JP2004133624A5 - - Google Patents

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JP2004133624A5
JP2004133624A5 JP2002296562A JP2002296562A JP2004133624A5 JP 2004133624 A5 JP2004133624 A5 JP 2004133624A5 JP 2002296562 A JP2002296562 A JP 2002296562A JP 2002296562 A JP2002296562 A JP 2002296562A JP 2004133624 A5 JP2004133624 A5 JP 2004133624A5
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demand
product
amount
demand forecast
product group
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JP2002296562A
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JP2004133624A (en
JP4334198B2 (en
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複数の製品または製品グループの生産計画において高需要期間に生産能力を超過した超過需要分を低需要期間に割り当てる割当量を算出する生産計画装置であって、
前記製品または製品グループ別の需要予測量を前記製品または製品グループに関する属性を基に複数の属性別需要予測量に分割する分割手段と、
前記分割手段の分割した前記属性別需要予測量の一つを基に、前記超過需要分の前記製品または製品グループ別の割当量を算出する割当量算出手段と
を具備することを特徴とする生産計画装置。
A production planning device that calculates an allocation amount that allocates excess demand that exceeds production capacity during a high demand period to a low demand period in a production plan of a plurality of products or product groups,
A dividing unit that divides the demand forecast amount for each product or product group into a plurality of demand forecast amounts for each attribute based on attributes relating to the product or product group;
An allocation amount calculating means for calculating an allocation amount for each product or product group corresponding to the excess demand based on one of the demand forecast amounts for each attribute divided by the dividing means. Planning equipment.
前記属性は製品または製品グループ別の統計的な変動量であることを特徴とする請求項1に記載の生産計画装置。  The production planning apparatus according to claim 1, wherein the attribute is a statistical variation amount for each product or product group. 前記分割手段は、前記製品または製品グループ別の統計的な変動量である前記属性を基に、需要が確実と推定される分の確実需要予測量と、需要が変動的と推定される変動需要予測量の2種類の前記属性別需要予測量に前記需要予測量を分割し、
前記割当量算出手段は、前記分割手段の分割した前記確実需要予測量を基に、前記超過需要分の前記製品または製品グループ別の前記割当量を算出すること
を特徴とする請求項2に記載の生産計画装置。
Based on the attribute, which is a statistical fluctuation amount for each product or product group, the dividing means includes a certain demand forecast amount for which the demand is estimated to be certain, and a variable demand for which the demand is estimated to be variable. The demand forecast amount is divided into two types of forecast demand by attribute of forecast amount,
The said allocation amount calculation means calculates the said allocation amount according to the said product or product group for the said excess demand based on the said certain demand forecast amount which the said division means divided | segmented. Production planning equipment.
前記統計的な変動量は、過去における各製品または製品グループの需要予測量と需要実績の差の分散または偏差を基に求めることを特徴とする請求項2または請求項3に記載の生産計画装置。  4. The production planning apparatus according to claim 2, wherein the statistical fluctuation amount is obtained based on a variance or deviation of a difference between a demand forecast amount and a demand record of each product or product group in the past. . 前記割当量算出手段は、前記分割手段の分割した前記属性別需要予測量の一つまたは複数の加算値を基に前記製品または製品グループ別の比率を求め、前記比率に応じて前記超過需要分に対する前記製品または製品グループ別の割当量を算出することを特徴とする請求項1から請求項4のいずれか1項に記載の生産計画装置。  The allocated amount calculating means obtains a ratio for each product or product group based on one or more addition values of the attribute-specific demand forecast quantities divided by the dividing means, and determines the excess demand component according to the ratio. 5. The production planning apparatus according to claim 1, wherein an allocation amount for each product or product group is calculated. 前記製品または製品グループ別に最小の需要予測を要求する最小需要予測要求または最大の需要予測を要求する最大需要予測要求の設定を利用者へ促す設定手段と、
前記利用者により前記最小需要予測要求が設定された場合には、前記確実需要予測量を用いて前記製品または製品グループ別の第二の需要予測量を算出し、前記利用者により前記最大需要予測要求が設定された場合には、前記需要予測量に前記変動需要予測量を加えることで前記製品または製品グループ別の第二の需要予測量を算出する需要予測手段と、
前記需要予測手段の算出した前記第二の需要予測量を基に第二の超過需要分を算出する超過需要分算出手段と
を更に具備し、
前記割当量算出手段は、前記需要予測手段の算出した前記第二の需要予測量を基に、前記超過需要分算出手段が算出した前記第二の超過需要分に対する前記製品または製品グループ別の前記割当量を算出することを特徴とする請求項3または請求項4に記載の生産計画装置。
Setting means for prompting the user to set a minimum demand forecast request for requesting a minimum demand forecast for each product or product group or a maximum demand forecast request for requesting a maximum demand;
When the minimum demand forecast request is set by the user, a second demand forecast amount for each product or product group is calculated using the certain demand forecast amount, and the maximum demand forecast is calculated by the user. When a request is set, a demand prediction unit that calculates a second demand forecast amount for each product or product group by adding the variable demand forecast amount to the demand forecast amount;
An excess demand component calculating means for calculating a second excess demand component based on the second demand forecast amount calculated by the demand prediction device;
The allocated amount calculation means is based on the second demand prediction amount calculated by the demand prediction means, and the product or product group is configured for the second excess demand calculated by the excess demand calculation means. The production planning apparatus according to claim 3 or 4, wherein an allocation amount is calculated.
前記割当量算出手段が算出した前記割当量と、前記需要予測量とを基に、前記製品または製品グループ別の生産計画を生成する生産計画生成手段を更に具備することを特徴とする請求項1から請求項6のいずれか1項に記載の生産計画装置。  2. A production plan generation unit that generates a production plan for each product or product group based on the allocation amount calculated by the allocation amount calculation unit and the demand forecast amount. The production planning device according to claim 6. 複数の製品または製品グループの生産計画において高需要期間に生産能力を超過した超過需要分を低需要期間に割り当てる割当量を算出する生産計画方法であって、
前記製品または製品グループ別の需要予測量を前記製品または製品グループに関する属性を基に複数の属性別需要予測量に分割する第一のステップと、
前記第一のステップで分割した前記属性別需要予測量の一つを基に、前記超過需要分の前記製品または製品グループ別の割当量を算出する第二のステップと
を有することを特徴とする生産計画方法。
A production planning method for calculating an allocation amount for allocating an excess demand amount exceeding a production capacity during a high demand period in a low demand period in a production plan of a plurality of products or product groups,
Dividing the demand forecast amount for each product or product group into a plurality of demand forecast amounts for each attribute based on attributes relating to the product or product group;
And a second step of calculating an allocation amount for each product or product group corresponding to the excess demand based on one of the demand forecast amounts for each attribute divided in the first step. Production planning method.
前記属性は製品または製品グループ別の統計的な変動量であることを特徴とする請求項8に記載の生産計画方法。  9. The production planning method according to claim 8, wherein the attribute is a statistical fluctuation amount for each product or product group. 前記第一のステップは、前記製品または製品グループ別の統計的な変動量である前記属性を基に、需要が確実と推定される分の確実需要予測量と、需要が変動的と推定される変動需要予測量の2種類の前記属性別需要予測量に前記需要予測量を分割し、
前記第二のステップは、前記第一のステップで分割した前記確実需要予測量を基に、前記超過需要分の前記製品または製品グループ別の前記割当量を算出すること
を特徴とする請求項9に記載の生産計画方法。
In the first step, based on the attribute, which is a statistical fluctuation amount for each product or product group, a certain demand forecast amount for which the demand is estimated to be certain, and the demand is estimated to be variable. The demand forecast amount is divided into two types of attribute demand forecast amounts of variable demand forecast amount,
The second step calculates the allocated amount for each product or product group corresponding to the excess demand based on the certain demand forecast amount divided in the first step. The production planning method described in 1.
複数の製品または製品グループの生産計画において高需要期間に生産能力を超過した超過需要分を低需要期間に割り当てる割当量を算出する生産計画装置用のプログラムを記録したコンピュータ読み取り可能な記録媒体であって、
前記製品または製品グループ別の需要予測量を前記製品または製品グループに関する属性を基に複数の属性別需要予測量に分割する第一のステップと、
前記第一のステップで分割した前記属性別需要予測量の一つを基に、前記超過需要分の前記製品または製品グループ別の割当量を算出する第二のステップと
を生産計画装置に実行させるためのプログラムを記録したコンピュータ読み取り可能な記録媒体。
This is a computer-readable recording medium that records a program for a production planning device that calculates an allocation amount that allocates excess demand that exceeds production capacity during a high demand period to a low demand period in a production plan for multiple products or product groups. And
Dividing the demand forecast amount for each product or product group into a plurality of demand forecast amounts for each attribute based on attributes relating to the product or product group;
Causing the production planning device to execute a second step of calculating an allocation amount for each product or product group corresponding to the excess demand based on one of the attribute-specific demand forecast amounts divided in the first step. A computer-readable recording medium on which a program for recording is recorded.
複数の製品または製品グループの生産計画において高需要期間に生産能力を超過した超過需要分を低需要期間に割り当てる割当量を算出する生産計画装置用のプログラムであって、
前記製品または製品グループ別の需要予測量を前記製品または製品グループに関する属性を基に複数の属性別需要予測量に分割する第一のステップと、
前記第一のステップで分割した前記属性別需要予測量の一つを基に、前記超過需要分の前記製品または製品グループ別の割当量を算出する第二のステップと
を生産計画装置に実行させるためのプログラム。
A program for a production planning device that calculates an allocation amount that allocates excess demand that exceeds production capacity during a high demand period to a low demand period in a production plan for multiple products or product groups,
Dividing the demand forecast amount for each product or product group into a plurality of demand forecast amounts for each attribute based on attributes relating to the product or product group;
Causing the production planning device to execute a second step of calculating an allocation amount for each product or product group corresponding to the excess demand based on one of the attribute-specific demand forecast amounts divided in the first step. Program for.
JP2002296562A 2002-10-09 2002-10-09 Production planning apparatus, production planning method, recording medium thereof, and program Expired - Fee Related JP4334198B2 (en)

Priority Applications (1)

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JP2002296562A JP4334198B2 (en) 2002-10-09 2002-10-09 Production planning apparatus, production planning method, recording medium thereof, and program

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Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
JP2002296562A JP4334198B2 (en) 2002-10-09 2002-10-09 Production planning apparatus, production planning method, recording medium thereof, and program

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JP2004133624A JP2004133624A (en) 2004-04-30
JP2004133624A5 true JP2004133624A5 (en) 2005-08-18
JP4334198B2 JP4334198B2 (en) 2009-09-30

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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
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JP4911996B2 (en) * 2006-03-08 2012-04-04 株式会社 日立東日本ソリューションズ Demand prediction support system, demand prediction support method, and demand prediction support program
JP5974712B2 (en) * 2012-07-31 2016-08-23 キヤノンマーケティングジャパン株式会社 Information processing apparatus, information processing method, and program
JP7198700B2 (en) * 2019-03-27 2023-01-04 株式会社オービック Decision support device, decision support program and decision support method

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