CN103150608A - Regional emergency evacuation capability assessment system - Google Patents

Regional emergency evacuation capability assessment system Download PDF

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CN103150608A
CN103150608A CN2013100507971A CN201310050797A CN103150608A CN 103150608 A CN103150608 A CN 103150608A CN 2013100507971 A CN2013100507971 A CN 2013100507971A CN 201310050797 A CN201310050797 A CN 201310050797A CN 103150608 A CN103150608 A CN 103150608A
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evacuation
module
simulation
submodule
capability evaluation
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CN103150608B (en
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姚晓勃
韩传峰
刘亮
汪云峰
于振宇
孔静静
王勇
平健
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Tongji University
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Tongji University
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Abstract

The invention relates to a regional emergency evacuation capability assessment system which carries out emergency evacuation capability assessment on an area to be assessed by means of a large vehicle. The assessment system comprises an evacuation demand analysis module, an evacuation resource analysis module, an evacuation simulation and capacity assessment module, an interface setting and analog display module and a storage module, wherein the evacuation demand analysis module is respectively connected with the evacuation resource analysis module and the evacuation simulation and capacity assessment module; the interface setting and analog display module is respectively connected with the evacuation demand analysis module, the evacuation resource analysis module and the evacuation simulation and capacity assessment module; and the storage module is respectively connected with the evacuation demand analysis module, the evacuation resource analysis module, the evacuation simulation and capacity assessment module and the interface setting and analog display module. Compared with the prior art, the regional emergency evacuation capability assessment system has the advantages of direct interface display, simple calculated amount, complete assessment result and the like.

Description

A kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of evaluating system, especially relate to a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system, adopt the Large-sized Communication instrument that the ability that population in the zone carries out the emergency evacuation arrangement is assessed for certain zone.
Background technology
Disaster, chemical industry and nuclear leakage and the attack of terrorism are day by day serious to people life property safety's threat, improve the emergency evacuation ability and have become the Important Action that reduces human loss.The adaptibility to response of accident, particularly emergency evacuation ability are the regional planning assessments, evacuate the basis that prediction scheme is worked out.Be planned to example with Craft in Chemical Industrial Area, evacuate sight in the time of must considering the most serious chemical industry leakage accident during planning, analyze the evacuation demand, the assessment area evacuation capacity delimited the position of Craft in Chemical Industrial Area, and formulate the corresponding prediction scheme of evacuating.To the Craft in Chemical Industrial Area of planning construction, the community planning around it also must be on the basis of considering evacuation capacity, and the planning roadnet rationally arranges residential block layout and the density of population, thereby ensures to greatest extent life security.
At present, lack complete effective emergency evacuation capability evaluation system.In community and community planning, the conditions such as the ecologic environment of buildings, geologic condition in many considerations residential block, the demands such as go off daily are only considered in community's road setting, though be provided with people's air defense guiding sign, a large amount of population evacuation's problems under fear evacuation situation are not considered; In regional traffic planning, consider daily travelling frequently and the goods stock demand, the relevant transport need of extensive rescue and evacuation under less consideration emergency rating more; In the public transportation system planning of zone; Working out the zone when evacuating prediction scheme, for avoid panic, tissue is complicated and it is huge to spend, and is difficult to assess actual evacuation capacity by rehearsal the emergency preplan limited by practical; Although the personnel in contingency procedure transport placement issue and are similar to logistical problem, need to implement under abnormal emergent traffic, complexity strengthens.
Summary of the invention
Purpose of the present invention is exactly to provide in order to overcome the defective that above-mentioned prior art exists that a kind of interface display is directly perceived, calculated amount is simplified, the comprehensive regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system of assessment result.
Purpose of the present invention can be achieved through the following technical solutions:
a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system, treating the ability that assessment area relies on the Large-sized Communication instrument to carry out emergency evacuation assesses, this evaluating system comprises the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuate the resource analysis module, evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module, interface setting and simulant display model and memory module, described evacuation requirement analysis module connects respectively to be evacuated the resource analysis module and evacuates simulation and capability evaluation module, described interface arranges and simulant display model connects respectively the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuate the resource analysis module and evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module, described memory module connects respectively the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuate the resource analysis module, evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module and interface arranges and simulant display model, wherein,
Evacuate requirement analysis module, simulate regional population's aggregation process to be assessed, the spanning set chalaza is evacuated transportation demand information;
Evacuate the resource analysis module, analyze roadnet, the evacuation vehicle under emergency rating is organized as emergent delivery unit, and plans its task;
Evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module, be used for simulation emergent delivery unit carrying to settlement and evacuate process, the emergency evacuation ability in statistical study zone to be assessed;
The interface arranges and simulant display model, is used for setting and demonstration evacuation parameter and visualization display and evacuates simulation process;
Memory module is used for storage assessment desired data, intermediate data and assessment result data.
Described assessment desired data comprises evacuation source building information data, road information data in zone to be assessed, evacuates meeting point information data, population distribution information data and existing emergency evacuation prediction scheme information data.
Described evacuation transportation demand information comprises that respectively evacuating buildings interior evacuating personnel in source in zone to be assessed evacuates the gathering number time curve in meeting point to the number of evacuation time curve of evacuating the meeting point and each.
Described evacuation resource analysis module comprises road and traffic resource information submodule, emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule and evacuates transport task planning submodule, road and traffic resource information submodule connect evacuates transport task planning submodule, emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule connects evacuates simulation and capability evaluation module, evacuates transport task planning submodule and connects memory module;
Described road and traffic resource information submodule obtain the Real-time Traffic Information of set period, are transferred to memory module after digitizing and preserve, and be transferred to evacuation transport task planning submodule;
Described emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule obtains the position temporal information of evacuating vehicle under the set period emergency rating, will evacuate vehicle and be organized as a plurality of emergent delivery units, and the communication of the delivery unit of meeting an urgent need is given evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module;
Described evacuation transport task planning submodule obtains the meeting point to the shortest working time of the path of settlement according to road connection matrix and Traffic Information, generates the contingency tasks list and deposits in memory module.
Described evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module comprise evacuation transportation ASM and the evacuation capacity assessment submodule that is connected, evacuate the transportation ASM and connect respectively emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule and simulant display model, evacuation capacity assessment submodule linkage interface arranges and memory module;
Described evacuation transportation ASM reads the contingency tasks list in memory module, the transport information that provides in conjunction with road and traffic resource information submodule, the emergent delivery unit of simulation is carried out the process of evacuation task, and obtains the emergent actual run time of delivery unit on task path;
Time parameter during described evacuation capacity assessment submodule is evacuated by statistics, generate the number change curve respectively evacuate the meeting point and evacuate in after each settlement and total number change curve of settling, finally according to the evacuation capacity quantitatively evaluating table in decentral statistics Information generation zone to be assessed, send memory module to and preserve and export.
Described interface arranges and simulant display model comprises that the evacuation parameter that is connected arranges submodule and evacuates the simulation display sub-module, the evacuation parameter arranges submodule and connects respectively the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuates resource analysis module and evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module, and evacuation is simulated display sub-module and connected evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module;
Described evacuation parameter arranges the submodule demonstration and arranges to evacuate controls parameter;
Described evacuation simulation display sub-module generates electronic chart according to the road connection matrix in memory module, and show present position and the state of emergent delivery unit on electronic chart, show the immediate status of respectively evacuating meeting point and settlement, simultaneously according to details and statistical information in the assessment result demonstration evacuation process of evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module.
Described evacuation is controlled parameter and is comprised evacuation relation between evacuation source buildings-evacuation meeting point-settlement.
Also be provided with the control knob of evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module evacuation simulation process for controlling in described evacuation simulation display sub-module.
The form of the data of storing in described memory module is the Excel file.
Compared with prior art, the present invention has the following advantages:
(1) interface of the present invention provides the zone to evacuate dynamic process, and process, ability of discovery bottleneck are evacuated in viewing area directly perceived;
(2) in the present invention the community evacuate collection modules based on the investigation data with S curve virtual community aggregation process, simplify calculated amount, whole calculating evaluation process is simple;
(3) the regional evacuation capacity assessment result made of the present invention is comprehensive, can be directly used in the appointment revision of regional emergency preplan and the aid decision making under emergency rating;
(4) the present invention is of many uses, also can be used for the assessment of regional planning, the optimization of regional emergency service and roadnet etc.
Description of drawings
Fig. 1 is structural representation of the present invention.
Embodiment
The present invention is described in detail below in conjunction with the drawings and specific embodiments.
Embodiment
A kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system is treated the ability that assessment area relies on the Large-sized Communication instrument to carry out emergency evacuation and is assessed, and this evaluating system is completed based on the VBA of Visio secondary developing platform.
as shown in Figure 1, this evaluating system comprises evacuates requirement analysis module 1, evacuate resource analysis module 2, evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module 3, the interface arranges and simulant display model 4 and memory module, described evacuation requirement analysis module 1 connects respectively to be evacuated resource analysis module 2 and evacuates simulation and capability evaluation module 3, described interface arranges and simulant display model 4 connects respectively evacuation requirement analysis module 1, evacuate resource analysis module 2 and evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module 3, described memory module connects respectively evacuates requirement analysis module 1, evacuate resource analysis module 2, evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module 3 and interface arranges and simulant display model 4.
Wherein, evacuate requirement analysis module 1 and can simulate regional population's aggregation process to be assessed based on the assessment desired data that memory module provides, the spanning set chalaza is evacuated transportation demand information, described evacuation transportation demand information comprises that respectively evacuating in the buildings of source evacuating personnel in zone to be assessed evacuates the gathering number time curve in meeting point to the number of evacuation time curve of evacuating the meeting point and each, and as the intermediate result deposit data in memory module.
Evacuate resource analysis module 2 and analyze roadnet, the evacuation vehicle under emergency rating is organized as emergent delivery unit, and in conjunction with existing emergency evacuation prediction scheme, its task of planning is set.Evacuating resource analysis module 2 comprises road and traffic resource information submodule, emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule and evacuates transport task planning submodule, road and traffic resource information submodule connect evacuates transport task planning submodule, emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule connects evacuates simulation and capability evaluation module, evacuates transport task planning submodule and connects memory module;
Described road and traffic resource information submodule obtain the Real-time Traffic Information of set period, are transferred to memory module after digitizing and preserve, and be transferred to evacuation transport task planning submodule; The background in each highway section of energy stochastic simulation set period (non-emergent relevant) vehicle condition, and energy periodic refreshing road traffic condition;
Described emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule obtains the position temporal information of evacuating vehicle under the set period emergency rating, will evacuate vehicle and be organized as a plurality of emergent delivery units, and the communication of the delivery unit of meeting an urgent need is given evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module;
Described evacuation transport task planning submodule obtains the meeting point to the shortest working time of the path of settlement according to road connection matrix and Traffic Information, generates the contingency tasks list and deposits in memory module.
Evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module 3 and be used for simulation emergent delivery unit carrying to settlement and evacuate process, the emergency evacuation ability in statistical study zone to be assessed.Evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module and comprise evacuation transportation ASM and the evacuation capacity assessment submodule that is connected, evacuate the transportation ASM and connect respectively emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule and simulant display model, evacuation capacity assessment submodule linkage interface arranges and memory module;
Described evacuation transportation ASM reads the contingency tasks list in memory module, the transport information that provides in conjunction with road and traffic resource information submodule, the emergent delivery unit of simulation is carried out the process of evacuation task, and obtains the emergent actual run time of delivery unit on task path;
Time parameter during described evacuation capacity assessment submodule is evacuated by statistics, generate the number change curve respectively evacuate the meeting point and evacuate in after each settlement and total number change curve of settling, finally according to the evacuation capacity quantitatively evaluating table in decentral statistics Information generation zone to be assessed, send memory module to and preserve and export.
The interface arranges and simulant display model 4 is used for arranging and parameter is evacuated in demonstration and visualization display is evacuated simulation process.The interface arranges and simulant display model comprises that the evacuation parameter that is connected arranges submodule and evacuates the simulation display sub-module, the evacuation parameter arranges submodule and connects respectively the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuates resource analysis module and evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module, and evacuation is simulated display sub-module and connected evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module;
Described evacuation parameter arranges submodule and shows and arrange to evacuate and control parameter, comprises the evacuation relation between evacuation source buildings-evacuation meeting point-settlement;
Described evacuation simulation display sub-module generates electronic chart according to the road connection matrix in memory module, and show present position and the state of emergent delivery unit on electronic chart, show the immediate status of respectively evacuating meeting point and settlement, simultaneously according to details and statistical information in the assessment result demonstration evacuation process of evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module.Also be provided with the control knob of evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module evacuation simulation process for controlling in described evacuation simulation display sub-module.
Memory module, be used for storage assessment desired data, intermediate data and assessment result data, described assessment desired data comprises evacuation source building information data, road information data, evacuation meeting point information data and the population distribution information data zone to be assessed in.The form of the data of storing in memory module is the Excel file.
when using above-mentioned zone emergency evacuation capability evaluation system, evacuate the evacuation investigation data analysis in 1 pair of memory module of requirement analysis module, calculate the evacuation transportation demand in meeting point in the evacuation of zone, then evacuating resource analysis module 2 analyzes the road system information and evacuates information of vehicles, obtain the Real-time Traffic Information of set period, to evacuate vehicle is organized as emergent delivery unit and plans its evacuation transport task, complete the simulation of evacuation process and show the evacuation process at Visio software interface animation by evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module 3 again, system evaluation zone evacuation capacity after repeatedly simulating, at last with the evacuation capacity assessment result in memory module, and arrange to the interface and simulant display model 4 outputs.Embodiments of the invention can be on microcomputer be investigated data by sunykatuib analysis and are obtained system quantifies assessment result to regional evacuation capacity, and result can be used for evacuating the optimization of prediction scheme and the decision support of the process of evacuation.
The above is only embodiments of the invention, is not to limit practical range of the present invention, i.e. all equivalences of doing according to the content of the present patent application the scope of the claims change and modify, and all are included in scope of patent protection of the present invention.

Claims (9)

1. regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system, treating the ability that assessment area relies on the Large-sized Communication instrument to carry out emergency evacuation assesses, it is characterized in that, this evaluating system comprises the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuate the resource analysis module, evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module, interface setting and simulant display model and memory module, described evacuation requirement analysis module connects respectively to be evacuated the resource analysis module and evacuates simulation and capability evaluation module, described interface arranges and simulant display model connects respectively the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuate the resource analysis module and evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module, described memory module connects respectively the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuate the resource analysis module, evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module and interface arranges and simulant display model, wherein,
Evacuate requirement analysis module, according to existing emergency evacuation prediction scheme, simulation regional population's aggregation process to be assessed is set, the spanning set chalaza is evacuated transportation demand information;
Evacuate the resource analysis module, analyze roadnet, the evacuation vehicle under emergency rating is organized as emergent delivery unit, and according to existing emergency evacuation prediction scheme, its task of planning is set;
Evacuate simulation and capability evaluation module, be used for simulation emergent delivery unit carrying to settlement and evacuate process, the emergency evacuation ability in statistical study zone to be assessed;
The interface arranges and simulant display model, is used for setting and demonstration evacuation parameter and visualization display and evacuates simulation process;
Memory module is used for storage assessment required source data, intermediate data and assessment result data.
2. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, described assessment desired data comprises evacuation source building information data, road information data in zone to be assessed, evacuates meeting point information data, population distribution information data and existing emergency evacuation prediction scheme information data.
3. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, described evacuation transportation demand information comprises that respectively evacuating buildings interior evacuating personnel in source in zone to be assessed evacuates the gathering number time curve in meeting point to the number of evacuation time curve of evacuating the meeting point and each.
4. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 2, it is characterized in that, described evacuation resource analysis module comprises road and traffic resource information submodule, emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule and evacuates transport task planning submodule, road and traffic resource information submodule connect evacuates transport task planning submodule, emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule connects evacuates simulation and capability evaluation module, evacuates transport task planning submodule and connects memory module;
Described road and traffic resource information submodule obtain the real-time flexible information of set period, are transferred to memory module after digitizing and preserve, and be transferred to evacuation transport task planning submodule;
Described emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule obtains the position temporal information of evacuating vehicle under the set period emergency rating, will evacuate vehicle and be organized as a plurality of emergent delivery units, and the communication of the delivery unit of meeting an urgent need is given evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module;
Described evacuation transport task planning submodule obtains the meeting point to the shortest working time of the path of settlement according to road connection matrix and Traffic Information, and arranges based on existing emergency evacuation prediction scheme, generates the contingency tasks list and deposits in memory module.
5. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 4, it is characterized in that, described evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module comprise evacuation transportation ASM and the evacuation capacity assessment submodule that is connected, evacuate transportation ASM linking-up road and traffic resource information submodule, emergent delivery unit marshalling submodule and simulant display model respectively, evacuation capacity assessment submodule linkage interface arranges and memory module;
Described evacuation transportation ASM reads the contingency tasks list in memory module, the transport information that provides in conjunction with road and traffic resource information submodule, the emergent delivery unit of simulation is carried out the process of evacuation task, and obtains the emergent actual run time of delivery unit on task path;
Time parameter during described evacuation capacity assessment submodule is evacuated by statistics, generate the number change curve respectively evacuate the meeting point and evacuate in after each settlement and total number change curve of settling, finally according to the evacuation capacity quantitatively evaluating table in decentral statistics Information generation zone to be assessed, send memory module to and preserve and export.
6. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 5, it is characterized in that, described interface arranges and simulant display model comprises that the evacuation parameter that is connected arranges submodule and evacuates the simulation display sub-module, the evacuation parameter arranges submodule and connects respectively the evacuation requirement analysis module, evacuates resource analysis module and evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module, and evacuation is simulated display sub-module and connected evacuation simulation and capability evaluation module;
Described evacuation parameter arranges the submodule demonstration and arranges to evacuate controls parameter;
Described evacuation simulation display sub-module generates electronic chart according to the road connection matrix in memory module, and show present position and the state of emergent delivery unit on electronic chart, show the immediate status of respectively evacuating meeting point and settlement, simultaneously according to details and statistical information in the assessment result demonstration evacuation process of evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module.
7. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 6, is characterized in that, described evacuation is controlled parameter and comprised evacuation relation between evacuation source buildings-evacuation meeting point-settlement.
8. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 6, is characterized in that, also is provided with the control knob of evacuating simulation and capability evaluation module evacuation simulation process for controlling in described evacuation simulation display sub-module.
9. a kind of regional emergency evacuation capability evaluation system according to claim 1, is characterized in that, the form of the data of storing in described memory module is the Excel file.
CN201310050797.1A 2013-02-08 2013-02-08 A kind of region emergency evacuation capability evaluation system Expired - Fee Related CN103150608B (en)

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Cited By (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN105590289A (en) * 2016-01-05 2016-05-18 南京工业大学 Urban earthquake emergency evacuation site selection method
CN106326569A (en) * 2016-08-25 2017-01-11 刘华英 Crowd evacuation method and device
CN110502303A (en) * 2019-08-20 2019-11-26 银康(中山)科技有限公司 Method, apparatus, electronic device and storage medium for evaluating ability of elderly person

Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN101930498A (en) * 2009-12-31 2010-12-29 北京华迪宏图信息技术有限公司 Catastrophe emergency rescue preplan visualization and deduction system
CN102779408A (en) * 2012-07-30 2012-11-14 中国科学院自动化研究所 Regional emergency traffic evacuation simulation system based on activity

Patent Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN101930498A (en) * 2009-12-31 2010-12-29 北京华迪宏图信息技术有限公司 Catastrophe emergency rescue preplan visualization and deduction system
CN102779408A (en) * 2012-07-30 2012-11-14 中国科学院自动化研究所 Regional emergency traffic evacuation simulation system based on activity

Cited By (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN105590289A (en) * 2016-01-05 2016-05-18 南京工业大学 Urban earthquake emergency evacuation site selection method
CN105590289B (en) * 2016-01-05 2019-08-23 南京工业大学 A kind of URBAN EARTHQUAKE emergency evacuation Site Selection method
CN106326569A (en) * 2016-08-25 2017-01-11 刘华英 Crowd evacuation method and device
CN110502303A (en) * 2019-08-20 2019-11-26 银康(中山)科技有限公司 Method, apparatus, electronic device and storage medium for evaluating ability of elderly person
CN110502303B (en) * 2019-08-20 2023-07-11 银康(中山)科技有限公司 Method, device, electronic equipment and storage medium for evaluating ability of old people

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