CN105354614B - A kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data - Google Patents

A kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data Download PDF

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CN105354614B
CN105354614B CN201510695185.7A CN201510695185A CN105354614B CN 105354614 B CN105354614 B CN 105354614B CN 201510695185 A CN201510695185 A CN 201510695185A CN 105354614 B CN105354614 B CN 105354614B
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early warning
threshold value
information
grid nodes
information resources
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CN105354614A (en
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陈龙
刘嘉华
康睿
杨会涛
徐沛沛
周锁
马远东
王琪
巢玉坚
胡游君
俞弦
吴德胜
刘浩
严晴
邱玉祥
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Nari Information and Communication Technology Co
Nanjing NARI Group Corp
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State Grid Corp of China SGCC
Nari Information and Communication Technology Co
Nanjing NARI Group Corp
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    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/20Administration of product repair or maintenance
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Systems or methods specially adapted for specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/06Electricity, gas or water supply
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S10/00Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y04S10/50Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications

Abstract

The invention belongs to information technology fields, it discloses a kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method system based on big data to include status early warning, threshold value early warning, become early warning, trending early warning, evaluation early warning fastly and be associated with early warning, realizes effective combination of information O&M active forewarning method Yu information operation and maintenance system;Realize big data technology in the popularization and application in electric network information O&M field, based on big data technology, efficient statistical analysis, mining analysis and the real-time stream process of information operation/maintenance data, effective mining data value are realized, it realizes active forewarning, promotes the efficiency of information O&M.

Description

A kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data
Technical field
The invention belongs to information technology fields, are related to a kind of method for early warning of electric network information O&M, and in particular to Yi Zhongji In the electric network information O&M active forewarning method of big data.
Background technique
In recent years, with the fast development of informatization, grid company information system quantity is continuously increased, to daily fortune Dimension proposes higher standard and demand.The passive O&M mould for being alerted and being repaired after the failure occurs is mainly taken at present Formula, this mode cause operation maintenance personnel that daily most of the time and energy are all spent " passive fire fighting " simple and duplicate in processing In problem, not only gets half the result with twice the effort but also often will appear pernicious chain reaction.Lack before the failure occurs to information operation and maintenance system The ability to give warning in advance lacks the ability that O&M hidden danger is positioned and analyzed, and needs to realize the master aimed at prevention Dynamic O&M mode.
Find that memory leak issue, archive log are asked by the statistical conditions analysis to test unit's information O&M failure Most information O&M failures such as topic and database connectivity problem can obtain relevant information before generation, pass through risk assessment Early warning can be carried out to information operation and maintenance system, prevent failure.In addition, with the development of information O&M business, mass data It is continuously generated and accumulates, but at present information operation/maintenance data value is not able to achieve to only some most basic analysis means.It realizes Information O&M active forewarning based on big data can carry out effective analysis mining to information operation/maintenance data, it occurs in failure Preceding realization fault location, accident analysis and fault pre-alarming promote company's information O&M efficiency, promote corporate business development.
There is also following insufficient in terms of information O&M active forewarning at present:
One, the information operation and maintenance system of current company realizes post-event alarm, and tentatively realizes Real-time Alarm, but unreal Existing active forewarning, lacks the ability for just carrying out early warning to it when hidden danger and exception occurs in information operation and maintenance system, and shortage solves hidden The ability of trouble lacks matched management system;
Two, fail to establish information O&M active forewarning method system, lack information O&M active forewarning theories integration and Realization rate;
Three, fail effectively to manage information operation/maintenance data using big data technology, fail to establish scientific and reasonable fortune Row data analyze system and business item analyzes system, need to promote means of numerical analysis, realize operation/maintenance data value.
Summary of the invention
Goal of the invention: the purpose of the present invention is to solve information O&M network system is pre- without active in the prior art above Alert deficiency provides a kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data, thus for the safety fortune of network system Row provides a strong guarantee.
Technical solution: the electric network information O&M active forewarning method of the present invention based on big data, the purpose is to this What sample was realized,
A kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data, which comprises the steps of:
M01: status early warning, by being detected and being obtained as a result, information is provided to the information resources between grid nodes Source state is divided into normal condition, lost contact state and unstable state three classes;
If information resources are in lost contact state, alerted;If information resources play pendulum, need Carry out status early warning;
M02: threshold value early warning is compared by the numerical value of the information resources to grid nodes with preset threshold value, If exceeding threshold value, early warning or alarm are carried out;
M03: become early warning, including lateral early warning and longitudinal early warning fastly;
Lateral early warning be any grid nodes information resources numerical value with and the node side by side similar node numerical value It is compared, then carries out early warning beyond certain threshold value, establish the mathematical model that two grid nodes information resources numerical value compare:
In formula, SkIndicate the load of kth platform equipment, SiIndicate the load of i-th equipment, n is total number of devices, n be greater than 1 natural number, α is fast variable threshold value, by user configuration;
Longitudinal early warning is that the numerical value of the information resources of any grid nodes is compared with the historical data of the node itself, Early warning is then carried out beyond certain threshold value, data cleansing, limitation are carried out by the history data to the nodal information resource The reasonable range of operation of the node, establishes the mathematical model of the range of operation:
In formula, TmaxAnd TminThe respectively upper threshold value and lower threshold value of the grid nodes, RmaxAnd RminRespectively pass through data The history data maximum value and minimum value of cleaning, A are the average value of historical data, and L represents the reasonable fortune of the grid nodes Line range;
M04: trending early warning continuously monitors the information resources of grid nodes, by the threshold value of warning of grid nodes, Difference, the target rate of growth this four Index Establishment mathematical models between early warning activation threshold value, index current value and threshold value of warning, Judge that current electric grid node operating status, the mathematical model are as follows:
In formula, V is the current value of the grid nodes, V0For the grid nodes one acquire time difference t before numerical value, α, β are correction value, and Z is trending early warning threshold value, wherein α, β and Z are by user configuration, TwFor threshold value of warning, N is early warning triggering Threshold value;
M05: evaluation early warning carries out real-time monitoring to the information resources of grid nodes, and establishes grid nodes scoring Mathematical model:
In formula, S0For the initial score that can be customized by users setting, m, n, p are respectively the alarm in O&M monitoring cycle Event level quantity, early warning event level quantity, maintenance event level quantity, α and f be respectively events at different levels weight and time Number, S are final evaluation score, are customized by the user setting threshold value, realize evaluation early warning;
M06: association early warning carries out data correlation rule mining algorithms to the data of each grid nodes, with Apriori algorithm Based on, Boolean matrix is constructed, and pass through branch's screening and optimizing, the binomial most to occupancy computing resource in Apriori algorithm Frequent Set calculating task carries out beta pruning to improve efficiency of algorithm, analyzes the relevance between grid nodes by data, and carry out Monitoring.
A kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data as described above, which is characterized in that at least wrap Include any two in step M01~M06.
The utility model has the advantages that the beneficial effects of the present invention are:
One, information O&M active forewarning method system: the information O&M active forewarning side of the method for the present invention design is devised Law system includes status early warning, threshold value early warning, becomes early warning, trending early warning, evaluation early warning fastly and be associated with the big method of early warning six.Wherein Fast change early warning includes lateral early warning and longitudinal early warning.
Two, effective combination of information O&M active forewarning method Yu information operation and maintenance system is realized: information operation and maintenance system Warning level is respectively as follows: index grade, page-level, infrastructure grade and information system grade from low to high.The active of index levels is pre- It is alert to be based on status early warning, threshold value early warning, become early warning, trending early warning, evaluation early warning fastly and be associated with early warning;The active of page level is pre- It is alert to be based on status early warning, threshold value early warning, evaluation early warning;The active forewarning of infrastructure rank is based on status early warning, evaluation early warning Be associated with early warning;The active forewarning of information system rank be based on evaluation early warning be associated with early warning.
Three, it realizes big data technology in the popularization and application in national grid information O&M field: being based on big data technology, realize Efficient statistical analysis, mining analysis and the real-time stream process of information operation/maintenance data, effective mining data value, are realized actively pre- It is alert, promote the efficiency of information O&M.
The present invention innovate by big data technology be applied to information O&M active forewarning in, devise including status early warning, Threshold value early warning becomes early warning, trending early warning, evaluation early warning and the information O&M active forewarning method body for being associated with the big method of early warning six fastly System realizes that active forewarning and failure are high by acquiring to effective monitoring of information operation and maintenance system and data before the failure occurs Effect solves, and promotes the efficiency of information O&M, reduces O&M cost, promotes O&M business development.
Detailed description of the invention
Fig. 1 is a kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method system architecture diagram based on big data of the present invention.
Specific embodiment
In order to deepen the understanding of the present invention, below in conjunction with embodiment and attached drawing, the invention will be further described, should The examples are only for explaining the invention, is not intended to limit the scope of the present invention..
A kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data, as shown in Figure 1, including status early warning, threshold value Early warning becomes early warning, trending early warning, evaluation early warning fastly and is associated with six class submethod of early warning, is illustrated individually below:
M01: status early warning
Status early warning is by hardware or the whether reachable state to judge information resources of service, by its state Early warning is realized in monitoring.
It realizes status early warning, first has to judge whether information resources are reachable, by the information resources between grid nodes It is detected and is obtained as a result, system detection in every five minutes at present once, determines whether information resources respond.If receiving letter Cease the reply data of resource, then it is assumed that its is reachable, otherwise, if waiting time-out to be answered, determines that its is unreachable.
Determine information resources whether up under the premise of, its state is divided into three kinds: normal condition, lost contact state and not Stable state.Normal condition indicates that information resources are every time reachable, and lost contact state indicates that information resources are unreachable twice in succession, no Stable state indicates that information resources are often unreachable, but lost contact standard is not achieved.Current unstable state judgment principle is: Because every five minutes detect once information resources, can be detected within a working day 288 times, if in this 288 times at least Have 3 times it is unreachable and discontinuous, then it is assumed that it plays pendulum.If information resources are in lost contact state, need to it It is alerted;If information resources play pendulum, need to carry out status early warning to it.
M02: threshold value early warning
By the way that information resources are arranged with the threshold value of Risk-warning, the currently monitored data are compared with threshold value of warning, such as Fruit monitoring data are not within the scope of corresponding threshold value of warning, then it is assumed that monitoring object meets early-warning conditions, generates early warning event.It passes The information resources threshold value of system be by unified standard or operation maintenance personnel manual setting by rule of thumb, this normally result in threshold value with Actual conditions are not inconsistent, and cause to miss early warning on a large scale, cause not early warning in the case where generation problem.The method of the present invention is abundant Information resources range of operation is obtained by effective analysis to historical data using big data technology, and based on the analysis results certainly Adapt to setting threshold value.Meanwhile system provides interface and carries out manual modification to information resources threshold value for operation maintenance personnel, makes up system It is insufficient.
M03: become early warning fastly
Information resources monitoring data needs are compared with homogeneous data, if variation is excessively violent, difference is greater than certain ratio Example, then it is assumed that monitored resource is likely to be in large variation, needs to generate early warning event.It is fast become early warning include lateral early warning and Longitudinal early warning two ways.
Lateral early warning indicate the numerical value of the information resources of any grid nodes with and the node similar node arranged side by side number Value is compared, and mainly for load balancing cluster, if the load of certain equipment is far longer than other equipment in cluster, is recognized To need to carry out Risk-warning to it.The mathematical model of lateral early warning is as follows:
In formula, SkIndicate the load of kth platform equipment, SiIndicate the load of i-th equipment, n is total number of devices, n be greater than 1 natural number, α is fast variable threshold value, by user configuration.The algorithm is by calculating certain apparatus of load and entire cluster load mean value Difference judge whether the equipment needs to carry out early warning.
Longitudinal early warning indicates that the historical data of the numerical value and the node itself of the information resources of any grid nodes is compared Compared with the early warning of formation is mainly based upon big data statistical analysis technique, carries out mining analysis to historical data, and analysis is tied Fruit is applied to information O&M active forewarning model.Longitudinal early warning carries out early warning from two dimensions of working time and non-working time Design.Wherein the working time is traditionally arranged to be 8:30~17:00 of Mon-Fri, and other times are non-working time, work Making time and non-working time can be configured by user.
Longitudinal early warning carries out data cleansing by history data to index, and abnormality value removing is fallen, then to going through History data are for statistical analysis, determine its maximum value, minimum value and average value, then determine the reasonable range of operation of index.It is vertical It is as follows to early warning mathematical model:
In formula, TmaxAnd TminThe respectively upper threshold value and lower threshold value of the grid nodes, RmaxAnd RminRespectively pass through data The history data maximum value and minimum value of cleaning, A are the average value of historical data, and L represents the reasonable fortune of the grid nodes Line range.
M04: trending early warning
Trending early warning judges whether resource can reach early warning triggering by the trend analysis to information resources monitoring data Condition.Trending early warning is divided into short-term trend early warning and long-term trend early warning.
Short-term trend early warning passes through the threshold value of warning of grid nodes, early warning activation threshold value, index current value and threshold value of warning Between difference, this four indexs of the target rate of growth realize the Risk-warnings of short-term information resources.Short-term trend early warning number It is as follows to learn model:
In formula, V is the current value of the grid nodes, V0For the grid nodes one acquire time difference t before numerical value, α, β are correction value, and Z is trending early warning threshold value, wherein by user configuration, Tw is threshold value of warning by α, β and Z, and N is early warning triggering Threshold value.When index value is lower than early warning activation threshold value, early warning not will do it;Index value meets or exceeds early warning activation threshold value When, by short-term trend warning algorithm, the short term risk early warning of information resources may be implemented.
The long-run development trend of resource is predicted in long-term trend early warning by the regression analysis in data mining, thus Realize information resources Risk-warning.In the case where clear trend prediction objectives, using daily index average value as going through A basic value in history data tentatively establishes long-term trend regression forecasting mould by the regression analysis to metric history data Type.The forecast analysis of information resources long-term trend is carried out using long-term trend regressive prediction model, and in actual moving process, Using real-time running data to model carry out verification and it is perfect.
M05: evaluation early warning
Based on the evaluation of index, the evaluation of optimized integration facility.Based on the evaluation of infrastructure, information is analyzed System topological framework realizes the architecture evaluation of information system;Whether there is response with active probe index, including information system And based on response time index, Information System Reliability evaluation is realized;On the basis of information system maintenance situation, letter is realized Breath system maintenance evaluation.With the architecture evaluation, Information System Reliability evaluation and information system maintenance evaluation of information system Based on, Risk of Information System evaluation is realized, to realize the Risk-warning of information system.
Real-time monitoring is carried out to the information resources of grid nodes, and establishes the mathematical model of grid nodes scoring:
In formula, S0For the initial score that can be customized by users setting, m, n, p are respectively the alarm in O&M monitoring cycle Event level quantity, early warning event level quantity, maintenance event level quantity, α and f be respectively events at different levels weight and time Number, S are final evaluation score, are customized by the user setting threshold value, realize evaluation early warning.
M06: association early warning
Association analysis is also known as association mining, is exactly to run in the magnanimity of information system and its infrastructure and using data In, search frequent mode, association, correlation or the causal structure being present between project set or object set.Association is abundant Using big data association analysis means, analysis is associated to all kinds of indexs of information system and its infrastructure, is excavated related Mode realizes resource early warning.
According to information O&M active forewarning demand, with data correlation rule mining algorithms --- the Apriori that industry is general Based on algorithm, and the advanced idea of many related scholars is combined to carry out two o'clock improvement to algorithm: first is by constructing cloth That matrix, simplifies the calculating to support, reduces the number of reading database;Second is by branch's screening and optimizing plan Slightly, the binomial Frequent Set calculating task most to occupancy computing resource in Apriori algorithm has carried out effective beta pruning.By above Two o'clock is improved, and efficiency of algorithm is greatly improved, and is realized and is excavated to the efficient analysis of information resources correlation rule, to realize information fortune It ties up active forewarning and big data theoretical basis is provided.
Association early warning makes full use of big data acquisition technique, big data memory technology and distributed computing and data mining Technology runs the magnanimity of information system and its infrastructure and is acquired using data, divides historical failure information Class is excavated and association analysis, to obtain information O&M active forewarning model.
Based on system to the monitoring of information resources and the operation monitoring of system acquisition and service application data, believed using six kinds Breath O&M active forewarning method is analyzed in real time data and early warning, with regard to carrying out active forewarning and solving to ask before failure occurs Topic, Optimal Maintenance strategy promote O&M efficiency.
As shown in table 1, the warning level of information operation and maintenance system is divided into index grade, page-level, infrastructure grade and information system Irrespective of size (arranges) from low to high.Infrastructure includes database, middleware, host equipment, the network equipment, safety equipment and storage Equipment.The active forewarning of page level refers to that information system main page is monitored and is acquired, and judges whether it has sound It answers, judges whether its response time is more than baseline time, and realize the active of information system main page by reliability evaluation Early warning.
The active forewarning of index levels be based on status early warning, threshold value early warning, fastly become early warning, trending early warning, evaluation early warning and It is associated with early warning;The active forewarning of page level is based on status early warning, threshold value early warning, evaluation early warning;The active of infrastructure rank Early warning is based on status early warning, evaluation early warning and is associated with early warning;The active forewarning of information system rank is based on evaluation early warning and association Early warning.
Information operation and maintenance system Active forewarning method
Index Status early warning, threshold value early warning become early warning, trending early warning, evaluation early warning, association early warning fastly
The page Status early warning, threshold value early warning, evaluation early warning
Infrastructure Status early warning, evaluation early warning, association early warning
Information system Evaluate early warning, association early warning
Table 1
The foregoing is merely illustrative of the preferred embodiments of the present invention, is not intended to limit the invention, all in essence of the invention Within mind and principle, any modification, equivalent replacement, improvement and so on be should all be included in the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (2)

1. a kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data, which comprises the steps of:
M01: status early warning, by being detected and being obtained to the information resources between grid nodes as a result, by information resources shape State is divided into normal condition, lost contact state and unstable state three classes;
If information resources are in lost contact state, alerted;If information resources play pendulum, need to carry out Status early warning;
M02: threshold value early warning is compared by the numerical value of the information resources to grid nodes with preset threshold value, if super Threshold value out then carries out early warning or alarm;
M03: become early warning, including lateral early warning and longitudinal early warning fastly;
Lateral early warning be the information resources of any grid nodes numerical value with and the arranged side by side similar node of the node numerical value progress Compare, then carry out early warning beyond certain threshold value, establishes the mathematical model that two grid nodes information resources numerical value compare:
In formula, SkIndicate the load of kth platform equipment, SiIndicate the load of i-th equipment, n is total number of devices, and n is greater than 1 Natural number, λ is fast variable threshold value, by user configuration;Longitudinal early warning is the numerical value and the node of the information resources of any grid nodes The historical data of itself is compared, and then carries out early warning beyond certain threshold value, passes through the history number to the nodal information resource According to data cleansing is carried out, the reasonable range of operation of the node is limited, the mathematical model of the range of operation is established:
In formula, TmaxAnd TminThe respectively numerical value upper threshold value and lower threshold value of the information resources of grid nodes, RmaxAnd RminRespectively Historical data maximum value and minimum value by data cleansing, A are the average value of historical data, and L represents the conjunction of the grid nodes Manage range of operation;
M04: trending early warning continuously monitors the information resources of grid nodes, passes through the threshold value of warning of grid nodes, early warning Difference, the target rate of growth this four Index Establishment mathematical models between activation threshold value, index current value and threshold value of warning, judgement Current electric grid node operating status, the mathematical model are as follows:
In formula, V is the current value of the grid nodes, V0For numerical value of the grid nodes before one acquires time difference t, α, β are Correction value, Z are trending early warning threshold value, wherein by user configuration, Tw is threshold value of warning by ε, β and Z, and N is early warning activation threshold value;
M05: evaluation early warning carries out real-time monitoring to the information resources of grid nodes, and establishes the mathematics of grid nodes scoring Model:
In formula, S0For the initial score that can be customized by users setting, m, d, p are respectively the alarm event in O&M monitoring cycle Number of levels, early warning event level quantity, maintenance event level quantity, α and f are respectively the weight and number of events at different levels, and S is Final evaluation score, is customized by the user the threshold value of the numerical value of the information resources of setting grid nodes, realizes evaluation early warning;
M06: association early warning carries out data correlation rule mining algorithms to the data of each grid nodes, using Apriori algorithm as base Plinth constructs Boolean matrix, and by branch's screening and optimizing, to occupying in Apriori algorithm, the most binomial of computing resource is frequent Collect calculating task and carry out beta pruning to improve efficiency of algorithm, analyzes the relevance between grid nodes by data, and be monitored.
2. a kind of electric network information O&M active forewarning method based on big data according to claim 1, which is characterized in that Including at least any two in step M01~M06.
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