The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of Metro Air conditioner season by when ring control energy consumption Forecasting Methodology, it is cost-effective, simple
Fast.
The technical solution for realizing the object of the invention is:
A kind of Metro Air conditioner season by when ring control energy consumption Forecasting Methodology, comprise the following steps:
(10) parameter acquiring:Obtain model subway all fronts station ring control energy consumption data month by month;
(20) classification of stations:According to gate form and ring control energy consumption feature, different subway form all fronts stations are carried out
Cluster analysis, obtain the ring control energy consumption classification at different subway form stations;
(30) by when the prediction of ring control energy consumption:According to corresponding to different subway forms and ring control energy consumption classification by when ring control energy consumption
Formula, be calculated air-conditioning season of each subway station by when ring control energy consumption.
Compared with prior art, its remarkable advantage is the present invention:
1st, it is simple and efficient:The inventive method enters each subway station along subway line according to the monthly ring control energy consumption in air-conditioning season
Gone classification, and by by when ring control energy consumption formula estimation by when ring control energy consumption, it is pervasive simple, simple and efficient.;
2nd, it is cost-effective:Using method provided by the present invention estimation by when ring control energy consumption, it is not necessary in subway system
Installation largely by when metering ammeter, it is cost-effective.
The present invention is described in further detail with reference to the accompanying drawings and detailed description.
Embodiment
As shown in figure 1, of the invention, a kind of Metro Air conditioner season by when ring control energy consumption Forecasting Methodology, it is characterised in that including such as
Lower step:
(10) parameter acquiring:Obtain model subway all fronts station ring control energy consumption data month by month;
(20) classification of stations:According to gate form and ring control energy consumption feature, different subway form all fronts stations are carried out
Cluster analysis, obtain the ring control energy consumption classification at different subway form stations;
(20) the classification of stations step includes:
(21) subway formal classification:According to subway platform door form be safety door or shield door and environmental control system form is collection
An accepted way of doing sth or traditional type, subway form is divided into three kinds of shield door+traditional type, safety door+traditional type and safety door+integrated form;
The integrated form refers to:Without air-conditioner set, it is directly installed on using large-scale surface cooler in air channel and handles air;
The traditional type refers to:Using handpiece Water Chilling Units and air-conditioner set processing air.
(22) station ring control energy consumption is classified:By all stations of whole piece subway line, according to model station ring control energy month by month
Size is consumed, cluster analysis is carried out, obtains the different ring control energy consumption classifications of various subway forms, the unit of ring control energy consumption is ten thousand month by month
Kwh,
Safety door+traditional type:It more than 15, II classes is 10-15 that I classes, which are, and III class is 8.5-10, and IV class is 7.5-8.5, V class
For less than 7.5;
Safety door+integrated form:I classes is are 25-30 more than 30, II classes, and III class is 20-25, and IV class is 10-20, and V class is
Less than 10;
Shield door+traditional type:I classes is are 8-10 more than 10, II classes, and III class is 6.5-8, and IV class is 5-6.5, and V class is small
In 5.
(30) by when the prediction of ring control energy consumption:According to corresponding to different subway forms and ring control energy consumption classification by when ring control energy consumption
Formula, be calculated air-conditioning season of each subway station by when ring control energy consumption.
(30) by when ring control energy consumption prediction steps include:
(31) for safety door+traditional type subway station, according to table 1 by when ring control energy consumption formula, be calculated
Air-conditioning season by when ring control energy consumption;
(32) for safety door+integrated form subway station, according to table 2 by when ring control energy consumption formula, be calculated
Air-conditioning season by when ring control energy consumption;
(33) for shield door+traditional type subway station, according to table 3 by when ring control energy consumption formula, be calculated
Air-conditioning season by when ring control energy consumption;
In formula, y be by when ring control power consumption values, unit Kwh;For t to calculate the time, it is 6 to calculate time range:00-24:
00;
" safety door+traditional type " the subway station air-conditioning season of table 1 by when ring control energy consumption predictor formula
" safety door+integrated form " the subway station air-conditioning season of table 2 by when ring control energy consumption predictor formula
" shield door+traditional type " the subway station air-conditioning season of table 3 by when ring control energy consumption predictor formula
To verify the validity and accuracy of the inventive method, counted by taking the subway of In Nanjing actual motion as an example
Calculate, be respectively compared Metro Line 1 in Nanjing (safety door+traditional type) in 2015, No. 2 lines (safety door+integrated form) and No. 10 line (screen
Cover door+traditional type) 3 circuits in I class July 15 by when energy consumption data.
Fig. 2 be obtained by the inventive method by when ring control power consumption values with it is actual by when ring control power consumption values comparison diagram.
From Fig. 2 contrast as can be seen that by when ring control energy consumption formula prediction effect it is obvious, mainly include numerical value coincide effect
Fruit and trend move towards estimation.
Numerical value match result:The actual value and the analogue value of three kinds of form subway stations all very close to, illustrate by when ring control energy
The numerical value match result for consuming formula is obvious.
Trend moves towards estimation:Subway Line 1 (safety door+traditional type) by when ring control energy consumption scope it is larger, about in 350-
Between 600Kwh, in mountain peak shape, reach peak value, and the fuctuation within a narrow range within this period at 11 points and 18 points or so;No. 2 line (peaces
Air cock+integrated form) by when ring control energy consumption scope about between 180-300Kwh, presentation first tend to be steady, then rise again
Downward trend, wherein rise period are longer, to 18 points or so arrival peaks, are begun to decline at 22 points or so;No. 10 line (shielding
Door+traditional type) by when ring control energy consumption scope it is smaller, about between 50-110Kwh, in massif shape, overall trend is gentle, high
At 11 points to 14 points during peak.
Each subway station along subway line is classified by the inventive method according to the monthly ring control energy consumption in air-conditioning season, and
By by when ring control energy consumption formula estimation by when ring control energy consumption.This method need not be installed in subway system largely by when
Metering ammeter, it is cost-effective;It is predicted by existing formula, it is pervasive simple;Can estimate per a kind of form subway by when
The variation tendency of ring control energy consumption, it is easy to the overall regulation and control of automation, it is simple and efficient.