CN106600129A - Power grid planning method and system - Google Patents
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Abstract
The invention discloses a power grid planning method and system. The method includes acquiring the historical electricity consumption data and sample electricity consumption environment information of a sample area; analyzing the historical electricity consumption data and sample electricity consumption environment information of the sample area and establishing a corresponding electricity consumption characteristic model; acquiring the current electricity consumption environment information of the current area; and comparing and analyzing the current electricity consumption environment information and the sample electricity consumption environment information, and predicting the electricity consumption data information of the current area by means of the electricity consumption characteristic model to carry out the power grid planning. By establishing the electricity consumption characteristic model for the sample area, the electricity consumption derivation and development prediction of the current area can be carried out theoretically, the theoretical data support can be provided for the power grid planning of the current area, reasonable power grid planning and effective investment can be carried out for the current area, so that the power grid construction and the actual electricity consumption demand of the current area can be guaranteed, and lots of resource waste can be prevented, and the economic electricity consumption can be realized.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to electrical network power supply technique field, more particularly to a kind of Electric power network planning method and system.
Background technology
With expanding economy, the various enterprise and company of China quickly grow.With the development of various enterprises and institutions, its use
Electricity constantly increases.
Under traditional electric power thus supplied, for the Electric Power Network Planning of enterprise place garden is it is often the case that sentencing according to artificial experience
It is disconnected.And if not in place for the Electric Power Network Planning of garden occur when enterprise can be caused normally cannot to run, therefore, normal conditions
Under, the Electric Power Network Planning of garden can cause power supply much larger than the actual electricity consumption in garden, this for the power grid construction initial stage of garden just
The substantial amounts of wasting of resources can be caused, many ineffective investments are produced, and in subsequent applications, due to power grid construction redundancy so that
Loss on electrical network is also larger, further increases the burden of enterprise, while causing the waste of electric resources.
Therefore, rational Electric Power Network Planning how is carried out to newly-built technology park, increases effective investment, realize economic power supply,
It is the current technical issues that need to address of those skilled in the art.
The content of the invention
It is an object of the invention to provide a kind of Electric power network planning method and system, can be carried out reasonably to newly-built technology park
Electric Power Network Planning, increases effective investment, realizes economic power supply.
To solve above-mentioned technical problem, the invention provides following technical scheme：
A kind of Electric power network planning method, including：
Obtain the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of sample areas；
History electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information to the sample areas is analyzed, and sets up corresponding
Use electric characteristic models；
Obtain the current power environmental information of current region；
The current power environmental information and the sample power utilization environment information are compared, by the electricity consumption
Characteristic model predicts the electricity consumption data information of current region to carry out Electric Power Network Planning.
Preferably, the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information for obtaining sample areas, including：
Obtain history power consumption, network load, capacity requirement information, GDP information and the sample areas of the sample areas
Population information.
Preferably, the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information to the sample areas is carried out point
Analysis, sets up corresponding use electric characteristic models, including：
According to the history electricity consumption data information in the sample areas and sample power utilization environment information, set up population and refer to
Mark, utilization rate of electrical index, seasonal factors weight index and factor of a model index；
Set up maximum load electric energy model and region power consumption model.
Preferably, the current power environmental information for obtaining current region, including：
Obtain the population information and prediction GDP information of current region.
Preferably, the current power environmental information and the sample power utilization environment information are compared, is passed through
The electric characteristic models predict the electricity consumption data information of current region to carry out Electric Power Network Planning, including：
By the population information and GDP letter of the population information of current region and prediction GDP information and the sample areas
Data in breath are contrasted；
By the maximum load and region power consumption of current region described in analogy analysis；
By the maximum load and region power consumption of analyzing the current region for drawing, the electricity of the current region is set up
Net construction model.
A kind of Electric Power Network Planning system, including：
First acquisition module, for obtaining the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of sample areas；
MBM, for carrying out to the history electricity consumption data information of the sample areas and sample power utilization environment information point
Analysis, sets up and corresponding uses electric characteristic models；
Second acquisition module, for obtaining the current power environmental information of current region；
Electric Power Network Planning module, for comparing to the current power environmental information and the sample power utilization environment information
Analysis, by the electricity consumption data information that current region is predicted with electric characteristic models to carry out Electric Power Network Planning.
Preferably, first acquisition module includes：
History power consumption acquiring unit, for obtaining the history power consumption of the sample areas；
Network load acquiring unit, for obtaining the network load of the sample areas；
Capacity requirement information acquisition unit, for obtaining the capacity requirement information of the sample areas；
GDP information acquisition units, for obtaining the GDP information of the sample areas；
Sample areas population information acquisition unit, for obtaining the population information of the sample areas.
Preferably, the MBM includes：
Index Establishment unit, for being believed according to the history electricity consumption data information in the sample areas and sample power utilization environment
Breath, sets up population index, utilization rate of electrical index, seasonal factors weight index and factor of a model index；
First modeling unit, the indices for being set up according to the Index Establishment unit set up maximum load electric energy mould
Type；
Second modeling unit, the indices for being set up according to the Index Establishment unit set up region power consumption mould
Type.
Preferably, second acquisition module includes：
Current region population information acquisition unit, for obtaining the population information of current region；
Prediction GDP information acquisition units, for obtaining the prediction GDP information of current region.
Preferably, the Electric Power Network Planning module includes：
Comparing unit, for by the population information of current region and prediction GDP information and the sample areas population
Data in number information and GDP information are contrasted；
Analytic unit, the maximum load and region power consumption for current region described in analogy analysis；
Power grid construction model sets up unit, uses for the maximum load and region by analyzing the current region for drawing
Electricity, sets up the power grid construction model of the current region.
Compared with prior art, above-mentioned technical proposal has advantages below：
A kind of Electric power network planning method that the embodiment of the present invention is provided, including：Obtain the history electricity consumption data of sample areas
Information and sample power utilization environment information；History electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information to sample areas is carried out point
Analysis, sets up and corresponding uses electric characteristic models；Obtain the current power environmental information of current region；To current power environmental information and
Sample power utilization environment information compares, by predicting the electricity consumption data information of current region to carry out with electric characteristic models
Electric Power Network Planning.History electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of the technical program by acquisition sample areas, set up
With regard to the use electric characteristic models of sample areas, and according to the sample areas with electric characteristic models come theoretically to current region
Electricity consumption derivation and development prediction are carried out, and are supported so that theoretic data are provided for the Electric Power Network Planning of current region, and then are helped
User carries out rational Electric Power Network Planning and is effectively invested to current regions such as newly-built technology parks, can either ensure electricity
Net builds the actual need for electricity that ensure that current region, can guarantee that again and does not result in the too many wasting of resources, realizes economical
Electricity consumption.
Description of the drawings
In order to be illustrated more clearly that the embodiment of the present invention or technical scheme of the prior art, below will be to embodiment or existing
Accompanying drawing to be used needed for having technology description is briefly described, it should be apparent that, drawings in the following description are the present invention
Some embodiments, for those of ordinary skill in the art, on the premise of not paying creative work, can be with basis
These accompanying drawings obtain other accompanying drawings.
The Electric power network planning method flow chart that Fig. 1 is provided by a kind of specific embodiment of the invention；
The Electric Power Network Planning system structure diagram that Fig. 2 is provided by a kind of specific embodiment of the invention.
Specific embodiment
The core of the embodiment of the present invention is to provide a kind of Electric power network planning method and system, and newly-built technology park can be carried out
Rational Electric Power Network Planning, increases effective investment, realizes economic power supply.
In order that the above objects, features and advantages of the present invention can become apparent from it is understandable, below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings to this
Bright specific embodiment is described in detail.
Elaborate detail in order to fully understand the present invention in the following description.But the present invention can with it is various not
It is same as alternate manner described here to implement, those skilled in the art can do class in the case of without prejudice to intension of the present invention
Like popularization.Therefore the present invention is not limited by following public specific embodiment.
Refer to Fig. 1, the Electric power network planning method flow chart that Fig. 1 is provided by a kind of specific embodiment of the invention.
A kind of specific embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of Electric power network planning method, including：
S11：Obtain the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of sample areas.
In the present embodiment, the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of sample areas are obtained, including：
Obtain the population information of history power consumption, network load, capacity requirement information, GDP information and the sample areas of sample areas.
In order to carry out more accurate Electric Power Network Planning to current region, the sample areas of selection are as much as possible and current region
Economic development characteristic it is similar.As current region is mainly high-tech enterprise garden, then the sample areas chosen are also as much as possible
For close high-tech enterprise garden, the similarity of electrical characteristics is used with guarantee between the two.Wherein, the history power consumption of sample areas
History power consumption including sample areas in units of year and in units of season or in units of month；Network load is main
For the peak load in the region；Demand information to electric energy of the capacity requirement information for sample areas；GDP information is sample area
The GDP in domain.
S12：History electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information to sample areas is analyzed, and sets up corresponding
Use electric characteristic models.
In the present embodiment, to sample areas history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information is carried out point
Analysis, sets up corresponding use electric characteristic models, including：According to history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment in sample areas
Information, sets up population index, utilization rate of electrical index, seasonal factors weight index and factor of a model index；Set up highest to bear
Charged energy model and region power consumption model.
External algorithm function that can be called by a default algorithm data-base or one etc. is to sample areas
History electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information are analyzed, and electricity consumption main body are classified according to analysis result,
The indexs such as population index, utilization rate of electrical index, seasonal factors weight index and factor of a model index are set up, and according to items
Maximum load electric energy model and region power consumption model of the Index Establishment with regard to sample areas.
This is as, in a fixed region, maximum effect factor of maximum load is power consumption；Next to that temperature,
The change of Various Seasonal temperature can cause the change of power consumption and the change of maximum load；It is finally population, each personnel
Supporting electrical equipment is had, the increase and decrease of population can equally cause the change of power consumption and maximum load.In the present embodiment,
Population index may determine that impact of the population to maximum load and power consumption；Seasonal factors weight index can characterize temperature pair
In the impact of maximum load and power consumption；Utilization rate of electrical index and factor of a model index etc. can further to other factors
Impact to maximum load and power consumption reflects.
S13：Obtain the current power environmental information of current region.
In the present embodiment, the current power environmental information of current region is obtained, including：Obtain the population of current region
Number information and prediction GDP information.
S14：Current power environmental information and sample power utilization environment information are compared, by with electric characteristic models
Predict the electricity consumption data information of current region to carry out Electric Power Network Planning.
In the present embodiment, current power environmental information and sample power utilization environment information are compared, is passed through
The electricity consumption data information of current region is predicted with electric characteristic models to carry out Electric Power Network Planning, including：By the population of current region
Data in the population information and GDP information of information and prediction GDP information and sample areas are contrasted；By analogy analysis
The maximum load and region power consumption of current region；By the maximum load and region power consumption of analyzing the current region for drawing,
Set up the power grid construction model of current region.
In identical geographic coverage, the ambient temperature difference of sample areas and current region is general little, therefore at this
In embodiment, with impact of the temperature in sample areas to maximum load and power consumption can regard as and current region in temperature pair
The impact of maximum load and power consumption.Other power utilization environments are close or identical in the case of, population is to determine current region
With sample areas maximum load and the main factor of power consumption, when the shadow of other all factors to maximum load and power consumption
When sound is negligible, in the maximum load and power consumption of sample areas and feelings known to the population relation of sample areas
Under condition, the maximum load and power consumption of current region can be learnt by analogy, i.e., by the maximum load electric energy of sample areas
Model and region power consumption model can predict the electrical energy demands data and curves of current region.But under practical situation, sample
Region and the electricity consumption main body of current region can not possibly be identical, therefore, also introduce in the present embodiment GDP information this
Factor, in the case where two regions are similar with electrical characteristics, GDP and power consumption are approximately directly proportional, by population and GDP this two
Individual major influence factors can analyze the maximum load and region power consumption for drawing current region, it is possible to for the electricity of current region
The foundation of net construction model provides data and supports, sets up power grid construction model with this.
It is different relative to traditional economic industry situation, in the present embodiment, especially in high and new tech park, with sample
Based on the history electrical characteristics in region, related current model is set up, and the power grid construction to current region provides data
Hold, the reliability of the demand to electricity consumption and power supply can either be ensured, investment can be optimized on the basis of data are supported again and be come
Rational deployment is carried out to electrical network, power grid construction and the economic synchronized development of wisdom is realized, government, user, electric company is reached multi-party
The situation of multi-win, the healthy sustainable growth of boosting Green GDP.
Refer to Fig. 2, the Electric Power Network Planning system structure diagram that Fig. 2 is provided by a kind of specific embodiment of the invention.
Correspondingly, present invention also offers a kind of Electric Power Network Planning system, including：
First acquisition module 1, for obtaining the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of sample areas.
In the present embodiment, the first acquisition module includes：History power consumption acquiring unit, for obtaining sample areas
History power consumption；Network load acquiring unit, for obtaining the network load of sample areas；Capacity requirement information acquisition unit,
For obtaining the capacity requirement information of sample areas；GDP information acquisition units, for obtaining the GDP information of sample areas；Sample
Regional population's number information acquisition unit, for obtaining the population information of sample areas.
Wherein, the first acquisition module can be attached with the electric power system of power supply administration etc., with direct access sample areas
History electricity consumption data information；First acquisition module can be entered with the statistical system of the relevant departments being located with sample areas simultaneously
Row connection, with the GDP information of direct access sample areas and population information equal samples power utilization environment information etc..
MBM 2, for being analyzed to the history electricity consumption data information of sample areas and sample power utilization environment information,
Set up and corresponding use electric characteristic models.
MBM includes：Index Establishment unit, for according to the history electricity consumption data information and sample in sample areas
Power utilization environment information, sets up population index, utilization rate of electrical index, seasonal factors weight index and factor of a model index；The
One modeling unit, the indices for being set up according to Index Establishment unit set up maximum load electric energy model；Second modeling is single
Unit, the indices for being set up according to Index Establishment unit set up region power consumption model.
Second acquisition module 3, for obtaining the current power environmental information of current region.
Second acquisition module includes：Current region population information acquisition unit, for obtaining the population of current region
Information；Prediction GDP information acquisition units, for obtaining the prediction GDP information of current region.
Wherein, the first acquisition module can be human-computer interaction module, by user input current region forecasted population number and
The information such as GDP.
Electric Power Network Planning module 4, for comparing to current power environmental information and sample power utilization environment information, leads to
Cross and predict the electricity consumption data information of current region to carry out Electric Power Network Planning with electric characteristic models.
Electric Power Network Planning module includes：Comparing unit, for by the population information of current region and prediction GDP information and sample
Data in the population information and GDP information of one's respective area are contrasted；Analytic unit, for analogy analysis current region most
High load capacity and region power consumption；Power grid construction model sets up unit, for the maximum load by analyzing the current region for drawing
With region power consumption, the power grid construction model of current region is set up.
In sum, Electric power network planning method provided by the present invention and system, by the history electricity consumption for obtaining sample areas
Data message and sample power utilization environment information, set up the use electric characteristic models with regard to sample areas, and according to the sample areas
Electricity consumption derivation and development prediction are carried out to current region theoretically with electric characteristic models, so as to the electrical network for current region is advised
Draw and theoretic data support is provided, and then help user rational Electric Power Network Planning to be carried out to current regions such as newly-built technology parks
And effectively invested, can either ensure that power grid construction ensure that the actual need for electricity of current region, can guarantee that again
The too many wasting of resources is not resulted in, economic electricity consumption is realized.
Above a kind of Electric power network planning method provided by the present invention and system are described in detail.It is used herein
Specific case is set forth to the principle and embodiment of the present invention, and the explanation of above example is only intended to help and understands this
Invention and its core concept.It should be pointed out that for those skilled in the art, without departing from the principle of the invention
On the premise of, some improvement and modification can also be carried out to the present invention, these improve and modification also falls into the claims in the present invention
Protection domain in.
Claims (10)
1. a kind of Electric power network planning method, it is characterised in that include：
Obtain the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of sample areas；
History electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information to the sample areas is analyzed, and sets up corresponding electricity consumption
Characteristic model；
Obtain the current power environmental information of current region；
The current power environmental information and the sample power utilization environment information are compared, and electrical characteristics are used by described
The electricity consumption data information of model prediction current region is carrying out Electric Power Network Planning.
2. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the history electricity consumption data information of the acquisition sample areas and
Sample power utilization environment information, including：
Obtain the people of history power consumption, network load, capacity requirement information, GDP information and the sample areas of the sample areas
Mouth number information.
3. method according to claim 2, it is characterised in that the history electricity consumption data information to the sample areas
It is analyzed with sample power utilization environment information, sets up corresponding use electric characteristic models, including：
According to the history electricity consumption data information in the sample areas and sample power utilization environment information, population index, electricity are set up
Can utilization rate index, seasonal factors weight index and factor of a model index；
Set up maximum load electric energy model and region power consumption model.
4. method according to claim 3, it is characterised in that the current power environmental information of the acquisition current region,
Including：
Obtain the population information and prediction GDP information of current region.
5. method according to claim 4, it is characterised in that to the current power environmental information and the sample electricity consumption
Environmental information compares, by the electricity consumption data information that current region is predicted with electric characteristic models to carry out electrical network
Planning, including：
By in the population information and GDP information of the population information of current region and prediction GDP information and the sample areas
Data contrasted；
By the maximum load and region power consumption of current region described in analogy analysis；
By the maximum load and region power consumption of analyzing the current region for drawing, the electrical network for setting up the current region is built
If model.
6. a kind of Electric Power Network Planning system, it is characterised in that include：
First acquisition module, for obtaining the history electricity consumption data information and sample power utilization environment information of sample areas；
MBM, for being analyzed to the history electricity consumption data information of the sample areas and sample power utilization environment information,
Set up and corresponding use electric characteristic models；
Second acquisition module, for obtaining the current power environmental information of current region；
Electric Power Network Planning module, for comparing to the current power environmental information and the sample power utilization environment information point
Analysis, by the electricity consumption data information that current region is predicted with electric characteristic models to carry out Electric Power Network Planning.
7. system according to claim 6, it is characterised in that first acquisition module includes：
History power consumption acquiring unit, for obtaining the history power consumption of the sample areas；
Network load acquiring unit, for obtaining the network load of the sample areas；
Capacity requirement information acquisition unit, for obtaining the capacity requirement information of the sample areas；
GDP information acquisition units, for obtaining the GDP information of the sample areas；
Sample areas population information acquisition unit, for obtaining the population information of the sample areas.
8. system according to claim 7, it is characterised in that the MBM includes：
Index Establishment unit, for according to the history electricity consumption data information in the sample areas and sample power utilization environment information,
Set up population index, utilization rate of electrical index, seasonal factors weight index and factor of a model index；
First modeling unit, the indices for being set up according to the Index Establishment unit set up maximum load electric energy model；
Second modeling unit, the indices for being set up according to the Index Establishment unit set up region power consumption model.
9. system according to claim 8, it is characterised in that second acquisition module includes：
Current region population information acquisition unit, for obtaining the population information of current region；
Prediction GDP information acquisition units, for obtaining the prediction GDP information of current region.
10. system according to claim 9, it is characterised in that the Electric Power Network Planning module includes：
Comparing unit, for the population letter by the population information of current region and prediction GDP information and the sample areas
Data in breath and GDP information are contrasted；
Analytic unit, the maximum load and region power consumption for current region described in analogy analysis；
Power grid construction model sets up unit, for maximum load and region electricity consumption by analyzing the current region for drawing
Amount, sets up the power grid construction model of the current region.
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|---|---|---|---|
| CN201611116602.9A CN106600129A (en) | 2016-12-07 | 2016-12-07 | Power grid planning method and system |
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|---|---|---|---|
| CN201611116602.9A CN106600129A (en) | 2016-12-07 | 2016-12-07 | Power grid planning method and system |
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| CN201611116602.9A Pending CN106600129A (en) | 2016-12-07 | 2016-12-07 | Power grid planning method and system |
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| CN117436935A (en) * | 2023-11-30 | 2024-01-23 | 湖北华中电力科技开发有限责任公司 | Regional power consumption prediction method, regional power consumption prediction system, computer equipment and storage medium |
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