CN111080017A - Electricity selling business integrated service system with electric quantity prediction function - Google Patents
Electricity selling business integrated service system with electric quantity prediction function Download PDFInfo
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- CN111080017A CN111080017A CN201911322446.5A CN201911322446A CN111080017A CN 111080017 A CN111080017 A CN 111080017A CN 201911322446 A CN201911322446 A CN 201911322446A CN 111080017 A CN111080017 A CN 111080017A
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- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
- G06Q10/0639—Performance analysis of employees; Performance analysis of enterprise or organisation operations
- G06Q10/06393—Score-carding, benchmarking or key performance indicator [KPI] analysis
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- G—PHYSICS
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- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q50/00—Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
- G06Q50/06—Electricity, gas or water supply
Abstract
The invention discloses an electricity selling business comprehensive service system with an electric quantity forecasting function, which comprises: the system comprises an electric quantity prediction module, a contract management module, a supply and demand matching module, a user electric charge module, a settlement management module, a market data summarizing module, a deviation management module and an online monitoring module. The invention can assist the electricity selling company to accurately grasp the operation direction, the market dynamic state, the supply and demand dynamic state and the like, reduce the transaction risk and ensure the maximum reasonable profit while improving the management efficiency of the electricity selling business, and simultaneously provide working means such as work collaboration, information communication, operation decision, auxiliary analysis and the like for the electricity selling company and power users, thereby meeting the basic requirements of user information collection, arrangement, analysis, reporting, confirmation, information management, electricity bill analysis and calculation, bilateral transaction electricity decomposition, electricity regulation, quotation simulation, quotation analysis, electricity prediction, operation analysis, deviation assessment simulation, business management, user file management and the like in the electricity selling business management.
Description
Technical Field
The invention belongs to the technical field of electric power, and particularly relates to an electric power selling business comprehensive service system with an electric quantity forecasting function.
Background
The service system of the power selling company is a comprehensive information system based on a computer, network communication, information processing technology and a power system and power market theory, provides guarantee for the power selling company to participate in power market transaction and stable, high-quality and economic operation by technical means, and provides an on-line business hall among sides for signing users. With the continuous expansion of the trading scale of the power market, the perfection of the power selling policy and the trading rules, the market competition is more and more intense. The electricity selling amount of the electricity selling company is an important part of power grid investment and asset management and control, the electricity selling amount is accurately predicted, and production scheduling and investment of power grid enterprises can be effectively guided.
However, the electricity sales amount of the existing electricity sales service system is influenced by various external factors such as climate, economy, population and the like, the sequence of the electricity sales service system usually shows periodicity, trend and randomness, is difficult to predict, and has a limited service scope, so that the basic requirements of the electricity sales company cannot be well met.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to solve the defects in the prior art, assist an electricity selling company in accurately mastering operation directions, market dynamics, supply and demand dynamics and the like, improve the management efficiency of electricity selling business, reduce transaction risks, ensure the maximum reasonable profit, provide working means such as work cooperation, information communication, operation decision, auxiliary analysis and the like for the electricity selling company and power users, and meet the basic requirements of user information collection, arrangement, analysis, reporting, confirmation and information management, electricity bill analysis and calculation, bilateral transaction electricity quantity decomposition, electricity quantity adjustment, quotation simulation, quotation analysis, electricity quantity prediction, operation analysis, deviation assessment simulation, business management, user file management and the like in the electricity selling business management, thereby providing the electricity selling business comprehensive service system with the electricity quantity prediction function.
In order to achieve the purpose, the invention provides the following technical scheme:
an electricity selling business integrated service system with an electricity quantity forecasting function comprises: the system comprises an electric quantity prediction module, a contract management module, a supply and demand matching module, a user electric charge module, a settlement management module, a market data summarization module, a deviation management module and an online monitoring module;
the electric quantity prediction module is used for analyzing and predicting the electricity utilization trend according to monthly and annual electricity utilization historical data of the power users;
the contract management module is used for generating contracts of power users in batch;
the supply and demand matching module is used for carrying out transaction pairing on a signed power user and a power plant;
the user electricity charge module is used for inputting monthly electricity charge documents of the power users to obtain the actual electric quantity of the power users;
the settlement management module is used for comparing the settlement electric quantity of the power users fed back every month with the input actual electric quantity, automatically prompting when the settlement electric quantity and the input actual electric quantity come in and go out, and carrying out comparative analysis on the electric quantity and the rate of the power users;
the market data summarizing module is used for counting the trading electric quantity conditions and the average electricity price of the power plant and the electricity selling company in each month aiming at the electricity selling market;
the deviation management module is used for checking total transaction deviation in real time, summarizing transaction information and power consumption information in real time, calculating safe electric quantity in real time, adjusting an electric quantity threshold value, predicting the electric quantity in real time and providing analysis suggestions for bilateral adjustment of a demand side;
the online monitoring module is used for online monitoring of the power consumer, analyzing the health index of the power consumer power utilization system according to the collected basic operation index data, and meanwhile, inquiring historical data to provide basic data support for economic and safety analysis of the power supply and consumption system.
Preferably, the electric quantity prediction module comprises a monthly prediction unit and an annual prediction unit;
the monthly prediction unit is used for presetting electricity utilization data of a specific month according to historical data of successive months of the power consumer;
and the annual prediction unit carries out analysis and prediction on the electricity utilization trend according to the historical data of the power users in the last three years.
Preferably, the historical data of successive months of the monthly prediction unit and the historical data of the last three years of the annual prediction unit support manual entry, adjustment, export and import.
Preferably, the contract management module comprises a contract template editing and customizing unit and a contract filing and inquiring unit;
the contract template editing and customizing unit is used for customizing and editing the contract template by the power consumer according to the self requirement;
the contract filing and inquiring unit is used for filing the generated contract and inquiring the filed contract.
Preferably, when the supply and demand matching module deals with the signed power consumer and power plant, in one transaction, when two or more power plants appear, and in matching, the supply and demand matching module automatically matches and distributes the electric quantity according to the demand of the power consumer and according to any one of electric quantity priority and income priority.
Preferably, the specific working method of the user electricity fee module is to directly input the peak flat valley electric quantity of the power user into the electricity fee single-transaction, directly calculate the electricity price and the electricity fee after the transaction before the transaction, and analyze the peak flat valley electric quantity, the electricity fee and the monthly average electricity price trend of the power user at the current period.
Preferably, the settlement management module performs comparison and analysis on the electric quantity and the rate of the power consumer to obtain income ranking analysis of the power selling company and other power selling companies, performance assessment analysis of personnel of the power selling company and income ranking of the power consumer proxied by the power selling company.
Preferably, the total transaction deviation comprises a total transaction deviation of the power selling company and the transaction center, and a total transaction deviation of the power selling company and the power plant.
Preferably, the collected basic operation index data includes load, current, voltage, harmonic and power factor.
Preferably, the online monitoring module comprises a correction unit, an electric power user electricity utilization system health index unit and a historical data query unit;
the correction unit is used for correcting monthly predicted electric quantity data in time according to the real-time electric quantity data so as to dynamically analyze the transaction deviation;
the power consumer electricity utilization system health index unit is used for analyzing the health index of the power consumer electricity utilization system according to the collected basic operation index data;
the historical data query unit is used for querying historical data and providing basic data support for economic and safety analysis of the power supply and power system.
The invention has the technical effects and advantages that:
the invention can predict the deviation rate within a reasonable range through various model algorithms, support data export and import, manage through templated contracts, automatically generate in batch, have a document management function, automatically match and purchase the electricity sales quantity according to screening conditions, save time and have high efficiency, improve the yield, collect the electricity sales quantity of a gateway, automatically correct the prediction result of the electricity sales quantity in the current period, calculate the deviation in real time, calculate the transaction deviation rate in real time according to the predicted electricity quantity and a transaction plan, give an early warning in real time, guide and adjust the transaction plan aiming at the electricity consumption situation before the transaction deadline, reduce the transaction deviation rate, provide an electricity management scheme before the settlement date after the transaction is finished, guide the electricity consumption management The system has the advantages that the system is dynamic in market, dynamic in supply and demand and the like, improves the management efficiency of electricity selling business, reduces transaction risk, ensures maximum reasonable profit, provides working means such as work collaboration, information communication, operation decision, auxiliary analysis and the like for electricity selling companies and power users, and meets basic requirements of user information collection, arrangement, analysis, reporting, confirmation, information management, electricity bill analysis and calculation, bilateral transaction electricity quantity decomposition, electricity quantity adjustment, quotation simulation, quotation analysis, electricity quantity prediction, operation analysis, deviation assessment simulation, business management, user file management and the like in electricity selling business management.
Drawings
Fig. 1 is a functional block diagram of an electricity selling business integrated service system with an electricity quantity prediction function according to the present invention.
Detailed Description
In order to make the objects, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention more apparent, the present invention will be described in further detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described herein are merely illustrative of the invention and are not intended to limit the invention. All other embodiments, which can be derived by a person skilled in the art from the embodiments given herein without making any creative effort, shall fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
Referring to fig. 1, the present invention provides an electricity selling business integrated service system with an electricity quantity forecasting function, which includes: the system comprises an electric quantity prediction module, a contract management module, a supply and demand matching module, a user electric charge module, a settlement management module, a market data summarizing module, a deviation management module and an online monitoring module.
The electric quantity prediction module is used for analyzing and predicting the electricity utilization trend according to the monthly and annual electricity utilization historical data of the power consumer, the electric quantity prediction module comprises a monthly prediction unit and an annual prediction unit, the monthly prediction unit is used for reserving the electricity utilization data of a specific month according to the historical data of the power consumer in the continuous months, the annual prediction unit is used for analyzing and predicting the electricity utilization trend according to the historical data of the power consumer in the last three years, and the historical data of the monthly prediction unit in the continuous months and the historical data of the annual prediction unit in the last three years support manual input, adjustment, export and import.
The contract management module is used for generating contracts in batch by power consumers and comprises a contract template editing and customizing unit and a contract filing and inquiring unit, the contract template editing and customizing unit is used for customizing and editing the contract template by the power consumers according to the self needs, and the contract filing and inquiring unit is used for filing the generated contracts and inquiring the filed contracts.
The supply and demand matching module is used for trading and matching the signed power users and power plants, and when the supply and demand matching module trades and matches the signed power users and power plants, in one-time trading, when two or more power plants appear, and in matching, the automatic matching and distribution of electric quantity are carried out according to the needs of the power users and according to any one of electric quantity priority and income priority.
The specific working method of the user electricity fee module is to directly input the peak flat valley electric quantity of the power user into the electricity fee single-tube, directly calculate the electricity price and the electricity fee after trading before and after trading, analyze the current peak flat valley electric quantity, the electricity fee and the monthly average electricity price trend condition of the power user, and directly calculate the electricity price and the electricity fee after trading before and after trading, and analyze the current peak flat valley electric quantity, the electricity fee and the monthly average electricity price trend condition of the power user.
The settlement management module is used for comparing the settlement electric quantity of the power users fed back every month with the recorded actual electric quantity, automatically prompting when the settlement electric quantity of the power users comes in and goes out, and carrying out comparative analysis on the electric quantity and the rate of the power users, and the settlement management module carries out comparative analysis on the electric quantity and the rate of the power users to obtain income ranking analysis of the power selling companies compared with other power selling companies, performance assessment analysis of personnel of the power selling companies and income ranking of the power users proxied by the power selling companies.
The market data summarization module is used for counting the trading electric quantity condition and the average electricity price of the power plant and the electricity selling company in each month aiming at the electricity selling market.
The deviation management module is used for checking total transaction deviation in real time, wherein the total transaction deviation comprises the total transaction deviation of an electricity selling company and a transaction center and the total transaction deviation of the electricity selling company and a power plant, transaction information and electricity utilization information are gathered in real time, safety electric quantity is calculated in real time, an electric quantity threshold value is adjusted, electric quantity is predicted in real time, and analysis suggestions are provided for bilateral adjustment of a demand side.
The online monitoring module is used for online monitoring of power users, the collected basic operation index data comprise load, current, voltage, harmonic wave and power factor, the health index of the power system of the power users is analyzed according to the collected basic operation index data, historical data query is carried out at the same time, and basic data support is provided for economic and safety analysis of the power supply and consumption system, the online monitoring module comprises a correction unit, a health index unit of the power system of the power users and a historical data query unit, the correction unit is used for correcting monthly predicted power data according to real-time power data so as to dynamically analyze transaction deviation, the health index unit of the power system of the power users is used for analyzing the health index of the power system of the power users according to the collected basic operation index data, and the historical data query unit is used for querying the historical data, and basic data support is provided for economic and safety analysis of the power supply and utilization system.
In summary, the following steps: the invention can predict the deviation rate within a reasonable range through various model algorithms, support data export and import, manage through templated contracts, automatically generate in batch, have a document management function, automatically match and purchase the electricity sales quantity according to screening conditions, save time and have high efficiency, improve the yield, collect the electricity sales quantity of a gateway, automatically correct the prediction result of the electricity sales quantity in the current period, calculate the deviation in real time, calculate the transaction deviation rate in real time according to the predicted electricity quantity and a transaction plan, give an early warning in real time, guide and adjust the transaction plan aiming at the electricity consumption situation before the transaction deadline, reduce the transaction deviation rate, provide an electricity management scheme before the settlement date after the transaction is finished, guide the electricity consumption management The system has the advantages that the system is dynamic in market, dynamic in supply and demand and the like, improves the management efficiency of electricity selling business, reduces transaction risk, ensures maximum reasonable profit, provides working means such as work collaboration, information communication, operation decision, auxiliary analysis and the like for electricity selling companies and power users, and meets basic requirements of user information collection, arrangement, analysis, reporting, confirmation, information management, electricity bill analysis and calculation, bilateral transaction electricity quantity decomposition, electricity quantity adjustment, quotation simulation, quotation analysis, electricity quantity prediction, operation analysis, deviation assessment simulation, business management, user file management and the like in electricity selling business management.
Finally, it should be noted that: although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the foregoing embodiments, it will be apparent to those skilled in the art that modifications may be made to the embodiments or portions thereof without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention.
Claims (10)
1. An electricity selling business integrated service system with an electricity quantity forecasting function is characterized by comprising: the system comprises an electric quantity prediction module, a contract management module, a supply and demand matching module, a user electric charge module, a settlement management module, a market data summarization module, a deviation management module and an online monitoring module;
the electric quantity prediction module is used for analyzing and predicting the electricity utilization trend according to monthly and annual electricity utilization historical data of the power users;
the contract management module is used for generating contracts of power users in batch;
the supply and demand matching module is used for carrying out transaction pairing on a signed power user and a power plant;
the user electricity charge module is used for inputting monthly electricity charge documents of the power users to obtain the actual electric quantity of the power users;
the settlement management module is used for comparing the settlement electric quantity of the power users fed back every month with the input actual electric quantity, automatically prompting when the settlement electric quantity and the input actual electric quantity come in and go out, and carrying out comparative analysis on the electric quantity and the rate of the power users;
the market data summarizing module is used for counting the trading electric quantity conditions and the average electricity price of the power plant and the electricity selling company in each month aiming at the electricity selling market;
the deviation management module is used for checking total transaction deviation in real time, summarizing transaction information and power consumption information in real time, calculating safe electric quantity in real time, adjusting an electric quantity threshold value, predicting the electric quantity in real time and providing analysis suggestions for bilateral adjustment of a demand side;
the online monitoring module is used for online monitoring of the power consumer, analyzing the health index of the power consumer power utilization system according to the collected basic operation index data, and meanwhile, inquiring historical data to provide basic data support for economic and safety analysis of the power supply and consumption system.
2. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: the electric quantity prediction module comprises a monthly prediction unit and an annual prediction unit;
the monthly prediction unit is used for presetting electricity utilization data of a specific month according to historical data of successive months of the power consumer;
and the annual prediction unit carries out analysis and prediction on the electricity utilization trend according to the historical data of the power users in the last three years.
3. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 2, wherein: the historical data of successive months of the monthly prediction unit and the historical data of the last three years of the annual prediction unit support manual entry, adjustment, export and import.
4. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: the contract management module comprises a contract template editing and customizing unit and a contract filing and inquiring unit;
the contract template editing and customizing unit is used for customizing and editing the contract template by the power consumer according to the self requirement;
the contract filing and inquiring unit is used for filing the generated contract and inquiring the filed contract.
5. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: when the supply and demand matching module carries out transaction matching on the signed power consumer and the power plant, when two or more power plants appear in one transaction, and when the supply and demand matching module is matched, the automatic matching and distribution of electric quantity are carried out according to the requirement of the power consumer and according to any one of electric quantity priority and income priority.
6. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: the specific working method of the user electricity fee module is that the peak flat valley electric quantity of the power user is directly input into an electricity fee single-transaction, the electricity price and the electricity fee after transaction before and after transaction are directly calculated, and the current peak flat valley electric quantity, the electricity fee and the monthly average electricity price trend situation of the power user are analyzed.
7. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: the settlement management module compares and analyzes the electric quantity and the rate of the electric power user to obtain income ranking analysis of the electric power selling company and other electric power selling companies, performance assessment analysis of the electric power selling company personnel and electric power user income ranking of the electric power selling company agent.
8. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: the total transaction deviation comprises the total transaction deviation of the power selling company and the transaction center and the total transaction deviation of the power selling company and the power plant.
9. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: the collected basic operation index data comprises load, current, voltage, harmonic and power factor.
10. The electricity selling business integrated service system with the electricity quantity forecasting function according to claim 1, wherein: the online monitoring module comprises a correction unit, an electric power user electricity utilization system health index unit and a historical data query unit;
the correction unit is used for correcting monthly predicted electric quantity data in time according to the real-time electric quantity data so as to dynamically analyze the transaction deviation;
the power consumer electricity utilization system health index unit is used for analyzing the health index of the power consumer electricity utilization system according to the collected basic operation index data;
the historical data query unit is used for querying historical data and providing basic data support for economic and safety analysis of the power supply and power system.
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Application publication date: 20200428 |