WO2015133026A1 - Système de prédiction de la durée de rétablissement - Google Patents

Système de prédiction de la durée de rétablissement Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2015133026A1
WO2015133026A1 PCT/JP2014/081923 JP2014081923W WO2015133026A1 WO 2015133026 A1 WO2015133026 A1 WO 2015133026A1 JP 2014081923 W JP2014081923 W JP 2014081923W WO 2015133026 A1 WO2015133026 A1 WO 2015133026A1
Authority
WO
WIPO (PCT)
Prior art keywords
work
recovery time
recovery
diagnosis
prediction system
Prior art date
Application number
PCT/JP2014/081923
Other languages
English (en)
Japanese (ja)
Inventor
大介 勝又
眞見 山崎
達広 佐藤
玉置　研二
涼次 朝倉
Original Assignee
株式会社日立製作所
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by 株式会社日立製作所 filed Critical 株式会社日立製作所
Publication of WO2015133026A1 publication Critical patent/WO2015133026A1/fr

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    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/10—Services
    • B—PERFORMING OPERATIONS; TRANSPORTING
    • B61—RAILWAYS
    • B61L—GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC; ENSURING THE SAFETY OF RAILWAY TRAFFIC
    • B61L27/00—Central railway traffic control systems; Trackside control; Communication systems specially adapted therefor
    • B61L27/10—Operations, e.g. scheduling or time tables
    • B61L27/16—Trackside optimisation of vehicle or train operation
    • B—PERFORMING OPERATIONS; TRANSPORTING
    • B61—RAILWAYS
    • B61L—GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC; ENSURING THE SAFETY OF RAILWAY TRAFFIC
    • B61L27/00—Central railway traffic control systems; Trackside control; Communication systems specially adapted therefor
    • B61L27/50—Trackside diagnosis or maintenance, e.g. software upgrades
    • B61L27/57—Trackside diagnosis or maintenance, e.g. software upgrades for vehicles or trains, e.g. trackside supervision of train conditions
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/40—Business processes related to the transportation industry

Definitions

  • Commander terminal (information processing device) OP, recovery time prediction system (information processing device) 10, worker terminal (information processing device) MA operated by a worker performing recovery work at the failure site, and potential failure site
  • the operation facility ST including the train TR or the station building and the railroad crossing is provided with a notification device (not shown) for reporting the failure information 20 to the recovery time prediction system 10.
  • the recovery time distribution is updated to be highly reliable every time the work is performed.
  • the diagnostic tree information management unit 32 updates the treatment time master and the recovery probability master by statistical processing such as simple average based on the treatment time actually taken and the treatment result (S505, S506). ).

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  • Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
  • Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
  • Marketing (AREA)
  • Economics (AREA)
  • Primary Health Care (AREA)
  • Strategic Management (AREA)
  • Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
  • General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
  • Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
  • Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
  • Mechanical Engineering (AREA)
  • Biomedical Technology (AREA)
  • Management, Administration, Business Operations System, And Electronic Commerce (AREA)
  • Train Traffic Observation, Control, And Security (AREA)

Abstract

La présente invention a pour objet de réaliser un système de prédiction de la durée de rétablissement capable de recommander un plan d'exploitation hautement fiable. Le système de prédiction de la durée de rétablissement est caractérisé en ce qu'il comprend une fonction qui exécute: une première étape consistant à déterminer, au moyen d'une simulation par nombres aléatoires, une cause de panne parmi une pluralité de causes de panne candidates, en fonction d'une probabilité de rétablissement; une deuxième étape consistant à lire à partir d'une unité de stockage un arbre de diagnostic qui détermine une tâche de réaction pour la cause de panne, et à réaliser un calcul de parcours de l'arbre de diagnostic; une troisième étape consistant à lire chaque durée de tâche à partir de l'unité de stockage et à calculer la somme de chaque durée de tâche figurant dans le parcours calculé lors de la deuxième étape en tant que durée de rétablissement pour la cause de panne; une quatrième étape consistant à répéter les première à troisième étapes et à calculer une distribution de durée de rétablissement; et une cinquième étape consistant à présenter la distribution de durée de rétablissement calculée lors de la quatrième étape à un répartiteur.
PCT/JP2014/081923 2014-03-06 2014-12-03 Système de prédiction de la durée de rétablissement WO2015133026A1 (fr)

Applications Claiming Priority (2)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
JP2014-043412 2014-03-06
JP2014043412A JP2015168309A (ja) 2014-03-06 2014-03-06 復旧時間予測システム

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
WO2015133026A1 true WO2015133026A1 (fr) 2015-09-11

Family

ID=54054849

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
PCT/JP2014/081923 WO2015133026A1 (fr) 2014-03-06 2014-12-03 Système de prédiction de la durée de rétablissement

Country Status (2)

Country Link
JP (1) JP2015168309A (fr)
WO (1) WO2015133026A1 (fr)

Cited By (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN106655155A (zh) * 2016-10-12 2017-05-10 中国农业大学 一种考虑故障恢复时间不确定性的配电网故障恢复方法
CN112418474A (zh) * 2019-08-20 2021-02-26 北京国双科技有限公司 一种故障处理期限的预测方法及装置

Families Citing this family (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
EP3431359B1 (fr) * 2016-03-15 2022-09-28 Nippon Steel Corporation Procédé, dispositif et programme d'évaluation d'état de la voie ferrée
JP6986882B2 (ja) * 2017-07-14 2021-12-22 株式会社日立製作所 旅客案内装置、旅客案内システム及び旅客案内方法

Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
JP2013029881A (ja) * 2011-07-26 2013-02-07 Hitachi Medical Corp 保守支援システム、保守支援装置および保守支援プログラム
JP2013105221A (ja) * 2011-11-11 2013-05-30 Hitachi Medical Corp 保守部品配送支援システム，保守部品配送支援装置および保守部品配送支援プログラム

Patent Citations (2)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
JP2013029881A (ja) * 2011-07-26 2013-02-07 Hitachi Medical Corp 保守支援システム、保守支援装置および保守支援プログラム
JP2013105221A (ja) * 2011-11-11 2013-05-30 Hitachi Medical Corp 保守部品配送支援システム，保守部品配送支援装置および保守部品配送支援プログラム

Cited By (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN106655155A (zh) * 2016-10-12 2017-05-10 中国农业大学 一种考虑故障恢复时间不确定性的配电网故障恢复方法
CN106655155B (zh) * 2016-10-12 2023-02-28 中国农业大学 一种考虑故障恢复时间不确定性的配电网故障恢复方法
CN112418474A (zh) * 2019-08-20 2021-02-26 北京国双科技有限公司 一种故障处理期限的预测方法及装置

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Publication number Publication date
JP2015168309A (ja) 2015-09-28

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