CN115511361A - Method, system, storage medium, and computer for evaluating risk of power outage in distribution network - Google Patents
Method, system, storage medium, and computer for evaluating risk of power outage in distribution network Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及电网预警技术领域,更具体地说,它涉及一种配电网停电风险评估方法、系统、存储介质及计算机。The present invention relates to the technical field of power grid early warning, and more specifically, it relates to a method, system, storage medium and computer for evaluating the risk of power failure in a distribution network.
背景技术Background technique
配电网安全可靠运行直接关系到各行各业的正常生产和人们的日常生活,对配电网进行可靠性评估和预测,对提高配电网可靠性、改善电能质量、提高配电网运行经济性、优化配电网运行安排等都具有十分重要的意义。The safe and reliable operation of the distribution network is directly related to the normal production of all walks of life and people's daily life. The reliability evaluation and prediction of the distribution network is very important for improving the reliability of the distribution network, improving the quality of power, and improving the operation economy of the distribution network. It is of great significance to improve the stability and optimize the operation arrangement of distribution network.
随着电力系统的发展,配电网的稳定性越来越高,但是人们对电力的依赖程度也越来越高,因此每一次紧急停电所造成的损失也就越来越大。为了避免配电网存在故障而导致大面积停电的风险,对于运行中的配电网,需要进行精确的风险评估,一方面便于采取对应措施,降低停电导致的损失,另一方面对风险较大的设备区域进行检测,也能够提高故障检测的精确程度。With the development of the power system, the stability of the distribution network is getting higher and higher, but people's dependence on power is also getting higher and higher, so the losses caused by each emergency power outage are also increasing. In order to avoid the risk of large-scale power outages caused by faults in the distribution network, accurate risk assessment is required for the distribution network in operation. On the one hand, it is convenient to take corresponding measures to reduce losses caused by power outages. The detection of the equipment area can also improve the accuracy of fault detection.
但是现有的配电网停电风险评估不够准确,难以反应配电网的实际运行状况,会大大提高配电网设备维护的工作量,也会因为停电造成巨大损失。However, the existing distribution network outage risk assessment is not accurate enough to reflect the actual operating conditions of the distribution network, which will greatly increase the workload of distribution network equipment maintenance and cause huge losses due to power outages.
发明内容Contents of the invention
针对现有技术存在的不足,本发明的目的在于提供一种配电网停电风险评估方法、系统、存储介质及计算机,以解决现有的配电网停电风险评估结果不够准确的问题。In view of the deficiencies in the existing technology, the purpose of the present invention is to provide a distribution network outage risk assessment method, system, storage medium and computer to solve the problem that the existing distribution network outage risk assessment results are not accurate enough.
本发明的上述技术目的是通过以下技术方案得以实现的:包括:获取配电网的供电的历史数据;根据所述历史数据对应采集配电网停运信息;所述配电网停运信息包括:配电网的故障停运原因、故障停运时间以及故障停运范围;根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级,并将所有故障停运原因与标准风险等级一一对应相匹配;在所述故障停运原因再次发生的情况下,根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警,并通知对应的配电网维护部门做出对应的风险应对措施。The above technical purpose of the present invention is achieved through the following technical solutions: including: obtaining historical data of power supply of the distribution network; correspondingly collecting distribution network outage information according to the historical data; the distribution network outage information includes : Outage reasons, outage time and outage scope of the distribution network; according to the outage time and outage scope, the standard risk level is correspondingly divided, and all outage reasons are equal to the standard risk level One-to-one matching; in the case that the cause of the fault outage occurs again, an early warning will be given according to the standard risk level corresponding to the cause of the fault outage, and the corresponding distribution network maintenance department will be notified to take corresponding risk response measures .
可选的,所述故障停运原因包括:配电网异物故障:配电网运行在自然环境中,由于受到自然因素影响造成的故障,包括异物搭落配电网线路导致跳闸;配电网人为损坏故障:配电网受到人们生产生活活动的影响导致的故障,包括:挖掘作业损坏地下掩埋的配电网线路、高空作业误触配电网线路或者偷盗线缆;设备老化故障:配电网线路或电力设备因为质量不过关、设备老化或者安装不良导致的故障,包括:电缆绝缘击穿、配电环网柜开闭锁烧毁、隔离刀闸接触缺陷;自然灾害故障:处于自然环境中的配电网在受到大风、暴雨、暴雪以及冰雹等极端气候的影响导致的故障;用户用电故障:由于用户自身原因导致的故障,包括:用电器质量不良、用电行为用电习惯不规范导致的设备可靠性降低的问题。Optionally, the reasons for the outage of the fault include: foreign object fault in the distribution network: the distribution network operates in a natural environment, and the fault caused by the influence of natural factors, including tripping caused by foreign objects falling on the distribution network line; the distribution network Man-made damage faults: faults caused by the influence of people's production and living activities on the distribution network, including: excavation operations damage distribution network lines buried underground, high-altitude operations accidentally touch distribution network lines or steal cables; equipment aging faults: power distribution Failures caused by network lines or power equipment due to poor quality, equipment aging or poor installation, including: cable insulation breakdown, power distribution ring network cabinet opening and closing lock burning, isolation switch contact defect; natural disaster failure: in the natural environment Faults caused by the influence of extreme weather such as strong winds, heavy rain, heavy snow and hail on the distribution network; user power failures: failures caused by the users themselves, including: poor quality of electrical appliances, irregular electricity usage habits The problem of reduced equipment reliability.
可选的,所述根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级,包括:根据失负荷概率严重度、电量严重不足度和重要负荷损失度,对应将停电风险划分为五个等级:很严重、严重、一般、轻微、极轻微。Optionally, the corresponding division of the standard risk level according to the failure outage time and the scope of the failure outage includes: correspondingly dividing the power outage risk into five categories according to the severity of the load loss probability, the degree of serious power shortage and the degree of important load loss. Levels: very serious, serious, fair, slight, very slight.
可选的,所述根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警,并通知对应的配电网维护部门做出对应的风险应对措施,包括:若标准风险等级为极轻微,则配电网维护部门按第一频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为轻微,则配电网维护部门按第二频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为一般,则配电网维护部门按第三频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为严重,则配电网维护部门按第四频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为很严重,则立即停电,及时检修消除安全隐患;所述第一频次为1次/60天,所述第二频次为1次/30天,所述第三频次为1次/15天,所述第四频次为1次/7天。Optionally, the early warning is given according to the standard risk level corresponding to the cause of the fault outage, and the corresponding distribution network maintenance department is notified to take corresponding risk response measures, including: if the standard risk level is very slight, then The distribution network maintenance department performs inspections at the first frequency; if the standard risk level is slight, the distribution network maintenance department performs inspections at the second frequency; if the standard risk level is normal, the distribution network maintenance department performs inspections at the third frequency Maintenance; if the standard risk level is serious, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out maintenance at the fourth frequency; if the standard risk level is very serious, the power will be cut off immediately, and timely maintenance will eliminate potential safety hazards; the first frequency is 1 time/60 days, the second frequency is 1 time/30 days, the third frequency is 1 time/15 days, and the fourth frequency is 1 time/7 days.
可选的,还包括,获取配电网中的故障次数超过阈值的供电区域,记为易损区域,并根据所述易损区域对应的供电故障次数,对应将易损区域划分为五个等级:很严重、严重、一般、轻微、极轻微。Optionally, it also includes obtaining the power supply area in the distribution network whose number of faults exceeds a threshold, recording it as a vulnerable area, and dividing the vulnerable area into five levels according to the number of power supply failures corresponding to the vulnerable area : very serious, serious, general, slight, very slight.
可选的,根据易损区域对应的等级,对应调整所述配电网维护部门对所述易损区域的检修频次;若易损区域等级为极轻微,则配电网维护部门按第一频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为轻微,则配电网维护部门按第二频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为一般,则配电网维护部门按第三频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为严重,则配电网维护部门按第四频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为很严重,则配电网维护部门按第五频次执行检修;所述第一频次为1次/60天,所述第二频次为1次/30天,所述第三频次为1次/15天,所述第四频次为1次/7天,所述第五频次为1次/3天。Optionally, according to the level corresponding to the vulnerable area, the maintenance frequency of the distribution network maintenance department for the vulnerable area is correspondingly adjusted; Execute maintenance; if the level of vulnerable areas is minor, the distribution network maintenance department will perform maintenance at the second frequency; if the level of vulnerable areas is general, the distribution network maintenance department will perform maintenance at the third frequency; if the level of vulnerable areas If it is serious, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out inspections at the fourth frequency; if the vulnerable area is very serious, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out inspections at the fifth frequency; the first frequency is 1 time/60 days, The second frequency is 1 time/30 days, the third frequency is 1 time/15 days, the fourth frequency is 1 time/7 days, and the fifth frequency is 1 time/3 days.
一种配电网停电风险评估系统,包括,A distribution network outage risk assessment system, comprising,
数据获取模块:用于获取配电网的供电的历史数据;Data acquisition module: used to acquire the historical data of the power supply of the distribution network;
信息采集模块:用于根据所述历史数据对应采集配电网的停运信息;Information collection module: used for correspondingly collecting outage information of the distribution network according to the historical data;
风险等级评估模块:根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级;Risk level evaluation module: according to the fault outage time and fault outage scope, the standard risk level is correspondingly divided;
匹配模块:用于将所有故障停运原因与标准风险等级一一对应相匹配;Matching module: used to match all causes of outages with standard risk levels one by one;
预警模块:用于在故障停运原因再次发生的情况下,根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警。Pre-warning module: used to give early warning according to the standard risk level corresponding to the cause of the outage when the cause of the outage occurs again.
可选的,包括:Optional, include:
易损区域划分模块:用于获取配电网中的故障次数超过阈值的供电区域,记为易损区域,并根据所述易损区域对应的供电故障次数,对应将易损区域;Vulnerable area division module: used to obtain the power supply area in the distribution network where the number of faults exceeds the threshold, record it as a vulnerable area, and correspond to the vulnerable area according to the number of power supply failures corresponding to the vulnerable area;
使用寿命统计模块:能够根据用电设备的使用时长以及预定的设计使用寿命,及时提醒相关维护者更换用电设备。Service life statistics module: according to the service life of the electric equipment and the predetermined design service life, it can remind the relevant maintainers to replace the electric equipment in time.
一种计算机设备,包括存储器和处理器,所述存储器存储有计算机程序,所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现上述的方法的步骤。A computer device includes a memory and a processor, the memory stores a computer program, and the processor implements the steps of the above method when executing the computer program.
一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,所述计算机程序被处理器执行时实现上述的方法的步骤。A computer-readable storage medium, on which a computer program is stored, and when the computer program is executed by a processor, the steps of the above-mentioned method are realized.
综上所述,本发明具有以下有益效果:本发明提出一种配电网停电风险评估方法,通过对历史数据的统计、分析,以及对停电风险的原因以及风险等级相互匹配,能够对配电网的实际供电区域中发生的某一停电引发因素进行预测,并且针对该预测结果对应采取相应的抢修措施,能够有效地降低配电网停电所造成的损失。To sum up, the present invention has the following beneficial effects: the present invention proposes a method for assessing the risk of power outages in distribution networks, through the statistics and analysis of historical data, and the mutual matching of the causes and risk levels of power outage risks, the power distribution network can be assessed In order to predict a certain power failure trigger factor that occurs in the actual power supply area of the distribution network, and take corresponding emergency repair measures according to the prediction result, the loss caused by the power failure of the distribution network can be effectively reduced.
附图说明Description of drawings
图1为本发明的一种配电网停电风险评估方法流程图;Fig. 1 is a flow chart of a method for assessing the risk of a power outage in a distribution network of the present invention;
图2为本发明的一种配电网停电风险评估系统结构图;Fig. 2 is a kind of distribution network outage risk assessment system structural diagram of the present invention;
图3为本发明实施例中计算机设备的内部结构图。FIG. 3 is an internal structure diagram of a computer device in an embodiment of the present invention.
图中:1、数据获取模块;2、信息采集模块;3、风险等级评估模块;4、匹配模块;5、预警模块;6、易损区域划分模块;7、使用寿命统计模块。In the figure: 1. Data acquisition module; 2. Information collection module; 3. Risk level assessment module; 4. Matching module; 5. Early warning module; 6. Vulnerable area division module; 7. Service life statistics module.
具体实施方式detailed description
为使本发明的目的、特征和优点能够更加明显易懂,下面结合附图对本发明的具体实施方式做详细的说明。附图中给出了本发明的若干实施例。但是,本发明可以以许多不同的形式来实现,并不限于本文所描述的实施例。In order to make the purpose, features and advantages of the present invention more obvious and understandable, the specific implementation manners of the present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. Several embodiments of the invention are shown in the drawings. However, the present invention can be embodied in many different forms and is not limited to the embodiments described herein.
在本发明中,除非另有明确的规定和限定,术语“安装”、“相连”、“连接”、“固定”等术语应做广义理解,例如,可以是固定连接,也可以是可拆卸连接,或一体地连接;可以是机械连接,也可以是电连接;可以是直接相连,也可以通过中间媒介间接相连,可以是两个元件内部的连通。对于本领域的普通技术人员而言,可以根据具体情况理解上述术语在本发明中的具体含义。术语“第一”、“第二”仅用于描述目的,而不能理解为指示或暗示相对重要性或者隐含指明所指示的技术特征的数量。由此,限定有“第一”、“第二”的特征可以明示或者隐含地包括一个或者更多个该特征。In the present invention, unless otherwise clearly specified and limited, terms such as "installation", "connection", "connection" and "fixation" should be understood in a broad sense, for example, it can be a fixed connection or a detachable connection , or integrally connected; it may be mechanically connected or electrically connected; it may be directly connected or indirectly connected through an intermediary, and it may be the internal communication of two components. Those of ordinary skill in the art can understand the specific meanings of the above terms in the present invention according to specific situations. The terms "first" and "second" are used for descriptive purposes only, and cannot be understood as indicating or implying relative importance or implicitly specifying the quantity of indicated technical features. Thus, a feature defined as "first" and "second" may explicitly or implicitly include one or more of these features.
在本发明中,除非另有明确的规定和限定,第一特征在第二特征之“上”或之“下”可以包括第一和第二特征直接接触,也可以包括第一和第二特征不是直接接触而是通过它们之间的另外的特征接触。而且,第一特征在第二特征“之上”、“上方”和“上面”包括第一特征在第二特征正上方和斜上方,或仅仅表示第一特征水平高度高于第二特征。第一特征在第二特征“之下”、“下方”和“下面”包括第一特征在第二特征正下方和斜下方,或仅仅表示第一特征水平高度小于第二特征。术语“垂直的”、“水平的”、“左”、“右”、“上”、“下”以及类似的表述只是为了说明的目的,而不是指示或暗示所指装置或元件必须具有特定的方位、以特定的方位构造和操作,因此不能理解为对本发明的限制。In the present invention, unless otherwise clearly specified and limited, a first feature being "on" or "under" a second feature may include direct contact between the first and second features, and may also include the first and second features Not in direct contact but through another characteristic contact between them. Moreover, "above", "above" and "above" the first feature on the second feature include that the first feature is directly above and obliquely above the second feature, or simply means that the first feature is horizontally higher than the second feature. "Below", "beneath" and "under" the first feature to the second feature include that the first feature is directly below and obliquely below the second feature, or simply means that the first feature has a lower level than the second feature. The terms "vertical", "horizontal", "left", "right", "upper", "lower" and similar expressions are used for the purpose of description only and do not indicate or imply that the device or element referred to must have a specific Orientation, construction and operation in a particular orientation, therefore should not be construed as limiting the invention.
下面结合附图和实施例,对本发明进行详细描述。The present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments.
本发明提供了一种配电网停电风险评估方法,如图1所示,包括:获取配电网的供电的历史数据;根据所述历史数据对应采集配电网停运信息;所述配电网停运信息包括:配电网的故障停运原因、故障停运时间以及故障停运范围;根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级,并将所有故障停运原因与标准风险等级一一对应相匹配;在所述故障停运原因再次发生的情况下,根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警,并通知对应的配电网维护部门做出对应的风险应对措施。The present invention provides a method for evaluating the risk of a power outage in a distribution network, as shown in FIG. Network outage information includes: distribution network outage reasons, outage time, and outage scope; according to the outage time and outage scope, the standard risk level is correspondingly divided, and all outage reasons One-to-one correspondence with the standard risk level; in the case that the cause of the outage occurs again, an early warning will be given according to the standard risk level corresponding to the cause of the outage, and the corresponding distribution network maintenance department will be notified to make a decision. Corresponding risk response measures.
具体来说,在实际使用过程中,为了提高配电网的停电风险评估的准确性,本申请首先根据配电网的运行的历史数据,对配电网进行评估,并采集配电网对应的故障信息,其中故障信息主要包括故障原因、故障停运时间以及故障停运范围,根据故障停运时间以及对应的故障停运范围,对应确定故障等级,故障停运时间越长、故障停运范围越大,则对应的故障等级就越高,在本申请中,故障停运时间与故障停运范围对于故障等级所占权重为1:1,也就是对故障停运时间以及故障停运范围分别设定一个阈值,并以实际故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对所述阈值的比例,然后加权平均,对应计算出两个故障停运因素的综合百分比,然后将综合百分比对应划分故障等级。将划分等级后的故障停运标准与对应的故障停运原因一一对应相互匹配,并且针对某一种特定的故障停运原因,筛选出对应的最大概率的风险等级,作为该故障停运原因对应的故障停运风险等级,这样当后续的故障停运原因再次发生的情况下,能够根据该故障停运原因对应的风险等级,给人们对应发出警报,以保证配电网络的正常使用。Specifically, in the actual use process, in order to improve the accuracy of the power outage risk assessment of the distribution network, this application first evaluates the distribution network according to the historical data of the distribution network operation, and collects the corresponding Fault information, where the fault information mainly includes the cause of the fault, the time of the fault outage, and the scope of the fault outage. The larger the value, the higher the corresponding fault level. In this application, the weight of the fault outage time and the fault outage range to the fault level is 1:1, that is, the fault outage time and the fault outage range are respectively A threshold is set, and the ratio of the actual outage time and outage range to the threshold is weighted and averaged to calculate the comprehensive percentage of the two outage factors, and then the comprehensive percentage is divided into failure levels. Match the graded failure outage criteria with the corresponding failure outage reasons one by one, and for a specific failure outage cause, select the corresponding risk level with the highest probability as the failure outage reason The corresponding risk level of outage, so that when the cause of subsequent outage occurs again, an alarm can be sent to people according to the risk level corresponding to the cause of outage, so as to ensure the normal use of the power distribution network.
进一步的,所述故障停运原因包括:配电网异物故障:配电网运行在自然环境中,由于受到自然因素影响造成的故障,包括异物搭落配电网线路导致跳闸;配电网人为损坏故障:配电网受到人们生产生活活动的影响导致的故障,包括:挖掘作业损坏地下掩埋的配电网线路、高空作业误触配电网线路或者偷盗线缆;设备老化故障:配电网线路或电力设备因为质量不过关、设备老化或者安装不良导致的故障,包括:电缆绝缘击穿、配电环网柜开闭锁烧毁、隔离刀闸接触缺陷;自然灾害故障:处于自然环境中的配电网在受到大风、暴雨、暴雪以及冰雹等极端气候的影响导致的故障;用户用电故障:由于用户自身原因导致的故障,包括:用电器质量不良、用电行为用电习惯不规范导致的设备可靠性降低的问题。Further, the reasons for the outage include: distribution network foreign object fault: the distribution network operates in a natural environment, due to the fault caused by natural factors, including tripping caused by foreign objects falling on the distribution network line; distribution network man-made Damage faults: faults caused by the influence of people's production and living activities on the distribution network, including: excavation operations damage distribution network lines buried underground, high-altitude operations accidentally touch distribution network lines or steal cables; equipment aging faults: distribution network Failures of lines or power equipment due to poor quality, equipment aging or poor installation, including: cable insulation breakdown, power distribution ring network cabinet opening and closing lock burning, isolation switch contact defects; Faults caused by power grids affected by extreme weather such as strong winds, heavy rains, snowstorms, and hail; user power failures: failures caused by users themselves, including: poor quality of electrical appliances, irregular electricity usage habits The problem of reduced equipment reliability.
在实际使用过程中,配电网的故障因素受到自然因素的影响较为频繁,如异物搭落在配电网的电线上导致短路,但是这种自然因素引起的故障通常都较为轻微,方便检修,因此对应的故障等级相对较低,人为损坏故障通常都较为严重,但是故障地点又较为明确,因此主要的花费时间为抢修所需时间,因此针对此种故障也部都不会有过大的波及。对于设备的老化故障,所造成的影响通常较大、且抢修的过程较为繁琐,难以将损坏的设备及时地更换下来,一旦设备不匹配,还需要生产设备,所造成的影响通常较长。至于用户用电故障,通常都仅能影响用户的单独一户,影响范围小、维修方便快捷,因此所造成的风险等级也较低,针对影响范围较大、故障时间较长的自然灾害故障,则需要将其评定为较为严重的风险等级。In the actual use process, the fault factors of the distribution network are more frequently affected by natural factors, such as foreign objects falling on the wires of the distribution network and causing short circuits, but the faults caused by such natural factors are usually relatively minor, which is convenient for maintenance. Therefore, the corresponding fault level is relatively low. Man-made damage faults are usually more serious, but the fault location is relatively clear, so the main time spent is the time required for emergency repairs, so there will be no excessive impact on such faults . For the aging failure of equipment, the impact is usually greater, and the repair process is more cumbersome, it is difficult to replace the damaged equipment in a timely manner. Once the equipment does not match, production equipment is required, and the impact is usually longer. As for the user's power failure, it usually only affects a single household of the user, the impact range is small, and the maintenance is convenient and fast, so the risk level caused is also low. For natural disaster faults with a large impact range and long failure time, It needs to be rated as a more serious risk level.
进一步的,所述根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级,包括:根据失负荷概率严重度、电量严重不足度和重要负荷损失度,对应将停电风险划分为五个等级:很严重、严重、一般、轻微、极轻微。Further, the corresponding division of the standard risk level according to the failure outage time and the scope of the failure outage includes: correspondingly dividing the power outage risk into five categories according to the severity of the load loss probability, the degree of serious shortage of electricity and the degree of important load loss. Grade: very serious, serious, fair, slight, very slight.
进一步的,所述根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警,并通知对应的配电网维护部门做出对应的风险应对措施,包括:若标准风险等级为极轻微,则配电网维护部门按第一频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为轻微,则配电网维护部门按第二频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为一般,则配电网维护部门按第三频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为严重,则配电网维护部门按第四频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为很严重,则立即停电,及时检修消除安全隐患;所述第一频次为1次/60天,所述第二频次为1次/30天,所述第三频次为1次/15天,所述第四频次为1次/7天。Further, the early warning is given according to the standard risk level corresponding to the cause of the fault outage, and the corresponding distribution network maintenance department is notified to take corresponding risk response measures, including: if the standard risk level is very slight, the distribution network The power grid maintenance department performs maintenance at the first frequency; if the standard risk level is slight, the distribution network maintenance department performs maintenance at the second frequency; if the standard risk level is normal, the distribution network maintenance department performs maintenance at the third frequency ; If the standard risk level is serious, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out maintenance according to the fourth frequency; if the standard risk level is very serious, the power will be cut off immediately, and timely maintenance will eliminate potential safety hazards; the first frequency is 1 time/60 days , the second frequency is 1 time/30 days, the third frequency is 1 time/15 days, and the fourth frequency is 1 time/7 days.
通过对停运故障等级进行划分,然后对应调配电网维护人员对发生故障原因对应的区域进行定期检修,能够有效地降低配电网的故障发生的概率。避免长时间停电对供电区域造成影响。By classifying outage failure levels, and then deploying network maintenance personnel to carry out regular maintenance on the area corresponding to the cause of the failure, the probability of failure of the distribution network can be effectively reduced. Avoid long-term power outages affecting the power supply area.
进一步的,还包括,获取配电网中的故障次数超过阈值的供电区域,记为易损区域,并根据所述易损区域对应的供电故障次数,对应将易损区域划分为五个等级:很严重、严重、一般、轻微、极轻微。Further, it also includes obtaining the power supply area in the distribution network where the number of faults exceeds the threshold, recording it as a vulnerable area, and dividing the vulnerable area into five levels according to the number of power supply failures corresponding to the vulnerable area: Very serious, severe, moderate, slight, very slight.
进一步的,根据易损区域对应的等级,对应调整所述配电网维护部门对所述易损区域的检修频次;若易损区域等级为极轻微,则配电网维护部门按第一频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为轻微,则配电网维护部门按第二频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为一般,则配电网维护部门按第三频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为严重,则配电网维护部门按第四频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为很严重,则配电网维护部门按第五频次执行检修;所述第一频次为1次/60天,所述第二频次为1次/30天,所述第三频次为1次/15天,所述第四频次为1次/7天,所述第五频次为1次/3天。Further, according to the level corresponding to the vulnerable area, the maintenance frequency of the distribution network maintenance department for the vulnerable area is correspondingly adjusted; if the level of the vulnerable area is very slight, the distribution network maintenance department performs the inspection according to the first frequency Maintenance; if the level of the vulnerable area is minor, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out the maintenance at the second frequency; if the level of the vulnerable area is general, the distribution network maintenance department will perform the maintenance at the third frequency; if the level of the vulnerable area is serious, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out inspections at the fourth frequency; if the vulnerable area is very serious, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out inspections at the fifth frequency; the first frequency is 1 time/60 days, so The second frequency is 1 time/30 days, the third frequency is 1 time/15 days, the fourth frequency is 1 time/7 days, and the fifth frequency is 1 time/3 days.
通过对易损区域的记录和划分等级,并根据划分的等级对易损区域进行分频次巡检,能够有效提高易损区域配电网供电的稳定性,降低易损区域的停电风险。By recording and classifying the vulnerable areas, and performing frequency inspections on the vulnerable areas according to the classified levels, the stability of the power supply of the distribution network in the vulnerable areas can be effectively improved, and the risk of power outage in the vulnerable areas can be reduced.
如图2所示,本发明还提供了一种配电网停电风险评估系统,包括,As shown in Figure 2, the present invention also provides a distribution network blackout risk assessment system, including:
数据获取模块1:用于获取配电网的供电的历史数据;Data acquisition module 1: used to acquire the historical data of the power supply of the distribution network;
信息采集模块2:用于根据所述历史数据对应采集配电网的停运信息;Information collection module 2: for correspondingly collecting outage information of the distribution network according to the historical data;
风险等级评估模块3:根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级;Risk level evaluation module 3: according to the fault outage time and fault outage scope, the standard risk level is correspondingly divided;
匹配模块4:用于将所有故障停运原因与标准风险等级一一对应相匹配;Matching module 4: used to match all causes of outages with standard risk levels one by one;
预警模块5:用于在故障停运原因再次发生的情况下,根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警。Early-warning module 5: used for giving early warning according to the standard risk level corresponding to the cause of failure and outage when the cause of failure and outage occurs again.
进一步的,一种配电网停电风险评估系统,还包括:Further, a distribution network power outage risk assessment system also includes:
易损区域划分模块6:用于获取配电网中的故障次数超过阈值的供电区域,记为易损区域,并根据所述易损区域对应的供电故障次数,对应将易损区域;Vulnerable area division module 6: used to obtain the power supply area in the distribution network where the number of faults exceeds the threshold, record it as a vulnerable area, and correspond to the vulnerable area according to the number of power supply failures corresponding to the vulnerable area;
使用寿命统计模块7:能够根据用电设备的使用时长以及预定的设计使用寿命,及时提醒相关维护者更换用电设备。Service life statistics module 7: According to the service life of the electric equipment and the predetermined design service life, it can remind the relevant maintainers to replace the electric equipment in time.
关于一种配电网停电风险评估系统的具体限定可以参见上文中对于一种配电网停电风险评估方法的限定,在此不再赘述。上述一种配电网停电风险评估系统中的各个模块可全部或部分通过软件、硬件及其组合来实现。上述各模块可以硬件形式内嵌于或独立于计算机设备中的处理器中,也可以以软件形式存储于计算机设备中的存储器中,以便于处理器调用执行以上各个模块对应的操作。For the specific definition of a distribution network outage risk assessment system, please refer to the above definition for a distribution network outage risk assessment method, which will not be repeated here. Each module in the above distribution network power outage risk assessment system can be fully or partially realized by software, hardware and a combination thereof. The above-mentioned modules can be embedded in or independent of the processor in the computer device in the form of hardware, and can also be stored in the memory of the computer device in the form of software, so that the processor can invoke and execute the corresponding operations of the above-mentioned modules.
在一个实施例中,提供了一种计算机设备,该计算机设备可以是服务器,其内部结构图可以如图3所示。该计算机设备包括通过系统总线连接的处理器、存储器、网络接口和数据库。其中,该计算机设备的处理器用于提供计算和控制能力。该计算机设备的存储器包括非易失性存储介质、内存储器。该非易失性存储介质存储有操作系统、计算机程序和数据库。该内存储器为非易失性存储介质中的操作系统和计算机程序的运行提供环境。该计算机程序被处理器执行时以实现一种配电网停电风险评估方法。In one embodiment, a computer device is provided. The computer device may be a server, and its internal structure may be as shown in FIG. 3 . The computer device includes a processor, memory, network interface and database connected by a system bus. Wherein, the processor of the computer device is used to provide calculation and control capabilities. The memory of the computer device includes a non-volatile storage medium and an internal memory. The non-volatile storage medium stores an operating system, computer programs and databases. The internal memory provides an environment for the operation of the operating system and computer programs in the non-volatile storage medium. When the computer program is executed by the processor, a method for assessing the power failure risk of the distribution network is realized.
本领域技术人员可以理解,图3中示出的结构,仅仅是与本申请方案相关的部分结构的框图,并不构成对本申请方案所应用于其上的计算机设备的限定,具体的计算机设备可以包括比图中所示更多或更少的部件,或者组合某些部件,或者具有不同的部件布置。Those skilled in the art can understand that the structure shown in Figure 3 is only a block diagram of a partial structure related to the solution of the present application, and does not constitute a limitation to the computer equipment on which the solution of the application is applied. The specific computer equipment can be More or fewer components than shown in the figures may be included, or some components may be combined, or have a different arrangement of components.
在一个实施例中,提供了一种计算机设备,包括存储器和处理器,存储器中存储有计算机程序,该处理器执行计算机程序时实现以下步骤:包括:获取配电网的供电的历史数据;根据所述历史数据对应采集配电网停运信息;所述配电网停运信息包括:配电网的故障停运原因、故障停运时间以及故障停运范围;根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级,并将所有故障停运原因与标准风险等级一一对应相匹配;在所述故障停运原因再次发生的情况下,根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警,并通知对应的配电网维护部门做出对应的风险应对措施。In one embodiment, a computer device is provided, including a memory and a processor, a computer program is stored in the memory, and the processor implements the following steps when executing the computer program: including: obtaining historical data of power supply of the distribution network; according to The historical data corresponds to the collection of distribution network outage information; the distribution network outage information includes: the fault outage reason, fault outage time and fault outage range of the distribution network; according to the fault outage time and The fault outage scope corresponds to the standard risk level, and all the fault outage reasons are matched with the standard risk level one by one; The standard risk level will be used for early warning, and the corresponding distribution network maintenance department will be notified to take corresponding risk response measures.
在一个实施例中,所述故障停运原因包括:配电网异物故障:配电网运行在自然环境中,由于受到自然因素影响造成的故障,包括异物搭落配电网线路导致跳闸;配电网人为损坏故障:配电网受到人们生产生活活动的影响导致的故障,包括:挖掘作业损坏地下掩埋的配电网线路、高空作业误触配电网线路或者偷盗线缆;设备老化故障:配电网线路或电力设备因为质量不过关、设备老化或者安装不良导致的故障,包括:电缆绝缘击穿、配电环网柜开闭锁烧毁、隔离刀闸接触缺陷;自然灾害故障:处于自然环境中的配电网在受到大风、暴雨、暴雪以及冰雹等极端气候的影响导致的故障;用户用电故障:由于用户自身原因导致的故障,包括:用电器质量不良、用电行为用电习惯不规范导致的设备可靠性降低的问题。In one embodiment, the reasons for the outage include: distribution network foreign object fault: the distribution network operates in a natural environment, due to the fault caused by natural factors, including foreign objects collapsing on the distribution network line and causing tripping; Man-made damage to the power grid: faults caused by the impact of people's production and living activities on the distribution network, including: excavation damage to buried distribution network lines, high-altitude operations accidentally touching distribution network lines or stealing cables; equipment aging faults: Failures of distribution network lines or power equipment due to poor quality, equipment aging or poor installation, including: cable insulation breakdown, power distribution ring network cabinet opening and closing lock burning, isolation switch contact defects; natural disaster failure: in a natural environment The distribution network in China is affected by extreme weather such as strong winds, rainstorms, snowstorms, and hail. Faults caused by user power consumption: faults caused by users themselves, including: poor quality of electrical appliances, bad habits of electricity consumption The problem of equipment reliability reduction caused by the specification.
在一个实施例中,所述根据所述故障停运时间以及故障停运范围对应划分标准风险等级,包括:根据失负荷概率严重度、电量严重不足度和重要负荷损失度,对应将停电风险划分为五个等级:很严重、严重、一般、轻微、极轻微。In one embodiment, the corresponding division of the standard risk level according to the fault outage time and the fault outage range includes: correspondingly classifying the risk of power outage according to the severity of the load loss probability, the degree of serious shortage of electricity, and the degree of important load loss There are five levels: very serious, serious, fair, slight, and very slight.
在一个实施例中,所述根据所述故障停运原因相对应的标准风险等级进行预警,并通知对应的配电网维护部门做出对应的风险应对措施,包括:若标准风险等级为极轻微,则配电网维护部门按第一频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为轻微,则配电网维护部门按第二频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为一般,则配电网维护部门按第三频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为严重,则配电网维护部门按第四频次执行检修;若标准风险等级为很严重,则立即停电,及时检修消除安全隐患;所述第一频次为1次/60天,所述第二频次为1次/30天,所述第三频次为1次/15天,所述第四频次为1次/7天。In one embodiment, the early warning is given according to the standard risk level corresponding to the cause of the fault outage, and the corresponding distribution network maintenance department is notified to take corresponding risk countermeasures, including: if the standard risk level is very slight , the distribution network maintenance department will carry out inspections at the first frequency; if the standard risk level is slight, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out inspections at the second frequency; if the standard risk level is normal, the distribution network maintenance department will carry out inspections at the third frequency Perform inspections frequently; if the standard risk level is serious, the distribution network maintenance department will perform inspections at the fourth frequency; if the standard risk level is very serious, immediately cut off the power and conduct timely inspections to eliminate potential safety hazards; the first frequency is 1 time /60 days, the second frequency is 1 time/30 days, the third frequency is 1 time/15 days, and the fourth frequency is 1 time/7 days.
在一个实施例中,还包括,获取配电网中的故障次数超过阈值的供电区域,记为易损区域,并根据所述易损区域对应的供电故障次数,对应将易损区域划分为五个等级:很严重、严重、一般、轻微、极轻微。In one embodiment, it also includes acquiring the power supply area in the distribution network whose fault times exceed the threshold value, recording it as a vulnerable area, and dividing the vulnerable area into five correspondingly according to the number of power supply failures corresponding to the vulnerable area Levels: very serious, serious, fair, slight, very slight.
在一个实施例中,根据易损区域对应的等级,对应调整所述配电网维护部门对所述易损区域的检修频次;若易损区域等级为极轻微,则配电网维护部门按第一频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为轻微,则配电网维护部门按第二频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为一般,则配电网维护部门按第三频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为严重,则配电网维护部门按第四频次执行检修;若易损区域等级为很严重,则配电网维护部门按第五频次执行检修;所述第一频次为1次/60天,所述第二频次为1次/30天,所述第三频次为1次/15天,所述第四频次为1次/7天,所述第五频次为1次/3天。In one embodiment, according to the level corresponding to the vulnerable area, the maintenance frequency of the distribution network maintenance department for the vulnerable area is correspondingly adjusted; if the level of the vulnerable area is extremely slight, the distribution network maintenance department Perform maintenance at the first frequency; if the level of vulnerable areas is minor, the distribution network maintenance department will perform maintenance at the second frequency; if the level of vulnerable areas is normal, the distribution network maintenance department will perform maintenance at the third frequency; If the level of the area is serious, the maintenance department of the distribution network will carry out maintenance at the fourth frequency; if the level of the vulnerable area is very serious, the maintenance department of the distribution network will carry out the maintenance at the fifth frequency; the first frequency is 1 time/60 days, the second frequency is 1 time/30 days, the third frequency is 1 time/15 days, the fourth frequency is 1 time/7 days, and the fifth frequency is 1 time/3 days.
本领域普通技术人员可以理解实现上述实施例方法中的全部或部分流程,是可以通过计算机程序来指令相关的硬件来完成,所述的计算机程序可存储于一非易失性计算机可读取存储介质中,该计算机程序在执行时,可包括如上述各方法的实施例的流程。其中,本申请所提供的各实施例中所使用的对存储器、存储、数据库或其它介质的任何引用,均可包括非易失性和/或易失性存储器。非易失性存储器可包括只读存储器(ROM)、可编程ROM(PROM)、电可编程ROM(EPROM)、电可擦除可编程ROM(EEPROM)或闪存。易失性存储器可包括随机存取存储器(RAM)或者外部高速缓冲存储器。作为说明而非局限,RAM以多种形式可得,诸如静态RAM(SRAM)、动态RAM(DRAM)、同步DRAM(SDRAM)、双数据率SDRAM(DDRSDRAM)、增强型SDRAM(ESDRAM)、同步链路(Synchlink)DRAM(SLDRAM)、存储器总线(Rambus)直接RAM(RDRAM)、直接存储器总线动态RAM(DRDRAM)、以及存储器总线动态RAM(RDRAM)等。Those of ordinary skill in the art can understand that all or part of the processes in the methods of the above embodiments can be implemented through computer programs to instruct related hardware, and the computer programs can be stored in a non-volatile computer-readable memory In the medium, when the computer program is executed, it may include the processes of the embodiments of the above-mentioned methods. Wherein, any references to memory, storage, database or other media used in the various embodiments provided in the present application may include non-volatile and/or volatile memory. Nonvolatile memory can include read only memory (ROM), programmable ROM (PROM), electrically programmable ROM (EPROM), electrically erasable programmable ROM (EEPROM), or flash memory. Volatile memory can include random access memory (RAM) or external cache memory. By way of illustration and not limitation, RAM is available in many forms such as Static RAM (SRAM), Dynamic RAM (DRAM), Synchronous DRAM (SDRAM), Double Data Rate SDRAM (DDRSDRAM), Enhanced SDRAM (ESDRAM), Synchronous Chain Synchlink DRAM (SLDRAM), memory bus (Rambus) direct RAM (RDRAM), direct memory bus dynamic RAM (DRDRAM), and memory bus dynamic RAM (RDRAM), etc.
以上实施例的各技术特征可以进行任意的组合,为使描述简洁,未对上述实施例中的各个技术特征所有可能的组合都进行描述,然而,只要这些技术特征的组合不存在矛盾,都应当认为是本说明书记载的范围。The technical features of the above embodiments can be combined arbitrarily. To make the description concise, all possible combinations of the technical features in the above embodiments are not described. However, as long as there is no contradiction in the combination of these technical features, they should be It is considered to be within the range described in this specification.
以上所述仅是本发明的优选实施方式,本发明的保护范围并不仅局限于上述实施例,凡属于本发明思路下的技术方案均属于本发明的保护范围。应当指出,对于本技术领域的普通技术人员来说,在不脱离本发明原理前提下的若干改进和润饰,这些改进和润饰也应视为本发明的保护范围。The above descriptions are only preferred implementations of the present invention, and the protection scope of the present invention is not limited to the above-mentioned embodiments, and all technical solutions under the idea of the present invention belong to the protection scope of the present invention. It should be pointed out that for those skilled in the art, some improvements and modifications without departing from the principles of the present invention should also be regarded as the protection scope of the present invention.
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