CN102663538A - Power grid risk management system and application method thereof - Google Patents
Power grid risk management system and application method thereof Download PDFInfo
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- CN102663538A CN102663538A CN2012100698584A CN201210069858A CN102663538A CN 102663538 A CN102663538 A CN 102663538A CN 2012100698584 A CN2012100698584 A CN 2012100698584A CN 201210069858 A CN201210069858 A CN 201210069858A CN 102663538 A CN102663538 A CN 102663538A
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Abstract
The invention discloses a power grid risk management system and an application method thereof. The system comprises: a risk value evaluation module used for obtaining a predetermined risk value of risk factors according to the real-time change of the power grid operation status; a prevention measure establishing module connected to the risk value evaluation module, used for analyzing a risk level of the corresponding risk value and establishing execution measures according to the risk level; and an effect feedback module connected to the prevention measure establishing module, used for obtaining the enforcement effect of the power grid operation status after a predetermined time. As advanced management and advanced control, the prevention measures are perspective and instructive, are from comprehensive analysis of the operation status of the present power grid and the operation mode of the future power grid, and suggest possible risks the power grid may face and response measures should be taken in the future. The power grid risk analysis realizes specification and quantification of the awareness of the power grid risks and response measures, with extremely high timeliness and operability.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to the risk management technology of keeping the safety in production, relate in particular to power grid risk management system and application process thereof.
Background technology
The power grid risk management is the technical term in the safety in production risk management system.South electric network was being summed up Shenzhen, Zun Yi, Guangzhou accumulation of energy power plant on the basis of system application experience in 2007; Characteristics in conjunction with power grid enterprises; Establishment officer has carried out adjustment, improvement and further perfect to " PCAP system ", has formed " the safety in production risk management system " applied today.Power grid risk management embodying " safety in production risk management system " with risk management serve as theme, the advanced thinking of Continual Improvement.It is the safety that be to guarantee electrical network, a kind of important measures that reliability service is taked, and is to be effectively identification, assessment, control safe operation of electric network risk, reduces the probability of happening of risk, prevents or reduces the loss, and guarantees the important means of power grid security reliability service.
Constantly perfect along with power grid construction, the management level of electric power netting safe running must improve synchronously.The different times of operation of power networks needs different risk to take precautions against strategy, and it is the most urgent how finding equilibrium point in risk control and between evading, and also is the concentrated reflection of administration of power networks level.Wherein the fine-grained management of risk prevention work and safety management are vital.
Fine-grained management is mainly reflected in carries out analyzing check to operation of power networks comprehensive, omnidistancely, and proposes and implement concrete risk control counter-measure to the different methods of operation and different production work.In fine-grained management, implement power grid risk analysis and control, be the inevitable requirement in electrical network high speed development stage.Have only through meticulous venture analysis; " danger " that could know operation of power networks where; Could concentrate effective strength to implement each item safety practice, finally accomplish to reduce even evade potential risks in the operation of power networks, guarantee the safe and stable operation of electrical network in each developing stage.
The operation of power networks risk management is the extension and the refinement of electrical network safety management on the operation of power networks analysis foundation.Existing power grid risk management belongs to " ex-post analysis type "; Its safety management lays particular emphasis on " mending the fold after the sheep is lost "; Its venture analysis is speaking of in general terms to the weak link of electrical network; Do not possess perspectively and guiding, lack specializing and quantizing of counter-measure more, can not instruct and coordinate the work between the grid dispatching management department.
Summary of the invention
In order to solve the problems of the technologies described above, the invention provides power grid risk management system and application process thereof, can the management work of great assistance power grid risk, increase work efficiency.
The invention provides the power grid risk management system, comprising:
The value-at-risk evaluation module is used for the real-time change according to the operation of power networks situation, obtains the value-at-risk of preset risk factors;
The precautionary measures that link to each other with said value-at-risk evaluation module are formulated module, are used to analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure;
Formulate the effect feedback module that module links to each other with the said precautionary measures, be used for obtaining after the time implementation result of operation of power networks situation in present count.
Correspondingly, the present invention also provides the application process of power grid risk management, comprising:
According to the real-time change of operation of power networks situation, obtain the value-at-risk of preset risk factors;
Analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure;
Implement said executive measure, obtain the implementation result of operation of power networks situation in present count after the time.
Embodiment of the present invention has following beneficial effect:
The precautionary measures of operation of power networks risk of the present invention are leading management and leading control in advance; Forward-looking and guiding; Be based on the analysis-by-synthesis of existing operation of power networks state and following power system operating mode, risk and counter-measure that the prompting electrical network possibly face in the Future Time section.The power grid risk analysis is to the specific of the cognition of power grid risk and counter-measure and quantizes to have extremely strong time sex-limited and operability.Further; As grid dispatching management department; Not only keep and coordinated the normal operation of electrical network; The leading potential operation risk of electrical network of finding in all right ground proposes also to implement the measure and the requirement of avoiding risk, for work such as the safety precaution of production system, emergency first-aid repair, propaganda explanation provide guide.
Description of drawings
Fig. 1 is the synoptic diagram of power grid risk management system of the present invention;
Fig. 2 is the embodiment synoptic diagram of power grid risk management system of the present invention;
Fig. 3 is applied to the synoptic diagram on the network for the present invention.
Embodiment
For making the object of the invention, technical scheme and advantage clearer, will combine accompanying drawing that the present invention is done to describe in detail further below.
Fig. 1 is the synoptic diagram of power grid risk management system of the present invention, comprising:
Value-at-risk evaluation module 1 is used for the real-time change according to the operation of power networks situation, obtains the value-at-risk of preset risk factors;
The precautionary measures that link to each other with said value-at-risk evaluation module 1 are formulated module 2, are used to analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure;
Formulate the effect feedback module 3 that module 2 links to each other with the said precautionary measures, be used for obtaining after the time implementation result of operation of power networks situation in present count.
The operation conditions of electrical network is a real-time change, often has a few thing requirement that the method for operation is changed, and also has some paroxysmal incidents to require the method for operation to change simultaneously.Therefore the change of the method for operation is one of recurrent important process of scheduling, requires also relatively stricter.For example, method of operation conversion has comprised the formulation process and the implementation of conversion plan, and target is the conversion according to the flow process completion method of operation promptly and accurately of standard.The present invention obtains the value-at-risk of preset risk factors according to the real-time change of operation of power networks situation.Set up the Risk-warning analytical procedure, form the Risk-warning L. A. according to risk class, and the formulation and implementation measure.In general, the area power grid risk is divided into Pyatyi: I level (area power grid jumbo line), II level (area power grid material risk), III level (area power grid greater risk), IV level (the general A class of area power grid risk) and V level (the general category-B risk of area power grid).The present invention has formulated emergent executive measure for the risk class of each grade.At last, obtain the implementation result of operation of power networks situation after the time, realize closed loop management power grid risk in present count.
Fig. 2 is the embodiment synoptic diagram of power grid risk management system of the present invention.
As shown in Figure 2, said value-at-risk evaluation module 1 is used to obtain the score value of preset risk factors, and according to the quantitative criteria of south electric network promulgation the score value of each item factor is quantized to obtain value-at-risk.
As shown in Figure 2, the said precautionary measures are formulated module 2 and are specifically comprised:
Formulate the L. A. making unit 22 that unit 21 links to each other with said measure, be used for condition record air intake danger early warning L. A. said executive measure and/or risk releasing;
Make the L. A. transmitting element 23 that unit 22 links to each other with said L. A., be used to send said Risk-warning L. A..
The area power grid risk is divided into Pyatyi: I level (area power grid jumbo line), II level (area power grid material risk), III level (area power grid greater risk), IV level (the general A class of area power grid risk) and V level (the general category-B risk of area power grid).At first, analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, formulate corresponding executive measure according to this risk class.Then, the condition with said executive measure and/or risk releasing writes down air intake danger early warning L. A..At last, send said Risk-warning L. A. to relevant emergency processing department.
This module is carried out early warning in advance to power grid risk, proposes corresponding control measures, and analyzes condition and time that risk is removed.
As shown in Figure 2, described power grid risk management system also comprises:
With the evaluation criteria library module 4 that said value-at-risk evaluation module 1, said effect feedback module 3 link to each other respectively, be used to set up the basic database of the standards of grading of each item risk factors.
This module is preserved the standard of power grid risk quantitative evaluation as a basic database, if standard has the change can be to the basic database time update.
As shown in Figure 2, said effect feedback module 3 comprises: show query unit 31 and/or standard modification unit 32;
Said demonstration query unit 31 is used for representing with the form of form and/or figure the grade distribution of power grid risk, also is used for checking historical risk assessment according to preset querying condition;
This unit represents the grade distribution that has power grid risk now with the form of form and figure, can check according to different time sections, and is convenient to use.
Said standard modification unit 32 is used for revising according to said implementation result the standards of grading of the risk factors in the said basic database.
Correspondingly, the present invention also provides the application process of power grid risk management, comprising:
According to the real-time change of operation of power networks situation, obtain the value-at-risk of preset risk factors;
Analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure;
Implement said executive measure, obtain the implementation result of operation of power networks situation in present count after the time.
Preferably, the application process of power grid risk management disclosed by the invention may further comprise the steps: according to the real-time change of operation of power networks situation, detect the score value of preset risk factors, adopt LEC assessment formula that the score value of each item factor is quantized to obtain value-at-risk.Analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure, with the condition record air intake danger early warning L. A. of said executive measure and/or risk releasing; Send said Risk-warning L. A..Implement said executive measure, obtain the implementation result of operation of power networks situation in present count after the time.Revise the standards of grading of the risk factors in the said basic database according to said implementation result.
What need supplementary notes is that the present invention can adopt the standard of existing point value of evaluation with existing experience.And advantage of the present invention has been to realize the closed-loop control of power grid risk management; Promptly after the enforcement executive measure is controlled risk; Also implementation result is studied; Thereby improve the standard of the initial point value of evaluation of setting up, let this standard can adapt to the variation of contemporary environmental risk, thereby be the practical effect of performance that averts risks.
Further, if implementation result and expected effect are too wide in the gap, we can also set up power grid risk control measure related correction and prevention system, in time the part risk are transferred in correction and the prevention system to solve.
In sum; The invention provides the application process and the information-based scheme of a whole set of power grid risk management; The management work of great assistance power grid risk effectively reduces handling cost to power grid risk, increases work efficiency, and helps the promotion of safety in production risk system to fulfill.Corresponding control measure are assessed and proposed to power grid risk to long mid-term, can notify relevant departments to prevent.
Through to each item factor analysis evaluate out last value-at-risk, more thus according to making corresponding risk control measure,, then enter into to correct and go to solve with prevention system if risk also can not get effective control.
Fig. 3 is applied to the synoptic diagram on the network for the present invention.We advise adopting the sandwich construction based on browser to make up application system.This Organization Chart mainly comes the needs of fit applications system convention and software architecture.Multi-tier systematic structure can have different host computer system deployment schemes according to actual conditions.Multi-tier systematic structure has good retractility and dirigibility.
According to present case, we think that the framework among employing Fig. 3 can satisfy the requirement of application system to user capture amount, traffic handing capacity and data storage.Require server to be divided into database server and application server, application server is responsible for business processing and web visit specially, and becomes a very little LAN with database servers group.Client computer can be directly through the internet access applications system but direct accessing database.
Though; The present invention clearly demonstrates through above embodiment and accompanying drawing thereof; Yet under the situation that does not deviate from spirit of the present invention and essence thereof; The person of ordinary skill in the field works as can make various corresponding variations and correction according to the present invention, but these corresponding variations and correction all should belong to the protection domain of claim of the present invention.
The present invention can concentrate all the power grid risk management datas in the network are carried out unified management; Has directly perceived, the workable advantage of operation; Remind the user through the mode of making a report on, examining, inquiring about, the combination of module such as statistics can be reminded the information of system rapidly with todo list, work, increase the information-based ability of overall all departments synergetic office work greatly.
The present invention adopts the B/S structure, adopts suitable pattern exhibiting simultaneously.The user only need just can access system through browser, need not to install any client, and the present invention has done graphical displaying to important statistics, makes the user more simple and clear to the situation awareness of power grid risk.Possesses good configuration property.
Instance of the present invention is through the power grid risk management system; And it is related in the order of the risk evaluation module of power grid risk quantitative evaluation standard module, power grid risk, power grid risk early warning notification module, risk control measure administration module, baseline risk L. A. module, power grid risk statistical module according to said information; Thereby the cognition of power grid risk and counter-measure are specialized and quantized; And guarantee that constituent parts is accurate, efficient to the associated treatment of power grid risk, strengthen the safety management level of the overall situation.
Through the description of above embodiment, those skilled in the art can be well understood to the present invention and can realize by the mode that software adds essential hardware platform, can certainly all implement through hardware.Based on such understanding; All or part of can the coming out that technical scheme of the present invention contributes to background technology with the embodied of software product; This computer software product can be stored in the storage medium, like ROM/RAM, magnetic disc, CD etc., comprises that some instructions are with so that a computer equipment (can be a personal computer; Server, the perhaps network equipment etc.) carry out the described method of some part of each embodiment of the present invention or embodiment.
Above-described embodiment of the present invention does not constitute the qualification to protection domain of the present invention.Any modification of within spirit of the present invention and principle, being done, be equal to replacement and improvement etc., all should be included within the claim protection domain of the present invention.
Claims (10)
1. a power grid risk management system is characterized in that, comprising:
The value-at-risk evaluation module is used for the real-time change according to the operation of power networks situation, obtains the value-at-risk of preset risk factors;
The precautionary measures that link to each other with said value-at-risk evaluation module are formulated module, are used to analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure;
Formulate the effect feedback module that module links to each other with the said precautionary measures, be used for obtaining after the time implementation result of operation of power networks situation in present count.
2. power grid risk management system according to claim 1 is characterized in that, said value-at-risk evaluation module comprises:
The factor detecting unit is used to detect the score value of preset risk factors;
With the LEC analytic unit that said factor detecting unit links to each other, be used for value-at-risk being obtained in the score value quantification of each item factor according to the quantitative criteria of south electric network promulgation.
3. power grid risk management system according to claim 1 and 2 is characterized in that, the said precautionary measures are formulated module and specifically comprised:
The unit is formulated in measure, is used to analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure;
Formulate the L. A. making unit that the unit links to each other with said measure, be used for condition record air intake danger early warning L. A. said executive measure and/or risk releasing;
Make the L. A. transmitting element that the unit links to each other with said L. A., be used to send said Risk-warning L. A..
4. according to each described power grid risk management system of claim 1 to 3, it is characterized in that, also comprise:
With the evaluation criteria library module that said value-at-risk evaluation module, said effect feedback module link to each other respectively, be used to set up the basic database of the standards of grading of each item risk factors.
5. power grid risk management system according to claim 4 is characterized in that, said effect feedback module comprises: show query unit and/or standard modification unit;
Said demonstration query unit is used for representing with the form of form and/or figure the grade distribution of power grid risk, also is used for checking historical risk assessment according to preset querying condition;
Said standard modification unit is used for revising according to said implementation result the standards of grading of the risk factors in the said basic database.
6. the application process of a power grid risk management system is characterized in that, comprising:
According to the real-time change of operation of power networks situation, obtain the value-at-risk of preset risk factors;
Analyze the corresponding risk class of said value-at-risk, according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure;
Implement said executive measure, obtain the implementation result of operation of power networks situation in present count after the time.
7. the application process of power grid risk management according to claim 6 is characterized in that, obtains the step of the value-at-risk of preset detection factors, specifically comprises:
Detect the score value of preset risk factors, adopt LEC assessment formula that the score value of each item factor is quantized to obtain value-at-risk.
8. according to the application process of claim 6 or 7 described power grid risk management, it is characterized in that the step according to this risk class formulation and implementation measure also comprises
Condition record air intake danger early warning L. A. with said executive measure and/or risk releasing;
Send said Risk-warning L. A..
9. according to the application process of claim 7 or the management of 8 described power grid risks, it is characterized in that,, obtain before the step of value-at-risk of preset risk factors, also comprise in real-time change according to the operation of power networks situation:
Set up the basic database of the standards of grading of each item risk factors.
10. the application process of power grid risk management according to claim 9 is characterized in that, after the step of the implementation result that obtains the operation of power networks situation, also comprises:
Revise the standards of grading of the risk factors in the said basic database according to said implementation result.
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| CN201210069858.4A CN102663538B (en) | 2012-03-16 | Power grid risk management system and application process thereof |
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| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
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| CN201210069858.4A CN102663538B (en) | 2012-03-16 | Power grid risk management system and application process thereof |
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| CN102663538A true CN102663538A (en) | 2012-09-12 |
| CN102663538B CN102663538B (en) | 2016-11-30 |
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| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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| CN103632310A (en) * | 2013-11-19 | 2014-03-12 | 中国南方电网有限责任公司 | Risk evaluation method for operation of large power grid |
| CN106354757A (en) * | 2016-08-17 | 2017-01-25 | 国网四川省电力公司德阳供电公司 | GIS-based power transmission line risk graphics database management system |
| CN106844513A (en) * | 2016-12-28 | 2017-06-13 | 沈阳泽润四方科技有限公司 | A kind of inquiry of water conservancy information and statistical method |
| CN107679763A (en) * | 2017-10-20 | 2018-02-09 | 潘柏霖 | A kind of comprehensive power grid risk management system |
| CN107862454A (en) * | 2017-11-01 | 2018-03-30 | 龚土婷 | A kind of efficient power grid risk management system |
| CN108229798A (en) * | 2017-12-19 | 2018-06-29 | 神华集团有限责任公司 | early-warning processing method, device and system |
| CN109102137A (en) * | 2017-07-06 | 2018-12-28 | 四川佳缘科技股份有限公司 | Safety management integrated risk early warning system |
| CN109377168A (en) * | 2018-09-29 | 2019-02-22 | 广东电网有限责任公司 | Distribution scheduling operational risk analysis method based on method of operation examination & approval and portfolio |
| CN110376542A (en) * | 2019-07-10 | 2019-10-25 | 中国南方电网有限责任公司超高压输电公司检修试验中心 | A kind of electric energy meter state evaluation system and method |
| CN110956379A (en) * | 2019-11-22 | 2020-04-03 | 广州供电局有限公司 | Security situation awareness method and device, computer equipment and storage medium |
| CN111724047A (en) * | 2020-06-02 | 2020-09-29 | 国网河北省电力有限公司邯郸供电分公司 | Power system stability assessment system based on big data analysis |
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| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
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| CN103632310A (en) * | 2013-11-19 | 2014-03-12 | 中国南方电网有限责任公司 | Risk evaluation method for operation of large power grid |
| CN106354757A (en) * | 2016-08-17 | 2017-01-25 | 国网四川省电力公司德阳供电公司 | GIS-based power transmission line risk graphics database management system |
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| CN110956379A (en) * | 2019-11-22 | 2020-04-03 | 广州供电局有限公司 | Security situation awareness method and device, computer equipment and storage medium |
| CN111724047A (en) * | 2020-06-02 | 2020-09-29 | 国网河北省电力有限公司邯郸供电分公司 | Power system stability assessment system based on big data analysis |
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