CN113190990B - Tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under offshore interference condition - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses a tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under the condition of offshore interference, which comprises the following steps: according to the offshore tactical missile process, the method is generally divided into three stages of a target searching and tracking stage, a missile command control stage and a missile launching and guidance flight target hitting stage in sequence, main influence indexes of offshore interference conditions on the three stages are determined in sequence, and then a tactical missile damage target evaluation model under the offshore interference conditions is constructed, a method basis is provided for tactical missile damage target effect evaluation under the offshore interference conditions, and tactical missile analysis evaluation under the offshore interference conditions is facilitated.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of tactical missile application, in particular to a tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under the condition of offshore interference.
Background
The damage degree of the missile to the target is related to the damage power and mechanism of the missile, the position where the missile hits the target, the damage resistance of the target and the like. The operational performance of the missile weapon system comprises five aspects of survivability, system reliability, burst performance, guidance performance and damage performance. For the marine tactical missile weapons, the marine tactical missile weapons mainly comprise anti-ship missile weapons, ship-to-air missile weapons, air-to-air missile weapons and the like. The corresponding offshore tactical missile process is generally divided into three basic stages of a target searching and tracking stage, a missile command and control stage and a missile launching and guided flight target hitting stage in sequence. At present, the existing analysis of the efficacy of the damaged target of the tactical missile is concentrated on the assessment or assessment of the reliability and the guidance performance of a weapon system, and the simulation assessment of the damaged target is particularly less in research results of the effect of the tactical missile under the condition of offshore interference.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention provides a tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under the condition of offshore interference, which aims to overcome the technical problems.
The invention considers the main typical type and the interference index of the enemy to the implementation of the offshore tactical missile, defines the main influence index of the offshore interference condition on the estimation of the damage target of the tactical missile, constructs the estimation model of the damage target of the tactical missile under the offshore interference condition, provides a tactical missile damage target estimation method under the offshore interference condition, and can provide a method basis for the estimation and analysis of the effect of the damage target of the tactical missile under the offshore interference condition.
The invention relates to a tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under the condition of offshore interference, which comprises the following steps:
calculating the probability of detecting and tracking the target by a tactical missile system under the condition of the interference of the own radar and the condition of the maneuvering interference of the incoming target according to the incoming target, the interference parameters of the own radar and the maneuvering interference parameters of the maneuvering interference;
Calculating stability probabilities under the communication interference condition and the data link interference condition of the missile command and control stage according to the communication interference parameters and the data link interference parameters;
According to the active interference parameters, the passive interference parameters and the combined interference parameters, tactical missile launching and guidance target hitting probability of the missile launching and guidance target hitting stage is calculated;
And determining a damaged target probability evaluation model according to the tactical missile system detection tracking target probability, the stability probability and the stability probability, and determining the number of damaged attack targets according to the damaged target probability evaluation model.
Further, the calculating, according to the incoming target, the own radar interference parameter and the maneuver interference parameter, the probability of the incoming target in the target detection tracking stage to the radar detection tracking target of the own tactical missile system under the condition of the own radar interference and the probability of the incoming target to the detection tracking target of the tactical missile system under the condition of maneuver interference, includes:
Calculating the probability of radar detection tracking targets of the own tactical missile system under the condition that the incoming targets interfere with the own radar according to the interference mode, interference distance, interference times, average interference time of each time and interference total time of the incoming targets on the own radar;
and calculating the probability of detecting and tracking the target by a tactical missile system under the condition that the attack target implements maneuvering interference according to the maneuvering interference mode, the distance and the time of the attack target, wherein the type of electronic interference equipment carried by the target, the electronic interference distance and the interference time.
Further, the calculating the stability probability under the communication interference condition of the missile command control stage according to the communication interference parameter and the data link interference parameter includes:
Calculating tactical missile target indication distribution stability probability under the communication interference condition and tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference type condition according to the communication interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average interference time and the interference total time;
And calculating tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the condition of data link interference and tactical missile command control signal receiving response success probability under the condition of data link interference type according to the data link interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time.
Further, the calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability of the missile launching and guidance hit target stage according to the active interference parameter, the passive interference parameter and the combined interference parameter comprises:
Calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the active interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the active interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average interference time and the total interference time of active interference;
calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the passive condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the passive interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the passive interference;
and calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the combined interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the combined interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the combined interference.
Further, the radar detection tracking target probability of the own tactical missile system under the condition that the incoming target interferes with the own radar is calculated according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average interference time of each time and the total interference time of the incoming target, according to the maneuvering interference mode, distance and time of an attack target, the target carries the type of electronic interference equipment, the electronic interference distance and the interference time to calculate the probability of detecting and tracking the target by a tactical missile system under the maneuvering interference condition of the attack target, and the tactical missile system comprises the following steps:
In a tactical missile detection and tracking target stage under the offshore interference condition, interference of enemy to a radar of the opponent, interference of the target itself and the like are generally encountered. Let the tactical missile detection tracking target probability under the marine interference condition be P z, which can be expressed as:
wherein P z1 is the probability of detecting and tracking a target by a tactical missile under the condition that an enemy interferes with a radar of the opponent, P z2 is the probability of detecting and tracking the target by the tactical missile under the condition that the target itself performs interference, lambda represents the working wavelength of the radar, delta represents the sectional area of the radar, R represents the interference distance, and L represents the total loss of the radar.
Further, the calculating the tactical missile target indication allocation stability probability under the communication interference condition and the tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference type condition according to the communication interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average each time of interference time and the interference total time, and calculating the tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the data link interference condition and the tactical missile command control signal receiving response success probability under the data link interference type condition according to the data link interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average each time of interference time and the interference total time includes:
In the missile command control stage when tactical missiles are under the offshore interference condition, communication interference, data link interference and the like are generally encountered. The tactical missile command control stability probability under the offshore interference condition generally refers to the probability that tactical missiles stably implement command control. Let tactical missile command control stability probability under the marine interference condition be P h, which can be expressed as:
Wherein P h1 is the tactical missile target indication distribution stability probability under the communication interference condition, P h2 is the tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference condition, P h3 is the tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the data link interference condition, P h4 is the tactical missile receiving response success probability under the data link interference condition, lambda represents the radar working wavelength, delta represents the radar cross section area, k is 1.38 x 10 (-23), T is the average interference time per time, B interference mode bandwidth, F is a noise coefficient, S is the minimum output signal-to-noise ratio required by the detection target, and the value range is [22,35].
Further, calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the active interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the active interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average each time of interference time and the total interference time of the active interference; calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the passive condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the passive interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the passive interference; calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the combined interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the combined interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time comprises the following steps:
The missile launching and guidance flight hit target stage when the tactical missile on the sea usually encounters active interference, passive interference, combined interference and the like. Let tactical missile command control stability probability under the marine interference condition be P m, which can be expressed as:
Wherein, P m2 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under active interference condition, P m3 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under passive interference condition, P m4 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under combined interference condition, P m21、Pm22 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under active interference condition, P m31、Pm32 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under passive interference condition, P m41、Pm42 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under combined interference condition, delta represents radar cross section area, R represents interference distance, L j represents total loss of radar interference mode used, L r represents total loss of radar, gamma j uses flight reliability, S/J is signal-to-interference ratio, and the range is (0, 1).
Further, the determining a damaged target probability evaluation model according to the tactical missile system detection tracking target probability, the stability probability and the stability probability, and determining the number of damaged attack targets according to the damaged target probability evaluation model includes:
the probability evaluation model of the damage target is as follows
P＝1-(1-Pz)(1-Ph)(1-Pm) (4)
Wherein P is the probability of a tactical missile damaging target under the offshore interference condition, the probability of a tactical missile detecting and tracking target under the offshore interference condition of a target searching and tracking stage is Pz, the probability of tactical missile command control stability under the offshore interference condition of a missile command control stage is Ph, and the probability of tactical missile command control stability under the offshore interference condition of a missile launching and guidance flight hit target stage is Pm;
And determining the number N of the attack targets, and substituting the number N of the attack targets into the damaged target probability evaluation model to obtain the number M=NP of the attack targets.
The invention provides a comprehensive damage efficiency analysis system based on the offshore interference condition, namely, the system fully considers the main typical type and the interference index of the enemy to the implementation process of the offshore tactical missile, defines the main influence index of the offshore interference condition on the estimation of the damage target of the tactical missile, constructs a tactical missile damage target estimation model under the offshore interference condition, and provides a method basis for the estimation and analysis of the effect of the damage target of the tactical missile under the offshore interference condition. The hit targets of the invention increase the number of the attack targets. Thereby improving the prejudging rate of the target damaged by the tactical missile under the condition of offshore interference.
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In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions of the prior art, the drawings that are needed in the embodiments or the description of the prior art will be briefly described below, it will be obvious that the drawings in the following description are some embodiments of the present invention, and that other drawings can be obtained according to these drawings without inventive effort to a person skilled in the art.
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under the offshore interference condition;
FIG. 2 is a schematic diagram of the main impact indicators of the evaluation of the damage targets of the marine intervention condition tactical missiles of the present invention;
Detailed Description
For the purpose of making the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the embodiments of the present invention more apparent, the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the accompanying drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is apparent that the described embodiments are some embodiments of the present invention, but not all embodiments of the present invention. All other embodiments, which can be made by those skilled in the art based on the embodiments of the invention without making any inventive effort, are intended to be within the scope of the invention.
FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under the condition of offshore interference, and as shown in FIG. 1, the method of the embodiment can comprise the following steps:
Step 101, calculating target detection and tracking probability of an attack target in a target detection and tracking stage according to the attack target, the own radar interference parameter and the maneuvering interference parameter under the condition that the attack target implements maneuvering interference;
step 102, calculating stability probabilities under the communication interference condition and the data link interference condition of the missile command control stage according to the communication interference parameters and the data link interference parameters;
step 103, calculating tactical missile launching and guidance targeting probability of the missile launching and guidance targeting stage according to the active interference parameters, the passive interference parameters and the combined interference parameters;
step 104, determining a damaged target probability evaluation model according to the tactical missile system detection tracking target probability, the stability probability and the stability probability, and determining the number of damaged attack targets according to the damaged target probability evaluation model.
Specifically, the offshore tactical missile process is generally divided into three stages, namely a target searching and tracking stage, a missile command and control stage and a missile launching and guidance flying and target hitting stage in sequence. Therefore, the main influence indexes of the offshore interference condition fight missile damage target evaluation mainly comprise main influence indexes of the offshore interference condition fight missile target search tracking stage evaluation, main influence indexes of the offshore interference condition fight missile command control stage evaluation and main influence indexes of the offshore interference condition fight missile launching and guidance flight hit target stage evaluation.
The method for calculating the probability of the target detection and tracking by the tactical missile system radar under the condition of the radar interference of the target detection and tracking of the target and the probability of the target detection and tracking by the tactical missile system under the condition of the radar interference of the target implementation maneuver interference according to the target and the radar interference parameters of the target and the maneuver interference parameters of the target comprises the following steps:
Calculating the probability of radar detection tracking targets of the own tactical missile system under the condition that the incoming targets interfere with the own radar according to the interference mode, interference distance, interference times, average interference time of each time and interference total time of the incoming targets on the own radar;
And calculating the probability of detecting and tracking the target by a tactical missile system under the condition that the attack target implements maneuvering interference according to the maneuvering interference mode, the distance and the time of the attack target, wherein the type of electronic interference equipment carried by the target, the electronic interference distance and the interference time. Let the tactical missile detection tracking target probability under the marine interference condition be P z, which can be expressed as:
wherein P z1 is the probability of detecting and tracking a target by a tactical missile under the condition that an enemy interferes with a radar of the opponent, P z2 is the probability of detecting and tracking the target by the tactical missile under the condition that the target itself performs interference, lambda represents the working wavelength of the radar, delta represents the sectional area of the radar, R represents the interference distance, and L represents the total loss of the radar.
The calculating the stability probability of the missile command and control stage under the communication interference condition according to the communication interference parameter and the data link interference parameter comprises the following steps:
Calculating tactical missile target indication distribution stability probability under the communication interference condition and tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference type condition according to the communication interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average interference time and the interference total time;
let tactical missile command control stability probability under the marine interference condition be P h, which can be expressed as:
Wherein P h1 is the tactical missile target indication distribution stability probability under the communication interference condition, P h2 is the tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference condition, P h3 is the tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the data link interference condition, P h4 is the tactical missile receiving response success probability under the data link interference condition, lambda represents the radar working wavelength, delta represents the radar cross section area, k is 1.38 x 10 (-23), T is the average interference time per time, B interference mode bandwidth, F is a noise coefficient, S is the minimum output signal-to-noise ratio required by the detection target, and the value range is [22,35].
And calculating tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the condition of data link interference and tactical missile command control signal receiving response success probability under the condition of data link interference type according to the data link interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time.
The tactical missile launching and flying reliability and missile guidance target hitting probability of the missile launching and guided flying target hitting stage are calculated according to the active interference parameter, the passive interference parameter and the combined interference parameter, and the tactical missile launching and flying reliability and missile guidance target hitting probability comprise the following steps:
Calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the active interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the active interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average interference time and the total interference time of active interference;
calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the passive condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the passive interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the passive interference;
And calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the combined interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the combined interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the combined interference. Let tactical missile command control stability probability under the marine interference condition be P m, which can be expressed as:
Wherein, P m2 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under active interference condition, P m3 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under passive interference condition, P m4 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under combined interference condition, P m21、Pm22 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under active interference condition, P m31、Pm32 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under passive interference condition, P m41、Pm42 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under combined interference condition, delta represents radar cross section area, R represents interference distance, L j represents total loss of radar interference mode used, L r represents total loss of radar, gamma j uses flight reliability, S/J is signal-to-interference ratio, and the range is (0, 1).
Specifically, the missile attacks the geometric relationship of the target under the condition of no interference. T is the target T in FIG. 1. In the center, the target itself is moving forward. M is missile and warhead, yh is warhead killing radius. The arc solid line is the missile trajectory of guided radar or terminal guided radar seeker guidance control advancing under the condition of no electronic interference, D is the fuze detonating point under the condition of no electronic interference, and delta 1 is the missile off-target quantity. It can be generally considered that the distribution of impact points follows a normal distribution law, and the probability density function is
Wherein delta is shooting miss distance, delta 0 is shooting miss distance mathematical expectation value, and oA is shooting miss distance root mean square error. In the absence of systematic errors, Δ 0 =0 is generally desirable, i.e., the shot spread follows a zero-mean gaussian distribution, which is the shot off-target root mean square error.
As seen from the plane of the target diagram of the radar guided missile attack, the missile can possibly destroy the target as long as the distance delta between the impact point D and the target T (namely the off-target quantity) is less than or equal to y. The missile hit probability can be given by the integral of the firing spread density function over the range (yr.+yg).
As seen from the plane of the target diagram of the radar guided missile attack, the missile can possibly destroy the target as long as the distance delta between the impact point D and the target T (namely the off-target quantity) is less than or equal to y. The missile hit probability can be given by the integral of the firing spread density function over the range (y;, +y,).
Alternatively, the hit probability may be expressed as
The active electronic interference can not only generate systematic errors for the miss distance of the radar guidance system, but also increase random errors. While the typical squelch electronic disturbance may cause random error to increase, the spoofing electronic disturbance may cause random error to increase or systematic error to occur. The direct consequence of electronic interference resulting in systematic errors is the occurrence of electronically interfering mathematical expectations of shooting decoy quantity in the shooting decoy quantity distribution function, and the direct consequence of electronic interference resulting in random error increases the root mean square decoy quantity in the shooting decoy quantity distribution function. Either effect will eventually lead to a decrease in the probability of missile hit.
The arc dotted line is the missile trajectory of guided radar or terminal guided radar for guided control running under the condition of electronic interference, D is the fuze detonating point under the condition of electronic interference, and 4 is the missile off-target quantity under the condition of electronic interference.
Therefore, after being subjected to active electronic interference, the missile hit probability can be written as
Alternatively, the hit probability may be expressed as
A tactical missile damage target evaluation method under the offshore interference condition evaluates tactical missile damage target effects under the offshore interference condition according to tactical missile damage target evaluation flow information under the offshore interference condition. The tactical missile damage target evaluation flow information under the offshore interference condition comprises the following steps: the method comprises the following steps of firstly, primarily influencing index information of a marine disturbance condition fight missile damage target evaluation, wherein the primarily influencing index information comprises marine disturbance primary typical type information, marine disturbance index information and primarily influencing index information of a marine disturbance condition fight missile damage target evaluation in a marine disturbance fight missile target searching and tracking stage, the primarily influencing index information of a marine disturbance primary typical type information, the marine disturbance index information and primarily influencing index information of a marine disturbance condition fight missile damage target evaluation in a marine tactic missile command control stage, and primarily influencing index information of a marine disturbance primary typical type information, the marine disturbance index information and the marine disturbance condition fight missile damage target evaluation in a marine tactic missile launching and guidance flight hit target stage; the tactical missile damage target evaluation model information under the offshore interference condition comprises tactical missile damage target probability under the offshore interference condition, damage target number expected evaluation model information, tactical missile detection tracking target probability evaluation model information under the offshore interference condition, tactical missile command control stability probability evaluation model information under the offshore interference condition and tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability evaluation model information under the offshore interference condition. The hit targets of the invention increase the number of the attack targets. Thereby improving the prejudging rate of the target damaged by the tactical missile under the condition of offshore interference.
Finally, it should be noted that: the above embodiments are only for illustrating the technical solution of the present invention, and not for limiting the same; although the invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, it will be understood by those of ordinary skill in the art that: the technical scheme described in the foregoing embodiments can be modified or some or all of the technical features thereof can be replaced by equivalents; such modifications and substitutions do not depart from the spirit of the invention.
Claims (6)
1. A tactical missile damage target simulation evaluation method under the condition of offshore interference is characterized by comprising the following steps:
calculating the probability of detecting and tracking the target by a tactical missile system under the condition of the interference of the own radar and the condition of the maneuvering interference of the incoming target according to the incoming target, the interference parameters of the own radar and the maneuvering interference parameters of the maneuvering interference;
Calculating stability probabilities under the communication interference condition and the data link interference condition of the missile command and control stage according to the communication interference parameters and the data link interference parameters;
According to the active interference parameters, the passive interference parameters and the combined interference parameters, tactical missile launching and guidance target hitting probability of the missile launching and guidance target hitting stage is calculated;
determining a damaged target probability evaluation model according to the tactical missile system detection tracking target probability, tactical missile command control stability probability under the offshore interference condition of the missile command control stage and tactical missile command control stability probability under the offshore interference condition of the missile launching and guided flight hit target stage, and determining the number of damaged attack targets according to the damaged target probability evaluation model;
calculating the probability of target detection and tracking by a target detection and tracking system of a tactical missile under the condition of the interference of the target detection and tracking by the target detection and tracking system of the tactical missile under the condition of the interference of the target detection and tracking by the radar detection and the target detection and the maneuver interference parameters of the target detection and tracking system of the target detection and the maneuver comprises the following steps:
Calculating the probability of radar detection tracking targets of the own tactical missile system under the condition that the incoming targets interfere with the own radar according to the interference mode, interference distance, interference times, average interference time of each time and interference total time of the incoming targets on the own radar;
calculating the probability of detecting and tracking the target by a tactical missile system under the condition that the attack target implements maneuvering interference according to the maneuvering interference mode, the distance and the time of the attack target, wherein the target carries the type of electronic interference equipment, the electronic interference distance and the interference time;
the calculating the stability probability of the missile command and control stage under the communication interference condition according to the communication interference parameter and the data link interference parameter comprises the following steps:
Calculating tactical missile target indication distribution stability probability under the communication interference condition and tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference type condition according to the communication interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average interference time and the interference total time;
And calculating tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the condition of data link interference and tactical missile command control signal receiving response success probability under the condition of data link interference type according to the data link interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein the calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance targeting probability for the missile launching and guidance targeting phase based on the active disturbance parameter, the passive disturbance parameter, and the combined disturbance parameter comprises:
Calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the active interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the active interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average interference time and the total interference time of active interference;
calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the passive condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the passive interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the passive interference;
and calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the combined interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the combined interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the combined interference.
3. The method according to claim 1, wherein the calculating the probability of the target being tracked by the radar of the tactical missile system under the condition of the radar interference of the incoming target to the own according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference frequency, the average time per interference and the total interference time of the incoming target and calculating the probability of the target being tracked by the tactical missile system under the condition of the radar interference of the incoming target to the own according to the maneuvering interference mode, the distance and the time of the incoming target, the type of electronic interference equipment carried by the target itself, the electronic interference distance and the interference time comprises:
in the target detection and tracking stage of tactical missile under the condition of offshore interference, the interference of enemy to the radar of the opponent and the target itself is usually encountered, and the target detection and tracking probability of tactical missile under the condition of offshore interference is set as P z, which can be expressed as
Wherein P z1 is the probability of detecting and tracking a target by a tactical missile under the condition that an enemy interferes with a radar of the opponent, P z2 is the probability of detecting and tracking the target by the tactical missile under the condition that the target itself performs interference, lambda represents the working wavelength of the radar, delta represents the sectional area of the radar, R represents the interference distance, and L represents the total loss of the radar.
4. The method according to claim 1, wherein the calculating the tactical missile target indication allocation stability probability under the communication interference condition and the tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference type condition according to the communication interference mode, the interference distance, the interference number, the average time per interference and the interference total time, and calculating the tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the data link interference condition and the tactical missile command control signal reception response success probability under the data link interference type condition according to the data link interference mode, the interference distance, the interference number, the average time per interference and the interference total time comprises:
In the missile command control stage when tactical missiles are under the offshore interference condition, communication interference and data link interference are usually encountered, the tactical missile command control stability probability under the offshore interference condition generally refers to the probability of tactical missile stability implementation command control, and the tactical missile command control stability probability under the offshore interference condition is set to be P h, which can be expressed as:
Wherein P h1 is the tactical missile target indication distribution stability probability under the communication interference condition, P h2 is the tactical missile command control command stability probability under the communication interference condition, P h3 is the tactical missile command control signal synchronization probability under the data link interference condition, P h4 is the tactical missile receiving response success probability under the data link interference condition, lambda represents the radar working wavelength, delta represents the radar cross section area, k is 1.38 x 10 (-23), T is the average interference time per time, B interference mode bandwidth, F is a noise coefficient, S is the minimum output signal-to-noise ratio required by the detection target, and the value range is [22,35].
5. The method according to claim 2, wherein the tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the active interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the active interference condition are calculated according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average each interference time and the total interference time of the active interference; calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the passive condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the passive interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time of the passive interference; calculating tactical missile launching and flight reliability under the combined interference condition and tactical missile guidance hit target probability under the combined interference condition according to the interference mode, the interference distance, the interference times, the average time of each interference and the total interference time comprises the following steps:
In the target hitting stage of missile launching and guidance flight when an offshore tactical missile, active interference, passive interference and combined interference are generally encountered, and the tactical missile command control stability probability under the offshore interference condition is set to be P m, which can be expressed as:
Wherein, P m2 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under active interference condition, P m3 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under passive interference condition, P m4 is tactical missile launching and guidance flight hit target probability under combined interference condition, P m21、Pm22 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under active interference condition, P m31、Pm32 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under passive interference condition, P m41、Pm42 is tactical missile launching and flight reliability and missile guidance hit target probability under combined interference condition, delta represents radar cross section area, R represents interference distance, L j represents total loss of radar interference mode used, L r represents total loss of radar, gamma j uses flight reliability, S/J is signal-to-interference ratio, and the range is (0, 1).
6. The method of claim 1, wherein determining a damaged target probability assessment model from the tactical missile system detection tracking target probability, stability probability, and determining the number of damaged incoming targets from the damaged target probability assessment model comprises:
the probability evaluation model of the damage target is as follows
P＝1-(1-Pz)(1-Ph)(1-Pm) (4)
Wherein P is the probability of a tactical missile damaging target under the offshore interference condition, the probability of a tactical missile detecting and tracking target under the offshore interference condition of a target searching and tracking stage is Pz, the probability of tactical missile command control stability under the offshore interference condition of a missile command control stage is Ph, and the probability of tactical missile command control stability under the offshore interference condition of a missile launching and guidance flight hit target stage is Pm;
And determining the number N of the attack targets, and substituting the number N of the attack targets into the damaged target probability evaluation model to obtain the number M=NP of the attack targets.
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