CN105205703A - Business analysis-based grid electricity operation programme determining method and system - Google Patents
Business analysis-based grid electricity operation programme determining method and system Download PDFInfo
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- CN105205703A CN105205703A CN201510751011.8A CN201510751011A CN105205703A CN 105205703 A CN105205703 A CN 105205703A CN 201510751011 A CN201510751011 A CN 201510751011A CN 105205703 A CN105205703 A CN 105205703A
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- Y—GENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
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- Y04S—SYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
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Abstract
The invention provides a business analysis-based grid electricity operation programme determining method and system. The business analysis-based grid electricity operation programme determining method comprises the following steps: acquiring a current electricity operation programme, and establishing a grid business performance analysis and forecasting model corresponding to the current electricity operation programme, wherein the model comprises an input parameter and a target parameter; acquiring external influence factor information and internal management and decision making information from an electricity business system, wherein the external influence factor information comprises electricity requirement information, electricity supply information and electricity price information, the internal management and decision making information comprises in-progress construction work information, fixed asset information, depreciation information and power supply capacity, and the input parameter comprises the external influence factor information and the internal management and decision making information; inputting the input parameter into the grid business performance analysis and forecasting model, and analyzing according to the grid business performance analysis and forecasting model to determine an output value corresponding to the target parameter; adjusting the current electricity operation programme according to the output value of the target parameter. Through the technical scheme, the current electricity operation programme can be adjusted to determine the appropriate electricity operation programme, so that a grid business performance requirement can be met.
Description
Technical field
The present invention relates to electric power network technique field, particularly a kind of grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis and system.
Background technology
In electric power network technique, the formulation of numerous type of electrical power Management plan can be related to, in general, for some details, can formulate multiple different power operation scheme, and the power operation scheme that selection one is optimum from this multiple power operation scheme is applied in network system.When selecting this multiple power operation scheme, usually can analyze based on the failure rate etc. of this multiple different power operation scheme, and the power operation scheme therefrom selecting failure rate minimum carries out practice, to ensure the reliability of electrical network.But for the situation that reliability is secure, how to make electrical network service feature reach optimum and do not consider.
Summary of the invention
Based on this, the object of the embodiment of the present invention is to provide a kind of grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis and a kind of grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis, it can reasonably adjust power operation scheme, thus determine suitable grid power Management plan, improve electrical network service feature.
For achieving the above object, the embodiment of the present invention by the following technical solutions:
Based on a grid power Management plan defining method for business diagnosis, comprise step:
Obtain current power Management plan, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with described current power Management plan, described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model comprises input parameter, target component;
External influence factors information, internal operation decision information is obtained from power business system, described external influence factors information comprises electricity needs information, electric power supply information, electricity price information, described internal operation decision information is included in builds engineering information, capital assets information, depreciation information, power supply capacity, and described input parameter comprises described external influence factors information, internal operation decision information;
Described input parameter is inputted described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, analyze according to described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, determine the output valve of corresponding target component;
Described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, using current power Management plan as the power operation scheme determined, described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, described current power Management plan is adjusted according to the output valve of described target component, and using the power operation scheme after adjustment as current power Management plan.
Based on a grid power Management plan certainty annuity for business diagnosis, comprise step:
Model building module, for obtaining current power Management plan, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with described current power Management plan, described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model comprises input parameter, target component;
Data obtaining module, for obtaining external influence factors information, internal operation decision information from power business system, described external influence factors information comprises electricity needs information, electric power supply information, electricity price information, described internal operation decision information is included in builds engineering information, capital assets information, depreciation information, power supply capacity, and described input parameter comprises described external influence factors information, internal operation decision information;
Analysis module, for described input parameter being inputted described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, analyzes according to described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, determines the output valve of corresponding target component;
Scheme is determined and adjusting module, when imposing a condition for meeting in the output valve of described target component, using current power Management plan as the power operation scheme determined, described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, described current power Management plan is adjusted according to the output valve of described target component, and using the power operation scheme after adjustment as current power Management plan.
According to the scheme of the embodiment of the present invention as above, it is based on set up power operation scheme, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with this power operation scheme, input parameter in this electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model obtains from power business system, by carrying out power business analysis based on these input parameters obtained from power business system, can determine whether the output valve of the target component finally obtained meets business objective, thus accordingly power operation scheme is adjusted, impose a condition until the magnitude value of target component meets, thus determine suitable power operation scheme, to meet electrical network service feature.
Accompanying drawing explanation
Fig. 1 is the schematic flow sheet of the grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis in an embodiment;
Fig. 2 is the structural representation of the grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis in an embodiment.
Embodiment
For making object of the present invention, technical scheme and advantage clearly understand, below in conjunction with drawings and Examples, the present invention is described in further detail.Should be appreciated that embodiment described herein only in order to explain the present invention, do not limit protection scope of the present invention.
The schematic flow sheet of the grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis in an embodiment has been shown in Fig. 1.As shown in Figure 1, the method in the present embodiment comprises step:
Step S101: obtain current power Management plan, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with described current power Management plan, described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model comprises input parameter, target component;
Step S102: obtain external influence factors information, internal operation decision information from power business system, described external influence factors information comprises electricity needs information, electric power supply information, electricity price information, described internal operation decision information is included in builds engineering information, capital assets information, depreciation information, power supply capacity, and described input parameter comprises described external influence factors information, internal operation decision information;
Step S103: described input parameter is inputted described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, analyzes according to described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, determines the output valve of corresponding target component;
Step S104: described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, using current power Management plan as the power operation scheme determined, described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, described current power Management plan is adjusted according to the output valve of described target component, and using the power operation scheme after adjustment as current power Management plan.
According to the scheme of the embodiment of the present invention as above, it is based on set up power operation scheme, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with this power operation scheme, input parameter in this electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model obtains from power business system, by carrying out power business analysis based on these input parameters obtained from power business system, can determine whether the output valve of the target component finally obtained meets business objective, thus accordingly power operation scheme is adjusted, impose a condition until the output valve of target component meets, thus determine suitable power operation scheme, to meet electrical network service feature.
Wherein, in a concrete example, above-mentioned electricity needs information can comprise electricity sales amount, and described electricity price information comprises sale of electricity unit price.Described electricity sales amount can comprise electricity sales amount in large industrial power supply amount, general industry power consumption, resident living power utility amount, non-resident electric consumption on lighting amount, commercial power amount, agricultural production power consumption, bulk sale power consumption, system, the outer electricity sales amount of system and other power consumptions.
In addition, above-mentioned electric power supply information can comprise purchase of electricity, and above-mentioned electricity price information comprises power purchase unit price.Described purchase of electricity comprises water power purchase of electricity, coal purchases by telephone electricity, electricity purchased by telephone by oil, coal gas purchases by telephone electricity, nuclear power purchase of electricity, regenerative resource purchase of electricity, outer purchase of electricity, other energy purchase of electricity.
In another specific example, described depreciation information comprises ratio of depreciation information and initial asset value information, wherein, ratio of depreciation information comprises transmission line of electricity assets composite depreciation rate, converting equipment assets composite depreciation rate, distribution line and asset of equipments composite depreciation rate, other assets composite depreciation rate, and described initial asset value information comprises average transmit power circuit initial asset value, average converting equipment initial asset value, average distribution line and asset of equipments initial value.
Above-mentioned target component, based on the difference of electrical network type of service to be analyzed, can be set as dissimilar parameter, can meet dissimilar perhaps demand to make set up power operation scheme.Such as, in a concrete example, above-mentioned target component can be profit value, can meet corresponding profit requirement to make set up power operation scheme.
Based on the method for the embodiment of the present invention as above, the processing procedure of the method in a specific embodiment can be as described below:
First, obtain current power Management plan, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with described current power Management plan, wherein, this electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model comprises input parameter, target component, it will be appreciated by those skilled in the art that, the specific implementation setting up electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model can adopt any possible mode to carry out, as long as the corresponding interrelational form of the correlation parameter in power operation scheme and this target component can be embodied, based on the difference of selected target component, the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model set up can difference to some extent.
Subsequently, external influence factors information, internal operation decision information is obtained from power business system.Wherein, this external influence factors information comprises electricity needs information, electric power supply information, electricity price information, this electricity needs information specifically can comprise electricity sales amount, electricity sales amount specifically can comprise large industrial power supply amount, general industry power consumption, resident living power utility amount, non-resident electric consumption on lighting amount, commercial power amount, agricultural production power consumption, bulk sale power consumption, electricity sales amount in system, the outer electricity sales amount of system, and other power consumptions, this Electrical information provision can comprise purchase of electricity, purchase of electricity specifically can comprise water power purchase of electricity, coal purchases by telephone electricity, electricity purchased by telephone by oil, coal gas purchases by telephone electricity, nuclear power purchase of electricity, regenerative resource purchase of electricity, outer purchase of electricity, other energy purchase of electricity.And electricity price information can comprise sale of electricity unit price.Internal operation decision information is specifically included in builds engineering information, capital assets information, depreciation information, power supply capacity, and described input parameter comprises described external influence factors information, internal operation decision information.
Then, the information of the input parameter of above-mentioned acquisition is input in the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model of above-mentioned foundation, analyzes according to described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, determine the output valve of corresponding target component; Judge whether the output valve of corresponding target component meets to impose a condition.
If meet impose a condition, then using current power Management plan as the power operation scheme determined.
Impose a condition if do not met, then adjust described current power Management plan according to the output valve of described target component, and using the power operation scheme after adjustment as current power Management plan.The output valve of concrete based target parameter adjusts the mode of described current power Management plan, any possible mode can be adopted to carry out, such as, if the output valve of target component is less than the expection output valve of target component, the value of the corresponding parameter in Management plan of can suitably increasing electric power, or corresponding electric power supply mode is adjusted, such as will be adjusted to electric power supply mode another (such as nuclear power electric power supply) etc. for certain particular user from a kind of electric power presentation mode (such as oily electric electric power supply).Certainly, it will be understood by those skilled in the art that the difference of the type based on the parameter in power operation scheme, corresponding processing mode also difference to some extent.
After adjusting in power operation scheme, said process can be returned, again the information of the input parameter of acquisition is input to electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, after determining the output of corresponding target component, according to target output valve adjustment current power Management plan again.
Can said process be repeated, until the output valve of target component meets the demands, then the power operation scheme after finally adjustment is applied in network system as final power operation scheme.
Based on the thought identical with said method, the embodiment of the present invention also provides a kind of grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis, and the structural representation of the grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis in an embodiment has been shown in Fig. 2.
As shown in Figure 2, the system in the embodiment of the present invention comprises:
Model building module 201, for obtaining current power Management plan, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with described current power Management plan, described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model comprises input parameter, target component;
Data obtaining module 202, for obtaining external influence factors information, internal operation decision information from power business system, described external influence factors information comprises electricity needs information, electric power supply information, electricity price information, described internal operation decision information is included in builds engineering information, capital assets information, depreciation information, power supply capacity, and described input parameter comprises described external influence factors information, internal operation decision information;
Analysis module 203, for described input parameter being inputted described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, analyzes according to described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, determines the output valve of corresponding target component;
Project setting module 204, when imposing a condition for meeting in the output valve of described target component, using current power Management plan as the power operation scheme determined, described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, described current power Management plan is adjusted according to the output valve of described target component, and using the power operation scheme after adjustment as current power Management plan.
According to the scheme of the embodiment of the present invention as above, it is based on set up power operation scheme, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with this power operation scheme, input parameter in this electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model obtains from power business system, by carrying out power business analysis based on these input parameters obtained from power business system, can determine whether the output valve of the target component finally obtained meets business objective, thus accordingly power operation scheme is adjusted, determine suitable power operation scheme, to meet electrical network service feature.
Wherein, in a concrete example, above-mentioned electricity needs information can comprise electricity sales amount, and described electricity price information comprises sale of electricity unit price.Described electricity sales amount can comprise electricity sales amount in large industrial power supply amount, general industry power consumption, resident living power utility amount, non-resident electric consumption on lighting amount, commercial power amount, agricultural production power consumption, bulk sale power consumption, system, the outer electricity sales amount of system and other power consumptions.
In addition, above-mentioned electric power supply information can comprise purchase of electricity, and above-mentioned electricity price information comprises power purchase unit price.Described purchase of electricity comprises water power purchase of electricity, coal purchases by telephone electricity, electricity purchased by telephone by oil, coal gas purchases by telephone electricity, nuclear power purchase of electricity, regenerative resource purchase of electricity, outer purchase of electricity, other energy purchase of electricity.
In another specific example, described depreciation information comprises ratio of depreciation information and initial asset value information, wherein, ratio of depreciation information comprises transmission line of electricity assets composite depreciation rate, converting equipment assets composite depreciation rate, distribution line and asset of equipments composite depreciation rate, other assets composite depreciation rate, and described initial asset value information comprises average transmit power circuit initial asset value, average converting equipment initial asset value, average distribution line and asset of equipments initial value.
Above-mentioned target component, based on the difference of electrical network type of service to be analyzed, can be set as dissimilar parameter, can meet dissimilar perhaps demand to make set up power operation scheme.Such as, in a concrete example, above-mentioned target component can be profit value, can meet corresponding profit requirement to make set up power operation scheme.
The embodiment of the present invention based on the other technologies feature in the grid power Management plan certainty annuity of business diagnosis, can with above-mentioned identical based in the grid power Management plan defining method of business diagnosis, repeat no longer in detail at this.
Each technical characteristic of the above embodiment can combine arbitrarily, for making description succinct, the all possible combination of each technical characteristic in above-described embodiment is not all described, but, as long as the combination of these technical characteristics does not exist contradiction, be all considered to be the scope that this instructions is recorded.
The above embodiment only have expressed several embodiment of the present invention, and it describes comparatively concrete and detailed, but can not therefore be construed as limiting the scope of the patent.It should be pointed out that for the person of ordinary skill of the art, without departing from the inventive concept of the premise, can also make some distortion and improvement, these all belong to protection scope of the present invention.Therefore, the protection domain of patent of the present invention should be as the criterion with claims.
Claims (10)
1., based on a grid power Management plan defining method for business diagnosis, it is characterized in that, comprise step:
Obtain current power Management plan, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with described current power Management plan, described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model comprises input parameter, target component;
External influence factors information, internal operation decision information is obtained from power business system, described external influence factors information comprises electricity needs information, electric power supply information, electricity price information, described internal operation decision information is included in builds engineering information, capital assets information, depreciation information, power supply capacity, and described input parameter comprises described external influence factors information, internal operation decision information;
Described input parameter is inputted described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, analyze according to described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, determine the output valve of corresponding target component;
Described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, using current power Management plan as the power operation scheme determined, described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, described current power Management plan is adjusted according to the output valve of described target component, and using the power operation scheme after adjustment as current power Management plan.
2. the grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, described electricity needs information comprises electricity sales amount, described electricity sales amount comprises electricity sales amount in large industrial power supply amount, general industry power consumption, resident living power utility amount, non-resident electric consumption on lighting amount, commercial power amount, agricultural production power consumption, bulk sale power consumption, system, the outer electricity sales amount of system and other power consumptions, and described electricity price information comprises sale of electricity unit price.
3. the grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, described electric power supply information comprises purchase of electricity, described purchase of electricity comprises water power purchase of electricity, coal purchases by telephone electricity, electricity purchased by telephone by oil, coal gas purchases by telephone electricity, nuclear power purchase of electricity, regenerative resource purchase of electricity, outer purchase of electricity, other energy purchase of electricity, and described electricity price information comprises power purchase unit price.
4. the grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis according to claim 1, it is characterized in that, described depreciation information comprises ratio of depreciation information and initial asset value information, described ratio of depreciation information comprises transmission line of electricity assets composite depreciation rate, converting equipment assets composite depreciation rate, distribution line and asset of equipments composite depreciation rate, other assets composite depreciation rate, and described initial asset value information comprises average transmit power circuit initial asset value, average converting equipment initial asset value, average distribution line and asset of equipments initial value.
5. the grid power Management plan defining method based on business diagnosis according to Claims 1-4 any one, it is characterized in that, described target component is profit value.
6., based on a grid power Management plan certainty annuity for business diagnosis, it is characterized in that, comprising:
Model building module, for obtaining current power Management plan, set up the electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model corresponding with described current power Management plan, described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model comprises input parameter, target component;
Data obtaining module, for obtaining external influence factors information, internal operation decision information from power business system, described external influence factors information comprises electricity needs information, electric power supply information, electricity price information, described internal operation decision information is included in builds engineering information, capital assets information, depreciation information, power supply capacity, and described input parameter comprises described external influence factors information, internal operation decision information;
Analysis module, for described input parameter being inputted described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, analyzes according to described electrical network service feature analyses and prediction model, determines the output valve of corresponding target component;
Scheme is determined and adjusting module, when imposing a condition for meeting in the output valve of described target component, using current power Management plan as the power operation scheme determined, described target component output valve meet impose a condition time, described current power Management plan is adjusted according to the output valve of described target component, and using the power operation scheme after adjustment as current power Management plan.
7. the grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis according to claim 6, it is characterized in that, described electricity needs information comprises electricity sales amount, described electricity sales amount comprises electricity sales amount in large industrial power supply amount, general industry power consumption, resident living power utility amount, non-resident electric consumption on lighting amount, commercial power amount, agricultural production power consumption, bulk sale power consumption, system, the outer electricity sales amount of system and other power consumptions, and described electricity price information comprises sale of electricity unit price.
8. the grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis according to claim 6, it is characterized in that, described electric power supply information comprises purchase of electricity, described purchase of electricity comprises water power purchase of electricity, coal purchases by telephone electricity, electricity purchased by telephone by oil, coal gas purchases by telephone electricity, nuclear power purchase of electricity, regenerative resource purchase of electricity, outer purchase of electricity, other energy purchase of electricity, and described electricity price information comprises power purchase unit price.
9. the grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis according to claim 6, it is characterized in that, described depreciation information comprises ratio of depreciation information and initial asset value information, described ratio of depreciation information comprises transmission line of electricity assets composite depreciation rate, converting equipment assets composite depreciation rate, distribution line and asset of equipments composite depreciation rate, other assets composite depreciation rate, and described initial asset value information comprises average transmit power circuit initial asset value, average converting equipment initial asset value, average distribution line and asset of equipments initial value.
10. the grid power Management plan certainty annuity based on business diagnosis according to claim 6 to 9 any one, it is characterized in that, described target component is profit value.
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| CN106096837A (en) * | 2016-06-13 | 2016-11-09 | 中国南方电网有限责任公司电网技术研究中心 | Power energy allocation method and system based on electric grid investment scale |
| CN106097140A (en) * | 2016-06-13 | 2016-11-09 | 中国南方电网有限责任公司电网技术研究中心 | Electricity sales amount distribution method and system |
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