CN113128807A - Circumferential weld risk evaluation method and device and storage medium - Google Patents
Circumferential weld risk evaluation method and device and storage medium Download PDFInfo
- Publication number
- CN113128807A CN113128807A CN201911409352.1A CN201911409352A CN113128807A CN 113128807 A CN113128807 A CN 113128807A CN 201911409352 A CN201911409352 A CN 201911409352A CN 113128807 A CN113128807 A CN 113128807A
- Authority
- CN
- China
- Prior art keywords
- weld
- girth
- girth weld
- failure risk
- determining
- Prior art date
- Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
- Granted
Links
- 238000003860 storage Methods 0.000 title claims abstract description 16
- 238000011156 evaluation Methods 0.000 title abstract description 14
- 238000003466 welding Methods 0.000 claims description 115
- 238000001514 detection method Methods 0.000 claims description 86
- 238000013461 design Methods 0.000 claims description 74
- 238000010276 construction Methods 0.000 claims description 56
- 230000007547 defect Effects 0.000 claims description 56
- 238000009430 construction management Methods 0.000 claims description 37
- 230000007613 environmental effect Effects 0.000 claims description 33
- 238000000034 method Methods 0.000 claims description 32
- 230000008439 repair process Effects 0.000 claims description 32
- 230000001939 inductive effect Effects 0.000 claims description 11
- 238000012502 risk assessment Methods 0.000 claims description 10
- 238000012423 maintenance Methods 0.000 claims description 8
- 230000000694 effects Effects 0.000 claims description 3
- 230000002093 peripheral effect Effects 0.000 description 10
- 230000001133 acceleration Effects 0.000 description 9
- 238000012545 processing Methods 0.000 description 9
- 235000013399 edible fruits Nutrition 0.000 description 7
- 238000012384 transportation and delivery Methods 0.000 description 7
- 238000004891 communication Methods 0.000 description 6
- 230000006870 function Effects 0.000 description 6
- 230000003287 optical effect Effects 0.000 description 5
- 238000010586 diagram Methods 0.000 description 4
- XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N water Substances O XLYOFNOQVPJJNP-UHFFFAOYSA-N 0.000 description 4
- 230000002159 abnormal effect Effects 0.000 description 3
- 238000013473 artificial intelligence Methods 0.000 description 2
- 239000000919 ceramic Substances 0.000 description 2
- 230000006835 compression Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000007906 compression Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000004590 computer program Methods 0.000 description 2
- PCHJSUWPFVWCPO-UHFFFAOYSA-N gold Chemical compound [Au] PCHJSUWPFVWCPO-UHFFFAOYSA-N 0.000 description 2
- 239000010931 gold Substances 0.000 description 2
- 229910052737 gold Inorganic materials 0.000 description 2
- 238000007689 inspection Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000009434 installation Methods 0.000 description 2
- 238000007726 management method Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000002265 prevention Effects 0.000 description 2
- 230000001681 protective effect Effects 0.000 description 2
- 238000012797 qualification Methods 0.000 description 2
- 230000009286 beneficial effect Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000005540 biological transmission Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000008878 coupling Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000010168 coupling process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000005859 coupling reaction Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000007423 decrease Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000002950 deficient Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000009826 distribution Methods 0.000 description 1
- 210000002310 elbow joint Anatomy 0.000 description 1
- 238000005516 engineering process Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000002474 experimental method Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000004927 fusion Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000001788 irregular Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000005304 joining Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000004973 liquid crystal related substance Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000010801 machine learning Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000005055 memory storage Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000010295 mobile communication Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000012986 modification Methods 0.000 description 1
- 230000004048 modification Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000008569 process Effects 0.000 description 1
- 230000009467 reduction Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000009877 rendering Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000011435 rock Substances 0.000 description 1
- 230000006641 stabilisation Effects 0.000 description 1
- 238000011105 stabilization Methods 0.000 description 1
- 239000000725 suspension Substances 0.000 description 1
- 238000012360 testing method Methods 0.000 description 1
- 238000013024 troubleshooting Methods 0.000 description 1
Images
Classifications
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0635—Risk analysis of enterprise or organisation activities
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0637—Strategic management or analysis, e.g. setting a goal or target of an organisation; Planning actions based on goals; Analysis or evaluation of effectiveness of goals
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/20—Administration of product repair or maintenance
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/04—Manufacturing
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Energy or water supply
-
- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
- Y02—TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
- Y02P—CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES IN THE PRODUCTION OR PROCESSING OF GOODS
- Y02P90/00—Enabling technologies with a potential contribution to greenhouse gas [GHG] emissions mitigation
- Y02P90/30—Computing systems specially adapted for manufacturing
Landscapes
- Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Human Resources & Organizations (AREA)
- Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
- Economics (AREA)
- Strategic Management (AREA)
- Tourism & Hospitality (AREA)
- Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- Theoretical Computer Science (AREA)
- General Physics & Mathematics (AREA)
- Marketing (AREA)
- Entrepreneurship & Innovation (AREA)
- General Business, Economics & Management (AREA)
- Operations Research (AREA)
- Quality & Reliability (AREA)
- Educational Administration (AREA)
- Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Development Economics (AREA)
- Game Theory and Decision Science (AREA)
- General Health & Medical Sciences (AREA)
- Primary Health Care (AREA)
- Manufacturing & Machinery (AREA)
- Public Health (AREA)
- Water Supply & Treatment (AREA)
- Testing Of Devices, Machine Parts, Or Other Structures Thereof (AREA)
Abstract
The application discloses a circumferential weld risk evaluation method and device and a storage medium, and belongs to the technical field of oil and gas storage and transportation. In the application, because the girth weld to be detected has a plurality of failure risk factors, when the failure risk value of the girth weld is determined, the actual failure risk value of the girth weld can be correctly reflected according to the failure risk value of the girth weld determined by the plurality of failure risk factors. And the areas where the girth welds are located are different, and the consequences caused by the failure of the girth welds are also different, so that the determined failure risk value of the girth welds can further accurately reflect the actual failure risk value of the girth welds according to the failure consequence coefficient of the girth welds. That is, in the present application, the accuracy of the determined failure risk value of the girth weld may be improved.
Description
Technical Field
The application relates to the technical field of oil and gas storage and transportation, in particular to a circumferential weld risk evaluation method and device and a storage medium.
Background
At present, oil gas can be conveyed through an oil gas conveying system, the oil gas conveying system comprises a plurality of pipelines, and two adjacent pipelines are welded together. Wherein, the welding seam between two adjacent pipelines is called as a girth welding seam. If the girth weld between pipeline and the pipeline ftractures, the oil gas in the oil gas conveying system will leak to cause the pollution to the environment, consequently, need carry out risk assessment to the girth weld. Wherein, the risk evaluation refers to determining the failure risk value of the girth weld.
The related art is to determine the failure risk value of the girth weld according to manual experience. Specifically, a risk value is determined for the oil and gas delivery system according to the ratio of the number of failed girth welds of the oil and gas delivery system before the current time to the number of all girth welds in the oil and gas delivery system, and the risk value is used as the failure risk value of each girth weld in the oil and gas delivery system.
In the related art, a risk value is determined for the oil and gas delivery system according to manual experience, and is used as a failure risk value of each girth weld in the oil and gas delivery system, and the oil and gas delivery system is provided with a plurality of girth welds, so that the risk value determined according to the manual experience may not correctly reflect the actual failure risk value of each girth weld, and the determined failure risk value of the girth weld has a large error.
Content of application
The embodiment of the application provides a circumferential weld risk evaluation method, a circumferential weld risk evaluation device and a storage medium, and can improve the accuracy of determining the failure risk value of a circumferential weld. The technical scheme is as follows:
in a first aspect, a circumferential weld risk assessment method is provided, the method comprising:
acquiring a plurality of failure risk factors of a circumferential weld to be detected, wherein the failure risk factors refer to factors capable of inducing the circumferential weld to fail, and the failure risk factors comprise internal defect factors, load bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors and environmental factors;
acquiring a failure consequence coefficient of a region where the girth welding seam is located, wherein the failure consequence coefficient is used for indicating the severity of an effect caused after any girth welding seam in the region fails;
and determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the multiple failure risk factors of the girth weld and the failure consequence coefficient.
Optionally, the determining a failure risk value of the girth weld according to the plurality of failure risk factors and the failure consequence coefficient of the girth weld comprises:
for a first failure risk factor in the failure risk factors, determining a possibility corresponding to the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor, wherein the possibility corresponding to the first failure risk factor is used for indicating the possibility of the first failure risk factor inducing the girth joint failure, and the first failure risk factor is any one of the failure risk factors;
determining the total failure possibility of the girth welding line according to a plurality of possibility degrees which are in one-to-one correspondence with the failure risk factors;
and determining a failure risk value of the girth weld according to the total failure possibility of the girth weld and the failure consequence coefficient.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the internal defect factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
and determining the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factor according to the ray negative result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the load bearing factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
acquiring the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld;
and determining the possibility corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the welding condition factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
acquiring the capacity of a welding unit of a participating unit of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld;
and determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factors according to the capacity of the welding set of the participating unit of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the construction management factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
acquiring the design conformity degree of two pipelines connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld;
and determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factors according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the environmental factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
and determining the possibility corresponding to the environmental factors according to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located.
Optionally, before obtaining the failure consequence coefficient of the region where the girth weld is located, the method further includes:
determining whether the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, a ray negative of the girth weld and the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located according to the failure risk factors, wherein the suspected black girth weld is the girth weld with detection records but no construction records;
and if the girth weld is not the suspected black girth weld, the grade of the ray negative of the girth weld is less than the reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is not the natural disaster geological area, executing the step of obtaining the failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located.
Optionally, the method further comprises:
after failure risk values of a plurality of girth welds are determined, determining the risk level of each girth weld in the plurality of girth welds according to the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk level;
searching a girth weld with a risk grade larger than or equal to a reference risk grade from the plurality of girth welds;
determining core failure risk factors according to the found multiple failure risk factors of each circumferential weld in the circumferential welds;
and determining a maintenance strategy aiming at the areas where the plurality of girth welds are located according to the core failure risk factors.
In a second aspect, a circumferential weld risk assessment device is provided, the device comprising:
the first acquisition module is used for acquiring a plurality of failure risk factors of a circumferential weld to be detected, wherein the failure risk factors refer to factors capable of inducing the failure of the circumferential weld, and the failure risk factors comprise internal defect factors, load bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors and environmental factors;
the second acquisition module is used for acquiring failure consequence coefficients of the area where the girth welds are located, and the failure consequence coefficients are used for indicating the severity of consequences caused after any girth weld in the area fails;
the first determining module is used for determining a failure risk value of the girth weld according to the multiple failure risk factors and the failure consequence coefficients of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first determining module includes:
a first determining unit, configured to determine, for a first failure risk factor among the multiple failure risk factors, a likelihood corresponding to the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor, where the likelihood corresponding to the first failure risk factor is used to indicate a likelihood of the first failure risk factor inducing the girth weld failure, and the first failure risk factor is any one of the multiple failure risk factors;
the second determining unit is used for determining the total failure possibility of the girth weld according to a plurality of possibilities corresponding to the failure risk factors one by one;
and the third determining unit is used for determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the total failure possibility of the girth weld and the failure consequence coefficient.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the internal defect factor;
the first determination unit includes:
and the first determining subunit is used for determining the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factor according to the ray negative result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the load bearing factor;
the first determination unit includes:
the first acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the circumferential weld, the joint type of the circumferential weld, the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld and the repair port result of the circumferential weld;
and the second determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the welding condition factor;
the first determination unit includes:
the second acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld;
and the third determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factor according to the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the construction management factor;
the first determination unit includes:
a third obtaining subunit, configured to obtain design conformity degrees of two pipelines connecting the girth weld, a conformity degree between detection time and construction time of the girth weld, and an operation level of a manager of the girth weld;
and the fourth determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factors according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is the environmental factor;
the first determination unit includes:
and the fifth determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the environmental factor according to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located.
Optionally, the apparatus further comprises:
a second determining module, configured to determine, according to the multiple failure risk factors, whether the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, a ray negative of the girth weld, and a geological condition of an area where the girth weld is located, where the suspected black girth weld is a girth weld that has a detection record but does not have a construction record;
the first obtaining module is further configured to execute the step of obtaining the failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located if the girth weld is not a suspected black girth weld, the grade of the ray negative of the girth weld is less than the reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is not a natural disaster geological area.
Optionally, the apparatus further comprises:
the third determining module is used for determining the failure risk values of the plurality of girth welds and then determining the risk level of each girth weld in the plurality of girth welds according to the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk level;
the searching module is used for searching a girth weld with a risk grade larger than or equal to a reference risk grade from the plurality of girth welds;
the fourth determining module is used for determining core failure risk factors according to the found multiple failure risk factors of each circumferential weld in the circumferential welds;
and the fifth determining module is used for determining a maintenance strategy aiming at the areas where the plurality of girth welds are located according to the core failure risk factors.
In a third aspect, a circumferential weld risk assessment device is provided, the device comprising:
a processor;
a memory for storing processor-executable instructions;
wherein the processor is configured to perform the steps of any of the methods of the first aspect described above.
In a fourth aspect, a computer-readable storage medium has stored thereon instructions which, when executed by a processor, implement the steps of any of the methods of the first aspect described above.
In a fifth aspect, there is provided a computer program product comprising instructions which, when run on a computer, cause the computer to perform the steps of any of the methods of the first aspect described above.
The technical scheme provided by the embodiment of the application has the following beneficial effects:
in the application, because the girth weld to be detected has a plurality of failure risk factors, when the failure risk value of the girth weld is determined, the actual failure risk value of the girth weld can be correctly reflected according to the failure risk value of the girth weld determined by the plurality of failure risk factors. And the areas where the girth welds are located are different, and the consequences caused by the failure of the girth welds are also different, so that the determined failure risk value of the girth welds can further accurately reflect the actual failure risk value of the girth welds according to the failure consequence coefficient of the girth welds. That is, in the present application, the accuracy of the determined failure risk value of the girth weld may be improved.
Drawings
In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present application, the drawings needed to be used in the description of the embodiments are briefly introduced below, and it is obvious that the drawings in the following description are only some embodiments of the present application, and it is obvious for those skilled in the art to obtain other drawings based on these drawings without creative efforts.
FIG. 1 is a flowchart of a circumferential weld risk assessment method provided by an embodiment of the present application;
FIG. 2 is a schematic structural diagram of a circumferential weld risk evaluation device provided in an embodiment of the present application;
fig. 3 is a schematic structural diagram of a terminal according to an embodiment of the present application.
Detailed Description
To make the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present application more clear, embodiments of the present application will be described in further detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings.
Fig. 1 is a flowchart of a circumferential weld risk evaluation method provided in an embodiment of the present application, and as shown in fig. 1, the method includes the following steps:
step 101: the method comprises the steps of obtaining a plurality of failure risk factors of a circumferential weld to be detected, wherein the failure risk factors refer to factors capable of inducing the circumferential weld to fail, and the failure risk factors comprise internal defect factors, load bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors and environmental factors.
Wherein the plurality of failure risk factors of the girth weld to be detected can be pre-stored. The failure risk factors can be obtained by the constructor looking up the pipeline attribute data, the pipeline installation construction record, the pipeline internal and external detection record, the geological disaster high-risk section record and other data, and then the failure risk factors of the girth joint to be detected are stored. The pipeline property data comprises data such as design pressure of a pipeline, running pressure of the pipeline, wall thickness of the pipeline and the like, the pipeline installation construction records comprise data such as a welding method between the two pipelines, the pipeline internal and external detection records comprise data such as an internal detection result and a ray negative result of the pipeline and the like, and the geological condition data of a region where a girth weld is located is recorded in a geological disaster high-risk section.
In addition, internal defect factors are used to indicate defects that are present inside the girth weld. Internal defect factors include radiographic results and internal inspection results. The load bearing factor refers to a factor influencing the load bearing capacity borne by the circumferential weld. The load bearing factors comprise the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the circumferential weld, the joint type of the circumferential weld, the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld, the repair port result of the circumferential weld and the like. The welding condition factor is used to indicate the actual welding condition of the girth weld. The welding condition factors comprise the capacity of a welding unit of a participating unit aiming at the circumferential weld, a welding mode and other factors. The construction management factor is used for indicating the condition that a management party of the circumferential weld manages the circumferential weld. The construction management factors comprise the design conformity degree of two pipelines of the circumferential weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the circumferential weld, the operation level of a manager of the circumferential weld and the like. The environmental factor refers to a factor that may affect the circumferential weld by the environment of the region in which the circumferential weld is located. The environmental factors include the geological conditions of the area where the girth weld is located, and the like.
Step 102: and acquiring a failure consequence coefficient of the region where the girth welding seam is located, wherein the failure consequence coefficient is used for indicating the severity of the consequence caused after any girth welding seam in the region fails.
The failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located can be determined according to the corresponding relation between the area where the girth weld is located and the failure consequence coefficient. For example, table 1 shows a correspondence relationship between a region where a girth weld is located and a failure consequence coefficient, which is provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in Table 1, when the girth weld is in the non-high consequence region, the corresponding failure consequence coefficient is 1. When the girth weld is positioned in the fruit zone after the I-level stage, the corresponding failure consequence coefficient is 1.1. When the girth weld is positioned in a fruit area after the II-level fruit area, the corresponding failure consequence coefficient is 1.2. When the girth weld is positioned in a high-III rear fruit area, the corresponding failure consequence coefficient is 1.39.
TABLE 1
| Region of circumferential weld | Coefficient of consequence of failure |
| Region of non-high consequence | 1 |
| High back fruit zone of level I | 1.1 |
| Fruit zone after level II | 1.2 |
| High back fruit zone of III level | 1.39 |
The area of the circumferential weld can be determined according to chapter 6 of GB32167 oil and gas transmission pipeline integrity management Specification, and description thereof is omitted.
Step 103: and determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the multiple failure risk factors and the failure consequence coefficients of the girth weld.
The implementation mode of determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the multiple failure risk factors and the failure consequence coefficients of the girth weld can be as follows: and for a first failure risk factor in the failure risk factors, determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor, and determining the total failure possibility of the girth weld according to a plurality of possibilities corresponding to the failure risk factors one by one. And determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the total failure possibility and the failure consequence coefficient of the girth weld. The corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor is used for indicating the possibility of the first failure risk factor inducing the girth weld failure, and the first failure risk factor is any one of the failure risk factors.
The first failure risk factors can be of various types, and when the types of the first failure risk factors are different, different implementation manners can be provided for determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factors according to the first failure risk factors. Specifically, the first failure risk factor may be the following 5: internal defect factors, load bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors, and environmental factors.
(1) When the first failure risk factor is an internal defect factor, according to the first failure risk factor, an implementation manner of determining a probability corresponding to the first failure risk factor may be: and determining the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factors according to the ray film result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld.
Internal defects refer to bubbles in the girth weld, internal cracks, residues in the weld, and the like. The internal defects of the girth weld can be respectively determined according to the internal detection result of the girth weld and the ray negative result of the girth weld. Therefore, the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factor can be determined according to the ray film result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld.
In a possible implementation manner, the determining the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factor according to the radiographic film result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld may specifically be: determining a score corresponding to a radiographic film result of the circumferential weld according to the radiographic film result of the circumferential weld, determining a score corresponding to an internal detection result of the circumferential weld according to the internal detection result of the circumferential weld, and determining a probability corresponding to the internal defect factor according to the score corresponding to the radiographic film result of the circumferential weld and the score corresponding to the internal detection result of the circumferential weld.
Generally, when a welded pipe needs to be inspected after the pipe welding construction is finished, the girth weld is irradiated with X-rays, and after the girth weld is irradiated with the X-rays, a radiograph after the X-rays are irradiated is obtained. When the internal defects of the girth weld are different, the ray negative results are also different, and when the ray negative results are different, the corresponding scores of the ray negative results are also different. Therefore, in the embodiment of the present application, an implementation manner of determining the score corresponding to the negative result of the circumferential weld according to the negative result of the circumferential weld may be: and determining the score corresponding to the ray film result of the girth weld according to the corresponding relation between the ray film result of the girth weld and the score of the ray film result of the girth weld.
For example, table 2 shows the correspondence between the radiographic results of the girth welds and the scores of the radiographic results of the girth welds provided in the embodiments of the present application. Generally, when a girth weld is irradiated with X-rays, the internal defects of the girth weld are different, the radiograph results are also different, and the radiograph results can be expressed by radiograph grades. As shown in Table 2, when the radiograph is the I-stage radiograph, the radiograph result corresponds to a score of 0. When the radiograph is a level II radiograph, the radiograph result corresponds to a score of 30. When the radiograph is grade III, the radiograph result corresponds to a score of 75. When the radiograph is an IV grade radiograph, the score corresponding to the radiograph result is 100. When there is no radiograph result, the corresponding score for the radiograph result is 50. Wherein a higher grade for the radiograph indicates a more severe internal defect of the girth weld.
TABLE 2
In addition, during the operation of the pipeline, the circumferential weld sometimes needs to be internally detected to determine the internal defects of the circumferential weld. When the internal detection is carried out on the circumferential weld, the internal detector is used for detecting the internal defects of the circumferential weld. The internal defect degrees of the circumferential weld are different, and the corresponding scores of the internal detection results are also different. Therefore, in the embodiment of the present application, an implementation manner of determining a score corresponding to a corresponding inner detection result according to the inner detection result of the girth weld may be: and determining the score corresponding to the internal detection result of the girth weld according to the corresponding relation between the internal defect result of the girth weld and the score of the internal detection result.
For example, table 3 shows the correspondence between the internal defect result of the girth weld and the score of the internal detection result provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in table 3, when the internal detection identifies that the girth weld is not defective, the score corresponding to the internal detection result is 0. When the internal detection identifies the slight defect of the girth weld, the corresponding score of the internal detection result is 15. When the internal detection identifies the medium defects of the girth weld, the corresponding score of the internal detection result is 30. When the severe defects of the girth weld are identified by internal detection, the corresponding score of the internal detection result is 50.
TABLE 3
| Internal test results | Score corresponding to internal detection result |
| Internal detection and identification of defect-free girth weld | 0 |
| Internal detection and identification of slight defects of circumferential weld | 15 |
| Internal detection and identification of medium defects of circumferential weld | 30 |
| Internal detection and identification of severe defects of circumferential weld | 50 |
In addition, according to the score corresponding to the radiographic film result of the circumferential weld and the score corresponding to the internal detection result of the circumferential weld, the implementation manner of determining the probability corresponding to the internal defect factor may be: and adding the score corresponding to the ray film result of the girth weld and the score corresponding to the internal detection result of the girth weld, and taking the obtained result as the probability corresponding to the internal defect factor. Optionally, the score corresponding to the radiographic result of the girth weld may be multiplied by the score corresponding to the internal detection result of the girth weld, and the obtained result may be used as the probability corresponding to the internal defect factor. Of course, there may be other implementation manners for determining the probability corresponding to the internal defect factor according to the score corresponding to the radiographic film result of the circumferential weld and the score corresponding to the internal detection result of the circumferential weld, and the embodiment of the present application is not limited herein.
(2) When the first failure risk factor is a load bearing factor, according to the first failure risk factor, an implementation manner of determining a probability corresponding to the first failure risk factor may be: and acquiring the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the circumferential weld, the joint type of the circumferential weld, the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld and the repair opening result of the circumferential weld. And determining the possibility corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld.
Wherein the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration location of the girth weld, and the rework opening result of the girth weld may be pre-stored.
In addition, in a possible implementation manner, the determining the possibility degree corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld, and the repair opening result of the girth weld may specifically be: determining a score corresponding to the running pressure and the design pressure of the corresponding circumferential weld according to the ratio of the running pressure and the design pressure of the circumferential weld, determining a score corresponding to the joint type of the circumferential weld according to the joint type of the circumferential weld, determining a score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld according to the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld, determining a score corresponding to the rework opening result of the circumferential weld according to the rework opening result of the circumferential weld, and determining a possibility degree corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the score corresponding to the ratio of the running pressure and the design pressure of the circumferential weld, the score corresponding to the joint type of the circumferential weld, the score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld and the score corresponding to the rework opening result of the circumferential weld.
Wherein, the implementation mode of determining the score corresponding to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld can be as follows: and determining the score corresponding to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld according to the corresponding relation between the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld and the score of the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld.
For example, table 4 provides a corresponding relationship between the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure and the score of the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure for the girth weld according to the embodiment of the present application. As shown in Table 4, when the ratio of the design pressure to the operating pressure is in the range of 0.8 to 1, the score corresponding to the ratio of the design pressure to the operating pressure is 35. When the ratio of the design pressure to the operating pressure is in the range of 0.6-0.8, the score corresponding to the ratio of the design pressure to the operating pressure is 20. When the ratio of the design pressure to the operating pressure is below 0.6, the score corresponding to the ratio of the design pressure to the operating pressure is 10.
TABLE 4
| Ratio of design pressure to operating pressure | Score corresponding to ratio of design pressure to operating pressure |
| 0.8～1 | 35 |
| 0.6～0.8 | 20 |
| 0.6 or less | 10 |
In addition, the implementation manner of determining the score corresponding to the joint type of the girth weld according to the joint type of the girth weld may be: and determining the score corresponding to the joint type of the girth weld according to the corresponding relation between the joint type of the girth weld and the score of the joint type of the girth weld.
For example, table 5 shows the correspondence between the joint types of the girth welds and the scores of the joint types of the girth welds provided in the embodiments of the present application. As shown in table 5, when the top type is jinkou, the score corresponding to the top type is 45. When the connection type is a connection port, the score corresponding to the connection type is 30. When the connection type is a common port, the score corresponding to the connection type is 0. Usually, after the welding of two pipelines is finished, a hydraulic experiment is required to detect the girth weld, and the gold opening and the first connecting opening are all welding opening types of the girth weld.
TABLE 5
| Of the coupling type | Score value corresponding to a type of concatenation |
| Gold mouth | 45 |
| Connecting mouth | 30 |
| General port | 0 |
In addition, the implementation manner of determining the score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the girth weld according to the stress concentration position of the girth weld may be as follows: and determining the score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the girth weld according to the corresponding relation between the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the score of the stress concentration position of the girth weld. Wherein, the stress concentration position of the girth weld can be determined when the girth weld is internally detected.
For example, table 6 shows a correspondence relationship between the stress concentration positions of the girth welds and the score values of the stress concentration positions of the girth welds, which is provided in the embodiments of the present application. As shown in table 6, when the stress concentration position of the girth weld is at the miter, the stress concentration position of the girth weld corresponds to a score of 25. When the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld is at the short section, the corresponding score of the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld is 15. When the stress concentration position of the girth weld is at the position with the variable wall thickness, the corresponding score of the stress concentration position of the girth weld is 25. When the stress concentration position of the girth weld is at the elbow joint, the corresponding score of the stress concentration position of the girth weld is 40. When the stress concentration position of the girth weld is at the geometric deformation defect, the corresponding score of the stress concentration position of the girth weld is 20. When the stress concentration position of the girth weld is at the oblique joint, the corresponding score of the stress concentration position of the girth weld is 25. When the stress concentration position of the girth weld is at the third-party stacking disturbance position, the score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the girth weld is 30.
TABLE 6
In addition, the implementation manner of determining the score corresponding to the repair opening result of the circumferential weld according to the repair opening result of the circumferential weld may be as follows: and determining the value corresponding to the repair opening result of the circumferential weld according to the corresponding relation between the repair opening result of the circumferential weld and the value of the repair opening result of the circumferential weld.
For example, table 7 shows a correspondence relationship between the repair opening result of the girth weld and the score of the repair opening result of the girth weld provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in table 7, when the repair end result of the girth weld is a repair end, the score corresponding to the repair end result is 35. And when the repair opening result of the circumferential weld is not the repair opening, the score corresponding to the repair opening result is 0. Wherein, the repair opening refers to a circumferential weld needing secondary welding.
TABLE 7
| Repair of the mouth | Score value corresponding to the repaired mouth result |
| Is a repaired mouth | 35 |
| Instead of repairing the mouth | 0 |
In addition, the implementation manner of determining the possibility corresponding to the load-bearing factor according to the score corresponding to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the circumferential weld, the score corresponding to the joint type of the circumferential weld, the score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld, and the score corresponding to the repair port result of the circumferential weld may be: adding a score corresponding to the ratio of the operating pressure of the girth weld to the design pressure, a score corresponding to the joint type of the girth weld, a score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the girth weld and a score corresponding to the repair opening result of the girth weld, and taking the obtained result as the probability corresponding to the load bearing factor. Optionally, the score corresponding to the ratio of the operating pressure of the girth weld to the design pressure, the score corresponding to the joint type of the girth weld, the score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the girth weld, and the score corresponding to the rework opening result of the girth weld may be added, and the obtained result is used as the probability corresponding to the load bearing factor. Of course, there may be other implementation manners for determining the possibility corresponding to the load-bearing factor according to the score corresponding to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the score corresponding to the joint type of the girth weld, the score corresponding to the stress concentration position of the girth weld, and the score corresponding to the repair port result of the girth weld, and the embodiment of the present application is not limited herein.
(3) When the first failure risk factor is a welding condition factor, according to the first failure risk factor, determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor may be performed in the following manner: and acquiring the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld. And determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factors according to the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld.
The capacity of the welding unit of the building unit of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld can be stored in advance.
In addition, in a possible implementation manner, the possibility of determining the welding condition factor according to the capacity of the welding set of the participating unit of the girth weld and the welding manner of the girth weld may specifically be: determining the value corresponding to the capacity of the participating unit set of the circumferential weld according to the capacity of the participating unit set of the circumferential weld, determining the value corresponding to the welding mode of the circumferential weld according to the welding mode of the circumferential weld, and determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factor according to the value corresponding to the capacity of the participating unit set of the circumferential weld and the value corresponding to the welding mode of the circumferential weld.
The implementation mode of determining the score corresponding to the capacity of the participating unit set of the girth weld according to the capacity of the participating unit set of the girth weld can be as follows: determining the value of the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld according to the following formula:
in the above formula, L1And (4) the value of the capacity of the welding unit of the participating unit of the circumferential weld. k is an adjustment factor, which may be 0.862. λ is a scoring coefficient, and can be 9600. Y is the ratio of the suspicion port. X is the qualification rate of one welding when joining the unit welding. Y ismaxAnd storing the maximum value of the ratio of the suspected ports for all the construction units of the participating units. Y isminAnd storing the minimum ratio of the suspects for all the construction units of the participating units. XmaxThe maximum value of the one-time welding qualification rate of all the construction units of the participating units. XminThe welding pass percent of all the construction units of the participating construction units is the minimum value of the one-time welding pass percent.
In addition, the implementation manner of determining the score corresponding to the welding manner of the girth weld according to the welding manner of the girth weld may be: and determining the value of the welding mode of the girth weld according to the corresponding relation between the welding mode of the girth weld and the value of the welding mode of the girth weld.
For example, table 8 shows a correspondence relationship between the welding method of the girth weld and the score of the welding method of the girth weld provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in table 8, when the welding method of the circumferential weld is manual welding, the score corresponding to the welding method of the corresponding circumferential weld is 50. When the welding mode of the circumferential weld is semi-automatic welding, the score corresponding to the welding mode of the corresponding circumferential weld is 10. When the welding mode of the circumferential weld is full-automatic welding, the value corresponding to the welding mode of the corresponding circumferential weld is 0.
TABLE 8
In addition, the implementation mode of determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factors according to the value corresponding to the capacity of the unit set participating in the girth weld and the value corresponding to the welding mode of the girth weld may be as follows: and adding the value corresponding to the capacity of the unit set participating in the girth weld with the value corresponding to the welding mode of the girth weld, and taking the obtained result as the probability corresponding to the welding condition factor. Optionally, the score corresponding to the capacity of the participating unit set of the girth weld and the score corresponding to the welding mode of the girth weld may be added, and the obtained result is used as the probability corresponding to the welding condition factor. Of course, there may be other implementation manners for determining the probability corresponding to the welding condition factor according to the score corresponding to the capacity of the unit set participating in the circumferential weld and the score corresponding to the welding manner of the circumferential weld, and the embodiment of the present application is not limited herein.
(4) When the first failure risk factor is a construction management factor, according to the first failure risk factor, an implementation manner of determining a probability corresponding to the first failure risk factor may be: and acquiring the design conformity degree of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld. And determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factors according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld.
Among them, the design conformity degree of the two pipes connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the inspection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the operation level of the manager of the girth weld may be stored in advance.
In addition, in a possible implementation manner, the determining of the possibility degree corresponding to the construction management factor according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the operation level of the manager of the girth weld may specifically be: determining scores corresponding to the design conformity degrees of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld according to the design conformity degrees of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, determining scores corresponding to the conformity degrees between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld according to the conformity degrees between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, determining scores corresponding to the operation level of a manager of the girth weld according to the operation level of the manager of the girth weld, and determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factors according to the scores corresponding to the design conformity degrees of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, the scores corresponding to the conformity degrees between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the scores corresponding to the operation level of the manager of the girth weld.
Wherein, the realization mode of the score corresponding to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connected with the circumferential weld is determined according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connected with the circumferential weld can be as follows: and determining the scores corresponding to the design conformity degrees of the two pipelines connected with the circumferential weld according to the corresponding relation between the design conformity degrees of the two pipelines connected with the circumferential weld and the scores of the design conformity degrees of the two pipelines connected with the circumferential weld. Wherein, the design conformity degree of the two pipes connecting the circumferential weld means that both the two pipes connecting the circumferential weld are required to conform to the design requirements.
For example, table 9 is a corresponding relationship between the design conformity degree of two pipes connected to a girth weld and the score of the design conformity degree of two pipes connected to a girth weld provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in table 9, when the construction of the two pipes connecting the girth welds meets the design requirements, the score corresponding to the design conformity degree of the two pipes connecting the girth welds is 0. When the construction of the two pipes connecting the girth weld does not meet the design requirements, the score corresponding to the design conformity degree of the two pipes connecting the girth weld is 45.
TABLE 9
In addition, the implementation mode of determining the score corresponding to the coincidence degree between the detection time and the construction time of the corresponding girth weld according to the coincidence degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld may be as follows: and determining the score corresponding to the coincidence degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld according to the correspondence between the coincidence degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the score of the coincidence degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld. The coincidence degree between the detection time of the girth weld and the construction time refers to whether the detection time of the girth weld is before or after the construction time. The detection time of the circumferential weld is before the construction time, which indicates that the detection time is inconsistent with the construction time, and the detection time of the circumferential weld is after the construction time, which indicates that the detection time is consistent with the construction time. The detection time of the girth weld indicates that the girth weld is not constructed before the construction time, but the detection result is already available, and the detection result can be determined to be false and wrong.
For example, table 10 shows a correspondence relationship between the degree of coincidence between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the score of the degree of coincidence between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, which is provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in table 10, when the coincidence degree between the detection time of the girth weld and the construction time is coincident, the score corresponding to the coincidence degree between the detection time of the girth weld and the construction time is 0. When the coincidence degree between the detection time and the construction time of the circumferential weld is not coincident, the score corresponding to the coincidence degree between the detection time and the construction time of the circumferential weld is 25.
Watch 10
In addition, the implementation manner of determining the score corresponding to the operation level of the manager of the girth weld according to the operation level of the manager of the girth weld may be: and determining the score corresponding to the operation level of the manager of the girth weld according to the corresponding relation between the operation level of the manager of the girth weld and the score of the operation level of the girth weld. The operation level of the manager of the circumferential weld is whether the operation level of the manager of the circumferential weld exceeds an operation level threshold, if the operation level of the manager exceeds the operation level threshold, the operation level of the manager is indicated to be a normal level, and if the operation level of the manager does not exceed the operation level threshold, the operation level of the manager is indicated to be an abnormal level. Generally, the operation level of the administrator may also be referred to as administrator troubleshooting risk.
For example, table 11 shows a correspondence relationship between the operation level of the administrator of the girth weld and the score of the operation level of the girth weld, which is provided in the present application. As shown in table 11, when the operation level of the manager of the girth weld is a normal level, the score of the operation level of the manager of the girth weld is 0. When the operation level of the manager of the circumferential weld is an abnormal level, the score corresponding to the operation level of the manager of the circumferential weld is 70.
TABLE 11
| Operational level of a manager of circumferential welds | Score value corresponding to operation level of girth weld |
| Normal level of | 0 |
| Abnormal level | 70 |
In addition, the implementation manner of determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factor according to the score corresponding to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connecting the girth weld, the score corresponding to the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the score corresponding to the operation level of the manager of the girth weld may be: adding the scores corresponding to the design conformity degrees of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, the score corresponding to the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the score corresponding to the operation level of a manager of the girth weld, and taking the obtained result as the possibility corresponding to the construction management factor. Optionally, the score corresponding to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connecting the circumferential weld, the score corresponding to the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the circumferential weld, and the score corresponding to the operation level of the manager of the circumferential weld may be multiplied, and the obtained result is used as the probability corresponding to the construction management factor. Of course, there may be other implementation manners for determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factor according to the score corresponding to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connecting the girth weld, the score corresponding to the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the score corresponding to the operation level of the manager of the girth weld, and the embodiment of the present application is not limited herein.
(5) When the first failure risk factor is an environmental factor, according to the first failure risk factor, an implementation manner of determining a probability corresponding to the first failure risk factor may be: and determining the possibility corresponding to the environmental factors according to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located.
In a positive implementation manner, the determining the probability corresponding to the environmental factor according to the geological condition of the region where the girth weld is located may specifically be: and determining a score corresponding to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located according to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located, and taking the score corresponding to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located as a possible degree corresponding to the environmental factor.
Wherein, the implementation mode of determining the score of the geological condition of the corresponding circumferential weld zone according to the geological condition of the circumferential weld zone can be as follows: and determining the score corresponding to the geological condition of the circumferential weld according to the corresponding relation between the geological condition of the region where the circumferential weld is located and the score of the geological condition of the region where the circumferential weld is located. The geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located refers to the possibility of geological disasters which are predicted according to the geological condition where the circumferential weld is located.
For example, table 12 shows a correspondence between the geology of the region where the girth weld is located and the score of the geology of the region where the girth weld is located, which is provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in table 12, when the geological conditions of the region where the girth weld is located are a landslide, an unstable slope, and an unstable slope, the score corresponding to the geological conditions of the region where the girth weld is located is 80. When the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is ground settlement, ground settlement treatment engineering, high fill subgrade settlement, karst collapse and ditch protection retaining wall base sinking suspension, the value corresponding to the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is 60. When the geological conditions of the area where the girth weld is located are debris flow, collapse and dangerous rocks, the value corresponding to the geological conditions of the area where the girth weld is located is 40. When the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is water damage including river water damage, slope water damage and river channel water damage, the value corresponding to the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is 20. And when the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located meets the requirements of the geological disaster prevention measures, the value corresponding to the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is 0. When the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located does not meet the requirements of the geological disaster prevention measures, the score corresponding to the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is 20. When the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is absent, namely, no geological disaster occurs in the area where the circumferential weld is located, the score corresponding to the geological condition of the area where the circumferential weld is located is 0.
TABLE 12
It should be noted that in all the tables above, the score set for each failure risk factor represents the likelihood that the factor may cause failure of the girth weld. A greater score for a factor indicates a greater likelihood that the factor may cause the girth weld to fail.
In addition, in a possible implementation manner, the determining the total failure probability of the girth weld according to a plurality of probabilities corresponding to a plurality of failure risk factors one to one may specifically be: and adding a plurality of probability degrees corresponding to the failure risk factors one by one, and taking the obtained result as the total failure probability degree of the girth weld.
For example, among the failure risk factors of the girth weld, the internal defect factor corresponds to a probability of 60, the load factor corresponds to a probability of 70, the welding condition factor corresponds to a probability of 78, the construction management factor corresponds to a probability of 70, and the environmental factor corresponds to a probability of 0. Adding the likelihood 60 corresponding to the internal defect factor, the likelihood 70 corresponding to the load bearing factor, the likelihood 78 corresponding to the welding condition factor, the likelihood 70 corresponding to the construction management factor and the likelihood 0 corresponding to the environmental factor to obtain a result 278 as a total failure likelihood of the girth weld.
Optionally, determining the total failure probability of the girth weld according to a plurality of probabilities corresponding to the plurality of failure risk factors one-to-one may further include: and each failure risk factor in the failure risk factors corresponds to a weight value one by one, the probability corresponding to each failure risk factor is multiplied by the corresponding weight value, then the values obtained after the probability corresponding to each failure risk factor is multiplied by the weight value are added, and the obtained result is used as the total failure probability of the girth weld.
For example, the internal defect factor of the failure risk factors of the girth weld corresponds to a probability of 60, and the internal defect factor corresponds to a weight value of 15%. The load factor corresponds to a probability of 70, and the load factor corresponds to a weight of 20%. The welding condition factor corresponds to a probability of 78, and the welding condition factor corresponds to a weight of 15%. The construction management factor corresponds to a probability of 70, and the weight value of the construction management factor is 20%. The probability corresponding to the environmental factor is 0, and the weight value corresponding to the environmental factor is 30%. The likelihood 60 corresponding to the internal defect factor is multiplied by the weight value 15% corresponding to the internal defect factor, resulting in 9. The probability 70 corresponding to the load factor is multiplied by the weight value 20% corresponding to the load factor, and the result is 14. The probability 78 corresponding to the welding condition factor is multiplied by the weight value 15% corresponding to the welding condition factor, and the result is 11.7. The result of multiplying the probability 70 corresponding to the construction management factor by the weight value 20% corresponding to the construction management factor is 14. The probability 0 corresponding to the environmental factor is multiplied by the weight value 30% corresponding to the environmental factor, and the result is 0. Adding a result 9 obtained by multiplying the possibility degree corresponding to the internal defect factor by the weight value corresponding to the internal defect factor, a result 14 obtained by multiplying the possibility degree corresponding to the load bearing factor by the weight value corresponding to the load bearing factor, a result 11.7 obtained by multiplying the possibility degree corresponding to the welding condition by the weight value corresponding to the welding condition, a result 14 obtained by multiplying the possibility degree corresponding to the construction management factor by the weight value corresponding to the construction management factor, and a result 0 obtained by multiplying the weight value corresponding to the environmental factor by the weight value corresponding to the environmental factor to obtain a result 48.7 serving as the total failure possibility degree of the girth weld.
In addition, in a possible implementation manner, determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the total failure probability and the failure consequence coefficient of the girth weld may specifically be: and multiplying the total failure possibility degree of the girth welding seam by the failure consequence coefficient, and taking the obtained result as the risk value of the girth welding seam.
For example, the total failure probability of the girth weld is 278, the failure consequence coefficient is 1, and the total failure probability 278 of the girth weld is multiplied by the failure consequence coefficient 1, and the obtained result 278 is used as the risk value of the girth weld.
In addition, in practice, the girth welds to be detected may be girth welds with a large failure risk, and for the girth welds, the failure risk values of the girth welds can be directly set to fixed values. The girth weld with a high failure risk refers to any one of three conditions that the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, the grade of a ray negative of the girth weld is greater than a reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is a natural disaster geological area.
Therefore, in the embodiment of the application, before the failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located is obtained, whether the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, whether the ray negative of the girth weld is greater than the reference grade, and whether the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located is a natural disaster geological area can be determined according to a plurality of failure risk factors of the girth weld. And if the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, the grade of the ray negative of the girth weld is greater than the reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is any one of the three conditions of a natural disaster geological area, directly determining the risk value of the girth weld as a fixed value. If the girth weld is not the suspected black girth weld, the grade of the ray negative of the girth weld is less than the reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is not the natural disaster geological area, at the moment, the step of obtaining the failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located needs to be executed. The fixed value may be 380, 390, 400, etc., and the embodiment of the present application is not limited herein. The girth weld with the suspected black opening refers to the girth weld with the detection record but no construction record.
Wherein the reference grade of the negative of the girth weld may be grade iii. Of course, other levels are also possible, and the embodiments of the present application are not limited herein. The fact that the area where the girth weld is located is not the natural disaster area means that the area where the girth weld is located cannot have natural disasters, and protective measures meeting requirements are provided. The area where the girth weld is located is a natural disaster area, which means that the area where the girth weld is located can have natural disasters and has no protective measures meeting the requirements. The natural disasters refer to serious geological disasters such as landslides, unstable slopes and unstable slopes.
In addition, in practice, in order to facilitate the constructors to evaluate the risk of the circumferential weld in a targeted manner and make reasonable treatment measures, the corresponding treatment measures can be determined according to the risk value of the circumferential weld. The implementation mode of determining the corresponding treatment measures according to the risk value of the girth weld can be as follows: after failure risk values of the plurality of girth welds are determined, the risk level of each girth weld in the plurality of girth welds is determined according to the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk level. And searching a girth weld with the risk grade larger than or equal to the reference risk grade from the plurality of girth welds. And determining the core failure risk factors according to the found multiple failure risk factors of each circumferential weld in the circumferential welds. And determining a maintenance strategy aiming at the areas where the plurality of girth welds are located according to the core failure risk factors.
The implementation manner of determining the risk level of each circumferential weld of the plurality of circumferential welds according to the corresponding relationship between the risk value interval and the risk level may be: and determining a risk value interval where the risk value of any girth weld is located, and searching the risk grade corresponding to the risk value interval in the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk grade.
For example, table 13 is a corresponding relationship between a risk value interval and a risk level provided in the embodiment of the present application. As shown in Table 13, when the risk value interval is 0-80, the corresponding risk level is class I. And when the risk value interval is 81-160, the corresponding risk grade is II grade. When the risk value interval is 161-240, the corresponding risk grade is grade III. When the risk value interval is 241-320, the corresponding risk grade is IV grade. When the risk value interval is 321-400, the corresponding risk grade is V grade. Wherein a higher risk rating indicates a greater likelihood of failure of the girth weld.
Watch 13
| Interval of risk value | Risk rating |
| 0～80 | Class I |
| 81～160 | Stage II |
| 161～240 | Class III |
| 241～320 | IV stage |
| 321～400 | Class V |
In addition, the search for a girth weld with a risk level greater than or equal to the reference risk level from among the plurality of girth welds may be implemented by: and determining a risk value interval of the girth weld in the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk grade according to the risk value of each girth weld in the plurality of girth welds, and determining the risk grade of the girth weld according to the determined risk value interval. And selecting the girth welds with the risk grade larger than or equal to the reference risk grade from the risk grade corresponding to each girth weld.
In addition, according to the found multiple failure risk factors of each girth weld in the girth weld, the implementation mode for determining the core failure risk factors can be as follows: determining the corresponding possibility of the multiple failure risk factors of each girth weld, and taking the failure risk factor corresponding to the maximum possibility as the core failure risk factor.
For example, the plurality of failure risk factors of the girth weld include internal defect factors, load bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors, and environmental factors. The internal defect factor corresponds to a probability of 105. The load factor corresponds to a probability of 50. The welding condition factor corresponds to a probability of 108. The construction management factor corresponds to a possibility of 70. The likelihood corresponding to the environmental factor is 0. Since the welding condition factor has the highest probability, the welding condition factor is taken as a core failure risk factor.
In addition, according to the core failure risk factor, the implementation manner of determining the maintenance strategy for the region where the plurality of girth welds are located may be: and displaying the core failure risk factors so that a constructor determines a maintenance strategy for the areas where the plurality of girth welds are located according to the core failure risk factors.
In the application, because the girth weld to be detected has a plurality of failure risk factors, when the failure risk value of the girth weld is determined, the actual failure risk value of the girth weld can be correctly reflected according to the failure risk value of the girth weld determined by the plurality of failure risk factors. And the areas where the girth welds are located are different, and the consequences caused by the failure of the girth welds are also different, so that the determined failure risk value of the girth welds can further accurately reflect the actual failure risk value of the girth welds according to the failure consequence coefficient of the girth welds. That is, in the present application, the accuracy of the determined failure risk value of the girth weld may be improved.
Fig. 2 is a schematic structural diagram of a circumferential weld risk evaluation device provided in an embodiment of the present application, and as shown in fig. 2, the device 200 includes:
the first acquisition module 201 is configured to acquire multiple failure risk factors of a circumferential weld to be detected, where the failure risk factors refer to factors that can induce a circumferential weld to fail, and the multiple failure risk factors include internal defect factors, load-bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors, and environmental factors;
the second obtaining module 202 is configured to obtain a failure consequence coefficient of a region where the girth weld is located, where the failure consequence coefficient is used to indicate a severity of an effect caused after any girth weld in the region fails;
the first determining module 203 is used for determining a failure risk value of the girth weld according to the multiple failure risk factors and the failure consequence coefficients of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first determining module 203 comprises:
the first determining unit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to a first failure risk factor in the failure risk factors according to the first failure risk factor, wherein the possibility corresponding to the first failure risk factor is used for indicating the possibility of the first failure risk factor inducing the girth joint failure, and the first failure risk factor is any one of the failure risk factors;
the second determining unit is used for determining the total failure possibility of the girth weld according to a plurality of possibilities corresponding to the failure risk factors one by one;
and the third determining unit is used for determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the total failure possibility and the failure consequence coefficient of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is an internal defect factor;
the first determination unit includes:
and the first determining subunit is used for determining the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factor according to the ray film result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is a load bearing factor;
the first determination unit includes:
the first acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the circumferential weld, the connection type of the circumferential weld, the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld and the repair port result of the circumferential weld;
and the second determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is a welding condition factor;
the first determination unit includes:
the second acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld;
and the third determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factors according to the capacity of the welding set of the building unit of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is a construction management factor;
the first determination unit includes:
the third acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the design conformity degree of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld;
and the fourth determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factors according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connecting the ring weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the ring weld, and the operation level of the manager of the ring weld.
Optionally, the first failure risk factor is an environmental factor;
the first determination unit includes:
and the fifth determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the environmental factor according to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located.
Optionally, the apparatus 200 further comprises:
the second determining module is used for determining the failure risk values of the plurality of girth welds and then determining the risk level of each girth weld in the plurality of girth welds according to the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk level;
the searching module is used for searching a girth weld with the risk grade larger than or equal to the reference risk grade from the plurality of girth welds;
the third determining module is used for determining core failure risk factors according to the found multiple failure risk factors of each circumferential weld in the circumferential welds;
and the fourth determining module is used for determining a maintenance strategy for the areas where the plurality of girth welds are located according to the core failure risk factors.
Optionally, the apparatus 200 further comprises:
the fifth determining module is used for determining whether the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, a ray negative of the girth weld and the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located according to the plurality of failure risk factors, wherein the suspected black girth weld is the girth weld with the detection record but no construction record;
the first obtaining module is further used for executing the step of obtaining the failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located if the girth weld is not the suspected black girth weld, the grade of the ray negative of the girth weld is smaller than the reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is not the natural disaster geological area.
In the application, because the girth weld to be detected has a plurality of failure risk factors, when the failure risk value of the girth weld is determined, the actual failure risk value of the girth weld can be correctly reflected according to the failure risk value of the girth weld determined by the plurality of failure risk factors. And the areas where the girth welds are located are different, and the consequences caused by the failure of the girth welds are also different, so that the determined failure risk value of the girth welds can further accurately reflect the actual failure risk value of the girth welds according to the failure consequence coefficient of the girth welds. That is, in the present application, the accuracy of the determined failure risk value of the girth weld may be improved. It should be noted that: when the risk evaluation device for the circumferential weld provided by the embodiment evaluates the risk of the circumferential weld, only the division of the functional modules is used for illustration, and in practical application, the function distribution can be completed by different functional modules according to needs, that is, the internal structure of the equipment is divided into different functional modules, so as to complete all or part of the functions described above. In addition, the circumferential weld risk evaluation device provided by the embodiment and the circumferential weld risk evaluation method embodiment belong to the same concept, and the specific implementation process is detailed in the method embodiment and is not described herein again.
Fig. 3 shows a block diagram of a terminal 300 according to an exemplary embodiment of the present application. The terminal 300 may be: a smart phone, a tablet computer, an MP3 player (Moving Picture Experts Group Audio Layer III, motion video Experts compression standard Audio Layer 3), an MP4 player (Moving Picture Experts Group Audio Layer IV, motion video Experts compression standard Audio Layer 4), a notebook computer, or a desktop computer. The terminal 300 may also be referred to by other names such as user equipment, portable terminal, laptop terminal, desktop terminal, etc.
Generally, the terminal 300 includes: a processor 301 and a memory 302.
The processor 301 may include one or more processing cores, such as a 4-core processor, an 8-core processor, and so on. The processor 301 may be implemented in at least one hardware form of a DSP (Digital Signal Processing), an FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array), and a PLA (Programmable Logic Array). The processor 301 may also include a main processor and a coprocessor, where the main processor is a processor for Processing data in an awake state, and is also called a Central Processing Unit (CPU); a coprocessor is a low power processor for processing data in a standby state. In some embodiments, the processor 301 may be integrated with a GPU (Graphics Processing Unit), which is responsible for rendering and drawing the content required to be displayed on the display screen. In some embodiments, the processor 301 may further include an AI (Artificial Intelligence) processor for processing computing operations related to machine learning.
In some embodiments, the terminal 300 may further include: a peripheral interface 303 and at least one peripheral. The processor 301, memory 302 and peripheral interface 303 may be connected by a bus or signal lines. Each peripheral may be connected to the peripheral interface 303 by a bus, signal line, or circuit board. Specifically, the peripheral device includes: at least one of radio frequency circuitry 304, touch display screen 305, camera assembly 306, audio circuitry 307, positioning assembly 308, and power supply 309.
The peripheral interface 303 may be used to connect at least one peripheral related to I/O (Input/Output) to the processor 301 and the memory 302. In some embodiments, processor 301, memory 302, and peripheral interface 303 are integrated on the same chip or circuit board; in some other embodiments, any one or two of the processor 301, the memory 302 and the peripheral interface 303 may be implemented on a separate chip or circuit board, which is not limited by the embodiment.
The Radio Frequency circuit 304 is used for receiving and transmitting RF (Radio Frequency) signals, also called electromagnetic signals. The radio frequency circuitry 304 communicates with communication networks and other communication devices via electromagnetic signals. The rf circuit 304 converts an electrical signal into an electromagnetic signal to transmit, or converts a received electromagnetic signal into an electrical signal. Optionally, the radio frequency circuit 304 comprises: an antenna system, an RF transceiver, one or more amplifiers, a tuner, an oscillator, a digital signal processor, a codec chipset, a subscriber identity module card, and so forth. The radio frequency circuitry 304 may communicate with other terminals via at least one wireless communication protocol. The wireless communication protocols include, but are not limited to: metropolitan area networks, various generation mobile communication networks (2G, 3G, 4G, and 5G), Wireless local area networks, and/or WiFi (Wireless Fidelity) networks. In some embodiments, the rf circuit 304 may further include NFC (Near Field Communication) related circuits, which are not limited in this application.
The display screen 305 is used to display a UI (User Interface). The UI may include graphics, text, icons, video, and any combination thereof. When the display screen 305 is a touch display screen, the display screen 305 also has the ability to capture touch signals on or over the surface of the display screen 305. The touch signal may be input to the processor 301 as a control signal for processing. At this point, the display screen 305 may also be used to provide virtual buttons and/or a virtual keyboard, also referred to as soft buttons and/or a soft keyboard. In some embodiments, the display 305 may be one, providing the front panel of the terminal 300; in other embodiments, the display screens 305 may be at least two, respectively disposed on different surfaces of the terminal 300 or in a folded design; in still other embodiments, the display 305 may be a flexible display disposed on a curved surface or on a folded surface of the terminal 300. Even further, the display screen 305 may be arranged in a non-rectangular irregular figure, i.e. a shaped screen. The Display screen 305 may be made of LCD (Liquid Crystal Display), OLED (Organic Light-Emitting Diode), and the like.
The camera assembly 306 is used to capture images or video. Optionally, camera assembly 306 includes a front camera and a rear camera. Generally, a front camera is disposed at a front panel of the terminal, and a rear camera is disposed at a rear surface of the terminal. In some embodiments, the number of the rear cameras is at least two, and each rear camera is any one of a main camera, a depth-of-field camera, a wide-angle camera and a telephoto camera, so that the main camera and the depth-of-field camera are fused to realize a background blurring function, and the main camera and the wide-angle camera are fused to realize panoramic shooting and VR (Virtual Reality) shooting functions or other fusion shooting functions. In some embodiments, camera assembly 306 may also include a flash. The flash lamp can be a monochrome temperature flash lamp or a bicolor temperature flash lamp. The double-color-temperature flash lamp is a combination of a warm-light flash lamp and a cold-light flash lamp, and can be used for light compensation at different color temperatures.
The positioning component 308 is used to locate the current geographic Location of the terminal 300 to implement navigation or LBS (Location Based Service). The Positioning component 308 may be a Positioning component based on the Global Positioning System (GPS) in the united states, the beidou System in china, the graves System in russia, or the galileo System in the european union.
The power supply 309 is used to supply power to the various components in the terminal 300. The power source 309 may be alternating current, direct current, disposable batteries, or rechargeable batteries. When the power source 309 includes a rechargeable battery, the rechargeable battery may support wired or wireless charging. The rechargeable battery may also be used to support fast charge technology.
In some embodiments, the terminal 300 also includes one or more sensors 310. The one or more sensors 310 include, but are not limited to: acceleration sensor 311, gyro sensor 312, pressure sensor 313, fingerprint sensor 314, optical sensor 315, and proximity sensor 316.
The acceleration sensor 311 may detect the magnitude of acceleration in three coordinate axes of a coordinate system established with the terminal 300. For example, the acceleration sensor 311 may be used to detect components of the gravitational acceleration in three coordinate axes. The processor 301 may control the touch display screen 305 to display the user interface in a landscape view or a portrait view according to the gravitational acceleration signal collected by the acceleration sensor 311. The acceleration sensor 311 may also be used for acquisition of motion data of a game or a user.
The gyro sensor 312 may detect a body direction and a rotation angle of the terminal 300, and the gyro sensor 312 may cooperate with the acceleration sensor 311 to acquire a 3D motion of the user on the terminal 300. The processor 301 may implement the following functions according to the data collected by the gyro sensor 312: motion sensing (such as changing the UI according to a user's tilting operation), image stabilization at the time of photographing, game control, and inertial navigation.
The pressure sensor 313 may be disposed on a side bezel of the terminal 300 and/or an underlying layer of the touch display screen 305. When the pressure sensor 313 is disposed on the side frame of the terminal 300, the holding signal of the user to the terminal 300 can be detected, and the processor 301 performs left-right hand recognition or shortcut operation according to the holding signal collected by the pressure sensor 313. When the pressure sensor 313 is disposed at the lower layer of the touch display screen 305, the processor 301 controls the operability control on the UI interface according to the pressure operation of the user on the touch display screen 305. The operability control comprises at least one of a button control, a scroll bar control, an icon control and a menu control.
The fingerprint sensor 314 is used for collecting a fingerprint of the user, and the processor 301 identifies the identity of the user according to the fingerprint collected by the fingerprint sensor 314, or the fingerprint sensor 314 identifies the identity of the user according to the collected fingerprint. Upon identifying that the user's identity is a trusted identity, processor 301 authorizes the user to perform relevant sensitive operations including unlocking the screen, viewing encrypted information, downloading software, paying, and changing settings, etc. The fingerprint sensor 314 may be disposed on the front, back, or side of the terminal 300. When a physical button or a vendor Logo is provided on the terminal 300, the fingerprint sensor 314 may be integrated with the physical button or the vendor Logo.
The optical sensor 315 is used to collect the ambient light intensity. In one embodiment, the processor 301 may control the display brightness of the touch screen display 305 based on the ambient light intensity collected by the optical sensor 315. Specifically, when the ambient light intensity is high, the display brightness of the touch display screen 305 is increased; when the ambient light intensity is low, the display brightness of the touch display screen 305 is turned down. In another embodiment, the processor 301 may also dynamically adjust the shooting parameters of the camera head assembly 306 according to the ambient light intensity collected by the optical sensor 315.
A proximity sensor 316, also known as a distance sensor, is typically provided on the front panel of the terminal 300. The proximity sensor 316 is used to collect the distance between the user and the front surface of the terminal 300. In one embodiment, when the proximity sensor 316 detects that the distance between the user and the front surface of the terminal 300 gradually decreases, the processor 301 controls the touch display screen 305 to switch from the bright screen state to the dark screen state; when the proximity sensor 316 detects that the distance between the user and the front surface of the terminal 300 gradually becomes larger, the processor 301 controls the touch display screen 305 to switch from the breath screen state to the bright screen state.
Those skilled in the art will appreciate that the configuration shown in fig. 3 is not intended to be limiting of terminal 300 and may include more or fewer components than those shown, or some components may be combined, or a different arrangement of components may be used.
The embodiment of the present application further provides a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium, and when instructions in the storage medium are executed by a processor of a terminal, the terminal is enabled to execute the circumferential weld risk evaluation method provided in the embodiment shown in fig. 1.
Embodiments of the present application further provide a computer program product containing instructions, which when run on a computer, cause the computer to execute the circumferential weld risk assessment method provided in the embodiment shown in fig. 1.
It will be understood by those skilled in the art that all or part of the steps for implementing the above embodiments may be implemented by hardware, or may be implemented by a program instructing relevant hardware, where the program may be stored in a computer-readable storage medium, and the above-mentioned storage medium may be a read-only memory, a magnetic disk or an optical disk, etc.
In summary, the present application is only a preferred embodiment and is not intended to be limited by the scope of the present application, and any modifications, equivalents, improvements, etc. made within the spirit and principle of the present application should be included in the protection scope of the present application.
Claims (20)
1. A circumferential weld risk assessment method, characterized in that the method comprises:
acquiring a plurality of failure risk factors of a circumferential weld to be detected, wherein the failure risk factors refer to factors capable of inducing the circumferential weld to fail, and the failure risk factors comprise internal defect factors, load bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors and environmental factors;
acquiring a failure consequence coefficient of a region where the girth welding seam is located, wherein the failure consequence coefficient is used for indicating the severity of an effect caused after any girth welding seam in the region fails;
and determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the multiple failure risk factors of the girth weld and the failure consequence coefficient.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein determining the failure risk value for the girth weld based on the plurality of failure risk factors and the failure outcome coefficient for the girth weld comprises:
for a first failure risk factor in the failure risk factors, determining a possibility corresponding to the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor, wherein the possibility corresponding to the first failure risk factor is used for indicating the possibility of the first failure risk factor inducing the girth joint failure, and the first failure risk factor is any one of the failure risk factors;
determining the total failure possibility of the girth welding line according to a plurality of possibility degrees which are in one-to-one correspondence with the failure risk factors;
and determining a failure risk value of the girth weld according to the total failure possibility of the girth weld and the failure consequence coefficient.
3. The method of claim 2, wherein the first failure risk factor is the internal defect factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
and determining the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factor according to the ray negative result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld.
4. The method of claim 2, wherein the first failure risk factor is the bearing load factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
acquiring the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld;
and determining the possibility corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld.
5. The method of claim 2, wherein the first failure risk factor is the weld condition factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
acquiring the capacity of a welding unit of a participating unit of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld;
and determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factors according to the capacity of the welding set of the participating unit of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld.
6. The method of claim 2, wherein the first failure risk factor is the construction management factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
acquiring the design conformity degree of two pipelines connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld;
and determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factors according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld.
7. The method of claim 2, wherein the first failure risk factor is the environmental factor;
determining the corresponding possibility of the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor includes:
and determining the possibility corresponding to the environmental factors according to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located.
8. The method of any of claims 1 to 7, wherein prior to obtaining the failure consequence coefficient for the region of the girth weld, further comprising:
determining whether the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, a ray negative of the girth weld and the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located according to the failure risk factors, wherein the suspected black girth weld is the girth weld with detection records but no construction records;
and if the girth weld is not the suspected black girth weld, the grade of the ray negative of the girth weld is less than the reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is not the natural disaster geological area, executing the step of obtaining the failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located.
9. The method of any of claims 1 to 7, further comprising:
after failure risk values of a plurality of girth welds are determined, determining the risk level of each girth weld in the plurality of girth welds according to the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk level;
searching a girth weld with a risk grade larger than or equal to a reference risk grade from the plurality of girth welds;
determining core failure risk factors according to the found multiple failure risk factors of each circumferential weld in the circumferential welds;
and determining a maintenance strategy aiming at the areas where the plurality of girth welds are located according to the core failure risk factors.
10. A circumferential weld risk assessment device, the device comprising:
the first acquisition module is used for acquiring a plurality of failure risk factors of a circumferential weld to be detected, wherein the failure risk factors refer to factors capable of inducing the failure of the circumferential weld, and the failure risk factors comprise internal defect factors, load bearing factors, welding condition factors, construction management factors and environmental factors;
the second acquisition module is used for acquiring failure consequence coefficients of the area where the girth welds are located, and the failure consequence coefficients are used for indicating the severity of consequences caused after any girth weld in the area fails;
the first determining module is used for determining a failure risk value of the girth weld according to the multiple failure risk factors and the failure consequence coefficients of the girth weld.
11. The apparatus of claim 10, wherein the first determining module comprises:
a first determining unit, configured to determine, for a first failure risk factor among the multiple failure risk factors, a likelihood corresponding to the first failure risk factor according to the first failure risk factor, where the likelihood corresponding to the first failure risk factor is used to indicate a likelihood of the first failure risk factor inducing the girth weld failure, and the first failure risk factor is any one of the multiple failure risk factors;
the second determining unit is used for determining the total failure possibility of the girth weld according to a plurality of possibilities corresponding to the failure risk factors one by one;
and the third determining unit is used for determining the failure risk value of the girth weld according to the total failure possibility of the girth weld and the failure consequence coefficient.
12. The apparatus of claim 11, wherein the first failure risk factor is the internal defect factor;
the first determination unit includes:
and the first determining subunit is used for determining the corresponding possibility of the internal defect factor according to the ray negative result of the girth weld and the internal detection result of the girth weld.
13. The apparatus of claim 11, wherein the first failure risk factor is the bearing load factor;
the first determination unit includes:
the first acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the circumferential weld, the joint type of the circumferential weld, the stress concentration position of the circumferential weld and the repair port result of the circumferential weld;
and the second determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the load bearing factor according to the ratio of the operating pressure to the design pressure of the girth weld, the joint type of the girth weld, the stress concentration position of the girth weld and the repair port result of the girth weld.
14. The apparatus of claim 11, wherein the first failure risk factor is the weld condition factor;
the first determination unit includes:
the second acquisition subunit is used for acquiring the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld;
and the third determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the welding condition factor according to the capacity of the welding set of the participating units of the circumferential weld and the welding mode of the circumferential weld.
15. The apparatus of claim 11, wherein the first failure risk factor is the construction management factor;
the first determination unit includes:
a third obtaining subunit, configured to obtain design conformity degrees of two pipelines connecting the girth weld, a conformity degree between detection time and construction time of the girth weld, and an operation level of a manager of the girth weld;
and the fourth determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the construction management factors according to the design conformity degree of the two pipelines for connecting the girth weld, the conformity degree between the detection time and the construction time of the girth weld, and the operation level of a manager of the girth weld.
16. The apparatus of claim 11, wherein the first failure risk factor is the environmental factor;
the first determination unit includes:
and the fifth determining subunit is used for determining the possibility corresponding to the environmental factor according to the geological condition of the area where the girth weld is located.
17. The apparatus of any of claims 10 to 16, further comprising:
a second determining module, configured to determine, according to the multiple failure risk factors, whether the girth weld is a suspected black girth weld, a ray negative of the girth weld, and a geological condition of an area where the girth weld is located, where the suspected black girth weld is a girth weld that has a detection record but does not have a construction record;
the first obtaining module is further configured to execute the step of obtaining the failure consequence coefficient of the area where the girth weld is located if the girth weld is not a suspected black girth weld, the grade of the ray negative of the girth weld is less than the reference grade, and the area where the girth weld is located is not a natural disaster geological area.
18. The apparatus of any of claims 10 to 16, further comprising:
the third determining module is used for determining the failure risk values of the plurality of girth welds and then determining the risk level of each girth weld in the plurality of girth welds according to the corresponding relation between the risk value interval and the risk level;
the searching module is used for searching a girth weld with a risk grade larger than or equal to a reference risk grade from the plurality of girth welds;
the fourth determining module is used for determining core failure risk factors according to the found multiple failure risk factors of each circumferential weld in the circumferential welds;
and the fifth determining module is used for determining a maintenance strategy aiming at the areas where the plurality of girth welds are located according to the core failure risk factors.
19. A circumferential weld risk assessment device, the device comprising:
a processor;
a memory for storing processor-executable instructions;
wherein the processor is configured to perform the steps of any one of the methods of claim 1 to claim 9.
20. A computer readable storage medium having stored thereon instructions which, when executed by a processor, carry out the steps of any of the methods of claims 1 to 9.
Priority Applications (1)
| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| CN201911409352.1A CN113128807B (en) | 2019-12-31 | 2019-12-31 | Circumferential weld risk evaluation method, circumferential weld risk evaluation device and storage medium |
Applications Claiming Priority (1)
| Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| CN201911409352.1A CN113128807B (en) | 2019-12-31 | 2019-12-31 | Circumferential weld risk evaluation method, circumferential weld risk evaluation device and storage medium |
Publications (2)
| Publication Number | Publication Date |
|---|---|
| CN113128807A true CN113128807A (en) | 2021-07-16 |
| CN113128807B CN113128807B (en) | 2024-05-03 |
Family
ID=76769928
Family Applications (1)
| Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| CN201911409352.1A Active CN113128807B (en) | 2019-12-31 | 2019-12-31 | Circumferential weld risk evaluation method, circumferential weld risk evaluation device and storage medium |
Country Status (1)
| Country | Link |
|---|---|
| CN (1) | CN113128807B (en) |
Cited By (2)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN116341966A (en) * | 2023-03-16 | 2023-06-27 | 中国石油大学(北京) | Pipeline girth weld vulnerability evaluation method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium |
| CN117805145A (en) * | 2024-02-28 | 2024-04-02 | 西安汉华建筑实业有限公司 | Aluminum template surface defect detection method and system |
Citations (6)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN101488213A (en) * | 2008-01-17 | 2009-07-22 | 新奥(廊坊)燃气技术研究发展有限公司 | Risk evaluation and security management decision support system for town gas pipe |
| DE102008036622A1 (en) * | 2008-08-06 | 2010-02-11 | Dr. Ing. H.C. F. Porsche Aktiengesellschaft | Welding head test |
| CN104537574A (en) * | 2014-12-16 | 2015-04-22 | 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 | Method for evaluating damage risk of petroleum and natural gas pipeline |
| CN204808407U (en) * | 2015-04-30 | 2015-11-25 | 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 | Risk assessment system for ground equipment of gas storage |
| CN106204319A (en) * | 2015-04-30 | 2016-12-07 | 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 | Risk assessment method and device for ground equipment of gas storage |
| CN108805374A (en) * | 2017-05-02 | 2018-11-13 | 中国石油化工股份有限公司 | A method of being used for crude oil pipeline environmental risk assessment |
-
2019
- 2019-12-31 CN CN201911409352.1A patent/CN113128807B/en active Active
Patent Citations (6)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN101488213A (en) * | 2008-01-17 | 2009-07-22 | 新奥(廊坊)燃气技术研究发展有限公司 | Risk evaluation and security management decision support system for town gas pipe |
| DE102008036622A1 (en) * | 2008-08-06 | 2010-02-11 | Dr. Ing. H.C. F. Porsche Aktiengesellschaft | Welding head test |
| CN104537574A (en) * | 2014-12-16 | 2015-04-22 | 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 | Method for evaluating damage risk of petroleum and natural gas pipeline |
| CN204808407U (en) * | 2015-04-30 | 2015-11-25 | 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 | Risk assessment system for ground equipment of gas storage |
| CN106204319A (en) * | 2015-04-30 | 2016-12-07 | 中国石油天然气股份有限公司 | Risk assessment method and device for ground equipment of gas storage |
| CN108805374A (en) * | 2017-05-02 | 2018-11-13 | 中国石油化工股份有限公司 | A method of being used for crude oil pipeline environmental risk assessment |
Cited By (4)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN116341966A (en) * | 2023-03-16 | 2023-06-27 | 中国石油大学(北京) | Pipeline girth weld vulnerability evaluation method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium |
| CN116341966B (en) * | 2023-03-16 | 2023-12-22 | 中国石油大学(北京) | Pipeline girth weld vulnerability evaluation method and device, electronic equipment and storage medium |
| CN117805145A (en) * | 2024-02-28 | 2024-04-02 | 西安汉华建筑实业有限公司 | Aluminum template surface defect detection method and system |
| CN117805145B (en) * | 2024-02-28 | 2024-05-14 | 西安汉华建筑实业有限公司 | Aluminum template surface defect detection method and system |
Also Published As
| Publication number | Publication date |
|---|---|
| CN113128807B (en) | 2024-05-03 |
Similar Documents
| Publication | Publication Date | Title |
|---|---|---|
| CN108897659B (en) | Method, device and storage medium for modifying log level | |
| CN110659542B (en) | Monitoring method and device | |
| CN113128807A (en) | Circumferential weld risk evaluation method and device and storage medium | |
| CN113280265B (en) | Working condition identification method and device, computer equipment and storage medium | |
| CN111047309A (en) | Security compliance detection method and device, computer equipment and storage medium | |
| CN110174699A (en) | Method, device and storage medium for determining fault closure | |
| CN113064823A (en) | Method and device for testing functions of automobile parts and computer storage medium | |
| CN111010537B (en) | Vehicle control method, device, terminal and storage medium | |
| CN111985652B (en) | Emergency duration determination method and device and storage medium | |
| CN113792943B (en) | Group decision method and device | |
| CN110399246B (en) | Program repair method and device | |
| CN110865170B (en) | Method and device for determining sand content and storage medium | |
| CN112449308A (en) | Mobile phone signal-based activity early warning method and device for active personnel | |
| CN113470116B (en) | Verification method, device, equipment and storage medium for calibration data of camera device | |
| CN114198491A (en) | Lubricating oil-based monitoring method and system and electronic equipment | |
| CN109211181B (en) | Method, device and storage medium for determining maximum strain of pipeline | |
| CN114720932A (en) | Battery management system signal sampling precision testing method and device, upper computer and storage medium | |
| CN113408809A (en) | Automobile design scheme evaluation method and device and computer storage medium | |
| CN114151073B (en) | Method, device and equipment for evaluating barrier failure result of gas well | |
| CN114544473A (en) | Method and device for determining corrosion rate of pipeline and computer storage medium | |
| CN114626176A (en) | Security performance parameter determination method and device, computer equipment and storage medium | |
| CN114841479A (en) | Method, device and equipment for determining safety performance parameters and storage medium | |
| CN111852453A (en) | Seepage channel early warning method and device and storage medium | |
| CN112860261A (en) | Static code checking method and device, computer equipment and readable storage medium | |
| CN112800570B (en) | Method and device for determining pipeline failure consequence and storage medium |
Legal Events
| Date | Code | Title | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| PB01 | Publication | ||
| PB01 | Publication | ||
| SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
| SE01 | Entry into force of request for substantive examination | ||
| GR01 | Patent grant | ||
| GR01 | Patent grant |