CN112308460A - Safety production risk assessment method and device, processor and risk assessment system - Google Patents

Safety production risk assessment method and device, processor and risk assessment system Download PDF

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Publication number
CN112308460A
CN112308460A CN202011323893.5A CN202011323893A CN112308460A CN 112308460 A CN112308460 A CN 112308460A CN 202011323893 A CN202011323893 A CN 202011323893A CN 112308460 A CN112308460 A CN 112308460A
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China
Prior art keywords
risk
index
risk index
grade
determining
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Inventor
杨博
叶宽
朱戎
赵蕾
谢欢
任志刚
李洪斌
李大志
潘轩
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Beijing Electric Power Co Ltd
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
State Grid Beijing Electric Power Co Ltd
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Priority to CN202011323893.5A priority Critical patent/CN112308460A/en
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    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0631—Resource planning, allocation, distributing or scheduling for enterprises or organisations
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0635—Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06—Electricity, gas or water supply

Abstract

The application provides an assessment method, an assessment device, a processor and a risk assessment system for safety production risk, wherein the assessment method comprises the following steps: determining risk indexes according to the operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index; determining a corresponding risk grade according to the risk index; and determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level. According to the assessment method, the risks in four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index are considered, and the risk level of the safety production risk is obtained, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately assess the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the assessment method has a great reference value for the management of the safety production.

Description

Safety production risk assessment method and device, processor and risk assessment system
Technical Field
The present application relates to the field of risk assessment technologies, and in particular, to a method and an apparatus for assessing a risk of a safety production, a computer-readable storage medium, a processor, and a risk assessment system.
Background
With the continuous expansion of the scale of the power grid, the safety production risk is not a single risk assessment for certain production or operation, but is an all-round control for power transmission, power transformation and power distribution, and how to comprehensively assess the risk and form an actual and effective path is very important. The comprehensive index which can visually describe the general situation of the safety production work of the company and accurately reflect the influence degree of various influence factors on the safety production in a certain period is formed by fully utilizing the safety production management work results of skill evaluation, safety supervision, equipment state evaluation, power grid operation analysis and the like and effectively integrating and refining the relevant information of various professions and dimensions reflecting the safety production state so as to guide various units, professions and various levels of personnel to purposefully develop management activities. Further promote the enhancement of safety production management foundation, the improvement of management ability, the management work standard and the management resource integration, realize the more active, more comprehensive, more effective and more thorough management and control of the factors damaging the safety production, and really realize the controllable control of the safety production.
The above information disclosed in this background section is only for enhancement of understanding of the background of the technology described herein and, therefore, certain information may be included in the background that does not form the prior art that is already known in this country to a person of ordinary skill in the art.
Disclosure of Invention
The present application mainly aims to provide a method and an apparatus for evaluating a risk of a safety production, a computer-readable storage medium, a processor, and a risk evaluation system, so as to solve the problem that the risk of the safety production cannot be comprehensively and accurately evaluated in the prior art.
According to an aspect of an embodiment of the present invention, there is provided a method for evaluating a risk of a safety production, including: determining risk indexes according to the operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index; determining a corresponding risk grade according to the risk index; and determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level.
Optionally, determining a risk index from the operational data comprises: determining the score of each influence factor according to the operation data corresponding to each influence factor, wherein the influence factors are influence factors corresponding to the risk index; and calculating the risk index according to the score.
Optionally, the operation data includes first operation data, second operation data, third operation data and fourth operation data, the first operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the safety management risk index, the second operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the power grid risk index, the third operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the equipment risk index, and the fourth operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the environmental risk index.
Optionally, determining a corresponding risk level according to the risk index includes: determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is I grade under the condition that the first risk index is greater than or equal to 80; determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is grade II under the condition that the first risk index is greater than or equal to 60 and less than 80; determining that the first risk index determines that the corresponding risk grade is grade III if the first risk index is greater than or equal to 40 and less than 60; and under the condition that the first risk index is smaller than 40, determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is IV grade, wherein the first risk index comprises the safety management risk index and the power grid risk index.
Optionally, determining a corresponding risk level according to the risk index, further comprising: determining a risk grade of each power grid device according to a risk index corresponding to the power grid device, wherein the risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices comprise a second risk index and a third risk index, the second risk index comprises the device risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices, and the third risk index comprises the environment risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices; calculating to obtain a unit risk index according to the number of the power grid equipment corresponding to each risk level and an adjusting coefficient, wherein the adjusting coefficient is determined according to the operation data; and determining the risk grade corresponding to the risk index according to the unit risk index.
Optionally, the risk levels are level i, level ii, level iii and level iv in sequence from high to low, and the determining of the risk level of the safety production risk according to each of the risk levels includes: under the condition that the number of the maximum risk grades is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk grade is grade II, the risk grade of the safety production risk is grade I, and the maximum risk grade is the highest grade in the risk grades corresponding to the risk indexes; under the condition that the number of the maximum risk grades is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk grade is grade III, the risk grade of the safety production risk is grade II; and under the condition that the number of the maximum risk grades is less than 3 or the maximum risk grade is grade I or grade IV, the risk grade of the safety production risk is the maximum risk grade.
According to another aspect of the embodiments of the present invention, there is also provided an evaluation apparatus for a risk of safety production, including: the first determining unit is used for determining risk indexes according to the operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index; the second determining unit is used for determining the corresponding risk grade according to the risk index; and the third determining unit is used for determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level.
According to still another aspect of embodiments of the present invention, there is also provided a computer-readable storage medium including a stored program, wherein the program executes any one of the methods.
According to another aspect of the embodiments of the present invention, there is also provided a processor, configured to execute a program, where the program executes any one of the methods.
According to still another aspect of the embodiments of the present invention, there is also provided a risk assessment system, including a safety production risk assessment device, configured to execute any one of the methods.
In the embodiment of the present invention, in the method for evaluating a safety production risk, first, a risk index is determined according to operation data, where the risk index includes a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index, and an environmental risk index, then, a corresponding risk level is determined according to the risk index, and finally, a risk level of a safety production risk is determined according to each risk level. According to the assessment method, the risks in four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index are considered, and the risk level of the safety production risk is obtained, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately assess the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the assessment method has a great reference value for the management of the safety production.
Drawings
The accompanying drawings, which are incorporated in and constitute a part of this application, illustrate embodiments of the application and, together with the description, serve to explain the application and are not intended to limit the application. In the drawings:
FIG. 1 shows a flow diagram of a method of assessing a risk of a safe production according to an embodiment of the present application;
fig. 2 shows a schematic view of an apparatus for assessing a risk of a safe production according to an embodiment of the present application.
Detailed Description
It should be noted that the embodiments and features of the embodiments in the present application may be combined with each other without conflict. The present application will be described in detail below with reference to the embodiments with reference to the attached drawings.
In order to make the technical solutions better understood by those skilled in the art, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present application, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only partial embodiments of the present application, but not all embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present application.
It should be noted that the terms "first," "second," and the like in the description and claims of this application and in the drawings described above are used for distinguishing between similar elements and not necessarily for describing a particular sequential or chronological order. It should be understood that the data so used may be interchanged under appropriate circumstances such that embodiments of the application described herein may be used. Furthermore, the terms "comprises," "comprising," and "having," and any variations thereof, are intended to cover a non-exclusive inclusion, such that a process, method, system, article, or apparatus that comprises a list of steps or elements is not necessarily limited to those steps or elements expressly listed, but may include other steps or elements not expressly listed or inherent to such process, method, article, or apparatus.
It will be understood that when an element such as a layer, film, region, or substrate is referred to as being "on" another element, it can be directly on the other element or intervening elements may also be present. Also, in the specification and claims, when an element is described as being "connected" to another element, the element may be "directly connected" to the other element or "connected" to the other element through a third element.
As mentioned in the background of the invention, in order to solve the above-mentioned problems, in the prior art, a method, an apparatus, a computer-readable storage medium, a processor, and a risk assessment system for assessing a risk of a safe production are provided.
According to an embodiment of the present application, there is provided a method for assessing a risk of a safe production.
Fig. 1 is a flowchart of a method for assessing risk of safe production according to an embodiment of the present application. As shown in fig. 1, the method comprises the steps of:
step S101, determining risk indexes according to operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index;
step S102, determining a corresponding risk grade according to the risk index;
and step S103, determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level.
According to the method for evaluating the safety production risk, firstly, a risk index is determined according to operation data, wherein the risk index comprises a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index, then, a corresponding risk grade is determined according to the risk index, and finally, the risk grade of the safety production risk is determined according to each risk grade. According to the assessment method, the risks in four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index are considered, and the risk level of the safety production risk is obtained, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately assess the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the assessment method has a great reference value for the management of the safety production.
It should be noted that, by effectively implementing the management of the risk index of the safety production, the method further improves the management and control effect of the five-dimensional safety risk, continuously enriches the connotation of the management work of the safety production risk, further promotes the enhancement of the foundation of the management work of the safety production, improves the management capability, standardizes the management work and integrates the management resources, visually describes the overall situation of the safety production work, accurately reflects the comprehensive indexes of the influence degree of various influencing factors on the safety production in a certain period, is used for guiding each unit, each professional and each level of personnel to purposefully and pertinently develop the management activities, realizes more active, more comprehensive, more effective and more thorough management and control on the factors damaging the safety production, and really realizes the controllable and controllable safety production.
It should also be noted that the steps illustrated in the flowcharts of the figures may be performed in a computer system such as a set of computer-executable instructions and that, although a logical order is illustrated in the flowcharts, in some cases, the steps illustrated or described may be performed in an order different than presented herein.
In one embodiment of the present application, determining a risk index from operational data includes: determining the score of each influence factor according to the operation data corresponding to each influence factor, wherein the influence factors are influence factors corresponding to the risk index; and calculating the risk index according to the score. Specifically, full score values of the influence factors are set according to the weight of the influence factors on the risk, corresponding score values are determined according to the operation data corresponding to the influence factors, and finally the risk index can be obtained by summing the score values of all the influence factors.
In an embodiment of the application, the operation data includes first operation data, second operation data, third operation data, and fourth operation data, where the first operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the safety management risk index, the second operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the grid risk index, the third operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the equipment risk index, and the fourth operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the environmental risk index. Specifically, the score of each influence factor is determined according to the operation data corresponding to the influence factor corresponding to the first operation data, for example, the first operation data includes risk control single data, the full score corresponding to the risk control single data is 4 scores, four or more risk control single data are incorrect or not real to the post to the position 4 scores, three risk control single data are incorrect to the position 3 scores, two risk control single data are incorrect or not real to the post to the position 2 scores, one risk control single data are incorrect to the position 1 score, the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the first operation data is a safety management risk index, similarly, the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the second operation data is a power grid risk index, the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the third operation data is an equipment risk index, and the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the fourth operation data is an environment risk index.
It should be noted that, preferably, the risk index is adjusted by an adjustment factor to further improve the accuracy of the evaluation, for example, the equipment risk index may be adjusted by an importance adjustment factor, the environmental risk index may be adjusted by an importance adjustment factor and a voltage level adjustment factor, for example, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 1-2 or the equipment that performs a special political power supply task takes 1.2, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 3-4 or the equipment that performs a first political power supply task takes 1.1, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 5 or the equipment that performs a second political power supply task takes 1.0, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 6 or the equipment that performs a third political power supply task takes 0.9, the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 500 kv was taken as 1.2, the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 220 kv was taken as 1.1, the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 110 kv was taken as 1.0, and the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 35 kv was taken as 0.9.
In an embodiment of the present application, determining a corresponding risk level according to the risk index includes: determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is I grade under the condition that the first risk index is greater than or equal to 80; determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is grade II under the condition that the first risk index is greater than or equal to 60 and less than 80; determining that the first risk index determines that the corresponding risk grade is grade III under the condition that the first risk index is greater than or equal to 40 and less than 60; and under the condition that the first risk index is smaller than 40, determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is IV grade, wherein the first risk index comprises the safety management risk index and the power grid risk index. Specifically, the full score of the risk index is 100, the risk levels are divided according to the score intervals, and the corresponding risk levels can be determined according to the safety management risk index and the power grid risk index, for example, the safety management risk index is 90, the risk level corresponding to the safety management risk index is level i, the power grid risk index is 50, and the risk level corresponding to the power grid risk index is level iii.
In an embodiment of the present application, determining a corresponding risk level according to the risk index further includes: determining a risk level of each power grid device according to a risk index corresponding to the power grid device, wherein the risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices include a second risk index and a third risk index, the second risk index includes the device risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices, and the third risk index includes the environmental risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices; calculating to obtain a unit risk index according to the number of the power grid equipment corresponding to each risk level and an adjusting coefficient, wherein the adjusting coefficient is determined according to the operation data; and determining the risk grade corresponding to the risk index according to the unit risk index. Specifically, the power grid equipment comprises a transformer substation, a power transmission line, an opening and closing station and a power distribution line, and the unit risk index corresponding to the equipment risk index comprises a first unit risk index F1Second unit risk index F2Third unit risk index F3And a fourth unit risk index F4，F1＝T1×(ZⅠ/Zn+XⅠ/Xn+PZⅠ/PZn+PXⅠ/PXn)，F2＝T1×(ZⅡ/Zn+XⅡ/Xn+PZⅡ/PZn+PXⅡ/PXn)，F3＝T1×(ZⅢ/Zn+XⅢ/Xn+PZⅢ/PZn+PXⅢ/PXn)，F4＝T1×(ZⅣ/Zn+XⅣ/Xn+PZⅣ/PZn+PXⅣ/PXn) The unit risk index corresponding to the environmental risk index comprises a fifth unit risk index F5Sixth unit risk index F6Seventh Unit Risk index F7And an eighth unit risk index F8，F5＝T2×(ZⅠ/Zn+XⅠ/Xn)，F6＝T2×(ZⅡ/Zn+XⅡ/Xn)，F7＝T2×(ZⅢ/Zn+XⅢ/Xn)，F8＝T2×(ZⅣ/Zn+XⅣ/Xn) Wherein, T1Adjusting the coefficients for device management, T2Adjusting the coefficients for environmental management, ZⅠFor substation number with risk class I, ZⅡFor the number of substation stations with risk class II, ZⅢFor the number of stations with risk class III, ZⅣFor the number of substation stations with risk class IV, ZnFor the total station number, X, of the substations in the jurisdictionⅠFor transmission lines with a risk level of I, XⅡFor transmission lines with risk class II, XⅢFor transmission lines with risk class III, XⅣFor transmission lines with risk class IV, XnFor the number of transmission lines in the jurisdiction, PZⅠFor stations with risk class I, PZⅡFor number of stations, PZ, with risk class IIⅢFor number of stations with risk class III, PZⅣFor number of stations with risk class IV, PZnFor the total number of stations, PX, in the jurisdictionⅠFor number of distribution lines with risk level I, PXⅡFor number of distribution lines with risk class II, PXⅢFor number of distribution lines with risk class III, PXⅣFor distribution lines with a risk rating of IV, PXnThe number of distribution lines in the jurisdiction.
In a specific embodiment of the present application, determining the risk level corresponding to the risk index according to the unit risk index includes: at a first unit risk index F1Greater than or equal to 20% or a second unit risk index F2Determining the risk grade of the equipment risk index as grade I under the condition of being more than or equal to 40 percent, and determining the first unit risk index F1Less than 20% or a second unit risk index F2Determining the risk grade of the equipment risk index to be II grade under the condition that the risk grade is greater than or equal to 20% and less than 40%, and determining the risk grade to be II grade under the condition that the risk grade is second unit risk index F2Less than 20% or a third unit risk index F3Greater than or equal to 30% or a fourth unit risk index F4Determining the risk grade of the equipment risk index to be grade III under the condition of being more than or equal to 40 percent, and determining the third unit risk index F3Less than 30% or a fourth unit risk index F4And in the case of less than 40%, determining the risk grade of the equipment risk index as grade IV.
In another specific embodiment of the present application, determining the risk level corresponding to the risk index according to the unit risk index includes: at a fifth Unit Risk index F5Greater than or equal to 20% or a sixth unit risk index F6Determining the risk grade of the environmental risk index as grade I under the condition of 40% or more, and determining the risk grade of the environmental risk index as grade I under the condition of a fifth unit risk index F5Less than 20% or a sixth unit risk index F6Determining the risk grade of the environmental risk index as grade II under the condition of more than or equal to 20% and less than 40%, and determining the risk grade as grade II under the condition of sixth unit risk index F6Less than 20% or a seventh unit risk index F7Greater than or equal to 30% or an eighth unit risk index F8Determining environmental risk when greater than or equal to 40% of the total number of the remaining unitsThe risk grade of the numbers is grade III, at the seventh unit risk index F7Less than 30% or an eighth unit risk index F8Less than 40%, the risk rating of the environmental risk index is determined to be class iv.
In an embodiment of the present application, the risk levels are level i, level ii, level iii, and level iv in sequence from high to low, and the risk level of the safety production risk is determined according to each of the risk levels, including: when the number of the maximum risk grades is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk grade is grade II, the risk grade of the safety production risk is grade I, and the maximum risk grade is the highest grade in the risk grades corresponding to the risk indexes; under the condition that the number of the maximum risk grades is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk grade is grade III, the risk grade of the safety production risk is grade II; in the case where the number of the maximum risk levels is less than 3 or the above maximum risk level is level i or level iv, the risk level of the safety production risk is the above maximum risk level. Specifically, the method determines the risk level of the safety production risk according to the judgment principle according to the risk level conditions corresponding to the 4 risk indexes, and further improves the accuracy of risk level evaluation.
The embodiment of the present application further provides an evaluation apparatus for a risk of safety production, and it should be noted that the evaluation apparatus for a risk of safety production of the embodiment of the present application may be used to execute the evaluation method for a risk of safety production provided by the embodiment of the present application. The following describes an evaluation device for a risk of safe production provided by an embodiment of the present application.
Fig. 2 is a schematic diagram of an evaluation device for risk of safety production according to an embodiment of the present application. As shown in fig. 2, the apparatus includes:
a first determining unit 10, configured to determine a risk index according to the operation data, where the risk index includes a security management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index, and an environment risk index;
a second determining unit 20, configured to determine a corresponding risk level according to the risk index;
a third determining unit 30 for determining a risk level of the safety production risk based on each of the above risk levels.
In the safety production risk assessment device, a first determination unit determines risk indexes according to operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index, a second determination unit determines corresponding risk levels according to the risk indexes, and a third determination unit determines the risk levels of safety production risks according to the risk levels. The evaluation device considers the risks of four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index, and obtains the risk level of the safety production risk, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately evaluate the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the evaluation device has great reference value for the management of the safety production.
It should be noted that, by effectively implementing the management of the risk index of the safety production, the method further improves the management and control effect of the five-dimensional safety risk, continuously enriches the connotation of the management work of the safety production risk, further promotes the enhancement of the foundation of the management work of the safety production, improves the management capability, standardizes the management work and integrates the management resources, visually describes the overall situation of the safety production work, accurately reflects the comprehensive indexes of the influence degree of various influencing factors on the safety production in a certain period, is used for guiding each unit, each professional and each level of personnel to purposefully and pertinently develop the management activities, realizes more active, more comprehensive, more effective and more thorough management and control on the factors damaging the safety production, and really realizes the controllable and controllable safety production.
In an embodiment of the present application, the first determining unit includes a first determining module and a first calculating module, where the first determining module is configured to determine a score of each of the influencing factors according to the operating data corresponding to each of the influencing factors, and the influencing factor is an influencing factor corresponding to the risk index; the first calculation module is used for calculating the risk index according to the score. Specifically, full score values of the influence factors are set according to the weight of the influence factors on the risk, corresponding score values are determined according to the operation data corresponding to the influence factors, and finally the risk index can be obtained by summing the score values of all the influence factors.
In an embodiment of the application, the operation data includes first operation data, second operation data, third operation data, and fourth operation data, where the first operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the safety management risk index, the second operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the grid risk index, the third operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the equipment risk index, and the fourth operation data is the operation data corresponding to the influence factor of the environmental risk index. Specifically, the score of each influence factor is determined according to the operation data corresponding to the influence factor corresponding to the first operation data, for example, the first operation data includes risk control single data, the full score corresponding to the risk control single data is 4 scores, four or more risk control single data are incorrect or not real to the post to the position 4 scores, three risk control single data are incorrect to the position 3 scores, two risk control single data are incorrect or not real to the post to the position 2 scores, one risk control single data are incorrect to the position 1 score, the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the first operation data is a safety management risk index, similarly, the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the second operation data is a power grid risk index, the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the third operation data is an equipment risk index, and the sum of the corresponding scores determined by the fourth operation data is an environment risk index.
It should be noted that, preferably, the risk index is adjusted by an adjustment factor to further improve the accuracy of the evaluation, for example, the equipment risk index may be adjusted by an importance adjustment factor, the environmental risk index may be adjusted by an importance adjustment factor and a voltage level adjustment factor, for example, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 1-2 or the equipment that performs a special political power supply task takes 1.2, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 3-4 or the equipment that performs a first political power supply task takes 1.1, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 5 or the equipment that performs a second political power supply task takes 1.0, the importance adjustment factor corresponding to the equipment that may cause an event of level 6 or the equipment that performs a third political power supply task takes 0.9, the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 500 kv was taken as 1.2, the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 220 kv was taken as 1.1, the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 110 kv was taken as 1.0, and the voltage class adjustment coefficient corresponding to a device with a voltage class of 35 kv was taken as 0.9.
In an embodiment of the present application, the second determining unit includes a second determining module, a third determining module, a fourth determining module, and a fifth determining module, where the second determining module is configured to determine that the first risk index determines that the corresponding risk level is level i when the first risk index is greater than or equal to 80; the third determining module is configured to determine that the first risk index determines that the corresponding risk level is level ii when the first risk index is greater than or equal to 60 and less than 80; the fourth determining module is configured to determine that the first risk index determines that the corresponding risk level is level iii when the first risk index is greater than or equal to 40 and less than 60; the fifth determining module is configured to determine that the first risk index determines that the corresponding risk level is level iv when the first risk index is smaller than 40, where the first risk index includes the safety management risk index and the grid risk index. Specifically, the full score of the risk index is 100, the risk levels are divided according to the score intervals, and the corresponding risk levels can be determined according to the safety management risk index and the power grid risk index, for example, the safety management risk index is 90, the risk level corresponding to the safety management risk index is level i, the power grid risk index is 50, and the risk level corresponding to the power grid risk index is level iii.
In an embodiment of the application, the second determining unit further includes a fifth determining module, a second calculating module and a sixth determining module, wherein the fifth determining module is configured to determine the second determination value according to the electricityDetermining a risk level of each power grid device according to a risk index corresponding to the power grid device, wherein the risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices include a second risk index and a third risk index, the second risk index includes the device risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices, and the third risk index includes the environment risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices; the second calculation module is configured to calculate a unit risk index according to the number of the power grid devices corresponding to each risk level and an adjustment coefficient, where the adjustment coefficient is determined according to the operation data; the sixth determining module is configured to determine a risk level corresponding to the risk index according to the unit risk index. Specifically, the power grid equipment comprises a transformer substation, a power transmission line, an opening and closing station and a power distribution line, and the unit risk index corresponding to the equipment risk index comprises a first unit risk index F1Second unit risk index F2Third unit risk index F3And a fourth unit risk index F4，F1＝T1×(ZⅠ/Zn+XⅠ/Xn+PZⅠ/PZn+PXⅠ/PXn)，F2＝T1×(ZⅡ/Zn+XⅡ/Xn+PZⅡ/PZn+PXⅡ/PXn)，F3＝T1×(ZⅢ/Zn+XⅢ/Xn+PZⅢ/PZn+PXⅢ/PXn)，F4＝T1×(ZⅣ/Zn+XⅣ/Xn+PZⅣ/PZn+PXⅣ/PXn) The unit risk index corresponding to the environmental risk index comprises a fifth unit risk index F5Sixth unit risk index F6Seventh Unit Risk index F7And an eighth unit risk index F8，F5＝T2×(ZⅠ/Zn+XⅠ/Xn)，F6＝T2×(ZⅡ/Zn+XⅡ/Xn)，F7＝T2×(ZⅢ/Zn+XⅢ/Xn)，F8＝T2×(ZⅣ/Zn+XⅣ/Xn) Wherein, T1Adjusting the coefficients for device management, T2Adjusting the coefficients for environmental management, ZⅠFor substation number with risk class I, ZⅡFor the number of substation stations with risk class II, ZⅢFor the number of stations with risk class III, ZⅣFor the number of substation stations with risk class IV, ZnFor the total station number, X, of the substations in the jurisdictionⅠFor transmission lines with a risk level of I, XⅡFor transmission lines with risk class II, XⅢFor transmission lines with risk class III, XⅣFor transmission lines with risk class IV, XnFor the number of transmission lines in the jurisdiction, PZⅠFor stations with risk class I, PZⅡFor number of stations, PZ, with risk class IIⅢFor number of stations with risk class III, PZⅣFor number of stations with risk class IV, PZnFor the total number of stations, PX, in the jurisdictionⅠFor number of distribution lines with risk level I, PXⅡFor number of distribution lines with risk class II, PXⅢFor number of distribution lines with risk class III, PXⅣFor distribution lines with a risk rating of IV, PXnThe number of distribution lines in the jurisdiction.
In a specific embodiment of the present application, the sixth determining module includes a first determining submodule, a second determining submodule, a third determining submodule and a fourth determining submodule, wherein the first determining submodule is used for determining the first unit risk index F1Greater than or equal to 20% or a second unit risk index F2And if the risk level is greater than or equal to 40%, determining the risk level of the equipment risk index as I level, wherein the second determining submodule is used for determining the first unit risk index F1Less than 20% or a second unit risk index F2When the content is more than or equal to 20% and less than 40%, it is confirmedThe risk grade of the equipment risk index is set as II grade, and the third determining submodule is used for determining the second unit risk index F2Less than 20% or a third unit risk index F3Greater than or equal to 30% or a fourth unit risk index F4And if the risk level is greater than or equal to 40%, determining the risk level of the equipment risk index as level III, wherein the fourth determining submodule is used for determining the third unit risk index F3Less than 30% or a fourth unit risk index F4And in the case of less than 40%, determining the risk grade of the equipment risk index as grade IV.
In another specific embodiment of the present application, the sixth determining module includes a fifth determining submodule, a sixth determining submodule, a seventh determining submodule and an eighth determining submodule, wherein the fifth determining submodule is configured to determine the unit risk index F according to the unit risk index F5Greater than or equal to 20% or a sixth unit risk index F6In the case of 40% or more, the risk classification of the environmental risk index is determined as class I, and the sixth determining submodule is configured to determine the risk classification of the environmental risk index as class I in the case of the fifth unit risk index F5Less than 20% or a sixth unit risk index F6And in the case that the risk level of the environmental risk index is greater than or equal to 20% and less than 40%, determining the risk level of the environmental risk index as level II, wherein the seventh determining submodule is used for determining the risk level of the environmental risk index as level II in the case of the sixth unit risk index F6Less than 20% or a seventh unit risk index F7Greater than or equal to 30% or an eighth unit risk index F8In the case of 40% or more, the risk class of the environmental risk index is determined to be class III, and the eighth determination submodule is configured to determine the risk class of the environmental risk index as class III based on the seventh unit risk index F7Less than 30% or an eighth unit risk index F8Less than 40%, the risk rating of the environmental risk index is determined to be class iv.
In an embodiment of the application, the risk levels are level i, level ii, level iii and level iv in sequence from high to low, and the third determining unit includes a seventh determining module, an eighth determining module and a ninth determining module, where the seventh determining module is configured to determine that the risk level of the safety production risk is level i when the number of the maximum risk levels is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk level is level ii, and the maximum risk level is the highest level of the risk levels corresponding to the risk index; the eighth determining module is configured to determine that the risk level of the safety production risk is level ii when the number of the maximum risk levels is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk level is level iii; the ninth determining module is configured to determine the risk level of the safety production risk as the maximum risk level if the number of the maximum risk levels is less than 3 or the maximum risk level is level i or level iv. Specifically, the device determines the risk level of the safety production risk according to the judgment principle according to the risk level conditions corresponding to the 4 risk indexes, and further improves the accuracy of risk level evaluation.
The embodiment of the application also provides a risk assessment system, which comprises a safety production risk assessment device, wherein the safety production risk assessment device is used for executing any one of the methods.
The risk evaluation system comprises an evaluation device for the safety production risk, wherein a first determination unit determines a risk index according to operation data, the risk index comprises a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index, a second determination unit determines a corresponding risk grade according to the risk index, and a third determination unit determines the risk grade of the safety production risk according to each risk grade. The evaluation device considers the risks of four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index, and obtains the risk level of the safety production risk, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately evaluate the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the evaluation device has great reference value for the management of the safety production.
The evaluation device for the safety production risk comprises a processor and a memory, wherein the first determination unit, the second determination unit, the third determination unit and the like are stored in the memory as program units, and the processor executes the program units stored in the memory to realize corresponding functions.
The processor comprises a kernel, and the kernel calls the corresponding program unit from the memory. The kernel can be set to be one or more than one, and the problem that the safety production risk cannot be comprehensively and accurately evaluated in the prior art is solved by adjusting the kernel parameters.
The memory may include volatile memory in a computer readable medium, Random Access Memory (RAM) and/or nonvolatile memory such as Read Only Memory (ROM) or flash memory (flash RAM), and the memory includes at least one memory chip.
An embodiment of the present invention provides a computer-readable storage medium on which a program is stored, which when executed by a processor implements the above-described method.
The embodiment of the invention provides a processor, which is used for running a program, wherein the method is executed when the program runs.
The embodiment of the invention provides equipment, which comprises a processor, a memory and a program which is stored on the memory and can run on the processor, wherein when the processor executes the program, at least the following steps are realized:
step S101, determining risk indexes according to operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index;
step S102, determining a corresponding risk grade according to the risk index;
and step S103, determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level.
The device herein may be a server, a PC, a PAD, a mobile phone, etc.
The present application further provides a computer program product adapted to perform a program of initializing at least the following method steps when executed on a data processing device:
step S101, determining risk indexes according to operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index;
step S102, determining a corresponding risk grade according to the risk index;
and step S103, determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level.
In the above embodiments of the present invention, the descriptions of the respective embodiments have respective emphasis, and for parts that are not described in detail in a certain embodiment, reference may be made to related descriptions of other embodiments.
In the embodiments provided in the present application, it should be understood that the disclosed technology can be implemented in other ways. The above-described embodiments of the apparatus are merely illustrative, and for example, the above-described division of the units may be a logical division, and in actual implementation, there may be another division, for example, multiple units or components may be combined or may be integrated into another system, or some features may be omitted, or not executed. In addition, the shown or discussed mutual coupling or direct coupling or communication connection may be an indirect coupling or communication connection through some interfaces, units or modules, and may be in an electrical or other form.
The units described as separate parts may or may not be physically separate, and parts displayed as units may or may not be physical units, may be located in one place, or may be distributed on a plurality of units. Some or all of the units can be selected according to actual needs to achieve the purpose of the solution of the embodiment.
In addition, functional units in the embodiments of the present invention may be integrated into one processing unit, or each unit may exist alone physically, or two or more units are integrated into one unit. The integrated unit can be realized in a form of hardware, and can also be realized in a form of a software functional unit.
The integrated unit may be stored in a computer-readable storage medium if it is implemented in the form of a software functional unit and sold or used as a separate product. Based on such understanding, the technical solution of the present invention may be embodied in the form of a software product, which is stored in a computer-readable storage medium and includes several instructions for causing a computer device (which may be a personal computer, a server, or a network device) to execute all or part of the steps of the method according to the embodiments of the present invention. And the aforementioned computer-readable storage media comprise: a U-disk, a Read-Only Memory (ROM), a Random Access Memory (RAM), a removable hard disk, a magnetic or optical disk, and other various media capable of storing program codes.
From the above description, it can be seen that the above-described embodiments of the present application achieve the following technical effects:
1) according to the method for evaluating the safety production risk, firstly, a risk index is determined according to operation data, wherein the risk index comprises a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index, then, a corresponding risk grade is determined according to the risk index, and finally, the risk grade of the safety production risk is determined according to each risk grade. According to the assessment method, the risks in four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index are considered, and the risk level of the safety production risk is obtained, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately assess the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the assessment method has a great reference value for the management of the safety production.
2) In the safety production risk assessment device, the first determination unit determines risk indexes according to operation data, the risk indexes comprise safety management risk indexes, power grid risk indexes, equipment risk indexes and environment risk indexes, the second determination unit determines corresponding risk levels according to the risk indexes, and the third determination unit determines the risk levels of safety production risks according to the risk levels. The evaluation device considers the risks of four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index, and obtains the risk level of the safety production risk, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately evaluate the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the evaluation device has great reference value for the management of the safety production.
3) The risk assessment system comprises an assessment device for the safety production risk, a first determination unit determines risk indexes according to operation data, the risk indexes comprise safety management risk indexes, power grid risk indexes, equipment risk indexes and environment risk indexes, a second determination unit determines corresponding risk levels according to the risk indexes, and a third determination unit determines the risk levels of the safety production risk according to the risk levels. The evaluation device considers the risks of four aspects corresponding to the safety management risk index, the power grid risk index, the equipment risk index and the environment risk index, and obtains the risk level of the safety production risk, so that related personnel can comprehensively and accurately evaluate the safety production risk according to the risk level, and the evaluation device has great reference value for the management of the safety production.
The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present application and is not intended to limit the present application, and various modifications and changes may be made by those skilled in the art. Any modification, equivalent replacement, improvement and the like made within the spirit and principle of the present application shall be included in the protection scope of the present application.

Claims (10)

1. A method for assessing a risk of a safe production, comprising:
determining risk indexes according to the operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index;
determining a corresponding risk grade according to the risk index;
and determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein determining a risk index from the operational data comprises:
determining the score of each influence factor according to the operation data corresponding to each influence factor, wherein the influence factors are influence factors corresponding to the risk index;
and calculating the risk index according to the score.
3. The method of claim 2, wherein the operational data comprises first operational data, second operational data, third operational data, and fourth operational data, the first operational data being the operational data corresponding to the impact factor of the safety management risk index, the second operational data being the operational data corresponding to the impact factor of the grid risk index, the third operational data being the operational data corresponding to the impact factor of the equipment risk index, and the fourth operational data being the operational data corresponding to the impact factor of the environmental risk index.
4. The method of claim 1, wherein determining a corresponding risk level based on the risk index comprises:
determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is I grade under the condition that the first risk index is greater than or equal to 80;
determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is grade II under the condition that the first risk index is greater than or equal to 60 and less than 80;
determining that the first risk index determines that the corresponding risk grade is grade III if the first risk index is greater than or equal to 40 and less than 60;
and under the condition that the first risk index is smaller than 40, determining that the corresponding risk grade of the first risk index is IV grade, wherein the first risk index comprises the safety management risk index and the power grid risk index.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein determining a corresponding risk level based on the risk index further comprises:
determining a risk grade of each power grid device according to a risk index corresponding to the power grid device, wherein the risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices comprise a second risk index and a third risk index, the second risk index comprises the device risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices, and the third risk index comprises the environment risk indexes corresponding to the plurality of power grid devices;
calculating to obtain a unit risk index according to the number of the power grid equipment corresponding to each risk level and an adjusting coefficient, wherein the adjusting coefficient is determined according to the operation data;
and determining the risk grade corresponding to the risk index according to the unit risk index.
6. The method of claim 1, wherein the risk levels are level i, level ii, level iii and level iv in sequence from high to low, and determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each of the risk levels comprises:
under the condition that the number of the maximum risk grades is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk grade is grade II, the risk grade of the safety production risk is grade I, and the maximum risk grade is the highest grade in the risk grades corresponding to the risk indexes;
under the condition that the number of the maximum risk grades is greater than or equal to 3 and the maximum risk grade is grade III, the risk grade of the safety production risk is grade II;
and under the condition that the number of the maximum risk grades is less than 3 or the maximum risk grade is grade I or grade IV, the risk grade of the safety production risk is the maximum risk grade.
7. An evaluation device for a risk of a safe production, comprising:
the first determining unit is used for determining risk indexes according to the operation data, wherein the risk indexes comprise a safety management risk index, a power grid risk index, an equipment risk index and an environment risk index;
the second determining unit is used for determining the corresponding risk grade according to the risk index;
and the third determining unit is used for determining the risk level of the safety production risk according to each risk level.
8. A computer-readable storage medium, characterized in that the computer-readable storage medium comprises a stored program, wherein the program performs the method of any one of claims 1 to 6.
9. A processor, characterized in that the processor is configured to run a program, wherein the program when running performs the method of any of claims 1 to 6.
10. A risk assessment system comprising means for assessing a risk of a safe production, characterized in that said means for assessing a risk of a safe production are adapted to perform the method of any one of claims 1 to 6.
CN202011323893.5A 2020-11-23 2020-11-23 Safety production risk assessment method and device, processor and risk assessment system Pending CN112308460A (en)

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