CN115689256B - Combat mission equipment scale demand estimation method - Google Patents
Combat mission equipment scale demand estimation method Download PDFInfo
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- CN115689256B CN115689256B CN202310001015.9A CN202310001015A CN115689256B CN 115689256 B CN115689256 B CN 115689256B CN 202310001015 A CN202310001015 A CN 202310001015A CN 115689256 B CN115689256 B CN 115689256B
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Abstract
The invention discloses a combat mission equipment scale demand estimation method, which comprises the following steps: (1) ammunition scale demand estimation: estimating the amount of the bullet required for striking the target by considering the condition of the intact ammunition, the burst prevention probability of the ammunition, the hit probability of the ammunition and the condition of the bullet used by the task; (2) air combat platform scale requirement estimation: according to the typical mounting of the air combat platform, the number of the air combat platform required by hanging or throwing the bullets is estimated by considering the play condition, the accident prevention probability and the task occupation condition of the platform. The invention comprehensively considers performance parameters such as the integrity rate, the burst prevention rate, the hit rate and the like of ammunition and characteristic parameters such as the play rate, the burst prevention rate and the like of the air combat platform, can quantitatively estimate the number of ammunition and the air combat platform required by the combat mission, supports commanders to carry out effective and rapid equipment scale demand analysis, and improves the use efficiency of combat equipment.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to a combat planning technology, in particular to a combat mission equipment scale demand estimation method.
Background
Combat planning is the overall planning and concrete arrangement of combat activities by commander and their participants according to strategic intentions, battlefield environments and my situation. For modern war, combat planning and preparation are particularly important, and a practical scheme plan needs to be actively constructed.
The equipment planning is an important component of the combat planning, and the main responsibility of the equipment planning is to complete the maintenance works of the machine, the aviation material, the aviation bullet, the ground installation and the like according to the combat task planning and submitting equipment maintenance scheme, and support combat activities such as equipment allocation, equipment replenishment, ammunition supply and the like.
The method is characterized in that the domestic research on the scale demand estimation method of the combat mission equipment is very few, similar research is developed on the scale prediction of equipment guarantee, the adopted method comprises a linear regression analysis method and an equipment group guarantee scale calculation model method, a large amount of outfield statistical data is relied on based on the linear regression analysis method, the data is difficult to collect, the reliability of analysis results is insufficient, the guarantee activity flow is omitted based on the equipment group guarantee scale calculation model method, and the accuracy of the prediction results is low.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to: the invention aims to provide a combat mission equipment scale demand estimation method, so that the use demands of combat equipment are quantized, whether the combat equipment can meet combat activity demands is estimated in real time, scale demand analysis of the combat mission equipment is supported, and the use efficiency of the combat equipment is improved.
The technical scheme is as follows: the invention relates to a combat mission equipment scale demand estimation method, which comprises the following steps:
(1) And (3) estimating the ammunition scale requirement, focusing on a target hit by a task, and estimating the amount of the ammunition required for hitting the target by considering the ammunition perfect condition, the ammunition burst prevention probability, the ammunition hit probability and the condition of the ammunition used by the task.
(2) And (3) estimating the scale requirements of the air combat platform, and estimating the number of the air combat platforms required by hanging or throwing according to the typical mounting of the air combat platform and considering the play condition, the accident prevention probability and the task occupation condition of the platform.
The step (1) specifically comprises the following steps:
(1.1) calculating the quantity Am of ammunition required for target strike under ideal conditions i ' ：
Wherein the subscript i represents the ith ammunition, the subscript k represents the kth type striking target, am i ' Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to ideally complete all target strikes Amt k Represents the number of the k-th hit targets, amd ki Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to strike each target of the k-th type, p representing the number of strike target types.
(1.2) consider the case of mission ammunition and ammunition performance parameters versus Am i ' Correction is carried out to obtain the quantity Am of ammunition required by target striking under real condition i The calculation result is rounded up:
wherein Am is i Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to actually complete all target strikes, P Ri Indicating the task utilization rate of the ith ammunition, P Wi 、P Ti 、P Mi Respectively representing the integrity rate, the burst prevention rate and the hit rate of the ith ammunition; the utilization rate of all types of ammunition in the task needs to meet the following constraint conditions:
where n represents the number of ammunition models.
(1.3) obtaining ammunition scale demand estimation result Am:
wherein Am is 1 Indicating the number of type 1 ammunition required, am 2 Indicating the number of ammunition type 2 required, am n Indicating the required n-th type bulletNumber of doses, n, represents number of ammunition models.
The step (2) specifically comprises the following steps:
(2.1) ammunition Scale requirement Am according to step (1.2) i Considering the task occupation condition and platform characteristic parameters of the air combat platform, estimating the number of the air combat platforms capable of mounting the ith ammunition, and rounding up the calculation result:
wherein, the subscript j represents the j-th type air combat platform, bm ji Representing the number of j-th type air combat platforms estimated from i-th type ammunition, P Zj Representing the task occupancy rate of the j-th type platform in the task, G ji Representing the number of type i ammunition that can be mounted by type j platform, C j 、P Cj 、P Fj Respectively representing the play times, the play rate and the burst rate of the j-th platform; the task occupancy rate of all types of air combat platforms in the task needs to meet the following constraint conditions:
wherein m represents the number of air combat platform models.
(2.2) if a certain type of air combat platform can mount q-type ammunition at the same time, q results are calculated according to the step (2.1), and in order to meet the task use requirement, the final estimation result Bm of the number of j-th type air combat platform is obtained j The method is adopted for determination as follows:
wherein q represents the number of ammunition models which can be mounted on the j-th type combat platform.
(2.3) obtaining an air combat platform scale estimation result Bm:
wherein Bm is 1 Represents the number of type 1 air combat platform needed, bm 2 Represents the number of type 2 air combat platform needed, bm m The number of the required m-th type air combat platform is represented, and m represents the number of the air combat platform models.
A computer storage medium having stored thereon a computer program which when executed by a processor implements a combat mission equipment scale requirement estimation method as described above.
A computer device comprising a memory, a processor and a computer program stored on the memory and executable on the processor, the processor implementing a combat mission equipment scale requirement estimation method as described above when executing the computer program.
The beneficial effects are that: compared with the prior art, the invention has the following advantages:
1. the performance parameters such as the integrity rate, the burst protection rate, the hit rate and the like of the ammunition and the characteristic parameters such as the play rate, the burst protection rate and the like of the air combat platform are considered, and the ammunition and the combat platform scale required by the combat mission can be quantitatively estimated.
2. The calculated input parameters are easy to obtain, the method is relatively simple, and the calculation efficiency is high.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of the steps of the method of the present invention.
Fig. 2 is a schematic view of a battlefield scene.
Detailed Description
The technical scheme of the invention is further described below with reference to the accompanying drawings.
As shown in fig. 1, a method for estimating the scale demand of combat mission equipment includes the following steps:
(1) According to the combat mission information and the ammunition performance parameters, the scale of the required ammunition is estimated according to the type, and the calculation result is rounded up:
wherein the subscript i represents the ith ammunition, the subscript k represents the kth type striking target, am i Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to actually complete all target strikes, P Ri Indicating the task utilization rate of the ith ammunition, P Wi 、P Ti 、P Mi Respectively representing the integrity rate, the burst prevention rate and the hit rate of the ith ammunition, amt k Represents the number of the k-th hit targets, amd ki Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to strike each target of the k-th type, p representing the number of strike target types.
In fig. 2, the number of striking target types p=2, and the number of ammunition models is 2.
The calculated parameters related to the striking target are as follows:
1. first class target quantity Amt 1 Number of second class targets Amt =4 2 =6。
2. Type 1 ammunition quantity Amd required for each target strike of the first type target 11 Number of ammunition type 2 Amd =10 12 =8; type 1 ammunition quantity Amd required for target strike per target for the second class of targets 21 Number of ammunition type 2 Amd =15 22 =10。
The calculated parameters associated with ammunition were as follows:
1. task usage P of type 1 ammunition R1 Rate of perfection P =0.8 W1 Burst control rate p=0.95 T1 Hit ratio p=0.8 M1 =0.85。
2. Task usage P of type 2 ammunition R2 Rate of integrity P =0.2 W2 Burst control rate p=0.9 T2 Hit ratio p=0.85 M2 =0.9。
The two ammunition scales are calculated according to the formula in step (1) as follows:
finally, the ammunition scale estimation result of the combat task is am= {161,27}, wherein the number of ammunition 1 is 161 and the number of ammunition 2 is 27.
(2) According to the ammunition scale estimation result obtained in the step (1), the number of the combat platforms capable of mounting the ammunition is estimated by considering the task occupation condition of the air combat platform and the platform characteristic parameters:
wherein, the subscript j represents the j-th type air combat platform, bm ji Representing the number of j-th type air combat platforms estimated from i-th type ammunition, P Zj Representing the task occupancy rate of the j-th type platform in the task, G ji Representing the number of type i ammunition that can be mounted by type j platform, C j 、P Cj 、P Fj Respectively representing the out-moving frame times, out-moving rate and burst prevention rate of the j-th type platform.
In fig. 2, the number of the platform models is 2, the platform 1 can mount the ammunition 1 and the ammunition 2 at the same time, the platform 2 only mounts the ammunition 1, and the calculated parameters related to the platform are valued as follows:
1. task occupancy P for type 1 platform Z1 Number of ammunition type 1 mounted G =0.6 11 Number of ammunition type 2 mounted G =4 12 Take out of the frame times C =2 1 Let rate P =6 C1 Burst control rate p=0.6 F1 =0.7。
2. Task occupancy P for type 2 platform Z2 Number of ammunition type 1 mounted G =0.4 21 Take out of the frame times C =2 2 Let rate P =4 C2 Burst control rate p=0.5 F2 =0.8。
The scale of the two types of platforms is calculated according to the formula in the step (2) as follows:
the scale estimation results of platform 1 are:
the scale estimation results of platform 2 are:
finally, the air combat platform scale estimation result of the combat mission is Bm= {10,21}, wherein the number of the platforms 1 is 10 frames, and the number of the platforms 2 is 21 frames.
Claims (3)
1. A method for estimating the scale requirements of combat mission equipment, comprising the steps of:
(1) Ammunition scale demand estimation: estimating the amount of the bullet required for striking the target by considering the condition of the intact ammunition, the burst prevention probability of the ammunition, the hit probability of the ammunition and the condition of the bullet used by the task;
(1.1) calculating the quantity Am of ammunition required for target strike under ideal conditions i ' ：
；
Wherein the subscript i represents the ith ammunition, the subscript k represents the kth type striking target, am i ' Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to ideally complete all target strikes Amt k Represents the number of the k-th hit targets, amd ki Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to strike each target of the k-th type, p representing the number of strike target types;
(1.2) consider the case of mission ammunition and ammunition performance parameters versus Am i ' Correction is carried out to obtain the quantity Am of ammunition required by target striking under real condition i The calculation result is rounded up:
；
wherein Am is i Representing the number of i-th ammunition required to actually complete all target strikesAmount, P Ri Indicating the task utilization rate of the ith ammunition, P Wi 、P Ti 、P Mi Respectively representing the integrity rate, the burst prevention rate and the hit rate of the ith ammunition; the utilization rate of all types of ammunition in the task needs to meet the following constraint conditions:
；
wherein n represents the number of ammunition models;
(1.3) obtaining ammunition scale demand estimation result Am:
；
wherein Am is 1 Indicating the number of type 1 ammunition required, am 2 Indicating the number of ammunition type 2 required, am n Indicating the number of n-th ammunition required, n indicating the number of ammunition models;
(2) And (3) estimating the scale requirement of the air combat platform: according to typical mounting of the air combat platform, the number of the air combat platform required by hanging or throwing the bullets is estimated by considering the play condition, the accident prevention probability and the task occupation condition of the platform;
(2.1) ammunition Scale requirement Am according to step (1.2) i Considering the task occupation condition and platform characteristic parameters of the air combat platform, estimating the number of the air combat platforms capable of mounting the ith ammunition, and rounding up the calculation result:
；
wherein, the subscript j represents the j-th type air combat platform, bm j Representing the number of j-th type air combat platform, P Zj Representing the task occupancy rate of the j-th type platform in the task, G ji Representing the number of type i ammunition that can be mounted by type j platform, C j 、P Cj 、P Fj Respectively represent the out-moving frame times, out-moving rate and burst prevention rate of the j-th type platformThe method comprises the steps of carrying out a first treatment on the surface of the The task occupancy rate of all types of air combat platforms in the task needs to meet the following constraint conditions:
；
wherein m represents the number of air combat platform models;
(2.2) if a certain type of air combat platform can mount q-type ammunition at the same time, q results are calculated according to the step (2.1), and in order to meet the task use requirement, bm is determined by adopting the following method j Is the value of (1):
；
wherein q represents the number of ammunition models which can be mounted on the j-th type combat platform, and q is less than or equal to n;
(2.3) obtaining an air combat platform scale estimation result Bm:
；
wherein Bm is 1 Represents the number of type 1 air combat platform needed, bm 2 Represents the number of type 2 air combat platform needed, bm m The number of the required m-th type air combat platform is represented, and m represents the number of the air combat platform models.
2. A computer storage medium having stored thereon a computer program which when executed by a processor implements a combat mission equipment scale requirement assessment method according to claim 1.
3. A computer device comprising a memory, a processor and a computer program stored on the memory and executable on the processor, wherein the processor implements a combat mission equipment scale requirement estimation method according to claim 1 when the computer program is executed by the processor.
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| CN109902392A (en) * | 2019-03-04 | 2019-06-18 | 中国人民解放军海军航空大学 | Guided missile quantity demand calculation method under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode |
| CN110390423A (en) * | 2019-06-14 | 2019-10-29 | 中国人民解放军战略支援部队航天工程大学 | A kind of prediction technique and device of Missile requirement amount |
| WO2020128452A1 (en) * | 2018-12-19 | 2020-06-25 | Bae Systems Plc | A further apparatus and method suitable for use with a munition |
| CN112818522A (en) * | 2021-01-18 | 2021-05-18 | 中国人民解放军91776部队 | Ammunition consumption measuring and calculating method and device |
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Patent Citations (4)
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| WO2020128452A1 (en) * | 2018-12-19 | 2020-06-25 | Bae Systems Plc | A further apparatus and method suitable for use with a munition |
| CN109902392A (en) * | 2019-03-04 | 2019-06-18 | 中国人民解放军海军航空大学 | Guided missile quantity demand calculation method under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode |
| CN110390423A (en) * | 2019-06-14 | 2019-10-29 | 中国人民解放军战略支援部队航天工程大学 | A kind of prediction technique and device of Missile requirement amount |
| CN112818522A (en) * | 2021-01-18 | 2021-05-18 | 中国人民解放军91776部队 | Ammunition consumption measuring and calculating method and device |
Non-Patent Citations (1)
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