CN106651151A - Post-evaluation method for electric energy substitute item - Google Patents

Post-evaluation method for electric energy substitute item Download PDF

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CN106651151A
CN106651151A CN201611104701.5A CN201611104701A CN106651151A CN 106651151 A CN106651151 A CN 106651151A CN 201611104701 A CN201611104701 A CN 201611104701A CN 106651151 A CN106651151 A CN 106651151A
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index
evaluation
subsystem
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electric energy
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潘广旭
刘卫东
汪东军
任学良
杨伟进
杨林林
丁立梅
刘旭
颜勇
吕志来
田学亮
张东
蒋旭东
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STATE GRID SHANDONG ENERGY-SAVING SERVICE Co Ltd
Rizhao Power Supply Co of State Grid Shandong Electric Power Co Ltd
Beijing Xuji Electric Co Ltd
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STATE GRID SHANDONG ENERGY-SAVING SERVICE Co Ltd
Rizhao Power Supply Co of State Grid Shandong Electric Power Co Ltd
Beijing Xuji Electric Co Ltd
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Priority to CN201611104701.5A priority Critical patent/CN106651151A/en
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    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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Abstract

The embodiment of the invention provides a post-evaluation method for an electric energy substitute item. The method comprises the steps of S1, establishing an electric energy substitute item evaluation system, wherein the electric energy substitute item evaluation system comprises at least one of the subsystems: a construction process evaluation subsystem which is used for evaluating the whole construction process of the electric energy substitute item, a technical performance evaluation subsystem which is used for evaluating the performance of the electric energy substitute item, an economic benefit evaluation subsystem which is used for evaluating the economic benefit of the electric energy substitute item, a social benefit evaluation subsystem which is used for evaluating the social benefit of the electric energy substitute item and an environmental benefit evaluation subsystem which is used for evaluating the environmental benefit of the electric energy substitute item; S2, establishing a level index for each subsystem, wherein each subsystem at least comprises a first-level index, and each first-level index comprises N second-level indexes, and the N is equal to 0, 1, 2 and the like; and S3, evaluating the electric energy substitute item according to the level index and the electric energy substitute item evaluation system.

Description

A kind of electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method
Technical field
The invention belongs to areas of information technology, more particularly to a kind of electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method.
Background technology
Transformation project is substituted as China carries out electric energy so far, there are multiple provinces to carry out extremely successful electric energy and replaced For transformation project, the construction mode for adapting to local heat supply and energy saving requirement is explored, to local heat capacity and energy-conservation effect Fruit is lifted and serves positive impetus.
In order to production not to society, life are impacted, it is necessary to which the science that electric energy substitutes transformation project is commented Estimate, with quantitatively evaluating electric energy substitute modification scheme quality, when need to electric energy substitute project carry out post-evaluation.One rationally, It is right that science, effective, accurate electric energy substitute transformation Post-assessment Method needs:How program evaluation result;Whether construction scheme closes Reason;How quantificational description electric energy substitutes the aspects such as the implementation result of modification measures carries out research and probe.
Traditional electric energy substitutes appraisal mainly includes the individual events such as heat capacity, security reliability, economic benefit assessment; But this traditional appraisal procedure lacks the assessment to project social environment and energy consumption level after transformation, is still unable to effective evaluation The practical problem such as project energy-saving effect and social environment benefit.Therefore, urgent need is a kind of more comprehensively, comprehensively and accurately electric energy is replaced For the post evaluation method of transformation project.
The content of the invention
For in prior art for electric energy substitute when project carries out further evaluation not enough comprehensively and appraisal procedure is poor Problem, the purpose of the embodiment of the present invention is to provide a kind of effective and efficient electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method.
In order to solve the above problems, the embodiment of the present invention proposes a kind of electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method, and it is special Levy and be, comprise the following steps:
Step 1, set up electric energy substitute project evaluation system;Wherein described electric energy substitutes project evaluation system including following At least one subsystem:For assessing the work progress evaluation subsystem of the whole work progress of electric energy replacement project, for assessing Electric energy substitutes the technical performance evaluation subsystem of project performance, the economic benefit for assessing electric energy replacement Project Economy Benefit and comments Valency subsystem, for assess electric energy substitute project social benefit evaluation on social benefits subsystem, for assessing electric energy alternatives The assessment on environmental benefits subsystem of mesh environmental benefit;
Step 2, set up level index for each subsystem;Wherein described each subsystem at least includes first class index, and Each first class index include N number of two-level index, N=0,1,2 ...;
Step 3, project evaluation system is substituted according to level index and electric energy, project is substituted to electric energy and is estimated.
Wherein, the step 2 is specifically included:
Set up work progress and evaluate the level index of subsystem including one level below index:Pre-Stage Decision-Making, design prepare, apply Work is built, operational management;
The level index of technical performance evaluation subsystem includes one level below index:Heating system energy consumption index, building Heat consumption, promotion equipment, architecture science are reduced energy consumption;
The level index of evaluation of economic benefit subsystem includes one level below index:Financial evaluation, economic evaluation;
The level index of evaluation on social benefits subsystem includes one level below index:Energy-saving index, resource can be referred to using row Mark, sustainability index, socioeconomic impact;
The level index of assessment on environmental benefits subsystem includes one level below index:Disposal of pollutants index, environmental quality refer to Mark, disposal of three wastes index, Environmental costs evaluation.
Wherein, it is that at least one of level index first class index sets up two-level index, specifically includes:
Set up work progress and evaluate the Pre-Stage Decision-Making first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Feelings processed can be compiled carefully Condition, amount of energy saving predictablity rate, construction work regulation;
Set up work progress and evaluate the design preparation first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Planning and designing feelings Condition, bidding management situation;
Set up work progress and evaluate the construction first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Construction project time management Situation, Safety Management situation, construction quality administrative situation;
Set up work progress and evaluate the operation management first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Ground System Construction feelings Condition, coal combustion equipment mortality, energy consumption platform service condition, energy-saving equipment put into operation situation;
The heating system energy consumption index first class index of technical performance evaluation subsystem includes following two-level index:Primary energy Utilization rate, the thermal efficiency, for thermal comfort, for thermal safety, reliability of heat-supply system;
The heat consumption of building first class index of technical performance evaluation subsystem includes following two-level index:Heating Design heat is negative Lotus, design space-heating load compliance rate, heat consumption of building;
Evaluation of economic benefit subsystem specifically includes following two-level index:Net present value (NPV), investment payback time, total return of investment Rate, Thermo-economic Evaluation, Environmental Economics evaluation;
Evaluation on social benefits subsystem specifically includes following two-level index:Ten thousand yuan of output value comprehensive energy consumption rates of descent, area Jing Ji promotion rate, power-saving technology utilization rate;
The following two-level index of pollutant emission first class index of assessment on environmental benefits subsystem:Gaseous effluent, solid row Put thing, noise pollution.
Wherein, the step 3 is specifically included:
Stepwise level evaluation analysis model is passed in step 31, generation, and described passing in stepwise level evaluation analysis model is each Level index all gives weighted value, and wherein first class index is the weighted value sum of its corresponding subordinate's index;
Step 32, using indexs at different levels recursion layer by layer, to obtain final comprehensive score.
Wherein, the step 32 is specifically included:
Work progress evaluates the comprehensive score of subsystem:
P1=a1×l1+a2×l2+…+an×ln
Wherein (l1, l2..., ln) it is that work progress evaluates the index set that the first class index and two-level index of subsystem are generated, (a1, a2..., an) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of technical performance evaluation subsystem is:
P2=b1×m1+b2×m2+…+bn×mn
Wherein (m1,m2,…,mn) for technical performance evaluation subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (b1,b2,…,bn) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of evaluation of economic benefit subsystem is:
P3=c1×n1+c2×n2+…+cn×nn
Wherein (n1,n2,…,nn) for evaluation of economic benefit subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (c1,c2,…,cn) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of evaluation on social benefits subsystem is:
P4=d1×o1+d2×o2+…+dn×on
Wherein (o1,o2,…,on) for evaluation on social benefits subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (d1,d2,…,dn) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of assessment on environmental benefits subsystem is:
P5=e1×p1+e2×p2+…+en×pn
Wherein (p1, p2..., pn) for assessment on environmental benefits subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (e1, e2..., en) the corresponding weighted value of each index.
Wherein, the step 32 also includes:
Most subordinate index in each subsystem is carried out into calculating scoring and obtains bottom index score value;
According to passing stepwise level evaluation analysis model, start to calculate analysis successively to upper strata that to obtain other at different levels from the bottom Score value;
Project is substituted to electric energy according to the score values at different levels of subsystem and makes overall merit.
The beneficial effects of the present invention is:
1. the present invention is selected during carrying out being assessed after electric energy substitutes transformation project by segmenting the content of bottom index , so that achievement data regulation and standardization, it is ensured that the accuracy of assessment result.
2. index system proposed by the invention contains work progress, technical performance, economic benefit, social benefit and ring The multinomial electric energy such as border benefit substitutes the index evaluated, the features such as highlighting electric energy and substitute adaptability, the harmony of transformation project;Point Analyse and set up electric energy and substitute transformation project appraisement system, evaluation model, evaluation criterion and evaluation criterion weight, can be from multiple Angle quantitative reaction implements the reducing energy consumption level after electric energy is substituted.
3. the present invention had both considered the professional experiences of industry specialists, turn avoid the larger subjective judgement of deviation so that refer to Mark weight is more accurate.
Description of the drawings
Fig. 1 is electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method schematic diagram;
Fig. 2 is that electric energy substitutes project post evaluation method analysis model structure chart;
Fig. 3 is that work progress evaluates subsystem structure chart;
Fig. 4 is technical performance evaluation subsystem structure chart;
Fig. 5 is evaluation of economic benefit subsystem structure chart;
Fig. 6 is evaluation on social benefits subsystem structure chart;
Fig. 7 is assessment on environmental benefits subsystem structure chart.
Specific embodiment
In order that the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention become more apparent, below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, the present invention is entered One step is described in detail.It should be appreciated that specific embodiment described herein is not used to limit this only to explain the present invention Invention.
Below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments of the invention are further illustrated to the method for rear assessment.
As shown in figure 1, electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method of the present invention at least includes four steps:
S1. evaluation system after electric energy replacement project is set up.
It is described to set up evaluation system after electric energy replacement project and comprise the following steps:
1) determination of subsystem:By substituting the machine operation in comprehensive Quantified Evaluation model, equipment water to electric energy The distribution situation of flat, the project implementation process, traffic-operating period, the ability for affecting and energy saving being substituted with reference to electric energy, setting is evaluated Subsystem.
Fig. 2 show one embodiment of the present of invention, and evaluation system includes after electric energy replacement project:Work progress evaluates son System, technical performance evaluation subsystem, evaluation of economic benefit subsystem, evaluation on social benefits subsystem, assessment on environmental benefits System.
2) determination of pointer type:With cost type, profit evaluation model, moderate type index sorting technique as foundation, according to step 1) selected evaluation subsystem selects then one-level evaluation index.
3) determination of lower floor's index:According to step 2) selected one-level evaluation index determines other lower floor's indexs.
Fig. 3 show one embodiment of the present of invention, and work progress evaluates subsystem scope entirely implementing for project Journey, including Pre-Stage Decision-Making, design preparation, construction, operational management one-level evaluation index.Wherein, Pre-Stage Decision-Making one-level is evaluated Index includes:Situation processed, amount of energy saving predictablity rate, construction plan regulation two-level appraisement index can be compiled carefully;Design prepares one Level evaluation index includes:Planning and designing situation, bidding management situation two-level appraisement index;Construction one-level evaluation index bag Include:Construction project time management situation, Safety Management situation, construction quality administrative situation two-level appraisement index;Operation management one Level evaluation index includes:Local System Construction situation, coal combustion equipment mortality, energy consumption platform service condition, energy-saving equipment put into operation Situation two-level appraisement index.
Fig. 4 show one embodiment of the present of invention, and the main purpose of technical performance evaluation subsystem is the evaluation of science Heating system energy consumption index, building's heat consumption index, promotion equipment, architecture science are reduced energy consumption, including heat supply system System energy consumption index, building's heat consumption index one-level evaluation index.Wherein:Heating system energy consumption one-level evaluation index includes:One Secondary energy utilization rate, the thermal efficiency, for thermal comfort index, heat supply safety index, reliability of heat-supply system index two-level appraisement index;Building Material consumption heat one-level evaluation index includes:Design space-heating load, design space-heating load compliance rate, building's heat consumption index Two-level appraisement index.
Fig. 5 show one embodiment of the present of invention, and evaluation of economic benefit subsystem comments benefit evaluation with technical performance Valency combines, and the comprehensive function effect of indices is embodied in different classes of benefit, and by cost effectiveness (CE) project is reacted The level of profitability.By project net present value method, general item investment income approach, period of investment recovery from time index, value index, Objective evaluation electric energy more comprehensive than forthright index substitutes the income of transformation project.Evaluate from thermoeconomics and Environmental Economics angle Project economics.Wherein:Financial evaluation one-level evaluation index includes:Net present value (NPV), investment payback time, two grades of the rate of return on total investment are commented Valency index;Financial evaluation one-level evaluation index includes:Thermo-economic Evaluation, Environmental Economics evaluate two-level appraisement index.
Fig. 6 show one embodiment of the present of invention, and whether the assessment of evaluation on social benefits subsystem is from being conducive to society to send out The angle of exhibition, construction and the impact of the enforcement to related social factor of comprehensive assay project, that is, carry out social assessment.Including Row index, sustainability index, socioeconomic impact one-level evaluation index can be utilized including energy-saving index, resource.Wherein:Society Economic impact one-level evaluation index includes:Regional economy promotion rate, power-saving technology utilization rate, ten thousand yuan of output value comprehensive energies decline Rate two-level index.
Fig. 7 show one embodiment of the present of invention, and whether the assessment of assessment on environmental benefits subsystem is from being conducive to environment to send out The angle of exhibition, the impact built with enforcement to Related Environmental Factors of comprehensive assay project, that is, carry out environmental evaluation.Including Disposal of pollutants index, environmental quality indicators, disposal of three wastes index, Environmental costs evaluate one-level evaluation index.Wherein, pollutant row Putting index includes reducing discharging CO2, nitrogen oxides, noise, solid waste two-level index.
S2. level evaluation analysis model is set up.
Using stepwise level evaluation analysis model is passed, the model gives weight using linear analysis function pair index at different levels Value;Upper strata index considers respective weights value superposition gained by lower floor's index;Layer by layer recursion obtains final comprehensive score to indexs at different levels.
Electric energy is substituted transformation evaluation score and is calculated using linear relationship formula:
P1=A1×X1+A2×X2+…+An×Xn
Wherein (X1, X2..., Xn) be index set, (A1, A2..., An) it is each index weights.
Work progress evaluates subsystem and each level evaluation index score is calculated using linear relationship formula:
P1=a1×l1+a2×l2+…+an×ln
Wherein (l1, l2..., ln) be index set, (a1, a2..., an) it is each index weights.
Technical performance evaluation subsystem and each level evaluation index score are calculated using linear relationship formula:
P2=b1×m1+b2×m2+…+bn×mn
Wherein (m1,m2,…,mn) be index set, (b1,b2,…,bn) it is each index weights.
Evaluation of economic benefit subsystem and each level evaluation index score are calculated using linear relationship formula:
P3=c1×n1+c2×n2+…+cn×nn
Wherein (n1,n2,…,nn) be index set, (c1,c2,…,cn) it is each index weights.
Evaluation on social benefits subsystem and each level evaluation index score are calculated using linear relationship formula:
P4=d1×o1+d2×o2+…+dn×on
Wherein (o1,o2,…,on) be index set, (d1,d2,…,dn) it is each index weights.
Assessment on environmental benefits subsystem and each level evaluation index score are calculated using linear relationship formula:
P5=e1×p1+e2×p2+…+en×pn
Wherein (p1, p2..., pn) be index set, (e1, e2..., en) it is each index weights.
S3. the weight of each index in each evaluation system is obtained.
The weight of indexs at different levels is obtained using Delphi method.
S4. assessment result is obtained by model analysis.
First evaluation system Zhong subordinate index is carried out into calculating scoring and obtain bottom index score value;Then according to analysis Model calculates layer by layer analysis and obtains other score values at different levels;Finally according to system score values at different levels to power distribution network Energy-saving Projects Make overall merit.
The above is the preferred embodiment of the present invention, it is noted that for those skilled in the art For, on the premise of without departing from principle of the present invention, some improvements and modifications can also be made, these improvements and modifications Should be regarded as protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (7)

1. a kind of electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method, it is characterised in that comprise the following steps:
Step 1, set up electric energy substitute project evaluation system;Wherein the electric energy substitute project evaluation system include it is following at least One subsystem:For assessing the work progress evaluation subsystem of the whole work progress of electric energy replacement project, for assessing electric energy The technical performance evaluation subsystem of replacement project performance, evaluation of economic benefit for assessing electric energy replacement Project Economy Benefit System, for assess electric energy substitute project social benefit evaluation on social benefits subsystem, for assess electric energy substitute project ring The assessment on environmental benefits subsystem of border benefit;
Step 2, set up level index for each subsystem;Wherein described each subsystem at least includes first class index, and described Each first class index include N number of two-level index, N=0,1,2 ...;
Step 3, project evaluation system is substituted according to level index and electric energy, project is substituted to electric energy and is estimated.
2. electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the step 2 is specifically wrapped Include:
Set up work progress and evaluate the level index of subsystem including one level below index:Pre-Stage Decision-Making, design prepare, construction is built If, operational management;
The level index of technical performance evaluation subsystem includes one level below index:Heating system energy consumption index, building heat dissipation Amount;
The level index of evaluation of economic benefit subsystem includes one level below index:Financial evaluation, economic evaluation;
The level index of evaluation on social benefits subsystem includes one level below index:Energy-saving index, resource can using row index, can Continuation index, socioeconomic impact;
The level index of assessment on environmental benefits subsystem includes one level below index:Disposal of pollutants index, environmental quality indicators, three It is useless to administer index, Environmental costs evaluation.
3. electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method according to claim 2, it is characterised in that in level index extremely A few first class index sets up two-level index, specifically includes:
Set up work progress and evaluate the Pre-Stage Decision-Making first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Situation processed, section can be compiled carefully Energy predicting accuracy rate, construction work regulation;
Set up work progress and evaluate the design preparation first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Planning and designing situation, trick Bidding management situation;
Set up work progress and evaluate the construction first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Construction project time management feelings Condition, Safety Management situation, construction quality administrative situation;
Set up work progress and evaluate the operation management first class index of subsystem including following two-level index:Ground System Construction situation, Coal combustion equipment mortality, energy consumption platform service condition, energy-saving equipment put into operation situation;
The heating system energy consumption index first class index of technical performance evaluation subsystem includes following two-level index:Primary energy is utilized Rate, the thermal efficiency, for thermal comfort, for thermal safety, reliability of heat-supply system;
The heat consumption of building first class index of technical performance evaluation subsystem includes following two-level index:Design space-heating load, Design space-heating load compliance rate, heat consumption of building;
Evaluation of economic benefit subsystem specifically includes following two-level index:Net present value (NPV), investment payback time, the rate of return on total investment, heat Economics Evaluation, Environmental Economics evaluation;
Evaluation on social benefits subsystem specifically includes following two-level index:Ten thousand yuan of output value comprehensive energy consumption rates of descent, regional economy promote Enter rate, power-saving technology utilization rate;
The following two-level index of pollutant emission first class index of assessment on environmental benefits subsystem:Gaseous effluent, solid emission, Noise pollution.
4. electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the step 3 is specifically wrapped Include:
Stepwise level evaluation analysis model is passed in step 31, generation, and described passing in stepwise level evaluation analysis model is that every one-level refers to Mark all gives weighted value, and wherein first class index is the weighted value sum of its corresponding subordinate's index;
Step 32, using indexs at different levels recursion layer by layer, to obtain final comprehensive score.
5. electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method according to claim 4, it is characterised in that the step 32 is specifically wrapped Include:
Work progress evaluates the comprehensive score of subsystem:
P1=a1×l1+a2×l2+…+an×ln
Wherein (l1, l2..., ln) it is that work progress evaluates the index set that the first class index and two-level index of subsystem are generated, (a1, a2..., an) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of technical performance evaluation subsystem is:
P2=b1×m1+b2×m2+…+bn×mn
Wherein (m1,m2,…,mn) for technical performance evaluation subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (b1, b2,…,bn) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of evaluation of economic benefit subsystem is:
P3=c1×n1+c2×n2+…+cn×nn
Wherein (n1,n2,…,nn) for evaluation of economic benefit subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (c1, c2,…,cn) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of evaluation on social benefits subsystem is:
P4=d1×o1+d2×o2+…+dn×on
Wherein (o1,o2,…,on) for evaluation on social benefits subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (d1, d2,…,dn) it is the corresponding weighted value of each index;
The comprehensive score of assessment on environmental benefits subsystem is:
P5=e1×p1+e2×p2+…+en×pn
Wherein (p1, p2..., pn) for assessment on environmental benefits subsystem first class index and two-level index generate index set, (e1, e2..., en) the corresponding weighted value of each index.
6. electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method according to claim 5, it is characterised in that the step 32 is also wrapped Include:
Most subordinate index in each subsystem is carried out into calculating scoring and obtains bottom index score value;
According to passing stepwise level evaluation analysis model, start to calculate analysis successively to upper strata from the bottom and obtain other and at different levels comment Score value;
Project is substituted to electric energy according to the score values at different levels of subsystem and makes overall merit.
7. electric energy alternatives purpose post evaluation method according to claim 4, it is characterised in that adopt in the step 31 Delphi method obtains the weight of index.
CN201611104701.5A 2016-12-05 2016-12-05 Post-evaluation method for electric energy substitute item Pending CN106651151A (en)

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CN108305018A (en) * 2018-03-16 2018-07-20 肖鑫茹 A kind of accurate clean manufacturing benefit evaluation system of evaluation
CN108665161A (en) * 2018-05-09 2018-10-16 国网山东省电力公司青岛供电公司 A kind of electric energy replacement potentiality measuring and calculating service system
CN110910011A (en) * 2019-11-20 2020-03-24 国网安徽省电力有限公司电力科学研究院 Operation method for implementing electric energy replacement strategy based on environmental protection target constraint
CN113643153A (en) * 2021-08-13 2021-11-12 南京工程学院 Electric energy substitution diffusion analysis method taking enterprise as main body

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CN108305018B (en) * 2018-03-16 2022-11-18 中环联合(北京)认证中心有限公司 Accurate clean production benefit evaluation system of evaluation
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