Detailed description of the invention
For the ease of understanding the present invention, below with reference to relevant drawings, the present invention is described more fully.In accompanying drawing
Give the first-selected embodiment of the present invention.But, the present invention can realize in many different forms, however it is not limited to institute herein
The embodiment described.On the contrary, providing the purpose of these embodiments is to make to the disclosure more thoroughly comprehensively.
Unless otherwise defined, all of technology used herein and scientific terminology and the technical field belonging to the present invention
The implication that technical staff is generally understood that is identical.The term used the most in the description of the invention is intended merely to describe tool
The purpose of the embodiment of body, it is not intended that limit the present invention.Term as used herein " and/or " include one or more being correlated with
The arbitrary and all of combination of Listed Items.
Electricity sales amount distribution method embodiment 1 of the present invention:
Parameter in order to solve to quote due to tradition electricity sales amount distribution system is imperfect, inaccurate, easily causes electricity sales amount and divides
The irrational problem joined, the invention provides a kind of electricity sales amount distribution method embodiment 1;Fig. 1 is electricity sales amount of the present invention distribution
The schematic flow sheet of embodiment of the method 1;As it is shown in figure 1, may comprise steps of:
Step S110: according to the power transmission and distribution actual cost avail data of electric power networks, the power transmission and distribution obtaining electric power networks are accurate
Permitted to take in parameter;Power transmission and distribution actual cost avail data includes that power transmission and distribution are permitted cost data, permitted avail data and tax number
According to;
Step S120: permit income parameter and the original value of fixed assets ratio preset according to power transmission and distribution, obtain each voltage etc.
The allowance income index of level;The allowance income index of electric pressure includes that electric pressure circuit permits income index and electric pressure
Income index is permitted in power transformation;
Step S130: according to balance of electric power and ener data and the power consumption data of each electric pressure, respectively obtain each electricity
Total transmission & distribution electricity of pressure grade;Power consumption packet vinculum damages data and loss on transmission data;
Step S140: allowance income index and total transmission & distribution electricity to each electric pressure process, and obtain each voltage etc.
The T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of level;
Step S150: according to T-D tariff measuring and calculating value, sets up electricity sales amount anticipation function, and according to electricity sales amount anticipation function,
Obtain the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each electric pressure.
Specifically, the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value that electricity sales amount distribution method Main Basis of the present invention is preset processes model, should
The T-D tariff Calculating model preset carries out calculating process to T-D tariff, according to current transmission & distribution in the case of transmission & distribution sell unification
The relevant policies constraints of electricity price, component voltage ranking score user obtains the value of T-D tariff measuring and calculating the most accurately;And then according to
T-D tariff measuring and calculating value, sets up electricity sales amount anticipation function, and according to electricity sales amount anticipation function, obtains the electricity sales amount of each electric pressure
Apportioning cost;
In power quantity predicting on sale work, it is necessary first to obtain authentic and valid historical data as support, these packets
Include the outside macroeconomy of grid company internal data (such as power transmission and distribution actual cost avail data, power consumption data) and company
Data (such as original value of fixed assets ratio).Internal data is carried out integration process by the present invention, and establishes corresponding data
Center provides end as the data of each demand data department;And for external data, it is possible to set up with electrical network business intelligence platform
Data sharing interface, thus obtain corresponding data.On the basis of truthful data, use the electricity sales amount distribution side that the present invention provides
Method, predicting the outcome of obtaining will provide strong support to work such as the planning of grid company, analyses.
Wherein, according to the integrated degree of electric power data, the level of detail, the numbers of data item such as T-D tariff measuring and calculating values, can
To select suitable anticipation function model to be predicted, such as one time smoothing model, secondary smoothing model, proportionality coefficient model,
Elastic coefficient model, gray model.Additionally, in practice, it is possible to use combination forecasting, to different prediction moulds
Type adds corresponding weight, thus carries out the acquisition of electricity sales amount apportioning cost.
In a concrete example, as a example by the provincial power network in electric power networks, may comprise steps of:
Obtain the allowance income data of provincial power network.The allowance income of provincial power network should include undertaking transregional, interprovincial power networks
Security costs.
According to above-mentioned allowance income data, according to each electric pressure, the cost data of each electric pressure is carried out expense and divides
Join.After determining the allowance income data of provincial power network, it is allocated permitting receiving by circuit and power transformation between each electric pressure
Enter, form the cost data that each electric pressure is reclaimed by T-D tariff.
Obtain the cost data that each electric pressure undertakes.Owing to the part or all of power source of low-voltage-grade is in high electricity
The power supply of pressure grade, therefore, low-voltage-grade should distribute the cost data of voltage levels, and with the expense number of this electric pressure
According to forming the cost data that each electric pressure undertakes together.
Obtain each electric pressure T-D tariff and total data.After calculating the cost data that each electric pressure undertakes, can
With the power consumption of each electric pressure as radix, obtain the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of each electric pressure;Then, survey according to T-D tariff
Calculation value, sets up electricity sales amount anticipation function, and according to electricity sales amount anticipation function, obtains the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each electric pressure.
Above-mentioned T-D tariff measuring and calculating value can be obtained based on below equation:
T-D tariff measuring and calculating is worth=permits income data ÷ total transmission & distribution electricity
Wherein, income data=allowance cost+allowance income+tax is permitted
Allowance cost data=depreciation cost+operation maintenance expense+pay other electrical network transmission & distribution electricity charge+policy costs
Allowance avail data=efficient portfolio × weighted average the dollar return putting forward income can be counted
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (%)=cost of equity capital × (1-asset-liability ratio)+cost of debt capital × money
Produce debt ratio
Tax data=enterprise income tax+urban construction and maintenance projects expense+educational expenses.
In a specific embodiment, allowance income index and total transmission & distribution electricity of each electric pressure are entered by step S140
Row processes, and can also include step after the step of the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value obtaining each electric pressure:
According to electricity sales amount anticipation function and power grid user data, obtain the sale of electricity of each power grid user corresponding to each electric pressure
Amount apportioning cost;Power grid user data include power grid user rate of load condensate and simultaneity factor.
Specifically, according to parameters such as the part throttle characteristics of each user, can obtain large user T-D tariff total data and
The T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of each user of each electric pressure.The T-D tariff of all types of user is the base at each electric pressure T-D tariff
On plinth, it is considered to the parameters such as such customer charge rate, simultaneity factor calculate and determine.
Electricity sales amount apportioning cost can be obtained by below equation:
First T-D tariff measuring and calculating value is obtained;
Certain electric pressure class user's power transmission and distribution capacity price of electricity measuring and calculating value=(community network transmission & distribution that this electric pressure undertakes
Electricity service totle drilling cost × capacity price of electricity allocation proportion) this electric pressure electricity consumption peak load of ÷ × this electric pressure all types of user simultaneity factor
Such user simultaneity factor ÷ 12 [unit/(the KW month)] of × this electric pressure;
The community network that certain electric pressure class user's power transmission and distribution electricity price data measuring and calculating value=this electric pressure undertakes
Power transmission and distribution service this electric pressure total electricity consumption of totle drilling cost × electricity price allocation proportion ÷ × this electric pressure rate of load condensate × should
The rate of load condensate [unit/(KW h)] of electric pressure all types of user simultaneity factor ÷ such user of this electric pressure;
Wherein, capacity price of electricity allocation proportion+electricity price allocation proportion=1;
Specifically, certain electric pressure class electricity price data measuring and calculating value can be obtained based on below equation:
The community network power transmission and distribution service assembly that certain electric pressure class electricity price data measuring and calculating value=this electric pressure undertakes
Rate/this electric pressure while basis/this electric pressure total electricity consumption * this electric pressure all types of user of this electric pressure rate of load condensate *
The rate of load condensate [unit/(KW h)] of such user.
Then, with corresponding electricity price data measuring and calculating value, set up corresponding electricity sales amount anticipation function, and predict according to electricity sales amount
Function, obtains the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each electric pressure.Such as can use SVM prediction model, at research small sample
In the case of, such as during the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each user calculating electrical network at different levels, accuracy can be greatly improved.
In a concrete example, step S140 to the allowance income index of each electric pressure and total transmission & distribution electricity at
Reason, the step of the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value obtaining each electric pressure specifically can include step:
Balance of electric power and ener data according to each electric pressure and power consumption data, obtain between each electric pressure is defeated
Power transmission amount ratio value;
According to conveying electricity ratio value and the allowance income index of electric pressure, obtain total allowance of corresponding electric pressure
Income index;
Total according to electric pressure permits income index and total transmission & distribution electricity, obtains the T-D tariff of the electric pressure of correspondence
Measuring and calculating value.
Specifically, can be according to given each electric pressure purchase of electricity, electricity sales amount, each electric pressure to low-voltage-grade
The ratio of power supply and the line loss per unit of each electric pressure and loss on transmission rate, from voltage levels to each voltage of low-voltage-grade step-by-step calculation
Total delivery of grade, power consumption, to low-voltage-grade delivery, line loss electricity, loss on transmission electricity and each electric pressure from high electricity
The electricity that pressure grade accepts.If the delivery of each electric pressure, power consumption, electricity sales amount reach balance, the line loss of each electric pressure
Electricity and loss on transmission electricity sum are equal to total losses electricity, then add up the delivery of each electric pressure, power consumption etc..Otherwise, etc.
Ratio adjusts line loss per unit and the loss on transmission rate of 500KV electric pressure, until electric quantity balancing.
Calculate each electric pressure by electric quantity balancing and carry the ratio of electricity to this grade and subordinate, thus obtain low electricity
The ratio value of pressure grade distribution voltage levels power transmission and distribution cost.
In a concrete example, as a example by the provincial power network in electric power networks, provincial power network self permits income respectively
Distribution between electric pressure may comprise steps of:
When determining the allowance income data of provincial power network self power transmission and distribution business, press between each electric pressure circuit and
Power transformation carries out data distribution, forms the allowance income data of each electric pressure circuit and power transformation.Each electric pressure circuit and power transformation
Allowance income data, be to determine based on the ratio of each electric pressure circuit and power transformation initial asset value, can based on
Lower formula calculates:
Certain electric pressure circuit is permitted the power transmission and distribution business of income data=this electrical network self and is permitted income this electric pressure of *
Circuit original value of fixed assets accounts for the ratio of the total original value of fixed assets of power transmission and distribution business;
Certain electric pressure power transformation is permitted the power transmission and distribution business of income data=this electrical network self and is permitted income this electric pressure of *
Power transformation original value of fixed assets accounts for the ratio of the total original value of fixed assets of power transmission and distribution business;
In view of in effective fixed assets, some fixed assets is not belonging to the shared assets of power transmission and distribution assets, therefore, he
Need to be reasonably allocated in each electric pressure power transmission and transformation assets, in order to distribution.
The present invention is according to each electric pressure power consumption pro rate, and each voltage etc. that is directly brought into by the asset share of distribution
In level circuit assets, participate in the calculating of cost, it is ensured that the accuracy that T-D tariff measuring and calculating value processes.
Secondly, each electric pressure electrical network power transmission and distribution cost data is obtained:
On the basis of calculating certain electric pressure circuit, power transformation allowance income, each electric pressure power transmission and distribution can be calculated
Notebook data, i.e. certain electric pressure power transmission and distribution cost data=these electric pressure line cost data+high electricity of this electric pressure distribution
Pressure grade transformation cost data,
Wherein, certain electric pressure power transmission and distribution cost data can comprise cost data, reasonable benefit data and legal tax
Data, each electric pressure power transmission and distribution cost data sum always permits income index equal to this power grid enterprises' power transmission and distribution business.Low
Why the power transmission and distribution cost data of electric pressure comprises this electric pressure line cost data, the most also includes voltage levels
Transformation cost data, are because the whole circuit of this electric pressure and the power transformation of part or all of voltage levels, are all for this electricity
Pressure grade power transmission and distribution service.
When voltage levels power transformation is only an electric pressure service, then complete cost data should record at this voltage etc.
Under Ji;When voltage levels power transformation is the service of two or more electric pressure, then transformation cost data need at each voltage etc.
It is allocated between Ji processing, can calculate based on below equation:
Certain electric pressure distribution voltage levels transformation cost data=certain voltage levels transformation cost data * high voltage
The ratio that grade transformator is powered to this electric pressure;
When there is multiple voltage levels to this electric pressure grid transmission simultaneously, the transformation cost data of distribution are entered
Row is cumulative.
Obtain each electric pressure electrical network power transmission and distribution service totle drilling cost data:
Each electric pressure electrical network power transmission and distribution service totle drilling cost data include this electric pressure electrical network power transmission and distribution operating cost number
According to, distribute to other power transmission and distribution cost data of this electric pressure, can calculate based on below equation:
Each electric pressure electrical network power transmission and distribution service totle drilling cost data=this electric pressure power transmission and distribution cost data+high voltage etc.
Level distributes to the power transmission and distribution cost data of this electric pressure electrical network;
Voltage levels electrical network becomes data originally to the distribution power transmission and distribution of this electric pressure electrical network, typically can be by load or electricity ratio
Example is allocated.Electrical network power transmission and distribution cost is in close relations with load, typically presses sharing of load, but statistical data to load at present
Not accurate enough, and statistical data based on electricity is more accurate, therefore the present invention chooses and carries out data distribution by electric quantity data, permissible
Calculate based on below equation:
Certain electric pressure distribution voltage levels power transmission and distribution cost data=voltage levels electrical network power transmission and distribution service assembly
Notebook data * voltage levels electrical network is to the total electricity consumption of this electric pressure electrical network powering quantity/voltage levels electrical network;
The electricity sales amount of the total electricity consumption of certain electric pressure electrical network=this electric pressure electrical network+this electric pressure electrical network is to low electricity
The pressure total delivery of level Grid;
When multiple voltage levels are powered to a certain low-voltage-grade simultaneously, distribute multiple high voltages to low-voltage-grade
Grade power transmission and distribution service totle drilling cost data add up.
Complete the process of each electric pressure T-D tariff measuring and calculating value:
After calculating the power transmission and distribution service totle drilling cost data that each electric pressure undertakes, can the total of each electric pressure use
Electricity is radix, calculates the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of each electric pressure.Can calculate based on below equation:
The power transmission and distribution service totle drilling cost undertaken without certain electric pressure T-D tariff measuring and calculating value=this electric pressure of tax year
Data/this year this electric pressure total electricity consumption;
The electric pressure T-D tariff measuring and calculating containing tax year is worth=without tax year electric pressure T-D tariff measuring and calculating value *
(1+ electric power value-added tax rate);
Then, according to T-D tariff measuring and calculating value, set up electricity sales amount anticipation function, and according to electricity sales amount anticipation function, obtain
The electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each electric pressure.It is for instance possible to use gray model for prediction, the parameters that system is included
It is predicted, it was predicted that the relation of development and change between variable (T-D tariff measuring and calculating value and electricity sales amount apportioning cost), it was predicted that in system
The effect of leading factor.
Fig. 2 is the flowage structure schematic diagram of electricity sales amount distribution method embodiment 2 of the present invention;As shown in Figure 2:
In a specific embodiment, allowance income index and total transmission & distribution electricity of each electric pressure are entered by step S140
Row processes, and can also include step after the step of the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value obtaining each electric pressure:
Power transmission and distribution operating cost data according to electric power networks, income index is always permitted in the power transmission and distribution obtaining electric power networks;
Power transmission and distribution operating cost data include that income parameter, the Transmission Cost data of electrical network conduction are permitted in the power transmission and distribution of electric power networks;
Income index and total transmission & distribution electricity are always permitted in power transmission and distribution according to electric power networks, obtain the T-D tariff of electric power networks
Measuring and calculating value;
T-D tariff measuring and calculating value according to electric power networks and electricity sales amount anticipation function, obtain the electricity sales amount distribution of electric power networks
Value.
Specifically, as a example by the provincial power network in electric power networks, total allowance income of provincial power network power transmission and distribution business refers to
Number may include that
(1) the allowance income data of provincial power network self power transmission and distribution business.Obtain according to current " cost adds income " mode
Take;
(2) the transmission charges data of higher level's electrical network conduction.Including: community network transregional, interprovincial power networks conduction takes safely
With, transregional, the security costs of networking project conduction transprovincially;
(3) the policy costs data reclaimed by provincial power network T-D tariff are needed.As expense, rural power grids repaying base are tieed up in agriculture
Gold etc..
The related data that can process based on the below equation above-mentioned T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of acquisition:
The allowance income always permitting income index=provincial power network self power transmission and distribution business of provincial power network power transmission and distribution business
Transmission charges data+policy costs the data of data+higher level's electrical network conduction
Cost+allowance income+tax is taken in=is permitted in the allowance of provincial power network self power transmission and distribution business;
Then, according to T-D tariff measuring and calculating value and the electricity sales amount anticipation function of electric power networks, the sale of electricity of electric power networks is obtained
Amount apportioning cost.It is for instance possible to use BP neural network prediction model, using several parameter factors maximum on electricity sales amount impact as
Input, such as power consumption and T-D tariff measuring and calculating value, thus obtain and accurately predict the outcome.
In a specific embodiment, electric pressure includes 500kV, 220kV, 110kV, 35kV, 20kV, 10kV.
In a concrete example, it is also possible to realize the adjustment of electricity sales amount distribution according to the present invention;Specifically, Ke Yigen
The alternative subsidy data enjoyed according to resident, agricultural user, and the alternative subsidy data that industry and commerce user is undertaken, obtain phase
The T-D tariff measuring and calculating value answered, thus electricity sales amount is adjusted correspondingly distribution.
Electricity sales amount distribution method embodiment 1 of the present invention, considers the depreciation data of power transmission and distribution community network, operation maintenance
Data, efficient portfolio ratio value and earning rate thereof, tax data and the supplemental characteristic such as power balance, power consumption data, obtain
Take sale of electricity object (each electric pressure or each user of each electric pressure) T-D tariff measuring and calculating value, obtain next operating cycle
In the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each sale of electricity object;Based on efficient portfolio ratio value and allowance income data, based on power common
Network of network transport properties, it then follows grid power operational factor, is carried out the electricity price data measuring and calculating value of power transmission and distribution links
Reasonably calculate so as to get T-D tariff measuring and calculating value can accurately reflect power grid enterprises' cost, thus be rational electricity sales amount
Distribution provides data support accurately.
Electricity sales amount distribution system embodiment 1 of the present invention:
Technological thought based on above-mentioned electricity sales amount distribution method, simultaneously in order to solve owing to tradition electricity sales amount distribution system draws
Parameter imperfect, inaccurate, easily cause irrational problem of electricity sales amount distribution, present invention also offers a kind of electricity sales amount
Distribution system embodiment 1;Fig. 3 is the structural representation of electricity sales amount distribution system embodiment 1 of the present invention, as it is shown on figure 3, can wrap
Include:
Electric power networks permits income processing unit 310, for the power transmission and distribution actual cost avail data according to electric power networks,
Income parameter is permitted in the power transmission and distribution obtaining electric power networks;
Electric pressure permits income processing unit 320, for permitting income parameter and the fixed assets preset according to power transmission and distribution
Produce initial value ratio, obtain the allowance income index of each electric pressure;The allowance income index of electric pressure includes electric pressure line
Income index is permitted on road and income index is permitted in electric pressure power transformation;
Obtain transmission & distribution electricity unit 330, for the balance of electric power and ener data according to each electric pressure and power consumption number
According to, respectively obtain total transmission & distribution electricity of each electric pressure;Power consumption packet vinculum damages data and loss on transmission data;
Computing unit 340, for processing allowance income index and total transmission & distribution electricity of each electric pressure, obtains each
The T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of electric pressure;
Electricity sales amount allocation unit 350, for according to T-D tariff measuring and calculating value, sets up electricity sales amount anticipation function, and according to selling
Power quantity predicting function, obtains the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each electric pressure.
In a specific embodiment, electricity sales amount distribution system can also include:
User's electricity sales amount measuring and calculating unit 360, for according to electricity sales amount anticipation function and power grid user data, obtains each voltage
The electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each power grid user that grade is corresponding;Power grid user data include power grid user rate of load condensate and simultaneity factor.
In a specific embodiment, computing unit 340 may include that
Ratio value acquisition module 342, for the balance of electric power and ener data according to each electric pressure and power consumption data,
Obtain the conveying electricity ratio value between each electric pressure;
Obtain electric pressure and always permit income index module 344, for according to conveying electricity ratio value and electric pressure
Permitting income index, obtain corresponding electric pressure always permits income index;
Electric pressure electricity price data measuring and calculating value computing module 346, for according to electric pressure total permit income index and
Total transmission & distribution electricity, obtains the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of the electric pressure of correspondence.
In a specific embodiment, electricity sales amount distribution system can also include:
Electric power networks always permits taking in processing unit 370, for the power transmission and distribution operating cost number according to described electric power networks
According to, income index is always permitted in the power transmission and distribution obtaining described electric power networks;Described power transmission and distribution operating cost data include described electric power
Income parameter, the Transmission Cost data of electrical network conduction are permitted in the power transmission and distribution of network;
Electric power networks electricity price data measuring and calculating value computing unit 380, for always permitting according to the power transmission and distribution of described electric power networks
Income index and described total transmission & distribution electricity, obtain the T-D tariff measuring and calculating value of described electric power networks;
Electricity sales amount allocation unit 350, pre-for T-D tariff measuring and calculating value and the described electricity sales amount according to described electric power networks
Survey function, obtain the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of described electric power networks.
In a specific embodiment, electric pressure includes 500kV, 220kV, 110kV, 35kV, 20kV, 10kV.
Electricity sales amount distribution system embodiment 1 of the present invention, considers the depreciation data of power transmission and distribution community network, operation maintenance
Data, efficient portfolio ratio value and earning rate thereof, tax data and the supplemental characteristic such as power balance, power consumption data, obtain
Take sale of electricity object (each electric pressure or each user of each electric pressure) T-D tariff measuring and calculating value, obtain next operating cycle
In the electricity sales amount apportioning cost of each sale of electricity object;Based on efficient portfolio ratio value and allowance income data, based on power common
Network of network transport properties, it then follows grid power operational factor, is carried out the electricity price data measuring and calculating value of power transmission and distribution links
Reasonably calculate so as to get T-D tariff measuring and calculating value can accurately reflect power grid enterprises' cost, thus be rational electricity sales amount
Distribution provides data support accurately.
Each technical characteristic of embodiment described above can combine arbitrarily, for making description succinct, not to above-mentioned reality
The all possible combination of each technical characteristic executed in example is all described, but, as long as the combination of these technical characteristics is not deposited
In contradiction, all it is considered to be the scope that this specification is recorded.
Embodiment described above only have expressed the several embodiments of the present invention, and it describes more concrete and detailed, but also
Can not therefore be construed as limiting the scope of the patent.It should be pointed out that, come for those of ordinary skill in the art
Saying, without departing from the inventive concept of the premise, it is also possible to make some deformation and improvement, these broadly fall into the protection of the present invention
Scope.Therefore, the protection domain of patent of the present invention should be as the criterion with claims.