CN104504595A - Method with function of estimating pick-up time based on online ordering and application thereof - Google Patents
Method with function of estimating pick-up time based on online ordering and application thereof Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
The invention discloses a method with a function of estimating pick-up time based on online ordering and an application of the method. The method comprises the following steps: calculating by calling the history order data of a merchant to calculate and obtain an estimated time duration T1 and an estimated error time duration R1 in this time of order processing; meanwhile, calculating by calling history order data in different periods of time to obtain an estimated time duration T2 and an estimated time duration error R2 in the processing of a period of time corresponding to this time of order processing; finally calculating the final estimated time duration T of this time of order processing, wherein T is equal to [(T1+/-R1)+(T2+/-R2)]/2. The method has the advantages that the estimation method is simple and quick, and can be accurate to a minute, so that the application scenarios of online shopping transaction are greatly extended, and the method is particularly suitable for the condition that the merchant needs to manufacture goods or cook food products on site after payment in a near-field environment.
Description
Technical field
The invention belongs to order data processing technology field, be specifically related to method and the application thereof of a kind of picking estimated based on online ordering time.
Background technology
Constantly universal along with electronic equipment and network, on line, ecommerce is able to development, allly at present provides in the internet or mobile Internet application scenarios that line is done shopping, and the predictor method of receipts/picking time roughly can be divided into two classes:
1) shopping online, subscribed after express delivery, dispensing to receive mode
Service feature under the type is that manually long-range or intermediate range is sent, such as: the courier's deliver goods after the shopping of online strange land or the food delivery of the take-away person after having made a reservation on the net), the former receive the time degree of accuracy generally with " my god " calculate, the degree of accuracy of the latter's distribution time calculates with " hour ".What namely this COS clearly can not estimate kinds of goods completes Production Time, order processing time, clearly cannot estimate Delivery time again.
2) shopping online complete after from extracting cargo interests formula
Service feature under the type for user complete net purchase after need to go to appointed place from carrying, be supplied at present user from select select many, common as the convenience store, grain and oil shop, supermarket, self-service counter etc. near: house or work unit.In the whole process of the picking of these different services of certainly carrying, actual and express delivery mode of receiving is similar, same very difficult advance notice user estimate the delivery of cargo time or the delivery of cargo time comparatively very long.
Comprehensive the above, current online trading method be mainly also only applicable to not high to time requirement in, long-range physical goods transaction or have certain hour lead reservation transaction field, and, to the accuracy relative deficiency or relatively more rough received, the picking time is estimated, which limits transaction scene.
Summary of the invention
The object of the invention is according to above-mentioned the deficiencies in the prior art part, provide method and the application thereof of a kind of picking estimated based on online ordering time, the method estimates the picking time by the History Order data calling trade company to calculate.
The object of the invention realizes being completed by following technical scheme:
Based on the method for the picking the estimated time of online ordering, it is characterized in that described method comprises the steps:
(1) user places an order in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, and data handling system obtains the sequence information of this user and the time t that places an order;
(2) described data handling system goes out the average duration of order processing of described trade company and the making handling duration of sole product according to the History Order data of described trade company and the data statistics of history blanket order duration, calculate according to the average duration of described order processing the handling duration error that duration T1 and every part commodity are estimated in this order processing, and calculate the prediction error duration R1 of this order processing;
(3) by the order average treatment duration of Different periods and the making handling duration of sole product in trade company's History Order data described in working day or statistic of classification festivals or holidays; To place an order time t according to this order, obtain the order processing speed of corresponding period in corresponding date kind to calculate the handling duration error that this order estimates duration T2 and every part commodity, and go out the expectation duration error R2 of this order processing according to the handling duration error calculation of every part commodity;
(4) process of estimating calculating this order completes duration T=[(T1 ± R1)+(T2 ± R2)]/2;
(5) time that the places an order t of user is added that estimating of this order has processed duration T and be the picking time estimated.
After completing steps (4), the process of estimating of further this order of corrected Calculation completes duration T, and step is as follows: inquire about this order estimate processed duration T under described trade company maximum process quantity on order N simultaneously and exceed and describedly maximumly process every order processing added-time duration t after quantity on order N simultaneously; Inquire about the quantity on order n of described trade company current time present; If n+1≤N, then this order is estimated process to complete duration is that T=[(T1 ± R1)+(T2 ± R2)]/2 is constant; If n+1 > is N, then this order is estimated process to complete time scale modification is T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t.
When described data handling system inquires in described trade company and do not have History Order data, then estimating of this order has processed the value T that duration T gets initial setting
0.
The picking time of estimating calculating acquisition pushes on subscription client and informs by described data handling system.
A kind of application relating to any one above-mentioned time of the picking estimated based on online ordering method, it is characterized in that being applied as of described method: after user places an order in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, estimate the picking time by described method calculating acquisition and push on subscription client and inform, order is sent on vendor end and notifies by described data handling system simultaneously, and namely described trade company starts to make after receiving order; Estimate after the picking time until arrival, user goes to described trade company picking.
A kind of application relating to any one above-mentioned time of the picking estimated based on online ordering method, it is characterized in that being applied as of described method: after user places an order in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, estimate the picking time by described method calculating acquisition and push on subscription client and inform, order is sent on vendor end and notifies by described data handling system simultaneously, namely described trade company starts to make after receiving order, provides and delivers after making; Estimate after the picking time until arrival, user is in ship-to place picking.
Advantage of the present invention is that predictor method is fast easy, can be accurate to " minute ", greatly extends the application scenarios of shopping online transaction, under being particularly useful near field environment, need complete the commodity that the rear trade company of payment makes at the scene or the situation of cooking food product.
Embodiment
By the following examples feature of the present invention and other correlated characteristic are described in further detail, so that the understanding of technician of the same trade:
Embodiment one: the present embodiment is specifically related to the method for a kind of picking estimated based on online ordering time, be applicable to the application scenarios of online shopping transaction, the method specifically comprises the steps:
(1) user to be placed an order order goods by client in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, single-piece order comprises some commodity, user's ordering information is submitted to data handling system, data handling system obtains the sequence information of this user and the time t that places an order, and retrieve according to this sequence information, add up, analyze this trade company's sequence information data, start the calculating carrying out order processing duration afterwards;
(2) described data handling system goes out the average duration of order processing of this trade company and the making handling duration of sole product according to the history blanket order duration data statistics of the History Order data of trade company and trade company, calculate according to the average duration of order processing the handling duration error that duration T1 and every part commodity are estimated in this order processing afterwards, and calculate the prediction error duration R1 of this order processing;
(3) by the order average treatment duration of Different periods and the making handling duration of sole product in trade company's History Order data described in working day or statistic of classification festivals or holidays; Determine that this order belongs to working day or festivals or holidays according to this order time t that places an order, obtain the order processing speed of corresponding period in corresponding date kind afterwards to calculate the handling duration error that this order estimates duration T2 and every part commodity, and go out the expectation duration error R2 of this order processing according to the handling duration error calculation of every part commodity;
(4) last according to above four data T1, T2, R1, R2, the process of estimating calculating this order final completes duration T=[(T1 ± R1)+(T2 ± R2)]/2;
(5) time that the places an order t of user is added that this order is finally estimated to have processed duration T and be the picking time estimated;
(6) picking time of the estimating T calculating acquisition pushes on subscription client and informs by data handling system.
It should be noted that, if data handling system inquires in this trade company when not having History Order data, then estimating of this order has processed the value T that duration T gets artificial initial setting
0.
Below carry out the Accuracy Verification test estimating picking time method in the present embodiment:
[order places an order the time]: 2014/11/21 17:17:00
[order is actual completes the processing time]: 2014/11/21 17:24:00
[trade company's history order goods handling duration data]:
Commodity one: 3 minute; Error time: 0.5 minute;
Commodity two: 3 minutes; Error time: 0.5 minute;
Commodity three: 2 minutes; Error time: 0.5 minute;
[the commodity handling duration data of the 17:00--16:00 time period of trade company's history similar working day on the same day or festivals or holidays]:
Commodity one: 3 minute; Error time: 0.5 minute;
Commodity two: 2 minutes; Error time: 0.5 minute;
Commodity three: 2 minutes; Error time: 0.5 minute;
[this order items list]:
Commodity one, commodity two and commodity three;
[computing formula is estimated in order goods]:
T = [(T1±R1)+(T2±R2)]/2；
[comprehensive above data]:
T1 = 8
R1 = 1.5
T2 = 7
R2 = 1.5
Substitute into formula T=[(T1 ± R1)+(T2 ± R2)]/2=[(8 ± 1.5)+(7 ± 1.5)]/2
Calculate the scope of gained time T: 6 to 8 minutes
Estimate deadline scope: 2014/11/21 17:23:00 to 2014/11/21 17:25:00
As can be seen here, use this predictor method to calculate deadline compare with the actual deadline and differed one minute, checking gained uses the method accuracy very high.
Embodiment two: the present embodiment is specifically related to the method for a kind of picking estimated based on online ordering time, the method specifically estimates to this order first time in embodiment one the further corrected Calculation having processed duration T, and concrete steps are as follows:
1) according to this sequence information inquire about this trade company estimate processed duration T under maximum quantity N(i.e. this trade company same time simultaneously processing order can only process N the order that complete in T duration) and every order processing added-time duration t after exceeding this maximum order processing quantity N;
2) the quantity on order n of this trade company in current time process is inquired about according to this sequence information;
3) if n+1(is when total number of orders in pre-treatment) be less than or equal to N, then current order estimates the process deadline is that namely T(does not exceed the sum restriction simultaneously processing order, and the order deadline is constant is still T);
4) if n+1(is when total number of orders in pre-treatment) be greater than N(and exceed the sum restriction simultaneously processing order), then to complete time scale modification be T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t in the process of estimating of current order.
Below carry out the Accuracy Verification test estimating picking time correcting method in the present embodiment:
[order places an order the time]: 2014/11/21 17:17:00;
[first time estimates handling duration]: T=5 minute;
[under duration T, the maximum of trade company processes order numbers simultaneously]: N=5 pen;
[trade company processes order numbers simultaneously and exceedes added-time duration after maximum process order numbers]: t=1 minute;
(situation one):
[order numbers in the current process simultaneously of trade company]: n=4 pen;
Process order numbers after a newly-increased order is: 4+1=5
Be less than or equal to maximum process order numbers N simultaneously
Then this estimate order complete duration be T=5 minute constant
Estimate the deadline: 2014/11/21 17:22:00;
[order is actual completes the processing time]: 2014/11/21 17:23:00;
(situation two):
[order numbers in the current process simultaneously of trade company]: n=8 pen;
Process order numbers after a newly-increased order is: 8+1=9
Be greater than maximum process order numbers N simultaneously
Then according to formula T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t
Be modified to T ＇=5+ [(8+1)-5] * 1=9
So this estimates that order completes time scale modification is T ＇=9 minute
Estimate the deadline: 2014/11/21 17:26:00;
[order is actual completes the processing time]: 2014/11/21 17:28:00;
This predictor method of visible use calculate deadline compare difference one to two minute with the actual deadline, checking gained uses the method accuracy very high.
Embodiment three: the present embodiment is specifically related to the application based on the picking the estimated time method of online ordering in embodiment one, and the method being about to estimate the picking time is applied in the trade mode of the autonomous picking of online ordering, is specially:
User to be placed an order order goods by mobile phone or computer client in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, and single-piece order comprises some commodity; By online electronic payment mode, the commodity that place an order are paid the bill afterwards, certainly also can adopt the payment mode paid during on-the-spot picking; After placing an order, the ordering information of user's order is submitted to data handling system, data handling system obtains the sequence information of this user and the time t that places an order, retrieve according to this sequence information, add up, analyze these trade company's sequence information data and carry out the calculating of order processing duration, after having calculated, inform that user estimates the deadline immediately; Meanwhile, order is sent in the mobile phone of trade company or computer client and notifies trade company by data handling system, and trade company starts immediately to make after receiving sequence information;
Estimate after the picking time until arrival, user goes to trade company's picking, and that trade company also can be gone to inform specifically withholds a picking; It should be noted that, the time that user also can specify when placing an order goes to trade company or withholds a picking, but the time of specifying should be later than the picking time estimated.
Embodiment four: the present embodiment is specifically related to the application based on the picking the estimated time method of online ordering in embodiment one, the method being about to estimate the picking time is applied in the trade mode of online ordering dispensing picking, is specially:
User to be placed an order order goods by mobile phone or computer client in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, and single-piece order comprises some commodity; By online electronic payment mode, the commodity that place an order are paid the bill afterwards, the payment mode paid when scene certainly also can be adopted to receive; After placing an order, the ordering information of user's order is submitted to data handling system, data handling system obtains the sequence information of this user and the time t that places an order, retrieve according to this sequence information, add up, analyze these trade company's sequence information data and carry out the calculating of order processing duration, after having calculated, inform that user estimates the deadline immediately; Meanwhile, order is sent in the mobile phone of trade company or computer client and notifies trade company by data handling system, and trade company starts immediately to make after receiving sequence information;
Estimate after the picking time until arrival, user in pickings to be dispensed such as appointed places, trade company salesman (or third party provide and deliver personnel) by commodity distribution to user appointed place, when user has concluded the business after receiving goods.
Claims (6)
1., based on the method for the picking the estimated time of online ordering, it is characterized in that described method comprises the steps:
(1) user places an order in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, and data handling system obtains the sequence information of this user and the time t that places an order;
(2) described data handling system goes out the average duration of order processing of described trade company and the making handling duration of sole product according to the History Order data of described trade company and the data statistics of history blanket order duration, calculate according to the average duration of described order processing the handling duration error that duration T1 and every part commodity are estimated in this order processing, and calculate the prediction error duration R1 of this order processing;
(3) by the order average treatment duration of Different periods and the making handling duration of sole product in trade company's History Order data described in working day or statistic of classification festivals or holidays; To place an order time t according to this order, obtain the order processing speed of corresponding period in corresponding date kind to calculate the handling duration error that this order estimates duration T2 and every part commodity, and go out the expectation duration error R2 of this order processing according to the handling duration error calculation of every part commodity;
(4) process of estimating calculating this order completes duration T=[(T1 ± R1)+(T2 ± R2)]/2;
(5) time that the places an order t of user is added that estimating of this order has processed duration T and be the picking time estimated.
2. the method for a kind of time of the picking estimated based on online ordering according to claim 1, after it is characterized in that completing steps (4), the process of estimating of further this order of corrected Calculation completes duration T, and step is as follows: inquire about this order estimate processed duration T under described trade company maximum process quantity on order N simultaneously and exceed and describedly maximumly process every order processing added-time duration t after quantity on order N simultaneously; Inquire about the quantity on order n of described trade company current time present; If n+1≤N, then this order is estimated process to complete duration is that T=[(T1 ± R1)+(T2 ± R2)]/2 is constant; If n+1 > is N, then this order is estimated process to complete time scale modification is T ＇=T+ [(n+1)-N] * t.
3. the method for a kind of time of the picking estimated based on online ordering according to claim 1, it is characterized in that described data handling system inquires in described trade company when not having History Order data, then estimating of this order has processed the value T that duration T gets initial setting
0.
4. the method for a kind of time of the picking estimated based on online ordering according to claim 1, is characterized in that the picking time of estimating calculating acquisition pushes on subscription client by described data handling system and informs.
5. one kind relates to the application based on the picking the estimated time method of online ordering according to any one of claim 1-4, it is characterized in that being applied as of described method: after user places an order in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, estimate the picking time by described method calculating acquisition and push on subscription client and inform, order is sent on vendor end and notifies by described data handling system simultaneously, and namely described trade company starts to make after receiving order; Estimate after the picking time until arrival, user goes to described trade company picking.
6. one kind relates to the application based on the picking the estimated time method of online ordering according to any one of claim 1-4, it is characterized in that being applied as of described method: after user places an order in on-line shop's (or online sales channel) of entity trade company, estimate the picking time by described method calculating acquisition and push on subscription client and inform, order is sent on vendor end and notifies by described data handling system simultaneously, namely described trade company starts to make after receiving order, provides and delivers after making; Estimate after the picking time until arrival, user is in ship-to place picking.
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