WO2005043347B1 - Electric utility storm outage management - Google Patents
Electric utility storm outage managementInfo
- Publication number
- WO2005043347B1 WO2005043347B1 PCT/US2004/036549 US2004036549W WO2005043347B1 WO 2005043347 B1 WO2005043347 B1 WO 2005043347B1 US 2004036549 W US2004036549 W US 2004036549W WO 2005043347 B1 WO2005043347 B1 WO 2005043347B1
- Authority
- WO
- WIPO (PCT)
- Prior art keywords
- predicted
- power circuit
- recited
- weather
- prediction
- Prior art date
Links
- 230000000875 corresponding Effects 0.000 claims 1
Abstract
Electric utility outage management is performed by determining an interconnection model of an electric utility power circuit, (790) the power circuit comprising power circuit components (700-713), determining information indicative of weather susceptibility of the power circuit components, determining a weather prediction, and determining a predicted maintenance parameter based on the interconnection model, the weather susceptibility information, and the weather prediction.
Claims
40
AMENDED CLAIMS
[Received by the International Bureau on 28 November 2005 (28.11.05): original claims 1 - 48 replaced by amended claims 1 - 50 (5 pages)]
+ STATEMENT What is Claimed:
1. (Amended) A method for electric utility storm outage management, the method comprising: providing an interconnection model for an electric utility power circuit that comprises power circuit components, the interconnection model including information about the layout of the power circuit and the interconnectivity of the power circuit components; providing a store of weather susceptibility information for the power circuit components for different weather conditions, wherein the weather susceptibility information for the power circuit components is different for different weather conditions; receiving a weather prediction; and determining a predicted maintenance parameter for the power circuit based on the interconnection model, the weather susceptibility information, and the weather prediction.
2. (Amended) The method as recited in claim 1, further comprising receiving information about the actual condition of the power circuit, and wherein determining the predicted maintenance parameter comprises determining the predicted maintenance parameter based on the interconnection model, the weather susceptibility information, the weather prediction, and the information about the actual condition of the power circuit.
3. (Amended) The method as recited in claim 2, wherein the information about the actual condition comprises at least one of a power consumer observation report, a data acquisition system report, and a maintenance crew report.
4. (Amended) The method as recited in claim 1 , wherein the weather susceptibility information comprises at least one of power line component age, power line pole age, power line component ice susceptibility, and power line component wind susceptibility.
41
5. The method as recited in claim 1, wherein the weather prediction comprises at least one of predicted wind speed, a predicted storm duration, a predicted snowfall amount, a predicted icing amount, and a predicted rainfall amount.
6. The method as recited in claim 1, wherein the predicted maintenance parameter comprises a predicted maintenance crew requirement.
7. The method as recited in claim 6, wherein determining the predicted maintenance crew requirement comprises determining a predicted maintenance crew person-day requirement based on a predicted damage type.
8. The method as recited in claim 1, wherein the predicted maintenance parameter comprises a prediction of a location of power consumers affected by the predicted power circuit damage.
9. The method as recited in claim 1, wherein the predicted maintenance parameter comprises a prediction of a time to repair the predicted power circuit damage.
10. The method as recited in claim I5 wherein the predicted maintenance parameter comprises a prediction of a cost to repair the power circuit damage.
11. The method as recited in claim 1, wherein determining the predicted maintenance parameter comprises determining a predicted amount of damage to the power circuit.
12. The method as recited in claim 11 , wherein the predicted amount of damage comprises at least one of a predicted number of broken power poles, a predicted number of downed power lines, and a predicted number of damaged power transformers.
13. (Amended) The method as recited in claim 1, further comprising determining an actual maintenance parameter corresponding to the predicted maintenance parameter; and
AMENDED SHEET (ARTICLE 19)
33
42
using the predicted maintenance parameter and the actual maintenance parameter to modify parameters that were used to determine the predicted maintenance parameter.
14. (Amended) A system for electric utility storm outage management, the system comprising: a model data store containing an interconnection model for an electric utility power circuit that comprises power circuit components, the interconnection model including information about the layout of the power circuit and the interconnectivity of the power circuit components; and information data store containing weather susceptibility information for the power circuit components for different weather conditions, wherein the weather susceptibility information for the power circuit components is different for different weather conditions; a computing engine operable to receive a weather prediction and to access the model data store and the information data store, said computing engine being configured to determine a predicted maintenance parameter for the power circuit based on the interconnection model, the weather susceptibility information, and the weather prediction.
15. (Amended) The system as recited in claim 14, wherein the computing engine comprises: a damage prediction engine that is capable of: receiving the weather prediction; and determining a per-unit damage prediction; and a storm outage engine that is capable of: accessing the interconnection model of the power circuit components; accessing the information indicative of weather susceptibility of the power circuit components; and determining a total damage prediction based on the interconnection model, the weather susceptibility information, and the per-unit damage prediction.
16. (Amended) The system as recited in claim 15, wherein the computing engine further comprises: a maintenance crew prediction engine that is capable of: determining a predicted maintenance crew requirement for each type of damage predicted; and wherein the storm outage engine is further capable of: determining a predicted total time to repair the damage based on the total damage prediction and the predicted maintenance crew requirement for each type of damage.
17. (Amended) The system as recited in claim 14, wherein the computing engine is further capable of receiving information about the actual condition of the power circuit, and wherein determining the predicted maintenance parameter comprises determining the predicted maintenance parameter based on the interconnection model, the weather susceptibility information, the weather prediction, and the information about the actual condition of the power circuit.
18. (Amended) The system as recited in claim 14, wherein the weather susceptibility information comprises at least one of power line component age, power line pole age, power line component ice susceptibility, and power line component wind susceptibility.
19. The system as recited in claim 14, wherein the weather prediction comprises at least one of predicted wind speed, a predicted storm duration, a predicted snowfall amount, a predicted icing amount, and a predicted rainfall amount.
20. The system as recited in claim 14, wherein the predicted maintenance parameter comprises a prediction of a location of power consumers affected by the predicted power circuit damage.
21. The system as recited in claim 14, wherein the predicted maintenance parameter comprises a prediction of a time to repair the predicted power circuit damage.
44
22. The system as recited in claim 14, wherein the predicted maintenance parameter comprises a prediction of a cost to repair the power circuit damage.
23. The system as recited in claim 14, wherein determining the predicted maintenance parameter comprises determining a predicted amount of damage to the power circuit.
24. The system as recited in claim 23, wherein the predicted amount of damage comprises at least one of a predicted number of broken power poles, a predicted number of downed power lines, and a predicted number of damaged power transformers.
25. - 48. (Canceled).
49. (New) The method of claim 1 , wherein weather susceptibility information includes failure probabilities for the power circuit components.
50. (New) The system of claim 14, wherein weather susceptibility information includes failure probabilities for the power circuit components.
Priority Applications (3)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
CA2544474A CA2544474C (en) | 2003-11-03 | 2004-11-01 | Electric utility storm outage management |
EP04810242A EP1685414A4 (en) | 2003-11-03 | 2004-11-01 | Electric utility storm outage management |
AU2004286691A AU2004286691B2 (en) | 2003-11-03 | 2004-11-01 | Electric utility storm outage management |
Applications Claiming Priority (2)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
US10/700,080 US7010437B2 (en) | 2003-11-03 | 2003-11-03 | Electric utility storm outage management |
US10/700,080 | 2003-11-03 |
Publications (3)
Publication Number | Publication Date |
---|---|
WO2005043347A2 WO2005043347A2 (en) | 2005-05-12 |
WO2005043347A3 WO2005043347A3 (en) | 2005-11-24 |
WO2005043347B1 true WO2005043347B1 (en) | 2006-03-02 |
Family
ID=34551110
Family Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
---|---|---|---|
PCT/US2004/036549 WO2005043347A2 (en) | 2003-11-03 | 2004-11-01 | Electric utility storm outage management |
Country Status (7)
Country | Link |
---|---|
US (1) | US7010437B2 (en) |
EP (1) | EP1685414A4 (en) |
CN (1) | CN100552463C (en) |
AU (1) | AU2004286691B2 (en) |
CA (2) | CA2761111A1 (en) |
TW (1) | TWI338143B (en) |
WO (1) | WO2005043347A2 (en) |
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2003
- 2003-11-03 US US10/700,080 patent/US7010437B2/en not_active Expired - Lifetime
-
2004
- 2004-10-29 TW TW093133056A patent/TWI338143B/en not_active IP Right Cessation
- 2004-11-01 AU AU2004286691A patent/AU2004286691B2/en not_active Ceased
- 2004-11-01 CA CA2761111A patent/CA2761111A1/en not_active Abandoned
- 2004-11-01 CN CNB200480032899XA patent/CN100552463C/en active Active
- 2004-11-01 CA CA2544474A patent/CA2544474C/en not_active Expired - Fee Related
- 2004-11-01 WO PCT/US2004/036549 patent/WO2005043347A2/en active Application Filing
- 2004-11-01 EP EP04810242A patent/EP1685414A4/en not_active Ceased
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