WO2020211845A1 - Safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method - Google Patents

Safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2020211845A1
WO2020211845A1 PCT/CN2020/085369 CN2020085369W WO2020211845A1 WO 2020211845 A1 WO2020211845 A1 WO 2020211845A1 CN 2020085369 W CN2020085369 W CN 2020085369W WO 2020211845 A1 WO2020211845 A1 WO 2020211845A1
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safety
event
level
events
tree
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PCT/CN2020/085369
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French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
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张伟
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深圳市德塔防爆电动汽车有限公司
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06FELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F30/00Computer-aided design [CAD]
    • G06F30/10Geometric CAD
    • G06F30/15Vehicle, aircraft or watercraft design

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  • the invention relates to a transportation tool, and more specifically, to an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model.
  • electric vehicles generally have electrical systems as high as hundreds of volts, which exceeds the safe voltage range of DC. If reasonable design and protection are not carried out, high voltage safety problems such as electric shocks may be caused.
  • electric vehicles include multiple components such as steering systems, braking systems, and safety control systems, and each component includes multiple components. The failure or malfunction of any component may cause the entire vehicle to lose control or malfunction, thereby causing the driver or passenger to encounter danger.
  • methods for the safety management and control of electric vehicles that can combine systematic and effective theoretical analysis and engineering experience; and methods to quantitatively describe the safety status of the entire vehicle and accurately reflect the safety characteristics of each system.
  • the technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model in view of the above-mentioned defects of the prior art.
  • the technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve its technical problems is: constructing an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model, including:
  • S1 Construct a security tree, the security tree including multiple bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and the logical causality and safety importance between the bottom-level events, the middle-level events, and the top-level events;
  • the step S3 further includes:
  • the step S3 further includes:
  • the step S1 further includes:
  • the step S13 further includes:
  • S132 Use different analysis methods to analyze the vehicle safety failure data of the first failure category, the second failure category, the third failure category, and the fourth failure category to determine the electric vehicle
  • the hierarchical relationship between the safety fault data determines the logical causality and safety importance among the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event, and the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event;
  • the step S2 further includes
  • the step S21 includes:
  • S211 Collect the fault data of the intermediate event of the electric vehicle and perform statistical decoupling, analyze the existing parameter deviation for the dynamic change of the operating parameter of the electric vehicle; compare the parameter deviation and the sudden change in the fault data Sending a failure alarm event as the original frequency data of the middle-level event;
  • the step S22 includes: collecting statistics on the frequency data of standardized intermediate events at all levels in the field application, testing, and inspection scenarios, and calculating the corresponding The probability of the underlying event.
  • the occurrence probability of the top-level event is calculated through the occurrence frequency statistics and distribution of intermediate events and the risk value of each intermediate event
  • the Bayes algorithm is used to calculate the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event.
  • Another technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve its technical problems is to construct a computer-readable storage medium on which a computer program is stored.
  • the program is executed by a processor, the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety is realized. Design optimization methods.
  • the implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method and computer-readable storage medium of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree, and by mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, some typical problems can be found Potential safety hazards and irrationality of design and production, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for optimizing safety design of electric vehicles based on a safety tree model according to a first preferred embodiment of the present invention
  • FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of a method for optimizing safety design of electric vehicles based on a safety tree model according to a second preferred embodiment of the present invention
  • FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram of the classification of the entire vehicle safety failure data of the safety tree model-based optimization method for the safety design of electric vehicles according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention
  • 4a-4c are schematic diagrams of partial safety trees of the safety tree model-based optimization method for safety design of electric vehicles according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention.
  • the present invention relates to an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model, including: S1. Building a safety tree, the safety tree including a plurality of bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and the bottom-level events, the middle-level events Level events, the logical causality between the top-level events and the degree of safety importance; S2. Sort the safety importance of each bottom-level event based on the safety tree; S3. Sort the safety based on the safety importance of the bottom-level event A branch with a high probability of occurrence in the tree performs fault reconstruction analysis, and based on the analysis result, the probability of occurrence of the underlying event in the branch is reduced.
  • the implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree. By mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, the safety hazards of certain typical problems and the design and production problems can be found. Unreasonable, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
  • the safety tree of electric vehicles is a systematic method to comprehensively solve the safety problems of electric vehicles. It is constructed by establishing a related logic system through top-level events, bottom-level events, related logic and data, and constructing through vehicle safety requirements analysis and vehicle system
  • the safety event model establishes a tree diagram, which is a description of the logical relationship between different levels of events in the vehicle, and graphical representation and qualitative description of multiple subsystems or components such as the braking system, steering system, and body parts.
  • the safety tree focuses on real events, tracking and penetrating the system to set barriers, and modular and open system design.
  • the safety importance of the safety tree is the main measure for quantitative analysis and evaluation of the importance of the impact of the bottom-level events on the top-level events, which reflects the weight of the impact of each bottom-level event on the safety of the entire vehicle.
  • the safety importance of the safety tree includes the probability of each bottom-level event, the differentiation of each intermediate event, and the risk degree factor of each top-level event, and is the magnitude of the impact of each bottom-level event on each top-level event Quantitative evaluation.
  • the importance of safety represents the safety weight of each underlying event of an electric vehicle.
  • bottom-level events can be understood as basic faults
  • top-level events can be understood as surface faults.
  • Fig. 1 is a schematic flow chart of an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model according to a first preferred embodiment of the present invention.
  • a security tree is constructed.
  • the safety tree includes multiple bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and logical causality and safety importance between the bottom-level events, the middle-level events, and the top-level events.
  • any known method can be used to construct the security tree, or an existing security tree can be used.
  • the step of constructing a safety tree includes: collecting vehicle safety failure data of electric vehicles; mapping the vehicle safety failure data to different safety event groups, and calculating each Safety event group frequency data; using a joint analysis method to classify the vehicle safety failure data in each safety event group to construct a safety tree.
  • the step of collecting safety failure data of the entire vehicle of the electric vehicle may further include transmitting data in the entire vehicle controller, safety controller, and driving recorder of the electric vehicle through the CAN bus.
  • To the platform database then obtain the vehicle safety failure data of the electric vehicle from the data.
  • the vehicle safety failure data can be mapped into multiple subsystems or components such as brake systems, steering systems, and body parts, so that the vehicle safety failure data can be included in different groups according to the principle of mapping classification. Among them, and count the batches of each security event group.
  • the vehicle safety failure data can be mapped to structural safety events, electrical safety events, functional logic safety events, collision safety events, thermal safety events, and explosion-proof events.
  • the basic event probability can be obtained as structural safety events 30%, electrical safety events 10%, functional logic safety events 20%, collision safety events 5%, thermal safety events 5%, 8% of explosion-proof safety incidents, 9% of operation and maintenance safety incidents, 8% of environmental safety incidents, and 5% of life-cycle safety incidents.
  • the above-mentioned inductive analysis process can use various methods known in the art, or use known methods to calculate the probability of each safety event group accounting for all safety failures, or use the respective measurement and collection experience data of electric vehicle manufacturers.
  • the step of using a joint analysis method to classify the safety failure data of the entire vehicle in each safety event group to construct a safety tree further includes: dividing the safety failure data of the entire vehicle at least Divided into the first fault category, the second fault category, the third fault category and the fourth fault category; using different analysis methods to analyze the first fault category, the second fault category, the third fault category and the The vehicle safety failure data of the fourth failure category to determine the hierarchical relationship between the electric vehicle safety failure data to determine the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event, as well as the bottom-level event and the middle-level event , Logical causality and safety importance between the top-level events; establishing fault causality layer by layer until all the vehicle safety fault data is traversed to complete the construction of the safety tree of the electric vehicle.
  • the first fault category is a fault with a clear mechanism or a verifiable mechanism
  • the second fault category is a fault with an unclear mechanism but an empirical verification basis
  • the third fault category is a fault with an unclear mechanism but supported by operating data Failure
  • the fourth type of failure category is a clear mechanism but complex system structure.
  • the vehicle safety failure data of the first failure category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events according to the mechanism;
  • Bayesian inference method is used to analyze the failure of the vehicle safety failure data of the second failure category Factor correlation, so that the vehicle safety failure data of the second failure category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events based on the analysis results;
  • machine learning method is used to analyze the vehicle safety failure data of the third failure category Based on the analysis results, the vehicle safety failure data of the third fault category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events;
  • the interpretation structure method is used to analyze the vehicle safety of the fourth fault category Based on the correlation of the failure factors of the failure data, the vehicle safety failure data of the fourth failure category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events based on the analysis result.
  • the step of using a joint analysis method to classify the safety failure data of the entire vehicle in each safety event group to construct a safety tree further includes: aiming at a top-level event and all its corresponding The bottom-level event, according to its multi-level causality, establishes the "IF...THEN" rule layer by layer to describe the causal relationship between events, until all "top-level events-bottom-level events" pairs are traversed; based on the top-level events, the bottom-level Events and the causal relationship between them and the experienced middle-level events generate a rule set expressing the logical relationship between the top-level event and the bottom-level event; based on the rule set, the top-level event, the bottom-level event, and the Middle-level events, and the security tree module constructs the security tree; verifies the rule set to remove logical relationship errors or event errors.
  • Figures 4a-4c are schematic diagrams of part of the security tree of the preferred embodiment of the present invention.
  • three intermediate events can be subdivided under structural safety events, namely, braking safety events, driving safety events, and steering safety events.
  • Figure 4b taking the braking safety event as the top-level event, we found that it actually has a causal relationship with multiple intermediate security events and multiple bottom-level security events.
  • events with clear mechanism or verifiable failure such as brake valve damage X14, pipeline joint damage X16, hydraulic controller abnormal X21, hydraulic oil insufficient X24, hydraulic motor abnormal X22
  • you can directly obtain their information Causality it can be directly determined based on the mechanism that the brake valve is damaged X14, the pipe joint is damaged X16, the hydraulic controller is abnormal X21, the hydraulic oil is insufficient X24, and the hydraulic motor is abnormal X22 are the underlying events, and the "IF...THEN" rule is adopted.
  • the causal relationship between the described events is that if the brake valve is damaged X14, the pipe joint is damaged X16, the hydraulic controller is abnormal X21, the hydraulic oil is insufficient X24, and the hydraulic motor is abnormal X22, then a brake safety event occurs.
  • the failure of the mechanism is not clear but has an empirical verification basis
  • the Bayesian inference method is used to analyze the correlation of the failure factor of the safety failure data of the second failure category, and the second fault category is classified based on the analysis result.
  • the vehicle safety failure data is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events.
  • the braking safety event as the top-level event
  • Bayesian algorithm to find that the steering safety event is the first middle-level event, and the second middle-level event turns to operating mechanism failure and steering.
  • the failures of the steering operating mechanism are directly causally related to multiple underlying events such as abnormal steering wheel tightening, steering tube bearing damage, steering column spline wear, spline tightness, fixed screw sliding teeth, and insufficient spline lubricant.
  • Steering gear failures are directly causally related to multiple underlying events: insufficient steering gear lubricating oil X6, steering gear spline damage X7, steering gear wear damage X8, steering gear tightening screws loose X9, and steering gear flooding X10.
  • Steering actuator failures are directly causally related to multiple underlying events, steering knuckle arm damage X11, steering ball joint damage X12, steering angle deformation/break X13, steering stabilizer bar break X14, and steering interference X15.
  • the third category for failures whose mechanism is not clear but supported by operating data, machine learning methods can be used to analyze the correlation of the failure factor of the vehicle safety failure data of the third failure category, so as to classify the third failure category based on the analysis results.
  • the vehicle safety failure data is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events. As shown in Figure 4b, taking the brake safety event as the top-level event, we can find through the similar state comparison method that the parking brake failure can actually be regarded as the first-level intermediate event, and its sum is the first-level intermediate event.
  • the service brake failure of the incident is causally related to the abnormal brake pressure of the second-level intermediate incident.
  • the abnormal brake pressure has a causal relationship with multiple bottom layer events, brake oil seal damage X6, brake oil leakage X5, and brake bottom plate deformation X8.
  • the parking brake failure is directly related to multiple underlying events handle damage X8, friction sheet wear X1, brake cylinder jam X2, brake spring damage X3, and drive shaft damage X12.
  • Safety fault data is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events.
  • Wear X1, brake cylinder jamming X2, brake spring damage X3, bracket bearing damage X4 are directly causal, and at the same time, there is a causal relationship with the abnormal brake pressure of the second layer of intermediate events.
  • the abnormal brake pressure has a causal relationship with the brake oil seal damage X6 and brake oil leakage X5 in the underlying event.
  • the rule set is verified to remove the logical relationship. Error or event error. For the "IF...THEN" rule set describing the security tree, find errors in the logical relationship of events and common event relationship errors.
  • the safety tree of the present invention is a comprehensive, open, and full-cycle safety system based on data-driven, probabilistic calculation and safety importance analysis. It is a system model used to evaluate the safety status of vehicles and is a quantitative analysis system safety system. A powerful tool for sex.
  • the safety tree system can be designed for different safety fault classifications, breaking through the limitation of individual safety analysis for each system component, and can better reflect the safety status of electric vehicles.
  • the safety tree is set up for the fault data in the safety field. The correlation between the safety fault data at each level is not only based on logical deduction, but also determined by the statistical characteristics and data of the fault event.
  • the safety tree model focuses on the actual occurrence of failure events, tracking and penetrating the system setting barriers according to design ideas or systems, and modular and open system design. Based on the new fault data, the safety tree can be updated in real time, forming a virtuous circle and continuous optimization.
  • the safety tree application is oriented to the actual design, production, operation and maintenance process, which is more in line with the requirements of engineering practice.
  • step S2 the security importance of each bottom-level event is sorted based on the security tree.
  • the step S2 may further include S21.
  • S21 Through the collection and statistics of the intermediate event, analyze the parameter deviation of the intermediate event, and convert the original frequency data of the intermediate event It is the standardized frequency data of intermediate events at all levels; S22. Obtain the occurrence probability of each bottom-level event through the analysis and statistics of the logical causality and the result of the intermediate event; S23. Collection based on the safety tree and the intermediate-level event Statistics with the frequency data of the intermediate events to obtain the occurrence probability of each top-level event; S24.
  • the parameter deviation of the intermediate event is analyzed, and the original frequency data of the intermediate event is converted into a standardized intermediate event frequency of each level data.
  • the intermediate event fault data of the electric vehicle can be collected for statistical decoupling, and the dynamic changes of operating parameters can be analyzed for possible parameter deviations.
  • Parameter deviations and sudden failure alarms constitute the original data of intermediate events at all levels, and the frequency data is finally converted; for the working environment corresponding to the original frequency data of intermediate events at all levels, the original frequency data is converted into standardized intermediate event frequency data at all levels.
  • step S22 the standardized intermediate event frequency data at various levels in the field application, test, and inspection scenarios are counted, and the occurrence probability of each underlying event is calculated respectively.
  • the occurrence probability of the top-level event is calculated based on the occurrence frequency statistics and distribution of the intermediate events and the risk value of each intermediate event; preferably, in the step S24, based on each bottom-level event pair
  • the probability of each intermediate event and the occurrence probability of each top-level event can be calculated by Bayesian calculation to obtain the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event; those skilled in the art know that in addition to the following calculation methods, those skilled in the art also According to the actual situation, other calculation formulas can be used for calculation.
  • the present invention is not limited by the specific calculation method here.
  • the importance of the bottom-level event is equal to the partial derivative of the probability of occurrence of the top-level event with respect to the probability of occurrence of the bottom-level event after the standardized correction.
  • the security importance of the underlying event can be calculated based on the following formula:
  • I G (i) is an important security of the underlying events of X i; q i is the probability of occurrence of the underlying event is a normalized correction; G is the top event occurrence probability, which is about q 1, q 2 ,...q i ,...,q N cut sets.
  • a structure function and a minimum cut set set can be constructed based on the occurrence probability of the underlying event after standardization and correction, and the structural safety importance of the underlying event can be calculated according to the safety tree safety importance formula. For example, assume that the underlying i-th event, the occurrence probability of each event of the underlying X i, Building Structure Function Then create the minimum cut set set as ⁇ X 1 ⁇ , ⁇ X 2 ⁇ , ⁇ X 3 ⁇ , whil, ⁇ X i ⁇ . Safety importance formula based on safety tree The safety importance of the safety tree structure can be calculated
  • step S3 a fault reconstruction analysis is performed on a branch with a high probability of occurrence in the safety tree based on the safety importance of the underlying event, and the occurrence probability of the underlying event in the branch is reduced based on the analysis result.
  • the safety performance of the entire vehicle can be statically thoroughly analyzed.
  • the importance and critical importance of the safety tree-based fault structure calculated on the basis of probability are the digital support basis for the vehicle safety system.
  • the basic failure importance and the probability of failure are combined to form a comprehensive and objective evaluation of each branch in the safety tree. This evaluation result is the basis for the design of the overall vehicle safety system.
  • the safety status of the entire vehicle is obtained through real-time calculations such as integration, integration, and correction based on the safety tree model, branch structure, and importance of the safety tree. It is an important indicator for the evaluation of the entire vehicle safety system. Perform fault reconstruction analysis on branches with higher importance of the safety tree structure and/or higher probability of occurrence at the top level, trace the source to find the root cause of the basic failure of the safety fault, and eliminate the hidden danger of safety failure from a deeper level. In the actual operation of electric vehicles, the safety performance of the entire vehicle is constantly changing over time. Real-time, accurate and digital assessment of the safety of the entire vehicle is necessary.
  • the safety status of the entire vehicle refers to the overall safety tree model of the entire vehicle, and the integration of various safety fault states to calculate the important parameters of the entire vehicle that are indicative and unified for the safety of the entire vehicle. This is based on the safety tree model for the safety of the entire vehicle. Real-time quantitative description of the situation.
  • the redesign plan it is necessary to comprehensively consider the data support of the basic failure structure importance and the critical importance of the basic failure probability, and implement redesign, maintenance, and transformation. For example, relevant parts can be renewed. Design, maintenance and replacement, regular troubleshooting and inspection, improving the operating environment, etc.
  • the implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree. By mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, the safety hazards of certain typical problems and the design and production problems can be found. Unreasonable, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
  • Fig. 2 is a schematic flow chart of an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model according to a second preferred embodiment of the present invention.
  • a security tree is constructed, the security tree includes a plurality of bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and the relationship between the bottom-level events, the middle-level events, and the top-level events. Logical causality and safety importance.
  • the construction of the security tree can refer to the embodiment shown in FIG. 1, which will not be repeated here.
  • step S2 the security importance of each bottom-level event is sorted based on the security tree.
  • the specific operation of the step S2 can also refer to the embodiment shown in FIG. 1, which will not be repeated here.
  • step S3 the priority of the top-level event in the security tree is determined based on the security importance of the bottom-level event.
  • the security tree in Figure 3- Figure 4c as an example for description as follows. Referring to Figure 3, it can be seen that the highest priority of the top-level events is the structural safety event, because according to the safety tree, its occurrence probability is 30%.
  • step S4 for the top-level events with high priority, the corresponding bottom-level events are searched for according to the branches with high occurrence probability in the security tree.
  • the most likely intermediate event to cause structural safety incidents is the braking safety incident, and its occurrence probability is 15%. Therefore, we choose the branch of braking safety events to find the corresponding bottom-level events.
  • the lowest level events that are most likely to cause brake safety incidents are the abnormality of the hydraulic sensor and the oil leakage of the brake tubing. The probability is as high as 1%.
  • step S5 the underlying event is redesigned based on the electric vehicle operation theory and the fault logic relationship.
  • the two bottom-layer events, the hydraulic sensor abnormality and the brake oil pipe leakage have the highest probability.
  • the above operations can be performed on each underlying event with a high probability of occurrence, for example, above 0.5%.
  • step S6 we can further evaluate the rationality and impact of the redesign. For example, by re-running the electric vehicle, detecting the probability of occurrence of the two bottom-level events of the redesigned hydraulic sensor abnormality and the brake oil pipe leakage, and assessing whether the redesign is reasonable and how it affects the safety status of the entire electric vehicle.
  • any method known in the art can be used for evaluation.
  • step S7 we can update the security tree based on the evaluation.
  • the method for constructing the security tree can be referred to as shown in step S1, which will not be repeated here.
  • the implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree. By mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, the safety hazards of certain typical problems and the design and production problems can be found. Unreasonable, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
  • Another technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve its technical problems is to construct a computer-readable storage medium on which a computer program is stored.
  • the program is executed by a processor, the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety is realized. Design optimization methods.
  • the present invention can be implemented by hardware, software or a combination of software and hardware.
  • the present invention can be implemented in a centralized manner in at least one computer system, or implemented in a decentralized manner by different parts distributed in several interconnected computer systems. Any computer system or other equipment that can implement the method of the present invention is applicable.
  • the combination of commonly used software and hardware can be a general computer system with a computer program installed, and the computer system is controlled by installing and executing the program to make it run according to the method of the present invention.
  • the present invention can also be implemented by a computer program product.
  • the program contains all the features capable of implementing the method of the present invention. When it is installed in a computer system, the method of the present invention can be implemented.
  • the computer program in this document refers to any expression of a set of instructions that can be written in any programming language, code, or symbol.
  • the instruction set enables the system to have information processing capabilities to directly implement specific functions, or to perform After one or two steps, a specific function is realized: a) conversion into other languages, codes or symbols; b) reproduction in a different format.
  • the present invention also relates to a computer-readable storage medium on which a computer program is stored, and when the program is executed by a processor, the method for constructing a safety tree for an electric vehicle is realized.
  • the present invention also relates to an electric vehicle, including a processor, and a computer program stored in the processor, and when the program is executed by the processor, the safety tree construction method of the electric vehicle is realized.
  • the implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method and computer-readable storage medium of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree, and by mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, some typical problems can be found Potential safety hazards and irrationality of design and production, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.

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Abstract

A safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method, comprising: S1. constructing a safety tree, the safety tree comprising multiple low-level events, intermediate-level events, top-level events, and logical causalities between and safety importance levels of the low-level events, the intermediate-level events, and the top-level events; S2. sorting the low-level events by the safety importance levels on the basis of the safety tree; S3. performing a fault reconstruction analysis with respect to a high-probability branch in the safety tree on the basis of the safety importance levels of the low-level events, and reducing the probability of the low-level events in the branch on the basis of the analysis result. The technical solution, by means of constructing and updating the safety tree, by mining and analyzing sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, discovers some potential safety hazards of typical problems and irrationalities in design and production, and, by reconstructing these problems, continually improve an electric vehicle designing and manufacturing process.

Description

一种基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法An optimization method for safety design of electric vehicles based on safety tree model 技术领域Technical field
本发明涉及运输工具,更具体地说,涉及一种基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法。The invention relates to a transportation tool, and more specifically, to an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model.
背景技术Background technique
随着世界经济的快速发展和对环保意识的重视,汽车的普及率越来越高,同时对汽车尾气排放要求也越来越高,节能、安全、无污染的电动车辆是未来的发展趋势。然而,电动车辆一般有高达上百伏的电气系统,这就超过了直流的安全电压范围,如不进行合理的设计与防护,将可能带来人员电击等高压安全问题。此外,电动车辆包括诸如转向系统、制动系统、安全控制系统等多个组成部门,每个组成部分又包括多个组成部件。任何部件的失效或者故障都可能造成整个车辆的失控,或者故障,从而导致驾驶者或者乘客遭遇危险。然而目前仍然缺乏能够系统有效的理论分析和工程经验相结合的电动车辆整车安全管理与控制方法;以及缺乏定量描述整车安全状态、精确体现各系统安全特性电动车辆安全状态的方法。With the rapid development of the world economy and the importance of environmental protection awareness, the penetration rate of automobiles has become higher and higher, and the requirements for automobile exhaust emissions have also become higher. Energy-saving, safe, and pollution-free electric vehicles are the future development trend. However, electric vehicles generally have electrical systems as high as hundreds of volts, which exceeds the safe voltage range of DC. If reasonable design and protection are not carried out, high voltage safety problems such as electric shocks may be caused. In addition, electric vehicles include multiple components such as steering systems, braking systems, and safety control systems, and each component includes multiple components. The failure or malfunction of any component may cause the entire vehicle to lose control or malfunction, thereby causing the driver or passenger to encounter danger. However, there is still a lack of methods for the safety management and control of electric vehicles that can combine systematic and effective theoretical analysis and engineering experience; and methods to quantitatively describe the safety status of the entire vehicle and accurately reflect the safety characteristics of each system.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本发明要解决的技术问题在于,针对现有技术的上述缺陷,提供一种基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法。The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model in view of the above-mentioned defects of the prior art.
本发明解决其技术问题所采用的技术方案是:构造一种基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,包括:The technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve its technical problems is: constructing an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model, including:
S1.构建安全树,所述安全树包括多个底层事件、中间层事件、顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要程度;S1. Construct a security tree, the security tree including multiple bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and the logical causality and safety importance between the bottom-level events, the middle-level events, and the top-level events;
S2.基于所述安全树对各个底层事件进行安全重要度排序;S2. Sort the security importance of each underlying event based on the security tree;
S3.基于所述底层事件的安全重要度对所述安全树中发生概率高的分支进行故障重构分析,并基于分析结果降低所述分支中的所述底层事件的发生概率。S3. Perform a fault reconstruction analysis on the branch with a high probability of occurrence in the safety tree based on the safety importance of the underlying event, and reduce the occurrence probability of the underlying event in the branch based on the analysis result.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,所述步骤S3进一步包括:In the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention, the step S3 further includes:
S31.基于所述底层事件的安全重要度对所述安全树中的顶层事件的优先度进行认定;S31. Determine the priority of the top-level event in the security tree based on the security importance of the bottom-level event;
S32.对优先度高的顶层事件,根据所述安全树中发生概率高的分支寻找对应的底层事件;S32. For top-level events with high priority, look for corresponding bottom-level events according to branches with high occurrence probability in the security tree;
S33.基于电动车辆运行理论和故障逻辑关系重新设计所述底层事件。S33. Redesign the underlying event based on the electric vehicle operation theory and the fault logic relationship.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,所述步骤S3进一步包括:In the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention, the step S3 further includes:
S34.评估所述重新设计的合理性和影响性;S34. Evaluate the rationality and impact of the redesign;
S35.基于所述评估更新所述安全树。S35. Update the security tree based on the evaluation.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,所述步骤S1进一步包括:In the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention, the step S1 further includes:
S11.采集电动车辆的整车安全故障数据;S11. Collect vehicle safety failure data of electric vehicles;
S12.将所述整车安全故障数据映射归类到不同的安全事件组别中,并分别统计各个安全事件组别频次数据;S12. Map the vehicle safety failure data into different safety event groups, and separately count the frequency data of each safety event group;
S13.采用联合分析方法对各个安全事件组别中的所述整车安全故障数据进行分类构建安全树。S13. Use a joint analysis method to classify the safety failure data of the entire vehicle in each safety event group to construct a safety tree.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,所述步骤S13进一步包括:In the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention, the step S13 further includes:
S131.将所述整车安全故障数据至少分为第一故障类别、第二故障类别、第三故障类别和第四故障类别;S131. Divide the safety failure data of the vehicle into at least a first failure category, a second failure category, a third failure category, and a fourth failure category;
S132.采用不同的分析方法分析所述第一故障类别、所述第二故障类别、所述第三故障类别和所述第四故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据,以确定所述 电动车辆安全故障数据之间的层级关系从而确定底层事件、中间层事件和顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要度;S132. Use different analysis methods to analyze the vehicle safety failure data of the first failure category, the second failure category, the third failure category, and the fourth failure category to determine the electric vehicle The hierarchical relationship between the safety fault data determines the logical causality and safety importance among the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event, and the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event;
S133.逐层建立故障因果关系直至遍历所有的所述整车安全故障数据以完成电动车辆的安全树构建。S133. Establish fault causality layer by layer until all the vehicle safety fault data is traversed to complete the construction of the safety tree of the electric vehicle.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,所述步骤S2进一步包括In the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention, the step S2 further includes
S21.通过中间层事件的采集和统计,分析所述中间层事件的存在的参数偏差,将所述中间层事件的原始频次数据换算为标准化的各级中间事件频次数据;S21. Through the collection and statistics of middle-level events, analyze the parameter deviation of the middle-level events, and convert the original frequency data of the middle-level events into standardized frequency data of intermediate events at all levels;
S22.通过所述逻辑因果关系和所述中间事件的结果分析统计得到各个底层事件的发生概率;S22. Obtain the occurrence probability of each underlying event through the analysis and statistics of the logical causality and the result of the intermediate event;
S23.基于所述安全树和所述中间层事件的采集和所述中间事件频次数据统计得到各个顶层事件的发生概率;S23. Obtain the occurrence probability of each top-level event based on the collection of the security tree and the middle-level event and the statistics of the frequency of the middle-level event;
S24.基于各个底层事件对各个中间事件的概率,和各个顶层事件的发生概率,计算得到各个底层事件对顶层事件的影响概率;S24. Based on the probability of each bottom-level event to each intermediate event and the occurrence probability of each top-level event, calculate the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event;
S25.基于各个底层事件对各个顶层事件的影响概率对各个底层事件进行安全重要度排序。S25. Sort the safety importance of each bottom-level event based on the impact probability of each bottom-level event on each top-level event.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,所述步骤S21包括:In the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention, the step S21 includes:
S211.采集所述电动车辆的中间事件的故障数据并进行统计解耦,针对所述电动车辆的运行参数的动态变化,分析存在的参数偏差;将所述参数偏差和所述故障数据中的突发失效报警事件作为所述中间层事件的原始频次数据;S211. Collect the fault data of the intermediate event of the electric vehicle and perform statistical decoupling, analyze the existing parameter deviation for the dynamic change of the operating parameter of the electric vehicle; compare the parameter deviation and the sudden change in the fault data Sending a failure alarm event as the original frequency data of the middle-level event;
S212.针对各级中间事件的原始频次数据对应的工作环境,将所述原始频次数据换算为标准化的各级中间事件频次数据。S212. For the working environment corresponding to the original frequency data of the intermediate events at all levels, convert the original frequency data into standardized intermediate event frequency data at all levels.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,所述步骤S22包括:统计在现场应用、测试、检验场景下的标准化的各级中间事件频次数据,并分别计算对应各个底层事件的发生概率。In the method for optimizing the safety design of electric vehicles based on the safety tree model of the present invention, the step S22 includes: collecting statistics on the frequency data of standardized intermediate events at all levels in the field application, testing, and inspection scenarios, and calculating the corresponding The probability of the underlying event.
在本发明所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法中,在所述步骤S23中,通过中间事件的发生频次统计和分布、各中间事件的风险度值,计算顶层事件的发生概率;和/或在所述步骤S24中,采用贝叶斯算法算出各个底层事件对所述顶层事件的影响概率。In the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention, in the step S23, the occurrence probability of the top-level event is calculated through the occurrence frequency statistics and distribution of intermediate events and the risk value of each intermediate event And/or in the step S24, the Bayes algorithm is used to calculate the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event.
本发明解决其技术问题采用的另一技术方案是,构造一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,所述程序被处理器执行时实现所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法。Another technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve its technical problems is to construct a computer-readable storage medium on which a computer program is stored. When the program is executed by a processor, the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety is realized. Design optimization methods.
实施本发明的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法和计算机可读存储介质,可以通过安全树构建更新的方式,通过对不同电动车辆反馈的样本数据进行挖掘分析,发现某些典型问题的安全隐患和设计生产的不合理处,通过对这些问题进行重构来不断完善电动车辆设计制造过程。The implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method and computer-readable storage medium of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree, and by mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, some typical problems can be found Potential safety hazards and irrationality of design and production, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
附图说明Description of the drawings
下面将结合附图及实施例对本发明作进一步说明,附图中:The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments. In the accompanying drawings:
图1是本发明的第一优选实施例的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法的流程示意图;FIG. 1 is a schematic flowchart of a method for optimizing safety design of electric vehicles based on a safety tree model according to a first preferred embodiment of the present invention;
图2是本发明的第二优选实施例的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法的流程示意图;FIG. 2 is a schematic flowchart of a method for optimizing safety design of electric vehicles based on a safety tree model according to a second preferred embodiment of the present invention;
图3是本发明的优选实施例的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法的整车安全故障数据的归类示意图;3 is a schematic diagram of the classification of the entire vehicle safety failure data of the safety tree model-based optimization method for the safety design of electric vehicles according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention;
图4a-4c是本发明的优选实施例的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法的部分安全树的示意图。4a-4c are schematic diagrams of partial safety trees of the safety tree model-based optimization method for safety design of electric vehicles according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式detailed description
为了使本发明的目的、技术方案及优点更加清楚明白,以下结合附图及实施例,对本发明进行进一步详细说明。应当理解,此处所描述的具体实施例仅仅用以解释本发明,并不用于限定本发明。In order to make the objectives, technical solutions, and advantages of the present invention clearer, the following further describes the present invention in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described here are only used to explain the present invention, but not to limit the present invention.
本发明涉及一种基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,包括:S1. 构建安全树,所述安全树包括多个底层事件、中间层事件、顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要程度;S2.基于所述安全树对各个底层事件进行安全重要度排序;S3.基于所述底层事件的安全重要度对所述安全树中发生概率高的分支进行故障重构分析,并基于分析结果降低所述分支中的所述底层事件的发生概率。实施本发明的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,可以通过安全树构建更新的方式,通过对不同电动车辆反馈的样本数据进行挖掘分析,发现某些典型问题的安全隐患和设计生产的不合理处,通过对这些问题进行重构来不断完善电动车辆设计制造过程。The present invention relates to an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model, including: S1. Building a safety tree, the safety tree including a plurality of bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and the bottom-level events, the middle-level events Level events, the logical causality between the top-level events and the degree of safety importance; S2. Sort the safety importance of each bottom-level event based on the safety tree; S3. Sort the safety based on the safety importance of the bottom-level event A branch with a high probability of occurrence in the tree performs fault reconstruction analysis, and based on the analysis result, the probability of occurrence of the underlying event in the branch is reduced. The implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree. By mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, the safety hazards of certain typical problems and the design and production problems can be found. Unreasonable, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
在本发明中,电动车辆的安全树是全面解决电动车辆安全问题的系统方法,是由通过顶层事件、底层事件、相关逻辑和数据建立相关逻辑体系,通过整车安全需求分析和整车系统构建安全事件模型建立树状图,是对车辆不同层次事件之间逻辑关系的描述,针对例如制动系统、转向系统、车身零部件等多个子系统或部件进行图形表征和定性描述。安全树专注于已真实发生事件,追踪穿透系统设置壁垒,模块化开放型体系设计。在本发明中,安全树安全重要度是定量分析与评价底层事件对顶层事件影响重要程度的主要度量,它反映了各个底层事件对于整车安全影响的权重。在本发明,所述安全树的安全重要度包涵了所述各个底层事件的概率、所述各个中间事件的差异化和各个顶层事件的风险程度因素,是各个底层事件对各个顶层事件的影响大小的定量评价。安全重要度代表了电动车辆各个底层事件的安全权重。在本发明中,底层事件可以理解为基础故障,而顶层事件可以理解为表层故障。底层事件与顶层事件之间存在直接的因果关系,或者间接的因果关系。底层事件和顶层事件之间,可能存在中间层事件。在本发明中,安全重要度赋予各个底层事件以统计特征,是对系统安全性的量化描述,是定量化分析电动车辆系统安全性的工具。In the present invention, the safety tree of electric vehicles is a systematic method to comprehensively solve the safety problems of electric vehicles. It is constructed by establishing a related logic system through top-level events, bottom-level events, related logic and data, and constructing through vehicle safety requirements analysis and vehicle system The safety event model establishes a tree diagram, which is a description of the logical relationship between different levels of events in the vehicle, and graphical representation and qualitative description of multiple subsystems or components such as the braking system, steering system, and body parts. The safety tree focuses on real events, tracking and penetrating the system to set barriers, and modular and open system design. In the present invention, the safety importance of the safety tree is the main measure for quantitative analysis and evaluation of the importance of the impact of the bottom-level events on the top-level events, which reflects the weight of the impact of each bottom-level event on the safety of the entire vehicle. In the present invention, the safety importance of the safety tree includes the probability of each bottom-level event, the differentiation of each intermediate event, and the risk degree factor of each top-level event, and is the magnitude of the impact of each bottom-level event on each top-level event Quantitative evaluation. The importance of safety represents the safety weight of each underlying event of an electric vehicle. In the present invention, bottom-level events can be understood as basic faults, and top-level events can be understood as surface faults. There is a direct causal relationship or an indirect causal relationship between the bottom-level events and the top-level events. Between the bottom-level events and the top-level events, there may be intermediate events. In the present invention, the importance of safety gives statistical characteristics to each underlying event, which is a quantitative description of system safety and a tool for quantitative analysis of the safety of electric vehicle systems.
图1是本发明的第一优选实施例的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法的流程示意图。如图1所示,在步骤S1中,构建安全树。所述安全树包括多个底层事件、中间层事件、顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要程度。在本发明的优选实 施例中,可以采用已知的任何方法构建安全树,也可以采用已有的安全树。Fig. 1 is a schematic flow chart of an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model according to a first preferred embodiment of the present invention. As shown in Figure 1, in step S1, a security tree is constructed. The safety tree includes multiple bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and logical causality and safety importance between the bottom-level events, the middle-level events, and the top-level events. In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, any known method can be used to construct the security tree, or an existing security tree can be used.
下面描述了根据本发明的优选实施例的构建安全树的方法。本领域技术人员知悉,在本发明的其他优选实施例中,可以采用其他的方法构建安全树。本发明在此不受该具体构建方法的限制。The method of constructing a security tree according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention is described below. Those skilled in the art know that in other preferred embodiments of the present invention, other methods may be used to construct the security tree. The present invention is not limited by the specific construction method here.
在本发明一个优选实施例中,构建安全树的步骤包括:采集电动车辆的整车安全故障数据;将所述整车安全故障数据映射归类到不同的安全事件组别中,并统计计算各个安全事件组别频次数据;采用联合分析方法对各个安全事件组别中的所述整车安全故障数据进行分类构建安全树。In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step of constructing a safety tree includes: collecting vehicle safety failure data of electric vehicles; mapping the vehicle safety failure data to different safety event groups, and calculating each Safety event group frequency data; using a joint analysis method to classify the vehicle safety failure data in each safety event group to construct a safety tree.
在本发明的一个优选实施例中,该采集电动车辆的整车安全故障数据的步骤可以进一步包括通过CAN总线将所述电动车辆的整车控制器、安全控制器和行车记录仪中的数据传送到平台数据库;然后从所述数据中获取所述电动车辆的整车安全故障数据。例如,可以将整车安全故障数据映射归类制动系统、转向系统、车身零部件等多个子系统或部件,这样就将所述整车安全故障数据按照映射归类的原理计入不同的组别当中,并且统计各个安全事件组别发生批次。In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step of collecting safety failure data of the entire vehicle of the electric vehicle may further include transmitting data in the entire vehicle controller, safety controller, and driving recorder of the electric vehicle through the CAN bus. To the platform database; then obtain the vehicle safety failure data of the electric vehicle from the data. For example, the vehicle safety failure data can be mapped into multiple subsystems or components such as brake systems, steering systems, and body parts, so that the vehicle safety failure data can be included in different groups according to the principle of mapping classification. Among them, and count the batches of each security event group.
如图3所示,在本发明的一个优选实施例中,可以将所述整车安全故障数据分别映射到结构安全事件、电气安全事件、功能逻辑安全事件、碰撞安全事件、热安全事件、防爆安全事件、运营维修安全事件、环境安全事件和全生命周期安全事件。并且,根据数据归类、分析和计算,可以获得其基层事件概率分别为结构安全事件30%、电气安全事件10%、功能逻辑安全事件20%、碰撞安全事件5%、热安全事件5%、防爆安全事件8%、运营维修安全事件9%、环境安全事件8%、全生命周期安全事件5%。上述归纳分析过程可以采用本领域中已知的各种方法,也可以采用已知方法计算各个安全事件组别占全部安全故障的概率,还可以采用电动车辆制造商各自的测量和采集经验数据。As shown in Figure 3, in a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the vehicle safety failure data can be mapped to structural safety events, electrical safety events, functional logic safety events, collision safety events, thermal safety events, and explosion-proof events. Safety incidents, operation and maintenance safety incidents, environmental safety incidents and life cycle safety incidents. In addition, according to data classification, analysis and calculation, the basic event probability can be obtained as structural safety events 30%, electrical safety events 10%, functional logic safety events 20%, collision safety events 5%, thermal safety events 5%, 8% of explosion-proof safety incidents, 9% of operation and maintenance safety incidents, 8% of environmental safety incidents, and 5% of life-cycle safety incidents. The above-mentioned inductive analysis process can use various methods known in the art, or use known methods to calculate the probability of each safety event group accounting for all safety failures, or use the respective measurement and collection experience data of electric vehicle manufacturers.
在本发明的一个优选实施例中,所述采用联合分析方法对各个安全事件组别中的所述整车安全故障数据进行分类构建安全树的步骤进一步包括:将所述整车安全故障数据至少分为第一故障类别、第二故障类别、第三故障类别和第四故障类别;采用不同的分析方法分析所述第一故障类别、所述第二故障类别、 所述第三故障类别和所述第四故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据,以确定所述电动车辆安全故障数据之间的层级关系从而确定底层事件、中间层事件和顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要度;逐层建立故障因果关系直至遍历所有的所述整车安全故障数据以完成电动车辆的安全树构建。其中,所述第一故障类别为机理清晰或者机理可验证故障,所述第二故障类别为机理不清晰但具有经验验证基础的故障,所述第三故障类别为机理不清楚但有运行数据支持的故障;第四类故障类别为机理清晰但系统结构复杂故障。例如,将第一故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据按照机理划分为顶层事件、中间层事件以及底层事件;采用贝叶斯推理法分析第二故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据的故障因数相关性,从而基于分析结果将第二故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据划分为顶层事件、中间层事件以及底层事件;采用机器学习法分析第三故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据的故障因数相关性,从而基于分析结果将第三故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据划分为顶层事件、中间层事件以及底层事件;采用解释结构法解析第四故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据的故障因数相关性,从而基于分析结果将第四故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据划分为顶层事件、中间层事件以及底层事件。In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step of using a joint analysis method to classify the safety failure data of the entire vehicle in each safety event group to construct a safety tree further includes: dividing the safety failure data of the entire vehicle at least Divided into the first fault category, the second fault category, the third fault category and the fourth fault category; using different analysis methods to analyze the first fault category, the second fault category, the third fault category and the The vehicle safety failure data of the fourth failure category to determine the hierarchical relationship between the electric vehicle safety failure data to determine the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event, as well as the bottom-level event and the middle-level event , Logical causality and safety importance between the top-level events; establishing fault causality layer by layer until all the vehicle safety fault data is traversed to complete the construction of the safety tree of the electric vehicle. Wherein, the first fault category is a fault with a clear mechanism or a verifiable mechanism, the second fault category is a fault with an unclear mechanism but an empirical verification basis, and the third fault category is a fault with an unclear mechanism but supported by operating data Failure; the fourth type of failure category is a clear mechanism but complex system structure. For example, the vehicle safety failure data of the first failure category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events according to the mechanism; Bayesian inference method is used to analyze the failure of the vehicle safety failure data of the second failure category Factor correlation, so that the vehicle safety failure data of the second failure category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events based on the analysis results; machine learning method is used to analyze the vehicle safety failure data of the third failure category Based on the analysis results, the vehicle safety failure data of the third fault category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events; the interpretation structure method is used to analyze the vehicle safety of the fourth fault category Based on the correlation of the failure factors of the failure data, the vehicle safety failure data of the fourth failure category is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events based on the analysis result.
在本发明的一个优选实施例中,所述采用联合分析方法对各个安全事件组别中的所述整车安全故障数据进行分类构建安全树的步骤进一步包括:针对一个顶层事件和其对应的全部底层事件,根据其多层因果关系,逐层建立“IF…THEN…”规则描述事件之间的因果关系,直至遍历所有的“顶层事件-底层事件”对;基于所述顶层事件,所述底层事件以及其之间的因果关系和经历的中间层事件生成表达所述顶层事件和所述底层事件的逻辑关系的规则集合;基于所述规则集合,所述顶层事件,所述底层事件以及所述中间层事件,以及所述安全树模块构建所述安全树;验证所述规则集合以去除逻辑关系错误或事件错误。In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step of using a joint analysis method to classify the safety failure data of the entire vehicle in each safety event group to construct a safety tree further includes: aiming at a top-level event and all its corresponding The bottom-level event, according to its multi-level causality, establishes the "IF...THEN..." rule layer by layer to describe the causal relationship between events, until all "top-level events-bottom-level events" pairs are traversed; based on the top-level events, the bottom-level Events and the causal relationship between them and the experienced middle-level events generate a rule set expressing the logical relationship between the top-level event and the bottom-level event; based on the rule set, the top-level event, the bottom-level event, and the Middle-level events, and the security tree module constructs the security tree; verifies the rule set to remove logical relationship errors or event errors.
图4a-4c是本发明的优选实施例的部分安全树的示意图。如图4a-4c所示,结构安全事件下面可以细分三个中间事件,即制动安全事件,行驶传动安全事件,和转向安全事件,我们可以分别对各个事件构建安全树。我们接着以制动 安全事件为例进行说明。如图4b,将所述制动安全事件作为顶层事件,我们发现,其实际上与多个中间安全事件和多个底层安全事件之间存在因果关系。对于第一类,机理清晰或者机理可验证故障的事件,比如制动阀损坏X14、管路接头损坏X16、液压控制器异常X21、液压油量不足X24、液压电机异常X22,可以直接获得他们的因果关系,这时可以直接根据机理确定制动阀损坏X14、管路接头损坏X16、液压控制器异常X21、液压油量不足X24、液压电机异常X22为底层事件,采用“IF…THEN…”规则描述事件之间的因果关系为如果制动阀损坏X14、管路接头损坏X16、液压控制器异常X21、液压油量不足X24、液压电机异常X22,那么发生制动安全事件。Figures 4a-4c are schematic diagrams of part of the security tree of the preferred embodiment of the present invention. As shown in Figure 4a-4c, three intermediate events can be subdivided under structural safety events, namely, braking safety events, driving safety events, and steering safety events. We can build a safety tree for each event. Let's take the brake safety incident as an example. As shown in Figure 4b, taking the braking safety event as the top-level event, we found that it actually has a causal relationship with multiple intermediate security events and multiple bottom-level security events. For the first category, events with clear mechanism or verifiable failure, such as brake valve damage X14, pipeline joint damage X16, hydraulic controller abnormal X21, hydraulic oil insufficient X24, hydraulic motor abnormal X22, you can directly obtain their information Causality. At this time, it can be directly determined based on the mechanism that the brake valve is damaged X14, the pipe joint is damaged X16, the hydraulic controller is abnormal X21, the hydraulic oil is insufficient X24, and the hydraulic motor is abnormal X22 are the underlying events, and the "IF...THEN..." rule is adopted. The causal relationship between the described events is that if the brake valve is damaged X14, the pipe joint is damaged X16, the hydraulic controller is abnormal X21, the hydraulic oil is insufficient X24, and the hydraulic motor is abnormal X22, then a brake safety event occurs.
对于第二类,机理不清晰但具有经验验证基础的故障,采用贝叶斯推理法分析第二故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据的故障因数相关性,从而基于分析结果将第二故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据划分为顶层事件、中间层事件以及底层事件。同如图4c所示,将所述制动安全事件作为顶层事件,我们通过贝叶斯算法,可以发现转向安全事件作为第一中间层事件,分别与第二中间层事件转向操作机构故障、转向机故障、转向执行机构故障因果关联。而转向操作机构故障分别与多个底层事件方向盘紧固异常、方向管轴承损坏、方向管柱花键磨损花键紧、固螺丝滑牙、花键润滑油不足的直接因果关联。转向机故障分别与多个底层事件转向机润滑油不足X6、转向机花键损坏X7、转向机齿轮磨损损坏X8、转向机紧固螺丝松X9、转向机浸水X10直接因果关联。转向执行机构故障分别与多个底层事件转向节臂损坏X11、转向球头损坏X12、转向羊角变形/断裂X13、转向稳定杆断裂X14、转向干涉X15直接因果关联。For the second category, the failure of the mechanism is not clear but has an empirical verification basis, the Bayesian inference method is used to analyze the correlation of the failure factor of the safety failure data of the second failure category, and the second fault category is classified based on the analysis result. The vehicle safety failure data is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events. As shown in Figure 4c, taking the braking safety event as the top-level event, we can use Bayesian algorithm to find that the steering safety event is the first middle-level event, and the second middle-level event turns to operating mechanism failure and steering. Cause and effect correlation between engine failure and steering actuator failure. The failures of the steering operating mechanism are directly causally related to multiple underlying events such as abnormal steering wheel tightening, steering tube bearing damage, steering column spline wear, spline tightness, fixed screw sliding teeth, and insufficient spline lubricant. Steering gear failures are directly causally related to multiple underlying events: insufficient steering gear lubricating oil X6, steering gear spline damage X7, steering gear wear damage X8, steering gear tightening screws loose X9, and steering gear flooding X10. Steering actuator failures are directly causally related to multiple underlying events, steering knuckle arm damage X11, steering ball joint damage X12, steering angle deformation/break X13, steering stabilizer bar break X14, and steering interference X15.
对于第三类,对于机理不清楚但有运行数据支持的故障,可以采用机器学习法分析第三故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据的故障因数相关性,从而基于分析结果将第三故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据划分为顶层事件、中间层事件以及底层事件。同如图4b所示,将所述制动安全事件作为顶层事件,我们通过相似状态比较法可以发现,驻车制动故障实际上可以作为第一层中间事件,而其和作为第一层中间事件的行车制动故障一样与第二层中间事件制动压力异常存因果关系。而该制动压力异常又与多个底层事件制动油封损坏X6、制 动器漏油X5以及制动器底板变形X8存在因果关系。同时驻车制动故障还与多个底层事件手柄损坏X8、摩檫片磨损X1、制动油缸卡滞X2、制动弹簧损坏X3、传动轴损坏X12直接存在因果关系。For the third category, for failures whose mechanism is not clear but supported by operating data, machine learning methods can be used to analyze the correlation of the failure factor of the vehicle safety failure data of the third failure category, so as to classify the third failure category based on the analysis results. The vehicle safety failure data is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events. As shown in Figure 4b, taking the brake safety event as the top-level event, we can find through the similar state comparison method that the parking brake failure can actually be regarded as the first-level intermediate event, and its sum is the first-level intermediate event. The service brake failure of the incident is causally related to the abnormal brake pressure of the second-level intermediate incident. The abnormal brake pressure has a causal relationship with multiple bottom layer events, brake oil seal damage X6, brake oil leakage X5, and brake bottom plate deformation X8. At the same time, the parking brake failure is directly related to multiple underlying events handle damage X8, friction sheet wear X1, brake cylinder jam X2, brake spring damage X3, and drive shaft damage X12.
对于第四类,机理清晰但系统结构复杂故障;采用解释结构法解析第四故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据的故障因数相关性,从而基于分析结果将第四故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据划分为顶层事件、中间层事件以及底层事件。同如图4b所示,将所述制动安全事件作为顶层事件,我们通过解释结构法可以发现,行车制动故障实际上可以作为第一层中间事件,而其与多个底层事件摩檫片磨损X1、制动油缸卡滞X2、制动弹簧损坏X3、支架轴承损坏X4直接存在因果关系,同时又与第二层中间事件制动压力异常存因果关系。而制动压力异常又与底层事件制动油封损坏X6和制动器漏油X5存在因果关系。For the fourth category, the mechanism is clear but the system structure is complex; the interpretation structure method is used to analyze the failure factor correlation of the vehicle safety failure data of the fourth failure category, and the fourth failure category is based on the analysis result. Safety fault data is divided into top-level events, middle-level events, and bottom-level events. As shown in Figure 4b, taking the brake safety event as the top-level event, we can find through the interpretation structure method that the service brake failure can actually be used as the first-level intermediate event, and it is related to multiple bottom-level events. Wear X1, brake cylinder jamming X2, brake spring damage X3, bracket bearing damage X4 are directly causal, and at the same time, there is a causal relationship with the abnormal brake pressure of the second layer of intermediate events. The abnormal brake pressure has a causal relationship with the brake oil seal damage X6 and brake oil leakage X5 in the underlying event.
因此,本领域技术人员可以根据上述教导,构建电动车辆的整个安全树,和/或其中一部分安全树在本发明的优选实施例中,在构建安全树之后,验证所述规则集合以去除逻辑关系错误或事件错误。针对描述安全树的“IF…THEN…”规则集,查找其中事件逻辑关系的错误,常见的事件关系错误。Therefore, those skilled in the art can construct the entire safety tree of the electric vehicle and/or part of the safety tree according to the above teachings. In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, after the safety tree is constructed, the rule set is verified to remove the logical relationship. Error or event error. For the "IF...THEN..." rule set describing the security tree, find errors in the logical relationship of events and common event relationship errors.
本发明的安全树是一种基于数据驱动、概率计算和安全重要度分析的综合型、开放式、全周期的安全体系,其是用于评价车辆安全状态的系统模型,是定量化分析系统安全性的有力工具。该安全树体系可针对不同的安全故障分类进行设计,突破单独针对各系统部件进行安全性分析的局限,能够更好地反映电动车辆安全状况。安全树针对安全领域故障数据设立,各层次安全故障数据之间的相关性除了基于逻辑推演之外,也由故障事件的统计特征和数据所决定。安全树模型专注于已真实发生故障事件,按设计思路或系统展开追踪并穿透系统设置壁垒,模块化开放型体系设计。基于新的故障数据可实时更新安全树,形成良性循环并不断优化。安全树应用面向实际的设计生产运维过程,更加符合工程实践要求。The safety tree of the present invention is a comprehensive, open, and full-cycle safety system based on data-driven, probabilistic calculation and safety importance analysis. It is a system model used to evaluate the safety status of vehicles and is a quantitative analysis system safety system. A powerful tool for sex. The safety tree system can be designed for different safety fault classifications, breaking through the limitation of individual safety analysis for each system component, and can better reflect the safety status of electric vehicles. The safety tree is set up for the fault data in the safety field. The correlation between the safety fault data at each level is not only based on logical deduction, but also determined by the statistical characteristics and data of the fault event. The safety tree model focuses on the actual occurrence of failure events, tracking and penetrating the system setting barriers according to design ideas or systems, and modular and open system design. Based on the new fault data, the safety tree can be updated in real time, forming a virtuous circle and continuous optimization. The safety tree application is oriented to the actual design, production, operation and maintenance process, which is more in line with the requirements of engineering practice.
在步骤S2中,基于所述安全树对各个底层事件进行安全重要度排序。在本发明的优选实施例中,所述步骤S2可以进一步包括S21.通过中间层事件的采集和统计,分析所述中间层事件的存在的参数偏差,将所述中间层事件的 原始频次数据换算为标准化的各级中间事件频次数据;S22.通过所述逻辑因果关系和所述中间事件的结果分析统计得到各个底层事件的发生概率;S23.基于所述安全树和所述中间层事件的采集和所述中间事件频次数据统计得到各个顶层事件的发生概率;S24.基于各个底层事件对各个中间事件的概率,和各个顶层事件的发生概率,计算得到各个底层事件对顶层事件的影响概率;S25.基于各个底层事件对各个顶层事件的影响概率对各个底层事件进行安全重要度排序。In step S2, the security importance of each bottom-level event is sorted based on the security tree. In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the step S2 may further include S21. Through the collection and statistics of the intermediate event, analyze the parameter deviation of the intermediate event, and convert the original frequency data of the intermediate event It is the standardized frequency data of intermediate events at all levels; S22. Obtain the occurrence probability of each bottom-level event through the analysis and statistics of the logical causality and the result of the intermediate event; S23. Collection based on the safety tree and the intermediate-level event Statistics with the frequency data of the intermediate events to obtain the occurrence probability of each top-level event; S24. Based on the probability of each bottom-level event to each intermediate event and the occurrence probability of each top-level event, calculate the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event; S25 . Based on the probability of each bottom-level event's impact on each top-level event, sort the safety importance of each bottom-level event.
优选地,在所述步骤S21中,通过中间层事件的采集和统计,分析所述中间层事件的存在的参数偏差,将所述中间层事件的原始频次数据换算为标准化的各级中间事件频次数据。在本发明的一个优选实施例中,可以采集所述电动车辆的中间事件故障数据进行统计解耦,针对运行参数的动态变化,分析可能存在的参数偏差。参数偏差和突发失效报警,构成各级中间事件原始数据,并最终转化频次数据;针对各级中间事件原始频次数据对应的工作环境,将原始频次数据换算为标准化的各级中间事件频次数据。本领域技术人员知悉,可以采用本领域中已知的任何方法统计各个中间事件的发生频次并进行标准化修正。优选地,在所述步骤S22中,统计在现场应用、测试、检验场景下的标准化的各级中间事件频次数据,并分别计算对应各个底层事件的发生概率。优选地,在所述步骤S22中,通过中间事件的发生频次统计和分布、各中间事件的风险度值,计算顶层事件的发生概率;优选地,在所述步骤S24中,基于各个底层事件对各个中间事件的概率,和各个顶层事件的发生概率,通过贝叶斯计算可以得到各个底层事件对顶层事件的影响概率;本领域技术人员知悉,除了下述计算方法之外,本领域技术人员还可以根据实际情况,采用其他的计算公式进行计算。本发明在此不受具体计算方法的限制。Preferably, in the step S21, through the collection and statistics of the intermediate event, the parameter deviation of the intermediate event is analyzed, and the original frequency data of the intermediate event is converted into a standardized intermediate event frequency of each level data. In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the intermediate event fault data of the electric vehicle can be collected for statistical decoupling, and the dynamic changes of operating parameters can be analyzed for possible parameter deviations. Parameter deviations and sudden failure alarms constitute the original data of intermediate events at all levels, and the frequency data is finally converted; for the working environment corresponding to the original frequency data of intermediate events at all levels, the original frequency data is converted into standardized intermediate event frequency data at all levels. Those skilled in the art know that any method known in the art can be used to count the occurrence frequency of each intermediate event and perform standardized corrections. Preferably, in the step S22, the standardized intermediate event frequency data at various levels in the field application, test, and inspection scenarios are counted, and the occurrence probability of each underlying event is calculated respectively. Preferably, in the step S22, the occurrence probability of the top-level event is calculated based on the occurrence frequency statistics and distribution of the intermediate events and the risk value of each intermediate event; preferably, in the step S24, based on each bottom-level event pair The probability of each intermediate event and the occurrence probability of each top-level event can be calculated by Bayesian calculation to obtain the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event; those skilled in the art know that in addition to the following calculation methods, those skilled in the art also According to the actual situation, other calculation formulas can be used for calculation. The present invention is not limited by the specific calculation method here.
在本发明的一个优选实施例中,所述底层事件的重要度等于所述顶层事件的发生概率相对所述标准化修正后的所述底层事件的发生概率求偏导。在本发明的进一步的优选实施例中,可以基于下述公式计算所述底层事件的安全重要度:In a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the importance of the bottom-level event is equal to the partial derivative of the probability of occurrence of the top-level event with respect to the probability of occurrence of the bottom-level event after the standardized correction. In a further preferred embodiment of the present invention, the security importance of the underlying event can be calculated based on the following formula:
Figure PCTCN2020085369-appb-000001
Figure PCTCN2020085369-appb-000001
其中,I G(i)是底层事件X i的安全重要度;q i是标准化修正后的所述底层事件的发生概率;g是所述顶层事件的发生概率,其是关于q 1,q 2,...q i,...,q N的割集集合。 Wherein, I G (i) is an important security of the underlying events of X i; q i is the probability of occurrence of the underlying event is a normalized correction; G is the top event occurrence probability, which is about q 1, q 2 ,...q i ,...,q N cut sets.
在本发明的进一步的优选实施例中,可以基于标准化修正后的所述底层事件的发生概率构建结构函数、构建最小割集集合,根据安全树安全重要度公式计算底层事件的结构安全重要度。例如,假定有i个底层事件,每个底层事件的发生概率为X i,构建结构函数
Figure PCTCN2020085369-appb-000002
然后创建最小割集集合为{X 1},{X 2},{X 3},……,{X i}。基于安全树安全重要度公式
Figure PCTCN2020085369-appb-000003
可以计算安全树结构安全重要度
In a further preferred embodiment of the present invention, a structure function and a minimum cut set set can be constructed based on the occurrence probability of the underlying event after standardization and correction, and the structural safety importance of the underlying event can be calculated according to the safety tree safety importance formula. For example, assume that the underlying i-th event, the occurrence probability of each event of the underlying X i, Building Structure Function
Figure PCTCN2020085369-appb-000002
Then create the minimum cut set set as {X 1 }, {X 2 }, {X 3 },……,{X i }. Safety importance formula based on safety tree
Figure PCTCN2020085369-appb-000003
The safety importance of the safety tree structure can be calculated
在步骤S3中,基于所述底层事件的安全重要度对所述安全树中发生概率高的分支进行故障重构分析,并基于分析结果降低所述分支中的所述底层事件的发生概率。在本发明的优选实施例中,在建立电动车辆的安全树之后,可以静态地对整车安全性能进行透彻分析。以概率为基础计算出来的安全树基础故障结构重要度和关键重要度是整车安全体系的数字支撑基础。将基础故障重要度和故障发生概率两者融合,从而形成对安全树中各个分支的综合、客观评价,这个评价结果是进行整车综合安全系统设计的基础。整车安全状态基于安全树模型、各分支结构和安全树重要度,通过积分、整合、修正等实时计算而得到,是整车安全系统评价的重要指标。针对安全树结构重要度较高和/或顶层时间发生概率较高的分支进行故障重构分析,溯源求取安全故障发生的基础故障根本原因,从更深层次消除安全故障隐患。在电动车辆实际运营过程中,整车安全性能随时间是不断在变化的。对整车的安全性进行实时、精确、数字化的评估是必要的。整车安全状态是指统筹整车完整的安全树模型,综合各安全故障状态,计算出对整车安全性有指示意义并统一体现的整车重要参数,这是基于 安全树模型对整车安全情况的实时定量描述。In step S3, a fault reconstruction analysis is performed on a branch with a high probability of occurrence in the safety tree based on the safety importance of the underlying event, and the occurrence probability of the underlying event in the branch is reduced based on the analysis result. In the preferred embodiment of the present invention, after the safety tree of the electric vehicle is established, the safety performance of the entire vehicle can be statically thoroughly analyzed. The importance and critical importance of the safety tree-based fault structure calculated on the basis of probability are the digital support basis for the vehicle safety system. The basic failure importance and the probability of failure are combined to form a comprehensive and objective evaluation of each branch in the safety tree. This evaluation result is the basis for the design of the overall vehicle safety system. The safety status of the entire vehicle is obtained through real-time calculations such as integration, integration, and correction based on the safety tree model, branch structure, and importance of the safety tree. It is an important indicator for the evaluation of the entire vehicle safety system. Perform fault reconstruction analysis on branches with higher importance of the safety tree structure and/or higher probability of occurrence at the top level, trace the source to find the root cause of the basic failure of the safety fault, and eliminate the hidden danger of safety failure from a deeper level. In the actual operation of electric vehicles, the safety performance of the entire vehicle is constantly changing over time. Real-time, accurate and digital assessment of the safety of the entire vehicle is necessary. The safety status of the entire vehicle refers to the overall safety tree model of the entire vehicle, and the integration of various safety fault states to calculate the important parameters of the entire vehicle that are indicative and unified for the safety of the entire vehicle. This is based on the safety tree model for the safety of the entire vehicle. Real-time quantitative description of the situation.
优选地,首先依据评价结果进行表层安全故障优先度认定,选择最优先的分支寻找对应的基础故障底事件;然后依据电动车辆运行理论和故障逻辑关系找到核心问题,并提出核心问题的重新设计方法;接下来评估重新设计方案的合理性和影响,需要基础故障结构重要度和基础故障概率关键重要度两方面的数据支撑综合进行考虑,实施重新设计,维修,变换,例如可以对相关零件进行重新设计,维修替换,定时故障维修排除检验,改善运行环境等等。Preferably, first determine the priority of surface safety faults based on the evaluation results, select the most preferred branch to find the corresponding basic fault events; then find the core issues based on the electric vehicle operation theory and the fault logic relationship, and propose a redesign method for the core issues ; Next, to evaluate the rationality and impact of the redesign plan, it is necessary to comprehensively consider the data support of the basic failure structure importance and the critical importance of the basic failure probability, and implement redesign, maintenance, and transformation. For example, relevant parts can be renewed. Design, maintenance and replacement, regular troubleshooting and inspection, improving the operating environment, etc.
实施本发明的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,可以通过安全树构建更新的方式,通过对不同电动车辆反馈的样本数据进行挖掘分析,发现某些典型问题的安全隐患和设计生产的不合理处,通过对这些问题进行重构来不断完善电动车辆设计制造过程。The implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree. By mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, the safety hazards of certain typical problems and the design and production problems can be found. Unreasonable, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
图2是本发明的第二优选实施例的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法的流程示意图。如图2所示,在步骤S1中,构建安全树,所述安全树包括多个底层事件、中间层事件、顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要程度。在本实施例中,所述安全树的构建可以参照图1中所示实施例,在此就不再累述了。在步骤S2中,基于所述安全树对各个底层事件进行安全重要度排序。同样的,所述步骤S2的具体操作也可以参照图1中所示实施例,在此就不再累述了。Fig. 2 is a schematic flow chart of an electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model according to a second preferred embodiment of the present invention. As shown in FIG. 2, in step S1, a security tree is constructed, the security tree includes a plurality of bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and the relationship between the bottom-level events, the middle-level events, and the top-level events. Logical causality and safety importance. In this embodiment, the construction of the security tree can refer to the embodiment shown in FIG. 1, which will not be repeated here. In step S2, the security importance of each bottom-level event is sorted based on the security tree. Similarly, the specific operation of the step S2 can also refer to the embodiment shown in FIG. 1, which will not be repeated here.
在步骤S3中,基于所述底层事件的安全重要度对所述安全树中的顶层事件的优先度进行认定。下面以图3-图4c中的安全树为例进行说明如下。参见图3可知,顶层事件中优先度最高的是结构安全事件,因为根据安全树,其发生概率为30%。In step S3, the priority of the top-level event in the security tree is determined based on the security importance of the bottom-level event. Take the security tree in Figure 3-Figure 4c as an example for description as follows. Referring to Figure 3, it can be seen that the highest priority of the top-level events is the structural safety event, because according to the safety tree, its occurrence probability is 30%.
在步骤S4中,对优先度高的顶层事件,根据所述安全树中发生概率高的分支寻找对应的底层事件。根据图4a-图4b可知,最容易导致结构安全事件的中间事件是制动安全事件,其发生概率为15%。因此选择制动安全事件这一分支,寻找其对应的底层事件。我们根据图4b可以得出,最可能造成制动安全事件的最底层事件是液压传感器异常和制动油管漏油两个底层事件,其概率高达1%。In step S4, for the top-level events with high priority, the corresponding bottom-level events are searched for according to the branches with high occurrence probability in the security tree. According to Figure 4a-4b, it can be seen that the most likely intermediate event to cause structural safety incidents is the braking safety incident, and its occurrence probability is 15%. Therefore, we choose the branch of braking safety events to find the corresponding bottom-level events. According to Figure 4b, we can conclude that the lowest level events that are most likely to cause brake safety incidents are the abnormality of the hydraulic sensor and the oil leakage of the brake tubing. The probability is as high as 1%.
在步骤S5中,基于电动车辆运行理论和故障逻辑关系重新设计所述底层事 件。继续以图4b为例,我们发现液压传感器异常和制动油管漏油两个底层事件发生的概率最高。我们根据已知的电动车辆运行理论和故障逻辑关系,知悉可以采用质量更高的液压传感器和制动油管,并且通过增加检修次数的方式,可以降低液压传感器异常和制动油管漏油两个底层事件的发生概率。那我们可以通过定时更换液压传感器和制动油管来重新设计液压传感器异常和制动油管漏油这两个底层事件。在此,可以对发生概率较高,比如达到0.5%以上的各个底层事件均进行上述操作。In step S5, the underlying event is redesigned based on the electric vehicle operation theory and the fault logic relationship. Continuing to take Figure 4b as an example, we found that the two bottom-layer events, the hydraulic sensor abnormality and the brake oil pipe leakage, have the highest probability. Based on the known electric vehicle operation theory and fault logic relationship, we know that higher quality hydraulic sensors and brake tubing can be used, and by increasing the number of maintenance, the two bottom layers of hydraulic sensor abnormality and brake tubing oil leakage can be reduced. The probability of occurrence of the event. Then we can redesign the two underlying events of hydraulic sensor abnormality and brake oil leakage by regularly replacing the hydraulic sensor and brake tubing. Here, the above operations can be performed on each underlying event with a high probability of occurrence, for example, above 0.5%.
在步骤S6中,我们可以进一步评估所述重新设计的合理性和影响性。例如通过重新运行电动车辆,检测经过重新设计后的液压传感器异常和制动油管漏油两个底层事件的发生概率,评估该重新设计是否合理,以及对整个电动车辆的安全状态的影响如何。在此,可以采用本领域中已知的任何方法进行评估。In step S6, we can further evaluate the rationality and impact of the redesign. For example, by re-running the electric vehicle, detecting the probability of occurrence of the two bottom-level events of the redesigned hydraulic sensor abnormality and the brake oil pipe leakage, and assessing whether the redesign is reasonable and how it affects the safety status of the entire electric vehicle. Here, any method known in the art can be used for evaluation.
在步骤S7中,我们可以根基于所述评估更新所述安全树。安全树的构建方法可以参照步骤S1中所示,在此就不再累述了。In step S7, we can update the security tree based on the evaluation. The method for constructing the security tree can be referred to as shown in step S1, which will not be repeated here.
实施本发明的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,可以通过安全树构建更新的方式,通过对不同电动车辆反馈的样本数据进行挖掘分析,发现某些典型问题的安全隐患和设计生产的不合理处,通过对这些问题进行重构来不断完善电动车辆设计制造过程。The implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree. By mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, the safety hazards of certain typical problems and the design and production problems can be found. Unreasonable, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
本发明解决其技术问题采用的另一技术方案是,构造一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,所述程序被处理器执行时实现所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法。Another technical solution adopted by the present invention to solve its technical problems is to construct a computer-readable storage medium on which a computer program is stored. When the program is executed by a processor, the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety is realized. Design optimization methods.
因此,本发明可以通过硬件、软件或者软、硬件结合来实现。本发明可以在至少一个计算机系统中以集中方式实现,或者由分布在几个互连的计算机系统中的不同部分以分散方式实现。任何可以实现本发明方法的计算机系统或其它设备都是可适用的。常用软硬件的结合可以是安装有计算机程序的通用计算机系统,通过安装和执行程序控制计算机系统,使其按本发明方法运行。Therefore, the present invention can be implemented by hardware, software or a combination of software and hardware. The present invention can be implemented in a centralized manner in at least one computer system, or implemented in a decentralized manner by different parts distributed in several interconnected computer systems. Any computer system or other equipment that can implement the method of the present invention is applicable. The combination of commonly used software and hardware can be a general computer system with a computer program installed, and the computer system is controlled by installing and executing the program to make it run according to the method of the present invention.
本发明还可以通过计算机程序产品进行实施,程序包含能够实现本发明方法的全部特征,当其安装到计算机系统中时,可以实现本发明的方法。本文件中的计算机程序所指的是:可以采用任何程序语言、代码或符号编写的一组指 令的任何表达式,该指令组使系统具有信息处理能力,以直接实现特定功能,或在进行下述一个或两个步骤之后实现特定功能:a)转换成其它语言、编码或符号;b)以不同的格式再现。The present invention can also be implemented by a computer program product. The program contains all the features capable of implementing the method of the present invention. When it is installed in a computer system, the method of the present invention can be implemented. The computer program in this document refers to any expression of a set of instructions that can be written in any programming language, code, or symbol. The instruction set enables the system to have information processing capabilities to directly implement specific functions, or to perform After one or two steps, a specific function is realized: a) conversion into other languages, codes or symbols; b) reproduction in a different format.
因此本发明还涉及一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,所述程序被处理器执行时实现所述的电动车辆的安全树构建方法。Therefore, the present invention also relates to a computer-readable storage medium on which a computer program is stored, and when the program is executed by a processor, the method for constructing a safety tree for an electric vehicle is realized.
本发明还涉及电动车辆,包括处理器,存储在所述处理器中的计算机程序,所述程序被处理器执行时实现所述的电动车辆的安全树构建方法。The present invention also relates to an electric vehicle, including a processor, and a computer program stored in the processor, and when the program is executed by the processor, the safety tree construction method of the electric vehicle is realized.
实施本发明的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法和计算机可读存储介质,可以通过安全树构建更新的方式,通过对不同电动车辆反馈的样本数据进行挖掘分析,发现某些典型问题的安全隐患和设计生产的不合理处,通过对这些问题进行重构来不断完善电动车辆设计制造过程。The implementation of the safety tree model-based electric vehicle safety design optimization method and computer-readable storage medium of the present invention can construct and update the safety tree, and by mining and analyzing the sample data fed back by different electric vehicles, some typical problems can be found Potential safety hazards and irrationality of design and production, through the reconstruction of these problems to continuously improve the design and manufacturing process of electric vehicles.
以上所述仅为本发明的较佳实施例而已,并不用以限制本发明,凡在本发明的精神和原则之内所作的任何修改、等同替换和改进等,均应包含在本发明的保护范围之内。The above descriptions are only preferred embodiments of the present invention and are not intended to limit the present invention. Any modification, equivalent replacement and improvement made within the spirit and principle of the present invention shall be included in the protection of the present invention. Within range.

Claims (8)

  1. 一种基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,其特征在于,包括:An electric vehicle safety design optimization method based on a safety tree model is characterized in that it includes:
    S1.构建安全树,所述安全树包括多个底层事件、中间层事件、顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要程度;S1. Construct a security tree, the security tree including multiple bottom-level events, middle-level events, top-level events, and the logical causality and safety importance between the bottom-level events, the middle-level events, and the top-level events;
    S2.基于所述安全树对各个底层事件进行安全重要度排序;S2. Sort the security importance of each underlying event based on the security tree;
    S3.基于所述底层事件的安全重要度对所述安全树中发生概率高的分支进行故障重构分析,并基于分析结果降低所述分支中的所述底层事件的发生概率;S3. Perform fault reconstruction analysis on the branch with a high probability of occurrence in the security tree based on the safety importance of the underlying event, and reduce the occurrence probability of the underlying event in the branch based on the analysis result;
    其中所述步骤S1进一步包括:The step S1 further includes:
    S11.采集电动车辆的整车安全故障数据;S11. Collect vehicle safety failure data of electric vehicles;
    S12.将所述整车安全故障数据映射归类到不同的安全事件组别中,并分别统计各个安全事件组别频次数据;S12. Map the vehicle safety failure data into different safety event groups, and separately count the frequency data of each safety event group;
    S13.采用联合分析方法对各个安全事件组别中的所述整车安全故障数据进行分类构建安全树;S13. Use a joint analysis method to classify the safety failure data of the entire vehicle in each safety event group to construct a safety tree;
    所述步骤S2进一步包括The step S2 further includes
    S21.通过中间层事件的采集和统计,分析所述中间层事件的存在的参数偏差,将所述中间层事件的原始频次数据换算为标准化的各级中间事件频次数据;S21. Through the collection and statistics of middle-level events, analyze the parameter deviation of the middle-level events, and convert the original frequency data of the middle-level events into standardized frequency data of intermediate events at all levels;
    S22.通过所述逻辑因果关系和所述中间事件的结果分析统计得到各个底层事件的发生概率;S22. Obtain the occurrence probability of each underlying event through the analysis and statistics of the logical causality and the result of the intermediate event;
    S23.基于所述安全树和所述中间层事件的采集和所述中间事件频次数据统计得到各个顶层事件的发生概率;S23. Obtain the occurrence probability of each top-level event based on the collection of the security tree and the middle-level event and the statistics of the frequency of the middle-level event;
    S24.基于各个底层事件对各个中间事件的概率,和各个顶层事件的发生概率,计算得到各个底层事件对顶层事件的影响概率;S24. Based on the probability of each bottom-level event to each intermediate event and the occurrence probability of each top-level event, calculate the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event;
    S25.基于各个底层事件对各个顶层事件的影响概率对各个底层事件进行 安全重要度排序。S25. Sort the safety importance of each bottom-level event based on the impact probability of each bottom-level event on each top-level event.
  2. 根据权利要求1所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,其特征在于,所述步骤S3进一步包括:The method for optimizing the safety design of electric vehicles based on the safety tree model according to claim 1, wherein the step S3 further comprises:
    S31.基于所述底层事件的安全重要度对所述安全树中的顶层事件的优先度进行认定;S31. Determine the priority of the top-level event in the security tree based on the security importance of the bottom-level event;
    S32.对优先度高的顶层事件,根据所述安全树中发生概率高的分支寻找对应的底层事件;S32. For top-level events with high priority, look for corresponding bottom-level events according to branches with high occurrence probability in the security tree;
    S33.基于电动车辆运行理论和故障逻辑关系重新设计所述底层事件。S33. Redesign the underlying event based on the electric vehicle operation theory and the fault logic relationship.
  3. 根据权利要求2所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,其特征在于,所述步骤S3进一步包括:The method for optimizing the safety design of electric vehicles based on the safety tree model according to claim 2, wherein the step S3 further comprises:
    S34.评估所述重新设计的合理性和影响性;S34. Evaluate the rationality and impact of the redesign;
    S35.基于所述评估更新所述安全树。S35. Update the security tree based on the evaluation.
  4. 根据权利要求1所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,其特征在于,所述步骤S13进一步包括:The method for optimizing safety design of electric vehicles based on a safety tree model according to claim 1, wherein the step S13 further comprises:
    S131.将所述整车安全故障数据至少分为第一故障类别、第二故障类别、第三故障类别和第四故障类别;S131. Divide the safety failure data of the vehicle into at least a first failure category, a second failure category, a third failure category, and a fourth failure category;
    S132.采用不同的分析方法分析所述第一故障类别、所述第二故障类别、所述第三故障类别和所述第四故障类别的所述整车安全故障数据,以确定所述电动车辆安全故障数据之间的层级关系从而确定底层事件、中间层事件和顶层事件以及所述底层事件、所述中间层事件、所述顶层事件之间的逻辑因果关系和安全重要度;S132. Use different analysis methods to analyze the vehicle safety failure data of the first failure category, the second failure category, the third failure category, and the fourth failure category to determine the electric vehicle The hierarchical relationship between the safety fault data determines the logical causality and safety importance among the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event, and the bottom-level event, the middle-level event, and the top-level event;
    S133.逐层建立故障因果关系直至遍历所有的所述整车安全故障数据以完成电动车辆的安全树构建。S133. Establish fault causality layer by layer until all the vehicle safety fault data is traversed to complete the construction of the safety tree of the electric vehicle.
  5. 根据权利要求1所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,其特征在于,所述步骤S21包括:The method for optimizing safety design of electric vehicles based on a safety tree model according to claim 1, wherein the step S21 comprises:
    S211.采集所述电动车辆的中间事件的故障数据并进行统计解耦,针对所述电动车辆的运行参数的动态变化,分析存在的参数偏差;将所述参数偏差和所述故障数据中的突发失效报警事件作为所述中间层事件的原始频次数据;S211. Collect the fault data of the intermediate event of the electric vehicle and perform statistical decoupling, analyze the existing parameter deviation for the dynamic change of the operating parameter of the electric vehicle; compare the parameter deviation and the sudden change in the fault data Sending a failure alarm event as the original frequency data of the middle-level event;
    S212.针对各级中间事件的原始频次数据对应的工作环境,将所述原始频次数据换算为标准化的各级中间事件频次数据。S212. For the working environment corresponding to the original frequency data of the intermediate events at all levels, convert the original frequency data into standardized intermediate event frequency data at all levels.
  6. 根据权利要求5所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,其特征在于,所述步骤S22包括:统计在现场应用、测试、检验场景下的标准化的各级中间事件频次数据,并分别计算对应各个底层事件的发生概率。The method for optimizing the safety design of electric vehicles based on the safety tree model according to claim 5, wherein said step S22 comprises: counting the frequency data of standardized intermediate events at all levels in field application, testing, and inspection scenarios, and Calculate the probability of occurrence of each underlying event respectively.
  7. 根据权利要求1所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法,其特征在于,在所述步骤S23中,通过中间事件的发生频次统计和分布、各中间事件的风险度值,计算顶层事件的发生概率;和/或在所述步骤S24中,采用贝叶斯算法算出各个底层事件对所述顶层事件的影响概率。The method for optimizing the safety design of electric vehicles based on the safety tree model according to claim 1, characterized in that, in the step S23, the top layer is calculated by the frequency statistics and distribution of intermediate events and the risk value of each intermediate event. The occurrence probability of the event; and/or in the step S24, the Bayes algorithm is used to calculate the probability of each bottom-level event affecting the top-level event.
  8. 一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,其特征在于,所述程序被处理器执行时实现根据权利要求1-7中任意一项权利要求所述的基于安全树模型的电动车辆安全设计优化方法。A computer-readable storage medium with a computer program stored thereon, wherein the program is executed by a processor to realize the safety tree model-based electric vehicle according to any one of claims 1-7 Safety design optimization method.
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