CN107194604A - A kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability - Google Patents

A kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability Download PDF

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CN107194604A
CN107194604A CN201710429995.7A CN201710429995A CN107194604A CN 107194604 A CN107194604 A CN 107194604A CN 201710429995 A CN201710429995 A CN 201710429995A CN 107194604 A CN107194604 A CN 107194604A
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mrow
msub
mtd
scheme
munderover
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魏乐
李晓伟
马彬彬
张志尚
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North China Electric Power University
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Abstract

A kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, accuracy for improving evaluation result, its technical scheme is, methods described determines criterion weight it is determined that programme, sets up on the basis of hierarchical structure by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), by selecting elimination approach, the quality of expressional scheme in terms of harmonious sex index humorous sex index two on good terms, then integrates Valued outranking relation, and finally programme is ranked up using net advantage percentile method.The present invention had both contained logic judgment and the analysis of subjectivity by two methods of the common agriculture products weight of AHP and ELECTRE, carried out accurately calculating and deducing by objective law again, so that decision process has very strong logic and science.This method calculates simple, scientific and reasonable, and comprehensively analysis can be made to the reliability of fired power generating unit and is evaluated.

Description

A kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability
Technical field
The present invention relates to a kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, belong to technical field of power generation.
Background technology
With updating for electric power structure, GENERATION MARKET generates electricity from monopoly industry to competitive industrial structure transition Enterprise is increasingly becoming the main body of market competition, it will be faced with more and more fierce competition.Power plant is participating in fierce market During competition, the reliability of equipment seems more important.Power Plant Generating Equipment Reliability research can ensure the safe operation of equipment first, And it is top priority in power plant to keep the safety in production, by fail-safe analysis can determine equipment or system weak link and Key position, takes measures to eliminate safe hidden trouble in time to it, increases system reliability.Therefore earnest analytical study fired power generating unit Reliability evaluation index, influence factor, to the survival and development important in inhibiting of fired power generating unit.At present, to fired power generating unit When reliability is evaluated, typically all using single method agriculture products weight, such as expert's estimation technique, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) (AHP), experience method, entropy assessment, PCA etc., such evaluation method have certain one-sidedness, obtained Evaluation result and actual conditions have certain deviation, it is therefore necessary to improved.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to the drawback for prior art there is provided a kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, with Improve the accuracy of evaluation result.
Problem of the present invention is solved with following technical proposals:
A kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, methods described is it is determined that programme, sets up the basis of hierarchical structure On, criterion weight is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), by selecting elimination approach, in terms of harmonious sex index humorous sex index two on good terms The quality of expressional scheme, then integrates Valued outranking relation, and finally programme is arranged using net advantage percentile method Sequence.
Above-mentioned fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, the described method comprises the following steps:
A. programme is determined, hierarchical structure is set up
N fired power generating unit reliability index is chosen as representative criterion, while choosing m programme, AHP layers are set up Secondary structure;
B. each criterion weight is determined
1. i-th of criterion is designated as a to the relative importance of j-th of criterionij, construct the judgment matrix A of weight:
Element a using the 9 grades of scaling laws commonly used in AHP to judgment matrix AijAssignment;
2. judgment matrix A dominant eigenvalue λ is soughtmaxWith weight vector W
Dominant eigenvalue λ is tried to achieve by judgment matrix Amax
With eigenvector method can in the hope of matrix A dominant eigenvalue λmax, still, ask λ to solve n equation of n th order n, as n >=3 Calculate cumbersome, can be as follows with approximate data:
(1) even multiply per row element in A and open n powers:
(2) weight is sought:
(3) summed in A per column element:
(4) λ is calculatedmaxValue:
By aijIt is used as the weight w of attribute (attribute is reliability index) i relative importanceiIt is relatively important with attribute j The weight w of propertyjThe ratio between approximation, i.e. aij=wi/wj, then weight vector W=[w1 w2…wn]TTried to achieve by following formula:
AW=λmaxW (5)
3. judgment matrix A consistency check
If the dominant eigenvalue λ tried to achieve from judgment matrix AmaxMore than Critical Eigenvalue λ 'max, then uniformity can not be passed through Examine, it is necessary to which policymaker is to element a in judgment matrix AijValue be adjusted after recalculate λmax, until λmaxLess than λ 'maxFor Only;
C. each criterion threshold value is determined, harmonious sex index humorous sex index on good terms is calculated
1. the essential information needed for problem solving
If attribute j=1,2 ..., n are profit evaluation model, qj[yj(ai)] be the indifference on attribute j between scheme threshold value (or indifference threshold value), i.e. scheme aiWith scheme akAttribute j values difference be less than qjWhen, the two schemes are nothings on attribute j Difference;pj[yj(ai)] represent scheme aiProperty value yj(ai) strictly it is better than scheme akProperty value yj(ak) threshold value (or Claim strictly to be better than threshold value);vj[yj(ai)] represent rejection threshold value (or rejection threshold value), i.e. scheme aiProperty value yj(ai) low In scheme akProperty value yj(ak) meet or exceed vj[yj(ai)] when, scheme of denying recognition aiScheme is superior on the whole ak
2. harmonious sex index humorous sex index on good terms is defined
Orderly scheme is defined to (ai,ak) harmonious sex index c (ai,ak) be
Wherein
Discordance index dj(ai,ak) be
D. Valued outranking relation is calculated
Orderly scheme is to (ai,ak) Valued outranking relation S (ai,ak) be defined as
E. total score is calculated, each scheme orbution is determined
Numerical procedure alBe satisfied with score value δl
Size by score value is satisfied with is ranked up to n scheme, and the bigger scheme satisfaction of score value is higher.
Above-mentioned fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, the fired power generating unit reliability index chooses eight, is respectively:(1) Usage factor (UTF)
(2) availability coefficient (AF)
(3) operating factor (SF)
(4) planned outage coefficient (POF)
(5) unplanned outage coefficient (UOF)
(6) forced outage factor (FOF)
(7) equivalent available factor (EAF)
(8) equivalent forced discontinuation rate (EFOR)
Wherein, hours of operation when referring to that unit generation amount is converted into installed capacity using hour (UTH).During statistics Hour (PH) equipment is in the calendar hourage of use state.Available hours refer to that equipment is in the hourage of upstate, etc. In hours run (RH) and standby hour (SH) sum.Availability coefficient is the important evaluation index of subsidiary engine equipment.Hours run (SH) refer to that equipment is in the hourage of running status.The height of operating factor index directly reflects unit in the network operation time Length, can determine whether equipment is overhauled by hours run, regular working.The area of operating factor and availability coefficient It is not in availability coefficient molecule to contain the standby time.In the case of same availability coefficient, the high explanation machine of operating factor The standby time of group is short, and the standby time that is on the contrary then illustrating unit is long.Planned outage hour (POH) refers to that equipment is stopped in plan The hourage of fortune state.Unplanned outage hour (UOH) refers to that equipment is in the hourage of unplanned outage state, including first To five class unplanned outage hourages.Unplanned outage coefficient is the important indicator for evaluating electric power enterprise production management, directly anti- Mirror the operation level, repair quality, equipment Management Level of equipment.Forced outage hour (FOH) is that unit is in the first to three The hourage sum of class unplanned outage state.That accidents happened is sudden for main reflection.Equivalent available factor indicates generator Group overfill power operation ability.Equivalent available factor then covers the over-all properties of generating set, is to weigh generating set itself The more perfect index of ability.The time probability of forced outage occurs for generating equipment, its value be forced outage hour and the 1st~ The equivalent hour sum of 3 class unplanned deratings and hours run, forced outage hour and the 1st~3 class unplanned derating The ratio of equivalent hour sum.
Above-mentioned fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, indifference threshold value=10%* (maximal criterion values-minimum criteria Value), strictly better than threshold value=3* indifference threshold values, veto threshold value=2* (maximal criterion value-minimum criteria value).
The present invention by two methods of the common agriculture products weight of AHP and ELECTRE, both contained subjectivity logic judgment and Analysis, carries out accurately calculating and deducing, so that decision process has very strong logic and science by objective law again. This method calculates simple, scientific and reasonable, and comprehensively analysis can be made to the reliability of fired power generating unit and is evaluated.
The invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.
Brief description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is fired power generating unit reliability assessment system figure;
Fig. 2 is flow chart of the method for the present invention.
Each symbol is in text:aijFor relative importance of i-th of target to j-th of criterion;A is judgment matrix;λmaxFor most Big characteristic value;W is weight vector;wiFor the weight of attribute i relative importance;wjFor the weight of attribute j relative importance;qj [yj(ai)] be the indifference on attribute j between scheme threshold value;pj[yj(ai)] represent scheme aiProperty value yj(ai) strict excellent In scheme akProperty value yj(ak) threshold value;vj[yj(ai)] represent rejection threshold value;c(ai,ak) for orderly scheme to (ai, ak) harmonious sex index;dj(ai,ak) for orderly scheme to (ai,ak) discordance index;S(ai,ak) it is orderly scheme pair (ai,ak) Valued outranking relation;δlFor scheme alBe satisfied with score value;I is unit matrix.
Embodiment
The present invention is comprised the steps of:
(1) programme, is determined, hierarchical structure is set up.
It is intended to according to fired power generating unit reliability evaluation, chooses 8 fired power generating unit reliability indexs as representative criterion, point It is not:Usage factor (UTF), availability coefficient (AF), operating factor (SF), planned outage coefficient (POF), unplanned outage coefficient (UOF), forced outage factor (FOF), equivalent available factor (EAF), equivalent forced discontinuation rate (EFOR).8 sides are chosen simultaneously Case, sets up AHP hierarchical charts such as Fig. 1.
(2) each criterion weight, is determined.
The judgment matrix A of weight is a reciprocal matrix, and matrix element aij(i=1,2 ..., n;J=1,2 ..., n) have Following property:aij> 0;aij=1/aji;aii=1;Determine matrix element aijPolicymaker is needed to answer following problem repeatedly:aiWith ajWhich is more important, and how is significance levelElement assignment of the 9 grades of scaling laws commonly used in AHP to judgment matrix is used herein.
(1) the structural matrix A of table 1 is utilized by policymaker
Matrix A is the paired result of the comparison of n target.I-th of target is designated as to the relative importance of j-th of target aij, and think, here it is attribute i power wiWith attribute j power wjThe ratio between approximation, aij=wi/wj, i.e.,:
The value of element in the target importance judgment matrix A of table 1
(2) λ is sought with eigenvector methodmaxAnd W
I-th of target (criterion) is designated as a to the relative importance of j-th of targetij, and think, here it is attribute i phase To the weight w of importanceiWith the weight w of attribute j relative importancejThe ratio between approximation,
aij=wi/wj
As available from the above equation:
I.e.
(A-nI) W=0
I is unit matrix in formula, if the value estimation in target importance judgment matrix A is accurate, above formula is exactly equal to 0 (n The vector of dimension 0), if A estimation is not accurate enough, the small perturbation of element means the small perturbation of characteristic value in A, so as to have
AW=λmaxW
λ in formulamaxIt is the dominant eigenvalue of matrix A.Can be weight vector W=[w in the hope of eigenvector by above formula1 w2… wn]T
(3) consistency check of matrix A
If trying to achieve dominant eigenvalue λ from matrix AmaxMore than Critical Eigenvalue λ 'max, illustrate the matrix given by policymaker Each element a in AijUniformity it is too poor, it is impossible to by consistency check, it is necessary to which policymaker carefully considers, adjustment matrix A in element aijValue after recalculate λmax, until λmaxLess than λ 'maxUntill.
The random index RI and corresponding Critical Eigenvalue λ ' of the n rank matrixes of table 2max
n 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
RI 0.00 0.58 0.90 1.12 1.24 1.32 1.41 1.45 1.49
λ‘max 3.116 4.27 5.45 6.62 7.79 8.99 10.16 11.34
(3) each criterion threshold value, is determined, harmonious sex index humorous sex index on good terms is calculated.
1. the essential information needed for problem solving
If attribute j=1,2 ..., n is profit evaluation model.qjIt is the threshold value of the indifference on attribute j between scheme, i.e. scheme ai With scheme akAttribute j values difference be less than qjWhen, the two schemes are indifferences on attribute j, more generally in the case of qjIt is Property value yj(ai) function, you can be denoted as qj[yj(ai)]。
With qjIt is similar, pj[yj(ai)] represent scheme aiProperty value yj(ai) strictly it is better than scheme akProperty value yj(ak) Threshold value.
vj[yj(ai)] represent rejection threshold value, i.e. scheme aiProperty value yj(ai) it is less than scheme akProperty value yj(ak) Meet or exceed vj[yj(ai)] when, scheme of denying recognition aiScheme a is superior on the wholek
Indifference threshold value=10%* (maximal criterion value-minimum criteria value) is taken, strictly better than threshold value=3* indifference thresholds Value, rejection threshold value=2* (maximal criterion value-minimum criteria value).
wjTo represent the weight of attribute j relative importances.
2. harmonious sex index humorous sex index on good terms is defined
The orderly scheme that ELECTRE-III methods are defined is to (ai,ak) harmonious sex index c (ai,ak) be
Wherein
Index cj(ai, ak) it is a on attribute jiBetter than akDegree, c (ai,ak) it can then be used as support " aiIt is superior to ak" this judgement estimates.
Discordance index dj(ai,ak) be
dj(ai,ak) it is then refusal " aiIt is superior to ak" this judgement, i.e. discordance intensity estimates.
(4) Valued outranking relation, is calculated.
Orderly scheme is to (ai,ak) Valued outranking relation S (ai,ak) be defined as
(5) total score, is calculated, each scheme orbution is determined
Using " net advantage percentile method " as the foundation for judging scheme points, this method can be as follows with formulae express:
δlRepresent scheme alBe satisfied with score value, the maximum scheme satisfaction highest of score value, the score value second largest scheme time It, the rest may be inferred.
The present invention, as example sample, is evaluated it using 8, somewhere electricity power enterprise using above-mentioned evaluation method:
Table 1 is obtained to initial data nondimensionalization:
Table 1:Data after nondimensionalization
The judgment matrix A of weight is a reciprocal matrix, and matrix element aij(i=1,2 ..., n;J=1,2 ..., n) have Following property:aij> 0;aij=1/aji;aii=1;Determine matrix element aijPolicymaker is needed to answer following problem repeatedly:aiWith ajWhich is more important, and how is significance levelElement assignment of the 9 grades of scaling laws commonly used in AHP to judgment matrix is used herein. Obtain judgment matrix such as table 2.
Table 2:Criterion weight judgment matrix
Indifference threshold value=10%* (maximal criterion value-minimum criteria value) is taken in this paper cases, strictly better than threshold value=3* Indifference threshold value, rejection threshold value=2* (maximal criterion value-minimum criteria value).Obtain different criterion threshold values such as table 3.
Table 3:The threshold value of different criterions
a1 a2 a3 a4 a5 a6 a7 a8
qj 112.052 57.821 61.901 34.391 10.849 5.491 0.472 0.078
pj 336.156 173.463 185.703 103.173 32.547 16.473 1.416 0.234
vj 2241 1156.4 1238 687.82 216.98 109.82 9.44 1.56
According to harmonious sex index humorous sex index on good terms resulting above, Valued outranking relation matrix is calculated by formula Such as table 4.
Table 4:Outranking relation matrix
a a1 a2 a3 a4 a5 a6 a7 a8
a1 -0.1473 1.32512 -0.8352 0.88723 -1.0440 0.47405 -0.0156 -0.1278
a2 -0.1392 1.25179 -0.7890 0.83813 -0.9862 0.44782 -0.0148 -0.1207
a3 -0.3091 2.77948 -1.7520 1.86100 -2.1899 0.99434 -0.0328 -0.2681
a4 -0.1898 1.70720 -1.0761 1.14305 -1.3450 0.61074 -0.0201 -0.1646
a5 -0.2212 1.98922 -1.2539 1.33188 -1.5672 0.71163 -0.0235 -0.1919
a6 -0.1509 1.35676 -0.8551 0.90839 -1.0689 0.48535 -0.0160 -0.1307
a7 -0.3013 2.70942 -1.7077 1.81407 -2.1346 0.96925 -0.0320 -0.2612
a8 -0.1860 1.67253 -1.0541 1.11981 -1.3176 0.59830 -0.0197 -0.1612
Each scheme score value is calculated according to net advantage percentile method and ranking results are shown in Table 5:
Table 5:The score value of each scheme
Scheme a1 a2 a3 a4
Score value δ 2.1613 -12.1412 -1.7365 -10.9751
Scheme a5 a6 a7 a8
Score value δ 1.4537 -3.3091 -2.0785 2.6645e-15
From above-mentioned result of calculation, 8 fired power generating unit reliability powers are followed successively by a1>a5>a3>a7>a6>a4>a2>a8
It is to be based on AHP and ELECTRE-III methods herein, the reliability to fired power generating unit in Thermal Power Enterprises is evaluated and made Go out decision-making.The weight in example is determined with AHP, each scheme is evaluated with ELECTRE-III, two methods, which are combined, to be made For a kind of new method to fired power generating unit reliability evaluation.Using net advantage method programme is ranked up, it is to avoid original Sort method complexity in ELECTRE-III methods.The total score of each scheme is finally calculated, successfully to schemes ranking.

Claims (4)

1. a kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability, it is characterized in that, methods described is it is determined that programme, sets up hierarchical structure On the basis of, criterion weight is determined by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), by selecting elimination approach, from harmonious sex index humorous sex index two on good terms The quality of individual aspect expressional scheme, then integrates Valued outranking relation, finally using net advantage percentile method to programme It is ranked up.
2. a kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, methods described includes following Step:
A. programme is determined, hierarchical structure is set up
N fired power generating unit reliability index is chosen as representative criterion, while choosing n programme, AHP level knots are set up Structure;
B. each criterion weight is determined
1. i-th of criterion is designated as a to the relative importance of j-th of criterionij, construct the judgment matrix A of weight:
<mrow> <mi>A</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mfenced open = "[" close = "]"> <mtable> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mn>11</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mn>12</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mn>...</mn> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mrow> <mn>1</mn> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mn>21</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mn>22</mn> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mn>...</mn> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mrow> <mn>2</mn> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow></mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow></mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> <mtd> <mrow></mrow> </mtd> <mtd> <mo>.</mo> </mtd> </mtr> <mtr> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> <mtd> <mn>...</mn> </mtd> <mtd> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mtd> </mtr> </mtable> </mfenced> </mrow>
Element a using the 9 grades of scaling laws commonly used in AHP to judgment matrix AijAssignment;
2. judgment matrix A dominant eigenvalue λ is soughtmaxWith weight vector W
Dominant eigenvalue λ is tried to achieve by judgment matrix Amax
With eigenvector method can in the hope of matrix A dominant eigenvalue λmax;But, ask λ to solve n equation of n th order n, calculated as n >=3 It is cumbersome, can be as follows with approximate data:
(1) even multiply per row element in A and open n powers:
<mrow> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>i</mi> <mo>&amp;prime;</mo> </msubsup> <mo>=</mo> <mroot> <mrow> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Pi;</mo> <mrow> <mi>j</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mi>j</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </mroot> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mo>...</mo> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
(2) weight is sought:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>w</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>i</mi> <mo>&amp;prime;</mo> </msubsup> <mo>/</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <msubsup> <mi>w</mi> <mi>i</mi> <mo>&amp;prime;</mo> </msubsup> <mo>,</mo> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mo>...</mo> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
(3) summed in A per column element:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>S</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mi>j</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <mi>j</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mo>...</mo> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>3</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
(4) λ is calculatedmaxValue:
<mrow> <msub> <mi>&amp;lambda;</mi> <mrow> <mi>m</mi> <mi>a</mi> <mi>x</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <msub> <mi>w</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <msub> <mi>S</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>4</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
By aijIt is used as the weight w of attribute i (attribute is reliability index) relative importanceiWith attribute j relative importance Weight wjThe ratio between approximation, i.e. aij=wi/wj, then weight vector W=[w1 w2 … wn]TTried to achieve by following formula:
AW=λmaxW; (5)
3. judgment matrix A consistency check
If the dominant eigenvalue λ tried to achieve from judgment matrix AmaxMore than Critical Eigenvalue λ 'max, then can not be examined by uniformity Test, it is necessary to which policymaker is to element a in judgment matrix AijValue be adjusted after recalculate λmax, until λmaxLess than λ 'maxFor Only;
C. each criterion threshold value is determined, harmonious sex index humorous sex index on good terms is calculated
1. the essential information needed for problem solving
If attribute j=1,2 ..., n are profit evaluation model, qj[yj(ai)] be the indifference on attribute j between scheme threshold value (or Indifference threshold value), i.e. scheme aiWith scheme akAttribute j values difference be less than qjWhen, the two schemes are indifferences on attribute j 's;pj[yj(ai)] represent scheme aiProperty value yj(ai) strictly it is better than scheme akProperty value yj(ak) threshold value it is (or tight Lattice are better than threshold value);vj[yj(ai)] represent rejection threshold value (or rejection threshold value), i.e. scheme aiProperty value yj(ai) less than side Case akProperty value yj(ak) meet or exceed vj[yj(ai)] when, scheme of denying recognition aiScheme a is superior on the wholek
2. harmonious sex index humorous sex index on good terms is defined
Orderly scheme is defined to (ai,ak) harmonious sex index c (ai,ak) be
<mrow> <mi>c</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>j</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <msub> <mi>w</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msub> <msub> <mi>c</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msub> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>i</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>/</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>j</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <msub> <mi>w</mi> <mi>j</mi> </msub> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>6</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
Wherein
Discordance index dj(ai,ak) be
D. Valued outranking relation is calculated
Orderly scheme is to (ai,ak) Valued outranking relation S (ai,ak) be defined as
E. total score is calculated, each scheme orbution is determined
Numerical procedure alBe satisfied with score value δl
<mrow> <msub> <mi>&amp;delta;</mi> <mi>l</mi> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <mi>S</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>l</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>-</mo> <munderover> <mo>&amp;Sigma;</mo> <mrow> <mi>k</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mi>n</mi> </munderover> <mi>S</mi> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>k</mi> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>a</mi> <mi>l</mi> </msub> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> <mo>,</mo> <mi>l</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mn>2</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mo>...</mo> <mo>,</mo> <mi>n</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mo>-</mo> <mrow> <mo>(</mo> <mn>10</mn> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </mrow>
Size by score value is satisfied with is ranked up to n scheme, and the bigger scheme satisfaction of score value is higher.
3. a kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability according to claim 2, it is characterized in that, the fired power generating unit is reliable Property selecting index eight, be respectively:Usage factor (UTF), availability coefficient (AF), operating factor (SF), planned outage coefficient (POF), unplanned outage coefficient (UOF), forced outage factor (FOF), equivalent available factor (EAF), equivalent forced discontinuation rate (EFOR)。
4. a kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability according to claim 3, it is characterized in that, the indifference threshold value= 10%* (maximal criterion value-minimum criteria value), strictly better than threshold value=3* indifference threshold values, vetos threshold value=2* (maximal criterions Value-minimum criteria value).
CN201710429995.7A 2017-06-09 2017-06-09 A kind of fired power generating unit method for evaluating reliability Pending CN107194604A (en)

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Cited By (4)

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CN109359870A (en) * 2018-10-19 2019-02-19 西南交通大学 A kind of distribution network failure recovery scheme comprehensive estimation method based on selection elimination approach
CN109583595A (en) * 2017-09-27 2019-04-05 上海电气电站设备有限公司 A kind of method of determining thermal power steam turbine overhaul life and its influence factor
CN110119907A (en) * 2019-05-24 2019-08-13 北京交通大学 A kind of method for evaluating reliability of electric railway traction power supply system
WO2022133895A1 (en) * 2020-12-24 2022-06-30 华能国际电力股份有限公司 Equipment supervision-based thermal power equipment quality data processing method and apparatus

Cited By (5)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN109583595A (en) * 2017-09-27 2019-04-05 上海电气电站设备有限公司 A kind of method of determining thermal power steam turbine overhaul life and its influence factor
CN109359870A (en) * 2018-10-19 2019-02-19 西南交通大学 A kind of distribution network failure recovery scheme comprehensive estimation method based on selection elimination approach
CN109359870B (en) * 2018-10-19 2022-01-14 西南交通大学 Power distribution network fault recovery scheme comprehensive evaluation method based on selective elimination method
CN110119907A (en) * 2019-05-24 2019-08-13 北京交通大学 A kind of method for evaluating reliability of electric railway traction power supply system
WO2022133895A1 (en) * 2020-12-24 2022-06-30 华能国际电力股份有限公司 Equipment supervision-based thermal power equipment quality data processing method and apparatus

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Application publication date: 20170922