident emergency scheme;
s102: establishing a standard, an emergency scheme template and a plurality of same-class emergency schemes based on the emergency scheme, and establishing a plurality of class items and class item scoring standards for measuring the quality of the emergency schemes; formulating a first evaluation condition according to class items and class item scoring criteria;
s103: and according to the first evaluation condition, evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme to obtain a first evaluation result expressed by scores.
Further, S2 includes:
s201: emergency simulation exercise is carried out according to disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme organization;
s202: based on evaluation standards of emergency simulation exercises, historical disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency treatment data, a plurality of process evaluation items and process evaluation item scoring standards of the emergency simulation exercises are formulated, and second evaluation conditions are formulated according to the process evaluation items and the process evaluation item scoring standards;
s203: and according to the second evaluation condition, evaluating the effect of the emergency simulation exercise to obtain a second evaluation result expressed by scores.
Further, evaluating the effect of the emergency simulation exercise in S203 includes:
s2031: based on the emergency simulation drilling content, adding temporary simulation drilling content; the temporary simulated drilling content comprises one or more of simulated drilling content with secondary disasters, centralized occurrence of multiple types of disasters and coexistence of disasters and accidents;
s2032: according to a preset emergency treatment evaluation standard for temporary simulation drilling contents, evaluating the effect of processing the temporary simulation drilling contents to obtain a second additional evaluation condition expressed by scores;
s2033: and obtaining a second evaluation result expressed by the score according to the second additional evaluation condition and the second evaluation condition.
Further, S3 includes:
s301: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and acquiring personnel participation data;
s302: based on the personnel participation condition data, determining a first sub-condition of a third evaluation condition according to whether the personnel role distribution in the emergency scheme is reasonable or not; determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the role of the person in the emergency simulation exercise is accurately implemented; formulating a third evaluation condition according to the first sub-condition and the second sub-condition;
s303: and according to the third evaluation condition, evaluating the emergency treatment quality of the personnel to obtain a third evaluation result expressed by a score.
Further, in S302, determining the first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the assignment of the personnel role in the emergency plan is reasonable includes:
s3021: according to the evaluation of the emergency working experience of the personnel in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency working experience value of the personnel;
s3022: according to the investigation of familiarity of personnel to the emergency scheme in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency work familiarity value of the personnel;
s3023: based on the emergency work experience value and the emergency work familiar value, generating a role allocation reasonable value of the personnel after adding corresponding weight, and determining a first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the role allocation reasonable value.
Further, the second sub-condition for determining the third evaluation condition according to whether the person character in the emergency simulation exercise is accurately implemented in S302 includes:
s3024: acquiring the completion success rate and the completion time of the emergency staff for completing the role tasks of the staff in the emergency simulation exercise;
s3025: if the completion success rate is greater than a preset completion success rate threshold, dividing and setting a plurality of score assignment intervals according to the value of the completion success rate to complete corresponding first score assignment;
s3026: the completion time on the basis of successful completion of the role tasks of the personnel in the emergency simulation exercise is smaller than a preset completion time threshold, a plurality of score assignment intervals are divided and set according to the completion time length, and corresponding second score assignment is completed;
s3027: and generating an accurate implementation judgment value of the personnel role in the emergency simulation exercise according to the first score value and the second score value, and determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the accurate implementation judgment value.
Further, in S4, the evaluation result implemented by the emergency plan propaganda study and emergency simulation exercise organization includes:
s401: adopting the modes of checking work records, conducting spot check or general survey on related personnel in the emergency plan, and conducting evaluation on propaganda learning of the emergency plan to obtain a first evaluation result;
s402: adopting a form of checking work records, and evaluating the frequency of implementation of the emergency simulation exercise organization, the implementation proficiency of the organization and the modification update records to obtain a second evaluation result;
s403: and generating an evaluation result implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization according to the first evaluation result and the second evaluation result.
Further, S5, analyzing the influence degree of the evaluation result and the measurement result on the comprehensive evaluation result, setting the correction priority of the evaluation result and the measurement result based on the influence degree, and correcting according to the correction priority, wherein the specific steps are as follows:
s501: based on the historical comprehensive evaluation result big data, acquiring a first evaluation condition, a second evaluation condition, a third evaluation condition and the influence degree of the evaluation on the comprehensive evaluation result, and generating an evaluation result and an influence degree value calculation formula of the evaluation result according to the influence degree;
s502: according to the influence value calculation formula, calculating to obtain a first evaluation result influence value, a second evaluation result influence value, a third evaluation result influence value and an evaluation result influence value;
s503: analyzing the problem correction importance and correction time limit in the evaluation result and the evaluation result according to the first evaluation result influence value, the second evaluation result influence value, the third evaluation result influence value and the evaluation result influence value, setting the problem with the largest problem correction importance and the shortest correction time limit as the highest correction priority, and sorting the correction priorities of other problems; and carrying out problem rectification according to the sequenced rectification priority.
Further, the method also comprises S6, and also comprises the steps of evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation schemes, wherein the specific steps are as follows:
s601: checking and evaluating the existing preparation materials according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, and generating a first material preparation and evaluation result according to the preparation degree of the existing preparation materials;
s602: according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, simulating spot check is carried out on the material to be scheduled in a coordinated manner and the support material to be friendly; generating a second resource preparation evaluation result according to the coordination scheduling completion time and the coordination scheduling completion quantity of the coordination scheduling materials; generating a third asset preparation evaluation result according to the support completion time and the support completion amount of the friend support asset;
s603: if a plurality of behaviors of the friend support materials exist, judging whether the behaviors of the friend support materials have conflicts, if so, calculating delay caused by the conflicts, calculating a difference value between delay time length and a preset delay time length threshold, if the difference value is larger than the preset difference value threshold, generating a third material preparation evaluation result influence value, and adjusting a third material preparation evaluation result according to the third material preparation evaluation result influence value;
s604: and generating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation scheme evaluation results according to the first material preparation evaluation result, the second material preparation evaluation result and the third material preparation evaluation result.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the following advantages and beneficial effects: through multiparty evaluation of disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency, the comprehensiveness and accuracy of the evaluation can be improved, and the regional space disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of the rural areas can be scientifically evaluated.
Additional features and advantages of the invention will be set forth in the description which follows, and in part will be obvious from the description, or may be learned by practice of the invention. The objectives and other advantages of the invention may be realized and attained by the structure particularly pointed out in the written description and drawings.
The technical scheme of the invention is further described in detail through the drawings and the embodiments.
Drawings
The accompanying drawings are included to provide a further understanding of the invention and are incorporated in and constitute a part of this specification, illustrate the invention and together with the embodiments of the invention, serve to explain the invention. In the drawings:
FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram showing steps of a method for comprehensively evaluating disaster prevention, disaster reduction and accident emergency capability of a regional space of a rural area;
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram of the method steps for evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency schemes according to the present invention;
FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of the method steps for evaluating the emergency simulation exercise of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency plan organization of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The preferred embodiments of the present invention will be described below with reference to the accompanying drawings, it being understood that the preferred embodiments described herein are for illustration and explanation of the present invention only, and are not intended to limit the present invention.
The invention provides a comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention, disaster reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural areas, which is shown in figure 1 and comprises the following steps:
s1: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme according to a first evaluation condition to acquire a first evaluation result;
s2: performing emergency simulation exercise according to the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating an emergency simulation exercise effect according to a second evaluation condition to obtain a second evaluation result;
s3: according to a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and according to a third evaluation condition, evaluating personnel emergency treatment quality to obtain a third evaluation result;
s4: and summarizing the first evaluation result, the second evaluation result and the third evaluation result, and combining the evaluation results implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization to obtain a comprehensive evaluation result.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: s1: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme according to a first evaluation condition to acquire a first evaluation result;
s2: performing emergency simulation exercise according to the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating an emergency simulation exercise effect according to a second evaluation condition to obtain a second evaluation result;
s3: according to a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and according to a third evaluation condition, evaluating personnel emergency treatment quality to obtain a third evaluation result;
s4: and summarizing the first evaluation result, the second evaluation result and the third evaluation result, and combining the evaluation results implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization to obtain a comprehensive evaluation result.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the comprehensiveness and the accuracy of the evaluation can be improved through multiparty evaluation of disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency, and the regional space disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of the rural area can be scientifically evaluated.
In one embodiment, as shown in fig. 2, S1 includes:
s101: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme and an accident emergency scheme;
s102: establishing a standard, an emergency scheme template and a plurality of same-class emergency schemes based on the emergency scheme, and establishing a plurality of class items and class item scoring standards for measuring the quality of the emergency schemes; formulating a first evaluation condition according to class items and class item scoring criteria;
s103: and according to the first evaluation condition, evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme to obtain a first evaluation result expressed by scores.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: s1 comprises the following steps:
s101: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme and an accident emergency scheme;
s102: establishing a standard, an emergency scheme template and a plurality of same-class emergency schemes based on the emergency scheme, and establishing a plurality of class items and class item scoring standards for measuring the quality of the emergency schemes; formulating a first evaluation condition according to class items and class item scoring criteria;
s103: and according to the first evaluation condition, evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme to obtain a first evaluation result expressed by scores.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the evaluation content of the disaster prevention and reduction scheme and the accident emergency scheme can be reflected through the first evaluation result.
In one embodiment, as shown in fig. 3, S2 includes:
s201: emergency simulation exercise is carried out according to disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme organization;
s202: based on evaluation standards of emergency simulation exercises, historical disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency treatment data, a plurality of process evaluation items and process evaluation item scoring standards of the emergency simulation exercises are formulated, and second evaluation conditions are formulated according to the process evaluation items and the process evaluation item scoring standards;
s203: and according to the second evaluation condition, evaluating the effect of the emergency simulation exercise to obtain a second evaluation result expressed by scores.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: s2 comprises the following steps:
s201: emergency simulation exercise is carried out according to disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme organization;
s202: based on evaluation standards of emergency simulation exercises, historical disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency treatment data, a plurality of process evaluation items and process evaluation item scoring standards of the emergency simulation exercises are formulated, and second evaluation conditions are formulated according to the process evaluation items and the process evaluation item scoring standards;
s203: and according to the second evaluation condition, evaluating the effect of the emergency simulation exercise to obtain a second evaluation result expressed by scores.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the evaluation content of the effect of the emergency simulation exercise can be reflected by obtaining the second evaluation result.
In one embodiment, evaluating the effect of the emergency simulation exercise in S203 includes:
s2031: based on the emergency simulation drilling content, adding temporary simulation drilling content; the temporary simulated drilling content comprises one or more of simulated drilling content with secondary disasters, centralized occurrence of multiple types of disasters and coexistence of disasters and accidents;
s2032: according to a preset emergency treatment evaluation standard for temporary simulation drilling contents, evaluating the effect of processing the temporary simulation drilling contents to obtain a second additional evaluation condition expressed by scores;
s2033: and obtaining a second evaluation result expressed by the score according to the second additional evaluation condition and the second evaluation condition.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: the evaluation of the effect of the emergency simulation exercise in S203 includes:
s2031: based on the emergency simulation drilling content, adding temporary simulation drilling content; the temporary simulated drilling content comprises one or more of simulated drilling content with secondary disasters, centralized occurrence of multiple types of disasters and coexistence of disasters and accidents;
s2032: according to a preset emergency treatment evaluation standard for temporary simulation drilling contents, evaluating the effect of processing the temporary simulation drilling contents to obtain a second additional evaluation condition expressed by scores;
s2033: and obtaining a second evaluation result expressed by the score according to the second additional evaluation condition and the second evaluation condition.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the integrity of the second evaluation result can be ensured by adding the evaluation content, and the evaluation content of the emergency simulation exercise effect can be better reflected.
In one embodiment, S3 comprises:
s301: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and acquiring personnel participation data;
s302: based on the personnel participation condition data, determining a first sub-condition of a third evaluation condition according to whether the personnel role distribution in the emergency scheme is reasonable or not; determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the role of the person in the emergency simulation exercise is accurately implemented; formulating a third evaluation condition according to the first sub-condition and the second sub-condition;
s303: and according to the third evaluation condition, evaluating the emergency treatment quality of the personnel to obtain a third evaluation result expressed by a score.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: s3 comprises the following steps:
s301: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and acquiring personnel participation data;
s302: based on the personnel participation condition data, determining a first sub-condition of a third evaluation condition according to whether the personnel role distribution in the emergency scheme is reasonable or not; determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the role of the person in the emergency simulation exercise is accurately implemented; formulating a third evaluation condition according to the first sub-condition and the second sub-condition;
s303: and according to the third evaluation condition, evaluating the emergency treatment quality of the personnel to obtain a third evaluation result expressed by a score.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme and personnel participation condition evaluation content in emergency simulation exercise can be reflected by obtaining the third evaluation result.
In one embodiment, determining the first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition based on whether the assignment of the personnel role in the contingency plan is reasonable in S302 includes:
s3021: according to the evaluation of the emergency working experience of the personnel in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency working experience value of the personnel;
s3022: according to the investigation of familiarity of personnel to the emergency scheme in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency work familiarity value of the personnel;
s3023: based on the emergency work experience value and the emergency work familiar value, generating a role allocation reasonable value of the personnel after adding corresponding weight, and determining a first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the role allocation reasonable value.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: in S302, determining the first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the assignment of the personnel role in the emergency plan is reasonable includes:
s3021: according to the evaluation of the emergency working experience of the personnel in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency working experience value of the personnel;
s3022: according to the investigation of familiarity of personnel to the emergency scheme in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency work familiarity value of the personnel;
s3023: based on the emergency work experience value and the emergency work familiar value, generating a role allocation reasonable value of the personnel after adding corresponding weight, and determining a first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the role allocation reasonable value.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the scientific rationality of the formulation of the first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition can be improved according to whether the first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition is reasonably determined according to the distribution of the personnel roles in the emergency scheme.
In one embodiment, determining the second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition in S302 based on whether the person character in the contingency simulation exercise is accurately implemented includes:
s3024: acquiring the completion success rate and the completion time of the emergency staff for completing the role tasks of the staff in the emergency simulation exercise;
s3025: if the completion success rate is greater than a preset completion success rate threshold, dividing and setting a plurality of score assignment intervals according to the value of the completion success rate to complete corresponding first score assignment;
s3026: the completion time on the basis of successful completion of the role tasks of the personnel in the emergency simulation exercise is smaller than a preset completion time threshold, a plurality of score assignment intervals are divided and set according to the completion time length, and corresponding second score assignment is completed;
s3027: and generating an accurate implementation judgment value of the personnel role in the emergency simulation exercise according to the first score value and the second score value, and determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the accurate implementation judgment value.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: in S302, determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the person role in the emergency simulation exercise is accurately implemented, including:
s3024: acquiring the completion success rate and the completion time of the emergency staff for completing the role tasks of the staff in the emergency simulation exercise;
s3025: if the completion success rate is greater than a preset completion success rate threshold, dividing and setting a plurality of score assignment intervals according to the value of the completion success rate to complete corresponding first score assignment;
s3026: the completion time on the basis of successful completion of the role tasks of the personnel in the emergency simulation exercise is smaller than a preset completion time threshold, a plurality of score assignment intervals are divided and set according to the completion time length, and corresponding second score assignment is completed;
s3027: and generating an accurate implementation judgment value of the personnel role in the emergency simulation exercise according to the first score value and the second score value, and determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the accurate implementation judgment value.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the scientific rationality of the second sub-condition formulation of the third evaluation condition can be improved by determining the second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the personnel role is accurately implemented in emergency simulation exercise.
In one embodiment, in S4, the evaluation result implemented by the emergency plan propaganda learning and emergency simulation exercise organization includes:
s401: adopting the modes of checking work records, conducting spot check or general survey on related personnel in the emergency plan, and conducting evaluation on propaganda learning of the emergency plan to obtain a first evaluation result;
s402: adopting a form of checking work records, and evaluating the frequency of implementation of the emergency simulation exercise organization, the implementation proficiency of the organization and the modification update records to obtain a second evaluation result;
s403: and generating an evaluation result implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization according to the first evaluation result and the second evaluation result.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: in S4, the evaluation result implemented by the emergency plan propaganda study and emergency simulation exercise organization includes:
s401: adopting the modes of checking work records, conducting spot check or general survey on related personnel in the emergency plan, and conducting evaluation on propaganda learning of the emergency plan to obtain a first evaluation result;
s402: adopting a form of checking work records, and evaluating the frequency of implementation of the emergency simulation exercise organization, the implementation proficiency of the organization and the modification update records to obtain a second evaluation result;
s403: and generating an evaluation result implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization according to the first evaluation result and the second evaluation result.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the accuracy of the evaluation result can be improved through the specific evaluation conducted by the emergency scheme propaganda study and emergency simulation exercise organization.
In one embodiment, the method further includes S5, analyzing the influence degree of the evaluation result and the measurement result on the comprehensive evaluation result, setting the priority of modification of the evaluation result and the measurement result based on the influence degree, and modifying according to the priority of modification, wherein the specific steps are as follows:
s501: based on the historical comprehensive evaluation result big data, acquiring a first evaluation condition, a second evaluation condition, a third evaluation condition and the influence degree of the evaluation on the comprehensive evaluation result, and generating an evaluation result and an influence degree value calculation formula of the evaluation result according to the influence degree;
s502: according to the influence value calculation formula, calculating to obtain a first evaluation result influence value, a second evaluation result influence value, a third evaluation result influence value and an evaluation result influence value;
s503: analyzing the problem correction importance and correction time limit in the evaluation result and the evaluation result according to the first evaluation result influence value, the second evaluation result influence value, the third evaluation result influence value and the evaluation result influence value, setting the problem with the largest problem correction importance and the shortest correction time limit as the highest correction priority, and sorting the correction priorities of other problems; and carrying out problem rectification according to the sequenced rectification priority.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: s5, analyzing the influence degree of the evaluation result and the measurement result on the comprehensive evaluation result, setting the priority of modification of the evaluation result and the measurement result based on the influence degree, and modifying according to the priority of modification, wherein the specific steps are as follows:
s501: based on the historical comprehensive evaluation result big data, acquiring a first evaluation condition, a second evaluation condition, a third evaluation condition and the influence degree of the evaluation on the comprehensive evaluation result, and generating an evaluation result and an influence degree value calculation formula of the evaluation result according to the influence degree;
s502: according to the influence value calculation formula, calculating to obtain a first evaluation result influence value, a second evaluation result influence value, a third evaluation result influence value and an evaluation result influence value;
s503: analyzing the problem correction importance and correction time limit in the evaluation result and the evaluation result according to the first evaluation result influence value, the second evaluation result influence value, the third evaluation result influence value and the evaluation result influence value, setting the problem with the largest problem correction importance and the shortest correction time limit as the highest correction priority, and sorting the correction priorities of other problems; and carrying out problem rectification according to the sequenced rectification priority.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the influence degree of the evaluation result and the measurement result on the comprehensive evaluation result is analyzed, the priority of the modification of the evaluation result and the measurement result is set based on the influence degree, and the modification is carried out according to the priority of the modification, so that the pertinence and the quality of the modification of the evaluation problem can be improved.
In one embodiment, the method further comprises S6, and further comprises the step of evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation schemes, wherein the specific steps are as follows:
s601: checking and evaluating the existing preparation materials according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, and generating a first material preparation and evaluation result according to the preparation degree of the existing preparation materials;
s602: according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, simulating spot check is carried out on the material to be scheduled in a coordinated manner and the support material to be friendly; generating a second resource preparation evaluation result according to the coordination scheduling completion time and the coordination scheduling completion quantity of the coordination scheduling materials; generating a third asset preparation evaluation result according to the support completion time and the support completion amount of the friend support asset;
s603: if a plurality of behaviors of the friend support materials exist, judging whether the behaviors of the friend support materials have conflicts, if so, calculating delay caused by the conflicts, calculating a difference value between delay time length and a preset delay time length threshold, if the difference value is larger than the preset difference value threshold, generating a third material preparation evaluation result influence value, and adjusting a third material preparation evaluation result according to the third material preparation evaluation result influence value;
s604: and generating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation scheme evaluation results according to the first material preparation evaluation result, the second material preparation evaluation result and the third material preparation evaluation result.
The working principle of the technical scheme is as follows: s6, evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation schemes, wherein the method comprises the following specific steps of:
s601: checking and evaluating the existing preparation materials according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, and generating a first material preparation and evaluation result according to the preparation degree of the existing preparation materials;
s602: according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, simulating spot check is carried out on the material to be scheduled in a coordinated manner and the support material to be friendly; generating a second resource preparation evaluation result according to the coordination scheduling completion time and the coordination scheduling completion quantity of the coordination scheduling materials; generating a third asset preparation evaluation result according to the support completion time and the support completion amount of the friend support asset;
s603: if a plurality of behaviors of the friend support materials exist, judging whether the behaviors of the friend support materials have conflicts, if so, calculating delay caused by the conflicts, calculating a difference value between delay time length and a preset delay time length threshold, if the difference value is larger than the preset difference value threshold, generating a third material preparation evaluation result influence value, and adjusting a third material preparation evaluation result according to the third material preparation evaluation result influence value;
s604: and generating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation scheme evaluation results according to the first material preparation evaluation result, the second material preparation evaluation result and the third material preparation evaluation result.
The geographic detector is a new statistical method which can detect spatial heterogeneity and reveal the driving force behind a certain spatial distribution phenomenon, and the core idea is based on the assumption that: if one variable has a significant impact on the dependent variable, then the two variables will have similar spatial distributions, indicating that the factor has a strong interpretation of the occurrence of the phenomenon. The geographic detector is adopted to analyze the main driving factors of disasters and the change conditions of driving forces of all factors in the regional space of the rural area in different time phases, so that the relationship between the disaster driving factors and the disaster intensity can be judged, and the relationship is used as a predictive basis for evaluating the disaster intensity; in the aspects of preparing disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency materials, the index is considered, so that the comprehensive system can be prepared in a targeted manner; the calculation formula of the interpretation effort is:
in the above formula, M represents the interpretation power of a single disaster driving factor on the spatial distribution of disaster intensity, M is more than or equal to 0 and less than or equal to 1, wherein M=0 represents that the single disaster driving factor and the disaster intensity are completely irrelevant, and M=1 represents that the disaster intensity is completely determined by the single disaster driving factor; k represents the number of all analysis units in the region space; k (k) j Is representative of the number of analysis units in region j;is a variance representing disaster intensity in the region j; m is the number of factor partitions; k (k) i Is the ith sub-zone disaster intensity value in the zone space, and k α Is a global average of disaster intensities in the regional space.
The beneficial effects of the technical scheme are as follows: by adopting the scheme provided by the embodiment, the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation scheme is evaluated, so that the capability of disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency treatment can be evaluated from the perspective of material preparation, and the capability can be used as important supplementary content of the comprehensive evaluation result; the relationship between the disaster driving factors and the disaster intensity is calculated through statistics by using a geographic detector statistical method, and the relationship can be used as a predictive basis for evaluating the disaster intensity, so that a reference is provided for preparing emergency materials.
It will be apparent to those skilled in the art that various modifications and variations can be made to the present invention without departing from the spirit or scope of the invention. Thus, it is intended that the present invention also include such modifications and alterations insofar as they come within the scope of the appended claims or the equivalents thereof.

Claims (10)

1. The comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention, disaster reduction and accident emergency capability of the regional space of the rural area is characterized by comprising the following steps:
s1: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme according to a first evaluation condition to acquire a first evaluation result;
s2: performing emergency simulation exercise according to the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme, and evaluating an emergency simulation exercise effect according to a second evaluation condition to obtain a second evaluation result;
s3: according to a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and according to a third evaluation condition, evaluating personnel emergency treatment quality to obtain a third evaluation result;
s4: and summarizing the first evaluation result, the second evaluation result and the third evaluation result, and combining the evaluation results implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization to obtain a comprehensive evaluation result.
2. The rural area regional space disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability comprehensive assessment method according to claim 1, wherein S1 comprises:
s101: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme and an accident emergency scheme;
s102: establishing a standard, an emergency scheme template and a plurality of same-class emergency schemes based on the emergency scheme, and establishing a plurality of class items and class item scoring standards for measuring the quality of the emergency schemes; formulating a first evaluation condition according to class items and class item scoring criteria;
s103: and according to the first evaluation condition, evaluating the quality of the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme to obtain a first evaluation result expressed by scores.
3. The rural area regional space disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability comprehensive assessment method according to claim 1, wherein S2 comprises:
s201: emergency simulation exercise is carried out according to disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency scheme organization;
s202: based on evaluation standards of emergency simulation exercises, historical disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency treatment data, a plurality of process evaluation items and process evaluation item scoring standards of the emergency simulation exercises are formulated, and second evaluation conditions are formulated according to the process evaluation items and the process evaluation item scoring standards;
s203: and according to the second evaluation condition, evaluating the effect of the emergency simulation exercise to obtain a second evaluation result expressed by scores.
4. The method for comprehensively evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional spaces of rural areas according to claim 3, wherein evaluating the effect of emergency simulation exercise in S203 comprises:
s2031: based on the emergency simulation drilling content, adding temporary simulation drilling content; the temporary simulated drilling content comprises one or more of simulated drilling content with secondary disasters, centralized occurrence of multiple types of disasters and coexistence of disasters and accidents;
s2032: according to a preset emergency treatment evaluation standard for temporary simulation drilling contents, evaluating the effect of processing the temporary simulation drilling contents to obtain a second additional evaluation condition expressed by scores;
s2033: and obtaining a second evaluation result expressed by the score according to the second additional evaluation condition and the second evaluation condition.
5. The rural area regional space disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability comprehensive assessment method according to claim 1, wherein S3 comprises:
s301: acquiring a disaster prevention and reduction scheme, an accident emergency scheme and personnel participation in emergency simulation exercise, and acquiring personnel participation data;
s302: based on the personnel participation condition data, determining a first sub-condition of a third evaluation condition according to whether the personnel role distribution in the emergency scheme is reasonable or not; determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the role of the person in the emergency simulation exercise is accurately implemented; formulating a third evaluation condition according to the first sub-condition and the second sub-condition;
s303: and according to the third evaluation condition, evaluating the emergency treatment quality of the personnel to obtain a third evaluation result expressed by a score.
6. The method for comprehensively evaluating disaster prevention, reduction and emergency capability of regional spaces in rural areas according to claim 5, wherein the step of determining the first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition based on whether the assignment of the personnel role in the emergency plan is reasonable in S302 comprises:
s3021: according to the evaluation of the emergency working experience of the personnel in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency working experience value of the personnel;
s3022: according to the investigation of familiarity of personnel to the emergency scheme in the emergency scheme, generating an emergency work familiarity value of the personnel;
s3023: based on the emergency work experience value and the emergency work familiar value, generating a role allocation reasonable value of the personnel after adding corresponding weight, and determining a first sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the role allocation reasonable value.
7. The method for comprehensively evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional spaces in rural areas according to claim 5, wherein the step S302 of determining the second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to whether the person character is accurately implemented in the emergency simulation exercise comprises:
s3024: acquiring the completion success rate and the completion time of the emergency staff for completing the role tasks of the staff in the emergency simulation exercise;
s3025: if the completion success rate is greater than a preset completion success rate threshold, dividing and setting a plurality of score assignment intervals according to the value of the completion success rate to complete corresponding first score assignment;
s3026: the completion time on the basis of successful completion of the role tasks of the personnel in the emergency simulation exercise is smaller than a preset completion time threshold, a plurality of score assignment intervals are divided and set according to the completion time length, and corresponding second score assignment is completed;
s3027: and generating an accurate implementation judgment value of the personnel role in the emergency simulation exercise according to the first score value and the second score value, and determining a second sub-condition of the third evaluation condition according to the accurate implementation judgment value.
8. The method for comprehensively evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional spaces in rural areas according to claim 1, wherein in S4, the evaluation results implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda learning and emergency simulation exercise organization comprise:
s401: adopting the modes of checking work records, conducting spot check or general survey on related personnel in the emergency plan, and conducting evaluation on propaganda learning of the emergency plan to obtain a first evaluation result;
s402: adopting a form of checking work records, and evaluating the frequency of implementation of the emergency simulation exercise organization, the implementation proficiency of the organization and the modification update records to obtain a second evaluation result;
s403: and generating an evaluation result implemented by the emergency scheme propaganda study and the emergency simulation exercise organization according to the first evaluation result and the second evaluation result.
9. The method for comprehensively evaluating the disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of the regional space of the rural area according to claim 1, further comprising the steps of S5, analyzing the influence degree of the evaluation result and the measurement result on the comprehensive evaluation result, setting the priority of the modification of the evaluation result and the measurement result based on the influence degree, and modifying according to the priority of the modification, wherein the method comprises the following specific steps:
s501: based on the historical comprehensive evaluation result big data, acquiring a first evaluation condition, a second evaluation condition, a third evaluation condition and the influence degree of the evaluation on the comprehensive evaluation result, and generating an evaluation result and an influence degree value calculation formula of the evaluation result according to the influence degree;
s502: according to the influence value calculation formula, calculating to obtain a first evaluation result influence value, a second evaluation result influence value, a third evaluation result influence value and an evaluation result influence value;
s503: analyzing the problem correction importance and correction time limit in the evaluation result and the evaluation result according to the first evaluation result influence value, the second evaluation result influence value, the third evaluation result influence value and the evaluation result influence value, setting the problem with the largest problem correction importance and the shortest correction time limit as the highest correction priority, and sorting the correction priorities of other problems; and carrying out problem rectification according to the sequenced rectification priority.
10. The method for comprehensively evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural areas according to claim 1, further comprising the step of evaluating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation schemes, and specifically comprising the steps of:
s601: checking and evaluating the existing preparation materials according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, and generating a first material preparation and evaluation result according to the preparation degree of the existing preparation materials;
s602: according to a disaster prevention and reduction and data emergency material preparation scheme, simulating spot check is carried out on the material to be scheduled in a coordinated manner and the support material to be friendly; generating a second resource preparation evaluation result according to the coordination scheduling completion time and the coordination scheduling completion quantity of the coordination scheduling materials; generating a third asset preparation evaluation result according to the support completion time and the support completion amount of the friend support asset;
s603: if a plurality of behaviors of the friend support materials exist, judging whether the behaviors of the friend support materials have conflicts, if so, calculating delay caused by the conflicts, calculating a difference value between delay time length and a preset delay time length threshold, if the difference value is larger than the preset difference value threshold, generating a third material preparation evaluation result influence value, and adjusting a third material preparation evaluation result according to the third material preparation evaluation result influence value;
s604: and generating disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency material preparation scheme evaluation results according to the first material preparation evaluation result, the second material preparation evaluation result and the third material preparation evaluation result.
CN202310461781.3A 2023-04-26 2023-04-26 Comprehensive evaluation method for disaster prevention and reduction and accident emergency capability of regional space in rural area Pending CN116629628A (en)

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