CN112598392A - Emergency early warning assessment and decision support system for atmospheric environmental pollution accident - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses an atmospheric environmental pollution accident emergency early warning evaluation and decision support system, which comprises a prior supervision system, an in-service supervision system and a post supervision system, wherein the prior supervision system is provided with a risk substance early warning module, an emergency drilling module, the in-service supervision system comprises an emergency accident capturing module, an emergency identification module, an emergency command module, an expert consultation module, a simulation prediction and risk evaluation module, an emergency response module, a field survey monitoring module, a state tracking and reporting module, an emergency termination module, all component modules on the early warning evaluation and decision support system are connected into the same network platform, and carry out cooperative work through data transmission among different modules, meanwhile, the risk substance early warning module, the emergency drilling module and the simulation prediction and risk assessment module can also independently operate according to actual needs.
Description
Technical Field
The invention relates to the technical field of emergency early warning evaluation and decision making of atmospheric environmental pollution accidents, in particular to an emergency early warning evaluation and decision making support system for atmospheric environmental pollution accidents.
Background
With the rapid development of modern city construction, sudden air pollution accidents (explosion, fire, leakage, stink and the like) caused by various production and living activities are increased rapidly, and because the accidents often occur, the accidents have the characteristics of difficult prediction, discharge of large amount of toxic and harmful pollutants in short time, dynamic change of pollutant discharge rules and difficult control of pollution degree, and form great threats to human health, ecological environment and economic development.
The method has important significance for improving the scientificity and the effectivity of the prevention and the emergency treatment of the sudden atmospheric environmental pollution accident and reducing the human health hazard, the ecological environment pollution and the economic loss caused by the accident by researching the prior monitoring and forecast, the perfect treatment process in the process and the post summary evaluation analysis of the sudden atmospheric environmental pollution accident.
At present, researches on emergency systems of sudden accidents in China include gis-slab dangerous gas diffusion real-time prediction and early warning systems, mm5/wrf-hysplit prediction systems and sudden atmospheric pollution monitoring and forecasting integrated mobile platforms, and certain achievements are obtained, but most of the emergency systems focus on one aspect of the emergency process. The existing system is lack of a closed loop flow of effective integration and guided emergency disposal of multiple technologies and a closed loop linkage emergency disposal flow of prior monitoring and forecasting, rapid and accurate simulation evaluation and disposal in the process and afterwards summarized evaluation and analysis.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to provide an emergency early warning evaluation and decision support system for atmospheric environmental pollution accidents, so as to solve the problems in the background technology.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention provides the following technical scheme: the emergency early warning assessment and decision support system for atmospheric environmental pollution accidents according to claim 1, wherein the early warning assessment and decision support system is provided with a pre-supervision system, an in-flight supervision system and a post-supervision system, the pre-supervision system comprises a risk substance early warning module and an emergency drilling module, the in-flight supervision system comprises an emergency accident capturing module, an emergency identification module, an emergency commanding module, an expert consultation module, an analog prediction and risk assessment module, an emergency response module, a field survey monitoring module, an event tracking and reporting module and an emergency termination module, and the post-supervision system is provided with a time assessment module.
Preferably, the early warning evaluation and decision support system for the atmospheric environmental pollution accident comprises the following steps:
s1, daily recording storage conditions of enterprise risk substances in the district to manage, marking point positions on an electronic map by enterprises to which the risk substances belong, wherein each risk substance has a corresponding critical value list, and once the risk substances reach the critical values, an early warning prompt is given on the electronic map;
s2, after receiving the alarm of the sudden atmospheric pollution accident, the emergency personnel records and records the accident basic information according to the alarm receiving information;
s3, inquiring basic database information according to the accident alarm receiving information, judging whether the accident is an emergency event, if so, entering emergency response, and displaying and checking the dynamic information of the current emergency event in a command and dispatch graph;
s4, displaying event basic information, started plans, organized teams, called equipment materials, field investigation information, situation tracking information, influence analysis information, pollution tracing, sensitive targets and dynamic information of emergency resources based on emergency command scheduling;
s5, dynamically simulating and predicting the time-space distribution of toxic and harmful gas pollution diffusion according to the accident alarm receiving information and the current weather condition data to obtain a pollution influence range, on the basis, delimiting a health risk area by combining with the concentration standard of the human acute health effect, generating and displaying a dynamic health risk forecast, and evaluating the early warning level of the atmospheric environmental pollution event and the influence on the surrounding environment and people according to the accident alarm receiving information and the related analysis indexes;
s6, according to the event information, simulating prediction and risk assessment conclusion, starting an emergency plan through consultation discussion for existing emergency equipment resources, establishing an emergency team, and scheduling emergency equipment materials;
s7, surveying and recording weather conditions, terrains, event reason processes and the like of an accident site, and surveying and recording the influence conditions of the accident on surrounding key protection targets and sensitive areas;
s8, timely tracking and recording the development trend of the event, and reporting and resuming the event detail information;
s9, executing emergency termination, submitting a termination document for the event meeting the termination condition, and recording the termination condition of the event and the opinions of all parties;
and S10, evaluating each handling link of the emergency event, carrying out grade evaluation on the influence of the accident, and finally making a summary report and filing.
Preferably, the atmospheric environmental pollution accident emergency early warning evaluation and decision support system is used in the field investigation and monitoring process
a. Optimizing a monitoring point arrangement scheme based on diffusion simulation and risk evaluation results and combining actual on-site survey information, emergency monitoring resources and geographic information, and generating a monitoring point distribution schematic diagram;
b. and according to the distributed monitoring points, real-time monitoring data is obtained by using online monitoring equipment, sampling data is input, and the trend of monitoring factors is dynamically observed.
Compared with the prior art, the invention has the beneficial effects that:
the invention provides a set of emergency early warning evaluation and decision support system for sudden atmospheric environmental pollution accidents, so that the sudden atmospheric environmental accidents can be prevented in advance, evaluation and disposal can be simulated rapidly and accurately in the process, evaluation and summary are carried out afterwards, and a more scientific and powerful data support and a complete response disposal closed-loop flow are provided for emergency accident decision.
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FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of an early warning assessment and decision support system according to the present invention.
In the figure: 1. an early warning assessment and decision support system; 2. a prior supervision system; 3. a supervision system in business; 4. a post-incident supervision system; 5. a risk substance early warning module; 6. an emergency drilling module; 7. a sudden accident capturing module; 8. an emergency identification module; 9. an emergency command module; 10. an expert consultation module; 11. a simulation prediction and risk assessment module; 12. an emergency response module; 13. a field survey monitoring module; 14. an event tracking reporting module; 15. an emergency termination module; 16. and an event evaluation module.
Detailed Description
The technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below with reference to the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and it is obvious that the described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, and not all of the embodiments. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Referring to fig. 1, the present invention provides a technical solution: the emergency early warning assessment and decision support system for atmospheric environmental pollution accidents according to claim 1, wherein a pre-supervision system is arranged on the early warning assessment and decision support system, the pre-supervision system comprises a risk substance early warning module on the pre-supervision system, the pre-supervision system comprises a risk substance early warning module on the post-supervision system, the emergency exercise module comprises an emergency accident capture module on the pre-supervision system, an emergency identification module, an emergency command module, an expert consultation module, an analog prediction and risk assessment module, an emergency response module, a field survey monitoring module, an event tracking and reporting module, and an emergency termination module is provided with a time assessment module on the post-supervision system. Although embodiments of the present invention have been shown and described, it will be appreciated by those skilled in the art that changes, modifications, substitutions and alterations can be made in these embodiments without departing from the principles and spirit of the invention, the scope of which is defined in the appended claims and their equivalents.
The emergency early warning assessment and decision support system for the atmospheric environmental pollution accident is characterized in that storage conditions of risk substances of enterprises in a district are input daily for management, the enterprises to which the risk substances belong mark points on an electronic map, each risk substance has a corresponding critical value list, and once the risk substances reach the critical values, early warning prompts are given on the electronic map. According to the early warning prompt, the related information of the enterprise and the risk substances in the risk early warning state is accurately distinguished, so that accurate judgment and processing can be conveniently carried out before the risk accident possibly occurs. The method is a monitoring forecast in advance, and can effectively reduce the probability of possible risk accidents.
In the daily safety period, emergency drilling can be carried out on the sudden environmental pollution event, the drilling process is carried out completely according to the handling process of the real event, the chest has a bottom at ordinary times, the emergency can be handled in a cool and quiet mode, and the record of the drilling event can be used as the handling reference when the pollution event really occurs.
And after receiving the alarm of the sudden air pollution accident, the emergency personnel records and records the accident basic information according to the alarm receiving information.
And inquiring basic database information according to the accident alarm receiving information, judging whether the accident is an emergency event, if so, entering emergency response, and displaying and checking the dynamic information of the current emergency event in a command and dispatch graph.
The method comprises the steps of establishing an emergency command center by utilizing an expert consultation system, realizing information interaction feedback between the command center and an accident site, and providing scientific and effective suggestions for accident site disposal decisions on the basis of relevant dynamic information of an event displayed by one picture of emergency command scheduling, including event basic information, a started plan, a constructed team, called equipment materials, site survey information, situation tracking information, influence analysis information, pollution tracing, sensitive targets, emergency resources and the like.
According to the accident alarm receiving information and the current weather condition data, dynamic simulation and prediction are carried out on the time-space distribution of toxic and harmful gas pollution diffusion, the pollution influence range is obtained, on the basis, the health risk area is defined by combining with the concentration standard of the human body acute health effect, and dynamic health risk forecast is generated and displayed.
And evaluating the early warning level of the atmospheric environmental pollution event and the influence result on the surrounding environment and people according to the accident alarm receiving information and the related analysis indexes.
When investigation and monitoring are carried out on site, investigation and entry can be carried out on the meteorological conditions, the terrain, the incident reason process and the like of the accident site, investigation and entry can be carried out on the influence conditions of the accident on the peripheral key protection targets and sensitive areas, the monitoring and point distribution scheme is optimized based on diffusion simulation and risk evaluation results and combined with site actual investigation information, emergency monitoring resources and geographic information, a monitoring point distribution schematic diagram can be generated, real-time monitoring data can be obtained by utilizing online monitoring equipment according to the distributed monitoring points, sampling data can be entered, the trend of monitoring factors can be dynamically observed, and the pollution development trend of the environmental accident can be mastered.
The development trend of the event is tracked and recorded in time, and the detailed information of the event is reported and reported again, so that the development process of the event can be comprehensively mastered, a decision reference basis is provided before the event is not terminated, emergency termination is executed, a termination document is submitted for the event meeting the termination condition, the termination condition of the event and the opinions of all parties are recorded, and inquiry can be carried out according to the data.
Finally, each handling link of the emergency event is evaluated, the influence of the accident is subjected to grade evaluation, and finally a summary report is made and filed to provide reference for post-disaster reconstruction of the accident, prevention of the same kind of accident in the future and handling when the same kind of accident occurs.
The invention provides a set of emergency early warning evaluation and decision support system for sudden atmospheric environmental pollution accidents, so that the sudden atmospheric environmental accidents can be prevented in advance, evaluation and disposal can be simulated rapidly and accurately in the process, evaluation and summary are carried out afterwards, and a more scientific and powerful data support and a complete response disposal closed-loop flow are provided for emergency accident decision.
Claims (3)
1. The atmospheric environmental pollution accident emergency early warning assessment and decision support system according to claim 1, wherein: the early warning evaluation and decision support system is provided with a prior supervision system, an in-service supervision system and a post supervision system, the prior supervision system comprises a risk substance early warning module and an emergency drilling module, the in-service supervision system comprises an emergency accident capturing module, an emergency identification module, an emergency command module, an expert consultation module, a simulation prediction and risk evaluation module, an emergency response module, a field investigation monitoring module, an event tracking and reporting module and an emergency termination module, and the post supervision system is provided with a time evaluation module.
2. The atmospheric environmental pollution accident emergency early warning assessment and decision support system according to claim 1, wherein the early warning assessment comprises the following steps:
s1, daily recording storage conditions of enterprise risk substances in the district to manage, marking point positions on an electronic map by enterprises to which the risk substances belong, wherein each risk substance has a corresponding critical value list, and once the risk substances reach the critical values, an early warning prompt is given on the electronic map;
s2, after receiving the alarm of the sudden atmospheric pollution accident, the emergency personnel records and records the accident basic information according to the alarm receiving information;
s3, inquiring basic database information according to the accident alarm receiving information, judging whether the accident is an emergency event, if so, entering emergency response, and displaying and checking the dynamic information of the current emergency event in a command and dispatch graph;
s4, displaying event basic information, started plans, organized teams, called equipment materials, field investigation information, situation tracking information, influence analysis information, pollution tracing, sensitive targets and dynamic information of emergency resources based on emergency command scheduling;
s5, dynamically simulating and predicting the time-space distribution of toxic and harmful gas pollution diffusion according to the accident alarm receiving information and the current weather condition data to obtain a pollution influence range, on the basis, delimiting a health risk area by combining with the concentration standard of the human acute health effect, generating and displaying a dynamic health risk forecast, and evaluating the early warning level of the atmospheric environmental pollution event and the influence on the surrounding environment and people according to the accident alarm receiving information and the related analysis indexes;
s6, according to the event information, simulating prediction and risk assessment conclusion, starting an emergency plan through consultation discussion for existing emergency equipment resources, establishing an emergency team, and scheduling emergency equipment materials;
s7, surveying and recording weather conditions, terrains, event reason processes and the like of an accident site, and surveying and recording the influence conditions of the accident on surrounding key protection targets and sensitive areas;
s8, timely tracking and recording the development trend of the event, and reporting and resuming the event detail information;
s9, executing emergency termination, submitting a termination document for the event meeting the termination condition, and recording the termination condition of the event and the opinions of all parties;
and S10, evaluating each handling link of the emergency event, carrying out grade evaluation on the influence of the accident, and finally making a summary report and filing.
3. The emergency early warning evaluation and decision support system for atmospheric environmental pollution accident according to claim 1, wherein the system is used in the process of on-site investigation and monitoring
a. Optimizing a monitoring point arrangement scheme based on diffusion simulation and risk evaluation results and combining actual on-site survey information, emergency monitoring resources and geographic information, and generating a monitoring point distribution schematic diagram;
b. and according to the distributed monitoring points, real-time monitoring data is obtained by using online monitoring equipment, sampling data is input, and the trend of monitoring factors is dynamically observed.
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