CN111832936A - Distribution network power supply reliability assessment method containing distributed power supply - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention belongs to the technical field of power grid operation safety, and particularly relates to a method for evaluating power supply reliability of a distribution network with a distributed power supply. The method comprises the following steps: collecting historical wind speed data of an area where a power distribution network is located; setting data of wind speed of a fan; calculating the output of the fan according to the data of the wind speed to form a fan output sequence; collecting historical load data of the power distribution network; setting a normal distribution function of the load, and randomly generating a load sequence by the distribution function; calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan; and calculating the reliability index of the sampling period according to the fan output sequence, the load sequence and the storage battery output sequence. The method and the device describe the operation characteristics of the distribution network based on historical data and random data, improve the accuracy of power supply reliability, contribute to reasonably quantizing the reliability benefits of distributed power supply access, and are suitable for being widely popularized and applied in the power grid operation industry.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of power grid operation safety, and particularly relates to a method for evaluating power supply reliability of a distribution network with a distributed power supply.
Background
In consideration of environmental benefits and sustainable development of energy, the distributed power supply is rapidly developed, the trend supply relation of the power distribution network is changed, the reliability of the power distribution network is influenced, and economic benefits are improved. Meanwhile, the cost is increased by the distributed power supply access, when a planning department formulates a distributed power supply access scheme, the reliability improvement benefit and the access cost of the distributed access power distribution network need to be comprehensively considered, and the reasonable capacity of the distributed power supply needs to be determined, so that the reliability evaluation of the power distribution network containing the distributed power supply needs to be accurately evaluated.
At present, the reliability evaluation of the distributed power supply mainly adopts a Monte Carlo method, and the output of the distributed power supply is sampled by adopting a random simulation method, so that the defects of long time consumption and incapability of truly reflecting the processing characteristics of a specific area exist.
Disclosure of Invention
Aiming at the defects in the prior art, the invention provides a method for evaluating the power supply reliability of a distribution network with a distributed power supply. The method aims to describe the operation characteristics of the distribution network based on historical data and random data, improve the accuracy of power supply reliability and contribute to reasonably quantizing the reliability benefits of distributed power supply access.
The technical scheme adopted by the invention for realizing the purpose is as follows:
a method for evaluating the power supply reliability of a distribution network with a distributed power supply comprises the following steps:
step 1, collecting historical wind speed data of an area where a power distribution network is located;
step 2, setting wind speed data of a fan;
step 3, calculating the output of the fan according to the data of the wind speed to form a fan output sequence;
step 4, collecting historical load data of the power distribution network;
step 5, setting a normal distribution function of the load, and randomly generating a load sequence by the distribution function;
step 6, calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan;
and 7, calculating the reliability index of the sampling period according to the fan processing sequence, the load sequence and the storage battery output sequence.
The method comprises the steps of collecting historical wind speed data of an area where a power distribution network is located, wherein the sampling interval is delta T, the sampling duration is T, and forming a wind speed data sequence H [ v (T) … v (T + n delta T) … v (T) ], wherein H represents that the data sequence is composed of historical data, and v represents wind speed.
The data for setting the wind speed of the fan is a Weibull distribution function f (v) for setting the wind speed of the fan, and a wind speed sequence S [ v (t) … v (t + n delta t) … v (T) is randomly generated according to the distribution function, wherein S represents that the data sequence is composed of random data, and n represents the number of samples.
And calculating the output of the fan according to the data of the wind speed to form a fan output sequence:
H[Pw(t)…Pw(t+nΔt)…Pw(T)]and S [ P ]w(t)…Pw(t+nΔt)…Pw(T)]The calculation formula is as follows:
in the formula: h denotes that the data sequence is composed of historical data, S denotes that the data sequence is composed of random data, Pw(t) wind power output power at time t; psIs the rated power of the fan; v. ofciIs the cut-in wind speed; v. ofrIs the rated wind speed; v. ofoCutting off the wind speed; a, B, C are constants.
The collecting of the historical load data of the power distribution network comprises the following steps: the sampling interval is delta T, the sampling duration is T, and a load data sequence H [ L (T) … L (T + n delta T) … L (T) ]isformed, wherein L (T) is the load demand at the time T.
The setting of the normal distribution function of the load and the random generation of the load sequence by the distribution function means that the setting of the normal distribution function f (v) of the load, the random generation of the load sequence by the random distribution function:
S[L(t)…L(t+nΔt)…L(T)]
where σ represents the standard deviation, m represents the mean, and L represents the load.
And calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan:
S[Pb(t)…Pb(t+nΔt)…Pb(T)]and H [ P ]b(t)…Pb(t+nΔt)…Pb(T)]
In the formula Pb(t) is the battery output at time t.
The method for calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan comprises the following steps of:
step (1), calculating a storage battery output data sequence:
Pb(t)≤Eb(t+Δt)-Eb(t)
in the formula Pb(t) the output of the storage battery at the moment t, wherein positive numbers represent charging and negative numbers represent discharging; pdmRepresents the maximum discharge power; pcmDenotes the maximum charging power, PwRepresenting wind power output, EbRepresenting the battery stored energy;
step (2), the stored energy data sequence of the storage battery:
in the formula Eb(t) the accumulator energy at time t, Eb(t + Δ t) is the storage energy of the storage battery at the time of t + Δ t; emaxRepresents the maximum capacity; eminDenotes the minimum capacity, Pb(t) is the battery output at time t.
And calculating the reliability index of the sampling period according to the fan processing sequence, the load sequence and the storage battery output sequence:
in the formula, H (LOL) and S (LOL) respectively represent the loss load reliability index of the power distribution network based on historical data and random data, LOL represents the loss load reliability index of the power distribution network, and P (LOL) represents the loss load reliability index of the power distribution networkb(t) the output of the accumulator at time t, PwAnd (t) represents the wind power output power at the time t, and pr represents a probability function.
A computer storage medium having a computer program stored thereon, wherein the computer program, when executed by a processor, implements the steps of the method for evaluating reliability of power supply of a distribution network including a distributed power source.
The invention has the following beneficial effects and advantages:
the method and the device describe the operation characteristics of the distribution network based on historical data and random data, improve the accuracy of power supply reliability, contribute to reasonably quantizing the reliability benefits of distributed power supply access, and are suitable for being widely popularized and applied in the power grid operation industry.
The invention considers energy storage elements and can accurately analyze the charging and discharging conditions of energy storage and the influence of power supply on the reliability of a power distribution network.
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The above and/or additional aspects and advantages of the present invention will become apparent and readily appreciated from the following description of the embodiments, taken in conjunction with the accompanying drawings of which:
FIG. 1 is a schematic flow chart of the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order that the above objects, features and advantages of the present invention can be more clearly understood, a more particular description of the invention will be rendered by reference to the appended drawings. It should be noted that the embodiments and features of the embodiments of the present application may be combined with each other without conflict.
In the following description, numerous specific details are set forth in order to provide a thorough understanding of the present invention, however, the present invention may be practiced in other ways than those specifically described herein, and therefore the scope of the present invention is not limited by the specific embodiments disclosed below.
The solution of some embodiments of the invention is described below with reference to fig. 1.
Example 1
The invention discloses a method for evaluating the power supply reliability of a distribution network with a distributed power supply, which comprises the following steps as shown in figure 1:
step 1, collecting historical wind speed data of an area where a power distribution network is located;
step 2, setting wind speed data of a fan;
step 3, calculating the output of the fan according to the data of the wind speed to form a fan output sequence;
step 4, collecting historical load data of the power distribution network;
step 5, setting a normal distribution function of the load, and randomly generating a load sequence by the distribution function;
step 6, calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan;
6.1, calculating a storage battery output data sequence;
6.2, calculating a stored energy data sequence of the storage battery;
and 7, calculating the reliability index of the sampling period according to the fan output sequence, the load sequence and the storage battery output sequence. Namely the power distribution network load loss reliability index.
Example 2
The invention discloses a method for evaluating the power supply reliability of a distribution network with a distributed power supply, which comprises the following steps as shown in figure 1:
step 1, collecting historical wind speed data of an area where a power distribution network is located, wherein the sampling interval is delta T, the sampling time length is T, and forming a wind speed data sequence H [ v (T) … v (T + n delta T) … v (T) ], wherein H represents that the data sequence is composed of historical data, and v represents wind speed.
And 2, setting a Weibull distribution function f (v) of the wind speed of the fan, and randomly generating a wind speed sequence S [ v (t) … v (t + n delta t) … v (T) according to the distribution function, wherein S represents that the data sequence consists of random data, and n represents the number of samples.
Step 3, calculating the output of the fan according to the data of the wind speed to form the fanOutput sequence H [ P ]w(t)…Pw(t+nΔt)…Pw(T)]And S [ P ]w(t)…Pw(t+nΔt)…Pw(T)]The calculation formula is as follows:
in the formula: h denotes that the data sequence is composed of historical data, S denotes that the data sequence is composed of random data, Pw(t) wind power output power at time t; psIs the rated power of the fan; v. ofciIs the cut-in wind speed; v. ofrIs the rated wind speed; v. ofoCutting off the wind speed; a, B, C are constants
Step 4, collecting historical load data of the power distribution network, wherein the sampling interval is delta T, the sampling duration is T, and forming a load data sequence H [ L (T) … L (T + n delta T) … L (T) ], wherein L (T) is the load demand at the moment T
Step 5, setting a normal distribution function f (v) of the load, and randomly generating a load sequence by a random distribution function
S[L(t)…L(t+nΔt)…L(T)]
Where σ represents the standard deviation, m represents the mean, and L represents the load.
Step 6, calculating the output sequence S [ P ] of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fanb(t)…Pb(t+nΔt)…Pb(T)]And H [ P ]b(t)…Pb(t+nΔt)…Pb(T)]
In the formula Pb(t) is the battery output at time t.
Step 6.1 of calculating the output data sequence of the storage battery
Pb(t)≤Eb(t+Δt)-Eb(t)
In the formula Pb(t) is time tOutput of the accumulator, positive number for charging, negative number for discharging, PdmDenotes the maximum discharge power, PcmRepresents the maximum charging power formula, PwRepresenting wind power output, EbIndicating the battery stored energy.
Step 6.2 stored energy data sequence of Battery
In the formula Eb(t) the accumulator energy at time t, Eb(t + Δ t) is the storage energy of the storage battery at the time of t + Δ t; emaxRepresents the maximum capacity; eminDenotes the minimum capacity, Pb(t) the output of the battery at time t, Eb(t) represents the battery stored energy at time t.
And 7, calculating the reliability index of the sampling period according to the fan output sequence, the load sequence and the storage battery output sequence.
In the formula, H (LOL) and S (LOL) respectively represent the loss load reliability index of the power distribution network based on historical data and random data, LOL represents the loss load reliability index of the power distribution network, and P (LOL) represents the loss load reliability index of the power distribution networkb(t) the output of the accumulator at time t, PwAnd (t) represents the wind power output power at the time t, and pr represents a probability function.
Example 3
Based on the same inventive concept, an embodiment of the present invention further provides a computer storage medium, where a computer program is stored on the computer storage medium, and when the computer program is executed by a processor, the method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power source according to embodiment 1 or 2 is implemented.
As will be appreciated by one skilled in the art, embodiments of the present application may be provided as a method, system, or computer program product. Accordingly, the present application may take the form of an entirely hardware embodiment, an entirely software embodiment or an embodiment combining software and hardware aspects. Furthermore, the present application may take the form of a computer program product embodied on one or more computer-usable storage media (including, but not limited to, disk storage, CD-ROM, optical storage, and the like) having computer-usable program code embodied therein.
The present application is described with reference to flowchart illustrations and/or block diagrams of methods, apparatus (systems), and computer program products according to embodiments of the application. It will be understood that each flow and/or block of the flow diagrams and/or block diagrams, and combinations of flows and/or blocks in the flow diagrams and/or block diagrams, can be implemented by computer program instructions. These computer program instructions may be provided to a processor of a general purpose computer, special purpose computer, embedded processor, or other programmable data processing apparatus to produce a machine, such that the instructions, which execute via the processor of the computer or other programmable data processing apparatus, create means for implementing the functions specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
These computer program instructions may also be stored in a computer-readable memory that can direct a computer or other programmable data processing apparatus to function in a particular manner, such that the instructions stored in the computer-readable memory produce an article of manufacture including instruction means which implement the function specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
These computer program instructions may also be loaded onto a computer or other programmable data processing apparatus to cause a series of operational steps to be performed on the computer or other programmable apparatus to produce a computer implemented process such that the instructions which execute on the computer or other programmable apparatus provide steps for implementing the functions specified in the flowchart flow or flows and/or block diagram block or blocks.
Finally, it should be noted that: the above embodiments are only for illustrating the technical solutions of the present invention and not for limiting the same, and although the present invention is described in detail with reference to the above embodiments, those of ordinary skill in the art should understand that: modifications and equivalents may be made to the embodiments of the invention without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention, which is to be covered by the claims.
Claims (10)
1. A method for evaluating the power supply reliability of a distribution network with a distributed power supply is characterized by comprising the following steps: the method comprises the following steps:
step 1, collecting historical wind speed data of an area where a power distribution network is located;
step 2, setting wind speed data of a fan;
step 3, calculating the output of the fan according to the data of the wind speed to form a fan output sequence;
step 4, collecting historical load data of the power distribution network;
step 5, setting a normal distribution function of the load, and randomly generating a load sequence by the distribution function;
step 6, calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan;
and 7, calculating the reliability index of the sampling period according to the fan processing sequence, the load sequence and the storage battery output sequence.
2. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the method comprises the steps of collecting historical wind speed data of an area where a power distribution network is located, wherein the sampling interval is delta T, the sampling duration is T, and forming a wind speed data sequence H [ v (T) … v (T + n delta T) … v (T) ], wherein H represents that the data sequence is composed of historical data, and v represents wind speed.
3. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the data for setting the wind speed of the fan is a Weibull distribution function f (v) for setting the wind speed of the fan, and a wind speed sequence S [ v (t) … v (t + n delta t) … v (T) is randomly generated according to the distribution function, wherein S represents that the data sequence is composed of random data, and n represents the number of samples.
4. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: and calculating the output of the fan according to the data of the wind speed to form a fan output sequence:
H[Pw(t)…Pw(t+nΔt)…Pw(T)]and S [ P ]w(t)…Pw(t+nΔt)…Pw(T)]The calculation formula is as follows:
in the formula: h denotes that the data sequence is composed of historical data, S denotes that the data sequence is composed of random data, Pw(t) wind power output power at time t; psIs the rated power of the fan; v. ofciIs the cut-in wind speed; v. ofrIs the rated wind speed; v. ofoCutting off the wind speed; a, B, C are constants.
5. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the collecting of the historical load data of the power distribution network comprises the following steps: the sampling interval is delta T, the sampling duration is T, and a load data sequence H [ L (T) … L (T + n delta T) … L (T) ]isformed, wherein L (T) is the load demand at the time T.
6. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the setting of the normal distribution function of the load and the random generation of the load sequence by the distribution function means that the setting of the normal distribution function f (v) of the load, the random generation of the load sequence by the random distribution function:
S[L(t)…L(t+nΔt)…L(T)]
where σ represents the standard deviation, m represents the mean, and L represents the load.
7. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 1, wherein the method comprises the following steps: and calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan:
S[Pb(t)…Pb(t+nΔt)…Pb(T)]and H [ P ]b(t)…Pb(t+nΔt)…Pb(T)]
In the formula Pb(t) is the battery output at time t.
8. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 2, wherein the method comprises the following steps: the method for calculating the output sequence of the storage battery according to the output sequence and the load sequence of the fan comprises the following steps of:
step (1), calculating a storage battery output data sequence:
Pb(t)≤Eb(t+Δt)-Eb(t)
in the formula Pb(t) the output of the storage battery at the moment t, wherein positive numbers represent charging and negative numbers represent discharging; pdmRepresents the maximum discharge power; pcmDenotes the maximum charging power, PwRepresenting wind power output, EbRepresenting the battery stored energy;
step (2), the stored energy data sequence of the storage battery:
in the formula Eb(t) the battery stores energy at time t,Eb(t + Δ t) is the storage energy of the storage battery at the time of t + Δ t; emaxRepresents the maximum capacity; eminDenotes the minimum capacity, Pb(t) is the battery output at time t.
9. The method for evaluating the power supply reliability of the distribution network with the distributed power supply as claimed in claim 2, wherein the method comprises the following steps: and calculating the reliability index of the sampling period according to the fan processing sequence, the load sequence and the storage battery output sequence:
in the formula, H (LOL) and S (LOL) respectively represent the loss load reliability index of the power distribution network based on historical data and random data, LOL represents the loss load reliability index of the power distribution network, and P (LOL) represents the loss load reliability index of the power distribution networkb(t) the output of the accumulator at time t, PwAnd (t) represents the wind power output power at the time t, and pr represents a probability function.
10. A computer storage medium, characterized by: the computer storage medium has a computer program stored thereon, and the computer program when executed by a processor implements the steps of the method for evaluating reliability of power supply of the distribution network including the distributed power source according to claims 1 to 9.
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CN109245155A (en) * | 2018-09-30 | 2019-01-18 | 国网河北省电力有限公司经济技术研究院 | The credible capacity evaluating method of power distribution network broad sense power supply power transformation based on uncertain theory |
CN109583635A (en) * | 2018-11-16 | 2019-04-05 | 贵州电网有限责任公司 | A kind of short-term load forecasting modeling method towards operational reliability |
CN111211556A (en) * | 2019-12-29 | 2020-05-29 | 国网辽宁省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Distribution network power supply reliability assessment method considering wind power |
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