CN109034595A - One kind being suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network investment quantization analysis decision Method and kit for - Google Patents
One kind being suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network investment quantization analysis decision Method and kit for Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses one kind to be suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network investment quantization analysis decision Method and kit for, including establishes index system;It determines index weights and determines index standards of grading;Method is as follows: step 1: establishing index system: using Balanced scorecard as the Investment Allocation model framework of theoretical direction;Step 2: index weights are determined: is determined by the index weights of theoretical direction of analytic hierarchy process (AHP);Step 3: determine index standards of grading: with the normalization scoring that deviation standardized method is guidance: Investment Allocation model is chosen multi objective and is measured to distribution project investment ratio, index is according to the property of business feature, including positive correlation and negative correlation, same property index needs to carry out different guiding and evaluation criterion according to business or management.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to electric grid investment technical fields, and in particular to one kind is suitable for 10kV and the investment quantization of following power distribution network
Analysis decision Method and kit for.
Background technique
Tie of the power distribution network as connection terminal user and hair, transmission system is to guarantee that the reliable electricity consumption of user security must not
The link that can lack.Country increases distribution network construction investment in recent years, and it is obvious that scale of investment increases expansion.Each province is in face of annual huge
Total plate is invested in distribution, how science, quickly, accurately by Investment Allocation to prefectures and cities, districts and cities are assigned to each district, preferably
Meet local economic development needs, constructs the whole province's (city) relative equilibrium and perfect distribution grid structure, become current power distribution network
One of investment decision field urgent problem to be solved.
For a long time, distribution Investment Allocation not can reflect and match often only using simple indicators such as increments of powering as reference
The reasonability of electric grid investment distribution.In addition it is inadequate according to objectivity, inevitably by influencing factors such as tixed thinking, emotional relationships, " certainly
The contradiction of plan person's difficulty sanction, allotee's disobedience " is very prominent.Therefore the auxiliary distribution Investment Allocation for needing a set of comprehensive and reasonable is determined
The accurate capitalized method and tool of plan.
Summary of the invention
The purpose of the present invention is to provide one kind be suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network investment quantization analysis decision method and
Tool, with solve it is mentioned above in the background art for a long time, distribution Investment Allocation is often only simply referred to increment of powering etc.
It is denoted as not can reflect the reasonability of power distribution network Investment Allocation for reference.In addition it is inadequate according to objectivity, inevitably thought by set
The influencing factors such as dimension, emotional relationship, the contradiction very distinct issues of " policymaker's difficulty is cut out, and allotee refuses to obey ".
To achieve the above object, the invention provides the following technical scheme: a kind of be suitable for 10kV and the investment of following power distribution network
Quantitative analysis decision-making technique and tool, including establish index system;It determines index weights and determines index standards of grading.
Method is as follows:
Step 1: index system is established: using Balanced scorecard as the Investment Allocation model framework of theoretical direction: with distribution spy
Property analytic induction determine distribution Investment Allocation factor, summarize prefectures and cities office asset size, manage numerical value, local economic development state
The effect factor of predictive factors expected from gesture, load and investment results, will affect factor conversion be taken into index carry out quantization examine
Amount chooses the typical evaluation index of profession according to business feature and is designed selection, cause and effect supporting relation between analysis indexes, with balance
The theory and method of scorecard are guidance, carry out model construction with " shareholder value, customer service, internal operation " three dimensions.
Step 2: index weights are determined: using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) as theoretical direction index weights determine: with step 1 according to
Each factor is lined up several levels by membership, is established the relationship between adjacent two layers each element, is compared two-by-two, is obtained opposite
Importance constructs Analytic Hierarchy Process Model and multilevel iudge matrix, carry out weight calculation according to marking result, and for being distributed
Weight carries out receipts money, measuring and calculating, then the reasonable weight that measuring and calculating obtains is put into model, in this, as final result.Weight can
It is adjusted according to the actual conditions of constituent parts.
Step 3: index standards of grading are determined: with the normalization scoring that deviation standardized method is guidance: Investment Allocation mould
Type is chosen multi objective and is measured to distribution project investment ratio, and index is according to the property of business feature, including is positively correlated and bears
Correlation, same property index need to carry out different guiding and evaluation criterion according to business or management, by current criteria property and
Substantially methods of marking is qualitative is classified as 6 kinds of 3 class, as shown in the table:
This model is that scoring is normalized in guidance with deviation standardized method etc. according to the sort feature of index.
Further, for the index having in the step 3 without bound, bigger (or smaller) is better;Some indexs are with certain mesh
Scale value is boundary, is encouraged more preferable;Some indexs are onlyed demand up to standard using certain target value as boundary.
Further, invite several industry specialists Step 1: two, three index carries out differentiation marking in the step 2
And calculate weight.
Further, the index computation unit of the selection needs different finger target values carrying out nondimensionalization because of difference,
I.e. by indices data normalization, index score is converted to be measured.
Further, the scoring formula are as follows: specific investment cost allocation proportion=unit total score/∑ unit total score *
100%.
Compared with prior art, the beneficial effects of the present invention are:
1. objectivity is strong: formulating model according to company management and distribution business feature, carry out quantization according to objective fact and comment
Valence.
2. scientific high: the design of model is guidance with corresponding theoretical method, the logical relation carry out section according to index
Reasonable design is learned, can reflect status, balanced capacity and demand, can also measure investment results, and then improve investment decision
It is scientific.
3. flexibility is good: model has perfect parameter definition and configuration feature, can flexibly accept planning strategy, can basis
Strategical planning direction, specific investment tactics carry out configuration adjustment, to meet the needs of investment tactics realization.
4. adaptive surface is wide: model can be suitably used for province and district two-stage, and the distribution investment decision on ground, county's two-stage is using needs, in length and breadth
It is connected to accessible.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is a kind of implementation suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network investment quantization analysis decision Method and kit for of the present invention
Flow diagram.
Specific embodiment
Following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention, and technical solution in the embodiment of the present invention carries out clear, complete
Site preparation description, it is clear that described embodiments are only a part of the embodiments of the present invention, instead of all the embodiments.It is based on
Embodiment in the present invention, it is obtained by those of ordinary skill in the art without making creative efforts every other
Embodiment shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
One kind being suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network investment quantization analysis decision Method and kit for, including establishes index body
System;It determines index weights and determines index standards of grading.
Method is as follows:
Step 1: index system is established: using Balanced scorecard as the Investment Allocation model framework of theoretical direction: with distribution spy
Property analytic induction determine distribution Investment Allocation factor, summarize prefectures and cities office asset size, manage numerical value, local economic development state
The effect factor of predictive factors expected from gesture, load and investment results, will affect factor conversion be taken into index carry out quantization examine
Amount chooses the typical evaluation index of profession according to business feature and is designed selection, cause and effect supporting relation between analysis indexes, with balance
The theory and method of scorecard are guidance, carry out model construction with " shareholder value, customer service, internal operation " three dimensions.
Step 2: index weights are determined: using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) as theoretical direction index weights determine: with step 1 according to
Each factor is lined up several levels by membership, is established the relationship between adjacent two layers each element, is compared two-by-two, is obtained opposite
Importance constructs Analytic Hierarchy Process Model and multilevel iudge matrix, carry out weight calculation according to marking result, and for being distributed
Weight carries out receipts money, measuring and calculating, then the reasonable weight that measuring and calculating obtains is put into model, in this, as final result.Weight can
It is adjusted according to the actual conditions of constituent parts.
Step 3: index standards of grading are determined: with the normalization scoring that deviation standardized method is guidance: Investment Allocation mould
Type is chosen multi objective and is measured to distribution project investment ratio, and index is according to the property of business feature, including is positively correlated and bears
Correlation, same property index need to carry out different guiding and evaluation criterion according to business or management, by current criteria property and
Substantially methods of marking is qualitative is classified as 6 kinds of 3 class, as shown in the table:
This model is that scoring is normalized in guidance with deviation standardized method etc. according to the sort feature of index.
Wherein, for the index having in the step 3 without bound, bigger (or smaller) is better;Some indexs are with certain target value
For boundary, encourage more preferable;Some indexs are onlyed demand up to standard using certain target value as boundary.
Wherein, invited in the step 2 several industry specialists by Step 1: two, three index carry out differentiate marking and in terms of
Calculate weight.
Wherein, the index computation unit of the selection needs different finger target values carrying out nondimensionalization because of difference, i.e., will
Indices data normalization is converted to index score to be measured.
Wherein, the scoring formula are as follows: specific investment cost allocation proportion=unit total score/∑ unit total score * 100%.
Embodiment
Investment Allocation model instance:
1, Investment Allocation model (front end scoring)
By constituent parts indices value, score by the normalization calculation formula of the index.The sum of each index scoring is i.e.
For the unit total score: specific investment cost allocation proportion=unit total score/∑ unit total score * 100%:
Investment Allocation model instance:
2, Investment Allocation model (hind computation)
According to 6 kinds of 3 class of index properties point.Evaluate class: positive evaluation/negative evaluation;Target class: positive goal/negative target;Control
Class: positive control/negative control.Every class index is carried out according to its characteristic without guiding principle quantization (normalization) scoring, specific classification and scoring
Formula is as follows:
3, Investment Allocation submodel-project investment demand comprehensive grade model
Individually building project investment demand comprehensive score submodel relatively objectively comments constituent parts investment demand progress comprehensively
Valence.
4, Investment Allocation submodel-deposit project cluster comprehensive grade model
Individually building deposit project cluster comprehensive score submodel, to the compliance and investment tactics of constituent parts deposit project
Matching etc. objectively evaluated.
The purpose of the present invention is to provide a kind of method for quantitatively evaluating tool towards extensive distribution Investment Allocation, the works
Tool chooses the index of the energy objective status of Comprehensive Evaluation, according to itself ability and development need, balances " inside and outside, far and near, industry wealth ",
It hands off, reasonable distribution of the capital fund between each districts and cities' power supply unit is realized in rapid qualitative scoring, is promoted each
The orderly planning and construction of local distribution network project, promote returns of investment.
It although an embodiment of the present invention has been shown and described, for the ordinary skill in the art, can be with
A variety of variations, modification, replacement can be carried out to these embodiments without departing from the principles and spirit of the present invention by understanding
And modification, the scope of the present invention is defined by the appended.
Claims (5)
1. one kind be suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network investment quantization analysis decision Method and kit for, including establish index system,
It determines index weights and determines index standards of grading.
Method is as follows:
Step 1: index system is established: using Balanced scorecard as the Investment Allocation model framework of theoretical direction: with distribution characteristic point
Analysis conclude determine distribution Investment Allocation factor, summarize prefectures and cities office asset size, manage numerical value, local economic development situation,
The effect factor of predictive factors and investment results expected from load, will affect factor conversion be taken into index carry out quantization consider,
The typical evaluation index of profession, which is chosen, according to business feature is designed selection, cause and effect supporting relation between analysis indexes, with equilbristat
Divide the theory of card and method is guidance, carries out model constructions with " shareholder value, customer service, inside are runed " three dimensions.
Step 2: index weights are determined: is determined by the index weights of theoretical direction of analytic hierarchy process (AHP): with step 1 according to being subordinate to
Each factor is lined up several levels by relationship, is established the relationship between adjacent two layers each element, is compared two-by-two, is obtained opposite important
Property, Analytic Hierarchy Process Model and multilevel iudge matrix are constructed, carries out weight calculation according to marking result, and is directed to distributed power
Weight carries out receipts money, measuring and calculating, then the reasonable weight that measuring and calculating obtains is put into model, in this, as final result.Weight can root
It is adjusted according to the actual conditions of constituent parts.
Step 3: index standards of grading are determined: with the normalization scoring that deviation standardized method is guidance: the choosing of Investment Allocation model
Multi objective is taken to measure distribution project investment ratio, index is according to the property of business feature, including is positively correlated and negatively correlated,
Same property index need to carry out different guiding and evaluation criterion according to business or management, comment by current criteria property and substantially
Point method is qualitative is classified as 6 kinds of 3 class, as shown in the table:
This model is that scoring is normalized in guidance with deviation standardized method etc. according to the sort feature of index.
2. a kind of invest suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network according to claim 1 quantifies analysis decision method and work
Tool, it is characterised in that: for the index having in the step 3 without bound, bigger (or smaller) is better;Some indexs are with certain target
Value is boundary, is encouraged more preferable;Some indexs are onlyed demand up to standard using certain target value as boundary.
3. a kind of invest suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network according to claim 1 quantifies analysis decision method and work
Tool, it is characterised in that: invite several industry specialists Step 1: two, three index carries out differentiating marking simultaneously in the step 2
Calculate weight.
4. a kind of invest suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network according to claim 1 quantifies analysis decision method and work
Tool, it is characterised in that: the index computation unit of the selection needs different finger target values carrying out nondimensionalization, i.e., because of difference
By indices data normalization, index score is converted to be measured.
5. a kind of invest suitable for 10kV and following power distribution network according to claim 1 quantifies analysis decision method and work
Tool, it is characterised in that: constituent parts scoring formula are as follows: specific investment cost allocation proportion=unit total score/∑ unit total score *
100%.
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Cited By (3)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN110458472A (en) * | 2019-08-20 | 2019-11-15 | 广西电网有限责任公司电力科学研究院 | A kind of calculation method of Distribution Network Equipment quasi real time Capital operation efficiency |
CN110765268A (en) * | 2019-10-31 | 2020-02-07 | 国网河北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Client appeal-based accurate distribution network investment strategy method |
CN114529322A (en) * | 2021-12-09 | 2022-05-24 | 国网江苏省电力有限公司 | Provincial power company-oriented investment distribution method and system for power distribution network below 10 kilovolts |
-
2018
- 2018-07-19 CN CN201810796977.7A patent/CN109034595A/en active Pending
Cited By (5)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
CN110458472A (en) * | 2019-08-20 | 2019-11-15 | 广西电网有限责任公司电力科学研究院 | A kind of calculation method of Distribution Network Equipment quasi real time Capital operation efficiency |
CN110458472B (en) * | 2019-08-20 | 2022-07-22 | 广西电网有限责任公司电力科学研究院 | Method for calculating quasi-real-time asset operation efficiency of power distribution network equipment |
CN110765268A (en) * | 2019-10-31 | 2020-02-07 | 国网河北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Client appeal-based accurate distribution network investment strategy method |
CN110765268B (en) * | 2019-10-31 | 2022-04-22 | 国网河北省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 | Client appeal-based accurate distribution network investment strategy method |
CN114529322A (en) * | 2021-12-09 | 2022-05-24 | 国网江苏省电力有限公司 | Provincial power company-oriented investment distribution method and system for power distribution network below 10 kilovolts |
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Application publication date: 20181218 |