CN104504595B - A kind of method and its application for estimating the picking time based on online ordering - Google Patents
A kind of method and its application for estimating the picking time based on online ordering Download PDFInfo
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- CN104504595B CN104504595B CN201410791087.9A CN201410791087A CN104504595B CN 104504595 B CN104504595 B CN 104504595B CN 201410791087 A CN201410791087 A CN 201410791087A CN 104504595 B CN104504595 B CN 104504595B
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Abstract
The invention discloses a kind of method and its application for estimating the picking time based on online ordering, this method obtains the estimated duration T1 and prediction error duration R1 of this order processing by calling the History Order data of trade company to calculate；Simultaneously the estimated duration T2 and it is expected that duration error R2 of processing for obtaining this order and corresponding to the period is calculated by calling the History Order data of different periods；Finally calculate this order finally estimate processing complete duration T=[（T1±R1）+(T2±R2)]/2.It it is an advantage of the invention that predictor method is easy quick, can be accurate to " minute ", extend the application scenarios of shopping online transaction significantly, be particularly suitable for use under the environment of near field, need to trade company makes at the scene after completing to pay the bill commodity or the situation of cooking food product.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to order data processing technology field, and in particular to it is a kind of based on online ordering when estimating picking
Between method and its application.
Background technology
With the continuous popularization of electronic equipment and network, on line ecommerce continued to develop, be provided with line at present
In the internet or mobile Internet application scenarios of upper shopping, the predictor method of receipts/picking time can substantially be divided into two classes：
1）Shopping online, subscribe after the completion of express delivery, dispatching receives mode
Service feature under the type is artificial long-range or intermediate range delivering, such as：Courier after online strange land shopping send
Goods or it is online make a reservation after the completion of take-away person's food delivery）, the former receive the time accuracy typically with " my god " calculate, the latter dispense when
Between accuracy with " hour " calculate.I.e. the service type can neither clearly estimate the completion Production Time of kinds of goods, order processing
Time, Delivery time can not be clearly estimated again.
2）Self-carry picking mode after the completion of shopping online
Service feature under the type needs to go to appointed place to pick up by oneself after completing net purchase for user, is supplied to user at present certainly
Select that to select comparison more, it is common such as：Convenience store, grain and oil shop, supermarket, self-service counter near house or work unit etc..At this
During the entire process of the pickings of a little different self-carry services, actual and express delivery mode of receiving is similar, it is very difficult to advance notice use
The delivery of cargo time is estimated at family or the delivery of cargo time is comparatively very long.
In summary it is described, current online trading method be mainly also only applicable to it is not high to time requirement in, it is long-range
Physical goods transaction or the reservation transaction field for having certain time lead, also, the accuracy phase to receiving, the picking time is estimated
To insufficient or relatively coarse, which limits transaction scene.
The content of the invention
According to the deficiencies of the prior art described above, It is an object of the present invention to provide a kind of estimating based on online ordering
The method and its application of picking time, this method is by calling the History Order data of trade company to estimate the picking time to calculate.
The object of the invention is realized and completed by following technical scheme：
A kind of method for estimating the picking time based on online ordering, it is characterised in that methods described includes following step
Suddenly：
（1）User is in the on-line shop of entity trade company（Or online sales channel）In place an order, data handling system obtains the user
Sequence information and lower single time t；
（2）History Order data and history blanket order duration data statistics of the data handling system according to the trade company
Go out the average duration of order processing of the trade company and the making handling duration of sole product, according to the order processing mean time
It is long to calculate the handling duration error of the estimated duration T1 of this order processing and every commodity, and calculate this order processing
Prediction error duration R1；
（3）The order of different periods is averagely located in trade company's History Order data as described in working day or festivals or holidays statistic of classification
Manage the making handling duration of duration and sole product；According to single time t under this order, obtain corresponding in corresponding date species
The order processing speed of period to calculate the estimated duration T2 of this order and every commodity handling duration error, and according to
The handling duration error calculation of every commodity goes out the estimated duration error R2 of this order processing；
（4）Calculate this order estimate processing complete duration T=[（T1±R1）+(T2±R2)]/2；
（5）Lower single time t of user is added into when estimating the picking that processing completion duration T is as estimated of this order
Between.
Complete step（4）Afterwards, duration T is completed in the processing of estimating of further this order of corrected Calculation, and step is as follows：Inquiry
The processing of estimating of this order completes the maximum of the trade company under duration T while handles quantity on order N and more than the maximum
Handle every order processing added-time duration t after quantity on order N simultaneously；Inquire about ordering for trade company's current time present
Odd number amount n；If n+1≤N, this order estimate processing complete when a length of T=[（T1±R1）+ (T2 ± R2)]/2 constant；If n+
1 ＞ N, then it is T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t that this order, which estimates processing and completes time scale modification,.
The data handling system inquired when not having History Order data in the trade company, then this order estimates place
Reason completes duration T and takes the value T initially set0。
The data handling system will calculate picking time of estimating for obtaining and push on subscription client and inform.
It is a kind of to be related to the above-mentioned application for estimating picking time method based on online ordering of any one, it is characterised in that institute
The application for stating method is：User is in the on-line shop of entity trade company（Or online sales channel）In place an order after, calculated by methods described
Acquisition is estimated the picking time and pushed on subscription client and informs, while the data handling system sends order to trade company
Notified in client, the trade company starts from after order is received；After the picking time is estimated in arrival, user goes to described
Trade company's picking.
It is a kind of to be related to the above-mentioned application for estimating picking time method based on online ordering of any one, it is characterised in that institute
The application for stating method is：User is in the on-line shop of entity trade company（Or online sales channel）In place an order after, calculated by methods described
Acquisition is estimated the picking time and pushed on subscription client and informs, while the data handling system sends order to trade company
Notified in client, the trade company starts from after order is received, and is dispensed after making；Treat that picking is estimated in arrival
After time, user's picking at ship-to.
It is an advantage of the invention that predictor method is easy to be quick, " minute " can be accurate to, extends shopping online friendship significantly
Easy application scenarios, be particularly suitable for use under the environment of near field, need to after completing to pay the bill the commodity that make at the scene of trade company or culinary art meal
The situation of product.
Embodiment
The feature and other correlated characteristics of the present invention are described in further detail by the following examples, in order to go together
The understanding of industry technical staff：
Embodiment one：The present embodiment is specifically related to a kind of method for estimating the picking time based on online ordering, is applicable
In the application scenarios of online shopping transaction, this method specifically comprises the following steps：
（1）User is by client in the on-line shop of entity trade company（Or online sales channel）In place an order order goods, single-piece
Order includes some commodity, and user's ordering information is submitted to data handling system, and data handling system obtains the order of the user
Information and lower single time t, and retrieved according to the sequence information, count, analyze trade company's sequence information data, proceed by afterwards
The calculating of order processing duration；
（2）The data handling system is united according to the History Order data of trade company and the history blanket order duration data of trade company
The average duration of order processing of the trade company and the making handling duration of sole product are counted out, afterwards according to order processing mean time
It is long to calculate the handling duration error of the estimated duration T1 of this order processing and every commodity, and calculate this order processing
Prediction error duration R1；
（3）The order of different periods is averagely located in trade company's History Order data as described in working day or festivals or holidays statistic of classification
Manage the making handling duration of duration and sole product；Determine that this order is to belong to work according to single time t under this order
Day or festivals or holidays, the order processing speed that the period is corresponded in corresponding date species is obtained afterwards and is expected with calculating this order
Duration T2 and every commodity handling duration error, and gone out according to the handling duration error calculation of every commodity at this order
The estimated duration error R2 of reason；
（4）Finally four data T1, T2, R1, R2 more than, calculate the final processing of estimating of this order and complete
Duration T=[（T1±R1）+(T2±R2)]/2；
（5）Lower single time t of user plus this order is finally estimated processing to complete duration T when being the picking estimated
Between；
（6）Data handling system will calculate the picking time T that estimates that obtains and push on subscription client and inform.
It should be noted that if data handling system is inquired when not having History Order data in the trade company, this is ordered
Single processing completion duration T that estimates takes the artificial value T initially set0。
Carry out estimating the Accuracy Verification experiment of picking time method below in the present embodiment：
【Single time under order】：2014/11/21 17:17:00
【Order actually accomplishes processing time】：2014/11/21 17:24:00
【Trade company's history order goods handling duration data】：
Commodity one：3 minutes；Error time：0.5 minute；
Commodity two：3 minutes；Error time：0.5 minute；
Commodity three：2 minutes；Error time：0.5 minute；
【Trade company's history similar working day on the same day or the 17 of festivals or holidays:00--16:The commodity handling duration number of 00 period
According to】：
Commodity one：3 minutes；Error time：0.5 minute；
Commodity two：2 minutes；Error time：0.5 minute；
Commodity three：2 minutes；Error time：0.5 minute；
【This order items list】：
Commodity one, commodity two and commodity three；
【Calculation formula is estimated in order goods】：
T = [(T1±R1)+(T2±R2)]/2；
【In summary data】：
T1 = 8
R1 = 1.5
T2 = 7
R2 = 1.5
Substitute into formula T=[(T1 ± R1)+(T2 ± R2)]/2=[(8 ± 1.5)+(7 ± 1.5)]/2
Calculate the scope of gained time T：6 to 8 minutes
Estimate deadline scope：2014/11/21 17:23:00 to 2,014,/11,/21 17:25:00
As can be seen here, difference is compared with the deadline of reality using the deadline that the predictor method is calculated
One minute, checking gained was very high using this method accuracy.
Embodiment two：The present embodiment is specifically related to a kind of method for estimating the picking time based on online ordering, the party
Method is specifically to estimate the further corrected Calculation that duration T is completed in processing, specific steps for the first time to this order in embodiment one
It is as follows：
1）According to this sequence information inquire about the trade company in the case where estimating processing and completing duration T it is maximum while handle the number of order
Measure N（I.e. the trade company same time can only handle the N order that complete in T durations）And more than the maximum order processing number
Measure every order processing added-time duration t after N；
2）Quantity on order n of the trade company in current time processing is inquired about according to this sequence information；
3）If n+1（Currently processed middle total number of orders）Less than or equal to N, then it is T that current order, which estimates the processing deadline,（I.e.
Not less than the sum limitation for handling order simultaneously, the constant order deadline is still T）；
4）If n+1（Currently processed middle total number of orders）More than N（More than the sum limitation for handling order simultaneously）, then currently order
Single processing completion time scale modification of estimating is T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t.
Carry out estimating the Accuracy Verification experiment of picking time correcting method below in the present embodiment：
【Single time under order】：2014/11/21 17:17:00 ；
【Estimate handling duration for the first time】：T=5 minute；
【The maximum of trade company handles order numbers simultaneously under duration T】：N=5；
【Trade company handles order numbers and exceedes added-time duration after maximum processing order numbers simultaneously】：T=1 minute；
（Situation one）：
【Order numbers in trade company's currently processing simultaneously】：N=4；
Increasing the processing order numbers after an order newly is：4+1=5
Less than or equal to maximum processing order numbers N simultaneously
A length of T=5 minute are constant when then this estimated order is completed
Estimate the deadline：2014/11/21 17:22:00；
【Order actually accomplishes processing time】：2014/11/21 17:23:00；
（Situation two）：
【Order numbers in trade company's currently processing simultaneously】：N=8；
Increasing the processing order numbers after an order newly is：8+1=9
More than maximum processing order numbers N simultaneously
Then according to formula T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t
It is modified to T ＇=5+ [(8+1) -5] * 1=9
So it is T ＇=9 minute that this estimated order, which completes time scale modification,
Estimate the deadline：2014/11/21 17:26:00 ；
【Order actually accomplishes processing time】：2014/11/21 17:28:00；
It can be seen that compare difference one to two with the deadline of reality using the deadline that the predictor method is calculated
Minute, checking gained is very high using this method accuracy.
Embodiment three：The present embodiment is specifically related in embodiment one estimate picking time method based on online ordering
Using the method that will can estimate the picking time is applied in the trade mode of the autonomous picking of online ordering, is specially：
User is by mobile phone or computer client in the on-line shop of entity trade company（Or online sales channel）In place an order order business
Product, single-piece order include some commodity；Lower single commodity are paid the bill by online electronic payment mode afterwards, can also be adopted certainly
The payment mode paid during with live picking；The ordering information of user's order is submitted to data handling system, data after placing an order
Processing system obtains the sequence information of the user and lower single time t, is retrieved, counted according to the sequence information, analyzed the trade company and order
Single information data and the calculating for carrying out order processing duration, inform that user estimates the deadline after the completion of calculating immediately；It is same with this
When, data handling system, which is sent orders on the mobile phone or computer client of trade company, notifies trade company, and trade company is receiving order letter
Immediately begin to make after breath；
After the picking time is estimated in arrival, user goes to trade company's picking, and specific withhold that can also go to trade company to inform a little takes
Goods；It should be noted that the time that user can be also specified when lower single goes to trade company or withholds a picking, but the time specified
The picking time estimated should be later than.
Example IV：The present embodiment is specifically related in embodiment one estimate picking time method based on online ordering
Using the method that will can estimate the picking time is applied in the trade mode of online ordering dispatching picking, is specially：
User is by mobile phone or computer client in the on-line shop of entity trade company（Or online sales channel）In place an order order business
Product, single-piece order include some commodity；Lower single commodity are paid the bill by online electronic payment mode afterwards, can also be adopted certainly
The payment mode paid when being received with scene；The ordering information of user's order is submitted to data handling system, data after placing an order
Processing system obtains the sequence information of the user and lower single time t, is retrieved, counted according to the sequence information, analyzed the trade company and order
Single information data and the calculating for carrying out order processing duration, inform that user estimates the deadline after the completion of calculating immediately；It is same with this
When, data handling system, which is sent orders on the mobile phone or computer client of trade company, notifies trade company, and trade company is receiving order letter
Immediately begin to make after breath；
After the picking time is estimated in arrival, user is in the picking to be dispensed such as appointed place, trade company salesman（Or third party's dispatching
Personnel）By commodity distribution to user appointed place, merchandise and complete after user is receiving goods.
Claims (5)
- A kind of 1. method for estimating the picking time based on online ordering, it is characterised in that methods described comprises the following steps：（1）User places an order in the on-line shop of entity trade company or online sales channel, and data handling system obtains the order of the user Information and lower single time t；（2）The data handling system goes out institute according to the History Order data and history blanket order duration data statistics of the trade company The average duration of order processing of trade company and the making handling duration of sole product are stated, according to the average duration meter of the order processing The handling duration error of the estimated duration T1 of this order processing and every commodity is calculated, and calculates the estimated of this order processing Error duration R1；（3）In trade company's History Order data as described in working day or festivals or holidays statistic of classification during the order average treatment of different periods Long and sole product making handling duration；According to single time t under this order, obtain in corresponding date species and correspond to the period Order processing speed to calculate the estimated duration T2 of this order and every commodity handling duration error, and according to every The handling duration error calculation of commodity goes out the estimated duration error R2 of this order processing；（4）Calculate this order estimate processing complete duration T=[（T1±R1）+(T2±R2)]/2；（5）The picking time for estimating processing and completing duration T and as estimating by lower single time t of user plus this order；It is complete Into step（4）Afterwards, duration T is completed in the processing of estimating of further this order of corrected Calculation, and step is as follows：Inquire about this order Processing is estimated to complete the maximum of the trade company under duration T while handle quantity on order N and order more than described maximum while processing Every order processing added-time duration t after odd number amount N；Inquire about the quantity on order n of trade company's current time present；If N+1≤N, then this order estimate processing complete when a length of T=[（T1±R1）+ (T2 ± R2)]/2 constant；If n+1 ＞ N, this It is T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t that secondary order, which estimates processing and completes time scale modification,.
- A kind of 2. method for estimating the picking time based on online ordering according to claim 1, it is characterised in that institute State data handling system to inquire when there is no History Order data in the trade company, then duration is completed in the processing of estimating of this order T takes the value T initially set0。
- A kind of 3. method for estimating the picking time based on online ordering according to claim 1, it is characterised in that institute State data handling system and will calculate picking time of estimating for obtaining and push on subscription client and inform.
- 4. it is a kind of be related to any one of claim 1-3 picking time method is estimated based on online ordering, its feature The application for being methods described is：After user places an order in the on-line shop of entity trade company or online sales channel, pass through methods described Acquisition is calculated to estimate the picking time and push on subscription client and informs, at the same the data handling system by order send to Vendor notifies that the trade company starts from after order is received on end；After the picking time is estimated in arrival, user goes to Trade company's picking.
- 5. it is a kind of be related to any one of claim 1-3 picking time method is estimated based on online ordering, its feature The application for being methods described is：After user places an order in the on-line shop of entity trade company or online sales channel, pass through methods described Acquisition is calculated to estimate the picking time and push on subscription client and informs, at the same the data handling system by order send to Vendor notifies that the trade company starts from after order is received, and is dispensed after making on end；Treat that arrival is estimated After the picking time, user's picking at ship-to.
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