CN109902392A - Guided missile quantity demand calculation method under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode - Google Patents

Abstract

The invention discloses the guided missile quantity demand calculation method under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode, the computation model of quantity of launching a guided missile needed for saturation attack N is indicated are as follows:Or N=lg (1-W_r)/lg(1‑K·Q_{It is prominent anti-}/ω_{It is necessary}) in formula, ω_{It is necessary}Expression reaches guided missile hits, W necessary to predetermined tactical purpose_rProbability level is injured to target for expection；Penetraton probability Q_{It is prominent anti-}For Q_{It is prominent anti-}=Q_{It leads}·Q_{Big gun}·Q_{It is dry}, wherein Q_{It leads}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to ship to air missile；Q_{Big gun}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to warship canon；Q_{It is dry}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to electronic interferences.Present invention has the advantages that calculation method computational efficiency is high, guided missile quantity demand calculated result is accurate.

Description

Guided missile quantity demand calculation method under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode

Technical field

The invention belongs to unmanned plane missile attack technical field, the guided missile quantity being related under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode Demand calculation method.

Background technique

Naval vessel, which is formed into columns, generally implements hard intercept to attack anti-warship guided missle using ship to air missile, warship canon, jammer, chaff flare etc. With soft confrontation, with the development of the anti-ballistic defense technique in naval vessel, the prominent preventive effect of single piece of anti-warship guided missle be can significantly reduce, and more bullet collaborations are attacked It hits, saturation attack has been increasingly becoming the in the high-tech Tactical means maximally efficient to sea operation and has therefore emitted anti-warship guided missle Quantity become determine tactics success or failure key factor.Usual guided missile quantity is required according to combat duty, is at least ordered by guarantee In a hair probability or guarantee that slight wound, the probability inflicting heavy losses on, smash target are calculated not less than the method for specified value.And unmanned aerial vehicle group There is presently no accurate calculation methods for guided missile quantity demand under conventional attack mode.The present invention uses Adjoint technology, establishes Parsing relational model between unmanned aerial vehicle group and stable state miss distance, and then obtain anti-warship guided missle under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode The penetraton probability dynamic calculation model total to the hard system of defense of naval vessels.This method not only can guarantee that penetraton probability resolves quick Property, and the factors such as attacking and defending situation, Maneuver for Anti-ship Missiles strategy and interception side's weapon system performance can be embodied to anti- The influence of warship missile breakthrough efficiency is had preferably credible using the anti-warship guided missle quantity demand that this method calculates.

Summary of the invention

The purpose of the present invention is to provide the guided missile quantity demand calculation method under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode, this hairs Bright beneficial effect is computational efficiency height, and guided missile quantity demand calculated result is accurate.

The technical scheme adopted by the invention is that number of launching a guided missile needed for saturation attack under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode The computation model for measuring N indicates are as follows:

Or

N=lg (1-W_r)/lg(1-K·Q_{It is prominent anti-}/ω_{It is necessary})

In formula, ω_{It is necessary}Expression reaches guided missile hits, W necessary to predetermined tactical purpose_rTarget is injured for expection Probability level；Implement cloud attack when, due to by target of attack be to empty anti-shot ability it is certain, MISSILE LAUNCHING The variation of quantity can seriously affect the penetraton probability of guided missile, so as to cause the variation of guided missile hit probability, calculate the prominent anti-of guided missile Probability becomes the key link for resolving guided missile quantity demand；

Anti-warship guided missle to target naval vessels it is prominent anti-main consider to break through ship to air missile and small caliber ship gun it is hard intercept and The soft confrontation of EW Equipment, penetraton probability Q_{It is prominent anti-}It may be expressed as:

Q_{It is prominent anti-}=Q_{It leads}·Q_{Big gun}·Q_{It is dry}

Wherein, Q_{It leads}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to ship to air missile；Q_{Big gun}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to warship canon；Q_{It is dry}It is guided missile pair The penetraton probability of electronic interferences, the engineering reliability probability P of anti-warship guided missle_{It can}, catch probability P_{It catches}With self-conductance hit probability P_FromDeng A constant is regarded in influence of the self performance factor to hit probability as, and is indicated with K: K=P_{It can}·P_{It catches}·P_From。

Specific embodiment

The present invention is described in detail With reference to embodiment.

It launches a guided missile needed for saturation attack under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode the computation model of quantity N are as follows:

Or

N=lg (1-W_r)/lg(1-K·Q_{It is prominent anti-}/ω_{It is necessary})

In formula, ω_{It is necessary}Expression reaches guided missile hits, W necessary to predetermined tactical purpose_rTarget is injured for expection Probability level；Implement cloud attack when, due to by target of attack be to empty anti-shot ability it is certain, MISSILE LAUNCHING The variation of quantity can seriously affect the penetraton probability of guided missile, so as to cause the variation of guided missile hit probability.As it can be seen that in only guided missile In the case where emitting quantity variation, penetraton probability is the principal element for influencing guided missile hit probability and quantity demand, calculates guided missile Penetraton probability become resolve guided missile quantity demand key link.Anti-warship guided missle breaks through the prominent anti-main consideration of target naval vessels The hard interception and the soft confrontation of EW Equipment of ship to air missile and small caliber ship gun, penetraton probability Q_{It is prominent anti-}It may be expressed as:

Q_{It is prominent anti-}=Q_{It leads}·Q_{Big gun}·Q_{It is dry}

Wherein, Q_{It leads}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to ship to air missile；Q_{Big gun}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to warship canon；Q_{It is dry}It is guided missile pair The penetraton probability of electronic interferences.The engineering reliability probability P of anti-warship guided missle_{It can}, catch probability P_{It catches}With self-conductance hit probability P_FromDeng A constant is regarded in influence of the self performance factor to hit probability as, and is indicated with K: K=P_{It can}·P_{It catches}·P_From。

The above is only not to make limit in any form to the present invention to better embodiment of the invention System, any simple modification that embodiment of above is made according to the technical essence of the invention, equivalent variations and modification, Belong in the range of technical solution of the present invention.

Claims (1)

1. the guided missile quantity demand calculation method under unmanned aerial vehicle group conventional attack mode, it is characterised in that: unmanned aerial vehicle group is routinely attacked Launch a guided missile needed for saturation attack under blow mode quantity N computation model indicate are as follows:

Or

N=lg (1-W_r)/lg(1-K·Q_{It is prominent anti-}/ω_{It is necessary})

In formula, ω_{It is necessary}Expression reaches guided missile hits, W necessary to predetermined tactical purpose_rThe probability of injuring of target is referred to for expection Mark；Implement cloud attack when, due to by target of attack be to empty anti-shot ability it is certain, MISSILE LAUNCHING quantity Variation can seriously affect the penetraton probability of guided missile, so as to cause the variation of guided missile hit probability, calculate the penetraton probability of guided missile at For the key link for resolving guided missile quantity demand；Anti-warship guided missle considers to break through ship to air missile and small to the prominent anti-main of target naval vessels The hard interception and the soft confrontation of EW Equipment of bore warship canon, penetraton probability Q_{It is prominent anti-}It indicates are as follows:

Q_{It is prominent anti-}=Q_{It leads}·Q_{Big gun}·Q_{It is dry}

Wherein, Q_{It leads}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to ship to air missile；Q_{Big gun}It is penetraton probability of the guided missile to warship canon；Q_{It is dry}It is guided missile to electronics The penetraton probability of interference, the engineering reliability probability P of anti-warship guided missle_{It can}, catch probability P_{It catches}With self-conductance hit probability P_FromDeng itself A constant is regarded in influence of the performance factor to hit probability as, and is indicated with K: K=P_{It can}·P_{It catches}·P_From。