CN113344363A - Method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and firecracker enterprises - Google Patents

Method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and firecracker enterprises Download PDF

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CN113344363A
CN113344363A CN202110601142.3A CN202110601142A CN113344363A CN 113344363 A CN113344363 A CN 113344363A CN 202110601142 A CN202110601142 A CN 202110601142A CN 113344363 A CN113344363 A CN 113344363A
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姜威
姜旭初
李颖
薛国庆
王先华
王彪
李刚
马洪舟
曹丁夫
熊旺旺
查汉
张鑫方
邓伟
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Sinosteel Corp Wuhan Safety And Environmental Protection Research Institute Co ltd
Sinosteel Wuhan Safety And Environment Institute Green Century Safety Management Consulting Co ltd
Zhongnan University Of Economics And Law
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Sinosteel Corp Wuhan Safety And Environmental Protection Research Institute Co ltd
Sinosteel Wuhan Safety And Environment Institute Green Century Safety Management Consulting Co ltd
Zhongnan University Of Economics And Law
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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and cracker enterprises. The method comprises the following steps: s1: dividing an inherent risk identification and evaluation unit by a workshop of a relatively independent process system, and taking an accident point possibly induced to be particularly large in the unit area as a risk point; s2: establishing an inherent risk index h index system of the risk point accident risk; s3: assigning an index of an inherent risk index h of the accident risk of the risk point; s4: the unit inherent risk index H is a weighted cumulative value of the site personnel exposure indexes of the inherent risk indexes of the risk points in the unit area. The method reduces the problems of subjectivity and dispersity of the traditional risk identification method, can realize dynamic management and targeted management and control of the high-risk list, and achieves the purposes of managing and controlling major risks and restraining major accidents.

Description

Method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and firecracker enterprises
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of enterprise safety risk identification and evaluation, and particularly relates to a method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and cracker enterprises.
Background
China is a big country for producing, consuming and exporting fireworks and crackers, and about a city with more than 170 districts is changed from forbidden to limited to be set off or set off completely, so that the market demand of the fireworks and crackers is greatly increased, the potential safety hazard is increased, and the accident risk is increased.
Once accidents happen to fireworks and crackers in various links such as production, storage, transportation, sale, setting off, destruction and the like, the safety of lives and properties of people can be endangered, and the biggest challenge in the fireworks and crackers industry is the public safety problem.
The analysis and research on accident reasons, emergency rescue and strategy feedback in the firework and firecracker industry comprises the following steps: the theory of fuzzy mathematics is explained by Gongbillow, a fuzzy matrix is established, and the fuzzy mathematics is applied to the safety evaluation, which is a qualitative leap for the traditional evaluation method, so that the quantitative analysis of the safety evaluation method is realized; the safety management of the warehouse is quantitatively analyzed by using an analytic hierarchy process, various factors are integrated by establishing a safety hierarchical structure model of the warehouse, each index factor is calculated and sequenced, the randomness in the evaluation work is reduced, and a certain reference value is provided for the actual work; in the research on the safety evaluation method of the firework and firecracker production and operation enterprises based on the evidence theory, such as Chaoying, Luwenhao and the like, the defects of the safety evaluation method of the existing firework and firecracker production and operation enterprises are analyzed, and a risk evaluation index system is established based on credibility distribution to obtain the feasibility conclusion of safety evaluation; luo ai Min and Wu Hao put forward the national standard requirements, the development status and the industrial characteristics of fireworks and crackers in China 'safety production condition status quo and countermeasure analysis of fireworks and crackers manufacturing enterprises', and put forward a targeted countermeasure measure aiming at the safety production condition status quo and problems of the fireworks and crackers manufacturing enterprises in China; huangwu, Xia Yifeng and the like in the research on the core problem of safety production of fireworks and crackers, analyze the dangerousness of the fireworks and crackers, expound the accidents of the fireworks and crackers, analyze the reasons of the accidents, propose safety management, carry out scientific layout, perfect management structure, scientific management, standardize management and other viewpoints, and expound the strict execution of safety management regulations, which is the important factor in ensuring safety management.
As a relatively small industry, fireworks and crackers are not researched a lot at present, some theoretical achievements are mainly concentrated inside fireworks and crackers production enterprises, and few methods and modes for researching safety risk control in the production and management processes of fireworks and crackers from the perspective of government supervision are available.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention provides a method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of fireworks and crackers enterprises aiming at the defects in the prior art, and aims to explore and develop a scientific fireworks and crackers safety risk control technology, establish a safety risk early warning system of fireworks and crackers enterprises, monitor risk points of key links of production, management, storage, transportation and the like of the fireworks and crackers industry in real time by utilizing an information platform, and can specifically solve various hidden dangers in supervision, production and management for government departments and production and management units, prevent accidents of fireworks and crackers, and practically guarantee public safety, personal safety and property safety.
The technical solution of the invention is as follows: a method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and firecracker enterprises comprises the following steps:
s1: dividing an inherent risk identification and evaluation unit by a workshop of a relatively independent process system, and taking an accident point possibly induced to be particularly large in the unit area as a risk point;
s1.1: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit in the firework and cracker industry is divided into the following parts:
s1.1.1: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and firecracker production enterprise comprises combined firework production, firecracker production, firing cable manufacturing, inner barrel effect piece manufacturing, a firework and firecracker warehouse or a transit warehouse, firework and firecracker transportation and delivery and a firework and firecracker management store;
s1.1.2: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and cracker business enterprise comprises a firework and cracker warehouse or a transfer warehouse, firework and cracker transportation and delivery and a firework and cracker business store;
s1.1.3: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and cracker business enterprise comprises a firework and cracker business store;
s1.2: establishing a general risk identification and evaluation list of each unit of a production enterprise and an operation enterprise according to the type of the firework and cracker enterprise;
s2: establishing an inherent risk index h index system of risk point accident risk, wherein the inherent risk index h of the risk point accident risk is influenced by the following factors:
s2.1: the intrinsic safety level of the equipment;
s2.2: monitoring and monitoring the failure rate level;
s2.3: substance hazards;
s2.4: site personnel risk exposure;
s2.5: high risk work hazards;
s3: intrinsic risk index h index assignment of risk point accident risk
S3.1: the inherent danger index hs takes the intrinsic safety level of the risk point equipment facility as an assignment basis, and represents the technical measure level of the risk point production equipment facility for preventing accidents;
s3.2: the material danger index M value is determined by the fire, explosion, toxicity and energy characteristics of high-risk articles with high risk points, the R value of the product of the ratio of the actual existing quantity of the high-risk articles to the critical quantity and the danger characteristic correction coefficient of the corresponding articles is used as a grading index, and the M value is determined according to the grading result;
s3.3: the site personnel exposure index E is taken as the number P of exposed personnel in the risk point;
s3.4: monitoring and controlling facility failure rate correction coefficient K1
K1 is the average value of monitoring and monitoring facility failure rate 1+ p P;
s3.5: high risk work risk correction factor K2
K21+0.05q q as risk point relates to high risk job category number;
s3.6: the inherent hazard index h is assigned to
h＝hs×M×E×K1×K2
S4: the unit inherent risk index H is a weighted cumulative value of the site personnel exposure indexes of the inherent risk indexes of the risk points in the unit area, and the calculation formula H is
Figure BDA0003093031310000031
In the formula:
hithe risk index of the ith risk point in the unit;
Eiexposure index for ith risk point site personnel in the unit;
f is the cumulative value of the exposure index of personnel at each risk site in the unit;
n is the number of risk points in the unit.
According to the embodiment of the invention, the method for identifying and evaluating the major safety risk of the firework and cracker enterprise further comprises the following steps:
s5: setting a unit risk frequency index, taking the reciprocal of the unit safety production standardization score as a unit high-risk control frequency index, and taking the calculation formula of the unit initial high-risk control frequency G as
G＝100/v
In the formula:
g-unit initial high risk management and control frequency
v-safety production standardization self-rating/review score.
According to the embodiment of the invention, the method for identifying and evaluating the major safety risk of the firework and cracker enterprise further comprises the following steps:
s6: setting a dynamic real risk correction index, and correcting the initial high-risk safety risk R of the unit in real time by the dynamic real risk correction index0Or the risk point intrinsic risk index h;
the dynamic real risk modification index comprises: high-risk monitoring characteristic index K3Safety production basic management dynamic correction coefficient BSSpecial period indexes and high risk Internet of things indexes;
the real-time alarm of the high-risk monitoring project is divided into red alarm (low alarm), yellow alarm (middle alarm) and orange alarm (high alarm); when the monitoring item reaches 3 red alarms, recording as 1 yellow alarm; when the monitoring item reaches 2 yellow alarms, recording as 1 orange alarm; the weights of the first-level alarm, the second-level alarm and the third-level alarm are respectively set to be 1, 3 and 6, and the coefficients after normalization processing are respectively 0.1, 0.3 and 0.6, namely the high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient, which is described by the following formula:
K3＝1+0.1a1+0.3a2+0.6a3
in the formula:
K3-high risk dynamic monitoring feature refers toCoefficient of standard alarm signal
a1Number of yellow alarms
a2Orange alarm times
a3-number of red alarms;
high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient K3Dynamically correcting the inherent risk index h of the risk point, wherein the calculation formula is as follows:
hd＝h·K3
in the formula:
hdthe risk point inherent risk index dynamic monitoring index modification value;
h-risk point inherent risk index;
K3-high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal correction factor.
According to the embodiment of the invention, the method for identifying and evaluating the major safety risk of the firework and cracker enterprise further comprises the following steps:
s7: setting a dynamic modification value of the inherent risk index of the unit, wherein the dynamic modification value of the inherent risk index of the unit is a dynamic monitoring index modification value of the inherent risk index of a plurality of risk points and a weighted accumulation value of the exposure index of personnel in a place, and a calculation formula is as follows:
Figure BDA0003093031310000041
in the formula:
HD-dynamic modification of the intrinsic hazard index of a unit
hdi-modification value of intrinsic risk index dynamic monitoring index of ith risk point in unit
Ei-exposure index of personnel at ith risk point site in unit
F-cumulative value of personal exposure index of each risk point and site in unit
n-number of risk points within a unit.
According to the embodiment of the invention, the method for identifying and evaluating the major safety risk of the firework and cracker enterprise further comprises the following steps:
s8: aggregating the initial high-risk safety risk of the unit high-risk control frequency unit and the inherent risk index to obtain an initial high-risk safety risk value of the unit, wherein the calculation formula is as follows:
R0＝G·HD
in the formula:
R0-initial security risk value of unit
G-Unit Risk management frequency index value
HD-dynamic modification of the unit intrinsic hazard index;
the real risk of the unit before dynamic correction is equal to the initial risk of the unit, i.e. RN＝R0；
Unit real risk RNDynamically correcting index to unit initial high-risk safety risk R for actual risk0The result of the correction is carried out;
shifting the unit actual risk level according to the dynamic indexes, the special period indexes, the high-risk Internet of things indexes and the natural environment indexes of the safety production basic management;
the safety risk regulated and controlled by the unit risk frequency index and the real risk dynamic correction index is used as a final unit real risk, and the unit real risk classification standard of the firework and cracker industry of the quantitative risk evaluation method is determined as follows:
unit Risk (RN) Early warning signal Risk level notation
RN≥85 Red wine Class I
85＞RN≥50 Orange Class II
50＞RN≥30 Yellow colour Class III
30＞RN Blue (B) Grade IV
。
The beneficial technical effects of the invention are as follows: the subjectivity and the dispersity of the traditional risk identification method are reduced, the dynamic management and the targeted management and control of the high-risk list can be realized, and the purposes of managing and controlling the major risks and restraining the major accidents are achieved.
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A flow chart of a method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and cracker enterprises.
Detailed Description
The present invention will be further described with reference to the following examples and the accompanying drawings.
The firework and firecracker industry is single, and mainly comprises a firework and firecracker production enterprise, a firework and firecracker wholesale operation enterprise and a retail operation enterprise; meanwhile, various enterprises relate to various products, and the difference between the categories is large. Therefore, the first step of risk identification and evaluation in the firework and cracker industry is to sort the enterprise types of the fireworks and crackers and divide evaluation units of various enterprises according to national policy documents and process characteristics; and secondly, analyzing accident risk points in the unit to form a safety risk identification list of the firework and cracker industry.
The invention provides a general risk list identification and evaluation method of a system by taking key system prevention and control risk points as evaluation main lines and dividing evaluation units by focusing on 4 key links of production, storage, transportation and operation, namely links of risk classification management and control and hidden danger violation and violation electronic evidence base system including danger position searching, risk mode identification, accident category, consequence, risk grade, management and control measures, hidden danger investigation content, violation and violation identification mode, monitoring and monitoring position and the like.
A method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and firecracker enterprises comprises the following steps:
s1: dividing an inherent risk identification and evaluation unit by a workshop of a relatively independent process system, and taking an accident point possibly induced to be particularly large in the unit area as a risk point;
s1.1: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit in the firework and cracker industry is divided into the following parts:
s1.1.1: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and firecracker production enterprise comprises combined firework production, firecracker production, firing cable manufacturing, inner barrel effect piece manufacturing, a firework and firecracker warehouse or a transit warehouse, firework and firecracker transportation and delivery and a firework and firecracker management store;
s1.1.2: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and cracker business enterprise comprises a firework and cracker warehouse or a transfer warehouse, firework and cracker transportation and delivery and a firework and cracker business store;
s1.1.3: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and cracker business enterprise comprises a firework and cracker business store;
s1.2: and establishing a general risk identification and evaluation list of each unit of the production enterprise and the operation enterprise according to the type of the firework and cracker enterprise.
S2: establishing an inherent risk index h index system of risk point accident risk, wherein the inherent risk index h of the risk point accident risk is influenced by the following factors:
s2.1: the intrinsic safety level of the equipment;
s2.2: monitoring and monitoring the failure rate level;
s2.3: substance hazards;
s2.4: site personnel risk exposure;
s2.5: high risk work hazards.
The inherent risk indexes of fireworks and crackers manufacturing enterprises analyze the burning and explosion accident risk points of the fireworks and crackers by taking a production process flow of combined fireworks, a production process flow of inner tube effect pieces, a manufacturing and producing process flow of firecrackers, a manufacturing and producing process flow of firecracker firing lines, a fireworks and crackers warehouse or a transit warehouse, a transportation and distribution of fireworks and crackers and a fireworks and crackers operating store as basic units.
The combined firework production unit combustion and explosion accident risk points are characterized by comprising the following steps of: the burning explosion accident is related to the intrinsically safe water of equipment facilities, and belongs to high-risk equipment facilities, such as a paper cutter, a winding drum machine, a bottom mud pressing machine, a basin group string guiding machine, a black fire charging machine, a raw material crusher, a raw material screening machine, a medicine mixing machine, a bright bead granulator, a medicine pressing column, a drying room, a cylinder connecting machine and the like. The integrity of temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring facilities, lightning protection facility grounding resistance monitoring, monitoring system grounding resistance monitoring, exhaust fan power supply grounding resistance monitoring and the like in the unit reflects the reliability of the enterprise in controlling key indexes of the stability of the combined firework production equipment facilities, and the reliability is used as a high-risk process; the exposed personnel affected by the combustion and explosion accident comprise operating personnel near equipment facilities of an operating place and personnel in workshops, such as a black powder loading workshop, a warehouse or other operating workshops, a powder mixing workshop, a bright bead screening workshop, a bright bead airing special field, a drying room, a humidity adjusting workshop, a powder dipping (tail end dropping) workshop, a bright bead packaging workshop, an inner barrel powder loading sealing workshop, an assembly workshop, a packaging box/back lining leather workshop and the like, determine the casualty result possibly caused after the combustion and explosion accident occurs, and belong to a high-risk exposure place; substances stored in workshops, transfers or warehouses, such as potassium perchlorate, potassium nitrate, copper oxide, barium nitrate and the like, magnesium aluminum alloy powder, sulfur and the like, resin, paper, alcohol and the like, black powder, lead wires and the like, are dangerous materials, are energy sources for generating combustion and explosion accidents, have the total energy size related to the storage capacity, and belong to high-risk articles; and dangerous work and special work affecting the safety of the work place, including dangerous work such as operators on duty, custodians, guardians, transportation, granulation, cutting and guiding, charging and the like, electricians and the like.
The indexes are expressed in the form of high risk list, see the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000081
The risk points of the combustion and explosion accident of the inner cylinder effect element production unit are inherently provided with risk indexes and elements for screening: the burning explosion accident is related to the intrinsically safe water of equipment facilities, and belongs to high-risk equipment facilities, such as raw material crushers, screening machines, automatic charging machines, bright bead granulators, bright bead screening machines, sun terrace, sun sheds and the like. Integrity of temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring facilities, lightning protection facility grounding resistance monitoring, monitoring system grounding resistance monitoring, exhaust fan power supply grounding resistance monitoring and the like in the unit reflect reliability of enterprise control on key indexes of stability of inner cylinder effect piece production equipment facilities, and the unit is used as a high-risk process; the exposure personnel who burns the influence of explosion accident contain the operation personnel and the staff in the worker-house near this unit operation place equipment facility, such as worker-house such as raw materials crushing, screening, weighing, artifical weighing, preparation, mixing, damping medicine, dip in the medicine (point tail), inner tube powder charge seal, worker-house such as bright bead granulation, bright bead screening, sun terrace, sunshine canopy etc.. Materials stored in workshops, transfers or warehouses, such as: chemical raw materials, resin and the like, potassium perchlorate, sulfur, aluminum powder, effect drugs (strontium carbonate, copper oxide), alcohol and the like are dangerous articles, are energy sources for generating combustion and explosion accidents, have the total energy size related to the storage capacity and belong to high-risk articles; and dangerous operations and special operations affecting the safety of the operation place, including crushing, dispensing, mixing, charging, granulating, screening, etc., dangerous operations such as storage, guard, transportation, etc., and special operations such as electricians, etc.
The indexes are expressed in the form of high risk list, see the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000091
The fire cracker production unit combustion explosion accident risk point is characterized by comprising the following steps of: the burning explosion accident is related to the intrinsically safe water of equipment facilities, and belongs to high-risk equipment facilities, such as a winding drum machine, a cake cutting machine, an empty drum insertion machine or an injection machine, a raw material crusher, a screening machine, an automatic charging machine, a firecracker knitting machine and the like. Integrity of temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring facilities, lightning protection facility grounding resistance monitoring, monitoring system grounding resistance monitoring, exhaust fan power supply grounding resistance monitoring and the like in the unit reflect reliability of enterprise control over key indexes of the stability of the firecracker production equipment facilities, and the unit serves as a high-risk process; the exposed personnel affected by the combustion and explosion accidents comprise the operating personnel near the equipment and facilities of the unit operation place and the personnel in the workshops, such as a black powder workshop, raw material weighing, manual medicine mixing, humidity regulating medicine, medicine dipping (tail counting), inner cylinder medicine filling sealing, assembling and packaging into boxes/back linings and the like. Substances stored in workshops, transfers or warehouses, such as potassium nitrate (potassium nitrate) or potassium chlorate, sulfur, lead wires and the like, are dangerous articles, are energy sources for generating combustion and explosion accidents, have the total energy size related to the storage capacity, and belong to high-risk articles; and dangerous operation and special operation which affect the safety of operation places, including operators on duty, custodians, guardians, carrying, granulating, cutting and guiding, charging and the like, are dangerous operation and electrician special operation.
The indexes are expressed in the form of high risk list, see the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000101
The fire-cracker firing cable production unit combustion explosion accident risk point is characterized by comprising the following steps of: the burning and explosion accident is related to the intrinsically safe water of equipment facilities, and belongs to high-risk equipment facilities, such as raw material crushers, screening machines, medicine mixing machines, ignition wire making machines, paint (drawing) machines, winding machines, ignition wire cutting machines and the like. Integrity of temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring facilities, lightning protection facility grounding resistance monitoring, monitoring system grounding resistance monitoring, exhaust fan power supply grounding resistance monitoring and the like in the unit reflect reliability of enterprise control over key indexes of stability of the firecracker firing line production equipment facilities, and the unit serves as a high-risk process; the exposed personnel affected by the combustion and explosion accidents comprise operators near equipment facilities of the unit operation site and personnel in workshops, such as raw material weighing of the lead, lead slurry and nitrate, lead drying, lead packaging workshops and lead storehouses. Substances stored in workshops, transfers or warehouses, such as potassium perchlorate, barium nitrate, potassium hydrogen phthalate and the like, potassium nitrate, sulfur and the like, are dangerous articles, are energy sources for generating combustion and explosion accidents, have the total energy size related to the storage capacity, and belong to high-risk articles; and dangerous operation and special operation which affect the safety of operation places, including operators on duty, custodians, guardians, carrying, granulating, cutting and guiding, charging and the like, are dangerous operation and electrician special operation.
The indexes are expressed in the form of high risk list, see the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000111
The firework and firecracker distribution transportation unit combustion and explosion accident risk point is provided with risk indexes and element screening: the combustion and explosion accident is related to the intrinsically safe water of equipment facilities, and belongs to high-risk equipment facilities such as transport vehicles and the like. The integrity of temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring facilities and the like in the unit reflects the reliability of enterprises in controlling key stability indexes of fireworks and crackers distribution and transportation vehicles, and the reliability is used as a high-risk process; the exposed personnel affected by the combustion and explosion accident comprise personnel of a transport vehicle passing through the roads, parking lots, streets, villages and the like and drivers, escorts and the like on the transport vehicle, so that casualty consequences possibly caused after the combustion and explosion accident occurs are determined, and the method belongs to a high-risk exposed place; the delivered and transported substances, such as potassium perchlorate, potassium nitrate, copper oxide, barium nitrate and the like, magnesium aluminum alloy powder, sulfur and the like, grease, paper, alcohol, fireworks and crackers and the like are energy sources for generating combustion and explosion accidents, the total energy size of the delivered and transported substances is related to the transportation quantity, and the delivered and transported substances belong to high-risk articles; and dangerous work and special work affecting the safety of the workplace, including dangerous work of drivers, escorts, loaders, carriers and the like.
The indexes are expressed in the form of high risk list, see the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000121
The firework and firecracker warehouse or the transfer warehouse unit combustion explosion accident risk point is characterized by comprising the following steps of: the burning explosion accident is related to the intrinsically safe water of equipment facilities, and belongs to high-risk equipment facilities such as transfer vehicles and the like. The integrity of temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring facilities and the like in the unit reflects the reliability of enterprises in controlling key indexes of stability of fireworks and crackers in and out of a warehouse or a transit warehouse transportation vehicle, and the reliability is used as a high-risk process; exposure personnel affected by the combustion and explosion accident comprise personnel nearby a maintenance workshop, a ticket-opening area, a dormitory area, a trial release area, a destruction place and the like, personnel in a firework and cracker warehouse or a transfer warehouse and the like, determine casualty consequences possibly caused after the combustion and explosion accident occurs, and belong to high-risk exposure places; substances transferred and conveyed, such as combined fireworks, crackers, potassium perchlorate, potassium nitrate, copper oxide, barium nitrate and the like, magnesium aluminum alloy powder, sulfur and the like, resin, paper, alcohol and the like, black powder, lead wires and the like, potassium hydrogen phthalate and the like, potassium nitrate, sulfur and the like, are energy sources for generating combustion and explosion accidents, and the total energy size of the substances is related to the inventory quantity and belongs to high-risk articles; and dangerous operation and special operation which affect the safety of the operation place, including operators on duty, custodians, guardians, transporters, loaders and the like, are dangerous operation and electrician special operation.
The indexes are expressed in the form of high risk list, see the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000131
The firework and firecracker management store unit combustion explosion accident risk point is inherently provided with risk indexes and elements for screening: the combustion and explosion accident is related to the intrinsically safe water of equipment facilities, and belongs to high-risk equipment facilities such as houses and the like. The integrity of temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring facilities, lightning protection facility ground resistance monitoring, monitoring system ground resistance monitoring, exhaust fan power supply ground resistance monitoring and the like in the unit reflect the reliability of the enterprise in controlling key indexes of the stability of the equipment facilities of the firework and cracker business store, and the reliability is used as a high-risk process; the exposure personnel affected by the combustion and explosion accident include personnel near the store and sales personnel of the store, such as customers, salespeople, unloaders, daemons and the like. Substances stored in stores, such as combined fireworks and crackers, are dangerous goods, are energy sources for generating combustion and explosion accidents, and the total energy size of the substances is related to the storage amount and belongs to high-risk goods; and dangerous work and special work affecting the safety of the work place, including dangerous work and electrician special work such as operators on duty, custodians, guardians, carrying, salesmen, unloaders and the like.
The indexes are expressed in the form of high risk list, see the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000141
S3: intrinsic risk index h index assignment of risk point accident risk
S3.1: the inherent danger index hs takes the intrinsic safety level of the risk point equipment facility as an assignment basis, and represents the technical measure level of the risk point production equipment facility for preventing accidents;
s3.2: the material danger index M value is determined by the fire, explosion, toxicity and energy characteristics of high-risk articles with high risk points, the R value of the product of the ratio of the actual existing quantity of the high-risk articles to the critical quantity and the danger characteristic correction coefficient of the corresponding articles is used as a grading index, and the M value is determined according to the grading result;
s3.3: the site personnel exposure index E is taken as the number P of exposed personnel in the risk point;
s3.4: monitoring and controlling facility failure rate correction coefficient K1
K11+ p P is the average value of monitoring the failure rate of the monitoring facility;
s3.5: high risk operation risk correction systemNumber K2
K21+0.05q q as risk point relates to high risk job category number;
s3.6: the inherent hazard index h is assigned to
h＝hs×M×E×K1×K2
S4: the unit inherent risk index H is a weighted cumulative value of the site personnel exposure indexes of the inherent risk indexes of the risk points in the unit area, and the calculation formula H is
Figure BDA0003093031310000142
In the formula:
hithe risk index of the ith risk point in the unit;
Eiexposure index for ith risk point site personnel in the unit;
f is the cumulative value of the exposure index of personnel at each risk site in the unit;
n is the number of risk points in the unit.
Risk point intrinsic risk index HSThe assignments are as follows:
Figure BDA0003093031310000151
the calculation method of the R value of the high-risk item is as follows:
Figure BDA0003093031310000152
in the formula:
q1, q2, …, qn — the actual (on-line) amount (in tons) of each high-risk item;
q1, Q2, …, Qn-critical quantities (units: tons) corresponding to each high-risk item;
β 1, β 2 …, β n — correction factors corresponding to each high-risk item.
The values of the correction coefficient beta of common toxic gases are as follows:
Figure BDA0003093031310000153
the calibration factor beta of the dangerous chemicals is obtained by the following table:
Figure BDA0003093031310000161
according to the calculated R value, determining the grade of the high-risk articles with high risk points according to the following table, and determining a corresponding substance index M;
high risk item class R value Value of M
First stage R≥100 9
Second stage 100＞R≥50 7
Three-stage 50＞R≥10 5
Four stages 10＞R≥1 3
Five stages R＜1 1
。
The index assignment table of the exposure personnel at risk points is as follows:
the number of exposed persons (P) E value
More than 100 people 9
30 to 99 people 7
10 to 29 persons 5
3 to 9 persons 3
0 to 2 persons 1
S5: setting a unit risk frequency index, taking the reciprocal of the unit safety production standardization score as a unit high-risk control frequency index, and taking the calculation formula of the unit initial high-risk control frequency G as
G＝100/v
In the formula:
g-unit initial high risk management and control frequency
v-safety production standardization self-rating/review score.
And (4) representing the high-risk management and control frequency index of the enterprise safety management status integral safety degree representation unit.
The risk control indexes mainly reflect the change of accident risk frequency and mainly reflect the change through the safety control level of an enterprise, and the control level is divided into a first level, a second level, a third level and a fourth level.
The standard grade of reaching standard of enterprise safety production standard is combined to determine, and the standard grade of reaching standard of safety standardization is one grade, two grades, three grades, and the not-reaching standard symbolizes the level four of management and control grade, so on.
The safety production standardization is used as the enterprise management and control water balance amount. According to the basic standard of enterprise safety production (GB/T33000-2016), an enterprise is pointed out to implement standardized management from target responsibility, institutionalized management, educational training, field management, safety risk management and control, hidden danger investigation and treatment, emergency management, accident management and continuous improvement of 8 element contents according to the actual safety production of the enterprise.
The method for dividing the safety production standardization grade comprises the following steps:
standardized value of safety production of enterprise Enterprise safety production standardization grade
(90-100) First stage
(75～89) Second stage
(60～74) Three-stage
60 or less Four-stage (not up to standard)
And the high risk management and control index regulation and control rule adopts an enterprise safety production standardization score assessment method to measure the enterprise event risk management and control level according to the content of 8 elements.
The safety state of a firework and firecracker enterprise is dynamically changed and can change along with key monitoring indexes, control states, external natural environments and accident big data analysis results of a firework and firecracker risk unit, and a dynamic risk index system ('N') of a firework and firecracker burning firecracker accident risk point is researched and established for accurately reflecting the real-time state of the firework and firecracker safety risk.
The dynamic risk index system mainly analyzes index elements and characteristic values from the aspects of high-risk monitoring characteristic correction coefficients, safety production basic management dynamic correction coefficients, special period indexes, high-risk Internet of things indexes, natural environment and the like, and constructs an index system.
Screening dynamic risk indexes and elements of a production enterprise: the high-risk monitoring characteristic indexes mainly realize video monitoring on key 1.1-level workshops such as mixed chemicals, charged chemicals and the like and 1.3-level workshops with more field operating personnel according to monitoring and monitoring online systems required to be installed in firework and firecracker enterprises such as general technical conditions of safety monitoring systems of firework and firecracker enterprises (AQ4101-2008), firework and firecracker labor safety technical regulations (GB11652-2009), firework and firecracker engineering design safety regulations (GB50161-2009) and the like. The safety production basic management dynamic indexes comprise accident potential dynamic indexes, mainly refer to dynamic changes of a safety production management system and field management, and are measured by the checked general accident potential and major accident potential; the influence of upgrading management and control on the region is brought forward by special period indexes such as national or local important activities and legal festivals and holidays; accidents are caused by typical similar production accident cases at home and abroad, and the safety of the operation state of an enterprise per se is emphasized in the period; disturbance of the fluctuation of natural disasters to risks.
1) The high risk monitoring characteristic indexes are early warning results of dynamic safety production on-line monitoring indexes such as temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, combustible gas monitoring and alarming, toxic gas monitoring and alarming, video monitoring facilities, lightning protection facility ground resistance monitoring, exhaust fan power supply ground resistance monitoring, storage amount and stacking height.
2) And (4) safety production basic management indexes (including accident potential dynamic indexes). The accident potential is divided into a general accident potential and a major accident potential to judge.
3) The special period index refers to the period of legal holidays, national or local important activities and the like.
4) The high risk Internet of things index refers to typical similar accidents occurring at home and abroad recently.
5) The natural environment index refers to disasters such as weather, earthquake, geology and the like in an area.
The risk factors of the 5 items of risk factors timely correct the risk of the firework and firecracker production unit, and index elements and characteristic values are analyzed to construct an index system frame.
The above indices are expressed in the form of a dynamic risk list, see table below
Figure BDA0003093031310000191
Screening dynamic risk indexes and elements of wholesale operation enterprises: the high-risk monitoring characteristic indexes are mainly based on dynamic influence of red, orange, yellow and blue early warning signals on risks, wherein the monitoring and monitoring online systems are required to be installed in firework and firecracker wholesale enterprises according to requirements such as general technical conditions of safety monitoring systems of firework and firecracker enterprises (AQ4101-2008), safety technical regulations of firework and firecracker works (GB 11652) 2009) and safety regulations of firework and firecracker engineering design (GB 50161-2009); the safety production basic management dynamic indexes comprise accident potential dynamic indexes, mainly refer to dynamic changes of a safety production management system and field management, and are measured by the checked general accident potential and major accident potential; the influence of upgrading management and control on the region is brought forward by special period indexes such as national or local important activities and legal festivals and holidays; accidents are caused by typical similar production accident cases at home and abroad, and the safety of the operation state of an enterprise per se is emphasized in the period; disturbance of the fluctuation of natural disasters to risks; enterprises adopt comprehensive treatment measures to reduce risks.
1) The high-risk monitoring characteristic indexes are early warning results of dynamic safety production on-line monitoring indexes such as firework and firecracker temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, video monitoring, lightning protection facility ground resistance monitoring, exhaust fan power supply ground resistance monitoring, inventory, stacking height and the like.
2) And (4) safety production basic management indexes (including accident potential dynamic indexes). The accident potential is divided into a general accident potential and a major accident potential to judge.
3) The special period index refers to the period of legal holidays, national or local important activities and the like.
4) The high risk Internet of things index refers to typical similar accidents occurring at home and abroad recently.
5) The natural environment index refers to disasters such as weather, earthquake, geology and the like in an area.
The risk factors of the 5 items of risk factors timely correct the risk of the firework and cracker wholesale operation enterprise, analyze index elements and characteristic values and construct an index system frame.
The above indices are expressed in the form of a dynamic risk list, see table below
Figure BDA0003093031310000211
Screening dynamic risk indexes and elements of retail operation stores: the high-risk monitoring characteristic index mainly requires a monitoring and monitoring online system installed in a firework and firecracker retail business enterprise according to general technical conditions of safety monitoring systems of the firework and firecracker enterprise (AQ4101-2008), and the dynamic influence of red, orange, yellow and blue early warning signals sent out on risks is influenced; the safety production basic management dynamic indexes comprise accident potential dynamic indexes, mainly refer to dynamic changes of a safety production management system and field management, and are measured by the checked general accident potential and major accident potential; the influence of upgrading management and control on the region is brought forward by special period indexes such as national or local important activities and legal festivals and holidays; paying attention to the reasons of typical production accident cases of other enterprises at home and abroad, the safe operation state of the enterprises at the aspect should be enhanced in the same period; disturbance of the fluctuation of natural disasters to risks; enterprises adopt comprehensive treatment measures to reduce risks.
1) The high-risk monitoring characteristic indexes are early warning results of dynamic safety production on-line monitoring indexes such as temperature monitoring, humidity monitoring, lightning protection facility ground resistance monitoring, storage quantity and the like.
2) And (4) safety production basic management indexes (including accident potential dynamic indexes). The accident potential is divided into a general accident potential and a major accident potential to judge.
3) The special period index refers to the period of legal holidays, national or local important activities and the like.
4) The high risk Internet of things index refers to typical similar accidents occurring at home and abroad recently.
5) The natural environment index refers to disasters such as weather, earthquake, geology and the like in an area.
The risk factors of the 5 items of risk factors timely correct the risks of the retail store of fireworks and crackers, analyze index elements and characteristic values and construct an index system frame.
The above indices are expressed in the form of a dynamic risk list, see table below
Figure BDA0003093031310000221
S6: setting a dynamic real risk correction index, and correcting the initial high-risk safety risk R of the unit in real time by the dynamic real risk correction index0Or the risk point intrinsic risk index h;
the dynamic real risk modification index comprises: high-risk monitoring characteristic index K3Safety production basic management dynamic correction coefficient BSSpecial period indexes and high risk Internet of things indexes;
the real-time alarm of the high-risk monitoring project is divided into red alarm (low alarm), yellow alarm (middle alarm) and orange alarm (high alarm); when the monitoring item reaches 3 red alarms, recording as 1 yellow alarm; when the monitoring item reaches 2 yellow alarms, recording as 1 orange alarm; the weights of the first-level alarm, the second-level alarm and the third-level alarm are respectively set to be 1, 3 and 6, and the coefficients after normalization processing are respectively 0.1, 0.3 and 0.6, namely the high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient, which is described by the following formula:
K3＝I+0.1a1+0.3a2+0.6a3
in the formula:
K3-high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient
a1Number of yellow alarms
a2Orange alarm times
a3-number of red alarms;
high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient K3Dynamically correcting the inherent risk index h of the risk point, wherein the calculation formula is as follows:
hd＝h·K3
in the formula:
hdthe risk point inherent risk index dynamic monitoring index modification value;
h-risk point inherent risk index;
K3-high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal correction factor.
S7: setting a dynamic modification value of the inherent risk index of the unit, wherein the dynamic modification value of the inherent risk index of the unit is a dynamic monitoring index modification value of the inherent risk index of a plurality of risk points and a weighted accumulation value of the exposure index of personnel in a place, and a calculation formula is as follows:
Figure BDA0003093031310000231
in the formula:
HD-dynamic modification of the intrinsic hazard index of a unit
hdi-modification value of intrinsic risk index dynamic monitoring index of ith risk point in unit
Ei-exposure index of personnel at ith risk point site in unit
F-cumulative value of personal exposure index of each risk point and site in unit
n-number of risk points within a unit.
S8: aggregating the initial high-risk safety risk of the unit high-risk control frequency unit and the inherent risk index to obtain an initial high-risk safety risk value of the unit, wherein the calculation formula is as follows:
R0＝G·HD
in the formula:
R0-initial security risk value of unit
G-Unit Risk management frequency index value
HD-dynamic modification of the unit intrinsic hazard index;
the real risk of the unit before dynamic correction is equal to the initial risk of the unit, i.e. RN＝R0；
Unit real risk RNDynamically correcting index to unit initial high-risk safety risk R for actual risk0The result of the correction is carried out;
shifting the unit actual risk level according to the dynamic indexes, the special period indexes, the high-risk Internet of things indexes and the natural environment indexes of the safety production basic management;
the safety risk regulated and controlled by the unit risk frequency index and the real risk dynamic correction index is used as a final unit real risk, and the unit real risk classification standard of the firework and cracker industry of the quantitative risk evaluation method is determined as follows:
unit Risk (RN) Early warning signal Risk level notation
RN≥85 Red wine Class I
85＞RN≥50 Orange Class II
50＞RN≥30 Yellow colour Class III
30＞RN Blue (B) Grade IV
Example 1: identifying and evaluating a certain firework and firecracker production and marketing limited responsibility company.
(1) And identifying unit security risks.
The identification and accident case identification results of a typical firework and firecracker enterprise are integrated, legal rules, industrial standards and the like are referred, the divided units are combined, the potential major risk mode of the firework and firecracker production enterprise is identified according to dangerous parts and possible operation activities, and management and control countermeasures corresponding to the risk mode are provided. In addition, hidden dangers are searched according to hidden danger troubleshooting contents and requirements, violation evidence is taken by an online monitoring system for possible violation behaviors and states, and finally a safety risk and hidden danger violation information table is formed.
Comprehensively considering the types of possible accidents and accident consequences, dividing a firework and firecracker production enterprise into seven units by using a risk matrix method, namely combining fireworks, inner barrel effect pieces, firecrackers, firecracker leads, firework and firecracker distribution and transportation, warehouses or transit warehouses and retail operation stores, evaluating each risk and determining the risk level.
(2) Unit risk point risk severity (intrinsic risk) assessment.
1) And selecting high-risk parameters of the combined firework production unit.
The high-risk equipment facilities comprise a paper cutter, a mud bottom pressing machine, a crusher, a screening machine, a medicine mixing machine, a medicine charging and solid guiding machine, a granulator, a drilling machine, a medicine injection and guiding machine, a medicine pressing machine, a drying yard and a drying room.
The corresponding relation table of the combined firework intrinsic safety level and the danger index is as follows:
Figure BDA0003093031310000251
note: and (4) multiplying the indexes after selecting the first-grade characteristic value, wherein the solution result is the high-risk equipment and facility danger index characteristic value.
High risk process-monitoring and controlling system.
The firecracker production area is provided with 7 types of monitoring facilities such as temperature, humidity, dosage, dust concentration, number of people, equipment operation speed, video monitoring and the like, and the daily monitoring facilities are easily influenced by high temperature, thunderstorm seasons and the like, so that the phenomenon of data image deletion occurs; currently, only video monitoring is intact; the library monitoring monitored process facility failure rate for this period of time was 1.
The corresponding relationship table of the process and the risk index is as follows:
Figure BDA0003093031310000261
and high risk places, namely workshops and transfer warehouses.
The corresponding relation between the number of persons affected by the combined firework production unit and the danger index is shown in the following table
Personnel risk exposure in firing cable production area 234 persons
Characteristic value of danger index of high-risk place 9
。
High risk articles (energy).
In a company firing cable production area, 41 drug-related procedures are carried out, and the total dosage is 4126 kg.
High risk operation.
The company produces C, D-grade combined fireworks and should be equipped with special operators for manufacturing, sizing and winding the fuse according to the regulations.
Correspondence between jobs and risk indices is shown in the following table
Figure BDA0003093031310000271
Sixthly, the inherent risk index of the typical accident risk of the risk point.
And (3) solving the inherent risk index h of the risk point of the combined firework combustion and explosion accident of the company according to five types of risk severity (inherent risk) indexes of the risk point:
h＝1.7×1×9×1×1.45＝22.19
the risk level of the accident risk point before being revised is therefore grade iv.
(2) And selecting high-risk parameters of other production units.
The same principle is that: the five-high parameters of the production units such as the inner tube effect piece, the firecracker lead, the firework and firecracker distribution and transportation, the warehouse or the transfer warehouse, the operation store and the like can be selected as shown in the following table; and calculate respective realistic risk values.
Figure BDA0003093031310000281
(3) And (4) realizing risks of the units.
1) And combining the actual risks of the firework production units.
Firstly, risk point inherent danger index dynamic monitoring index modification value (h)d)。
Dynamic correction of initial (real) security risks: company(s)
The combined firework production area is normally operated, and the early warning result of the monitoring item is not acquired in the system maintenance during the evaluation period, namely a1、a2、a3All are zero, and the high risk monitoring characteristic correction coefficient K3＝1。
High risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal correction coefficient (K)3) And dynamically correcting the inherent risk indexes of the risk points:
hd＝h·K3＝22.19×1＝22.19。
② dynamic correction value (H) of inherent danger index of combined firework unitD)。
Because only major risk points of combustion and explosion exist in the area of the combined firework production unit, according to the principle of a safety control theory, the inherent danger index dynamic correction value of the unit is as follows:
③ initial high-risk safety risk of combined firework unit (R)0)。
Aggregating a unit high risk management and control frequency (G) with an inherent risk index: the company provides data to display that the standard grade of safe production is three grades, the standard three-grade evaluation score is 70-79, and the actual evaluation score of the unit is 72; therefore, the final unit high risk management and control frequency G is calculated to be 1.39.
The initial high-risk safety risk value of the combined firework unit is as follows:
R0＝G·HD＝1.39×22.19＝30.84。
(R) Unit realistic RiskN)。
The real risk of the unit before dynamic correction is equal to the initial risk of the unit, namely RN (R0); unit real risk (R)N) Dynamically modifying index versus unit initial high risk safety risk (R) for realistic risk0) The result of the correction is performed.
2) And the inner cylinder effect piece and other production units are in actual risk.
The same principle is that: the practical risk value of the production units such as the inner barrel effect piece, the firecracker lead, the firework and firecracker distribution and transportation, the warehouse or the transfer warehouse, the operation store and the like can be calculated, and the following table is shown:
Figure BDA0003093031310000301
(4) risk aggregation: a plurality of risk points exist in the unit area, and according to the principle of the safety control theory, the unit risk index is a weighted cumulative value of the site personnel exposure indexes of the inherent risk indexes of the risk points.
Substituting various characteristic index values, and calculating the result as follows:
inherent risk of unit RNi：RN1＝30.84RN2＝27.42RN3＝23.99RN4＝21.16RN5＝6.79RN6＝12.85RN7＝12.23。
Risk point personnel exposure index Ei within each unit: e1 ═ 234; e2 ═ 155; e3 ═ 114; e4 ═ 53; e5 ═ 63: e6 ═ 9: e7 ═ 26.
Cumulative value F of exposure index of personnel at each risk site in unit
F＝E1+E2+E3+E4+E5+E6+E7＝654。
Enterprise intrinsic risk R
H＝RN1xE1F+RN2xE2/F+RN3x E3/F+RN4x E4/F+RN2x F5/F+RN3xE6/F+RN4xE7/F
＝(30.84x234+27.42x155+23.99x114+21.16x53++6.79x63+12.85x9+12.23x26)/654＝24.75。
The enterprise risk level is a low risk, blue warning signal.
The present invention is not limited to the above-described embodiments, and it will be apparent to those skilled in the art that various modifications and improvements can be made without departing from the principle of the present invention, and such modifications and improvements are also considered to be within the scope of the present invention. Details not described in this specification are within the skill of the art that are well known to those skilled in the art.

Claims (5)

1. A major safety risk major risk identification and assessment method for a firework and firecracker enterprise is characterized by comprising the following steps:
s1: dividing an inherent risk identification and evaluation unit by a workshop of a relatively independent process system, and taking an accident point possibly induced to be particularly large in the unit area as a risk point;
s1.1: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit in the firework and cracker industry is divided into the following parts:
s1.1.1: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and firecracker production enterprise comprises combined firework production, firecracker production, firing cable manufacturing, inner barrel effect piece manufacturing, a firework and firecracker warehouse or a transit warehouse, firework and firecracker transportation and delivery and a firework and firecracker management store;
s1.1.2: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and cracker business enterprise comprises a firework and cracker warehouse or a transfer warehouse, firework and cracker transportation and delivery and a firework and cracker business store;
s1.1.3: the inherent risk identification and evaluation unit of the firework and cracker business enterprise comprises a firework and cracker business store;
s1.2: establishing a general risk identification and evaluation list of each unit of a production enterprise and an operation enterprise according to the type of the firework and cracker enterprise;
s2: establishing an inherent risk index h index system of risk point accident risk, wherein the inherent risk index h of the risk point accident risk is influenced by the following factors:
s2.1: the intrinsic safety level of the equipment;
s2.2: monitoring and monitoring the failure rate level;
s2.3: substance hazards;
s2.4: site personnel risk exposure;
s2.5: high risk work hazards;
s3: intrinsic risk index h index assignment of risk point accident risk
S3.1: the inherent danger index hs takes the intrinsic safety level of the risk point equipment facility as an assignment basis, and represents the technical measure level of the risk point production equipment facility for preventing accidents;
s3.2: the material danger index M value is determined by the fire, explosion, toxicity and energy characteristics of high-risk articles with high risk points, the R value of the product of the ratio of the actual existing quantity of the high-risk articles to the critical quantity and the danger characteristic correction coefficient of the corresponding articles is used as a grading index, and the M value is determined according to the grading result;
s3.3: the site personnel exposure index E is taken as the number P of exposed personnel in the risk point;
s3.4: monitoring and controlling facility failure rate correction coefficient K1
K11+ p P is the average value of monitoring the failure rate of the monitoring facility;
s3.5: high risk work risk correction factor K2
K21+0.05q q as risk point relates to high risk job category number;
s3.6: the inherent hazard index h is assigned to
h＝hs×M×E×K1×K2
S4: the unit inherent risk index H is a weighted cumulative value of the site personnel exposure indexes of the inherent risk indexes of the risk points in the unit area, and the calculation formula H is
Figure FDA0003093031300000021
In the formula:
hithe risk index of the ith risk point in the unit;
ei is the exposure index of personnel at the ith risk point site in the unit;
f is the cumulative value of the exposure index of personnel at each risk site in the unit;
n is the number of risk points in the unit.
2. The method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of fireworks and crackers enterprises according to claim 1, further comprising the following steps:
s5: setting a unit risk frequency index, taking the reciprocal of the unit safety production standardization score as a unit high-risk control frequency index, and taking the calculation formula of the unit initial high-risk control frequency G as
G＝100/v
In the formula:
g-unit initial high risk management and control frequency
v-safety production standardization self-rating/review score.
3. The method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of fireworks and crackers enterprises according to claim 1, further comprising the following steps:
s6: setting a dynamic real risk correction index, and correcting the initial high-risk safety risk R of the unit in real time by the dynamic real risk correction index0Or the risk point intrinsic risk index h;
the dynamic real risk modification index comprises: high-risk monitoring characteristic index K3Safety production basic management dynamic correction coefficient BSSpecial period indexes and high risk Internet of things indexes;
the real-time alarm of the high-risk monitoring project is divided into red alarm (low alarm), yellow alarm (middle alarm) and orange alarm (high alarm); when the monitoring item reaches 3 red alarms, recording as 1 yellow alarm; when the monitoring item reaches 2 yellow alarms, recording as 1 orange alarm; the weights of the first-level alarm, the second-level alarm and the third-level alarm are respectively set to be 1, 3 and 6, and the coefficients after normalization processing are respectively 0.1, 0.3 and 0.6, namely the high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient, which is described by the following formula:
K3＝1+0.1a1+0.3a2+0.6a3
in the formula:
K3-high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient
a1Number of yellow alarms
a2Orange alarm times
a3-number of red alarms;
high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal coefficient K3Dynamically correcting the inherent risk index h of the risk point, wherein the calculation formula is as follows:
hd＝h·K3
in the formula:
hdthe risk point inherent risk index dynamic monitoring index modification value;
h-risk point inherent risk index;
K3-high risk dynamic monitoring characteristic index alarm signal correction factor.
4. The method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of fireworks and crackers enterprises according to claim 3, further comprising the following steps:
s7: setting a dynamic modification value of the inherent risk index of the unit, wherein the dynamic modification value of the inherent risk index of the unit is a dynamic monitoring index modification value of the inherent risk index of a plurality of risk points and a weighted accumulation value of the exposure index of personnel in a place, and a calculation formula is as follows:
Figure FDA0003093031300000031
in the formula:
HD-dynamic modification of the intrinsic hazard index of a unit
hdi-modification value of intrinsic risk index dynamic monitoring index of ith risk point in unit
Ei-exposure index of personnel at ith risk point site in unit
F-cumulative value of personal exposure index of each risk point and site in unit
n-number of risk points within a unit.
5. The method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of fireworks and crackers enterprises according to claim 4, further comprising the following steps:
s8: aggregating the initial high-risk safety risk of the unit high-risk control frequency unit and the inherent risk index to obtain an initial high-risk safety risk value of the unit, wherein the calculation formula is as follows:
R0＝G·HD
in the formula:
R0-initial security risk value of unit
G-Unit Risk management frequency index value
HD-dynamic modification of the unit intrinsic hazard index;
the real risk of the unit before dynamic correction is equal to the initial risk of the unit, i.e. RN＝R0；
Unit real risk RNDynamically correcting index to unit initial high-risk safety risk R for actual risk0The result of the correction is carried out; shifting the unit actual risk level according to the dynamic indexes, the special period indexes, the high-risk Internet of things indexes and the natural environment indexes of the safety production basic management;
the safety risk regulated and controlled by the unit risk frequency index and the real risk dynamic correction index is used as a final unit real risk, and the unit real risk classification standard of the firework and cracker industry of the quantitative risk evaluation method is determined as follows:
unit Risk (RN) Early warning signal Risk level notation RN≥85 Red wine Class I 85＞RN≥50 Orange Class II 50＞RN≥30 Yellow colour Class III 30＞RN Blue (B) Grade IV
。
CN202110601142.3A 2021-05-31 2021-05-31 Method for identifying and evaluating major safety risks of firework and firecracker enterprises Pending CN113344363A (en)

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CN113869736A (en) * 2021-09-28 2021-12-31 应急管理部通信信息中心 Method and system for evaluating and grading safety risks of firework and firecracker operating enterprises

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