JP2003099519A - Method for fixing future price of secondhand vehicle, selling device for the secondhand vehicle and method for selling the secondhand vehicle utilizing it - Google Patents

Abstract

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a method for predicting a future price of a secondhand vehicle, a selling device for a secondhand vehicle capable of lightening a user's burden when purchasing the secondhand vehicle and a method for selling a secondhand vehicle utilizing the device. SOLUTION: A future price fixing device 1 for a secondhand vehicle comprises a control means 111, a storage means 110 for information about a change of the standard price, a storage means 112 for a vehicle assessment result, an RAM 113, a program storing means 114, an I/O controlling means 116, a communication controlling means 115, an image inputting means 117, a vehicle assessment result inputting means 118, a printer 119, a display device 120, a keyboard (KB) 121 and a mouse 122. The communication controlling means 115 is connected to the Internet. A standard price is calculated from a price at the time of sale of a secondhand vehicle obtained by the control means 111 and is stored in the storage means 110 for information about a change of the standard price by attribute of the vehicle and a future price of the secondhand vehicle is calculated from the information about a change of the standard price.

Description

Detailed Description of the Invention

[0001]

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION 1. Field of the Invention The present invention relates to a method for determining a future price of a used vehicle, a used vehicle selling device, and a used vehicle selling method using the same.

[0002]

2. Description of the Related Art Changes in economic conditions are caused by the expansion of the automobile industry,
In particular, the used car market has been bloated. Under such circumstances, used car dealers (dealers) make a profit by purchasing used cars cheaply and selling them high to users. A general user may buy or sell a used car individually or from a dealer. Generally purchased from a dealer. When purchasing from a dealer, the current car (current car) may be changed to another used car. In the case of the former individual sale, only selecting the used car to purchase is done, but when buying from the dealer of the latter, since the current car is traded in and a new used car is purchased, the trade-in price is purchased. This will affect the selection of used cars. In this case, users who switch to a new used car
Hoping to sell the current car higher, the dealer wants to buy it cheaper. In this way, the dealer and the consumer are
There are conflicting interests, sometimes the used cars are not properly evaluated, and this may result in a loss of mutual trust. Furthermore, dealers are trying to recommend used cars owned by their companies to users, and the fact that they do not match the users' wishes also causes a loss of mutual trust.

When a user purchases a new used car and trades in the current car, there is conventionally no standard for properly evaluating the used car to be used for trading the used car. The assessment was done with the intuition of the dealer who purchased the product. For this reason, even with the same used car, the dealer often made a big difference in the purchase price. So both the dealer and the consumer
There is a strong desire to buy and sell used cars at an appropriate price based on the evaluation criteria of used cars that are based on the relationship of mutual trust between the two. For this reason, a booklet is published for traders that lists the prices that are used as the basis for used cars set on the basis of various conditions, by manufacturer, vehicle type, and grade.
It is also published in various automobile-related magazines for consumers. The used car price is set in the booklet based on the year, specification, grade, and the degree of popularity at that time.

[0004]

[Problems to be Solved by the Invention] On the side of choosing a used car, the dealer wants to select a desired used car from many used car markets. However, a dealer can choose a used car owned by another dealer. There is no way to know, you can introduce only used cars displayed on the market or used cars owned by other companies exhibited at other branches, and you can select the used car you want from the wide area used car market. There were few such means. In addition, the booklet used when carrying out the trade-in assessment is used when the dealer decides the trade-in assessment price when trading in a used car from a general user. Therefore, in this booklet, each manufacturer, each vehicle type, each year, each specification, each grade,
Prices are set according to body color.

[0005] Therefore, when a general user brings in his or her own car (used car) for sale, the trader assessed by the general user, the manufacturer name, model, type, year, specification, The dealer's own specification of grade and body color, and the basic appraisal price of the vehicle type corresponding to the used car identified from the table summarized in this booklet (residual value price from the price of the new car calculated as a car only) Is selected and determined, taking into account the special adder / subtractor amount of the assessor (dealer) depending on the degree of popularity of the relevant vehicle type at present, the difference in mileage, the damage of various parts, etc.
The final purchase assessment price of the vehicle subject to assessment has been determined.
Therefore, it has been unclear to the user.

[0006] In addition, when the user purchases a new used car, the amount of money paid may be the same as that of the new car when the number of years since the first year registration is small, and in such a case, the user's burden is great. Is.

The present invention solves the above problem, and when the user purchases a new used car, the user can easily and smoothly search for the optimum car desired by the user from a wide market beyond the company's own inventory. Along with the method of predicting the future price of the used vehicle and subtracting the future price calculated by the future price calculation means from the selling price of the vehicle, the user's burden when purchasing a new used car is reduced. It is an object of the present invention to provide a used vehicle selling device and a used vehicle selling method using the used vehicle selling device.

[0008]

In order to achieve the above object, the present invention provides a method for determining a future price of a used vehicle according to claim 1, wherein a standard price of the vehicle is calculated from a selling price of the used vehicle for each vehicle attribute. Standard price calculation means for calculating, standard price transition information storage means for storing the calculated standard price for each number of years after registration in the first year, future price determination means for determining the future price of the vehicle, and auction system From the price at the time of sale of the used vehicle obtained from the auction system by the control means, the standard price is calculated by the standard price calculation means, and the standard price transition information storage means is used for each vehicle attribute. The present invention is characterized in that the future price of the used vehicle is calculated and stored by the future price determining means from the transition information of the vehicle standard price.

In the method of determining the future price of a used vehicle according to a second aspect, the vehicle attribute includes at least an evaluation point for each vehicle.

In the method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to a third aspect of the present invention, the transition information of the vehicle standard price includes at least the winning bid rate of the vehicle.

In the method of determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 4, the transition information of the vehicle standard price by the future price determining means is corrected by the evaluation point of each vehicle, and the number of years elapsed after the first year registration is small. The feature is that the used vehicle is corrected so that the price difference due to the correction becomes large.

In the method for determining a future price of a used vehicle according to claim 5, the vehicle standard price transition information in the future price determining means is a successful bid of a vehicle standard price for each fiscal year for each vehicle attribute of the vehicle. Used vehicles with a high winning bid rate are characterized in that the rate of decline in vehicle prices decreases as the number of years elapsed after registration in the first year increases.

In the method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 6, the transition information of the vehicle standard price in each year for each vehicle attribute of the used vehicle is corrected by the winning bid rate for each vehicle evaluation point. Is characterized by.

According to a seventh aspect of the present invention, the used vehicle future price determining method is characterized in that the correction of the successful bid rate is performed when the successful bid rate exceeds a certain value after a lapse of a predetermined period.

In the method for determining a future price of a used vehicle according to claim 8, the correction in the successful bid rate is a value stored in a correction rate saving means having a correction rate according to a range of the successful bid rate after a lapse of a predetermined period. It is characterized in that it is corrected by.

In the method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 9, the vehicle attributes include at least a vehicle name, vehicle grade, model, initial registration year, and vehicle body color in addition to the evaluation points for each vehicle. It is characterized by being

In the method of determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 10, the future price determining means sets the future price after a certain period from the price one or two years after the first year registration and one or two years after the first year registration. The price is reduced at a constant rate, and the future price is determined so that the future price becomes zero after the lapse of the predetermined period.

In the used vehicle selling device for a used vehicle according to claim 11, a vehicle evaluation result storing means for storing an evaluation point of the used vehicle and a standard price of the vehicle is calculated for each vehicle attribute from the selling price of the used vehicle. Standard price calculation means, standard price transition information storage means for storing the calculated standard price for each number of years after registration in the first year, future price determination means for determining the future price of the vehicle, and future price determination The vehicle remaining price calculation means for calculating the remaining price of the vehicle from the future price and the selling price calculated by the means, and the control means for obtaining information from the auction system, are calculated by the vehicle remaining price calculation means. It is characterized in that the remaining vehicle price is the selling price of the price subject to monthly loan repayment when the vehicle is sold by the vehicle or by a loan.

In the used vehicle selling method of the used vehicle according to claim 12, the used vehicle selling device according to claim 11 is used, and the used vehicle selling device sells the used vehicle based on the future price and the selling price calculated by the future price determining means. Calculate the remaining price, sell the vehicle as the selling price of the vehicle, or the price that will be the monthly loan repayment price when the vehicle is sold by loan, and after 2 to 3 years from the sale, the vehicle will be sold. Is sold through an auction, and the proceeds are used to repay the remaining debt of the loan.

[0020]

BEST MODE FOR CARRYING OUT THE INVENTION (Definition of Terms) In the embodiments of the present invention, in order to determine the future price of a used car, the terms are defined as follows and used hereinafter. The "evaluation point" is a numerical value evaluated in N (N is an integer) grade by assessing the degree of stains and damage to the body of a used vehicle according to a certain standard. The "vehicle attribute" is vehicle information including the vehicle name, grade, model, first registration year, body color, etc. of the used vehicle. "Successful bid rate" is
It is the ratio of the number of vehicles sold in the used car market to the number of used vehicles put up for sale in the market. "Standard price" This is the average winning bid price for used vehicles that have the same vehicle attributes.

FIG. 1 is a flow chart for explaining a method of determining a future price of a used vehicle according to the present invention. Moreover, FIG.
FIG. 1 is a block diagram showing an embodiment of a used vehicle future price determination device 1 according to the present invention. Hereinafter, description will be given with reference to the drawings.

First, the used vehicle future price determination device 1 will be described with reference to FIG. In FIG. 11, the control means 111 is composed of a CPU, and the program storage means 114
Data processing is performed by using various kinds of programs stored in the RAM (random access memory) 113 to perform standard price calculation, future price determination, correction by evaluation point, correction by successful bid rate, etc., which will be described later, and the entire apparatus. Control. It is assumed that such various programs are stored in advance in the program storage unit 114 by a known method.

The control means 111 includes a standard price transition information storage means 110 which is a storage device, a vehicle evaluation result storage means 112, a RAM 113, and a program storage means 114.
And are connected. Furthermore, the input / output control means 116 and the communication control means 115 are connected to the control means 111. The input / output control means 116 includes the image input means 11
7. Vehicle evaluation result input means 118, printer 119, display device 120, keyboard (KB) 121, mouse 12
2 are connected to each other. The communication control device 115 is connected to an internet network (not shown).

The vehicle evaluation result input means 118 is of a type in which a predetermined vehicle evaluation system program is mounted on a laptop computer even if it is a dedicated machine for an automobile evaluation system having a vehicle evaluation system program built-in. May be

Then, the vehicle evaluation result input means 118.
In the evaluation of the degree of damage to the user vehicle, the exterior evaluation criteria item 81 shown in FIG.
The interior evaluation standard items 91 shown in FIG. 9 are classified and stored in the evaluation points 92 by the six-level evaluation. The classified evaluation items are displayed on a display unit (not shown) by the vehicle evaluation system program. Further, the vehicle attribute item 101 shown in FIG. 10A is also the vehicle evaluation result input means 118.
Stored in the computer and displayed on a display means (not shown) by the vehicle evaluation system program.

(Operation of Device) The operation of the used vehicle sales device 1 shown in FIG. 11 will be described below. The vehicle attribute of the target used vehicle, the evaluation point that is the degree of damage to the vehicle, and the winning bid rate are input from the vehicle evaluation input means 118.

The data input from the vehicle evaluation input means 118 is stored in the vehicle evaluation storage means 112 by the control means 111 together with the evaluation result, the vehicle attribute and the winning bid rate.

The image input means 117 is, for example, a digital camera for taking an overview photograph of a target vehicle, a photograph of a damaged portion, an interior photograph, and other images necessary for trading. The image input from the image input unit 117 is used by the control unit 111 together with the evaluation result (evaluation point) of the target vehicle of the vehicle evaluation input unit 118 by the vehicle evaluation input unit 1.
18 is stored. The evaluation result is output to the display device 120 or the printer 119 by the keyboard 121 or the mouse 122.

The output device may be various terminals such as a mobile phone terminal, a portable personal computer, and a palm-top communication terminal connected to an internet network (not shown). In such a case, the control unit 111 connects to the Internet network via the communication control unit 115 by a well-known method, and transmits the evaluation point and the vehicle attribute, and / or various images, future prices described later, and the like.

As a case of transmitting and receiving data by connecting to the Internet network, there are an Internet auction and a normal auction held at an auction site. Hereinafter, an ordinary auction held at an Internet auction and an auction site is simply referred to as an auction, and a device for controlling the auction is referred to as an auction system. In addition to the evaluation points, vehicle attributes, and various images, the selling price and other predetermined information necessary for the auction are transmitted or received in the auction.

Returning to FIG. 1, description will be made. First, the standard price is calculated and the vehicle standard price transition information is created in step S1. At the time of exhibiting at the auction, the vehicle is exhibited by determining the minimum selling price at the time of sale. The price at the time of sale is usually determined in consideration of vehicle evaluation points, vehicle attributes, and the like. Then, when the vehicle is sold, the standard price transition information storage means 110 is displayed in FIG.
The vehicle price attributes 20, 21, 22, 23, 24 such as the above, the evaluation point 25, and the standard price 26 are stored in the control means 111 in the program storage means 114. (Standard price calculation method)
, Update as follows, and again, standard price 2
6 and stores it in the standard price transition information storage means 110.

First, the displayed vehicle attribute item 101.
All vehicle attributes 102 are input to an input means (not shown). Then, as shown in FIG. 2, for example, on April 1, 1996 when the auction was conducted, M vehicles with an evaluation score of 5 under the vehicle name A were sold until now, and the standard price 26 was 16.70 million yen. , The vehicle that was awarded this time has an evaluation point of vehicle name A of 5
Then, when the selling price is 1.7 million yen, the standard price calculation program sets the new standard price 26 to (167M ± 170) / (M + 1) 10,000 yen. Here, in the case of M >> 1, the new standard price 26 is approximately (167 ± 170 /
M) It will be 10,000 yen. However, + is when the vehicle price is higher than the previous standard price, and − is when the vehicle price is lower than the previous standard price vehicle price.

The above processing is performed by the vehicle evaluation result input means 1
By inputting from 18 and, for example, as shown in FIG. 2, for vehicles having the same vehicle attribute, for many years,
The standard price transition information storage unit 110 stores the transition information of the standard price 26 as shown in FIG. 4 for each vehicle attribute. However, in FIG. 4, the standard price for each number of years after registration in the first year is set as the vertical axis, and the number of years after registration in the first year is set as the horizontal axis in FIG.

Next, at step S2, the vehicle evaluation result input means 118 to the evaluation items 81 shown in FIGS.
Evaluation points 82 and 92 are input along 91.
According to the vehicle evaluation system program, FIG.
Interior evaluation points 103, exterior evaluation points 104 shown in (b),
The comprehensive evaluation score 105 is automatically generated.

Then, the control means 111 controls the interior evaluation point 1
03, exterior evaluation score 104, or overall evaluation score 105,
Alternatively, all of them are stored in the vehicle evaluation storage means 112 together with the vehicle all attribute 102.

In step S3, the number of successful bids 31 for each vehicle attribute and the number of exhibited vehicles for each vehicle attribute obtained from the auction site as shown in FIG. Success rate for each attribute 3
2 is calculated and as shown in FIG.
2 respectively.

In step S4, the future price is calculated as follows from the transition information of the standard price 26 as shown in FIG. 4 stored in the vehicle attribute standard price transition information storage means 110. That is, for example, it is assumed that the future prices of vehicles having the same attributes as the vehicles having the vehicle attributes shown in FIG. 2 have similar changes. Therefore, the first year registration of the vehicle to be calculated is, for example, April 1997, and the new vehicle price is 20.
If the price is 0,000 yen, and the current vehicle is in April 1999, it has been two years since the vehicle was registered for the first year in April 1997. Therefore, the current price of the vehicle is the price index of Fig. 4. From the graph, it is estimated that it is approximately 65% of the new car price, that is, 1.3 million yen.

The future price of the vehicle in 2002 three years after (currently April 1999) (five years after the first year registration) is approximately 38% of the new vehicle price from the price index curve of FIG.
That is, it is estimated to be 760,000 yen. Similarly, when the vehicle price is calculated for each number of years elapsed after the first year registration, the graph shown in FIG. 5 is obtained.

In step S5, the transition information of the standard price 26 is corrected by the evaluation points. That is, even if the vehicles have the same vehicle attributes, the price changes as shown in FIG. 2 depending on the evaluation points. FIG. 6 is a diagram for explaining the situation,
Vehicles with a high evaluation point have a high price index as indicated by symbol C, and vehicles with a low evaluation point have a low price index as indicated by symbol D. In this correction, in vehicles with a small number of years since registration in the first year, the vehicle with a low evaluation point has a small future price reduction ratio. Therefore, as shown in FIG.
While the number of years that have passed since the registration in the first year is small, the price difference due to the correction will be increased. Vehicles that have had many years since the first year was registered have little impact on the evaluation points because the rate of price reduction in the future is small, and as shown in Figure 6 (g), the number of years that have passed since the first year was registered. When the value of the price increases, the price difference due to the correction is reduced.

As the correction amount, for example, as shown in FIG. 2, the vehicle registered in the first year of 1995, which is one year after 199 years, has passed.
In 6 years, the standard price for vehicles with the same vehicle attributes and evaluation points 5 and 3 in the same registration year is 1,670,000 yen and 14
The cost is 0,000 yen, and the difference is 16%. On the other hand, the standard prices for vehicles with evaluation points 5 and 3 in the same registration year as in 2000, five years after the first year registration, are 750,000 yen and 720,000 yen,
The difference is 4%.

In step S6, the transition information of the standard price 26 is corrected by the winning bid rate. That is, the winning bid rate reflects the popularity of vehicles, and the more popular vehicles have a higher winning rate and therefore tend to be sold at a higher price. And this popularity generally continues into the future. That is, as shown in FIG. 7 (a), the vehicle price index with a high successful bid rate is such that the rate of decrease in vehicle price is small even if the number of years elapsed after registration in the first year is large.
As indicated by the symbol (b), the vehicle price index with a low bid rate is corrected, and as the number of years elapsed after the first year registration increases, the vehicle price decrease rate increases.

The correction of the successful bid rate of the transition information of the vehicle standard price in each year for each vehicle attribute of the used vehicle is as follows:
Do this for each vehicle evaluation point. Further, the correction of the successful bid rate is stored in the standard price transition information storage means 110 when the successful bid rate after a lapse of a predetermined period exceeds a certain value.
The correction rate storage means (successful bid rate correction table) as shown in FIG. In FIG. 12, the vertical axis represents the current successful bid rate and the horizontal axis represents the previous successful bid rate.

For example, in a used vehicle auction with the same attribute and the same evaluation point, if the current successful bid rate is 100% and the previous successful bid rate is 60%, the popularity is rising. 75% (1.25 times). Then, from the price index shown in FIG.
Double price determination. Similarly, in a used vehicle auction with the same attribute and the same evaluation score, if the current successful bid rate is 60% and the previous successful bid rate is 80%, the popularity is falling, so the current successful bid rate is 70%. % (0.75 times). Then, price determination is performed by multiplying the price index shown in FIG. 7 by 0.75. The control means 111
FIG. 1 stored in the standard price transition information storage means 110.
Correction rate storage means as shown in 2 (successful bid rate correction table)
The content of is changed to the above value and stored.

On the other hand, the distribution price of used vehicles fluctuates depending on popular cars and unpopular cars, which affects the winning bid rate, as described above. However, there is a case where the future price cannot be estimated by the above-mentioned method because the number M of sales so far is small and the standard price and other information are small. In such cases, future prices will be determined as follows.

FIG. 13 is a diagram for explaining the future price determination method. FIG. 13A shows a popular car and FIG. 13B shows an unpopular car. In any case, the same change as the above-mentioned change of the standard price occurs for 1 to 2 years after the first year registration. After that, however, the future price is determined as a constant reduction.

In FIG. 13 (a), the reference numeral (c) decreases for the first or second year after the first year registration due to the same change as the above-mentioned change in the standard price, and becomes the price P1 two years after the first year registration. Indicate the case. In such cases, for example, 2 after registration in the first year.
For example, for 6 years from the price P1 after a certain period to the certain period, the price is reduced at a constant rate as shown by the sign (d), and after 6 years after the certain period has passed, the future price becomes as shown by the sign (e). Determine the future price to be zero.

In the case of FIG. 13 (b), it is determined similarly. However, since it is an unpopular car, the price is P2, which is lower than the price P1 of the popular car, two years after the first year registration. In such a case, after the registration in the first year, the price is reduced at a constant rate, for example, for 6 years from the price P2 two years later to a certain period, for example, 6 years, and the certain period has passed 6
The future price is determined so that the future price becomes zero as indicated by a sign (nu) after a year.

FIG. 14 is a block diagram of an embodiment of the present invention which realizes a used vehicle selling device by using the used vehicle future price determination method. In FIG. 14, it is the same as the used vehicle future price determination device 1. However, in FIG.
The image input means 117 and the vehicle evaluation result input means 11 of FIG.
8, printer 119, display device 120, keyboard (K
B) 121 and mouse 122 are not shown,
Each is connected to the input / output control means 116.

In FIG. 14, the control means 111 performs data processing by using various programs stored in the program storage means 114 using a RAM (random access memory) 113, calculates standard prices, determines future prices,
It performs processing such as correction based on evaluation points, correction based on the successful bid rate, and calculation of remaining vehicle price, and control of the entire device. It is assumed that such various programs are stored in advance in the program storage unit 114 by a known method.

In the used vehicle future price determination device 1, the Internet terminals 3a and 3b are connected to the client terminals 4a and 4b by the well-known method via the telephone network control means 2.
4c and 4d are respectively connected. The client terminal is an auction terminal (not shown), and from the terminal, the winning bid price of the auction site, used vehicle information, evaluation data and basic information of the vehicle and various images, and other predetermined information necessary for the auction. Will be sent.

From the used vehicle future price determination device 1,
Client terminals 4a, 4b, 4 at the auction site
In response to inquiries from c, 4d, etc., the future price of the corresponding used vehicle is predicted and returned by the method described above.

The successful bid price is determined at the auction,
If the vehicle is sold successfully, payment is required according to the contract price of the vehicle. In the embodiment of FIG. 14, the used vehicle future price determination device 1 calculates a future price, and a program stored in the control unit 111 and the program storage unit 114 from the future price and the winning bid price (sale price). The remaining vehicle price is calculated using the RAM (Random Access Memory) 113 by the vehicle remaining price calculation means. The remaining vehicle price calculated by the remaining vehicle price calculation means is returned to the client terminals 4a, 4b, 4c, 4d at the auction site as the selling price of the vehicle.
By the used vehicle sales device by the used vehicle future price determination method, the remaining price of the vehicle is calculated from the future price and the selling price calculated by the future price determination means, and the remaining vehicle price is calculated. The vehicle is sold at the selling price of the vehicle, or at the price that is the monthly repayment target when sold by loan, and 2-3 years after the sale,
It is possible to realize a sales method in which the vehicle is sold through an auction and the price is used to repay the remaining debt of the loan.

[0053]

According to the method of determining the future price of the first aspect, the standard price is calculated from the price at the time of sale of the used vehicle obtained from the auction system by the standard price calculation means, and the standard price transition information storage means stores the vehicle price. Save for each attribute,
By calculating the future price of the used vehicle by the future price determining means from the transition information of the vehicle standard price, when the user purchases a new used vehicle, the optimum vehicle desired by the user is exceeded in the in-house inventory. It is possible to search easily and smoothly from a wide market and to accurately predict the future price of the used vehicle (vehicle residual value).

According to the future price determination method of the second to ninth aspects, the future price can be corrected based on various data, and accurate price prediction can be performed by reflecting the market popularity.

According to the future price determination method of the tenth aspect, it is possible to accurately predict the price, reflecting the market popularity, even for a vehicle type having a small amount of prediction data.

According to the used vehicle selling device of claim 11, the future price (vehicle residual value) calculated by the future price calculating means is a selling price of the vehicle or a monthly sale when the vehicle is sold by a loan. It is possible to provide a used vehicle sales device that can reduce the burden on the user when the user purchases a new used car by subtracting the price from the loan repayment target.

According to the used vehicle selling method of claim 12, the used vehicle selling device of claim 11 is used to calculate the remaining value of the vehicle from the future price and the selling price calculated by the future price determining means. Calculate the price, sell the vehicle as the selling price of the vehicle, or the price that will be the monthly loan repayment price when the vehicle is sold by loan, and after 2 to 3 years from the sale, sell the vehicle. By selling through an auction and using the money for repayment of the remaining debt of the loan, the burden on the user when purchasing a used vehicle can be reduced. On the other hand, the used car dealer (dealer) can predict future vehicle price fluctuations by using the future price calculated by the future price determination means, and can reduce the risk to sales.

[Brief description of drawings]

FIG. 1 is a flowchart illustrating a method of determining a future price of a used vehicle according to the present invention.

FIG. 2 is a diagram illustrating various data stored in standard price transition information storage means.

FIG. 3 is a diagram illustrating the number of successful bids and a successful bid rate for each vehicle attribute.

FIG. 4 is a diagram illustrating standard price transition information.

FIG. 5 is an example of calculating a vehicle price for each elapsed years after registration in the first year.

FIG. 6 is a diagram illustrating a case where the standard price transition information is corrected by an evaluation point.

FIG. 7 is an explanatory diagram when the transition information of the standard price is corrected by the winning bid rate.

FIG. 8 is a diagram illustrating exterior evaluation criteria items.

FIG. 9 is a diagram illustrating interior evaluation standard items.

FIG. 10 is a diagram for explaining vehicle attribute items and evaluation points, FIG. 10 (a) is a diagram for explaining vehicle attribute items, and FIG. 10 (b) is a diagram for explaining interior evaluation points, exterior evaluation points, and overall evaluation points. Is.

FIG. 11 is a block diagram showing an embodiment of a used vehicle future price determination device according to the present invention.

FIG. 12 is a diagram illustrating a correction rate storage unit (a successful bid rate correction table).

13A and 13B are diagrams illustrating a future price determination method, where FIG. 13A shows a case of a popular car and FIG. 13B shows a case of an unpopular car.

FIG. 14 is a block diagram of an embodiment of the present invention that realizes a used vehicle sales device.

[Explanation of symbols]

1 Used vehicle future price determination device 2 Telephone network controller 3a, 3b Internet network 4a, 4b, 4c, 4d Client terminal 110 Standard price change information storage means 111 control means 112 Vehicle evaluation result storage means 113 RAM (random access memory) 114 program storage means

   ─────────────────────────────────────────────────── ─── Continued front page    (72) Inventor Hiroshi Imai             3-3 Kita-Aoyama, 3-13 Minato-ku, Tokyo Stock market             Company Oak Service

Claims (12)

[Claims] 1. A standard price calculation means for calculating a standard price of a vehicle for each vehicle attribute from a selling price of a used vehicle, and a standard price transition for storing the calculated standard price for each number of years elapsed after registration in the first year. The information storage means, the future price determination means for determining the future price of the vehicle, and the control means for obtaining information from the auction system are provided, and the standard from the selling price of the used vehicle obtained from the auction system by the control means. A feature is that the standard price is calculated by the price calculation means, and the future price of the used vehicle is calculated by the future price determination means from the change information of the vehicle standard price and stored in the standard price change information storage means for each vehicle attribute. How to determine the future price of used vehicles. 2. The method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 1, wherein the vehicle attribute includes at least an evaluation score for each vehicle. 3. The method for determining a future price of a used vehicle according to claim 1, wherein the transition information of the vehicle standard price includes at least a winning bid rate of the vehicle. 4. The vehicle standard price transition information obtained by the future price determining means is corrected by the evaluation points for each vehicle, and for used vehicles with a small number of years after registration in the first year, the price difference due to the correction is corrected. The method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 1, wherein the value is corrected so as to be larger. 5. The vehicle standard price change information in the future price determining means is such that the vehicle standard price for each year is corrected by the successful bid rate for each vehicle attribute of the vehicle, and the used vehicle with a high successful bid rate is The method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 1, further comprising correcting the decline rate of the vehicle price as the number of years elapsed after registration in the first year increases. 6. The used vehicle according to claim 5, wherein the correction of the successful bid rate of the transition information of the vehicle standard price in each year for each vehicle attribute of the used vehicle is performed for each evaluation point of the vehicle. Future pricing method. 7. The method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 5 or 6, wherein the correction of the successful bid rate is performed when the successful bid rate exceeds a certain value after a lapse of a predetermined period. 8. The correction according to the successful bid rate is performed by a value stored in a correction rate saving means having a correction rate according to a range of the successful bid rate after a lapse of a predetermined period. The method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to any one of 7 above. 9. The vehicle attributes include, in addition to the evaluation points for each vehicle,
At least vehicle name, vehicle grade, model, first registration year,
The method for determining the future price of a used vehicle according to claim 1, wherein the vehicle body color is included. 10. The future price deciding means sets a period for a certain period from the price one or two years after the first year registration, and the one year after the first year registration.
The method for determining a future price of a used vehicle according to claim 1, wherein the price after 2 years is reduced at a constant rate, and the future price is determined so that the future price becomes zero after the predetermined period has elapsed. . 11. A vehicle evaluation result storage means for storing an evaluation point of a used vehicle, a standard price calculating means for calculating a standard vehicle price for each vehicle attribute from a selling price of the used vehicle, and the calculated standard. Standard price transition information storage means for saving the price for each number of years after registration in the first year, future price determination means for determining the future price of the vehicle, future price and selling price calculated by the future price determination means The vehicle remaining price calculation means for calculating the remaining vehicle price from the vehicle and the control means for obtaining information from the auction system, and the vehicle remaining price calculated by the vehicle remaining price calculation means is the selling price of the vehicle, or A used vehicle sales device, which is set to a price that is a monthly loan repayment target when sold by loan. 12. The used vehicle selling device according to claim 11 is used to calculate the remaining price of the vehicle based on the future price calculated by the future price determining means and the selling price, and the remaining vehicle price is calculated based on the remaining price. The vehicle is sold at the selling price of the vehicle, or at the price that is the monthly loan repayment price when the vehicle is sold by a loan. Two to three years after the sale, the vehicle is sold through an auction and the loan is paid. Sales method for repayment of the remaining debt of the company.