CN109063894A - A kind of typhoon tracks forecast display system for power grid - Google Patents
A kind of typhoon tracks forecast display system for power grid Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of typhoon tracks forecast display systems for power grid, it is related to typhoon forecast technical field, it include: typhoon data inputting module, memory module, parameter transfers module, data analysis module, current typhoon model construction module and data transmission blocks, parameter of the present invention is transferred module and is transferred by the data that memory module carries out current typhoon and history typhoon, it is matched by parameter of the data analysis module to the data of current typhoon and history typhoon, matching rate calculates and matching degree calculates, current typhoon model construction module is fitted history typhoon track figure and current typhoon path according to calculated result, drift correction obtains new typhoon track figure, avoid cumbersome calculating process, only needing simply to calculate can be completed, it is significant to shorten the use for calculating time and mass computing instrument, make to reduce Use cost.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to typhoon forecast technical fields more particularly to a kind of typhoon tracks forecast for power grid to show system
System.
Background technique
Typhoon refers to the tropical cyclone being formed on the wide face in the torrid zone or 26 DEG C of subtropics or more, World Meteorological Organization will in
Heart sustained wind velocity is defined as typhoon in 12 grades to 13 grades of tropical cyclone, is that concentration, coverage are most wide the most on the time
One of natural calamity.Currently, being constructed mainly using numerical forecast method by numerical forecast method to the prediction technique of typhoon
The model of typhoon track has certain limitation, and the time predicted is generally longer, and visualization is low, the complexity of algorithm
Degree is higher, and large-scale computer is needed to carry out operation, and the resultant error of forecast is larger, and needs special technical staff that can just see
Understand, application range is narrow.Based on the shortcomings of the prior art, the present invention proposes a kind of typhoon tracks forecast display system.
Summary of the invention
The purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of typhoon tracks forecast display systems for power grid, to overcome typhoon
Prediction algorithm complexity it is higher, need large-scale computer to carry out operation, the larger disadvantage of the resultant error of forecast.
To achieve the above object, the present invention provides a kind of typhoon tracks forecast display systems for power grid, comprising:
Typhoon data inputting module, for importing the data of current typhoon and history typhoon；
Memory module, for storing the data of the current typhoon and history typhoon；
Parameter transfers module, for periodically transfer and send the data of the current typhoon and apart from current center of typhoon it is nearest
The data of multiple history typhoons, while the parameter transfers the matched knot of module timing receipt data analysis module return
Fruit, and the highest multiple history platforms of matching degree are transferred from the data that the last time is transferred according to the matched result
The data of wind are sent；
Data analysis module, for by the data of the current typhoon received and apart from nearest multiple of current center of typhoon
The data of the history typhoon are matched, matching rate calculates, matching rate determines and matching degree sequence, by matched result
It is sent to the parameter and transfers module；
Current typhoon model construction module, periodically by the data and the matching of the highest multiple history typhoons of the matching degree
Result be fitted to obtain typhoon track figure, obtain the initial path figure that typhoon track figure is current typhoon for the first time, later
What is obtained is real-time typhoon track figure；The initial path figure of the current typhoon and real-time typhoon track figure are intended in timing
It closes and drift correction obtains newest typhoon track figure and deviation data, and newest typhoon track figure and deviation data are shown and sent out
It send；And
Data transmission blocks, for sending the newest typhoon track figure and deviation data.
Further, the memory module include: current Typhoon Parameters storage unit, history typhoon track storage unit and
History Typhoon Parameters storage unit；The current Typhoon Parameters storage unit, history typhoon track storage unit and history typhoon
The input terminal of parameter storage unit is connect with the typhoon data inputting module respectively, and output end transfers mould with the parameter respectively
Block connection；The history typhoon track storage unit by the history Typhoon Parameters storage unit data and data itself into
Row association obtains the data of history typhoon.
Further, the data analysis module includes:
Data matching unit, for by the data of the current typhoon received and apart from nearest multiple of current center of typhoon
The data of the history typhoon are matched；
Matching rate computing unit, the history platform for obtaining current typhoon according to the data after data matching unit matching and transferring
The matching rate of wind；
Matching rate judging unit for determining the matching rate, and will determine that result is sent to the parameter and transfers mould
Block；And
Ranking results for being ranked up to the judgement result, and are sent to the parameter tune by matching degree sequencing unit
Modulus block.
Further, the current typhoon model construction module includes:
Path fitting unit, for timing multiple history typhoons highest to the matching degree data and matched result into
Row fitting, obtains typhoon track figure, obtains the initial path figure that typhoon track figure is current typhoon for the first time, what is obtained later is equal
For real-time typhoon track figure；The initial path figure of the current typhoon and real-time typhoon track figure are fitted by timing；
Deviation computing unit, the typhoon track figure progress drift correction for the path fitting unit to be fitted to obtain newest
Typhoon track figure and deviation data are sent to the data transmission blocks by newest typhoon track figure and with deviation data；And
Path display unit, for showing the newest typhoon track figure.
Further, when the current typhoon model construction module is fitted, when the matching rate judging unit determines
Result be less than matching rate lower limit when, then fitting when accordingly reduce the matching rate fitting when specific gravity；When the matching rate
When the result that judging unit determines is greater than or equal under matching rate, limit is then according to the matching rate score of matching rate computing unit calculating
It is fitted calculating.
Further, the data of the current typhoon and history typhoon are transferred by meteorological general bureau.
Further, the parameter is transferred when module is set up and transfers and send the data of current typhoon and apart from current typhoon
The number of the nearest history typhoon in center is 5-15.
Compared with prior art, the invention has the following beneficial effects:
1, the typhoon tracks forecast display system provided by the present invention for power grid, it is logical to transfer module for parameter through the invention
Cross that memory module carries out current typhoon and the data of history typhoon are transferred, by data analysis module to current typhoon and history platform
The parameter of the data of wind is matched, matching rate calculates and matching degree calculates, and current typhoon model construction module is according to calculating
As a result history typhoon track figure and current typhoon path are fitted, drift correction obtains new typhoon track figure, avoid numerous
Trivial calculating process, it is only necessary to simple calculate can be completed, significant to shorten the use for calculating time and mass computing instrument, from
And reduce use cost.
2, the present invention is when being fitted typhoon track figure by the matching of history typhoon data parameters and current typhoon data parameters
Degree is fused in calculating；When fitting, difference is taken lower than matching degree lower limit and not less than matching degree lower limit to matching rate
The Fitting Calculation, can be improved the accuracy of the typhoon track figure of fitting, reduce the deviation between prediction result and actual result.
3, the present invention is also modified the initial path figure of the current typhoon of fitting, can further reduce prediction knot
Deviation between fruit and actual result improves the accuracy of prediction, and passes through number by newest typhoon track figure and with deviation data
Relevant departments are sent to according to sending module, the path profile of current typhoon that facilitates relevant departments to monitor implementation and are predicted
The accuracy of newest typhoon track figure carries out real time monitoring and follow-up work.
4, the typhoon track figure that the present invention is predicted is to be easily understood, and can be sent directly to relevant departments, without profession
Technical staff can understand path profile, have a wide range of application.
Detailed description of the invention
It, below will be to attached drawing needed in embodiment description in order to illustrate more clearly of technical solution of the present invention
It is briefly described, it should be apparent that, the accompanying drawings in the following description is only one embodiment of the present of invention, general for this field
For logical technical staff, without creative efforts, it is also possible to obtain other drawings based on these drawings.
Fig. 1 is a kind of system block diagram of the typhoon tracks forecast display system for power grid of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
With reference to the attached drawing in the embodiment of the present invention, the technical solution in the present invention is clearly and completely described,
Obviously, described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, instead of all the embodiments.Based in the present invention
Embodiment, those of ordinary skill in the art's every other embodiment obtained without creative labor,
It shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
As shown in Figure 1, the typhoon tracks forecast display system provided by the present invention for power grid includes: the record of typhoon data
Enter module, memory module, parameter and transfers module, data analysis module, current typhoon model construction module and data transmission blocks.
Memory module includes: preceding typhoon parameter storage unit, history typhoon track storage unit and history Typhoon Parameters storage unit.Number
It include: data matching unit, matching rate computing unit, matching degree sequencing unit and matching rate judging unit according to analysis module.
Current typhoon model construction module includes: path fitting unit, path display unit and deviation computing unit.
The workflow of typhoon tracks forecast display system provided by the present invention for power grid is as follows:
S1, the parameter information and path profile that history typhoon is transferred from meteorological general bureau, and pass through typhoon data inputting module for history
The parameter information of typhoon is stored in history Typhoon Parameters storage unit, and the path profile of history typhoon is stored in history typhoon road
In diameter figure storage unit, history typhoon track storage unit carries out the path profile of the parameter information of history typhoon and history typhoon
Association obtains the data of history typhoon；The parameter for the current typhoon that meteorological general bureau is transferred in real time passes through typhoon data inputting module
It is introduced directly into or manually imports in current Typhoon Parameters storage unit；
S2, parameter transfer module and transfer 10 history nearest apart from current center of typhoon from history typhoon track storage unit
The parameter of typhoon transfers the parameter of current typhoon from current Typhoon Parameters storage unit, by the parameter of current typhoon and transfers
The parameters of 10 history typhoons be sent to data analysis module；
S3, data analysis module data matching unit the step S2 that the receives parameter sent is matched, matching rate meter
Calculate the matching rate of history typhoon that unit obtains current typhoon according to the data after matching and transfers, matching rate judging unit is to working as
The matching rate of preceding typhoon and the history typhoon transferred is determined that judging result includes the matching that matching rate computing unit obtains
Rate, matching degree sequencing unit is ranked up from high to low by matching degree or sequence from low to high carries out judgement result
Sequence, and will determine that result and ranking results are back to parameter and transfer module；
Parameter transfers module according to the judgement result and ranking results that receive, and matching journey is transferred from the data that step S2 is transferred
The path profile for spending highest 5 history typhoons will determine result, ranking results and the highest 5 history typhoons of matching degree
The path fitting unit of typhoon model construction module before path profile is sent to；
The path profile of 5 history typhoons is fitted by path fitting unit according to the matching rate that matching rate computing unit calculates,
It is when the result that matching rate judging unit determines is less than matching rate lower limit (matching rate lower limit is arranged in advance), then corresponding in fitting
Specific gravity of the matching rate in fit operation is reduced, when the result that matching rate judging unit determines is greater than or equal under matching rate
When, limit is then fitted calculating according to the matching rate score that matching rate computing unit calculates, and the path profile after fitting is to work as foreground
The initial path figure of wind；
S4, step S2 and step S3 operation is repeated, obtains real-time typhoon track figure, path fitting unit is initial by current typhoon
Path profile and real-time typhoon track figure are fitted again, and deviation computing unit carries out the typhoon track figure being finally fitted to inclined
Difference amendment obtains newest typhoon track figure and deviation data, and deviation computing unit is sent out by newest typhoon track figure and with deviation data
Path display unit and sending module are sent, path display unit shows new typhoon track figure；
Newest typhoon track figure and deviation data are sent to relevant departments by S5, data transmission blocks, facilitate relevant departments to working as
The accuracy of the path profile of the path profile and prediction of preceding typhoon is monitored in real time, newest typhoon track figure to be easily understood,
Path profile can be understood without technical professional；
S6, timing repeat step S4 and step S5, being capable of the new typhoon track figure of timing acquisition.
Above disclosed is only a specific embodiment of the invention, but scope of protection of the present invention is not limited thereto,
Anyone skilled in the art in the technical scope disclosed by the present invention, can readily occur in variation or modification,
It is covered by the protection scope of the present invention.
Claims (7)
1. a kind of typhoon tracks forecast display system for power grid, it is characterised in that: include:
Typhoon data inputting module, for importing the data of current typhoon and history typhoon；
Memory module, for storing the data of the current typhoon and history typhoon；
Parameter transfers module, for periodically transfer and send the data of the current typhoon and apart from current center of typhoon it is nearest
The data of multiple history typhoons, while the parameter transfers the matched knot of module timing receipt data analysis module return
Fruit, and the highest multiple history platforms of matching degree are transferred from the data that the last time is transferred according to the matched result
The data of wind are sent；
Data analysis module, for by the data of the current typhoon received and apart from nearest multiple of current center of typhoon
The data of the history typhoon are matched, matching rate calculates, matching rate determines and matching degree sequence, by matched result
It is sent to the parameter and transfers module；
Current typhoon model construction module, periodically by the data and the matching of the highest multiple history typhoons of the matching degree
Result be fitted to obtain typhoon track figure, obtain the initial path figure that typhoon track figure is current typhoon for the first time, later
What is obtained is real-time typhoon track figure；The initial path figure of the current typhoon and real-time typhoon track figure are intended in timing
It closes and drift correction obtains newest typhoon track figure and deviation data, and newest typhoon track figure and deviation data are shown and sent out
It send；And
Data transmission blocks, for sending the newest typhoon track figure and deviation data.
2. the typhoon tracks forecast display system according to claim 1 for power grid, it is characterised in that: the storage mould
Block includes: current Typhoon Parameters storage unit, history typhoon track storage unit and history Typhoon Parameters storage unit；It is described to work as
The input terminal of preceding typhoon parameter storage unit, history typhoon track storage unit and history Typhoon Parameters storage unit respectively with institute
The connection of typhoon data inputting module is stated, output end is transferred module with the parameter respectively and connect；The history typhoon track storage
Data in the history Typhoon Parameters storage unit are associated to obtain the data of history typhoon by unit with data itself.
3. the typhoon tracks forecast display system according to claim 1 for power grid, it is characterised in that: the data point
Analysing module includes:
Data matching unit, for by the data of the current typhoon received and apart from nearest multiple of current center of typhoon
The data of the history typhoon are matched；
Matching rate computing unit, the history platform for obtaining current typhoon according to the data after data matching unit matching and transferring
The matching rate of wind；
Matching rate judging unit for determining the matching rate, and will determine that result is sent to the parameter and transfers mould
Block；And
Ranking results for being ranked up to the judgement result, and are sent to the parameter tune by matching degree sequencing unit
Modulus block.
4. the typhoon tracks forecast display system according to claim 1 for power grid, it is characterised in that: described to work as foreground
Wind model construction module includes:
Path fitting unit, for timing multiple history typhoons highest to the matching degree data and matched result into
Row fitting, obtains typhoon track figure, obtains the initial path figure that typhoon track figure is current typhoon for the first time, what is obtained later is equal
For real-time typhoon track figure；The initial path figure of the current typhoon and real-time typhoon track figure are fitted by timing；
Deviation computing unit, the typhoon track figure progress drift correction for the path fitting unit to be fitted to obtain newest
Typhoon track figure and deviation data are sent to the data transmission blocks by newest typhoon track figure and with deviation data；And
Path display unit, for showing the newest typhoon track figure.
5. the typhoon tracks forecast display system according to claim 3 for power grid, it is characterised in that: described to work as foreground
When wind model construction module is fitted, when the result that the matching rate judging unit determines is less than matching rate lower limit, then exist
Specific gravity of the matching rate in fitting is accordingly reduced when fitting；When the result that the matching rate judging unit determines is greater than or equal to
When under matching rate, limit is then fitted calculating according to the matching rate score that matching rate computing unit calculates.
6. the typhoon tracks forecast display system according to claim 1 for power grid, it is characterised in that: described to work as foreground
The data of wind and history typhoon are transferred by meteorological general bureau.
7. the typhoon tracks forecast display system according to claim 1 for power grid, it is characterised in that: the parameter tune
Modulus block transfers and sends the data of current typhoon and of the history typhoon nearest apart from current center of typhoon when setting up
Number is 5-15.
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Cited By (3)
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| CN112082568A (en) * | 2019-06-13 | 2020-12-15 | 上海擎感智能科技有限公司 | Typhoon early warning method and device |
| CN112485847A (en) * | 2020-11-25 | 2021-03-12 | 中移（杭州）信息技术有限公司 | Alarm method and device for communication equipment, equipment and storage medium |
| CN114550007A (en) * | 2022-02-25 | 2022-05-27 | 中山大学 | Typhoon center position offset generation method and typhoon center positioning method |
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Application publication date: 20181221 |