CN108537386A - Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record - Google Patents
Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record Download PDFInfo
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- CN108537386A CN108537386A CN201810329133.1A CN201810329133A CN108537386A CN 108537386 A CN108537386 A CN 108537386A CN 201810329133 A CN201810329133 A CN 201810329133A CN 108537386 A CN108537386 A CN 108537386A
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- repairment
- equipment
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- physical fault
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem"
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0639—Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/20—Administration of product repair or maintenance
Abstract
A kind of Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record, for predicting reporting equipment possible breakdown for repairment, including：Record storage portion；Repairing information receiving part；Similar repairing information search part；The probability of occurrence of each physical fault reported for repairment under failure is calculated in probability statistics calculating part；The frequency of occurrences of each physical fault reported for repairment under failure is calculated in frequency statistics calculating part；Time retrieves calculating part, is calculated that report fault time for repairment poor；Analyze determination unit, the frequency of occurrences for reporting the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment and probability of occurrence in current repairing information and on the basis of report fault time difference for repairment according to judgment rule, carry out analysis judgement and obtain the possible breakdown for reporting equipment for repairment in current repairing information.The probability of occurrence of the physical fault corresponding to failure can be reported for repairment according to some in history maintenance record, judgement is compared in the frequency of occurrences, to automatically derive the current possible breakdown reported for repairment corresponding to failure.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of Maintenance forecast devices, belong to computer realm.
Background technology
Inside university, especially inside the university with plurality of devices, some equipment often break down, after needing
Diligent guarantee department goes to repair.
It typically reports for repairment, maintenance process is such：When certain equipment breaks down, user just by phone or
Logistics department is informed in the title of faulty equipment, position by the means such as the network platform, while by the fault condition on surface：Such as computer
Booting blue screen, booting computer is reactionless, unexpected blank screen etc. also informs maintenance department to computer in use, then leaves repair
Time and contact method and contact person.Logistics department reports situation for repairment according to the equipment reported for repairment, at random or according to oneself
Previous experience place under repair personnel, which visit, to place under repair.
Although maintenance personal, can be big according to specific failure title and the experience of oneself after being connected to maintenance task
What is caused expects the possible fault condition of the superficial failure, and check at the scene after debugging can accurate judgement failure, and carry out
It is corresponding to repair.
But in practice, can also find that failure is cumbersome and needs that warehouse is gone to stock up again, need make a trip, when waste
Between, especially for large-scale unit, when equipment is more, the maintenance personal often sent at random can not repair
It is actual to report failure for repairment.
Invention content
The present invention is former in order to solve reporting for repairment for the above-mentioned only phenomenon of the failure provided according to the user reported for repairment when reporting for repairment
Barrier the problem of can not accurately knowing physical fault, the present invention is based on the big datas that history is reported for repairment to be predicted thus, according to
Past historical data is predicted to report failure for repairment.
The present invention provides a kind of Maintenance forecast devices based on history maintenance record, for reporting equipment possible breakdown for repairment
It is predicted, including：Record storage portion is used for all maintenance records of storage device, which includes unique with equipment
Corresponding EIC equipment identification code, the failure time of occurrence of the equipment, the equipment report failure and the physical fault of the equipment for repairment；Report
Information receiving part is repaiied, for obtaining external repairing information, which includes reporting the EIC equipment identification code of equipment, the equipment for repairment
Report failure and the failure time of occurrence of the equipment for repairment；Similar repairing information search part, receives from repairing information receiving part
Current repairing information in obtain the EIC equipment identification code for reporting equipment for repairment and report failure for repairment, and correspondence is retrieved from record storage portion
All same categories of device corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code and its report failure for repairment and report the identical similar report of failure for repairment with current
Historical record is repaiied, which includes corresponding failure time of occurrence, reports failure and physical fault for repairment；Probability
Calculating part is counted, the similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record is subjected to statistic of classification, and this is calculated and reports for repairment under failure
Each physical fault probability of occurrence；Frequency statistics calculating part is divided the similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record
Class counts, and the frequency of occurrences of each physical fault reported for repairment under failure is calculated；Time retrieves calculating part, is deposited from record
Retrieve all failure time of occurrence of generic equipment corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code in storage portion, and will be all therefore
The failure time of occurrence in the last time and current repairing information in barrier time of occurrence be calculated reporting for repairment
Fault time is poor；Analyze determination unit, the frequency of occurrences for reporting the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment in current repairing information and
It probability of occurrence and reports for repairment on the basis of fault time difference according to judgment rule, carries out analysis judgement and obtain in current repairing information
The possible breakdown for reporting equipment for repairment.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is：Typing portion is recorded, the equipment of reporting for repairment in current repairing information is examined on the spot for inputting maintenance personal
The physical fault found afterwards is repaiied, and the physical fault is corresponded in storage to storage part.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is：Wherein, EIC equipment identification code includes device class coding and equipment serial number, and similar repairing information search part is identification extraction
Device class in EIC equipment identification code encodes to be retrieved to obtain all same categories of device corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code
EIC equipment identification code, then retrieve corresponding failure time of occurrence further according to these EIC equipment identification codes, report failure and reality for repairment
The similar of border failure reports historical record for repairment.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is：Wherein, judgment rule includes the following steps：
The first step, sequence are suitable according to probability size by the probability of occurrence data of each physical fault and the physical fault
Sequence is ranked up；
Second step, judges whether the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first is greater than or equal to a%, if it is just directly prediction should
The physical fault of sequence first is this possible breakdown for reporting for repairment and end, is walked if not third is then entered；
Third walks, and whether further judges the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first more than or equal to b%, if it is being put into
4th step, if not being put into the 5th step；
4th step further judges the frequency of occurrences for reporting fault time difference and the physical fault of sequence first for repairment, when reporting for repairment
When fault time difference is within the scope of the frequency of occurrences, just directly predict that the physical fault of the sequence first is the possibility event that this is reported for repairment
Barrier, if not then into the 5th step；
5th step calculates and reports the frequency of occurrences that fault time difference reports failure corresponding all physical faults for repairment with such for repairment
Difference；
The physical fault of difference minimum is directly regarded as this possible breakdown reported for repairment by the 6th step,
a>b>10。
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is：Wherein, a is greater than or equal to 50, b and is greater than or equal to 20.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is：Wherein, it includes office equipment and instrument and equipment to report equipment for repairment.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is：Wherein, office equipment includes personal computer, server, printer, facsimile machine, duplicator, all-in-one machine.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is：Wherein, record storage portion is also stored with treatment measures corresponding with physical fault.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is, further includes:Maintenance cost Department of Statistics replaces determination unit, wherein the also corresponding valence for being stored with equipment in record storage portion
Value, maintenance cost Department of Statistics count the number that the physical fault of the equipment corresponding to some EIC equipment identification code occurs, and according to pre-
The repair for determining the physical fault that calculation of price has occurred and that is spent, when the repair of equipment spends the value more than or equal to the equipment
When, it replaces determination unit and decides that the equipment is state to be replaced.
Maintenance forecast device provided by the invention based on history maintenance record, can also have the feature that, special
Sign is, further includes:Prompting portion is replaced, for generating prompting message according to the judgement result for replacing determination unit, allows administrative staff
It is handled.
The effect of invention
Maintenance forecast device according to the present invention based on history maintenance record, because the record storage portion having can
For storage device it is all include with equipment uniquely corresponding EIC equipment identification code, the equipment failure time of occurrence, this sets
It is standby to report failure and the physical fault history maintenance record of the equipment, the repairing information receiving part having for repairment and obtain outside
Including reporting the EIC equipment identification code of equipment, the repairing information for reporting failure and the failure time of occurrence of the equipment for repairment of the equipment for repairment,
It obtains to report for repairment in the current repairing information that the similar repairing information search part having can be received from repairing information receiving part and set
Standby EIC equipment identification code and report failure for repairment, and it is corresponding retrieved from record storage portion it is corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code all
Same category of device and its report for repairment failure with it is current report for repairment failure it is identical it is similar report historical record for repairment, this is similar to report history note for repairment
Record includes corresponding failure time of occurrence, reports failure and physical fault for repairment, and the probability statistics calculating part having can will be similar
It reports physical fault in historical record for repairment and carries out statistic of classification, and this is calculated and reports going out for each physical fault under failure for repairment
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record can be carried out statistic of classification by existing probability, the frequency statistics calculating part having, and
The frequency of occurrences of each physical fault reported for repairment under failure is calculated, the time retrieval calculating part having can be deposited from record
All failure time of occurrence corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code are retrieved in storage portion, and will be in all failure time of occurrence
The last time and current repairing information in failure time of occurrence be calculated poor, the tool that reports fault time for repairment
Some analyze determination unit can be in current repairing information the frequency of occurrences for reporting the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment and appearance
It probability and reports for repairment on the basis of fault time difference according to judgment rule, carries out analysis judgement and obtain the report in current repairing information
The possible breakdown of equipment is repaiied, so, the Maintenance forecast device of history maintenance record of the invention can be according to history maintenance record
In some report the probability of occurrence of the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment, judgement is compared in the frequency of occurrences, to automatically derive
The current possible breakdown reported for repairment corresponding to failure completes the forecast based on history maintenance record to reporting failure for repairment.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is the composition frame chart of the Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record in the embodiment of the present invention；
Fig. 2 is the schematic diagram of the identification information of the record storage portion storage in the embodiment of the present invention；
Fig. 3 is the schematic diagram for the repairing information that the repairing information receiving part in the embodiment of the present invention receives；
Fig. 4 is that the similar historical record that reports for repairment that the similar repairing information search part in the embodiment of the present invention retrieves is retrieved
As a result schematic diagram；
Fig. 5 is the probability of occurrence for the physical fault that the probability statistics calculating part in the embodiment of the present invention is calculated
As a result schematic diagram；
Fig. 6 is the probability of occurrence for the physical fault that the frequency statistics calculating part in the embodiment of the present invention is calculated
As a result schematic diagram；
Fig. 7 is the schematic diagram of the probability size ranking results in the embodiment of the present invention；
Fig. 8 is current 20170908 booting blue screen prediction result schematic diagram；
Fig. 9 is the ascending ranking results of the frequency and the difference for reporting fault time difference for repairment in the embodiment of the present invention
Schematic diagram；
Figure 10 is the schematic diagram of the information in the updated record storage portion in the embodiment of the present invention；And
Figure 11 is that the repair of 01230036 PC machine cut-off till now in the embodiment of the present invention spends statistical result
Schematic diagram.
Specific implementation mode
It is real below in order to make the technical means, the creative features, the aims and the efficiencies achieved by the present invention be easy to understand
Example combination attached drawing is applied to have the structure of the Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record of the present invention, composition, application method work
Body illustrates.
Fig. 1 is the composition frame chart of the Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record in the embodiment of the present invention.
As shown in Figure 1, the Maintenance forecast device 100 based on history maintenance record includes record storage portion 101, repairing information
Receiving part 102, similar repairing information search part 103, probability statistics calculating part 104, frequency statistics calculating part 105, time retrieval
Calculating part 106, analysis determination unit 107, record typing portion 108, maintenance cost Department of Statistics 109, replacement determination unit 110, replacement carry
Awake portion 111 and control unit 112.
Fig. 2 is the schematic diagram of the identification information of the record storage portion storage in the embodiment of the present invention.
Record storage portion 101 is used for all maintenance records of storage device, which includes uniquely corresponding with equipment
EIC equipment identification code, the failure time of occurrence of the equipment, the equipment report for repairment failure, report for repairment contact person, report for repairment contact method with
And the equipment physical fault and treatment measures, repair is spent and apparatus value, the information of storage is as shown in Fig. 2, equipment is known
Other code is encoded comprising device class and equipment serial number, and identification identification code is 8 altogether in the present embodiment, and first four are identification classification
Coding, latter four are equipment serial number.
Fig. 3 is the schematic diagram for the repairing information that the repairing information receiving part in the embodiment of the present invention receives.
Repairing information receiving part 102, for obtaining external repairing information, which includes the equipment for reporting equipment for repairment
Identification code, the equipment the failure time of occurrence for reporting failure and the equipment for repairment, report for repairment contact person, report for repairment contact method, reservation
Time, the repairing information are as shown in Figure 3.
Fig. 4 is that the similar historical record that reports for repairment that the similar repairing information search part in the embodiment of the present invention retrieves is retrieved
As a result schematic diagram.
Similar repairing information search part 103 is obtained in the current repairing information received from repairing information receiving part and is reported for repairment
The EIC equipment identification code of equipment and report failure for repairment, and correspondence retrieves institute corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code from record storage portion
Some same categories of device and its report for repairment failure with it is current report for repairment failure it is identical it is similar report historical record for repairment, this is similar to report history for repairment
Record includes corresponding failure time of occurrence, reports failure and physical fault for repairment.In the present embodiment, similar repairing information search part
103 be to identify that the device class in extraction equipment identification code encodes to be retrieved to obtain institute corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code
Then the EIC equipment identification code of some same categories of device retrieves corresponding failure time of occurrence, report further according to these EIC equipment identification codes
Repair failure and the similar of physical fault report historical record for repairment, obtain similar to report historical record retrieval result for repairment as shown in Figure 4.
Fig. 5 is the probability of occurrence for the physical fault that the probability statistics calculating part in the embodiment of the present invention is calculated
As a result schematic diagram.
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record is carried out statistic of classification, and calculated by probability statistics calculating part 104
Report the probability of occurrence of each physical fault under failure for repairment to this.
As shown in figure 5, to this EIC equipment identification code 01230026, device class is PC machine, and the fault time reported for repairment is
20170908, it is booting blue screen to report failure for repairment, reports the physical fault of this time PC machine booting blue screen failure of the artificial Lee AB of contact for repairment
Probability statistics information.
According to the statistical information of Fig. 5 it is found that being counted by reporting day 20170908 for repairment, memory bar contact occurs not
Good, hard disk failure, virus, temperature are excessively high, other have altogether 500 times, and corresponding memory bar poor contact occurs 200 times, to answer seizure ratio
Probability is 40%；Hard disk failure occurs 100 times, is 20% to answer seizure ratio probability；Viral failure occurs 80 times, to answer seizure ratio probability
It is 16%；Temperature is excessively high to be occurred 40 times, is 8% to answer seizure ratio probability；And other failures occur 80 times, are to answer seizure ratio probability
16%.
Fig. 6 is the probability of occurrence for the physical fault that the frequency statistics calculating part in the embodiment of the present invention is calculated
As a result schematic diagram.
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record is carried out statistic of classification, and calculated by frequency statistics calculating part 105
The frequency of occurrences of each physical fault under failure is reported for repairment to this, as shown in fig. 6, uniting by reporting day 20170908 for repairment
Meter, occur memory bar poor contact, hard disk failure, virus, temperature it is excessively high, other have altogether 500 times, corresponding memory bar poor contact
Occur 200 times, will occur within 10-25 days once, average 15.2 days primary；Hard disk failure occurs 100 times, will send out within 25-90 days
Raw primary, average 75.6 days primary；Viral failure occurs 80 times, will occur within 8-65 days once, and average 13.5 days primary；Temperature
It is excessively high to occur 40 times, 9-190 days will be primary, average 105.6 days are primary；And other failures occur 80 times, 10-126 days are just
It can occur once, average 78.5 days primary.
Time retrieves calculating part 106, and generic set corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code is retrieved from record storage portion
Standby all failure time of occurrence, and report the last time in all failure time of occurrence for repairment letter with current
Failure time of occurrence in breath, which be calculated, reports that fault time is poor for repairment, obtain as shown in Figure 4 be exactly retrieval obtain with
All failure time of occurrence of the corresponding generic equipment of the EIC equipment identification code, wherein the last time are recorded as
" poor contact of the booting blue screen memory bar of 01230369PC machines 20170825 ", then report fault time difference for repairment and arrived for 20170908
20170825 difference is 14 days.
Analyze determination unit 107, the frequency of occurrences for reporting the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment in current repairing information and
It probability of occurrence and reports for repairment on the basis of fault time difference according to judgment rule, carries out analysis judgement and obtain in current repairing information
The possible breakdown for reporting equipment for repairment.
Fig. 7 is the schematic diagram of the probability size ranking results in the embodiment of the present invention.
Wherein, judgment rule includes the following steps：
The first step, sequence are suitable according to probability size by the probability of occurrence data of each physical fault and the physical fault
Sequence is ranked up, and thus obtains the ranking results of Fig. 7, it is found that this reports failure for repairment corresponding to booting blue screen, physical fault
Probability of occurrence size order be respectively memory bar poor contact, hard disk failure, virus, temperature it is excessively high, other, wherein maximum probability
Failure be memory bar poor contact, probability of happening 40%.
Second step, judges whether the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first is greater than or equal to a%, if it is just directly prediction should
The physical fault of sequence first is this possible breakdown for reporting for repairment and end, is walked if not third is then entered.In the present embodiment,
a>b>10, report failure for repairment in this booting blue screen, a 50, b 20, it is clear that the failure of maximum probability is memory bar contact
Bad probability of happening 40% is less than 50%, so needing to enter third step.
Third walks, and whether further judges the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first more than or equal to b%, if it is being put into
4th step, if not being put into the 5th step.Obvious 40% is greater than 20%, so into the 4th step.
Fig. 8 is current 20170908 booting blue screen prediction result schematic diagram.
4th step further judges the frequency of occurrences for reporting fault time difference and the physical fault of sequence first for repairment, when reporting for repairment
When fault time difference is within the scope of the frequency of occurrences, just directly predict that the physical fault of the sequence first is the possibility event that this is reported for repairment
Barrier, if not then into the 5th step.As shown in fig. 6, it is 14 days to report fault time difference for repairment, within the scope of corresponding 10-25 days,
So directly judging that the possible breakdown for reporting failure for repairment of this booting blue screen is memory bar poor contact, obtained prediction result is such as
Shown in Fig. 8.
Fig. 9 is the ascending ranking results of the frequency and the difference for reporting fault time difference for repairment in the embodiment of the present invention
Schematic diagram.
5th step calculates and reports the frequency of occurrences that fault time difference reports failure corresponding all physical faults for repairment with such for repairment
Difference.
This step is exactly that will report the average frequency that fault time poors in 14 days failure-frequencies with each physical fault for repairment
Number of days carries out seeking difference operation, by taking the frequency that Fig. 6 occurs as an example, can obtain ranking results shown in Fig. 9, wherein memory bar connects
The calculating formula for touching undesirable difference is 15.2-14=1.2 days, and the rest may be inferred by analogy.
The physical fault of difference minimum is directly regarded as this possible breakdown reported for repairment by the 6th step.According to Fig. 9 displayings
Ranking results determine failure of the minimum viral failure as prediction.
Figure 10 is the schematic diagram of the information in the updated record storage portion in the embodiment of the present invention.
Typing portion 108 is recorded, the equipment of reporting for repairment in current repairing information is overhauled on the spot for inputting maintenance personal
The physical fault found afterwards, and the physical fault is corresponded in storage to record storage portion.
Maintenance personal is according to the failure of prediction：RAM card poor contact and the corresponding memory bar needed replacing are to scene
After checking, it is found that the physical fault of this booting blue screen is exactly memory bar damage, directly replace, corresponding maintenance personal
Typing is carried out by recording typing portion 108 and corresponding input interface, and stores update and obtains the updated note such as Figure 10
The information in address book stored portion.
Figure 11 is that the repair of 01230036 PC machine cut-off till now in the embodiment of the present invention spends statistical result
Schematic diagram.
Maintenance cost Department of Statistics 109 counts the number that the physical fault of the equipment corresponding to some EIC equipment identification code occurs,
And the repair that the physical fault having occurred and that is calculated according to set price is spent.By taking the PC machine of EIC equipment identification code 01230036 as an example
It has obtained spending statistical information such as the repair of Figure 11.
When the repair of equipment spends the value more than or equal to the equipment, replaces determination unit 110 and decide that the equipment is
State to be replaced.As shown in figure 11, it is 923 that statistics, which obtains the maintenance cost for the PC machine that EIC equipment identification code is 01230036, is not had
More than the apparatus value of the equipment.
Prompting portion 111 is replaced, for generating prompting message according to the judgement result for replacing determination unit, administrative staff is allowed to carry out
Processing.
Control unit 112, for being controlled.
In above-described embodiment, it is by taking large-scale school as an example to report equipment for repairment, these equipment include mainly just office equipment and instrument
Device equipment, and office equipment includes personal computer, server, printer, facsimile machine, duplicator, all-in-one machine.
The repair of the Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record in the present embodiment is described in detail below in conjunction with attached drawing
Operational process and step.
The repairing information receiving part 102 of step S1, Maintenance forecast device 100 obtain external repairing information.
Step S2 is obtained from current repairing information and is reported the EIC equipment identification code of equipment for repairment and report failure for repairment, and corresponding from note
Retrieved in address book stored portion all same categories of device corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code and its report failure for repairment and currently report for repairment
Failure it is identical it is similar report historical record for repairment, which includes corresponding failure time of occurrence, reports failure for repairment
And physical fault.
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record is carried out statistic of classification, and this is calculated and reports event for repairment by step S3
The probability of occurrence of each physical fault under barrier.
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record is carried out statistic of classification, and this is calculated and reports event for repairment by step S4
The frequency of occurrences of each physical fault under barrier.
Step S5 retrieves all failure time of occurrence of generic equipment corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code, and
Failure time of occurrence in the last time and current repairing information in all failure time of occurrence is counted
It is poor that calculation obtains reporting fault time for repairment.
Step S6 carries out the probability of occurrence data of each physical fault and the physical fault according to probability size order
Sequence.
Step S7, judges whether the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first is greater than or equal to 50%, if it is just directly prediction
The physical fault of the sequence first is this possible breakdown for reporting for repairment and enters step S12, if not then entering step S8.
Whether step S8, further judge the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first more than or equal to 20%, if it is just into
Enter step S9, if not being put into step S10.
Step S9 further judges the frequency of occurrences for reporting fault time difference and the physical fault of sequence first for repairment, when reporting for repairment
When fault time difference is within the scope of the frequency of occurrences, just directly predict that the physical fault of the sequence first is the possibility event that this is reported for repairment
Barrier, if not then entering step S10.
Step S10 is calculated and is reported the frequency of occurrences that fault time difference reports the corresponding all physical faults of failure for repairment with such for repairment
Difference.
The physical fault of difference minimum is directly regarded as this possible breakdown reported for repairment by step S11.
Step S12, maintenance personal are prepared according to the possible breakdown of prediction, to reporting device context for repairment to currently reporting letter for repairment
Equipment of reporting for repairment in breath carries out the physical fault of maintenance discovery on the spot, and the physical fault is corresponded in storage to record storage portion.
Step S13 counts the number that the physical fault of the equipment corresponding to some EIC equipment identification code occurs, and according to predetermined
The repair for the physical fault that calculation of price has occurred and that is spent.
Step S14 replaces determination unit 110 and decides that when the repair of equipment spends the value more than or equal to the equipment
The equipment is state to be replaced.
Step S15 replaces prompting portion 111 and generates prompting message according to the judgement result for replacing determination unit, allows administrative staff
It is handled.
The effect of embodiment
Maintenance forecast device according to the present invention based on history maintenance record, because the record storage portion having can
For storage device it is all include with equipment uniquely corresponding EIC equipment identification code, the equipment failure time of occurrence, this sets
It is standby to report failure and the physical fault history maintenance record of the equipment, the repairing information receiving part having for repairment and obtain outside
Including reporting the EIC equipment identification code of equipment, the repairing information for reporting failure and the failure time of occurrence of the equipment for repairment of the equipment for repairment,
It obtains to report for repairment in the current repairing information that the similar repairing information search part having can be received from repairing information receiving part and set
Standby EIC equipment identification code and report failure for repairment, and it is corresponding retrieved from record storage portion it is corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code all
Same category of device and its report for repairment failure with it is current report for repairment failure it is identical it is similar report historical record for repairment, this is similar to report history note for repairment
Record includes corresponding failure time of occurrence, reports failure and physical fault for repairment, and the probability statistics calculating part having can will be similar
It reports physical fault in historical record for repairment and carries out statistic of classification, and this is calculated and reports going out for each physical fault under failure for repairment
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record can be carried out statistic of classification by existing probability, the frequency statistics calculating part having, and
The frequency of occurrences of each physical fault reported for repairment under failure is calculated, the time retrieval calculating part having can be deposited from record
All failure time of occurrence corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code are retrieved in storage portion, and will be in all failure time of occurrence
The last time and current repairing information in failure time of occurrence be calculated poor, the tool that reports fault time for repairment
Some analyze determination unit can be in current repairing information the frequency of occurrences for reporting the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment and appearance
It probability and reports for repairment on the basis of fault time difference according to judgment rule, carries out analysis judgement and obtain the report in current repairing information
The possible breakdown of equipment is repaiied, so, the Maintenance forecast device of history maintenance record of the invention can be according to history maintenance record
In some report the probability of occurrence of the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment, judgement is compared in the frequency of occurrences, to automatically derive
The current possible breakdown reported for repairment corresponding to failure completes the forecast based on history maintenance record to reporting failure for repairment.
Because the Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record in the present embodiment also has record typing portion, can be defeated
Enter maintenance personal and the physical fault that is found after overhauling on the spot carried out to the equipment of reporting for repairment in current repairing information, and by the reality
Failure corresponds in storage to storage part, and such setting can be updated the data constantly, allowed mantenance data to record and updated, made
The probability of occurrence for reporting the physical fault corresponding to failure for repairment of certain a kind of equipment, the frequency of occurrences can be slowly to true number
Be worth it is close so that prediction result it is more acurrate.
Again because the EIC equipment identification code in the present embodiment includes device class coding and equipment serial number, and such setting is just
In being counted and identified.
Further, the judgment rule in the analytical judgment portion in the present embodiment is to combine the physical fault reported for repairment corresponding to failure
Probability of occurrence and the frequency of occurrences carry out comprehensive descision, so result can be more acurrate.
Further, being counted with maintenance cost based on the Maintenance forecast device of history maintenance record in the present embodiment
Portion replaces determination unit, counts the number that the physical fault of the equipment corresponding to some EIC equipment identification code occurs, and according to repair
The repair that set price calculates the physical fault having occurred and that is spent, when the repair of equipment spends the valence more than or equal to the equipment
When value, replaces determination unit and decide that the equipment is state to be replaced, replaced, without being repaired again.
The above embodiment is the preferred case of the present invention, is not intended to limit protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (10)
1. a kind of Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record, for predicting reporting equipment possible breakdown for repairment, including：
Record storage portion, all maintenance records for storing the equipment, which includes uniquely corresponding with equipment
EIC equipment identification code, the failure time of occurrence of the equipment, the equipment report failure and the physical fault of the equipment for repairment；
Repairing information receiving part, for obtaining external repairing information, which includes reporting the equipment knowledge of equipment for repairment
Other code, the described of the equipment report failure and the failure time of occurrence of the equipment for repairment；
Similar repairing information search part obtains from the current repairing information that the repairing information receiving part receives and reports equipment for repairment
The EIC equipment identification code and it is described report failure for repairment, and correspondence retrieves and the EIC equipment identification code phase from the record storage portion
Corresponding all same categories of device and its report for repairment failure with it is presently described report for repairment failure it is identical it is similar report historical record for repairment, should
The similar historical record that reports for repairment includes the corresponding failure time of occurrence, described reports failure and the physical fault for repairment；
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record is carried out statistic of classification, and is calculated by probability statistics calculating part
This reports the probability of occurrence of each physical fault under failure for repairment；
The similar physical fault reported for repairment in historical record is carried out statistic of classification, and calculated by frequency statistics calculating part
Obtain the frequency of occurrences of each physical fault reported for repairment under failure；
Time retrieves calculating part, and generic equipment corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code is retrieved from the record storage portion
All failure time of occurrence, and by all failure time of occurrence the last time and current institute
It states the failure time of occurrence in repairing information and be calculated that report fault time for repairment poor；
Analyze determination unit, in current repairing information described in report for repairment the physical fault corresponding to failure the frequency of occurrences and
It probability of occurrence and reports for repairment on the basis of fault time difference according to judgment rule, carries out analysis judgement and obtain in current repairing information
The possible breakdown for reporting equipment for repairment.
2. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 1 based on history maintenance record, which is characterized in that further include：
Typing portion is recorded, institute after overhauling on the spot is carried out to reporting equipment for repairment described in current repairing information for inputting maintenance personal
It was found that physical fault, and the physical fault is corresponded into storage in the storage part.
3. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 1 based on history maintenance record, it is characterised in that：
Wherein, the EIC equipment identification code includes device class coding and equipment serial number,
The similar repairing information search part is that the device class that identification is extracted in the EIC equipment identification code encodes to carry out
Retrieval obtains the EIC equipment identification code of all same categories of device corresponding with the EIC equipment identification code, is then set further according to these
Standby identification code retrieves the corresponding failure time of occurrence, described reports failure for repairment and similar report for repairment of the physical fault is gone through
The Records of the Historian is recorded.
4. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 1 based on history maintenance record, it is characterised in that：
Wherein, the judgment rule includes the following steps：
The first step, sequence are suitable according to probability size by the probability of occurrence data of each physical fault and the physical fault
Sequence is ranked up；
Second step, judges whether the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first is greater than or equal to a%, if it is just directly prediction should
The physical fault of sequence first is this possible breakdown for reporting for repairment and end, is walked if not third is then entered；
Third walks, and whether further judges the probability of occurrence numerical value of sequence first more than or equal to b%, if it is being put into
4th step, if not being put into the 5th step；
4th step further reports the frequency of occurrences of fault time difference and the physical fault of sequence first for repairment described in judgement, when
It is described when reporting fault time difference for repairment within the scope of the frequency of occurrences, just directly predict that the physical fault of the sequence first is this
The possible breakdown reported for repairment, if not then into the 5th step；
5th step reports the appearance frequency that fault time difference reports the corresponding all physical faults of failure for repairment with such described in calculating for repairment
The difference of rate；
The physical fault of difference minimum is directly regarded as this possible breakdown reported for repairment by the 6th step,
a>b>10。
5. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 4 based on history maintenance record, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, a is greater than or equal to 50, b and is greater than or equal to 20.
6. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 1 based on history maintenance record, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, the equipment of reporting for repairment includes office equipment and instrument and equipment.
7. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 6 based on history maintenance record, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, the office equipment includes personal computer, server, printer, facsimile machine, duplicator, all-in-one machine.
8. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 1 based on history maintenance record, it is characterised in that:
Wherein, the record storage portion is also stored with treatment measures corresponding with the physical fault.
9. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 1 based on history maintenance record, which is characterized in that further include:
Maintenance cost Department of Statistics replaces determination unit,
Wherein, the also corresponding value for being stored with equipment in the record storage portion,
The maintenance cost Department of Statistics counts the number that the physical fault of the equipment corresponding to some EIC equipment identification code occurs, and root
The repair that the physical fault having occurred and that is calculated according to set price is spent,
When the repair of the equipment spends the value more than or equal to the equipment, the replacement determination unit decides that this sets
Standby is state to be replaced.
10. the Maintenance forecast device according to claim 9 based on history maintenance record, which is characterized in that further include:
Prompting portion is replaced, for generating prompting message according to the judgement result for replacing determination unit, administrative staff is allowed to handle.
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| CN201810329133.1A CN108537386A (en) | 2018-04-13 | 2018-04-13 | Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record |
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| CN201810329133.1A CN108537386A (en) | 2018-04-13 | 2018-04-13 | Maintenance forecast device based on history maintenance record |
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| CN109472372A (en) * | 2018-10-17 | 2019-03-15 | 平安国际融资租赁有限公司 | Resource data distribution method, device and computer equipment based on leased equipment |
| CN112990764A (en) * | 2021-04-15 | 2021-06-18 | 国网浙江省电力有限公司 | Power grid equipment maintenance condition monitoring method based on reimbursement certificate |
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