CN108280568A - A kind of Beijing hook longicorn risk analysis method - Google Patents
A kind of Beijing hook longicorn risk analysis method Download PDFInfo
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- CN108280568A CN108280568A CN201810009488.2A CN201810009488A CN108280568A CN 108280568 A CN108280568 A CN 108280568A CN 201810009488 A CN201810009488 A CN 201810009488A CN 108280568 A CN108280568 A CN 108280568A
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- 241001481710 Cerambycidae Species 0.000 title claims abstract description 21
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 8
- 238000012502 risk assessment Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 7
- 238000004364 calculation method Methods 0.000 claims abstract description 3
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 abstract description 2
- 241000238631 Hexapoda Species 0.000 description 8
- 240000008375 Hymenaea courbaril Species 0.000 description 8
- 241000382353 Pupa Species 0.000 description 7
- 241000607479 Yersinia pestis Species 0.000 description 6
- 230000006378 damage Effects 0.000 description 5
- 201000010099 disease Diseases 0.000 description 5
- 208000037265 diseases, disorders, signs and symptoms Diseases 0.000 description 5
- 241000196324 Embryophyta Species 0.000 description 4
- 210000003491 skin Anatomy 0.000 description 4
- 241000220225 Malus Species 0.000 description 3
- 210000001015 abdomen Anatomy 0.000 description 3
- 241000283690 Bos taurus Species 0.000 description 2
- 241001481296 Malus spectabilis Species 0.000 description 2
- 208000027418 Wounds and injury Diseases 0.000 description 2
- 238000009792 diffusion process Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000032669 eclosion Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000000694 effects Effects 0.000 description 2
- 210000002615 epidermis Anatomy 0.000 description 2
- 238000011156 evaluation Methods 0.000 description 2
- 208000014674 injury Diseases 0.000 description 2
- 238000004519 manufacturing process Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000013011 mating Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 2
- 239000000243 solution Substances 0.000 description 2
- 210000000115 thoracic cavity Anatomy 0.000 description 2
- 102000002322 Egg Proteins Human genes 0.000 description 1
- 108010000912 Egg Proteins Proteins 0.000 description 1
- 241001442294 Exocentrus Species 0.000 description 1
- 206010061217 Infestation Diseases 0.000 description 1
- 241001325354 Lamiinae Species 0.000 description 1
- 238000004026 adhesive bonding Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000032683 aging Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000013019 agitation Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000004458 analytical method Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000034303 cell budding Effects 0.000 description 1
- 235000009508 confectionery Nutrition 0.000 description 1
- 238000010276 construction Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000011217 control strategy Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000002347 injection Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000007924 injection Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000012544 monitoring process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000017448 oviposition Effects 0.000 description 1
- 210000004681 ovum Anatomy 0.000 description 1
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000000047 product Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000004080 punching Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000004445 quantitative analysis Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000007921 spray Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000003892 spreading Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000003068 static effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 239000013589 supplement Substances 0.000 description 1
- 239000002023 wood Substances 0.000 description 1
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0635—Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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- G06Q10/0639—Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
- G06Q10/06393—Score-carding, benchmarking or key performance indicator [KPI] analysis
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/02—Agriculture; Fishing; Forestry; Mining
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of Beijing to hook longicorn risk analysis method, carries out every judging quota P respectively according to following calculation formulaiWith the calculating of risk R values：P1=P11=1.80,P3=0.4 × P31+0.4×P32+0.2×P33, P4=Max (P41, P42, P43), P5=(P51+P52+P53)/3, Beijing hook longicorn risk R values：
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to technical field of forestry, are related to a kind of Beijing hook longicorn risk analysis method.
Background technology
It is a kind of branch-trunk insect endangering the forests such as locust tree, apple, Malus spectabilis that Beijing, which hooks longicorn, at present only in Beijing, the Liao Dynasty
It is peaceful to save the generation of western and Gansu Province Dingxi City.The worm only endangers locust tree branch in Dingxi City Anding District, on apple, Malus spectabilis not yet
It was found that.In recent years, to meet afforestation need of work, Gansu Province's large area plants locust tree, with the expansion of its cultivated area,
Beijing hooks the extent of injury also getting worse of longicorn, and very big prestige is caused to Gansu Province's production of forestry and whole afforestation achievement
The side of body.Beijing hooks day bovine coleoptera Coleoptera Cerambycidae Cerambycidae Lamiinaes Lamiinae and hooks day bovine
Exocentrus Mulsant.Beijing hooks longicorn and a generation occurs within 1 year in Dingxi Anding District, with mature larva in killed limb
It is overwintering.The activity of mid or late April in next year, May, larva was aging, eats into and pupates into xylem moth prepupa room in "S" shape.Pupa time 11~
13d, mid-May adult eclosion.The eye of pupa becomes black when sprouting wings, head, thoracic dorsal, wing bud portion's gradual change dark brown, abdomen and
From foot, ceaselessly pupa skin is sloughed off by fine motion, and thoracic dorsal pupa skin gradually ruptures, full pupa skin is sloughed off with wing bud after foot first stretches out, abdomen is carried on the back at this time
Dark brown has an apparent white line, and elytrum, which gradually stretches out volt, to be carried on the back pupa skin in abdomen and finally slough off in elytrum end.In trunk after adult eclosion
It is stopped in burrow, after body wing hardens 3~5d, the sawdust moth of stifled pupa room is opened and is climbed out of, emergence hole about 1mm and circle, after just sprouting wings
Statvolt.Mainly based on creeping, limb epidermis is gnawed in happiness for adult activity, is met agitation and is escaped or have seemingly-dead property, seldom circles in the air, static
When 3-5 be gathered in prickle or crotch.Male imago temperature chases female adult pest mating, 5~9d of egg-laying season when higher.Male worm can be more
Secondary mating, service life are shorter than female adult.Ovum is hatched through 5~7d into larva, is eaten into and is eaten to bast along bark gap after larvae hatch, current year
Larva body grows 5~7mm, is eaten into autumn into xylem, the sawdust eaten into, excrement are jammed in gallery, are not discharged outside tunnel, worm
Road is crisscross to cause tree vigo(u)r weak, and trunk epidermis and woody part are from causing whole strain withered when serious.
Invention content
The purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of Beijing to hook longicorn risk analysis method, the beneficial effects of the invention are as follows：Energy
It is enough preferably to take control measure, it is ensured that not cause disaster existing generating region, it is ensured that forest grows up healthy and sound, and waits similar area or even sweet
A kind of respectful, national good control strategy of offer, protection locust tree, apple etc. are not affected or less affected by harm, it is ensured that woods family additional income, into
One step promotes Ecological Civilization Construction.
The technical solution adopted in the present invention is to carry out every judging quota P respectively according to following calculation formulaiWith risk R
The calculating of value：
P1=P11
P3=0.4 × P31+0.4×P32+0.2×P33
P4=Max (P41, P42, P43)
P5=(P51+P52+P53)/3
Beijing hooks longicorn risk R values：
It is special hazard according to 2.50≤R ＜ 3.00,2.00≤R ＜ 2.50 are highly dangerous, during 1.50≤R ＜ 2.00 are
Degree is dangerous, and 0≤R ＜ 1.50 are the grade scale of low degree of hazard.
Further, judging quota PiValue is accurate as shown in table 1 below：
Table 1
Specific implementation mode
The present invention is described in detail With reference to embodiment.
Every judging quota tax that the present invention program provides Beijing hook longicorn divides the Beijing that see the table below 1 to hook longicorn Risk Evaluation
Tax divides table 1.
1 locust tree of table hooks the tax of longicorn Risk Evaluation and divides table
According to following pest risk quantitative analysis formula, every judging quota (P is carried out respectivelyi) and risk
The calculating of R values：
P1=P11=1.80；
P3=0.4 × P31+0.4×P32+0.2×P33=1.32；
P4=Max (P41, P42, P43)=1.80；
P5=(P51+P52+P53)/3=2.43.
Risk R value of Beijing hook longicorn in China：
It is special hazard according to 2.50≤R ＜ 3.00,2.00≤R ＜ 2.50 are highly dangerous, during 1.50≤R ＜ 2.00 are
Degree is dangerous, and 0≤R ＜ 1.50 are the grade scale of low degree of hazard, and Beijing hooks longicorn and belongs to the forestry harmful of poor risk in China
Biology.
In order to protect the whole province's afforestation engineering results and production of forestry safety, prevent Beijing hook longicorn spread in china,
It is managed it is recommended that being included in our province supplement forestry quarantine harmful organisms list, and proposes following risk management alternatively side
Case：
Scheme 1：Reinforce generating region quarantine to wipe out and treat insect pests and plant diseases with epidemic situation, prevents the worm Spreading and diffusion.The locust tree recalled from generating region is former
Wood, plank, square bar, wooden package object must pass through suffocating treatment.In generating region prevents, the big, age of tree to those insect density
Greatly, it without the trees for saving value, takes and cuts down except update is handled.For sporadicly occurring or percentage of injury is high, insect density is little
Area, take it is positive wipe out and treat insect pests and plant diseases measure, the method for wiping out and treating insect pests and plant diseases can take spray, trunk gluing, punching injection etc..
Scheme 2：Reinforce preventing, avoids risk incoming.For non-generating region, the area especially adjoined with generating region is gloomy
Anti- department should organize ad hoc survey, and set up Insect infestation monitoring point in important location, accomplish to find to wipe out and treat insect pests and plant diseases in time in time.In addition,
It often to be checked to lumber market, find epidemic situation timely processing, epidemic situation is eliminated in budding state.
To sum up, Beijing hooks longicorn and is found for the first time Gansu is provincial, is Gansu Province's new record, main harm locust tree, host face
Product is larger in Dingxi City or even the whole province, and to most of locust tree growing area of our province or even China, especially land occupation condition is poor
Afforestation area constitutes certain threat.The Bioclimatic analysis that Beijing hooks longicorn is bigger, once incoming be difficult to eradicate, should reinforce examining
Epidemic disease management prevents the worm from continuing diffusion harm in the whole province.
The above is only the better embodiment to the present invention, not makees limit in any form to the present invention
System, every any simple modification that embodiment of above is made according to the technical essence of the invention, equivalent variations and modification,
Belong in the range of technical solution of the present invention.
Claims (2)
1. a kind of Beijing hooks longicorn risk analysis method, it is characterised in that：Carry out every judge respectively according to following calculation formula
Index PiWith the calculating of risk R values：
P1=P11
P3=0.4 × P31+0.4×P32+0.2×P33
P4=Max (P41, P42, P43)
P5=(P51+P52+P53)/3
Beijing hooks longicorn risk R values：
It is special hazard according to 2.50≤R ＜ 3.00,2.00≤R ＜ 2.50 are highly dangerous, and 1.50≤R ＜ 2.00 endanger for moderate
Danger, 0≤R ＜ 1.50 are the grade scale of low degree of hazard.
2. hooking longicorn risk analysis method according to a kind of Beijing described in claim 1, it is characterised in that：The judging quota PiIt takes
Value is accurate as shown in table 1 below：
Table 1
Priority Applications (1)
| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
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| CN201810009488.2A CN108280568A (en) | 2018-01-05 | 2018-01-05 | A kind of Beijing hook longicorn risk analysis method |
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| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
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| CN201810009488.2A CN108280568A (en) | 2018-01-05 | 2018-01-05 | A kind of Beijing hook longicorn risk analysis method |
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| Publication Number | Publication Date |
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| CN108280568A true CN108280568A (en) | 2018-07-13 |
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| CN201810009488.2A Pending CN108280568A (en) | 2018-01-05 | 2018-01-05 | A kind of Beijing hook longicorn risk analysis method |
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Citations (3)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN101609483A (en) * | 2008-06-19 | 2009-12-23 | 上海市园林科学研究所 | Urban green space pest risk levels is determined method |
| CN104063612A (en) * | 2014-07-02 | 2014-09-24 | 武汉理工大学 | Tunnel engineering risk situation fuzzy evaluation method and system |
| CN106960267A (en) * | 2016-01-08 | 2017-07-18 | 环境保护部南京环境科学研究所 | A kind of Shi Ye classes agricultural insect pest methods of risk assessment |
-
2018
- 2018-01-05 CN CN201810009488.2A patent/CN108280568A/en active Pending
Patent Citations (3)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN101609483A (en) * | 2008-06-19 | 2009-12-23 | 上海市园林科学研究所 | Urban green space pest risk levels is determined method |
| CN104063612A (en) * | 2014-07-02 | 2014-09-24 | 武汉理工大学 | Tunnel engineering risk situation fuzzy evaluation method and system |
| CN106960267A (en) * | 2016-01-08 | 2017-07-18 | 环境保护部南京环境科学研究所 | A kind of Shi Ye classes agricultural insect pest methods of risk assessment |
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Application publication date: 20180713 |