CN108280773A - A method of differentiating that interzone staple food crop fits water plantation - Google Patents

A method of differentiating that interzone staple food crop fits water plantation Download PDF

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CN108280773A
CN108280773A CN201810057532.7A CN201810057532A CN108280773A CN 108280773 A CN108280773 A CN 108280773A CN 201810057532 A CN201810057532 A CN 201810057532A CN 108280773 A CN108280773 A CN 108280773A
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汪林
姚懿真
杨贵羽
贾玲
张瑀桐
游进军
秦长海
林鹏飞
彭卓越
汪勇
苏辉东
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China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research
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Abstract

The present invention relates to a kind of methods that differentiation interzone staple food crop fits water plantation, including:Divide region;Crop divides;Cereal crops water requirement is calculated by ten days;Effective precipitation in cereal crops growth period is calculated by ten days;Irrigation requirement calculates;Production estimation element characteristic vector analysis;Normalization;Suitable water plantation is judged.The present invention is theoretical based on Virtual water, water footprints, the discrimination formula that staple food crop fits water plantation is established with Hierarchy Analysis Method, and the method for differentiating that interzone staple food crop fits water plantation is proposed using the formula, objective, comprehensive reflection grain-production and water resource use, that is effective rainfall and duty, space characteristics are that the rationalization utilization of agricultural water resources and staple food crop fit water planting structure distribution and provide scientific basis.

Description

A method of differentiating that interzone staple food crop fits water plantation
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of methods that differentiation interzone staple food crop fits water plantation, are a kind of cereal crops production The method of water resources rational use is a kind of method rationally to control and configuring area cereal crops irrigation water uses.
Background technology
As population increases the continuous promotion with living standards of the people, grain demand amount will be further increased, agricultural development It is faced with the challenge that more grains are produced with limited water resources.It is planted by suitable water, reduction cereal crops production needs water consumption, spy It is not blue water demand, the grain production capacity for improving folk prescription water is the root for alleviating regional water resources pressure and Ensuring Food Safety This measure.
In recent years, the utilization of the water resources such as Virtual water, water footprints and management theory method, provide for agricultural water resources management New thinking.A kind of measuring method of grain production water footprint of region(Wu Pute, 2013)Calculate the indigo plant in grain-production Water footprints and clear water footprint, a method of calculating interzone fictitious flow momentum(Ma Jing, 2014)Analyze Agricultural Water money The transregional flow in source.Still lack grain-production to clear water, Lan Shui, Productive statistics and output spatial framework relative quantification at present Method of discrimination lacks and agricultural production, water resources management and policymaker is allowed intuitively to differentiate cereal crops space planting structure distribution and optimization Quick method.
Invention content
In order to overcome problem of the prior art, the present invention to propose a kind of suitable water plantation of differentiation interzone staple food crop Method.Ratio, production cost, cost of land, the per unit area yield synthesis that the method accounts for water requirement using water requirement, irrigation volume are sentenced The space characteristics and its adaptability of disconnected plant of grain crops for optimization cereal crops space layout, control and reduce grain-production Irrigation water capacity provides help.
The object of the present invention is achieved like this:A method of differentiating that interzone staple food crop fits water plantation, institute The step of stating method is as follows:
The step of dividing region:Extensive area classification is divided into according to the characteristics of landform, weather, socio-economic development situation Several survey regions;It collects each survey region staple food crop breeding time, provided with breeding time relevant meteorological data, rainfall Material;
The step of crop divides:Cereal crops are divided into i class cereal crops, and i is natural number, represents rice, wheat, corn, height One kind in fine strain of millet, sweet potato, sweet potato, purple sweet potato;
The step of cereal crops water requirement being calculated by ten days:
I class cereal crops evapotranspiration of the survey region by ten days is calculated by formulaET 0
Wherein:Δ is saturation vapour pressure-temperature curve slope;R n To input the net radiation of crop canopies;GIt is consumed for gain of heat soil Energy;γFor hygrometer constant;TFor temperature on average;U 2For 2m high wind speeds;e a For saturation vapour pressure;e d For actual observation steam Pressure;
Group cereal crops water requirement of the survey region by ten days is calculated by formulaET i
ET i = ET 0×Kc i
Wherein:Kc i For i kind cereal crops coefficients;
The step of effective precipitation in cereal crops growth period being calculated by ten days:Using in region each meteorological site ten days precipitation as base Plinth calculates areal rainfall, in conjunction with the water demand of crop in ten days, in zoning difference cereal crops breeding time with Thiessen polygon method Effectiv precipitation:
PE i = fP)= min(P,PE i
In formula,PIt is survey region by ten days precipitation magnitude;PE i For the effectiv precipitation of each subregion i kind cereal crops;
The step of irrigation requirement calculates:Effective rainfall in growth period is drawn in cereal crops growth first, insufficient section again by Duty supplements:
In formula,IR i For the irrigation requirement of i-th kind of cereal crops of each subregion;
The step of irrigation water accounting calculates:Irrigation water proportion in water requirementCalculating:
The step of production estimation element characteristic vector analysis:, input small, output greatly criterion few with water consumption, utilizes level Analytic approach carries out comprehensive diagnos to the complicated cereal crops production system of multiple target, multiple criteria, amorphousness, according to cereal crops Classification between each production factors and level are carried out organic assembling and distinguishing hierarchy, establish progressive hierarchical structure, referred to using two-stage Mark judgment matrix group acquires integration objective maximum, step analysis matrix:
The first order:Including production water requirement, Productive statistics, production output three classes index, increased using water resource, volume increase for saving For receipts, on the one hand it is expected that production water requirement is small, output is big, the two is slightly more important than the latter compared to the former;On the one hand it is expected production Put into that small, output is big, the two is suitable compared to importance, and judgment matrix A is:
The second level:Including three production water requirement, input, output index matrixs, analyzed using matrix group, water requirement matrix Including grain-production water requirement ET and irrigation water accounting two indices, it is expected that cereal crops breeding time ET values are small, irrigation water accounts for ET Ratio it is low, with the shortage of agricultural production water amount, the significance level of two indices is suitable, and judgment matrix is:
Absorption matrix includes production cost, cost of land two indices, it is expected that production cost is small, cost of land is small, and index is important Property is ordered as a little higher than cost of land of production cost, judgment matrix:
To matrixB 1B 2Maximum characteristic root calculating is carried out, determines its corresponding feature vector;
Normalized step:, input small, output greatly criterion few with water requirement chooses element standard value, and wherein ET, irrigation water account for Than, production cost, cost of land using minimum value as standard value, use standard value divided by various regions actual value as normalization after standard Change value, major product yield use various regions actual value divided by standard value as the standardized value after normalization to be up to standard value;
The step of suitable water plantation is judged:Multiple cereal crops, which are calculated, using following formula fits water plantation comprehensive scoreVValue:
In formula,Water, which is fitted, for crop i plants comprehensive score;For the standard value of crop i water requirements;Water is needed for crop i The actual value of amount;For the standard value of crop i irrigation water accountings;For the actual value of crop i irrigation water accountings;For The standard value of crop i production costs per acre;For the actual value of crop i production costs per acre;For the soils per acre crop i The standard value of cost;For the actual value of crop i cost of land per acre;For the standard value of crop i grain yields per acre;For the actual value of crop i grain yields per acre;
It will be multipleVValue is ranked up, and is drawn respectively eachVThe decline curve of value, according to V value slope of curve constant intervals, in conjunction with grinding Study carefully the actual conditions of region cereal crops, analyzes the suitable water plantation combination distinguishing section for determining survey region.
The beneficial effect comprise that:The present invention is based on Virtual water, water footprints theories, are built with Hierarchy Analysis Method Vertical staple food crop fits the discrimination formula of water plantation, and is proposed using the formula and differentiate that interzone staple food crop fits water The method of plantation.The method is objective, comprehensive reflection grain-production and water resource use, i.e. effective rainfall and duty, Space characteristics are that the rationalization utilization of agricultural water resources and staple food crop fit water planting structure distribution and provide scientific basis.
Description of the drawings
The invention will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings and examples.
Fig. 1 is the flow chart of the embodiment of the present invention the method;
Fig. 2 is the decline curve schematic diagram of the suitable water plantation integrated value of the wheat in the application example of the present invention.
Specific implementation mode
Embodiment:
The present embodiment is a kind of method that differentiation interzone staple food crop fits water plantation, and process is as shown in Figure 1.The present embodiment Calculated or combined water resource assets irrigation requirement inquiry system to obtain crop water, blue water accounting according to meteorological data, In conjunction with China《National agricultural product cost-benefit data compilation》Production cost, cost of land, major product yield data establish master Cereal crops are wanted to fit the discrimination formula of water plantation, the suitable water of analysis staple food crop spatially is planted feature, filled to realize Divide using clear water, save using blue water, reasonably optimizing grain-production space layout and Agricultural Water safety analysis offer technology branch Support.
The present embodiment is few with water consumption, input is small, and output greatly target setting fits water and plants discriminant criterion, and water consumption lacks mesh Mark is lower to account for two indexs of ET ratios using cereal crops Evapotranspiration ET (mm) He Lanshui, uses and is produced under input Small object Originally, two indexs of cost of land, output is lower greatly to use one index of major product yield, but is not limited only to this several targets, studies Person can flexibly increase the element that need to be considered according to actual conditions and needs, rationally be adjusted to matrix.
The method detailed process and steps are as follows, the present embodiment is divided with the national areas of China and agricultural crops are Example:
1, crop water demand calculation
(1)The whole nation is divided into several regions first, in accordance with the features such as landform, weather, socio-economic development situation.Collect each area Domain staple food crop breeding time and breeding time relevant meteorological data, rainfall data etc..Staple food crop can be divided into water Rice further can be subdivided into early rice, semilate rice and late rice, wheat by rice, wheat, corn, other cereal, potato etc. as needed It is subdivided into winter wheat, spring wheat, corn is subdivided into spring maize, summer corn.
(2)Object is allocated as by the gross water requirement calculated in ten days in breeding time.By Penman formula(Penman-Menteith)Based on ten days The cereal crops evapotranspiration in the areas Suan GeET 0, in conjunction with crop coefficient obtain in different cereal crops breeding times by ten days water requirement.
(1)
(2)
In formula, Δ is saturation vapour pressure-temperature curve slope;R n To input the net radiation of crop canopies;GIt is consumed for gain of heat soil Energy;γFor hygrometer constant;TFor temperature on average;U 2For 2m high wind speeds;e a For saturation vapour pressure;e d For actual observation steam Pressure;Kc i For i kind cereal crops coefficients;It is i kinds cereal crops by the water requirement in ten days, unit
(3)Object is allocated as by the effectiv precipitation calculated in ten days in breeding time.Ten days precipitation with each meteorological site in region is Basis calculates areal rainfall, in conjunction with the water demand of crop in ten days, in zoning difference cereal crops breeding time with Thiessen polygon method Effectiv precipitation.
(3)
In formula,It is subregion by ten days precipitation magnitude, unitIt is single for the effectiv precipitation of each subregion i kind cereal crops Position
(4)Irrigation requirement calculates.The effective rainfall in growth period is drawn in cereal crops growth first(Clear water), no Foot point is again by duty(Lan Shui)Supplement.
(4)
In formula,For the irrigation requirement of each subregion i kind cereal crops, unit
(5)Different cereal crops indigo plant water(Irrigation water)AccountingIt calculates
(5)
2, the production estimation element characteristic vector analysis based on analytic hierarchy process (AHP):
(1), input small, output greatly criterion few with water consumption, using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to multiple target, multiple criteria, amorphousness Complicated grain biological production system carry out comprehensive diagnos, according to the classification and level between each production factors of cereal crops, carry out Organic assembling and distinguishing hierarchy establish progressive hierarchical structure, and integration objective maximum is acquired using two-stage index judgment matrix group.Layer Secondary analysis scale meaning is listed in table 1.
1 step analysis scale meaning of table
(2)Two-stage index judgment matrix group is as follows:
The first order:Including production water requirement, Productive statistics, production output three classes index.Increased using water resource, volume increase for saving For receipts, on the one hand it is expected that production water requirement is small, output is big, the two is slightly more important than the latter compared to the former;On the one hand it is expected production Put into that small, output is big, the two is suitable compared to importance, according to the standard of weight analysis(Table one), judgment matrix A is:
The second level:Including three production water requirement, input, output index matrixs, analyzed using matrix group.Water requirement matrix Including grain-production water requirement ET(mm)With irrigation water accounting two indices, it is expected that cereal crops breeding time ET values are small, irrigation water The ratio for accounting for ET is low, and with the shortage of agricultural production water amount, the significance level of two indices is suitable, and judgment matrix is such asInstitute Show.Absorption matrix includes production cost(Member/mu), cost of land(Member/mu)Two indices, it is expected that production cost is small, soil at This is small, and index importance is ordered as a little higher than cost of land of production cost, and judgment matrix is such asIt is shown.Output matrix is only led Product yield(kg/hm2)One index.
(3)Maximum characteristic root calculating is carried out to above-mentioned matrix, determines its corresponding feature vector(Table 2).
2 target layers structure of table and weight score value
3, normalization is judged with the plantation of suitable water:
(1), input small, output greatly criterion few with water requirement chooses element standard value, wherein ET, irrigation water accounting, is produced into Originally, cost of land uses standard value divided by various regions actual value as the standardized value after normalization, main product using minimum value as standard value Product yield uses various regions actual value divided by standard value as the standardized value after normalization to be up to standard value.Lacking basis Crop in China producing region in 2015 can be used in data or in the case of not having special high request to result of calculation, each element standard value Analog value calculates(Table 3).
3 2015 years cereal crops production factors indicators standard values of table
Crop based on analytic hierarchy process (AHP) fits water and plants discrimination formula:
(6)
In formula,Water, which is fitted, for crop i plants comprehensive score, dimensionless;For the standard value of crop i water requirements(Take minimum Value), unit mm,For the actual value of crop i water requirements, unit mm;For the standard value of crop i irrigation water accountings(It takes most Small value), dimensionless;For the actual value of crop i irrigation water accountings, dimensionless;For the mark of crop i production costs per acre Quasi- value(It is minimized), identical element/mu;For the actual value of crop i production costs per acre, identical element/mu;For crop i The standard value of cost of land per acre(It is minimized), identical element/mu;For the actual value of crop i cost of land per acre, unit Member/mu;For the standard value of crop i grain yields per acre(It is maximized), units/kg/hm2For crop i grains per acre The actual value of yield, units/kg/hm2
(2)Staple food crop is fitted water implanting and is differentiated:
Using formula(6)Rice, wheat, corn crop comprehensive evaluation value that Chinese main food production in 2015 saves is calculated(V Value), by sorting from big to small, it is as a result listed in table 4, the decline curve of three kinds of cereal crops V values is drawn respectively, according to V value curves Slope variation section, in conjunction with 13 grain main products provinces of China and grain ration(Paddy and wheat)The actual conditions of big producing province, point Analysis determines suitable water plantation comprehensive distinguishing section(Referring to Fig. 2), rice, wheat, corn crop fit water plantation and differentiate that section is listed in table 5。
Table grain-production in 4 2015 years, which saves, fits water plantation integrated value analysis result
5 staple food crop of table fits water plantation integrated value V and differentiates section
Table 5 give three kinds of crops the hydrophile of CHINESE REGION range.For directly calculating V values between a certain area, and By table 5 can obtain this area whether suitable planting rice, wheat or corn.If increasing the type of crop, Huo Zhegai Become survey region, the method, can obtain larger range of comprehensive conclusion through this embodiment.
Finally it should be noted that above be merely illustrative of the technical solution of the present invention and it is unrestricted, although with reference to preferable cloth The scheme of setting describes the invention in detail, it will be understood by those of ordinary skill in the art that, it can be to the technology of the present invention Scheme(Such as the dividing mode in area, the utilizations of various formula, step sequencing etc.)It is modified or replaced equivalently, Without departing from the spirit of the technical scheme of the invention and range.

Claims (1)

1. a kind of method for differentiating interzone staple food crop and fitting water plantation, which is characterized in that the step of the method is as follows:
The step of dividing region:Extensive area classification is divided into according to the characteristics of landform, weather, socio-economic development situation Several survey regions;It collects each survey region staple food crop breeding time, provided with breeding time relevant meteorological data, rainfall Material;
The step of crop divides:Cereal crops are divided into i class cereal crops, and i is natural number, represents rice, wheat, corn, height One kind in fine strain of millet, sweet potato, sweet potato, purple sweet potato;
The step of cereal crops water requirement being calculated by ten days:
I class cereal crops evapotranspiration of the survey region by ten days is calculated by formulaET 0
Wherein:Δ is saturation vapour pressure-temperature curve slope;R n To input the net radiation of crop canopies;GIt is consumed for gain of heat soil Energy;γFor hygrometer constant;TFor temperature on average;U 2For 2m high wind speeds;e a For saturation vapour pressure;e d For actual observation steam Pressure;
Group cereal crops water requirement of the survey region by ten days is calculated by formulaET i
ET i = ET 0×Kc i
Wherein:Kc i For i kind cereal crops coefficients;
The step of effective precipitation in cereal crops growth period being calculated by ten days:Using in region each meteorological site ten days precipitation as base Plinth calculates areal rainfall, in conjunction with the water demand of crop in ten days, in zoning difference cereal crops breeding time with Thiessen polygon method Effectiv precipitation:
PE i = fP)= min(P,PE i
In formula,PIt is survey region by ten days precipitation magnitude;PE i For the effectiv precipitation of each subregion i kind cereal crops;
The step of irrigation requirement calculates:Effective rainfall in growth period is drawn in cereal crops growth first, insufficient section again by Duty supplements:
In formula,IR i For the irrigation requirement of i-th kind of cereal crops of each subregion;
The step of irrigation water accounting calculates:Irrigation water proportion in water requirementCalculating:
The step of production estimation element characteristic vector analysis:, input small, output greatly criterion few with water consumption, utilizes level Analytic approach carries out comprehensive diagnos to the complicated grain biological production system of multiple target, multiple criteria, amorphousness, each according to cereal crops Classification between production factors and level carry out organic assembling and distinguishing hierarchy, progressive hierarchical structure are established, using two-stage index Judgment matrix group acquires integration objective maximum, step analysis matrix:
The first order:Including production water requirement, Productive statistics, production output three classes index, increased using water resource, volume increase for saving For receipts, on the one hand it is expected that production water requirement is small, output is big, the two is slightly more important than the latter compared to the former;On the one hand it is expected production Put into that small, output is big, the two is suitable compared to importance, and judgment matrix A is:
The second level:Including three production water requirement, input, output index matrixs, analyzed using matrix group, water requirement matrix Including grain-production water requirement ET and irrigation water accounting two indices, it is expected that cereal crops breeding time ET values are small, irrigation water accounts for ET Ratio it is low, with the shortage of agricultural production water amount, the significance level of two indices is suitable, and judgment matrix is:
Absorption matrix includes production cost, cost of land two indices, it is expected that production cost is small, cost of land is small, and index is important Property is ordered as a little higher than cost of land of production cost, judgment matrix:
To matrixB 1B 2Maximum characteristic root calculating is carried out, determines its corresponding feature vector;
Normalized step:, input small, output greatly criterion few with water requirement chooses element standard value, and wherein ET, irrigation water account for Than, production cost, cost of land using minimum value as standard value, use standard value divided by various regions actual value as normalization after standard Change value, major product yield use various regions actual value divided by standard value as the standardized value after normalization to be up to standard value;
The step of suitable water plantation is judged:Multiple cereal crops, which are calculated, using following formula fits water plantation comprehensive scoreVValue:
In formula:Water, which is fitted, for crop i plants comprehensive score;For the standard value of crop i water requirements;Water is needed for crop i The actual value of amount;For the standard value of crop i irrigation water accountings;For the actual value of crop i irrigation water accountings;To make The standard value of object i production costs per acre;For the actual value of crop i production costs per acre;For crop i cost of land per acre Standard value;For the actual value of crop i cost of land per acre;For the standard value of crop i grain yields per acre;To make The actual value of object i grain yields per acre;
It will be multipleVValue is ranked up, and is drawn respectively eachVThe decline curve of value, according to V value slope of curve constant intervals, in conjunction with grinding Study carefully the actual conditions of region cereal crops, analyzes the suitable water plantation combination distinguishing section for determining survey region.
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WO2021068540A1 (en) * 2019-10-12 2021-04-15 中国水利水电科学研究院 Agricultural irrigation water demand prediction method
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CN111626526A (en) * 2020-06-09 2020-09-04 北京农学院 Ecological cycle-oriented regional planting, breeding and processing prediction method
CN111626526B (en) * 2020-06-09 2023-04-07 北京农学院 Ecological cycle-oriented regional planting, breeding and processing prediction method
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CN114882500A (en) * 2022-07-11 2022-08-09 深圳市赛泰诺生物技术有限公司 Multifunctional transgenic grain and oil intelligent detection method and system
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