CN113344457A - Hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses a hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system, which belongs to the technical field of disaster event simulation and comprises an accident case collection module, an accident case analysis module, an environment information acquisition module, an accident evolution module and an emergency drilling information platform module. The accident consequence of the key time-space nodes is constructed based on specific situations, the influence range of the accident and the duration of the corresponding accident situation can be effectively predicted, the effective optimal time window for emergency rescue work and public refuge and escape can be effectively prompted, irreplaceable guiding significance is provided for emergency rescue work of accident main bodies, emergency plan compilation and emergency drilling constructed based on the situations can effectively solve the problems of functional loss and conflict, emergency task main body loss, emergency task program loss, insufficient emergency resource support and the like existing in the current emergency plans of a plurality of enterprises. The emergency preparation and emergency rescue capability of each enterprise for dealing with major emergencies can be effectively improved.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of disaster event simulation, and particularly relates to a hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system.
Background
In order to effectively prevent and deal with major industrial emergencies, emergency management in the whole processes of prevention and emergency preparation, monitoring and early warning, emergency response and rescue, after-the-fact recovery and the like must be enhanced. For a particularly important emergency with low occurrence probability but extremely serious consequences, strategic research and emergency preparation work are carried out in advance by adopting a theory and a method of 'situation-response', which are provided by the emergency management academia in recent years and are an effective scientific means for carrying out emergency preparation.
The construction of the emergency situation is based on risk assessment and vulnerability analysis, scientific assumption is carried out on the events which may occur in a certain period in the future, the evolution process and the disaster consequences of the situation are analyzed and simulated, a task list which needs to be faced by the situation is combed, the current situation of the existing capability is contrasted and assessed, and a research process for improving emergency preparation capability suggestion measures is provided. The dam break event of the hydropower station belongs to a catastrophic event, so that the thinking-oriented method constructed by application scenarios is necessary to evaluate and analyze emergency tasks and capacity in the case of a possible catastrophic event so as to prevent great loss of personnel and economy caused by no preparation when a disaster comes.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide a hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system, which extracts scene elements from an accident by collecting and analyzing a large number of related typical accident cases, researches the accident development law by using a numerical simulation technology, combs out an emergency task required by the corresponding scene event, and analyzes the required capacity and the existing capacity of the emergency task of an enterprise by the system, thereby analyzing the overall state and weak link of the current emergency capacity, and provides a countermeasure proposal to guide the improvement of the emergency plan, the emergency preparation and the emergency capacity improvement so as to solve the problems in the prior art in the background technology.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention adopts the following technical scheme:
a hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system comprises an accident case collection module, an accident case analysis module, an environment information acquisition module, an accident evolution module and an emergency drilling information platform module;
the accident case collecting module is used for collecting multiple accident cases of multiple types in the past to analyze and count, summarizing and sorting main reasons and consequence influences of various accidents, errors and teaching in the emergency process and providing support for constructing scene events;
the accident case analysis module is used for carrying out risk analysis on hydropower station layout, surrounding environment, engineering geological conditions and the like on the basis of case research, exploring a logic chain of occurrence and development of a scenario event and providing support for constructing the scenario event and combing tasks;
the environment information acquisition module reproduces an evolution process of a scene based on means such as field shooting, data image editing, 3D reconstruction and the like, wherein the evolution process, consequences and an emergency response flow of an event are included, and auxiliary decision support is provided for dealing with related events in the future;
the accident evolution module analyzes the influence of a plurality of factors including dam break leakage position, leakage speed, terrain, soil porosity and the like on the flow and the flow speed during flood discharge on the downstream by utilizing the dam break flood calculation and influence analysis results;
the emergency drill information platform module evaluates the corresponding capacity of the combed tasks through on-site research and repeated interviews, finds out capacity weak links and provides a strategy suggestion.
Preferably, the emergency drilling information platform module has four functions of drilling management, drilling design, drilling implementation and drilling record;
the drilling management module comprises management of emergency drilling plans and emergency drilling summaries of subordinate units;
the drilling design comprises a drilling scheme design and a drilling scene design;
the practice implementation comprises scheme description, scene voice playing and scene question and answer;
the exercise record comprises scheme inquiry, record printing and the like.
Preferably, the emergency drilling information platform module further comprises a scenario response task analysis module, based on the construction of the dam break scenario event, the tasks required by the scenario event are sorted and analyzed, and are integrated to form a scenario event response task list, and meanwhile, main body analysis is performed through laws and regulations, regulations and regulations of government and higher departments, emergency plans and the like to form a task matrix.
Preferably, the technical framework of the accident evolution module is scene analysis, task combing and capability evaluation.
Preferably, during accident evolution, scenario analysis is firstly carried out, a hypothesis is constructed based on risk analysis, and a working mechanism and a flow aiming at identifying, analyzing and controlling risks are established.
Preferably, the environment information acquisition module acquires information and further includes surveys of environment ecology, environment facilities, scene influence range communities, public facilities, landforms, structures and the like; relevant emergency organizations, teams, resources, etc.
Preferably, the emergency drilling information platform module further analyzes emergency requirements according to scene conditions; according to the emergency capacity, defining an emergency task; and (5) searching for emergency missing according to emergency preparation.
Preferably, the accident evolution module further comprises a scene simulation deduction to form a deduction script; quantitative analysis of the deductive scenario; compiling scene content design and defining event simulation conditions; researching an event evolution trend; and analyzing the damage range and degree of the event.
Preferably, the environmental information acquisition module comprises a water level detection sensor, a rainfall detection sensor and a video monitoring unit;
the water level detection sensors are arranged at different heights of the dam and used for monitoring water level data of monitoring points;
the rainfall detection sensor is fixedly arranged on the ground surface at the periphery of the dam and is used for monitoring and transmitting local real-time rainfall data;
the video monitoring unit is arranged on the periphery of the dam, collects video information and is used for monitoring the peripheral environment of the dam.
The invention has the technical effects and advantages that: compared with the prior art, the hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system provided by the invention has the following advantages:
1. the accident consequence of the key time-space nodes is constructed based on specific situations, the influence range of the accident and the duration of the corresponding accident situation can be effectively predicted, the effective optimal time window for emergency rescue work and public refuge and escape can be effectively prompted, irreplaceable guiding significance is provided for the emergency rescue work of an accident main body, and great practical significance is provided for popularization and implementation of hydropower stations;
2. various emergency tasks are combed from five fields of prevention, preparation, early warning, response and recovery based on specific credible scenes, so that the emergency preparation working conditions of various enterprises aiming at various emergencies can be comprehensively mastered, and the emergency preparation capability of the enterprises is effectively improved;
3. based on the disposal key points of the credible scene, specific work key points are provided for specific emergency disposal measures, and various emergency work tasks of a leader decision layer, a professional emergency disposal layer and a public response layer in the process of dealing with various emergencies are defined;
4. emergency preparation planning constructed based on the situation is in accordance with the actual conditions of enterprises, and each enterprise can construct and evaluate the result of the emergency capacity according to the situation and concentrate related resources to carry out emergency preparation work aiming at major risks;
5. the emergency plan compiling and the emergency drilling constructed based on the situation can effectively solve the problems of functional loss and conflict, emergency task main body loss, emergency task program loss, insufficient emergency resource support and the like of the current emergency plans of a plurality of enterprises. The emergency preparation and emergency rescue capability of each enterprise for dealing with major emergencies can be effectively improved.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a block diagram of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments. The specific embodiments described herein are merely illustrative of the invention and do not delimit the invention. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Example 1
The invention provides a hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system shown in figure 1, which comprises an accident case collection module, an accident case analysis module, an environmental information collection module, an accident evolution module and an emergency drilling information platform module;
the accident case collecting module is used for collecting multiple accident cases of multiple types in the past to analyze and count, summarizing and sorting main reasons and consequence influences of various accidents, errors and teaching in the emergency process and providing support for constructing scene events;
the accident case analysis module is used for carrying out risk analysis on hydropower station layout, surrounding environment, engineering geological conditions and the like on the basis of case research, exploring a logic chain of occurrence and development of a scenario event and providing support for constructing the scenario event and combing tasks;
the environment information acquisition module reproduces an evolution process of the scene based on means such as field shooting, data image editing, 3D reconstruction and the like, wherein the evolution process, consequences and an emergency response flow of the event are included, and auxiliary decision support is provided for dealing with related events in the future;
the accident evolution module is used for analyzing the influence of a plurality of factors including dam break leakage position, leakage speed, terrain, soil porosity and the like on the downstream of the flow and the flow speed during flood discharge by utilizing the dam break flood calculation and influence analysis results;
and the emergency drill information platform module evaluates the corresponding capacity of the combed tasks through on-site investigation and repeated interviews, finds out capacity weak links and provides a strategy suggestion.
The emergency drilling information platform module has four functions of drilling management, drilling design, drilling implementation and drilling record;
the drilling management module comprises management of emergency drilling plans and emergency drilling summaries of subordinate units;
the drilling design comprises a drilling scheme design and a drilling scene design;
the practice implementation comprises scheme description, scene voice playing and scene question and answer;
the exercise record comprises scheme inquiry, record printing and the like.
The emergency drilling information platform module further comprises a situation coping task analysis module, based on the construction of the dam break situation, tasks required by coping situation events are sorted and analyzed, and are integrated to form a situation incident coping task list, and meanwhile, main body analysis is performed through laws, regulations and regulations of government and higher departments, emergency plans and the like to form a task matrix.
The technical framework of the accident evolution module is scene analysis, task combing and capability evaluation.
During accident evolution, scenario analysis is firstly carried out, a hypothesis is constructed based on risk analysis, and a working mechanism and a flow aiming at identifying, analyzing and controlling risks are established.
The environment information acquisition module is used for acquiring information and also comprises investigation of environment ecology, environment facilities, scene influence range communities, public facilities, landforms, structures and the like; relevant emergency organizations, teams, resources, etc.
The emergency drilling information platform module also analyzes emergency requirements according to scene conditions; according to the emergency capacity, defining an emergency task; and (5) searching for emergency missing according to emergency preparation.
The accident evolution module also comprises a scene simulation deduction to form a deduction script; quantitative analysis of the deductive scenario; compiling scene content design and defining event simulation conditions; researching an event evolution trend; and analyzing the damage range and degree of the event.
The environmental information acquisition module comprises a water level detection sensor, a rainfall detection sensor and a video monitoring unit; the water level detection sensors are arranged at different heights of the dam and used for monitoring water level data of monitoring points; the rainfall detection sensor is fixedly arranged on the ground surface at the periphery of the dam and is used for monitoring and transmitting local real-time rainfall data; and the video monitoring unit is arranged on the periphery of the dam, acquires video information and is used for monitoring the peripheral environment of the dam.
Example 2
The project research aims at carrying out hypothesis, analysis and simulation work aiming at the dam break event of the hydropower station, and credible description based on science as much as possible is made on the possibility of accident occurrence, the mode and process of occurrence and development and the possible serious consequences. The method comprises the steps of collecting and analyzing a large number of relevant typical accident cases at home and abroad, extracting situation elements from accidents, researching the accident development rules by utilizing a numerical simulation technology, combing out emergency tasks required by corresponding situation events, and analyzing the required capacity and existing capacity of the emergency tasks of enterprises by a system, so that the overall state and weak links of the current emergency capacity are analyzed, a countermeasure measure suggestion is provided, and guidance is provided for perfecting an emergency plan, making emergency preparation and improving the emergency capacity. The main research contents are as follows:
1. accident case analysis
The method is used for analyzing and counting a plurality of accident cases of various types, summarizing and sorting main reasons and consequence influences of various accidents, and providing support for constructing situation events due to errors and teaching in the emergency process.
2. Risk analysis
On the basis of case research, risk analysis is carried out on hydropower station layout, surrounding environment, engineering geological conditions and the like, a logic chain of occurrence and development of the scenario events is explored, and support is provided for construction of the scenario events and task combing.
3. Research on event evolution law
And (3) analyzing the influence of a plurality of factors including dam break leakage position, leakage speed, terrain, soil porosity and the like on the downstream of the flow and the flow speed during flood discharge by utilizing the dam break flood calculation and influence analysis results.
4. Context response task analysis
Based on the construction of the dam break situation event, tasks required by the corresponding situation event are sorted, analyzed and integrated to form a task list corresponding to the situation event. Meanwhile, main body analysis is performed through laws and regulations, regulations and regulations, emergency plans and the like of governments and superior departments to form a task matrix.
5. Emergency capacity assessment
And (4) carrying out corresponding capability evaluation on the combed tasks through on-site investigation and multiple interviews, finding out weak links of the capability and proposing a countermeasure suggestion.
The project carries out key technical research and application of dam break disaster event situation construction and safety evaluation of hydropower enterprises of Huaneng group Limited in China, applies a 'major emergency situation construction' theory to a simulation scene of a major accident of hydropower enterprises, deduces and predicts an event evolution process of the accident disaster hazard situation established at the same time, provides an enterprise emergency capacity evaluation system based on the accident evolution process, and carries out current situation evaluation on the enterprise emergency capacity by applying a multidimensional matrix analysis model according to a situation analysis result.
According to the technical framework of 'scenario analysis and task combing and capability evaluation', scenario analysis is firstly carried out, a hypothesis is constructed based on risk analysis, and a working mechanism and a flow aiming at identifying, analyzing and controlling risks are established. Understanding the principle and process of the occurrence of the dam break disaster event is beneficial to strengthening effective precautionary measures and restraining the occurrence and spread of the event; the simulation and prediction of the evolution process of the dam break disaster event are beneficial to scientific setting of early warning and emergency response nodes, and provide favorable conditions for effective organization of rescue and reduction of disaster loss; based on the emergency task of the situation, the requirement of emergency resources can be accurately mastered, and a basis is provided for perfecting an emergency preparation mechanism and allocating appropriate emergency materials; practical and effective script support is provided for emergency actual combat drilling, and the handling capacity of a professional emergency team is improved efficiently; corresponding honor and application achievement can be obtained by the scene construction research project; and finishing the emergency drilling information platform. The system has four functions of drilling management, drilling design, drilling implementation and drilling record; the drilling management module comprises management of emergency drilling plans and emergency drilling summaries of subordinate units; the drilling design comprises a drilling scheme design and a drilling scene design; the practice implementation comprises scheme description, scene voice playing and scene question and answer; the exercise record comprises scheme inquiry, record printing and the like. And (5) achievement application. The method comprises the following steps of reproducing an evolution process of a scene based on means such as scene shooting, data image editing, 3D reconstruction and the like, wherein the evolution process, consequences and an emergency response flow of an event are included, and auxiliary decision support is provided for dealing with related events in the future; and guidance is provided for daily emergency drilling of enterprises.
And (4) planning implementation, namely, orderly advancing the implementation of scene construction research and emergency capacity evaluation according to stages in order to achieve the expected purpose of the project. Project work content and procedures, see table 1, below;
finally, it should be noted that: although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, it will be apparent to those skilled in the art that modifications may be made to the embodiments or portions thereof without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention.
Claims (9)
1. A hydropower station dam break disaster event simulation evaluation analysis system is characterized in that: the simulation evaluation analysis system comprises an accident case collection module, an accident case analysis module, an environmental information collection module, an accident evolution module and an emergency drilling information platform module;
the accident case collecting module is used for collecting multiple accident cases of multiple types in the past to analyze and count, summarizing and sorting main reasons and consequence influences of various accidents, errors and teaching in the emergency process and providing support for constructing scene events;
the accident case analysis module is used for carrying out risk analysis on hydropower station layout, surrounding environment, engineering geological conditions and the like on the basis of case research, exploring a logic chain of occurrence and development of a scenario event and providing support for constructing the scenario event and combing tasks;
the environment information acquisition module reproduces an evolution process of a scene based on means such as field shooting, data image editing, 3D reconstruction and the like, wherein the evolution process, consequences and an emergency response flow of an event are included, and auxiliary decision support is provided for dealing with related events in the future;
the accident evolution module analyzes the influence of a plurality of factors including dam break leakage position, leakage speed, terrain, soil porosity and the like on the flow and the flow speed during flood discharge on the downstream by utilizing the dam break flood calculation and influence analysis results;
the emergency drill information platform module evaluates the corresponding capacity of the combed tasks through on-site research and repeated interviews, finds out capacity weak links and provides a strategy suggestion.
2. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 1, wherein: the emergency drilling information platform module has four functions of drilling management, drilling design, drilling implementation and drilling record;
the drilling management comprises management of emergency drilling plans and emergency drilling summaries of subordinate units;
the drilling design comprises a drilling scheme design and a drilling scene design;
the practice implementation comprises scheme description, scene voice playing and scene question and answer;
the exercise record comprises scheme inquiry, record printing and the like.
3. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 2, wherein: the emergency drilling information platform module further comprises a situation coping task analysis module, based on the construction of the dam break situation, tasks required by corresponding situation events are sorted and analyzed, the tasks are integrated to form a situation incident coping task list, and meanwhile, main body analysis is performed through laws, regulations and regulations of government and higher departments, emergency plans and the like to form a task matrix.
4. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 1, wherein: the technical framework of the accident evolution module is scene analysis, task combing and capability evaluation.
5. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 4, wherein: during accident evolution, scenario analysis is firstly carried out, a hypothesis is constructed based on risk analysis, and a working mechanism and a flow aiming at identifying, analyzing and controlling risks are established.
6. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 1, wherein: the environment information acquisition module is used for acquiring information and also comprises surveys of environment ecology, environment facilities, scene influence range communities, public facilities, landforms, structures and the like; relevant emergency organizations, teams, resources, etc.
7. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 3, wherein: the emergency drilling information platform module also analyzes emergency requirements according to scene conditions; according to the emergency capacity, defining an emergency task; and (5) searching for emergency missing according to emergency preparation.
8. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 1, wherein: the accident evolution module also comprises a scene simulation deduction to form a deduction script; quantitative analysis of the deductive scenario; compiling scene content design and defining event simulation conditions; researching an event evolution trend; and analyzing the damage range and degree of the event.
9. The simulation evaluation and analysis system for the hydroelectric power station dam break disaster event according to claim 1, wherein: the environment information acquisition module comprises a water level detection sensor, a rainfall detection sensor and a video monitoring unit;
the water level detection sensors are arranged at different heights of the dam and used for monitoring water level data of monitoring points;
the rainfall detection sensor is fixedly arranged on the ground surface at the periphery of the dam and is used for monitoring and transmitting local real-time rainfall data;
the video monitoring unit is arranged on the periphery of the dam, collects video information and is used for monitoring the peripheral environment of the dam.
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