WO2021190188A1 - Cross-space cascading failure assessment method, appartus and device - Google Patents

Cross-space cascading failure assessment method, appartus and device Download PDF

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WO2021190188A1
WO2021190188A1 PCT/CN2021/075849 CN2021075849W WO2021190188A1 WO 2021190188 A1 WO2021190188 A1 WO 2021190188A1 CN 2021075849 W CN2021075849 W CN 2021075849W WO 2021190188 A1 WO2021190188 A1 WO 2021190188A1
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cross
power
attack
space cascading
power system
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PCT/CN2021/075849
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French (fr)
Chinese (zh)
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刘思言
王宇飞
雒佳
林国强
高昆仑
郑晓崑
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全球能源互联网研究院有限公司
国家电网有限公司
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Publication of WO2021190188A1 publication Critical patent/WO2021190188A1/en

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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06FELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
    • G06F17/00Digital computing or data processing equipment or methods, specially adapted for specific functions
    • G06F17/10Complex mathematical operations
    • G06F17/18Complex mathematical operations for evaluating statistical data, e.g. average values, frequency distributions, probability functions, regression analysis
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063Operations research, analysis or management
    • G06Q10/0635Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06Electricity, gas or water supply
    • HELECTRICITY
    • H02GENERATION; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
    • H02JCIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
    • H02J3/00Circuit arrangements for ac mains or ac distribution networks
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S40/00Systems for electrical power generation, transmission, distribution or end-user application management characterised by the use of communication or information technologies, or communication or information technology specific aspects supporting them
    • Y04S40/20Information technology specific aspects, e.g. CAD, simulation, modelling, system security

Definitions

  • This application relates to the field of power grid cyber-physical systems, for example, to a method, device and equipment for evaluating cross-space cascading faults.
  • This application provides a method, device and equipment for evaluating cross-space cascading failures.
  • a method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures including: constructing a cross-space cascading failure attack diagram of a power grid cyber-physical system, wherein the cross-space cascading failure attack diagram includes multiple attack paths; calculating the cross-space cascading failure The total betweenness value of each attack path of the attack graph; obtain the first power of the physical side of the power grid cyber-physical system before the occurrence of a cross-space cascading failure and the power grid cyber-physical system after the occurrence of the cross-space cascading failure The second power of the physical side; according to the first power and the second power, calculate the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path; according to the total between-value of each attack path The primary side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path is calculated, and the criticality factor value of each attack path is calculated; multiple damages corresponding to the multiple attack paths respectively The value of
  • An evaluation device for cross-space cascading failures including: a building module configured to construct a cross-space cascading failure attack diagram of a power grid cyber-physical system, wherein the cross-space cascading failure attack diagram includes multiple attack paths; A calculation module is configured to calculate the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph; the acquisition module is configured to obtain the first power and occurrence of the power grid cyber-physical system before the cross-space cascading failure occurs The second power of the power grid cyber-physical system after the cross-space cascading failure; a second calculation module configured to calculate the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path based on the first power and the second power The primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the third calculation module, according to the total between-value of each attack path and the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to each attack path, calculate the result The criticality factor value of each attack path; the
  • a computer device including: a memory and a processor, the memory and the processor are in communication connection with each other, the memory is stored with computer instructions, and the processor executes the computer instructions to thereby Perform the above-mentioned cross-space cascading failure assessment method.
  • a computer-readable storage medium is also provided, and the computer-readable storage medium stores computer instructions for causing the computer to execute the above-mentioned cross-space cascading failure assessment method.
  • FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of a substation automation system architecture of a power system and its bus 9 provided by an embodiment of the application;
  • FIG. 2 is a flowchart of a method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures provided by an embodiment of the application
  • FIG. 3 is a schematic structural diagram of an attack path provided by an embodiment of this application.
  • FIG. 4 is a structural block diagram of a device for evaluating cross-space cascading failures provided by an embodiment of the application
  • FIG. 5 is a schematic structural diagram of a computer device provided by an embodiment of this application.
  • the terms “center”, “upper”, “lower”, “left”, “right”, “vertical”, “horizontal”, “inner”, “outer”, etc. indicate the orientation or position The relationship is based on the orientation or position relationship shown in the drawings, which is only for the convenience of describing the application and simplifying the description, and does not indicate or imply that the device or element referred to must have a specific orientation, be constructed and operated in a specific orientation, therefore It cannot be understood as a restriction on this application.
  • the terms “first”, “second”, and “third” are only used for descriptive purposes, and cannot be understood as indicating or implying relative importance.
  • the terms “installed”, “connected”, and “connected” should be understood in a broad sense, for example, it may be a fixed connection, a detachable connection, or an integral connection; It can be a mechanical connection or an electrical connection; it can be a direct connection or an indirect connection through an intermediate medium, or it can be the internal connection between the two components, and it can be a wireless connection or a wired connection.
  • installed should be understood in a broad sense, for example, it may be a fixed connection, a detachable connection, or an integral connection; It can be a mechanical connection or an electrical connection; it can be a direct connection or an indirect connection through an intermediate medium, or it can be the internal connection between the two components, and it can be a wireless connection or a wired connection.
  • This embodiment provides a method for evaluating cross-space cascading faults, which is applied to a power grid cyber-physical system.
  • This embodiment takes a power grid cyber-physical system composed of one bay in the substation automation system of the power system and its bus 9 as an example, as shown in the figure
  • the power grid cyber-physical system includes the information space and the power grid physical system.
  • the information space and the power grid physical system are connected through a cross-space linkage interface.
  • the power system of the cross-space linkage interface includes multiple nodes. Take one node as an example.
  • the assessment method of cross-space cascading failures includes:
  • a cross-space chain attack diagram of a grid cyber-physical system composed of an interval in the substation automation system of the power system and its bus bar 9, and the cross-space chain attack diagram is composed of multiple attack paths, as shown in Figure 3 .
  • step S11 includes:
  • the information threat node is the initial node that generates the attack path of cross-space cascading faults
  • the secondary side equipment of the power system is an auxiliary for monitoring, measuring, controlling, protecting and regulating the primary side equipment of the power system in the cyber-physical system of the power grid.
  • Equipment, power system secondary-side equipment failure nodes are nodes that monitor, measure, control, protect, and regulate the primary-side equipment of the power system.
  • the primary-side disturbance node of the power system is the node that affects the primary-side equipment of the power system.
  • the information threat node may include: denial of service attack node, direct utilization attack node, information equipment reliability failure node; power system secondary side equipment failure node may include: control signal Misoperation, refusal to move, and outage nodes of the device, measurement result deviation nodes of the measuring device, and misoperation, refusal to move, and outage nodes of the protection device. This application does not limit this, and can be determined according to actual needs.
  • the attack path is formed.
  • the attack path starts from the information threat node, passes through the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and ends in the primary power system. Side disturbance node.
  • the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths, and the multiple attack paths start from the information threat node, pass through the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and finally the primary side disturbance node of the power system.
  • the information threat node is the denial-of-service attack node and the direct-use attack node;
  • the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system is the control signal device misoperation, refusal to move, and outage nodes, and the protection device malfunctions, refuses to move, and stops.
  • the primary-side disturbance node of the power system is the N-1 fault of the power system as an example, where the control signal device misoperation can be the control and signal device issuing an error command, and the control signal device refusal can be the control and signal device rejection Executing instructions; a malfunction of a protection device can be a malfunction of the protection device's fixed value modification, and a protection device's refusal can be a protection device's fixed value modification and refused to move.
  • multiple attack paths can be formed, such as "denial of service attack-control signal device refuses to execute instructions-cut/switch load-power system N -1 failure".
  • a cross-space cascading failure attack graph is formed according to the attack path.
  • multiple attack paths can be generated according to information threat nodes, power system secondary side equipment failure nodes, and power system primary side disturbance nodes, and multiple attack paths are interwoven to form a cross-space cascading failure attack graph as shown in FIG. 3.
  • S12 Calculate the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph.
  • the intermediate value of multiple nodes passed by each attack path is calculated, and each attack path is calculated according to the intermediate value of multiple nodes of each attack path.
  • the total between values. The calculation process is as follows:
  • each attack path starts from the information threat node, passes through the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and ends at the primary side disturbance node of the power system, and the information threat node and the power
  • the secondary side equipment failure node of the system is different, and the node betweenness value of each attack path is also different.
  • the intermediate value of the node can be based on the formula It is calculated, where ⁇ represents the total number of all shortest paths, and ⁇ i represents the number of shortest paths passing through node i among all the shortest paths.
  • BC k is the total betweenness value of the k-th attack path in the cross-space cascading failure attack graph
  • n k is the number of nodes in the k- th attack path
  • bc i is the node between the i-th node on the attack path.
  • the attack path "Denial of service attack-control and signaling device refuses to execute instructions-switch / load load-power system N-1 failure", "Denial of service attack-control and signaling device outage” -Load cut/switch-power system N-1 failure", “Denial of service attack-protection equipment outage-load cut/switch-power system N-1 failure”, "utilization attack-control and signal device rejection command- Switching / switching load-power system N-1 failure", “utilization attack-control and signaling device outage-switching / switching load-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-protection equipment shutdown-switching / The total value of load-on-power system N-1 failure" is 2/9, and the attack path is "utilization attack-control and information device issued wrong command-load cut/on-power system N-1 failure", " Utilization attack-protection equipment setting value modification-misoperation-switching / switching load-power system N-1 failure", "utiliz
  • the power distribution in the power grid cyber-physical system may change, so it is necessary to obtain the first power before the cross-space cascading failure occurs and the cross-space cascading failure occurs After the second power.
  • the first power and the second power can be based on the power flow equation Calculated.
  • the first power P1 and the second power P2 in accordance with flow calculation equations, determining the ratio of the power loss of the power information P rop physical system power loss, power loss and power loss P rop ratio depending on the secondary side of the power system equipment
  • the conditional probability P k that triggers a disturbance on the primary side of the power system when a fault occurs determines the power loss factor on the primary side of the power system.
  • the calculation process is as follows:
  • the calculation formula for calculating the power loss ratio based on the first power and the second power is as follows:
  • P1 is the first power before the cross-space cascading failure occurs
  • P2 is the second power after the cross-space cascading failure occurs.
  • the conditional probability of triggering a disturbance on the primary side of the power system P k (disturbance on the primary side of the power system
  • the power loss factor f k of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path is obtained.
  • the calculation formula is as follows:
  • k is the number of the attack path in the cross-space cascading failure attack graph.
  • the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure is obtained.
  • the calculation process is: multiply the total between value BC k of the attack path and the primary power loss factor f k of the power system to obtain the criticality factor Dan k of the cross-space cascading fault.
  • the calculation formula is as follows:
  • S16 Sort the criticality factor values, and evaluate the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path according to the sorting result.
  • Exemplarily calculate the criticality factor value Dan k of different attack paths, sort the criticality factor values of multiple attack paths from large to small, and perform the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path according to the sorting result.
  • Evaluate Among them, the greater the value of the criticality factor of the attack path, the higher the damage of the attack path to cross-space cascading failures. Sorting according to the value of the criticality factor of multiple cross-space cascading failures can get multiple attack path pairs. By sorting the hazard degree of cross-space cascading failures, the higher-risk cross-space cascading failure types and possible locations in the current power grid cyber-physical system can be determined.
  • the cross-space cascading failure evaluation method provided by this embodiment constructs a cross-space cascading failure attack graph, which includes multiple attack paths; calculates the total between-value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph Obtain the first power before the cross-space cascading failure and the second power after the cross-space cascading failure; according to the first power and the second power, calculate the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path Power loss factor; calculate the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure according to the total between value and the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system; sort the criticality factor value, and according to the sorting result, the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path The degree of hazard is assessed.
  • cross-space cascading failure assessment method of the present application it is possible to clarify the harm caused by multiple types of cross-space cascading failures caused by information threats to the power system and give the criticality ranking, so as to achieve an accurate and comprehensive assessment of multiple types of cross-space cascading failures Therefore, the information and physical nodes that need to be protected in the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be accurately located, and the security and operational stability of the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be guaranteed.
  • the method further includes:
  • the historical operation data is the normal operation data or failure data of the information physical system of the power grid.
  • the number of failures of each type of power system secondary side equipment in the historical operation data is counted, and the number of failures of each type of power system secondary side equipment is calculated.
  • the number of historical operating data and the total number of historical operating data are used to obtain the first probability of a corresponding failure of the secondary side equipment of each power system.
  • the first probability of failure A of equipment 1 on the secondary side of the power system is:
  • the number of historical operation data of the primary side disturbance of the power system caused by the failure of the secondary side equipment of the power system is obtained from the collected historical operation data, and the number of historical operation data of the primary side of the power system caused by the failure of the secondary side equipment of the power system is obtained.
  • the number of historical operating data of side disturbance and the total number of historical operating data to obtain the second probability is:
  • the first probability and the second probability determine the conditional probability of each type of cross-space cascading fault that triggers the primary side disturbance of the power system when the secondary side equipment of the power system fails.
  • a conditional probability formula can be used to determine the conditional probability of each type of cross-space cascading fault that triggers a disturbance on the primary side of the power system when the secondary side equipment of the power system fails.
  • the conditional probability of the disturbance B on the primary side of the power system is:
  • This embodiment provides an assessment device for cross-space cascading failures, which can be applied to a power grid cyber-physical system, as shown in Figure 4, including:
  • the construction module 21 is set to construct a cross-space cascading failure attack graph, and the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the first calculation module 22 is configured to calculate the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph. Please refer to the relevant description of step S12 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the obtaining module 23 is configured to obtain the first power before the cross-space cascading failure and the second power after the cross-space cascading failure. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the second calculation module 24 is configured to calculate the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path according to the first power and the second power. Please refer to the relevant description of step S14 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the third calculation module 25 is configured to calculate the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading fault based on the total dielectric value and the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system. Please refer to the relevant description of step S15 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the evaluation module 26 is configured to sort the criticality factor values, and according to the sorting result, evaluate the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S16 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the cross-space cascading failure assessment device constructs a cross-space cascading failure attack graph through building modules.
  • the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths; the first calculation module calculates each of the cross-space cascading failure attack graphs.
  • This cross-space cascading failure assessment device can clarify the harm caused by multiple types of cross-space cascading failures caused by information threats to the power system and give a criticality ranking, so as to accurately and comprehensively evaluate the harm degree of multiple types of cross-space cascading failures. In this way, the information and physical nodes that need to be protected in the cyber-physical system of the power grid are accurately located, and the security and operational stability of the cyber-physical system of the power grid are guaranteed.
  • the building module 21 includes:
  • the first determining sub-module is set to determine the information threat node of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph, the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and the primary side disturbance node of the power system. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the path formation sub-module is set to form an attack path based on the information threat node, the power system secondary side equipment failure node and the power system primary side disturbance node, and the attack path starts from the information threat node and passes through the power system secondary side equipment failure node. It ends at the primary side disturbance node of the power system. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the attack graph formation sub-module is set to form a cross-space cascading failure attack graph according to the attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the first calculation module 22 includes:
  • the first calculation sub-module is set to calculate the node betweenness value of each attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S12 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • step S12 Determine the sub-module and set it to multiply the node betweenness value to obtain the total betweenness value corresponding to each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph. Please refer to the relevant description of step S12 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the obtaining module 23 includes:
  • the collection sub-module is set to collect historical operating data, and determine the first probability of a corresponding failure of the secondary side equipment of each power system based on the historical operating data. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the second determining sub-module is configured to determine the second probability of a cascading fault across the space causing a disturbance on the primary side of the power system after the secondary side equipment of the power system fails. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the third determining sub-module is configured to determine the conditional probability of each type of cross-space cascading fault that triggers a disturbance on the primary side of the power system when the secondary side equipment of the power system fails according to the first probability and the second probability. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the second calculation module 24 includes:
  • the second calculation sub-module is configured to calculate the power loss ratio according to the first power and the second power. Please refer to the relevant description of step S14 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the first multiplication sub-module is configured to multiply the conditional probability and the power loss ratio to obtain the primary power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S14 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the third calculation module 25 includes:
  • the second multiplication sub-module is set to multiply the total dielectric value and the primary power loss factor of the power system to obtain the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure. Please refer to the relevant description of step S15 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
  • the embodiment of the present application also provides a computer device.
  • the device includes a processor 31 and a memory 32, where the processor 31 and the memory 32 can be connected by a bus or in other ways. Connect as an example.
  • the processor 31 may be a central processing unit (Central Processing Unit, CPU).
  • the processor 31 may also be other general-purpose processors, digital signal processors (Digital Signal Processor, DSP), graphics processing units (Graphics Processing Unit, GPU), embedded neural network processors (Neural-network Processing Unit, NPU), or Other dedicated deep learning coprocessors, application specific integrated circuits (ASICs), field programmable gate arrays (Field-Programmable Gate Arrays, FPGAs) or other programmable logic devices, discrete gates or transistor logic devices, discrete Chips such as hardware components, or a combination of the above-mentioned multiple types of chips.
  • DSP Digital Signal Processor
  • GPU Graphics Processing Unit
  • NPU embedded neural network processors
  • ASICs application specific integrated circuits
  • FPGAs field programmable gate arrays
  • FPGAs Field-Programmable Gate Arrays
  • the memory 32 can be configured to store non-transient software programs, non-transient computer executable programs, and modules, as corresponding to the cross-space cascading failure assessment method in the embodiment of the present application
  • Program instructions/modules for example, the building module 21, the first calculation module 22, the acquisition module 23, the second calculation module 24, the third calculation module 25, and the evaluation module 26 shown in FIG. 4
  • the processor 31 executes multiple functional applications and data processing of the processor by running non-transient software programs, instructions, and modules stored in the memory 32, that is, realizes the cross-space cascading failure assessment method in the above method embodiment.
  • the memory 32 may include a program storage area and a data storage area.
  • the program storage area may store an operating system and an application program required by at least one function; the data storage area may store data created by the processor 31 and the like.
  • the memory 32 may include a high-speed random access memory, and may also include a non-transitory memory, such as at least one magnetic disk storage device, a flash memory device, or other non-transitory solid-state storage devices.
  • the memory 32 may optionally include memories remotely provided with respect to the processor 31, and these remote memories may be connected to the processor 31 through a network. Examples of the aforementioned networks include, but are not limited to, the Internet, corporate intranets, local area networks, mobile communication networks, and combinations thereof.
  • the one or more modules are stored in the memory 32, and when executed by the processor 31, the method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures in the method embodiment of the present application is executed.
  • the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths; calculating the total betweenness value of each attack path in the cross-space cascading failure attack graph; obtaining the first power before the cross-space cascading failure occurs, and The second power after a cross-space cascading fault occurs; according to the first power and the second power, calculate the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path; according to the total dielectric value and the primary side of the power system The power loss factor is calculated to obtain the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure; the criticality factor value is sorted, and the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path is evaluated according to the sorting result.
  • cross-space cascading failure assessment method of the present application it is possible to clarify the harm caused by multiple types of cross-space cascading failures caused by information threats to the power system and give the criticality ranking, so as to achieve an accurate and comprehensive assessment of multiple types of cross-space cascading failures Therefore, the information and physical nodes that need to be protected in the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be accurately located, and the security and operational stability of the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be guaranteed.
  • the embodiment of the present application also provides a non-transitory computer storage medium, the computer storage medium stores computer-executable instructions, and the computer-executable instructions can execute the cross-space cascading failure assessment method in any of the foregoing method embodiments.
  • the storage medium can be a magnetic disk, an optical disc, a read-only memory (Read-Only Memory, ROM), a random access memory (RAM), a flash memory (Flash Memory), a hard disk (Hard Disk Drive (HDD) or Solid-State Drive (SSD), etc.; the storage medium may also include a combination of the foregoing types of memories.

Abstract

A cross-space cascading failure assessment method, apparatus and device. The method comprises: constructing a cross-space cascading failure attack graph, which comprises multiple attack paths (S11); calculating the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph (S12); acquiring a first power before cross-space cascading failure and a second power after cross-space cascading failure (S13); calculating, according to the first power and the second power, the power loss factor of a primary side of a power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path (S14); calculating the harmfulness factor value of each attack path according to the total betweenness value of each attack path and the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path (S15); and sorting multiple harmfulness factor values, and assessing, according to the sorting result, the extent of the harm of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path (S16).

Description

跨空间连锁故障的评估方法、装置及设备Evaluation method, device and equipment for cross-space cascading failure
本申请要求在2020年03月23日提交中国专利局、申请号为202010208624.8的中国专利申请的优先权,该申请的全部内容通过引用结合在本申请中。This application claims the priority of a Chinese patent application filed with the Chinese Patent Office with an application number of 202010208624.8 on March 23, 2020, and the entire content of the application is incorporated into this application by reference.
技术领域Technical field
本申请涉及电网信息物理系统领域,例如涉及一种跨空间连锁故障的评估方法、装置及设备。This application relates to the field of power grid cyber-physical systems, for example, to a method, device and equipment for evaluating cross-space cascading faults.
背景技术Background technique
随着“互联网+”、大数据、人工智能等新技术的发展,电力行业的工作模式发生了极大的改变,而电网作为世界上最大、最复杂的人工系统,随着电网中信息空间与物理系统的不断融合,已形成电网信息物理系统的雏形。未来的电力系统将是充分应用移动互联、人工智能等现代信息技术和先进通信技术,实现电力系统多个环节万物互联、人机交互,打造状态全面感知、信息高效处理、应用便捷灵活的泛在电力物联网,因此,电网的信息空间对物理系统的影响不可忽视,信息空间的故障通常会引发电力系统的跨空间连锁故障。With the development of new technologies such as "Internet +", big data, and artificial intelligence, the working mode of the power industry has undergone tremendous changes. As the world’s largest and most complex artificial system, the power grid has The continuous integration of physical systems has formed the embryonic form of power grid cyber-physical systems. The future power system will fully utilize modern information technologies and advanced communication technologies such as mobile interconnection and artificial intelligence to realize the interconnection of everything in the power system and human-computer interaction, creating a ubiquitous state of comprehensive perception, efficient processing of information, and convenient and flexible applications. The power Internet of Things, therefore, the impact of the information space of the power grid on the physical system cannot be ignored, and the failure of the information space usually leads to a cascading failure of the power system across spaces.
由于跨空间连锁故障的源头在信息空间,其隐蔽性更高,危害性比传统电力系统故障更高。相关技术中采用的分析方法通常只能对电网信息物理系统中出现的跨空间连锁故障对系统的危害程度进行单独分析及评估,而不能对电网信息物理系统中多个跨空间连锁故障对系统的危害程度进行综合考量,无法对多个跨空间连锁故障对系统的危害性进行排序,进而无法准确评估并定位电网信息物理系统中需重点防护的信息和物理节点。Since the source of cross-space cascading failures is in the information space, they are more concealed and more harmful than traditional power system failures. The analysis methods used in related technologies can usually only analyze and evaluate the damage to the system caused by the cross-space cascading faults in the power grid cyber-physical system. Comprehensive consideration of the degree of hazard, it is impossible to sequence the hazards of multiple cross-space cascading failures to the system, and thus it is impossible to accurately assess and locate the information and physical nodes that need to be protected in the cyber-physical system of the power grid.
发明内容Summary of the invention
本申请提供一种跨空间连锁故障的评估方法、装置及设备。This application provides a method, device and equipment for evaluating cross-space cascading failures.
提供了一种跨空间连锁故障的评估方法,包括:构建电网信息物理系统的跨空间连锁故障攻击图,其中,所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径;计算所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值;获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的所述电网信息物理系统的物理侧的第一功率以及发生所述跨空间连锁故障之后的所述电网信息物理系统的物理侧的第二功率;根据所述第一功率和所述第二功率,计算每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子;根据每条攻击路径的总介数值和所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到所述每条 攻击路径的危害性因子值;对所述多条攻击路径分别对应的多个危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。A method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures is provided, including: constructing a cross-space cascading failure attack diagram of a power grid cyber-physical system, wherein the cross-space cascading failure attack diagram includes multiple attack paths; calculating the cross-space cascading failure The total betweenness value of each attack path of the attack graph; obtain the first power of the physical side of the power grid cyber-physical system before the occurrence of a cross-space cascading failure and the power grid cyber-physical system after the occurrence of the cross-space cascading failure The second power of the physical side; according to the first power and the second power, calculate the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path; according to the total between-value of each attack path The primary side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path is calculated, and the criticality factor value of each attack path is calculated; multiple damages corresponding to the multiple attack paths respectively The value of the sex factor is sorted, and the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path is evaluated according to the sorting result.
还提供了一种跨空间连锁故障的评估装置,包括:构建模块,设置为构建电网信息物理系统的跨空间连锁故障攻击图,其中,所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径;第一计算模块,设置为计算所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值;获取模块,设置为获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的所述电网信息物理系统的第一功率以及发生所述跨空间连锁故障之后的所述电网信息物理系统的第二功率;第二计算模块,设置为根据所述第一功率和所述第二功率,计算每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子;第三计算模块,根据每条攻击路径的总介数值和所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到所述每条攻击路径的危害性因子值;评估模块,设置为对所述多条攻击路径分别对应的多个危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。An evaluation device for cross-space cascading failures is also provided, including: a building module configured to construct a cross-space cascading failure attack diagram of a power grid cyber-physical system, wherein the cross-space cascading failure attack diagram includes multiple attack paths; A calculation module is configured to calculate the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph; the acquisition module is configured to obtain the first power and occurrence of the power grid cyber-physical system before the cross-space cascading failure occurs The second power of the power grid cyber-physical system after the cross-space cascading failure; a second calculation module configured to calculate the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path based on the first power and the second power The primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the third calculation module, according to the total between-value of each attack path and the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to each attack path, calculate the result The criticality factor value of each attack path; the evaluation module is set to sort the multiple criticality factor values corresponding to the multiple attack paths, and according to the sorting result, the cross-space cascading failures corresponding to each attack path The degree of hazard is assessed.
还提供了一种计算机设备,包括:存储器和处理器,所述存储器和所述处理器之间互相通信连接,所述存储器中存储有计算机指令,所述处理器通过执行所述计算机指令,从而执行上述的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法。A computer device is also provided, including: a memory and a processor, the memory and the processor are in communication connection with each other, the memory is stored with computer instructions, and the processor executes the computer instructions to thereby Perform the above-mentioned cross-space cascading failure assessment method.
还提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质存储有计算机指令,所述计算机指令用于使所述计算机执行上述的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法。A computer-readable storage medium is also provided, and the computer-readable storage medium stores computer instructions for causing the computer to execute the above-mentioned cross-space cascading failure assessment method.
附图说明Description of the drawings
图1为本申请实施例提供的一种电力系统及其母线9的变电站自动化系统架构示意图;FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of a substation automation system architecture of a power system and its bus 9 provided by an embodiment of the application;
图2为本申请实施例提供的一种跨空间连锁故障的评估方法的流程图;2 is a flowchart of a method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures provided by an embodiment of the application;
图3为本申请实施例提供的一种攻击路径的结构示意图;FIG. 3 is a schematic structural diagram of an attack path provided by an embodiment of this application;
图4为本申请实施例提供的一种跨空间连锁故障的评估装置的结构框图;4 is a structural block diagram of a device for evaluating cross-space cascading failures provided by an embodiment of the application;
图5为本申请实施例提供的一种计算机设备的结构示意图。FIG. 5 is a schematic structural diagram of a computer device provided by an embodiment of this application.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面将结合附图对本申请的技术方案进行描述,The technical solution of the present application will be described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.
在本申请的描述中,术语“中心”、“上”、“下”、“左”、“右”、“竖直”、“水平”、 “内”、“外”等指示的方位或位置关系为基于附图所示的方位或位置关系,仅是为了便于描述本申请和简化描述,而不是指示或暗示所指的装置或元件必须具有特定的方位、以特定的方位构造和操作,因此不能理解为对本申请的限制。此外,术语“第一”、“第二”、“第三”仅用于描述目的,而不能理解为指示或暗示相对重要性。In the description of this application, the terms "center", "upper", "lower", "left", "right", "vertical", "horizontal", "inner", "outer", etc. indicate the orientation or position The relationship is based on the orientation or position relationship shown in the drawings, which is only for the convenience of describing the application and simplifying the description, and does not indicate or imply that the device or element referred to must have a specific orientation, be constructed and operated in a specific orientation, therefore It cannot be understood as a restriction on this application. In addition, the terms "first", "second", and "third" are only used for descriptive purposes, and cannot be understood as indicating or implying relative importance.
在本申请的描述中,除非另有规定和限定,术语“安装”、“相连”、“连接”应做广义理解,例如,可以是固定连接,也可以是可拆卸连接,或一体地连接;可以是机械连接,也可以是电连接;可以是直接相连,也可以通过中间媒介间接相连,还可以是两个元件内部的连通,可以是无线连接,也可以是有线连接。可以根据情况理解上述术语在本申请中的含义。In the description of this application, unless otherwise specified and limited, the terms "installed", "connected", and "connected" should be understood in a broad sense, for example, it may be a fixed connection, a detachable connection, or an integral connection; It can be a mechanical connection or an electrical connection; it can be a direct connection or an indirect connection through an intermediate medium, or it can be the internal connection between the two components, and it can be a wireless connection or a wired connection. The meaning of the above terms in this application can be understood according to the situation.
实施例1Example 1
本实施例提供一种跨空间连锁故障的评估方法,应用于电网信息物理系统,本实施例以电力系统及其母线9的变电站自动化系统中的一个间隔组成的电网信息物理系统为例,如图1所示,该电网信息物理系统包括信息空间和电网物理系统,信息空间与电网物理系统之间通过跨空间联动接口连接,跨空间联动接口的电力系统包括多个节点,本申请以母线9这一节点为例。如图2所示,该跨空间连锁故障的评估方法,包括:This embodiment provides a method for evaluating cross-space cascading faults, which is applied to a power grid cyber-physical system. This embodiment takes a power grid cyber-physical system composed of one bay in the substation automation system of the power system and its bus 9 as an example, as shown in the figure As shown in 1, the power grid cyber-physical system includes the information space and the power grid physical system. The information space and the power grid physical system are connected through a cross-space linkage interface. The power system of the cross-space linkage interface includes multiple nodes. Take one node as an example. As shown in Figure 2, the assessment method of cross-space cascading failures includes:
S11,构建跨空间连锁故障攻击图,跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径。S11, construct a cross-space cascading failure attack graph, which includes multiple attack paths.
示例性地,构建电力系统及其母线9的变电站自动化系统中的一个间隔组成的电网信息物理系统的跨空间连锁攻击图,该跨空间连锁攻击图由多条攻击路径构成,如图3所示。Exemplarily, construct a cross-space chain attack diagram of a grid cyber-physical system composed of an interval in the substation automation system of the power system and its bus bar 9, and the cross-space chain attack diagram is composed of multiple attack paths, as shown in Figure 3 .
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,上述步骤S11,包括:As an optional implementation manner of this application, the above step S11 includes:
首先,确定跨空间连锁故障攻击图的信息威胁节点、电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及电力系统一次侧扰动节点。First, determine the information threat node, the secondary side equipment fault node of the power system and the primary side disturbance node of the power system in the cross-space cascading fault attack graph.
示例性地,信息威胁节点为产生跨空间连锁故障攻击路径的初始节点,电力系统二次侧设备为对电网信息物理系统内的电力系统一次侧设备进行监察、测量、控制、保护及调节的辅助设备,电力系统二次侧设备故障节点即监察、测量、控制、保护及调节电力系统一次侧设备的节点,电力系统一次侧扰动节点为影响电力系统一次侧设备产生故障的节点。Exemplarily, the information threat node is the initial node that generates the attack path of cross-space cascading faults, and the secondary side equipment of the power system is an auxiliary for monitoring, measuring, controlling, protecting and regulating the primary side equipment of the power system in the cyber-physical system of the power grid. Equipment, power system secondary-side equipment failure nodes are nodes that monitor, measure, control, protect, and regulate the primary-side equipment of the power system. The primary-side disturbance node of the power system is the node that affects the primary-side equipment of the power system.
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,信息威胁节点可以包括:拒绝服务攻击类节点,直接利用型攻击类节点,信息设备可靠性故障类节点;电力系统二次侧设备故障节点可以包括:控制信号装置误动、拒动、停运类节点,测量装置 量测结果偏差类节点,保护装置误动、拒动、停运类节点。本申请对此不作限定,可以根据实际需要确定。As an optional implementation of the present application, the information threat node may include: denial of service attack node, direct utilization attack node, information equipment reliability failure node; power system secondary side equipment failure node may include: control signal Misoperation, refusal to move, and outage nodes of the device, measurement result deviation nodes of the measuring device, and misoperation, refusal to move, and outage nodes of the protection device. This application does not limit this, and can be determined according to actual needs.
其次,根据信息威胁节点、电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及电力系统一次侧扰动节点,形成攻击路径,攻击路径从信息威胁节点出发,途径电力系统二次侧设备故障节点,结束于电力系统一次侧扰动节点。Secondly, according to the information threat node, the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system and the power system primary side disturbance node, the attack path is formed. The attack path starts from the information threat node, passes through the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and ends in the primary power system. Side disturbance node.
示例性地,跨空间连锁故障攻击图中包含多条攻击路径,且多条攻击路径均是从信息威胁节点出发,途径电力系统二次侧设备故障节点,终于电力系统一次侧扰动节点。以信息威胁节点为拒绝服务攻击类节点和直接利用型攻击类节点;电力系统二次侧设备故障节点为控制信号装置误动、拒动、停运类节点,保护装置误动、拒动、停运类节点;电力系统一次侧扰动节点为电力系统N-1故障为例,其中,控制信号装置误动可以为控制与信号装置下发错误指令,控制信号装置拒动可以为控制与信号装置拒绝执行指令;保护装置误动可以为保护装置定值修改误动,保护装置拒动可以为保护装置定值修改拒动。根据信息威胁节点、电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及电力系统一次侧扰动节点,可以形成多条攻击路径,比如“拒绝服务型攻击-控制信号装置拒绝执行指令-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”。Exemplarily, the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths, and the multiple attack paths start from the information threat node, pass through the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and finally the primary side disturbance node of the power system. The information threat node is the denial-of-service attack node and the direct-use attack node; the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system is the control signal device misoperation, refusal to move, and outage nodes, and the protection device malfunctions, refuses to move, and stops. This type of node; the primary-side disturbance node of the power system is the N-1 fault of the power system as an example, where the control signal device misoperation can be the control and signal device issuing an error command, and the control signal device refusal can be the control and signal device rejection Executing instructions; a malfunction of a protection device can be a malfunction of the protection device's fixed value modification, and a protection device's refusal can be a protection device's fixed value modification and refused to move. According to the information threat node, the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and the power system primary side disturbance node, multiple attack paths can be formed, such as "denial of service attack-control signal device refuses to execute instructions-cut/switch load-power system N -1 failure".
再次,根据攻击路径形成跨空间连锁故障攻击图。Thirdly, a cross-space cascading failure attack graph is formed according to the attack path.
示例性地,根据信息威胁节点、电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及电力系统一次侧扰动节点可以生成多条攻击路径,多条攻击路径交织形成如图3所示的跨空间连锁故障攻击图。Exemplarily, multiple attack paths can be generated according to information threat nodes, power system secondary side equipment failure nodes, and power system primary side disturbance nodes, and multiple attack paths are interwoven to form a cross-space cascading failure attack graph as shown in FIG. 3.
S12,计算跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值。S12: Calculate the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph.
示例性地,根据形成的跨空间连锁故障攻击图,计算每条攻击路径所经过的多个节点的介数值,根据每条攻击路径途径的多个节点的介数值计算得到所述每条攻击路径的总介数值。计算过程如下:Exemplarily, according to the formed cross-space cascading failure attack graph, the intermediate value of multiple nodes passed by each attack path is calculated, and each attack path is calculated according to the intermediate value of multiple nodes of each attack path. The total between values. The calculation process is as follows:
首先,计算每条攻击路径的节点介数值。First, calculate the node betweenness value of each attack path.
示例性地,由于攻击图包括多条攻击路径,每条攻击路径均是从信息威胁节点出发,途径电力系统二次侧设备故障节点,结束于电力系统一次侧扰动节点,而信息威胁节点和电力系统二次侧设备故障节点不同,每条攻击路径的节点介数值也不同。节点的介数值可以根据公式
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000001
计算得到,其中,σ表示所有最短路径总数,σ i表示全部最短路径中经过节点i的最短路径条数。以图3为例,其中“切/投负荷”节点的介数值为1,“控制与信号装置拒绝执行指令”、“控制与信号装置停运”、“保护设备停运”节点的介数值为2/9,“控制与信号装置下发错误指令”、“保护设备定值修改-误动”、“保护设备定值修改- 拒动”节点的介数值为1/9。
Exemplarily, since the attack graph includes multiple attack paths, each attack path starts from the information threat node, passes through the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and ends at the primary side disturbance node of the power system, and the information threat node and the power The secondary side equipment failure node of the system is different, and the node betweenness value of each attack path is also different. The intermediate value of the node can be based on the formula
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000001
It is calculated, where σ represents the total number of all shortest paths, and σ i represents the number of shortest paths passing through node i among all the shortest paths. Take Figure 3 as an example, where the intermediate value of the "cut/turn load" node is 1, and the intermediate value of the "control and signaling device refuses to execute instructions", "control and signaling device outage", and "protection equipment outage" are 2/9, "Control and signal device issued wrong command", "Protection equipment fixed value modification-Misoperation", "Protection equipment fixed value modification-Refusal to move" nodes have a median value of 1/9.
其次,将节点介数值进行累乘,得到跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径对应的总介数值。Secondly, multiply the node betweenness values to obtain the total betweenness values corresponding to each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph.
示例性地,将跨空间连锁故障攻击图中每条攻击路径途径的节点介数值进行相乘,得到所有跨空间连锁故障攻击图中每条攻击路径的总介数值,其计算公式为:
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000002
其中,BC k为跨空间连锁故障攻击图中第k条攻击路径的总介数值,n k为第k条攻击路径途径的节点个数,bc i为该攻击路径上第i个节点的节点介数值。
Illustratively, multiply the node betweenness value of each attack path in the cross-space cascading failure attack graph to obtain the total betweenness value of each attack path in all the cross-space cascading failure attack graphs. The calculation formula is:
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000002
Among them, BC k is the total betweenness value of the k-th attack path in the cross-space cascading failure attack graph, n k is the number of nodes in the k- th attack path, and bc i is the node between the i-th node on the attack path. Numerical value.
以图3的攻击图为例,攻击路径“拒绝服务型攻击-控制与信号装置拒绝执行指令-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“拒绝服务型攻击-控制与信号装置停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“拒绝服务型攻击–保护设备停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击-控制与信号装置拒绝指令-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击-控制与信号装置停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击–保护设备停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”的总介数值均为2/9,攻击路径“利用型攻击–控制与信息装置下发错误指令-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击–保护设备定值修改-误动-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击–保护设备定值修改-拒动-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”的总介数值均为1/9。Take the attack diagram in Figure 3 as an example, the attack path "Denial of service attack-control and signaling device refuses to execute instructions-switch / load load-power system N-1 failure", "Denial of service attack-control and signaling device outage" -Load cut/switch-power system N-1 failure", "Denial of service attack-protection equipment outage-load cut/switch-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-control and signal device rejection command- Switching / switching load-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-control and signaling device outage-switching / switching load-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-protection equipment shutdown-switching / The total value of load-on-power system N-1 failure" is 2/9, and the attack path is "utilization attack-control and information device issued wrong command-load cut/on-power system N-1 failure", " Utilization attack-protection equipment setting value modification-misoperation-switching / switching load-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-protection equipment setting value modification-refusal to move-switching / switching load-power system N-1 The total value of "fault" is 1/9.
S13,获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的第一功率以及发生跨空间连锁故障之后的第二功率。S13: Obtain the first power before the cross-space cascading failure and the second power after the cross-space cascading failure.
示例性地,由于电网信息物理系统中的跨空间连锁故障发生后,电网信息物理系统中的功率分布可能会发生改变,因此需要获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的第一功率以及发生跨空间连锁故障之后的第二功率。其中,第一功率和第二功率可以根据潮流方程
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000003
计算得到。
Exemplarily, after a cross-space cascading failure in the power grid cyber-physical system occurs, the power distribution in the power grid cyber-physical system may change, so it is necessary to obtain the first power before the cross-space cascading failure occurs and the cross-space cascading failure occurs After the second power. Among them, the first power and the second power can be based on the power flow equation
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000003
Calculated.
S14,根据第一功率和第二功率,计算攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子。S14: Calculate the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path according to the first power and the second power.
示例性地,根据潮流计算方程得到第一功率P1和第二功率P2,确定电网信息物理系统的功率损失比例P rop功率损失,根据功率损失比例P rop功率损失和在电力系统二次侧设备发生故障时触发电力系统一次侧扰动的条件概率P k(电力系统一次侧产生扰动|电力系统二次侧设备发生故障),确定电力系统一次侧功率损失因子。计算过程如下: Illustratively, to give the first power P1 and the second power P2 in accordance with flow calculation equations, determining the ratio of the power loss of the power information P rop physical system power loss, power loss and power loss P rop ratio depending on the secondary side of the power system equipment The conditional probability P k that triggers a disturbance on the primary side of the power system when a fault occurs (disturbance on the primary side of the power system | a failure of the equipment on the secondary side of the power system) determines the power loss factor on the primary side of the power system. The calculation process is as follows:
首先,根据第一功率和第二功率计算功率损失比例。First, calculate the power loss ratio based on the first power and the second power.
示例性地,根据第一功率和第二功率计算功率损失比例的计算公式如下:Exemplarily, the calculation formula for calculating the power loss ratio based on the first power and the second power is as follows:
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000004
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000004
其中,P1为发生跨空间连锁故障之前的第一功率;P2为发生跨空间连锁故障之后的第二功率。Among them, P1 is the first power before the cross-space cascading failure occurs; P2 is the second power after the cross-space cascading failure occurs.
其次,将条件概率与功率损失比例相乘,得到攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子。Second, multiply the conditional probability and the power loss ratio to obtain the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path.
示例性地,将电力系统二次侧设备发生故障时触发电力系统一次侧扰动的条件概率P k(电力系统一次侧产生扰动|电力系统二次侧设备发生故障)与功率损失比例P rop功率损失相乘,即得到攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子f k,计算公式如下: Exemplarily, the conditional probability of triggering a disturbance on the primary side of the power system P k (disturbance on the primary side of the power system | failure of the secondary side equipment on the power system) and the power loss ratio P rop power loss are exemplified By multiplying, the power loss factor f k of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path is obtained. The calculation formula is as follows:
f k=P k(电力系统一次侧产生扰动|电力系统二次侧设备发生故障)×P rop功率损失k f k = P k (disturbance on the primary side of the power system | failure of the equipment on the secondary side of the power system) × P rop power loss k
其中,k为跨空间连锁故障攻击图中攻击路径的编号。Among them, k is the number of the attack path in the cross-space cascading failure attack graph.
S15,根据总介数值和电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值。S15: According to the total dielectric value and the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system, the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading fault is calculated.
示例性地,根据计算得到的攻击路径的总介数值BC k以及电力系统一次侧功率损失因子f k,得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值。 Exemplarily, according to the calculated total intermediate value BC k of the attack path and the power loss factor f k of the primary side of the power system, the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure is obtained.
计算过程为:将攻击路径的总介数值BC k和电力系统一次侧功率损失因子f k相乘,得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值Dan k,计算公式如下: The calculation process is: multiply the total between value BC k of the attack path and the primary power loss factor f k of the power system to obtain the criticality factor Dan k of the cross-space cascading fault. The calculation formula is as follows:
Dan k=BC k×f k Dan k =BC k ×f k
S16,对危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。S16: Sort the criticality factor values, and evaluate the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path according to the sorting result.
示例性地,计算不同攻击路径的危害性因子值Dan k,对多条攻击路径的危害性因子值由大到小进行排序,根据排序结果,对攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。其中,攻击路径的危害性因子值越大,代表该攻击路径对跨空间连锁故障的危害程度越高,根据多个跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值的大小进行排序可以得到多条攻击路径对跨空间连锁故障的危害程度排序,进而可以确定当前电网信息物理系统中风险较高的跨空间连锁故障类别及可能发生的位置。 Exemplarily, calculate the criticality factor value Dan k of different attack paths, sort the criticality factor values of multiple attack paths from large to small, and perform the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path according to the sorting result. Evaluate. Among them, the greater the value of the criticality factor of the attack path, the higher the damage of the attack path to cross-space cascading failures. Sorting according to the value of the criticality factor of multiple cross-space cascading failures can get multiple attack path pairs. By sorting the hazard degree of cross-space cascading failures, the higher-risk cross-space cascading failure types and possible locations in the current power grid cyber-physical system can be determined.
以图3所示的攻击图为例,若多个跨空间连锁故障攻击图中攻击路径的功率损失因子P rop功率损失相同,则将每条攻击路径的总介数值与电力系统一次侧功率损失因子相乘得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值,其中“拒绝服务型攻击-控 制与信号装置拒绝指令-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“拒绝服务型攻击-控制与信号装置停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“拒绝服务型攻击–保护设备停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击-控制与信息装置拒绝指令-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击-控制与信息装置停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”、“利用型攻击–保护设备停运-切/投负荷-电力系统N-1故障”六条跨空间连锁故障攻击图中的攻击路径所对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害性最高,进而可以重点防护当前电网信息物理系统中对应上述六条攻击路径的信息和物理节点,保障电网信息物理系统的安全性以及运行的稳定性。 Taking the attack diagram shown in Figure 3 as an example, if the power loss factor P rop of the attack path in multiple cross-space cascading failure attack diagrams is the same, then the total betweenness value of each attack path and the power loss on the primary side of the power system Multiplying the factors to obtain the criticality factor value of cross-space cascading failures, including "Denial of Service Attack-Control and Signal Device Denial of Command-Switching/Loading-Power System N-1 Failure", "Denial of Service Attack-Control and Signal" Device outage-cut / load-power system N-1 failure", "Denial of service attack-protection equipment outage-cut / load-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-control and information device Refusal of instruction-cut/switch on load-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-control and information device shutdown-cut / switch load-power system N-1 failure", "utilization attack-protection equipment outage -Load cut/switch-on-power system N-1 failures" six cross-space cascading failure attack diagrams The attack path corresponding to the cross-space cascading failure is the most harmful, and can focus on protecting the current power grid cyber-physical system corresponding to the above six attacks The information and physical nodes of the path ensure the security and operational stability of the cyber-physical system of the power grid.
本实施例提供的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法,通过构建跨空间连锁故障攻击图,跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径;计算跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值;获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的第一功率以及发生跨空间连锁故障之后的第二功率;根据第一功率和所述第二功率,计算攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子;根据总介数值和电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值;对危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。通过实施本申请的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法可以明确多类由信息威胁引发的跨空间连锁故障对电力系统造成的危害并给出危害性排序,实现了精确全面地评估多类跨空间连锁故障的危害程度,从而准确定位电网信息物理系统中需重点防护的信息和物理节点,保障电网信息物理系统的安全性以及运行的稳定性。The cross-space cascading failure evaluation method provided by this embodiment constructs a cross-space cascading failure attack graph, which includes multiple attack paths; calculates the total between-value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph Obtain the first power before the cross-space cascading failure and the second power after the cross-space cascading failure; according to the first power and the second power, calculate the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path Power loss factor; calculate the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure according to the total between value and the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system; sort the criticality factor value, and according to the sorting result, the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path The degree of hazard is assessed. By implementing the cross-space cascading failure assessment method of the present application, it is possible to clarify the harm caused by multiple types of cross-space cascading failures caused by information threats to the power system and give the criticality ranking, so as to achieve an accurate and comprehensive assessment of multiple types of cross-space cascading failures Therefore, the information and physical nodes that need to be protected in the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be accurately located, and the security and operational stability of the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be guaranteed.
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,在步骤S13之前,该方法还包括:As an optional implementation manner of the present application, before step S13, the method further includes:
首先,采集历史运行数据,根据历史运行数据确定每种电力系统二次侧设备发生对应故障的第一概率。First, collect historical operating data, and determine the first probability of a corresponding failure for each type of power system secondary side equipment based on the historical operating data.
示例性地,历史运行数据为电网信息物理系统正常运行数据或故障数据,统计历史运行数据中每种电力系统二次侧设备发生故障的个数,根据每种电力系统二次侧设备发生故障的历史运行数据个数以及历史运行数据的总个数,得到每种电力系统二次侧设备发生对应故障的第一概率。比如,电力系统二次侧设备1发生故障A的第一概率为:Exemplarily, the historical operation data is the normal operation data or failure data of the information physical system of the power grid. The number of failures of each type of power system secondary side equipment in the historical operation data is counted, and the number of failures of each type of power system secondary side equipment is calculated. The number of historical operating data and the total number of historical operating data are used to obtain the first probability of a corresponding failure of the secondary side equipment of each power system. For example, the first probability of failure A of equipment 1 on the secondary side of the power system is:
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000005
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000005
其次,确定电力系统二次侧设备发生故障后,跨空间连锁故障引起电力系统一次侧扰动的第二概率。Secondly, determine the second probability that a cascading fault across the space will cause a disturbance on the primary side of the power system after the secondary side equipment of the power system fails.
示例性地,在采集的历史运行数据中获取因电力系统二次侧设备发生故障而引起电力系统一次侧扰动的历史运行数据个数,根据因电力系统二次侧设备发生故障而引起电力系统一次侧扰动的历史运行数据个数以及历史运行数据的总个数,得到第二概率。比如,电力系统二次侧设备1发生故障A后电力系统一次侧产生扰动B的概率为:Exemplarily, the number of historical operation data of the primary side disturbance of the power system caused by the failure of the secondary side equipment of the power system is obtained from the collected historical operation data, and the number of historical operation data of the primary side of the power system caused by the failure of the secondary side equipment of the power system is obtained. The number of historical operating data of side disturbance and the total number of historical operating data to obtain the second probability. For example, the probability of a disturbance B on the primary side of the power system after a fault A occurs in the secondary side equipment 1 of the power system is:
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000006
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000006
再次,根据第一概率和第二概率,确定每种跨空间连锁故障在电力系统二次侧设备发生故障时触发电力系统一次侧扰动的条件概率。Thirdly, according to the first probability and the second probability, determine the conditional probability of each type of cross-space cascading fault that triggers the primary side disturbance of the power system when the secondary side equipment of the power system fails.
示例性地,根据第一概率和第二概率,利用条件概率公式可以确定每种跨空间连锁故障在电力系统二次侧设备发生故障时触发电力系统一次侧扰动的条件概率。比如,在电力系统二次侧设备1发生故障A的条件下,电力系统一次侧产生扰动B的条件概率为:Exemplarily, according to the first probability and the second probability, a conditional probability formula can be used to determine the conditional probability of each type of cross-space cascading fault that triggers a disturbance on the primary side of the power system when the secondary side equipment of the power system fails. For example, under the condition that the equipment 1 on the secondary side of the power system has a fault A, the conditional probability of the disturbance B on the primary side of the power system is:
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000007
Figure PCTCN2021075849-appb-000007
实施例2Example 2
本施例提供一种跨空间连锁故障的评估装置,可应用于电网信息物理系统,如图4所示,包括:This embodiment provides an assessment device for cross-space cascading failures, which can be applied to a power grid cyber-physical system, as shown in Figure 4, including:
构建模块21,设置为构建跨空间连锁故障攻击图,跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S11的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The construction module 21 is set to construct a cross-space cascading failure attack graph, and the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
第一计算模块22,设置为计算跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S12的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The first calculation module 22 is configured to calculate the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph. Please refer to the relevant description of step S12 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
获取模块23,设置为获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的第一功率以及发生跨空间连锁故障之后的第二功率。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S13的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The obtaining module 23 is configured to obtain the first power before the cross-space cascading failure and the second power after the cross-space cascading failure. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
第二计算模块24,设置为根据第一功率和第二功率,计算攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S14的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The second calculation module 24 is configured to calculate the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path according to the first power and the second power. Please refer to the relevant description of step S14 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
第三计算模块25,设置为根据总介数值和电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤 S15的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The third calculation module 25 is configured to calculate the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading fault based on the total dielectric value and the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system. Please refer to the relevant description of step S15 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
评估模块26,设置为对危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S16的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The evaluation module 26 is configured to sort the criticality factor values, and according to the sorting result, evaluate the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S16 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
本实施例提供的跨空间连锁故障的评估装置,通过构建模块构建跨空间连锁故障攻击图,跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径;由第一计算模块计算跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值;获取模块获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的第一功率以及发生跨空间连锁故障之后的第二功率;第二计算模块可以根据第一功率和所述第二功率,计算攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子;第三计算模块可以根据总介数值和电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值;评估模块则对危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。该跨空间连锁故障的评估装置可以明确多类由信息威胁引发的跨空间连锁故障对电力系统造成的危害并给出危害性排序,实现了精确全面地评估多类跨空间连锁故障的危害程度,从而准确定位电网信息物理系统中需重点防护的信息和物理节点,保障电网信息物理系统的安全性以及运行的稳定性。The cross-space cascading failure assessment device provided in this embodiment constructs a cross-space cascading failure attack graph through building modules. The cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths; the first calculation module calculates each of the cross-space cascading failure attack graphs. The total between-values of the attack paths; the acquisition module acquires the first power before the cross-space cascading failure and the second power after the cross-space cascading failure; the second calculation module can calculate based on the first power and the second power The power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path; the third calculation module can calculate the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure based on the total dielectric value and the primary power loss factor of the power system; evaluation module Then the criticality factor values are sorted, and the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path is evaluated according to the sorting result. This cross-space cascading failure assessment device can clarify the harm caused by multiple types of cross-space cascading failures caused by information threats to the power system and give a criticality ranking, so as to accurately and comprehensively evaluate the harm degree of multiple types of cross-space cascading failures. In this way, the information and physical nodes that need to be protected in the cyber-physical system of the power grid are accurately located, and the security and operational stability of the cyber-physical system of the power grid are guaranteed.
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,构建模块21,包括:As an optional implementation manner of this application, the building module 21 includes:
第一确定子模块,设置为确定跨空间连锁故障攻击图的信息威胁节点、电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及电力系统一次侧扰动节点。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S11的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The first determining sub-module is set to determine the information threat node of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph, the secondary side equipment failure node of the power system, and the primary side disturbance node of the power system. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
路径形成子模块,设置为根据信息威胁节点、电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及电力系统一次侧扰动节点,形成攻击路径,攻击路径从信息威胁节点出发,途径电力系统二次侧设备故障节点,结束于电力系统一次侧扰动节点。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S11的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The path formation sub-module is set to form an attack path based on the information threat node, the power system secondary side equipment failure node and the power system primary side disturbance node, and the attack path starts from the information threat node and passes through the power system secondary side equipment failure node. It ends at the primary side disturbance node of the power system. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
攻击图形成子模块,设置为根据攻击路径形成跨空间连锁故障攻击图。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S11的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The attack graph formation sub-module is set to form a cross-space cascading failure attack graph according to the attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S11 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,第一计算模块22,包括:As an optional implementation manner of this application, the first calculation module 22 includes:
第一计算子模块,设置为计算每条攻击路径的节点介数值。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S12的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The first calculation sub-module is set to calculate the node betweenness value of each attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S12 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
确定子模块,设置为将节点介数值进行累乘,得到跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径对应的总介数值。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S12的相关描述,在此不再赘述。Determine the sub-module and set it to multiply the node betweenness value to obtain the total betweenness value corresponding to each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph. Please refer to the relevant description of step S12 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,获取模块23之前,包括:As an optional implementation manner of this application, before the obtaining module 23, it includes:
采集子模块,设置为采集历史运行数据,根据历史运行数据确定每种电力系统二次侧设备发生对应故障的第一概率。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S13的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The collection sub-module is set to collect historical operating data, and determine the first probability of a corresponding failure of the secondary side equipment of each power system based on the historical operating data. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
第二确定子模块,设置为确定电力系统二次侧设备发生故障后,跨空间连锁故障引起电力系统一次侧扰动的第二概率。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S13的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The second determining sub-module is configured to determine the second probability of a cascading fault across the space causing a disturbance on the primary side of the power system after the secondary side equipment of the power system fails. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
第三确定子模块,设置为根据第一概率和所述第二概率,确定每种跨空间连锁故障在电力系统二次侧设备发生故障时触发电力系统一次侧扰动的条件概率。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S13的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The third determining sub-module is configured to determine the conditional probability of each type of cross-space cascading fault that triggers a disturbance on the primary side of the power system when the secondary side equipment of the power system fails according to the first probability and the second probability. Please refer to the related description of step S13 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,第二计算模块24,包括:As an optional implementation manner of this application, the second calculation module 24 includes:
第二计算子模块,设置为根据第一功率和第二功率计算功率损失比例。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S14的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The second calculation sub-module is configured to calculate the power loss ratio according to the first power and the second power. Please refer to the relevant description of step S14 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
第一相乘子模块,设置为将条件概率与所述功率损失比例相乘,得到攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障而引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S14的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The first multiplication sub-module is configured to multiply the conditional probability and the power loss ratio to obtain the primary power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path. Please refer to the relevant description of step S14 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
作为本申请一个可选的实施方式,第三计算模块25,包括:As an optional implementation manner of this application, the third calculation module 25 includes:
第二相乘子模块,设置为将总介数值和电力系统一次侧功率损失因子相乘,得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值。请参见上述任意方法实施例的步骤S15的相关描述,在此不再赘述。The second multiplication sub-module is set to multiply the total dielectric value and the primary power loss factor of the power system to obtain the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure. Please refer to the relevant description of step S15 in any of the foregoing method embodiments, which will not be repeated here.
实施例3Example 3
本申请实施例还提供了一种计算机设备,如图5所示,该设备包括处理器31和存储器32,其中处理器31和存储器32可以通过总线或者其他方式连接,图5中以通过总线30连接为例。The embodiment of the present application also provides a computer device. As shown in FIG. 5, the device includes a processor 31 and a memory 32, where the processor 31 and the memory 32 can be connected by a bus or in other ways. Connect as an example.
处理器31可以为中央处理器(Central Processing Unit,CPU)。处理器31还可以为其他通用处理器、数字信号处理器(Digital Signal Processor,DSP)、图形处理器(Graphics Processing Unit,GPU)、嵌入式神经网络处理器(Neural-network Processing Unit,NPU)或者其他专用的深度学习协处理器、专用集成电路(Application Specific Integrated Circuit,ASIC)、现场可编程门阵列(Field-Programmable Gate Array,FPGA)或者其他可编程逻辑器件、分立门或者晶体管逻辑器件、分立硬件组件等芯片,或者上述多类芯片的组合。The processor 31 may be a central processing unit (Central Processing Unit, CPU). The processor 31 may also be other general-purpose processors, digital signal processors (Digital Signal Processor, DSP), graphics processing units (Graphics Processing Unit, GPU), embedded neural network processors (Neural-network Processing Unit, NPU), or Other dedicated deep learning coprocessors, application specific integrated circuits (ASICs), field programmable gate arrays (Field-Programmable Gate Arrays, FPGAs) or other programmable logic devices, discrete gates or transistor logic devices, discrete Chips such as hardware components, or a combination of the above-mentioned multiple types of chips.
存储器32作为一种非暂态计算机可读存储介质,可设置为存储非暂态软件 程序、非暂态计算机可执行程序以及模块,如本申请实施例中的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法对应的程序指令/模块(例如,图4所示的构建模块21、第一计算模块22、获取模块23、第二计算模块24、第三计算模块25和评估模块26)。处理器31通过运行存储在存储器32中的非暂态软件程序、指令以及模块,从而执行处理器的多种功能应用以及数据处理,即实现上述方法实施例中的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法。As a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, the memory 32 can be configured to store non-transient software programs, non-transient computer executable programs, and modules, as corresponding to the cross-space cascading failure assessment method in the embodiment of the present application Program instructions/modules (for example, the building module 21, the first calculation module 22, the acquisition module 23, the second calculation module 24, the third calculation module 25, and the evaluation module 26 shown in FIG. 4). The processor 31 executes multiple functional applications and data processing of the processor by running non-transient software programs, instructions, and modules stored in the memory 32, that is, realizes the cross-space cascading failure assessment method in the above method embodiment.
存储器32可以包括存储程序区和存储数据区,其中,存储程序区可存储操作系统、至少一个功能所需要的应用程序;存储数据区可存储处理器31所创建的数据等。此外,存储器32可以包括高速随机存取存储器,还可以包括非暂态存储器,例如至少一个磁盘存储器件、闪存器件、或其他非暂态固态存储器件。在一些实施例中,存储器32可选包括相对于处理器31远程设置的存储器,这些远程存储器可以通过网络连接至处理器31。上述网络的实例包括但不限于互联网、企业内部网、局域网、移动通信网及其组合。The memory 32 may include a program storage area and a data storage area. The program storage area may store an operating system and an application program required by at least one function; the data storage area may store data created by the processor 31 and the like. In addition, the memory 32 may include a high-speed random access memory, and may also include a non-transitory memory, such as at least one magnetic disk storage device, a flash memory device, or other non-transitory solid-state storage devices. In some embodiments, the memory 32 may optionally include memories remotely provided with respect to the processor 31, and these remote memories may be connected to the processor 31 through a network. Examples of the aforementioned networks include, but are not limited to, the Internet, corporate intranets, local area networks, mobile communication networks, and combinations thereof.
所述一个或者多个模块存储在所述存储器32中,当被所述处理器31执行时,执行本申请方法实施例中的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法。The one or more modules are stored in the memory 32, and when executed by the processor 31, the method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures in the method embodiment of the present application is executed.
通过构建跨空间连锁故障攻击图,跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径;计算跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值;获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的第一功率以及发生跨空间连锁故障之后的第二功率;根据第一功率和所述第二功率,计算攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子;根据总介数值和电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到跨空间连锁故障的危害性因子值;对危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。通过实施本申请的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法可以明确多类由信息威胁引发的跨空间连锁故障对电力系统造成的危害并给出危害性排序,实现了精确全面地评估多类跨空间连锁故障的危害程度,从而准确定位电网信息物理系统中需重点防护的信息和物理节点,保障电网信息物理系统的安全性以及运行的稳定性。By constructing a cross-space cascading failure attack graph, the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths; calculating the total betweenness value of each attack path in the cross-space cascading failure attack graph; obtaining the first power before the cross-space cascading failure occurs, and The second power after a cross-space cascading fault occurs; according to the first power and the second power, calculate the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path; according to the total dielectric value and the primary side of the power system The power loss factor is calculated to obtain the criticality factor value of the cross-space cascading failure; the criticality factor value is sorted, and the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to the attack path is evaluated according to the sorting result. By implementing the cross-space cascading failure assessment method of the present application, it is possible to clarify the harm caused by multiple types of cross-space cascading failures caused by information threats to the power system and give the criticality ranking, so as to achieve an accurate and comprehensive assessment of multiple types of cross-space cascading failures Therefore, the information and physical nodes that need to be protected in the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be accurately located, and the security and operational stability of the cyber-physical system of the power grid can be guaranteed.
上述计算机设备的细节可以对应本申请方法实施例中对应的相关描述和效果进行理解,此处不再赘述。The details of the above-mentioned computer equipment can be understood according to the corresponding related descriptions and effects in the method embodiments of the present application, and will not be repeated here.
本申请实施例还提供一种非暂态计算机存储介质,所述计算机存储介质存储有计算机可执行指令,该计算机可执行指令可执行上述任意方法实施例中的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法。其中,所述存储介质可为磁碟、光盘、只读存储记忆体(Read-Only Memory,ROM)、随机存储记忆体(Random Access Memory,RAM)、快闪存储器(Flash Memory)、硬盘(Hard Disk Drive,HDD)或固态硬盘(Solid-State Drive,SSD)等;所述存储介质还可以包括上述种类的存储 器的组合。The embodiment of the present application also provides a non-transitory computer storage medium, the computer storage medium stores computer-executable instructions, and the computer-executable instructions can execute the cross-space cascading failure assessment method in any of the foregoing method embodiments. Wherein, the storage medium can be a magnetic disk, an optical disc, a read-only memory (Read-Only Memory, ROM), a random access memory (RAM), a flash memory (Flash Memory), a hard disk (Hard Disk Drive (HDD) or Solid-State Drive (SSD), etc.; the storage medium may also include a combination of the foregoing types of memories.

Claims (10)

  1. 一种跨空间连锁故障的评估方法,包括:A method for assessing cascading failures across spaces, including:
    构建电网信息物理系统的跨空间连锁故障攻击图,其中,所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径;Constructing a cross-space cascading failure attack diagram of the power grid cyber-physical system, wherein the cross-space cascading failure attack diagram includes multiple attack paths;
    计算所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值;Calculating the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph;
    获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的所述电网信息物理系统的物理侧的第一功率以及发生所述跨空间连锁故障之后的所述电网信息物理系统的物理侧的第二功率;Acquiring the first power of the physical side of the power grid cyber-physical system before the occurrence of a cross-space cascading fault and the second power of the physical side of the power grid cyber-physical system after the occurrence of the cross-space cascading fault;
    根据所述第一功率和所述第二功率,计算每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子;According to the first power and the second power, calculate the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path;
    根据每条攻击路径的总介数值和所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到所述每条攻击路径的危害性因子值;According to the total between value of each attack path and the primary power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path, the criticality factor value of each attack path is calculated;
    对所述多条攻击路径分别对应的多个危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。The multiple criticality factor values corresponding to the multiple attack paths are sorted, and the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path is evaluated according to the sorting result.
  2. 根据权利要求1所述的方法,其中,所述构建电网信息物理系统的跨空间连锁故障攻击图,其中,所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径,包括:The method according to claim 1, wherein said constructing a cross-space cascading failure attack diagram of a power grid cyber-physical system, wherein the cross-space cascading failure attack diagram includes multiple attack paths, including:
    确定所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图的信息威胁节点、电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及电力系统一次侧扰动节点;Determining the information threat node, the secondary-side equipment failure node of the power system, and the primary-side disturbance node of the power system of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph;
    根据所述信息威胁节点、所述电力系统二次侧设备故障节点及所述电力系统一次侧扰动节点,形成一条攻击路径,其中,所述一条攻击路径从所述信息威胁节点出发,途径所述电力系统二次侧设备故障节点,结束于所述电力系统一次侧扰动节点;According to the information threat node, the power system secondary side equipment failure node, and the power system primary side disturbance node, an attack path is formed, wherein the attack path starts from the information threat node through the The fault node of the secondary side equipment of the power system ends at the primary side disturbance node of the power system;
    根据形成的所述多条攻击路径形成所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图。The cross-space cascading failure attack graph is formed according to the formed multiple attack paths.
  3. 根据权利要求2所述的方法,其中,所述计算所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值,包括:The method according to claim 2, wherein the calculating the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph comprises:
    计算所述每条攻击路径的多个节点的介数值;Calculate the intermediate value of multiple nodes of each attack path;
    将所述多个节点的介数值进行累乘,得到所述每条攻击路径的总介数值。Multiply the betweenness values of the multiple nodes to obtain the total betweenness value of each attack path.
  4. 根据权利要求2所述的方法,在所述获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的所述电网信息物理系统的物理侧的第一功率以及发生所述跨空间连锁故障之后的所述电网信息物理系统的物理侧的第二功率之前,还包括:The method according to claim 2, in the acquiring the first power of the physical side of the power grid cyber-physical system before the occurrence of a cross-space cascading failure and the power grid cyber-physical system after the occurrence of the cross-space cascading failure Before the second power on the physical side, it also includes:
    采集历史运行数据,根据所述历史运行数据确定多种电力系统二次侧设备 中的每种电力系统二次侧设备发生对应故障的第一概率;Collect historical operating data, and determine the first probability of a corresponding failure of each of the multiple types of power system secondary side equipment of the power system secondary side equipment according to the historical operating data;
    确定所述每种电力系统二次侧设备发生所述对应故障后,所述对应故障的节点所在的攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引起的电力系统一次侧扰动的第二概率;Determining the second probability of the primary side disturbance of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path of the corresponding faulty node after the corresponding fault occurs in the secondary side equipment of the power system;
    根据所述第一概率和所述第二概率,确定在所述每种电力系统二次侧设备发生所述对应故障的情况下,所述攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障触发所述电力系统一次侧扰动的条件概率。According to the first probability and the second probability, it is determined that when the corresponding fault occurs in the secondary side equipment of the power system, the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to the attack path triggers the power system once Conditional probability of side disturbance.
  5. 根据权利要求4所述的方法,其中,所述根据所述第一功率和所述第二功率,计算每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,包括:The method according to claim 4, wherein the calculating the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path according to the first power and the second power comprises:
    根据所述第一功率和所述第二功率计算功率损失比例;Calculating a power loss ratio according to the first power and the second power;
    将所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的条件概率与所述功率损失比例相乘,得到所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子。The conditional probability of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path is multiplied by the power loss ratio to obtain the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path.
  6. 根据权利要求1所述的方法,其中,所述根据每条攻击路径的总介数值和所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到所述每条攻击路径的危害性因子值,包括:The method according to claim 1, wherein said calculating the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path and the total between-value of each attack path The value of the criticality factor for each attack path, including:
    将所述每条攻击路径的总介数值和所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子相乘,得到所述每条攻击路径的危害性因子值。The total between value of each attack path and the primary power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path are multiplied to obtain the criticality factor value of each attack path.
  7. 根据权利要求2所述的方法,其中,所述信息威胁节点,包括:拒绝服务攻击类节点,直接利用型攻击类节点,和信息设备可靠性故障类节点;The method according to claim 2, wherein the information threat node includes: a denial of service attack node, a direct utilization attack node, and an information equipment reliability failure node;
    所述电力系统二次侧设备故障节点,包括:控制信号装置误动、拒动、停运类节点,测量装置量测结果偏差类节点,和保护装置误动、拒动、停运类节点。The secondary-side equipment failure nodes of the power system include: control signal device misoperation, refusal, and outage nodes, measurement device measurement result deviation nodes, and protection device misoperation, refusal, and outage nodes.
  8. 一种跨空间连锁故障的评估装置,包括:A device for evaluating cascading failures across spaces, including:
    构建模块,设置为构建电网信息物理系统的跨空间连锁故障攻击图,其中,所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图包括多条攻击路径;The construction module is configured to construct a cross-space cascading failure attack graph of the power grid cyber-physical system, wherein the cross-space cascading failure attack graph includes multiple attack paths;
    第一计算模块,设置为计算所述跨空间连锁故障攻击图的每条攻击路径的总介数值;The first calculation module is configured to calculate the total betweenness value of each attack path of the cross-space cascading failure attack graph;
    获取模块,设置为获取发生跨空间连锁故障之前的所述电网信息物理系统的物理侧的第一功率以及发生所述跨空间连锁故障之后的所述电网信息物理系 统的物理侧的第二功率;An obtaining module configured to obtain the first power of the physical side of the power grid cyber-physical system before the occurrence of a cross-space cascading fault and the second power of the physical side of the power grid cyber-physical system after the occurrence of the cross-space cascading fault;
    第二计算模块,设置为根据所述第一功率和所述第二功率,计算每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子;The second calculation module is configured to calculate the primary-side power loss factor of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading fault corresponding to each attack path according to the first power and the second power;
    第三计算模块,设置为根据每条攻击路径的总介数值和所述每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障引发的电力系统一次侧功率损失因子,计算得到所述每条攻击路径的危害性因子值;The third calculation module is set to calculate the harmfulness of each attack path based on the total between value of each attack path and the power loss factor of the primary side of the power system caused by the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path Factor value
    评估模块,设置为对所述多条攻击路径分别对应的多个危害性因子值进行排序,根据排序结果,对每条攻击路径对应的跨空间连锁故障的危害程度进行评估。The evaluation module is configured to sort the multiple criticality factor values corresponding to the multiple attack paths, and evaluate the damage degree of the cross-space cascading failure corresponding to each attack path according to the sorting result.
  9. 一种计算机设备,包括:存储器和处理器,所述存储器和所述处理器之间互相通信连接,所述存储器中存储有计算机指令,所述处理器通过执行所述计算机指令,从而执行权利要求1-7中任一项所述的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法。A computer device, comprising: a memory and a processor, the memory and the processor are communicatively connected with each other, the memory is stored with computer instructions, and the processor executes the claims by executing the computer instructions The method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures described in any one of 1-7.
  10. 一种计算机可读存储介质,存储有计算机指令,所述计算机指令用于使所述计算机执行权利要求1-7中任一项所述的跨空间连锁故障的评估方法。A computer-readable storage medium storing computer instructions for causing the computer to execute the method for evaluating cross-space cascading failures according to any one of claims 1-7.
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