CN109543919A - A kind of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency and its implementation to be developed based on accident - Google Patents
A kind of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency and its implementation to be developed based on accident Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency and its implementation to be developed based on accident.System includes unmanned plane detecting platform or portable personal detecting equipment, data communication transmission device, scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape, command centre's server and the emergency aid decision command system platform for information exchange and Analysis of Policy Making.For accident scene feature, disposal technology demand and scene of the accident multidate information parameter, it realizes according to the fire scene temperature of scene of the accident real-time monitoring, heat radiation, ambient wind velocity, gas concentration parameters dynamic change, and the accident Evolution and consequence predicted, automatically suitable dynamic disposal method element is matched from dynamic emergency preplan factor database, and generates dynamic emergency disposal scheme；And it is exported in such a way that multi-layer image is marked and drawed in each display terminal.The quantification to accident development trend and damage sequence, graphic software platform are realized, disposition commander provides decision support for accident emergency.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to the technologies that fire fighting and rescue disposition decision is carried out for fire incident, and in particular to one kind is based on accident
The fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency and its implementation of evolution.
Background technique
During complicated fire fire fighting and rescue, since fire incident scene is complicated and changeable, often cause chain time
Raw disaster accident, fire fighter carry out the main micro-judgment according to fire commander, Wu Fagen in fire fighting and rescue disposal process
Scene of a fire evolution features carry out prediction and disposition decision efficiently, scientific when factually.And it is worked out for fire-fighting key unit and place
Fire fighting and rescue prediction scheme mainly according to key unit or place the characteristics of, by setting fire or other disaster things may occur
Therefore scene, the harm and its extent of injury that may cause are analyzed, and draft corresponding tactical method and combat action scheme, is formed
Emergency disposal prediction scheme, to provide reference for fire-fighting drill and training and fire fighting and rescue disposition scene.But fire incident scene
Situation is complicated and changeable, and such fire fighting and rescue prediction scheme worked out in advance can not really reflect scene of fire real time status and fire extinguishing comprehensively
Rescue concrete condition can not have effect to the counte-rplan that the accident scene of fire Evolution Development different phase is lack of pertinence
Emergency disposal aid decision and commander for fire fighting and rescue scene.
Summary of the invention
The purpose of the present invention is mainly for the complex scene with petrochemical processing and device fire, harmful influence fire etc. for representative
Fire incident, since the accident that is faced is complicated, influence factor is numerous, fire fighting and rescue disposition is difficult, it would be highly desirable to which development science is answered
The problem of anxious disposition is with decision especially provides a kind of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency based on accident evolution and its realization side
Method.
The technical solution adopted by the present invention is that: a kind of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident, feature
It is, the system comprises for monitoring fire scene temperature, scene of a fire heat radiation, hazardous gas concentration data, site environment gas ginseng
Number and kindling material information, the scene of a fire detects platform adjacent to the unmanned plane of harmful influence temperature or portable personal detecting is equipped
And field monitoring facilities and equipment；Including data communication transmission device, scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape, detection information
Database, command centre's server and the emergency aid decision command system platform for information exchange and Analysis of Policy Making；Also
Including command centre's display terminal, floor manager vehicle display terminal and portable device terminal；The scene of the accident command car
Netscape messaging server Netscape is equipped with: accident develops and inversion prediction model, fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model, strength of attack demand
Prediction model and dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database；The unmanned plane detecting platform or portable personal detecting dress
Standby, field monitoring facilities and equipment realizes data by data communication transmission device and scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape
Communication connection, and will acquire data and be stored in detection information database, scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape and commander
Central server is attached by data communication network, and the software systems of emergency aid decision command system platform are mounted on thing
Therefore on floor manager vehicle netscape messaging server Netscape, data exchange and service are carried out with detection information database by data transmission；
Command centre's server connects command centre's display terminal, and emergency aid decision command system platform is also transmitted by data communication
It is separately connected command centre's server, floor manager vehicle display terminal, portable device display terminal.
Of the present invention when there is accident alarming, system starts emergency disposal decision-making process, i.e. accident is arrived in automatic positioning
Unit, and field monitoring information and real-time detection information are called, determine accident scene, and call accident consequence prediction model, root
According to determining accident scene and field monitoring information and real-time detection information, accident characterisitic parameter is calculated according to model, is carried out
Accident is instead deduced and trend prediction, determines accident scene consequence and coverage；Extinguishing chemical class needed for being determined for accident scene
Type is equipped to related fire-fighting resource, and calls fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model, carries out extinguishing chemical, fire water and other fire-fightings money
Source prediction；Emergency disposal program is determined according to accident scene consequence and coverage；Pass through fire-fighting resource and strength of attack demand
Prediction, according to that can use fire-fighting resource equipment information, fire-fighting water consumption needed for prediction and the emergency disposal determined, extinguishing chemical are used
Amount, fire-fighting equipment number of types, fire-fighting combatant's quantity, and according to emergency disposal program, in conjunction with dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme
Factor database carries out dynamic emergency disposal decision, in-time generatin dynamic disposition side in emergency aid decision command system platform
Case；When strength of attack meets fire extinguishing operational need, fire extinguishing operation disposal method is generated；It fights when strength of attack is unsatisfactory for fire extinguishing
When demand, cooling and fire control disposal method is generated.
Accident inversion calculation process of the present invention are as follows: the scene of the accident is obtained according to scene of the accident monitoring and detection equipment
Environmental information, such as scene of a fire distance and range, thermal radiation flux, fire scene temperature, environment flammable gas concentration, kindling material information number
According to using fire source heat radiation, flame temperature and flame height and fire place computation model, Inversion Calculation point is carried out in collaboration
Analysis carries out Inversion Calculation to flame height, fire source area, fire source power, scene of a fire regional temperature, peripheral facility radiation of equipment heat,
Reduction accident state of development determines accident impact range and degree, carries out the prediction of fire development evolution trend, analyzes fire spread
Trend, prediction burnt area, thermally safe protection scope and secondary chain accident that may be present.
Emergency resources of the present invention and strength requirement forecasting process execute following operation: when location of accident and type are true
After fixed, database data is called, the accident of determination is related to substance and periphery harmful influence type, then determines the fire extinguishing for being applicable in and avoiding
Agent calls accident consequence prediction as a result, calling accident scene information, then according to by foamite amount demand model, fire water
Dosage demand model constitute fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model and by fire-fighting equipment demand model, fire-fighting combatant's demand mould
The strength of attack Demand Forecast Model that type is constituted, calculates separately out extinguishing chemical demand, fire-fighting water demand, fire-fighting equipment demand
Amount and fire-fighting combatant's demand.
Foamite amount demand model of the present invention are as follows:
Q6=kQth=k (Q1+Q2+…Qi) (1)
Wherein: Q1=A1×q1×T1
Q2=A2×q2×T2
K=CPT
In formula, QeThe actual demand amount of-extinguishing chemical, unit L；
Qth- extinguishing chemical theoretical amount, unit L；
Q1- put out pond fire fire-fighting dose, unit L；
Q2- put out the fiery fire-fighting dose of trickling, unit L；
- put outFire-fighting dose needed for kind accident scene, unit L；
A1- pond fire area, unit m2；
A2- trickle fiery area, m2；
q1- pond fire extinguishing chemical fire extinguishing supply intensity, unit L/ (sm2)；
q2- fiery extinguishing chemical fire extinguishing supply intensity of trickling, L/ (sm2)；
T1- continuous the service time of fiery extinguishing chemical mixed liquor that trickles of saving, unit s；
T2The continuous service time of-fighting pond fire extinguishing chemical mixed liquor, s；
K-fire-extinguishing chemical demand actual combat coefficient；
C-multifactor impact weight coefficient；
PT- multifactor impact numerical value；
The multifactor impact weight coefficient are as follows:
In formula, C-multifactor impact weight coefficient；
W-influence factor weight coefficient collection；
B-factor influences evaluation result collection；
W1- extinguishing chemical splashing factor weight coefficient；
W2- kindling device internal factor weight coefficient；
W3- meteorologic factor weight coefficient；
boutThe weight vector of-external influence factors；
bout1The weight vector of-external influence factors 1；
bout2The weight vector of-external influence factors 2；
bout3The weight vector of-external influence factors 3；
bout4The weight vector of-external influence factors 4；
bin1The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 1；
bin2The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 2；
bin3The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 3；
bin4The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 4；
bw1The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 1；
bw2The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 2；
bw3The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 3；
bw4The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 4；
B-factor influences evaluation result collection.
Fire water dosage demand model of the present invention are as follows:
Qwth=Qm+Qeq+Qadj (2)
Wherein, Qeq=n1Aq3T3
Qadj=0.5n2Aq4T4
Qm=aQint
In formula, Qeq- kindling device cooling water amount, unit L；
n1- same time interior device quantity of catching fire, unit；
q3- kindling device cooling water supply intensity, unit L/sm2；
A-kindling apparatus surface product, unit m2；
T3The continuous service time of-cooling water, unit s；
Qadj- apparatus adjacent cooling water amount, unit L/s；
n2The quantity of-the apparatus adjacent that need to be cooled down simultaneously, unit；
q4- apparatus adjacent cooling water supply intensity, unit L/sm2；
A-apparatus adjacent surface area, unit m2；
T4The continuous service time of-cooling water, unit s；
QmThe water consumption of-preparation extinguishing chemical mixed liquor, unit L；
Moisture content in a-extinguishing chemical mixed liquor；
Qint- extinguishing chemical mixes liquid measure, unit L；
Qwth- total fire water water consumption.
Fire-fighting equipment demand model of the present invention are as follows:
In formula, the demand volume of Q-extinguishing chemical or fire water, L/s；
N1、2、3、4……、i—N1、N2、N3、N4……、NiThe quantity of type Fire branch, big gun；
The flow of type Fire branch, big gun.
Fire-fighting combatant demand model of the present invention are as follows:
In formula, N-equipment operation number；
The quantity of type Fire branch, big gun.
Dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database of the present invention includes emergency strength, emergency resources and disposition plan
Slightly with three element collection of program, system matches suitable dynamic disposal method element from dynamic emergency preplan factor database,
Generate dynamic emergency disposal scheme；When the scene of the accident is disposed, dynamic Emergency decision scheme is automatically generated according to accident developing state,
And dynamic emergency disposal scheme is exported in such a way that multi-layer image is marked and drawed in each display terminal.
The invention has the advantages that: realize the quantification to accident development trend and damage sequence, figure
Shapeization display.According to accident evolvement trend and accident consequence prediction result and accident scene information automatic Prediction fire-fighting resource with disappear
The rapid Optimum of anti-strength demand, Mobile state disposal method of going forward side by side generates, and for accident emergency, disposition commander provides dynamic decision branch
It holds.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is system composing and working theory schematic diagram of the invention；
Fig. 2 is Emergency decision flow chart；
Fig. 3 is accident inversion calculation flow chart；
Fig. 4 is system architecture diagram of the invention；
Fig. 5 is fire-fighting resource and strength requirement forecasting flow chart；
Fig. 6 is dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database architecture diagram；
Fig. 7 is that dynamic aspect generates and multi-layer image plotting output flow chart.
Specific embodiment
Technical solution of the present invention is described further below by way of examples and with reference to the accompanying drawings:
As shown in Figure 1, system includes for monitoring fire scene temperature, scene of a fire heat radiation, hazardous gas concentration data, live ring
Platform or portable personal are detected adjacent to the unmanned plane of harmful influence temperature in border gas parameter and kindling material information, the scene of a fire
Detecting equipment and field monitoring facilities and equipment；Including data communication transmission device, scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape,
Detection information database, command centre's server and the emergency aid decision command system for information exchange and Analysis of Policy Making
Platform；It further include command centre's display terminal, floor manager vehicle display terminal and portable device terminal；The scene of the accident
Command car netscape messaging server Netscape is equipped with: accident develops and inversion prediction model, fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model, fire-fighting power
Measure Demand Forecast Model and dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database；The unmanned plane detecting platform or portable personal are detectd
Survey equipment, field monitoring facilities and equipment is realized by data communication transmission device and scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape
Data communication connection, and will acquire data and be stored in detection information database, scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape with
Command centre's server is attached by data communication network, the software systems installation of emergency aid decision command system platform
On the command car netscape messaging server Netscape of the scene of the accident, data exchange and clothes are carried out with detection information database by data transmission
Business；Command centre's server connects command centre's display terminal, and emergency aid decision command system platform also passes through data communication
Transmission is separately connected command centre's server, floor manager vehicle display terminal, portable device display terminal.
The present invention (mainly includes that portable hazardous gas is detectd using unmanned plane detecting platform or portable personal detecting equipment
Inspection, infrared thermal imagery analysis), field monitoring facilities and equipment obtains scene of the accident real time information, and live detection information in real time led to
Aid decision command system platform is crossed in conjunction with typical fire incident evolutionary model, imports associated scenario for scene of the accident feature
Model analyzes simultaneously quick predict accident Evolution Development trend and damage sequence in real time, and in scene of the accident command car, commanding in the rear
The portable terminal of center and floor manager person carry out predictive analysis results displaying, realize to accident development trend and accident
The quantification of consequence, graphic software platform.According to accident consequence prediction result and accident scene information automatic Prediction fire-fighting resource with
Strength of attack demand and the rapid Optimum of dynamic disposal method generate, and for accident emergency, disposition commander provides decision support.
As shown in Fig. 2, system starts emergency disposal decision-making process when there is accident alarming, i.e. trouble ticket is arrived in automatic positioning
Position, and field monitoring information and real-time detection information are called, determine accident scene, and call accident consequence prediction model, according to
Determining accident scene and field monitoring information and real-time detection information calculates accident characterisitic parameter according to model, carries out thing
Therefore anti-deduction and trend prediction, determine accident scene consequence and coverage；Extinguishing chemical type needed for being determined for accident scene
It is equipped to related fire-fighting resource, and calls fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model, carry out extinguishing chemical, fire water and other fire-fighting resources
Prediction；Emergency disposal program is determined according to accident scene consequence and coverage；It is pre- by fire-fighting resource and strength of attack demand
Survey, according to can use fire-fighting resource equipment information, fire-fighting water consumption needed for prediction and the emergency disposal determined, foamite amount,
Fire-fighting equipment number of types, fire-fighting combatant's quantity, and according to emergency disposal program, in conjunction with dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme element
Database carries out dynamic emergency disposal decision, in-time generatin dynamic disposal method in emergency aid decision command system platform；When
When strength of attack meets fire extinguishing operational need, fire extinguishing operation disposal method is generated；When strength of attack is unsatisfactory for fire extinguishing operational need
When, generate cooling and fire control disposal method.
As shown in figure 3, accident inversion calculation process are as follows: obtain scene of the accident ring according to scene of the accident monitoring and detection equipment
Border information, such as scene of a fire distance and range, thermal radiation flux, fire scene temperature, environment flammable gas concentration, kindling material information number
According to using fire source heat radiation, flame temperature and flame height and fire place computation model, Inversion Calculation point is carried out in collaboration
Analysis carries out Inversion Calculation to flame height, fire source area, fire source power, scene of a fire regional temperature, peripheral facility radiation of equipment heat,
Reduction accident state of development determines accident impact range and degree, carries out the prediction of fire development evolution trend, analyzes fire spread
Trend, prediction burnt area, thermally safe protection scope and secondary chain accident that may be present.
As shown in figure 4, including base platform, data resource layer, industry based on the dynamic Decision System of Emergency that accident develops
Business five supporting layer, application system level and client layer levels, the Networks and Communications system being directed to, host storage are with backup
The hardware foundation of system, information safety system, alarm calls system, video monitoring system, big screen display system as system, accordingly
Operating system, GIS-Geographic Information System (GIS), data base management system is as system-based podium level basis of software；Decision system
Data resource involved in software of uniting includes accident scene database, basic geological study database, Geocoding Database, space number
According to library, service database and evaluation index database, types of databases data are transferred to data center by data communication and put down
Platform, to support and realize that system business service, GIS information service, data safety service, message push service, list generate clothes
Business；All types of user of the system software towards the personnel of detecting in the act, Police Command Center, emergency unit and a line combatant is answered
With system layer, then after mainly including data acquisition subsystem, portal website's application, accident detection subsystem, accident inversion, accident
Fruit prediction, fire-fighting resources, Emergency decision command module.
Base platform mainly includes the system software and hardware system on basis, to support the basic training of this application system
Energy；Data resource layer is the basis that system function is realized, is various basic datas, the set of basic information；Business support layer will
Data resource is connected with various business services, establishes bridge for the calling and application of data；System application layer mainly be
The set for function of uniting, presents the main functional modules that this system is able to achieve；Client layer is mainly to use software according to user
Functional requirement, different permissions is given according to the difference of responsibility, and open different function preferably supports it to complete making for oneself
Life, nucleus module are accident inversion module, fire-fighting resources module, Emergency decision commander's module.
As shown in figure 5, emergency resources and strength requirement forecasting process execute following operation: when location of accident and type determine
Afterwards, database data is called, the accident of determination is related to substance and periphery harmful influence type, then determines the fire extinguishing for being applicable in and avoiding
Agent calls accident consequence prediction as a result, calling accident scene information, then according to by foamite amount demand model, fire water
Dosage demand model constitute fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model and by fire-fighting equipment demand model, fire-fighting combatant's demand mould
The strength of attack Demand Forecast Model that type is constituted, calculates separately out extinguishing chemical demand, fire-fighting water demand, fire-fighting equipment demand
Amount and fire-fighting combatant's demand.
Emergency decision commands module according to data such as accident overview, accident scene information, calculated by model analysis and with
The related disposition information data of dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database association, automatically generates accident emergency decision scheme, including
Accident essential information, accident consequence prediction and accident impact range, accident periphery emergency resources information are suitble to and avoid extinguishing chemical
Type, extinguishing chemical requirement forecasting, fire water requirement forecasting, strength of attack requirement forecasting, strength of attack layout and battle station, fire-fighting are rescued
Help strategy, accident post processor etc..
By taking foam as an example, foamite amount demand model of the invention are as follows:
Q6=kQth=k (Q1+Q2+…Qi) (1)
Wherein: Q1=A1×q1×T1
Q2=A2×q2×T2
K=CPT
In formula, QeThe actual demand amount of-fire foam, unit L；
Qth- fire foam theoretical amount, unit L；
Q1- put out pond fire foam volume, unit L；
Q2- put out the fiery foam volume of trickling, unit L；
- put outFoam volume needed for kind accident scene, unit L；
A1- pond fire area, unit m2；
A2- trickle fiery area, m2；
q1The fire foam fire-fighting of-pond supplies intensity, unit L/ (sm2)；
q2- fiery foam fire-fighting of trickling supplies intensity, L/ (sm2)；
T1- continuous the service time of fiery foam mixing liquid that trickles of saving, unit s；
T2The continuous service time of-fighting pond fire foam mixing liquid, s；
K-fire-extinguishing chemical demand actual combat coefficient；
C-multifactor impact weight coefficient；
PT- multifactor impact numerical value；
Multifactor impact weight coefficient are as follows:
In formula, C-multifactor impact weight coefficient；
W-influence factor weight coefficient collection；
B-factor influences evaluation result collection；
W1- foam splashing factor weight coefficient；
W2- kindling device internal factor weight coefficient；
W3- meteorologic factor weight coefficient；
boutThe weight vector of-external influence factors；
bout1The weight vector of-external influence factors 1；
bout2The weight vector of-external influence factors 2；
bout3The weight vector of-external influence factors 3；
bout4The weight vector of-external influence factors 4；
bin1The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 1；
bin2The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 2；
bin3The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 3；
bin4The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 4；
bw1The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 1；
bw2The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 2；
bw3The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 3；
bw4The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 4；
B-factor influences evaluation result collection.
Fire water dosage demand model of the invention are as follows:
Qwth=Qm+Qeq+Qadj (2)
Wherein, Qeq=n1Aq3T3
Qadj=0.5n2Aq4T4
Qm=aQint
In formula, Qeq- kindling device cooling water amount, unit L；
n1- same time interior device quantity of catching fire, unit；
q3- kindling device cooling water supply intensity, unit L/sm2；
A-kindling apparatus surface product, unit m2；
T3The continuous service time of-cooling water, unit s；
Qadj- apparatus adjacent cooling water amount, unit L/s；
n2The quantity of-the apparatus adjacent that need to be cooled down simultaneously, unit；
q4- apparatus adjacent cooling water supply intensity, unit L/sm2；
A-apparatus adjacent surface area, unit m2；
T4The continuous service time of-cooling water, unit s；
QmThe water consumption of-preparation foam mixing liquid, unit L；
Moisture content in a-foam mixing liquid；
Qint- foams mix liquid measure, unit L；
Qwth- total fire water water consumption.
Fire-fighting equipment demand model of the invention are as follows:
In formula, the demand volume of Q-extinguishing chemical or fire water, L/s；
N1、2、3、4……、i—N1、N2、N3、N4……、NiThe quantity of type Fire branch, big gun；
The flow of type Fire branch, big gun.
Fire-fighting combatant's demand model of the invention are as follows:
In formula, N-equipment operation number；
The quantity of type Fire branch, big gun.
As shown in fig. 6, establishing accident dynamic Response project factor data according to fire incident emergency disposal program and process
Library, and the search of Dynamic contingency disposal method element, built-up pattern are established, realize the scene of a fire temperature according to scene of the accident real-time monitoring
The variation of the dynamic state of parameters such as degree, heat radiation, ambient wind velocity, and the accident Evolution and consequence predicted, automatically from dynamically answering
Suitable dynamic disposal method element is matched in anxious prediction scheme factor database, and generates dynamic emergency disposal scheme.Dynamic is met an urgent need
Response project factor database includes three strength, emergency resources and Disposal Strategies and program element collection of emergency, including by going out
The emergency power that fiery rescue group, live warning group, traffic guidance's group, medical aid group, emergency collaboration strength, communications and reports group are constituted
Amount；Including the emergency resources being made of fire-fighting equipment, fire water supply, extinguishing chemical, other guarantee goods and materials；Including by process journey
The Disposal Strategies and program that sequence, fire extinguishing treatment procedures, datonation-inhibition treatment procedures, security protection program, emergency evacuation strategy are constituted.System
System matches suitable dynamic disposal method element from dynamic emergency preplan factor database, generates dynamic emergency disposal scheme；
When the scene of the accident is disposed, dynamic Emergency decision scheme is automatically generated according to accident developing state, scheme mainly includes that accident is basic
Overview, accident consequence prediction result, periphery strength of attack and fire-fighting resource distribution, emergency resources distribution, accident domino risk,
Emergency management and rescue emergency evacuation route, emergency disposal strategy and program, fire-fighting battle station, and by dynamic Emergency decision scheme with multi-layer image
Plotting mode is exported in each display terminal.
As shown in fig. 7, to mark and draw output process as follows for dynamic scheme forming and multi-layer image: system is from the sound of something astir after accident alarming
It answers, calls production scene monitoring signal and fire-fighting investigator scene detection signal, call accident consequence prediction module, system is certainly
It is dynamic to carry out quick damage sequence calculating and coverage prediction using on-site supervision, detection signal as input item, as a result with picture and text
Mode is directly shown in system GIS figure layer；Extinguishing chemical is determined according to the device in the fiery range of control and protection scope, material situation
Type simultaneously calls fire-fighting resource and strength of attack Demand Forecast Model to carry out fire-fighting resources, and emphasis includes fire water demand
Prediction, fire-extinguishing chemical requirement forecasting, fire-fighting equipment and fire-fighting combatant's requirement forecasting prediction result are shown with chart mode；
Match suitable dynamic disposition from dynamic emergency preplan element library automatically according to accident scene information, fire disaster situation prediction result
Scheme element determines fire extinguishing strategy, fire extinguishing battle station etc.；Fire incident consequence, accident Domino effect, fire-fighting battle station, periphery disappear
Anti- resource, periphery emergency resources etc. are shown in the form that multi-layer image is marked and drawed and output.System can be every 3-10 minutes automatic roots
A dynamic Emergency decision scheme is exported according to fire development situation.
The present invention is directed to accident scene feature, disposal technology demand and scene of the accident multidate information parameter, establishes accident
Dynamic Response project factor database, and establish real-time Dynamic contingency information and the mapping of corresponding Response project element, search with
Combination producing relationship is realized according to the fire scene temperature of scene of the accident real-time monitoring, heat radiation, ambient wind velocity, gas concentration parameters
Dynamic change, and the accident Evolution and consequence predicted are matched from dynamic emergency preplan factor database suitable automatically
The dynamic disposal method element of conjunction, and generate dynamic emergency disposal scheme；Dynamic is automatically generated according to accident developing state to meet an urgent need
Decision scheme, scheme mainly include accident basic situation, accident consequence prediction result, periphery strength of attack and fire-fighting resource point
Cloth, emergency resources distribution, accident domino risk, emergency management and rescue emergency evacuation route, emergency disposal strategy and program, fire-fighting war
Position, and exported in such a way that multi-layer image is marked and drawed in each display terminal.
The implementation method summary of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency based on accident evolution has following steps:
Step 1: scene of a fire detecting and real-time information collection
(1) using unmanned plane detecting platform or portable personal detecting equipment (mainly include portable hazardous gas detection,
The detections such as infrared thermal imagery analyzer equipment), field monitoring facilities and equipment obtain the real time information of fire incident scene.
(2) by real time monitoring, detection information (including scene of a fire video information, hazardous gas concentration distribution, temperature and heat
Radiation, kindling material information etc. data) by wireless digital communication mode, real-time Transmission to live fire fighting command car server,
And rear Fire Command Center.
Step 2: accident inversion and development prediction
(1) using the typical fire incident evolutionary model in the vehicle-mounted aid decision command system of fire fighting command car, to scene
Acquisition information data carries out calculating analysis, in real time analysis and quick predict accident Evolution Development trend and damage sequence.
(2) by Calculation results, referred to patterned way at scene of the accident command car, commanding in the rear center and scene
The portable terminal for the person of waving shown, realizes quantification to accident development trend and damage sequence, graphic software platform.
Step 3: dynamic scheme forming and aid decision
(1) it simulated and is developed according to accident scene, develop Calculation results, carried out for different accident evolution scenes
Fire-fighting resource requirement forecast analysis is generated based on accident handling case statistics and dynamic prediction scheme database and is directed to accident scene
The emergency disposal scheme of different evolution stages.
(2) plan is disposed according to dynamic disposal method generated, fire-fighting resource and strength of attack demand and accident scene
Slightly, corresponding accident scene disposition decision scheme is generated, and is drawn in the enterprising rower of the GIS map of incident area and shows generated determine
Plan scheme.
The present invention includes field monitoring facilities and equipment, unmanned plane and Fireman site monitoring detection subsystem platform, is based on
The accident development prediction and dynamic disposition aid decision-making system and fire-fighting command platform and terminal of accident scene real time information,
And it is attached and data communication by the local area network that wireless telecommunications are formed.The scene of the accident monitor detection subsystem platform mainly by
Field monitoring facilities and equipment carries infrared, heat radiation, toxic and harmful gas detecting devices hangs storehouse and data communication transmission device
Unmanned aerial vehicle platform and fireman's personal portable, wearable detection equipment and data transmission set constitute；Fire-fighting command platform with
Terminal is mainly by commanding in the rear central information platform (command centre's server and display system), live fire fighting command car server
It is formed with the equipment such as display system and live officers and men's portable terminal；Accident based on accident scene real time information develops pre-
It surveys and mainly includes damage sequence development prediction model, fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model, disappears with dynamic disposition aid decision-making system
The modules such as anti-strength Demand Forecast Model and emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database composition.Dynamic aid decision-making system is based on
Fire-fighting resource real-time predicting method and model, according to geography information, accident technique and device information, fire-fighting equipment information, meteorology
Information etc. constructs fire-extinguishing chemical influencing factors for demand two-level appraisement index system, and index weights at different levels are quantified, and is disappeared
Fire-prevention extinguishing agent actual combat consumption coefficient.In conjunction with accident scene information and the fire water of accident forecast prediction of result, fire-extinguishing chemical demand,
In conjunction with fire-fighting equipment information can quantification determine all kinds of fire-fighting equipment quantity requireds and fire-fighting combatant's quantity.
When fire occurs, fire-fighting and rescue personnel are to scene of a fire basic parameter (scene of a fire heat radiation, hazardous gas concentration, live ring
Border meteorologic parameter etc.) real-time monitoring is carried out, and it is uploaded to the fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency platform to develop based on accident, system
Accident inversion model is called to calculate damage sequence and coverage, system is according to on-site test data, and every 3-10 minute automatically more
New damage sequence and coverage calculated result, and shown on geographical map in a manner of figure layer, so as to field rescue commander people
Member determines evacuation and fence coverage.
Claims (9)
1. a kind of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident, which is characterized in that the system comprises for monitoring
Fire scene temperature, scene of a fire heat radiation, hazardous gas concentration data, site environment gas parameter and kindling material information, the scene of a fire are adjacent
The unmanned plane detecting platform or portable personal detecting equipment and field monitoring facilities and equipment of nearly harmful influence temperature；Including number
According to communication transmission equipment, scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape, detection information database, command centre's server and
Emergency aid decision command system platform for information exchange and Analysis of Policy Making；It further include command centre's display terminal, scene
Command car display terminal and portable device terminal；The scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape is equipped with: accident
Develop pre- with inversion prediction model, fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model, strength of attack Demand Forecast Model and dynamic emergency disposal
Case factor database；The unmanned plane detecting platform or portable personal detecting equipment, field monitoring facilities and equipment passes through number
It realizes that data communication is connect with scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape according to communication transmission equipment, and will acquire data storage
In detection information database, scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape and command centre's server pass through data communication network
It is attached, the software systems of emergency aid decision command system platform are mounted on scene of the accident command car netscape messaging server Netscape
On, data exchange and service are carried out with detection information database by data transmission；Command centre's server connects command centre
Display terminal, emergency aid decision command system platform are also separately connected command centre's server by data communication transmission, show
Field command car display terminal, portable device display terminal.
2. a kind of implementation method of the fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed as described in claim 1 based on accident, special
Sign is, when there is accident alarming, system starts emergency disposal decision-making process, i.e. accident unit is arrived in automatic positioning, and calls existing
Field monitoring information and real-time detection information, determine accident scene, and call accident consequence prediction model, according to determining accident field
Scape and field monitoring information and real-time detection information calculate accident characterisitic parameter according to model, and development accident is counter to be deduced and become
Gesture prediction, determines accident scene consequence and coverage；Extinguishing chemical type needed for determining for accident scene is provided to related fire-fighting
Source equipment, and fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model is called, carry out extinguishing chemical, fire water and other fire-fighting resources；According to thing
Therefore scene consequence and coverage determine emergency disposal program；By fire-fighting resource and strength of attack requirement forecasting, according to available
Fire-fighting water consumption, foamite amount, fire-fighting equipment type needed for fire-fighting resource equipment information, prediction and the emergency disposal determined
Quantity, fire-fighting combatant's quantity, and answered according to emergency disposal program in conjunction with dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database
Anxious aid decision command system platform carries out dynamic emergency disposal decision, in-time generatin dynamic disposal method；When strength of attack is full
When foot fire extinguishing operational need, fire extinguishing operation disposal method is generated；When strength of attack is unsatisfactory for fire extinguishing operational need, cooling is generated
With fire control disposal method.
3. a kind of implementation method of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident according to claim 2,
It is characterized in that, accident inversion calculation process are as follows: scene of the accident environmental information is obtained according to scene of the accident monitoring and detection equipment, such as
Scene of a fire distance and range, thermal radiation flux, fire scene temperature, environment flammable gas concentration, kindling material information data, utilize fire source
Heat radiation, flame temperature and flame height and fire place computation model, Inversion Calculation analysis is carried out in collaboration, to flame height
Degree, fire source area, fire source power, scene of a fire regional temperature, peripheral facility radiation of equipment heat carry out Inversion Calculation, reduction accident development
State determines accident impact range and degree, carries out the prediction of fire development evolution trend, and analysis fire spread trend was predicted
Fiery area, thermally safe protection scope and secondary chain accident that may be present.
4. a kind of implementation method of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident according to claim 2,
It is characterized in that, emergency resources and strength requirement forecasting process execute following operation: after location of accident and type determine, calling number
According to library data, the accident of determination is related to substance and periphery harmful influence type, then determines the extinguishing chemical for being applicable in and avoiding, and calls accident
Consequence prediction result calls accident scene information, then according to by foamite amount demand model, fire water dosage demand model
The fire-fighting resource requirement prediction model of composition and the fire-fighting being made of fire-fighting equipment demand model, fire-fighting combatant's demand model
Strength Demand Forecast Model calculates separately out extinguishing chemical demand, fire-fighting water demand, fire-fighting equipment demand and fire-fighting operation
Personnel demand amount.
5. a kind of implementation method of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident according to claim 4,
It is characterized in that, the foamite amount demand model are as follows:
Qe=kQth=k (Q1+Q2+…Qi) (1)
Wherein: Q1=A1×q1×T1
Q2=A2×q2×T2
K=CPT
In formula, QeThe actual demand amount of-extinguishing chemical, unit L；
Qth- extinguishing chemical theoretical amount, unit L；
Q1- put out pond fire fire-fighting dose, unit L；
Q2- put out the fiery fire-fighting dose of trickling, unit L；
Qí- put out í kind accident scene needed for fire-fighting dose, unit L；
A1- pond fire area, unit m2；
A2- trickle fiery area, m2；
q1- pond fire extinguishing chemical fire extinguishing supply intensity, unit L/ (sm2)；
q2- fiery extinguishing chemical fire extinguishing supply intensity of trickling, L/ (sm2)；
T1- continuous the service time of fiery extinguishing chemical mixed liquor that trickles of saving, unit s；
T2The continuous service time of-fighting pond fire extinguishing chemical mixed liquor, s；
K-extinguishing chemical demand actual combat coefficient；
C-multifactor impact weight coefficient；
PT- multifactor impact numerical value；
The multifactor impact weight coefficient are as follows:
In formula, C-multifactor impact weight coefficient；
W-influence factor weight coefficient collection；
B-factor influences evaluation result collection；
W1- extinguishing chemical splashing factor weight coefficient；
W2- kindling device internal factor weight coefficient；
W3- meteorologic factor weight coefficient；
boutThe weight vector of-external influence factors；
bout1The weight vector of-external influence factors 1；
bout2The weight vector of-external influence factors 2；
bout3The weight vector of-external influence factors 3；
bout4The weight vector of-external influence factors 4；
bin1The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 1；
bin2The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 2；
bin3The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 3；
bin4The weight vector of-kindling device influnecing factor 4；
bw1The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 1；
bw2The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 2；
bw3The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 3；
bw4The weight vector of-meteorological effect factor 4；
B-factor influences evaluation result collection.
6. a kind of implementation method of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident according to claim 4,
It is characterized in that, the fire water dosage demand model are as follows:
Qwth=Qm+Qeq+Qadj (2)
Wherein, Qeq=n1Aq3T3
Qadj=0.5n2Aq4T4
Qm=aQint
In formula, Qeq- kindling device cooling water amount, unit L；
n1- same time interior device quantity of catching fire, unit；
q3- kindling device cooling water supply intensity, unit L/sm2；
A-kindling apparatus surface product, unit m2；
T3The continuous service time of-cooling water, unit s；
Qadj- apparatus adjacent cooling water amount, unit L/s；
n2The quantity of-the apparatus adjacent that need to be cooled down simultaneously, unit；
q4- apparatus adjacent cooling water supply intensity, unit L/sm2；
A-apparatus adjacent surface area, unit m2；
T4The continuous service time of-cooling water, unit s；
QmThe water consumption of-preparation extinguishing chemical mixed liquor, unit L；
Moisture content in a-extinguishing chemical mixed liquor；
Qint- extinguishing chemical mixes liquid measure, unit L；
Qwth- total fire water water consumption.
7. a kind of implementation method of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident according to claim 4,
It is characterized in that, the fire-fighting equipment demand model are as follows:
In formula, the demand volume of Q-extinguishing chemical or fire water, L/s；
N1、2、3、4……、i—N1、N2、N3、N4……、NiThe quantity of type Fire branch, big gun；
The flow of type Fire branch, big gun.
8. a kind of implementation method of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident according to claim 4,
It is characterized in that, fire-fighting combatant's demand model are as follows:
In formula, N-equipment operation number；
níThe quantity of-í type Fire branch, big gun.
9. a kind of implementation method of fire-fighting dynamic Decision System of Emergency to be developed based on accident according to claim 2,
Be characterized in that, the dynamic emergency disposal prediction scheme factor database include emergency strength, emergency resources and Disposal Strategies with
Three element collection of program, system match suitable dynamic disposal method element from dynamic emergency preplan factor database, generate
Dynamic emergency disposal scheme；When the scene of the accident is disposed, dynamic Emergency decision scheme is automatically generated according to accident developing state, and will
Dynamic Emergency decision scheme exports in such a way that multi-layer image is marked and drawed in each display terminal.
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