CN106251020A - Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity - Google Patents
Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity, including: obtain survey region Land_use change topology data;Land_use change topology data is carried out spatialization process, forms Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index;According to Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index, set up resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system;Use Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment that resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system carries out multidomain treat-ment, generate resosurces environment loading capacity three regions;Carry out construction land expansion simulation based on spatial database, form construction land suitability mode of extension;Construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partitioned area are carried out spatial overlay analysis, according to analysis result, it is achieved preferred to Land_use change layout.
Description
Technical field
Present invention relates particularly to a kind of Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity.
Background technology
Land use planning is under the guidance of the idea of sustainable development, utilizes with Rational Land and protects, with full
Foot human economic society growth requirement is the planning of basic goal, is to the land development in certain area coverage, utilizes, administers
The general arrangement made on room and time with protection and layout, its open space planning relates to resources protection and development, resource cloth
Office and the aspect such as structural adjustment, major project delimitation, and focus on the pass that is optimized for of land use structure adjustment and space layout
Point, i.e. based on the visual angle producing, living, the ecological three lives coordinates, rationally determines the ratio of farming land, construction land, ecological land
Relation and space layout;In general, the core of land use planning is to alleviate day by day fierce people-ground contradiction, meets warp
Ji is social fast-developing and population increases the demand to land used, and construction land is carrying socio-economic development achievement and mankind's life
Produce the main carriers lived, therefore coordinating production, on the basis of ecological land, it is achieved the optimization layout of construction land, be
The important content of overall plan for land use, is also to solve the important channel of all kinds of problems in urbanization process.
Along with the propelling of urbanization process, construction land layout optimization is increasingly becoming the much-talked-about topic of research;1989, suddenly
China's moral proposes Garden City theory, advocates Urban-rural Coordinated Development, serves important to the construction land layout in city ecotope
Directive function, nineteen thirty-five relies special wide mu City Theory and " Athens Charter " within 1978, promulgated then to build in urban development
If Land arrangement is expanded on further with the mutual relation of ecological environment;The nineties in 20th century, for solve city low-density without
Sequence such as spreads at the urban issues, and the theory such as " compact development, astute increase " proposes in succession, delimit urban growth boundary, builds many fingers
Target urban development Benefit evaluation system becomes the important means optimizing construction land layout;One-tenth along with computer technology
Ripe, combine with GIS technology at the computer model such as cellular automata, neutral net and carry out the basis of construction land layout prediction
On carry out construction land optimizing research and become new focus, rationalization and science for construction land layout optimization provide
Technical support.
The Oregon of U.S.'s Portland proposes a set of land used preferred version, the Oregon area of Portland vast but
/ 3rd of local not enough Quanzhou that suitable people occupies, almost all population all concentrates in Williamette river valley, and population
Nesting Zone is also agricultural development area, the lance under quick urbanization process, between urban construction, environmental conservation and agricultural development
Shield is increasingly sharp-pointed, and formulating rational urban growth boundary becomes important content and the governmental duties of national planning;Ripple in 2004
The special blue delimitation result to urban growth boundary in 1979 is corrected, i.e. on the basis of existing urban growth boundary, if
Four kinds of different development sights are determined: basic sight was i.e. increased by former pattern;Sight A advocates suitably expansion limit, existing city
Boundary, and carry out greater compactness of exploitation at light rail and public bus network periphery;Sight B advocates to carry out on the basis of existing urban border
Greater compactness of exploitation and the more effective utilization of soil traffic system;Sight C is Pattern of satellite town, advocates surrounding cities, Metropolitan Area
The potential region increased as city;On the basis of carrying out situation setting and city's spatial structure prediction, for selecting optimum
Urban development pattern, Portland proposes 46 concrete evaluation indexes in terms of eight, traffic, land used, air quality, water etc., and
46 indexs under different situations have been carried out detailed measuring and calculating and relative analysis, the distinct quality of various developmental patterns, thus
Investigated by the public, the public select the most acceptable scheme, mix above multiple scheme on this basis and determine final city
Growth border, city.The defect of this kind of method is: 1, selection indicators is more complicated, is difficult to value;2, subjective guideline is more, root
According to the Characteristic Design of the U.S., it is not suitable for China's actual conditions.
Long Ying etc. use restrictive CA method to be simulated Beijing's urban morphology, set under four kinds of different sights
Urban morphology: planning sight (control centre city, put forth effort develop new city), spread sight (the urban development mould of " stand large flat bread "
Formula), grape cluster sight (maintaining on the basis of existing development scale, promote samll cities and towns and the exploitation of Along Traffic Trunk Lines), ecological protect
Protect district's sight (avoiding on stream, to forbidding that construction district and basic farmland take, promoting the sustainable development in city);
On the basis of Scene Simulation, Long Ying etc. uses scenario analysis, by CA, Logistic and MonoLoop method, by often
Secondary circulation increases the policy parameters such as cellular quantity, field policy coefficient, Kappa regression coefficient newly to the urban morphology under different sights
Feasibility carry out the relative analysis of transverse and longitudinal, so that it is determined that the urban morphology of optimum;The defect of this kind of method is: only consider
Urban Expansion, simulates multiple urban diffusion model, but is not extended the preferred of scheme.
Summary of the invention
For above-mentioned deficiency of the prior art, the invention provides a kind of Land_use change based on resosurces environment loading capacity
Layout method for optimizing, the method can carry out the optimized placement scheme of Land_use change under the constraint of resosurces environment loading capacity
Select, to determine optimal Land utilization's mode.
In order to reach foregoing invention purpose, the technical solution used in the present invention is:
A kind of Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity is provided, including:
Obtain survey region Land_use change topology data;Described Land_use change topology data includes statistical data and space number
According to;
Described Land_use change topology data is carried out spatialization process, forms Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation and refer to
Mark, sets up spatial database;
According to Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index, according to the intension criterion of resosurces environment loading capacity, set up
Resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system;
Use Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment that described resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system carries out multidomain treat-ment, generate money
Environmental carrying capacity three regions, source, i.e. resource environment high-bearing capacity region, middle bearing capacity region and low bearing capacity region;
Carry out construction land expansion simulation based on described spatial database, form construction land suitability mode of extension;
Described construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partitioned area are carried out spatial overlay analysis,
According to analysis result, it is achieved preferred to Land_use change layout.
Described Land_use change topology data is carried out spatialization process, forms Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation and refer to
Mark, the concrete steps setting up spatial database include:
S11, the original fishing net of generation covering survey region;
S12, the original fishing net and the Land_use change topology data that generate are carried out space overlapping, generate in original fishing net each
The spatial object value of individual grid, obtains population density, economic density, land resource enabling capabilities, Water resources supporting capacity, friendship
Logical distribution of facilities, water conservancy projects distribution and afforestation rate evaluation space index;
S13, according in step S12 generate evaluation space index, according to windy and sandy soil data figure spot area and
The area accounting of corresponding survey region similar cover type, is calculated the spatial density of each index, and computing formula is as follows:
SL=ZB × ZL
Wherein, SL is the index space density of each figure speckle carrying, and ZL is certain space-like object space at this grid
Object value, ZB is the spatial area that certain space-like object is occupied in original grid;
S14, the index space density obtaining step S13 are standardized processing, and form Land_use change topology data empty
Between change evaluation index.
According to Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index, according to the intension criterion of resosurces environment loading capacity, set up
Concretely comprising the following steps of resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system:
Intension criterion according to resosurces environment loading capacity, is classified as social economy's bearing capacity, Resources Carrying Capacity and environment
Bearing capacity;
By Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index respectively according to social economy's bearing capacity, Resources Carrying Capacity and ring
The intension criterion of border bearing capacity, sets up resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system:
Economic density and population density index are divided into social economy's load bearing principle layer;
Land resource enabling capabilities, Water resources supporting capacity, means of transportation distributing and water conservancy projects distribution index are divided
For Resources Carrying Capacity rule layer;
Index of forest coverage is divided into environmental carrying capacity rule layer.
Carry out construction land expansion simulation based on described spatial database, form the tool of construction land suitability mode of extension
Body step is:
S21, determine construction land expansion change variable: land use pattern be changed to construction land and non-constructive land
Between conversion,For the Land_use change state of t ij position, by the Land_use change state in t+1 momentTo t
Land_use change stateChange be Land_use change state variable, use grid algebraically subtraction by Land_use change state
Variable is converted to dichotomic variable,
Being converted into construction land by non-constructive land, variable is designated as 1;
Non-constructive land is converted into non-constructive land, and variable is designated as 0;
S22, determine construction land expansion variation: spatiality based on construction land layout, opening and adjustability
Principle, build construction land influence of arrangement factor key element collection, including natural conditions, urban system, the main line of communication, transport node,
Administrative obstruct, industrial factors, restriction element and program element;
S23, calculating variation power of influence:
For range attenuation class key element, use ArcGIS spatial analytical method to calculate the space length of variation, then use
The space attraction force value of equation below calculating variation:
Wherein, fkForce value is attracted for certain class variation space at kth space lattice;distk: kth space networks
Lattice are to the space length value sum of all variations of certain class;β: take 0.0001;
For absolute restricted key element, grid algebraically subtraction is used to be converted into dichotomic variable, it is possible to build
If the variation region of Land arrangement, attracting force value is 1;The variation region of construction land layout can not be carried out, inhale
Gravitation value is 0;
Step S24, set up construction land expansion change with variation binary Logistic Spatial Regression Model:
L (P)=In (P/1-P)=β0+β1f1+β2f2+…+βnfn
Wherein, dependent variableOnly have two states, be expressed as construction land transition probability, have 0 and 1 two value;From change
Amount i.e. variation is f1, f2, f3 ..., fn, and fn is the space captivation of all kinds of variations affecting construction land layout
Value;β0The constant term obtained, β is returned for binary LogisticnThe each variation obtained is returned to construction for binary Logistic
The weighted value of Land arrangement;
Step S25, construction land transition probability are predicted: binary Logistic based on construction land layout Yu variation
Spatial Regression Model, structure construction land expansion probabilistic model:
Z=β0+β1f1+β2f2+…+βnfn;
Wherein, p is construction land transition probability;
Step S26, according to the relation between construction land layout and variation, carry out the construction land under different mode
Layout simulation, calculates the construction land transition probability under different mode, and turns each spatial point construction land under each pattern
Change probability averaged and standard deviation respectively, according to construction land transition probability meansigma methods and standard deviation, generate construction land
Suitability mode of extension, specific as follows:
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+2 times construction land transition probability standard deviation,
Then it is set as construction land and controls extended area;
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+1 times construction land transition probability standard deviation,
Then it is set as construction land appropriateness extended area;
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+0.5 times construction land transition probability standard
Difference, then be set as the abundant extended area of construction land.
Described construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partitioned area are carried out spatial overlay analysis,
According to analysis result, it is achieved to preferably concretely comprising the following steps of Land_use change layout:
In the original fishing net of survey region, by construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partition area
Territory is overlapped, and the region that stack result is identical is added up and calculated its area, calculate the identical region of stack result with
The area accounting of the original fishing net of survey region, according to area accounting, is carried out preferably Land_use change layout.
The method of the present invention establishes the resosurces environment loading capacity evaluation of a set of applicable land use planning in a creative way and refers to
Mark, and set up the Land_use change placement scheme analogy method based on binary logistic homing method, thus provide one
Kind under resosurces environment loading capacity retrains, carry out the preferred method of Land_use change placement scheme, it is achieved excellent to Land_use change layout
Change design.
To retrain construction land layout, building optimum development space is target, constructs resource based on space scale
Environment Carrying Capacity Assessment index system, spatial distribution the size based on its bearing capacity of measuring and calculating regional carrying capacity of resources and environments are drawn
Determine high-bearing capacity district, middle bearing capacity district and low bearing capacity district three class bearing space, preferably establish bar for construction land layout
Part.
On the basis of summing up the construction land influence of arrangement factor, to the pass between construction land layout and influent factor thereof
System has carried out quantifying to judge, constructs construction land expansion suitability equation, with different developmental patterns, simulates different construction
Land arrangement scheme.
With the evaluation result of resosurces environment loading capacity for constraint, use spatial choice, different development programs is commented
Valency, based on producing, live and the principle of ecological three lives reconciling spatial scale development, finally determines the optimum side of town site layout
Case.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is the original fishing net figure of the covering survey region of one embodiment of the invention;
Fig. 2 is the original fishing net space overlapping figure with land use data of one embodiment of the invention;
Fig. 3 is the mode of extension of the construction land control extended area of the continuity formula layout pattern of one embodiment of the invention
Figure;
Fig. 4 is the extension of the construction land appropriateness extended area of the continuity formula layout pattern of another embodiment of the present invention
Ideograph;
Fig. 5 is the extension of the abundant extended area of construction land of the continuity formula layout pattern of another embodiment of the present invention
Ideograph;
Fig. 6 is the extension of the construction land control extended area of the cities and towns guide type layout pattern of one embodiment of the invention
Ideograph;
Fig. 7 is the construction land appropriateness extended area of the cities and towns guide type layout pattern of another embodiment of the present invention
Mode of extension figure;
Fig. 8 is the abundant extended area of construction land of the cities and towns guide type layout pattern of another embodiment of the present invention
Mode of extension figure;
Fig. 9 is the extension of the construction land control extended area of the traffic guide formula layout pattern of one embodiment of the invention
Ideograph;
Figure 10 is the construction land appropriateness extended area of the traffic guide formula layout pattern of another embodiment of the present invention
Mode of extension figure;
Figure 11 is the abundant extended area of construction land of the traffic guide formula layout pattern of another embodiment of the present invention
Mode of extension figure.
Detailed description of the invention
Below the detailed description of the invention of the present invention is described, in order to those skilled in the art understand this
Bright, it should be apparent that the invention is not restricted to the scope of detailed description of the invention, from the point of view of those skilled in the art,
As long as various changes limit and in the spirit and scope of the present invention that determine, these changes are aobvious and easy in appended claim
Seeing, all utilize the innovation and creation of present inventive concept all at the row of protection.
According to one embodiment of present invention, Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity, specifically
Step is as follows:
1, survey region Land_use change topology data is obtained;Land_use change topology data includes statistical data and space number
According to;
An embodiment according to the application, the society in collection research region, economy, industry and resource data, the most such as
Shown in table 1 below:
Table 1 Land_use change topology data
2, Land_use change topology data is carried out spatialization process, form Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation and refer to
Mark, sets up spatial database;
An embodiment according to the application, detailed process is:
2.1, with survey region as scope, the fishing net of the 500 × 500m covering whole survey region is created, as shown in Figure 1;
2.2, the fishing net generated in step 2.1 is carried out space overlapping with the Land_use change topology data of acquisition in step 1,
Generate the spatial object value of each grid, obtain GDP value, the size of population, land resource distribution, distribution of water resources, traffic set
Execute distribution, water conservancy projects distribution and forest cover distribution space evaluation index;
The fishing net of survey region and GDP data are carried out space overlapping, obtain each sky by an embodiment according to the application
The GDP spatial data that layout is online, as shown in Figure 2;
2.3, by the evaluation space index of generation in step 2.2 according to the figure spot area of windy and sandy soil data and accordingly
The area accounting of survey region similar cover type carries out being calculated the spatial density of each index, is economic density, people
Mouth density, land resource enabling capabilities, Water resources supporting capacity, means of transportation distributing, water conservancy projects distribution and afforestation rate;
Computing formula is as follows:
SL=ZB × ZL
Wherein, SL is the index space density of each figure speckle carrying in survey region, and ZL is that certain space-like object is at this net
Spatial object value at lattice, ZB is the spatial area that certain space-like object is occupied in original grid;
2.4, it is standardized the index space density obtained in step 2.3 processing, its value is transformed between 0-1,
Make each index be in the same order of magnitude, and then Comprehensive Correlation evaluation can be carried out, thus it is empty to define Land_use change topology data
Between change evaluation index;
Use ArcGIS software, set up spatial database, the spatialization evaluation index data after above-mentioned process are put into
State in data base.
3, according to the Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index formed in step 2.4, carry according to resource environment
The intension criterion of power, sets up resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system;Particularly as follows:
On the basis of metrics evaluation yardstick based on survey region statistical data, incorporate evaluation space yardstick, meanwhile, root
According to the connotative definition to resosurces environment loading capacity, structure in terms of social economy's bearing capacity, Resources Carrying Capacity and environmental carrying capacity three
Build resosurces environment loading capacity index system;
Wherein, social economy's bearing capacity, with real economy, population spatial distribution for characterizing, is resosurces environment loading capacity
Core, for reflecting the diversity of socio-economic activity spatial distribution;
Resources Carrying Capacity be may utilize by region from natural resources and social resources two aspect, natural resources aspect
Water, the soil resource reflection rigid support to future economy social development;Social resources aspect, by traffic and water resource infrastructure
Spatial distribution characterize soft support to future economy social development;
Environmental carrying capacity is then characterized by forest cover: afforestation rate is the highest, shows Regional Eco-environmental Quality
The best, preferably carry out ecological construction, and the relatively low probability that regioinvertions is construction land of afforestation rate is the biggest,
The most suitable layout socio-economic activity in the case of other conditions are identical;
According to the intension criterion of above-mentioned social economy bearing capacity, Resources Carrying Capacity and environmental carrying capacity, will
Economic density and population density index are divided into social economy's load bearing principle layer;
Land resource enabling capabilities, Water resources supporting capacity, means of transportation distributing and water conservancy projects distribution index are divided
For Resources Carrying Capacity rule layer;
Index of forest coverage is divided into environmental carrying capacity rule layer, thus sets up resosurces environment loading capacity evaluation index
System, the most as shown in table 2:
Table 2 resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system
4, use Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment that the resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system formed in step 3 is carried out subregion
Process, generate resosurces environment loading capacity three regions, i.e. resource environment high-bearing capacity region, middle bearing capacity region and low bearing capacity
Region.
5, carry out construction land expansion simulation based on the data in the spatial database formed in step 2, formed to build and use
Ground suitability mode of extension, particularly as follows:
5.1, determine construction land expansion change variable:
For a certain concrete plot, in a certain concrete moment, can only there be two kinds of forms of expression, i.e. construction lands in this plot
Or non-constructive land;The change of land use pattern i.e. shows as the transforming relationship between construction land and non-constructive land;
For the Land_use change state of t ij position, by the Land_use change state in t+1 momentSoil to t
Ground utilization stateChange be Land_use change state variable, use grid algebraically subtraction Land_use change state to be become
Amount is converted to dichotomic variable,
Being converted into construction land by non-constructive land, variable is designated as 1;
Non-constructive land is converted into non-constructive land, and variable is designated as 0;
5.2, construction land expansion variation is determined: during construction land influent factor collection builds, based on building
If the spatiality of Land arrangement, opening and adjustability principle, build and comprise physical features, traffic, cities and towns grade, administrative resistance
Hinder, industry development, the influent factor collection of many key elements such as planning, the identification for construction land influence of arrangement key element provides comparatively perfect
Alternative elements, these alternative elements are chosen from the Land_use change topology data that step 1 is collected, shown in table 3 specific as follows:
Table 3 construction land influence of arrangement variable factors collection
5.3, variation power of influence size is calculated
Feature according to each variation and the mutual relation with construction land layout thereof, can be by construction land influence of arrangement
Each key element that key element is concentrated is divided into range attenuation class key element and absolute restricted key element.
Range attenuation class key element mainly shows as the Space Elements such as cities and towns, traffic, administrative obstruction, and it is to construction land layout
Impact be rendered as range attenuation trend, the nearest apart from these Space Elements, then condition of its exploitation is the best, and development cost is more
Low, the probability producing construction land conversion is the biggest, otherwise the least;
Absolute restricted key element is also for forbidding building district's ecology key element, and such key element has pressure about to construction land layout
Bundle, is the region that can not produce construction land expansion;
For range attenuation class key element, use ArcGIS spatial analytical method to calculate the space length of each variation, then adopt
The space calculating variation by equation below attracts force value, and its value, between 0-1, is worth the biggest, is then converted into construction land
Probability is the biggest, and vice versa, and its computing formula is:
Wherein, fkForce value is attracted for certain class variation space at kth space lattice;Kth space lattice arrives
The space length value sum of all variations of certain class;β: take 0.0001;
For absolute restricted key element, grid algebraically subtraction is used to be converted into dichotomic variable, it is possible to build
If the variation region of Land arrangement, attracting force value is 1;The variation region of construction land layout can not be carried out, inhale
Gravitation value is 0;
An embodiment according to the application, adopts for the variable in the construction land influence of arrangement variables set in step 3
Calculate its space in aforementioned manners and attract force value, as shown in table 4 below:
Table 4 construction land expansion variation captivation result table
5.4, construction land expansion change and variation binary Logistic Spatial Regression Model are set up
L (P)=In (P/1-P)=β0+β1f1+β2f2+…+βnfn
Binary Logistic Spatial Regression Model is provided with dependent variable and independent variable two class variable type, wherein, dependent variableHaving and only two states, be expressed as construction land transition probability P, represent by 0 and 1 two value, independent variable i.e. affects change
Amount is f1, f2, f3 ..., fn, and fn is that the space of all kinds of variations affecting construction land layout attracts force value;β0For binary
Logistic returns the constant term obtained, βnThe each variation obtained is returned to construction land layout for binary Logistic
Weighted value;
5.5, construction land transition probability prediction
Spatial Regression Model based on the construction land layout set up in step 5.4 and variation relation is on each impact
Variable and the judgement of weighted value thereof, structure construction land expansion probabilistic model:
Wherein, Z=β0+β1f1+β2f2+…+βnfn;P is construction land transition probability;
5.6, construction land placement scheme prediction
According to the relation between construction land layout and variation, carry out the construction land layout mould under different mode
Intend, calculate the construction land transition probability under different mode, and to each spatial point construction land transition probability under each pattern
Averaged and standard deviation respectively, according to construction land transition probability meansigma methods and standard deviation, generates construction land suitability
Mode of extension, specific as follows:
Based on the driving relationship between construction land layout and variation, according to the basic mould of current construction Land arrangement
Formula, on the basis of judging region practical development situation, can adjust power of influence or some variation of add drop of variation
Construction land layout pattern under simulation different mode, such as continuity formula developmental pattern, satellite city developmental pattern and traffic guide formula
Developmental pattern, carries out the construction land layout Path selection under different mode;
(1) continuity developmental pattern
Amount between construction land expansion and variation that continuity formula layout i.e. represents based on SPSS model regression result
Change relation, determines that each point position in space produces the probability of new construction land expansion under relying on existing variation;
(2) cities and towns guide type layout
Cities and towns guide type layout is on the basis of regression result, based on construction land Present Layout Situation and town development feelings
Condition, under the background of city Rapid Expansion, with satellite city, organic dispersion theory be rely on, by giving priority to center-town, emphasis
Town and general town, promote the orderly balanced development in each grade cities and towns;
(3) traffic guide formula layout
Traffic guide formula layout is the Typical Representative of shaft orientation layout's pattern, based on construction land expansion and the main line of communication aobvious
Write dependency, based on regression result, simulate, at enhancing road, construction land expansion effect is reduced the feelings of other key element effect
Under condition, each point position in space produces the probability of construction land expansion;
Under various developmental patterns, the program prediction under different development scale can be carried out, i.e. calculating different layout mould
Under formula on the basis of each point position in space transition probability, calculate meansigma methods and the standard of construction land transition probability under each pattern
Difference, and determine that construction land controls extended area, construction land appropriateness extended area and construction land based on standard chosen below
Fully extended area, and by result space, the concrete foundation of its scale selection is as follows:
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+2 times construction land transition probability standard deviation,
Then it is set as construction land and controls extended area;
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+1 times construction land transition probability standard deviation,
Then it is set as construction land appropriateness extended area;
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+0.5 times construction land transition probability standard
Difference, then be set as the abundant extended area of construction land.
An embodiment according to the application, obtains 9 kinds of layout result under three developmental patterns:
1. continuity formula layout result
As shown in Figures 3 to 5, under continuity formula layout pattern, construction land will present climing based on inner city
Prolonging the external extension pattern of formula, its construction land distribution trend shows as that many south, north is few, the situation that Xi Duodong is few, regional coordination
Loudness is poor.
2. cities and towns guide type layout result
As shown in Figure 6 to 8, under the guide type layout pattern of cities and towns, the state of development of stand, inner city large flat bread formula obtains
Effective suppression, and the small and medium-sized cities such as center-town and emphasis obtain developing the most rapidly, cities and towns hierarchical system structure obtains
Certain improvement.
3. traffic guide formula layout result
As shown in Figures 9 to 11, under traffic guide layout pattern, construction land layout presents in inner city being
The heart, along national highway and provincial highway in axially spreading the trend of development, zonal distribution is obvious, away from the development in main line of communication region then by sternly
Heavily suppress, present polarization trend.
6, construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partitioned area are carried out spatial overlay analysis, root
According to analysis result, it is achieved preferred to Land_use change layout, specific as follows:
In the original fishing net of survey region, by construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partition area
Territory is overlapped, and the region that stack result is identical is added up and calculated its area, calculate the identical region of stack result with
The area accounting of the original fishing net of survey region, according to area accounting, is carried out preferably Land_use change layout;
An embodiment according to the application, according to " high-bearing capacity region emphasis layout, middle bearing capacity region appropriateness layout
With a small amount of layout in low bearing capacity region " principle, construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity subregion are tied
Fruit has carried out overlay analysis, it is thus achieved that in the different lower three kinds of placement schemes of layout pattern, construction land accounts for the carrying of different resource environment
The area accounting of power functional areas, is carried out preferably placement scheme, and concrete preferred version is as shown in the table:
By the above-mentioned feature to three kinds of lower nine kinds of placement schemes of different mode and building in the range of different bearer power thereof
If the comprehensive of land used accounting is analyzed and compare, cities and towns guide type minimum scheme and continuity formula minimum scheme are made the most at last
For two big alternatives of construction land layout optimization, both schemes all have followed the basic principle of construction land layout, with
In time, also reacted under the constraint of resosurces environment loading capacity, and construction land layout should pursue intensivization development, can appropriateness expansion build
If land area.
Claims (5)
1. Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity, is characterized in that, including:
Obtain survey region Land_use change topology data;Described Land_use change topology data includes statistical data and spatial data;
Described Land_use change topology data is carried out spatialization process, forms Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index,
Set up spatial database;
According to Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index, according to the intension criterion of resosurces environment loading capacity, set up resource
Environment Carrying Capacity Assessment index system;
Use Field Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment that described resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system carries out multidomain treat-ment, generate resource ring
Bearing capacity three regions, border, i.e. resource environment high-bearing capacity region, middle bearing capacity region and low bearing capacity region;
Carry out construction land expansion simulation based on described spatial database, form construction land suitability mode of extension;
Described construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partitioned area are carried out spatial overlay analysis, according to
Analysis result, it is achieved preferred to Land_use change layout.
Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity the most according to claim 1, is characterized in that, right
Described Land_use change topology data carries out spatialization process, forms Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index, sets up sky
The concrete steps of spatial database include:
S11, the original fishing net of generation covering survey region;
S12, the original fishing net and the Land_use change topology data that generate are carried out space overlapping, generate each net in original fishing net
The spatial object value of lattice, obtains GDP value, the size of population, land resource distribution, distribution of water resources, means of transportation distributing, water conservancy
Distribution of facilities and forest cover distribution space evaluation index;
S13, according in step S12 generate evaluation space index, according to the figure spot area of windy and sandy soil data and accordingly
The area accounting of survey region similar cover type, is calculated the spatial density of each index, is economic density, population close
Degree, the distribution of land resource enabling capabilities, Water resources supporting capacity, means of transportation distributing, water conservancy projects and afforestation rate;Calculate
Formula is as follows:
SL=ZB × ZL
Wherein, SL is the index space density of each figure speckle carrying, and ZL is certain space-like object spatial object at this grid
Value, ZB is the spatial area that certain space-like object is occupied in original grid;
S14, the index space density obtaining step S13 are standardized processing, and form Land_use change topology data spatialization
Evaluation index.
Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity the most according to claim 2, is characterized in that, root
According to Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index, according to the intension criterion of resosurces environment loading capacity, set up resource environment and hold
Concretely comprising the following steps of load power assessment indicator system:
Intension criterion according to resosurces environment loading capacity, is classified as social economy's bearing capacity, Resources Carrying Capacity and environment carrying
Power;
Land_use change topology data spatialization evaluation index is held according to social economy's bearing capacity, Resources Carrying Capacity and environment respectively
The intension criterion of load power, sets up resosurces environment loading capacity assessment indicator system:
Economic density and population density index are divided into social economy's load bearing principle layer;
Land resource enabling capabilities, Water resources supporting capacity, means of transportation distributing and water conservancy projects distribution index are divided into money
Source load bearing principle layer;
Index of forest coverage is divided into environmental carrying capacity rule layer.
4. according to the Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity described in claim 1 or 3, its feature
It is to carry out construction land expansion simulation based on described spatial database, forms the concrete step of construction land suitability mode of extension
Suddenly it is:
S21, determine construction land expansion change variable: being changed between construction land and non-constructive land of land use pattern
Conversion,For the Land_use change state of t ij position, by the Land_use change state in t+1 momentSoil to t
Utilization stateChange be Land_use change state variable, use grid algebraically subtraction Land_use change state variable to be turned
It is changed to dichotomic variable,
Being converted into construction land by non-constructive land, variable is designated as 1;
Non-constructive land is converted into non-constructive land, and variable is designated as 0;
S22, determine construction land expansion variation: spatiality based on construction land layout, opening and adjustability principle,
Build construction land influence of arrangement factor key element collection, including natural conditions, urban system, the main line of communication, transport node, administrative resistance
Every, industrial factors, restriction element and program element;
S23, calculating variation power of influence:
For range attenuation class key element, use ArcGIS spatial analytical method to calculate the space length of variation, then use as follows
The space attraction force value of formula calculating variation:
Wherein, fkForce value is attracted for certain class variation space at kth space lattice;distk: kth space lattice arrives
The space length value sum of all variations of certain class;β: control variable, takes 0.0001;
For absolute restricted key element, grid algebraically subtraction is used to be converted into dichotomic variable, it is possible to carry out building and use
The variation region of ground layout, attracting force value is 1;The variation region of construction land layout, captivation can not be carried out
Value is 0;
Step S24, set up construction land expansion change with variation binary Logistic Spatial Regression Model:
L (P)=In (P/1-P)=β0+β1f1+β2f2+…+βnfn
Wherein, dependent variableOnly have two states, be expressed as construction land transition probability P, have 0 and 1 two value;Independent variable is i.e.
Variation is f1, f2, f3 ..., fn, and fn is that the space of all kinds of variations affecting construction land layout attracts force value;β0
The constant term obtained, β is returned for binary LogisticnThe each variation obtained is returned to construction land for binary Logistic
The weighted value of layout;
Step S25, construction land transition probability are predicted: binary Logistic space based on construction land layout Yu variation
Regression model, structure construction land expansion probabilistic model:
Wherein, Z=β0+β1f1+β2f2+…+βnfn;
Wherein, p is construction land transition probability;
Step S26, according to the relation between construction land layout and variation, carry out the construction land layout under different mode
Simulation, calculates the construction land transition probability under different mode, and converts each spatial point construction land under each pattern general
Rate averaged and standard deviation respectively, according to construction land transition probability meansigma methods and standard deviation, generate construction land suitable
Property mode of extension, specific as follows:
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+2 times construction land transition probability standard deviation, then by
It is set to construction land and controls extended area;
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+1 times construction land transition probability standard deviation, then by
It is set to construction land appropriateness extended area;
Construction land transition probability p >=construction land transition probability meansigma methods+0.5 times construction land transition probability standard deviation, then
It is set as the abundant extended area of construction land.
Land_use change layout method for optimizing based on resosurces environment loading capacity the most according to claim 4, is characterized in that, will
Described construction land suitability mode of extension and resosurces environment loading capacity partitioned area carry out spatial overlay analysis, according to analyzing knot
Really, it is achieved to preferably concretely comprising the following steps of Land_use change layout:
In the original fishing net of survey region, construction land suitability mode of extension is entered with resosurces environment loading capacity partitioned area
Row superposition, adds up to the region that stack result is identical and calculates its area, calculates the identical region of stack result and research
The area accounting of the original fishing net in region, according to area accounting, is carried out preferably Land_use change layout.
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