CN111598705A - Technical risk assessment method and system for investment risk project - Google Patents
Technical risk assessment method and system for investment risk project Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a technical risk assessment method and a system for a risk investment project, which belong to the technical field of investment and comprise the following steps: acquiring the risk level of the project, acquiring the capability level of the required investment company, combining the capability level of the company with the risk value of the project, and rechecking the hidden risk by adopting a simulation operation mode. According to the technical risk assessment method and system for the risk investment project, the comparison module, the risk estimation threshold value, the risk assessment module, the system stopping module, the alarm module and the connection module are arranged, when the project risk value output by the risk assessment module is smaller than the value preset by the risk threshold value preset module, information in the company information input module can be sorted and risk assessment can be carried out, the system is simple and convenient, whether assessment is carried out continuously or not can be selected according to the risk condition of the project, useless time and manpower waste during subsequent assessment are reduced, and therefore the risk assessment efficiency is improved to a certain extent.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of investment, and particularly relates to a technical risk assessment method and a system for a risk investment project.
Background
Risk investment is used as an innovative investment and financing mechanism, the development of innovative enterprises is supported, and the method is an important driving force for technical innovation, economic growth and employment enlargement, the risk investment is to obtain high income matched with high risk, and the risk must be reasonably prevented and controlled, at present, the evaluation method for the project investment risk usually needs to simultaneously evaluate projects and companies, some risk investment companies can receive nearly 200 investment project plans every week, after screening layer by layer, only less than 10 investment applications can be obtained on average, namely, the finally obtained investment projects only account for 0.1-1% of all the application projects, and the risk evaluation of the projects and companies usually needs to be fully calculated, so that the evaluation efficiency is lower, the general evaluation process is more complex, longer time is wasted, and more manpower is needed to be evaluated, and the evaluation result is not subjected to simulation operation after being output, so that the accuracy is low, and therefore, the research of the technical risk evaluation method and the system of the risk investment project, which can improve the evaluation efficiency and reduce the labor expenditure, has important significance.
Disclosure of Invention
Technical problem to be solved
In order to overcome the defects of the prior art, the invention provides a technical risk assessment method and a system for a risk investment project, which solve the problems that the common risk assessment process needs to carry out all calculations, so that the assessment efficiency is low, the common assessment process is complex, long time and manpower needed to be assessed are wasted, and the accuracy is low because no simulation operation is carried out after the assessment result is output.
(II) technical scheme
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention provides the following technical scheme: a technical risk assessment method for a inauguration investment project comprises the following steps:
s1, acquiring the risk level of the project:
the project information and the information of the company to be selected are input into the system through the company information input module and the project information input module, risk sources are obtained from the internet big data module, the risk sources generally comprise the implementation difficulty of project technology, the legal policy of the project, the defects of the project technology, the future development strength of the project, the uniqueness of the product, the patent monopoly of the project, the life cycle of the product, target customer sources, market competition uncertainty, market demands, the validity period of the product, required investment capital, external influence factors and project profitability, and the project risk is evaluated through the risk evaluation module.
S2, acquiring the capability grade of the required investment company:
by inputting the keywords of the company through the steps, the corporate information, capital information, number of lost messages of the corporate, company sales information, company credit information, company evaluation, current stock information, historical stock information, maximum investment risk bearing capacity information of the company and project management capacity of the investment company are acquired from the internet big data module, and then the company is evaluated through the risk evaluation module.
S3, combining the ability level of the company with the risk value of the project:
and extracting project risk values and company risk values in S1 and S2, and performing comprehensive evaluation on the operation risk of the company and the project by adopting a comprehensive evaluation module.
S4, rechecking the hidden risk by adopting a simulation operation mode:
the method comprises the steps of firstly creating important user roles such as a system management member, a project manager, a project development member, an operation member, a test member and the like, simulating and operating by each relevant person, respectively managing project risk items according to respective authorities by the system manager, the project development member, the operation member and the project test member, recording each risk item and occurrence frequency in the operation process in real time, giving an operation strategy adjustment suggestion according to the risk items of the projects, and evaluating whether the projects are feasible or not according to company operation cost.
As a further scheme of the invention: the specific evaluation method of the item risk evaluation module in the step S1 is as follows: and calculating the risk value of each project according to the project risk items and the project risk coefficients, so as to carry out risk assessment on each project, stopping calculation and reminding workers of high project risk through an alarm module after the risk value of the risk project exceeds a preset risk threshold value, and connecting the company information input module and the arrangement module through an automatic connection module when the risk value of the project does not reach the project risk threshold value.
As a further scheme of the invention: the company capability evaluation grade in the S2 is divided into five grades, namely A, B, C, D grade and E grade, wherein A is 0-19 grade, B is 20-59 grade, C is 60-79 grade, D is 80-100 grade, and E is 101-120 grade, when the value evaluated by the company capability is an E interval, the system stops calculating and reminds workers of high risk of investment company through an alarm module, and when the company capability is A, B, C and D intervals, the calculated company risk value is output.
As a further scheme of the invention: the process of assessing the risk of the project in S1 includes analyzing the degree of risk influence of the single risk factor on the project at different stages.
As a further scheme of the invention: the rating of the company capability in S2 further requires analysis of risk factors affecting the enterprise, which include financial risk, technical risk, talent risk, communication risk, procurement risk, and the like, and the degree of influence of the risk factors on the enterprise.
A technical risk assessment system for a risk investment project comprises an information input unit, wherein the information input unit comprises a company information input module and a project information input module, the output end of the project information input module is electrically connected with the input end of a processor through a sorting module, the output end of the processor is electrically connected with the input end of a searching module, the input end of the searching module is electrically connected with the output end of an Internet big data module, the output end of the searching module is electrically connected with the input end of a risk assessment module through an extraction module, the output end of the risk assessment module is electrically connected with the input end of a comparison module, the output end of the comparison module is electrically connected with the input end of a risk threshold value presetting module, the output end of the comparison module is respectively and electrically connected with the input ends of a system stopping module, an alarm module, a company risk value output module, a project risk value output, the input end of the connection module is electrically connected with the output end of the company information input module, and the output end of the connection module is electrically connected with the input end of the arrangement module.
As a further scheme of the invention: the output end of the search module is electrically connected with the input end of the recording module, the output end of the ratchet wheel module is electrically connected with the input end of the database, and the input end of the database is electrically connected with the output end of the query module.
(III) advantageous effects
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the beneficial effects that:
1. the technical risk assessment method and the system for the risk investment project are characterized in that a comparison module, a risk estimation threshold value, a risk assessment module, a system stopping module, an alarm module and a connection module are arranged, after the comparison module compares a project risk value assessed by the risk assessment module with a project risk value of a risk threshold value preset module, when the project risk value is larger than a value preset by the risk threshold value preset module, the comparison module can automatically start the system stopping module and the alarm module, so that the estimation work of the system is stopped and timely alarm is given to a worker, the system does not need to continue useless assessment, when the project risk value output by the risk assessment module is smaller than the value preset by the risk threshold value preset module, the comparison module can connect a company information input module and a sorting module through the connection module, and information in the company information input module can be sorted and subjected to risk assessment, the system is simple and convenient to use, whether evaluation is continued or not can be selected according to the risk condition of the project, useless time and labor waste during subsequent evaluation is reduced, and therefore the risk evaluation efficiency is improved to a certain extent.
2. According to the technical risk assessment method and system for the risk investment project, hidden risks are reviewed in a simulated operation mode, so that the device can simulate companies to perform simulated operation on the project after the risk assessment on the project and the company is completed, the hidden risks of the project and the company are further discovered, and the accuracy of the risk assessment of the device is improved.
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FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of the system of the present invention;
Detailed Description
The technical solution of the present patent will be described in further detail with reference to the following embodiments.
As shown in fig. 1, the present invention provides a technical solution: a technical risk assessment method for a inauguration investment project comprises the following steps:
s1, acquiring the risk level of the project:
the project risk assessment system comprises a company information input module, a project information input module, an internet big data module, a risk source acquisition module, a project risk assessment module and a project risk assessment module, wherein the company information input module and the project information input module input project information and company information to be selected into the system, the risk source acquisition module acquires risk sources from the internet big data module, the risk sources generally comprise the implementation difficulty of project technology, legal policies of projects, defects of the project technology, future development strength of the projects, product uniqueness, project patent monopoly, product life cycle, target customer sources, market competition uncertainty, market demands, product validity period, required investment capital, external influence factors and project profitability, the project risk assessment module assesses the project risk, and the risk assessment module acquires all-around risk factors from a plurality of risk sources of the projects, so that the accuracy of the project risk assessment by the project.
S2, acquiring the capability grade of the required investment company:
the keywords of the company are input through the steps, so that corporate information, capital information, the number of times of losing credit of a corporate, company sales information, company credit information, company evaluation, current stock information, historical stock information, the maximum investment risk bearing capacity information of the company and project management capacity of the corporate are obtained from an internet big data module, the company is evaluated through a risk evaluation module, and the information of the corporate and various information of the company are retrieved, so that the device can comprehensively evaluate the operation risk of the company and can specifically evaluate the company according to the actual condition of the corporate.
S3, combining the ability level of the company with the risk value of the project:
and extracting project risk values and company risk values in S1 and S2, and performing comprehensive evaluation on the operation risk of the company and the project by adopting a comprehensive evaluation module.
S4, rechecking the hidden risk by adopting a simulation operation mode:
firstly, important user roles such as a system management member, a project manager, a project development member, an operation member, a test member and the like are created, and the system administrator, the project manager, the project development member, the operation member and the project test member respectively manage the project risk items according to the respective authority, recording each risk item and occurrence frequency in the operation process in real time, giving out an operation strategy adjustment suggestion according to the risk item of the project, evaluating whether the project is feasible or not according to the company operation cost, by adopting the simulated operation mode to review the hidden risks, the device can simulate the company to carry out simulated operation on the project after the risk assessment on the project and the company is completed, therefore, hidden risks of projects and companies are further discovered, and the accuracy of risk assessment of the device is improved.
Specifically, the specific evaluation method of the item risk evaluation module in S1 is as follows: the system comprises a company information input module, a company information input sorting module, a company information input module.
Specifically, the company capacity evaluation grade in S2 is divided into five grades, namely A, B, C, D grade and E grade, wherein A is 0-19 grade, B is 20-59 grade, C is 60-79 grade, D is 80-100 grade, and E is 101-120 grade, when the value evaluated by the company capacity is an E interval, the system stops calculating and reminds workers of high risk of investment company through an alarm module, when the company capacity is four intervals of A, B, C and D, the calculated company risk value is output, and the evaluation of the company capacity is divided into five grades, so that each company can select proper project operation according to the self capacity condition.
Specifically, the process of evaluating the risk of the project in S1 includes analyzing the risk influence degree of the single risk factor on the project at different stages, and the evaluation result of the project by the device is more objective by analyzing the risk influence degree of the single risk factor on the project at different stages, so that the accuracy of the project evaluation by the device is improved.
Specifically, in S2, the rating of the company capability also needs to analyze risk factors affecting the enterprise, including financial risk, technical risk, talent risk, communication risk, purchasing risk, and the like, and the degree of influence of the risk factors on the enterprise, so that the influence of some other external factors on the evaluation result of the device can be known by analyzing the financial risk, technical risk, talent risk, communication risk, and purchasing risk.
A technical risk assessment system for a risk investment project comprises an information input unit, wherein the information input unit comprises a company information input module and a project information input module, a user can input project information and company information through the company information input module and the project information input module by arranging the company information input module and the project information input module, the output end of the project information input module is electrically connected with the input end of a processor through an arranging module, the arranging module is arranged to arrange the input information to a specified format, the processor is convenient to process the input information, the output end of the processor is electrically connected with the input end of a search module, the input end of the search module is electrically connected with the output end of an internet big data module, and through arranging the internet big data module, the system can stop working and give an alarm when the risk value output by the risk evaluation module is greater than the risk value preset by the risk threshold value preset module, thereby avoiding subsequent useless evaluation of project risks, and the output end of the comparison module is respectively electrically connected with the input ends of the system stop module, the alarm module, the company risk value output module, the project risk value output module and the connection module, the input of switch-on module is connected with company information input module's output electricity, through setting up the switch-on module, make when the project risk value that risk assessment module output is less than the preset numerical value of risk threshold value preset module, the contrast module can be connected company information input module and arrangement module through the switch-on module, make the information in the company information input module can be arranged and carry out the risk assessment, make this system not only simple and convenient when using, can also select whether to continue to evaluate according to the risk condition of project, the output of switch-on module is connected with the input electricity of arrangement module.
Specifically, the output end of the search module is electrically connected with the input end of the recording module, the output end of the ratchet wheel module is electrically connected with the input end of the database, the input end of the database is electrically connected with the output end of the query module, and the recording module, the database and the query module are arranged, so that the search module can record search results through the recording module after the search is completed, and can store the search results through the database, and a user can query historical evaluation records through the query module.
The working principle of the invention is as follows:
s1, when the risk of the project and the company needs to be evaluated, the user can respectively input the company information and the project information into the system through the company information input module and the project information output module, so that the project information can be sent to the processor after being sorted by the sorting module, the processor can search the historical data and other related data about the project information in the internet big data module through the searching module, and the corresponding information and the project information are sent to the risk evaluation module for risk evaluation after the data is extracted to the corresponding information through the extracting module;
s2, after the risk assessment is completed, the risk assessment module can automatically send the assessment value to the comparison module and compare the assessment value with a risk value preset by the risk threshold value presetting module, when the project risk value is larger than a value preset by the risk threshold value presetting module, the comparison module can automatically start the system stopping module and the alarm module, so that the estimated work of the system is stopped and timely alarm is given to remind workers, and when the project risk value output by the risk assessment module is smaller than the value preset by the risk threshold value presetting module, the comparison module can connect the company information input module with the arrangement module through the connection module;
and S3, the information in the company information input module can be sorted and risk evaluated by the same method, the comparison module can output the project risk value through the project risk value output module, and when the company risk value is smaller than the value preset by the risk threshold value preset module, the comparison module can output the company risk value through the company risk value output module, so that the risk values of the company risk value output module and the project risk value output module can be sent to the comprehensive evaluation module to comprehensively evaluate the overall risk value.
In the description of the present invention, it should be noted that, unless otherwise explicitly specified or limited, the terms "mounted," "connected," and "connected" are to be construed broadly, e.g., as meaning either a fixed connection, a removable connection, or an integral connection; can be mechanically or electrically connected; they may be connected directly or indirectly through intervening media, or they may be interconnected between two elements. The specific meaning of the above terms in the present invention can be understood by those of ordinary skill in the art through specific situations.
Although the preferred embodiments of the present patent have been described in detail, the present patent is not limited to the above embodiments, and various changes can be made without departing from the spirit of the present patent within the knowledge of those skilled in the art.
Claims (7)
1. A technical risk assessment method for a inauguration investment project is characterized by comprising the following steps:
s1, acquiring the risk level of the project:
inputting project information and to-be-selected company information into the system through a company information input module and a project information input module, acquiring risk sources from an internet big data module, wherein the risk sources generally comprise the implementation difficulty of project technology, the legal policy of the project, the defects of the project technology, the future development strength of the project, the uniqueness of the product, the patent monopoly of the project, the life cycle of the product, target customer sources, market competition uncertainty, market demands, the validity period of the product, required investment capital, external influence factors and project profitability, and evaluating the project risks through a risk evaluation module;
s2, acquiring the capability grade of the required investment company:
inputting company keywords through the steps, so that corporate information, capital information, number of lost messages of the corporate, company sales information, company credit information, company evaluation, current stock information, historical stock information, maximum investment risk bearing capacity information and project management capacity of a company needing to be invested are obtained from an internet big data module, and then the company is evaluated through a risk evaluation module;
s3, combining the ability level of the company with the risk value of the project:
extracting project risk values and company risk values in S1 and S2, and comprehensively evaluating the operation risk of companies and projects by adopting a comprehensive evaluation module;
s4, rechecking the hidden risk by adopting a simulation operation mode:
the method comprises the steps of firstly creating important user roles such as a system management member, a project manager, a project development member, an operation member, a test member and the like, simulating and operating by each relevant person, respectively managing project risk items according to respective authorities by the system manager, the project development member, the operation member and the project test member, recording each risk item and occurrence frequency in the operation process in real time, giving an operation strategy adjustment suggestion according to the risk items of the projects, and evaluating whether the projects are feasible or not according to company operation cost.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein the method comprises: the specific evaluation method of the item risk evaluation module in the step S1 is as follows: and calculating the risk value of each project according to the project risk items and the project risk coefficients, so as to carry out risk assessment on each project, stopping calculation and reminding workers of high project risk through an alarm module after the risk value of the risk project exceeds a preset risk threshold value, and connecting the company information input module and the arrangement module through an automatic connection module when the risk value of the project does not reach the project risk threshold value.
3. The method of claim 1, wherein the method comprises: the company capability evaluation grade in the S2 is divided into five grades, namely A, B, C, D grade and E grade, wherein A is 0-19 grade, B is 20-59 grade, C is 60-79 grade, D is 80-100 grade, and E is 101-120 grade, when the value evaluated by the company capability is an E interval, the system stops calculating and reminds workers of high risk of investment company through an alarm module, and when the company capability is A, B, C and D intervals, the calculated company risk value is output.
4. The method of claim 2, wherein the method comprises: the process of assessing the risk of the project in S1 includes analyzing the degree of risk influence of the single risk factor on the project at different stages.
5. A method for technical risk assessment of a inauguration investment project according to claim 3, characterized in that: the rating of the company capability in S2 further requires analysis of risk factors affecting the enterprise, which include financial risk, technical risk, talent risk, communication risk, procurement risk, and the like, and the degree of influence of the risk factors on the enterprise.
6. A technical risk assessment system for a risk investment project comprises an information input unit, and is characterized in that: the information input unit comprises a company information input module and a project information input module, the output end of the project information input module is electrically connected with the input end of a processor through an arranging module, the output end of the processor is electrically connected with the input end of a searching module, the input end of the searching module is electrically connected with the output end of an internet big data module, the output end of the searching module is electrically connected with the input end of a risk assessment module through an extracting module, the output end of the risk assessment module is electrically connected with the input end of a comparison module, the output end of the comparison module is electrically connected with the input end of a risk threshold value presetting module, the output end of the comparison module is respectively electrically connected with the input ends of a system stopping module, an alarm module, a company risk value output module, a project risk value output module and a connecting module, and the input end of the connecting module is electrically, and the output end of the connecting module is electrically connected with the input end of the arranging module.
7. The system for assessing the technical risk of a inauguration investment project according to claim 6, wherein: the output end of the search module is electrically connected with the input end of the recording module, the output end of the ratchet wheel module is electrically connected with the input end of the database, and the input end of the database is electrically connected with the output end of the query module.
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Application publication date: 20200828 |