CN103686662B

CN103686662B - Forecasting Methodology and server that set meal is transferred the files

Info

Publication number: CN103686662B
Application number: CN201310683439.4A
Authority: CN
Inventors: 申志伟
Original assignee: China United Network Communications Group Co Ltd
Current assignee: China United Network Communications Group Co Ltd
Priority date: 2013-12-12
Filing date: 2013-12-12
Publication date: 2017-06-20
Anticipated expiration: 2033-12-12
Also published as: CN103686662A

Abstract

The present invention provides Forecasting Methodology and the server that a kind of set meal is transferred the files, and method includes：Server obtains the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal type information of each user signing and calculates the functional expenses of user；The corresponding price of the functional expenses of each user that will be calculated and each price shelves is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；By in the user of the identical set meal type of the lower signing of each price shelves, transferred the files the probability of transferring the files that the number of users of condition transferred the files in the set meal type as user with the lower total number of users purpose ratio of price shelves for the type of transferring the files for set meal is met in identical type of transferring the files；According to the set meal type information of corresponding probability and the user currently signing of transferring the files of each set meal type, the set meal of user is transferred the files situation in prediction future time section.The embodiment of the present invention is effectively solved in the prior art, and operator can not effectively predict that user carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files, and then the technical problem that cannot be optimized to packaged service.

Description

Forecasting Methodology and server that set meal is transferred the files

Technical field

The present invention relates to information technology, more particularly to a kind of Forecasting Methodology transferred the files of set meal and server.

Background technology

With the development of mobile communication technology, Chinese G mobile communication（3rd-generation, 3G）User Scale is constantly increased, and at the same time, operator is also because user's request is proposed various 3G set meals.

How user selects the behavior of these different classes of set meals to directly affect operator further develops 3G subscription Strategy.Therefore, how set meal is selected by the practical communication behavior of 3G subscription and currently, and combines the number of users of big data quantity According to obtaining the user according to the cycle（The moon/season/half a year/year）The probability distribution of set meal is selected again, is increasingly becoming operator Optimization 3G set meals provide data supporting and reference frame.And also do not carry out the prediction that set meal is transferred the files on user in the prior art Scheme.

The content of the invention

The present invention provides Forecasting Methodology and the server that a kind of set meal is transferred the files, and for solving in the prior art, operator is not Can effectively predict that user carries out the probability that set meal is transferred the files, and then the technical problem that cannot be optimized to packaged service.

On the one hand, the embodiment of the present invention provides the Forecasting Methodology that a kind of set meal is transferred the files, including：

Server obtains the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal type information of each user signing in the fixed period, Each described set meal type information includes the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type and is somebody's turn to do Price shelves belonging to set meal type；

The server is extracted in the actual volume of each user in the multiple user, the set meal type of signing Comprising at least one packaged service specified portfolio and the set meal type belonging to price shelves calculate the business of the user Expense；Wherein, for the portfolio in the actual volume of the user beyond the specified portfolio, the server presses it The outer unit price of the set meal of the corresponding packaged service carries out expense calculating to it；

The functional expenses of each user that the server will be calculated are right with each price shelves that operator provides The price answered is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；

The server descends in the user of the identical set meal type of signing each price shelves, in identical type of transferring the files Meet the transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of the set meal and be defined as prediction user at this Probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type under price shelves；

The server according to each set meal type in the described fixed period for determining it is corresponding it is described transfer the files probability with The set meal type information of user's currently signing, user is for each set under each price shelves in prediction future time section Meal type carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files.

On the other hand, the embodiment of the present invention provides a kind of server, including：

Acquisition module, for obtaining the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal class of each user signing in the fixed period Type information, each described set meal type information includes the specified business of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type Price shelves belonging to amount and the set meal type；

Computing module, for extract each user in the multiple user actual volume, signing the set meal class Price shelves belonging to the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in type and the set meal type calculate the user's Functional expenses；Wherein, for the portfolio in the actual volume of the user beyond the specified portfolio, the server Expense calculating is carried out to it by the set meal of its corresponding packaged service outer unit price；

Determining module, the functional expenses and each price grade of operator's offer of each user for that will be calculated Corresponding price is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；

Processing module, for each price shelves to be descended in the user of the identical set meal type of signing, for identical class of transferring the files Meet the transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of the set meal in type to be defined as predicting user Probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type under price shelves；

Prediction module, for probability of being transferred the files according to each set meal type in the described fixed period for determining is corresponding The set meal type information currently contracted with user, user is for each described under each price shelves in prediction future time section Set meal type carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files.

Forecasting Methodology and server that the set meal that the present invention is provided is transferred the files, server obtain multiple users in the fixed period Actual volume and the set meal type information of each user signing, each set meal type information include being included in the set meal type At least one packaged service specified portfolio and the set meal type belonging to price shelves；It is every in the multiple users of server extraction The specified portfolio and the set meal of at least one packaged service included in actual volume, the set meal type of signing of individual user Price shelves belonging to type calculate the functional expenses of the user；Wherein, in the actual volume of user exceed specified industry The portfolio of business amount, server carries out expense calculating by the outer unit price of set meal of its corresponding packaged service to it；Server will be counted The functional expenses of each user for obtaining price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is matched, and determines the user Whether possess set meal to transfer the files condition；Server is transferred the files in the user of each price shelves identical set meal type of lower signing for identical Meet the transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of set meal in type to be defined as prediction user and exist Probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type under price shelves；Server is according to consolidating for determining The set meal type information of each set meal type corresponding transfer the files probability and user's currently signing in timing section, in prediction future time section User carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files for each set meal type under each price shelves.The program can make operator effectively pre- Surveying user carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files, and then packaged service is optimized.

Brief description of the drawings

The flow chart of Forecasting Methodology one embodiment that Fig. 1 transfers the files for the set meal for providing of the invention；

The set meal structural representation of the Forecasting Methodology transferred the files suitable for set meal shown in Fig. 1 that Fig. 2 is provided for the present invention；

The flow chart of Fig. 3 transfers the files for the set meal that provides of the present invention Forecasting Methodology another embodiment；

The structural representation of server one embodiment that Fig. 4 is provided for the present invention；

The structural representation of server another embodiment that Fig. 5 is provided for the present invention.

Specific embodiment

The flow chart of Forecasting Methodology one embodiment that Fig. 1 transfers the files for the set meal for providing of the invention.The following step of the method Rapid executive agent can be the server with collection user service information function.As shown in figure 1, the prediction that the set meal is transferred the files Method is specifically included：

S101, server obtains the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal type of each user signing in the fixed period Information, each set meal type information includes the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type and is somebody's turn to do Price shelves belonging to set meal type；

The set meal that this case includes can be operator in 3G network, Long Term Evolution（Long Term Evolution, LTE）Etc. the integrated service bag after the single business released under multiple network or multiple combinations of services.Operator wraps according in set meal The specified portfolio that species and/or each class of business containing business are included, various set meal types are divided into by set meal.As shown in Fig. 2 This case gives a kind of set meal structural representation of the Forecasting Methodology that set meal suitable for shown in Fig. 1 is transferred the files.In the figure, it is above-mentioned Polytype set meal can be divided into n price shelves by its specific price；Wherein, i-th（i=1、2,...,n）Individual price shelves correspondence Price be represented by pr (i), each price shelves are lower can to correspond to the set meal comprising at least one type, and each set meal type can be retouched State for：The j included under i-th price shelves_iIndividual type（j_i≥1）Set meal in λ_i（1≤λ_i≤j_i）Individual set meal type.

J in above-mentioned each price shelves_iIn individual set meal type, the specific business tine that each set meal type includes can be The multiple business such as flow, the duration of call, short message.And the univalent price point in the set meal of these business and outside set meal is protected in the whole nation Hold consistent.If there is corresponding expense or value-added service in Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, abroad in user（CRBT, multimedia message etc.）, then according to operation Standard rate corresponding to business are calculated.

The actual volume of above-mentioned user actually used business and portfolio for producing in fixed time period for user, Can be one month to fixed time period, a season or half a year etc.；The set meal type information of each user signing is user The customized corresponding specific set meal of above-mentioned various set meal types for using within the time period.

S102, includes in the multiple users of server extraction in actual volume, the set meal type of signing of each user Price shelves belonging to the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service and the set meal type calculate the functional expenses of user；Wherein, For the portfolio in the actual volume of user beyond specified portfolio, server is pressed outside the set meal of its corresponding packaged service Unit price carries out expense calculating to it；

When the business in the portfolio that user uses is consistent with the business included in the set meal type of signing, user uses Actual volume when specified portfolio in set meal is met, can as belonging to the set meal price shelves price carry out charging, and The actual volume of specified portfolio need to be calculated by the outer price of set meal in above-mentioned set meal.

Here illustrate, in this case, the specific type of service that each set meal is included is the type of service that user commonly uses, in user The inconsistent situation of the business that is included in business in actually used portfolio and the set meal type of signing, not as this technology The process object being directed in scheme, the portfolio for the partial service can carry out charging by arm's length standard.

S103, each price shelves that functional expenses and the operator of each user that server will be calculated provide are corresponding Price is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；

After server is calculated the functional expenses that each user actually produces in fixed time period, can be by the business Expense price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is carried out than matching somebody with somebody, and determines whether the user possesses set according to matching result Meal is transferred the files condition.The set meal condition of transferring the files is represented by（x：Conditional content）.

For example, when actual functional expenses and the user that user produces currently have contracted the affiliated price of set meal type for using The corresponding price of shelves remains basically stable, then characterize and possess the set meal for not carrying out gear adjustment and transfer the files condition；And work as user's generation The actual functional expenses corresponding price difference of the affiliated price grade of the set meal type for using of currently having been contracted with user is very high, and with Higher or lower than the close prices of another price shelves of price shelves, then the situation can be identified as the user and possess to carry out shelves The set meal that position is adjusted to another price shelves is transferred the files condition.The above method is not limited to for set meal condition this programme of transferring the files.

S104, server is expired in each price shelves down user of the identical set meal type of signing in identical type of transferring the files The transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of foot cover meal is defined as prediction user in price shelves Under the set meal type in probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files；

Wherein, above-mentioned type of transferring the files refers to above-mentioned maintenance gear or the affiliated price shelves of current set meal is adjusted into other valencys Position shelves etc..The set meal that identical type of transferring the files is met in the set meal of the same type that server has contracted user is transferred the files the use of condition Family is counted, and the ratio of the number of users and the total number of the lower user of the affiliated price shelves of the set meal type is existed as user The probability of transferring the files transferred the files for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type under price shelves.

Wherein, O can be used_i（x：Conditional content）Represent the common j in the i-th price shelves_iλ in individual set meal type_iIndividual set meal class Meet set meal in the corresponding user of type to transfer the files condition x：（Conditional content）Number of users.UsingRepresent current selection the Common j in i position shelves valency_iλ in individual set meal type_iThe probability of transferring the files of the corresponding user of individual set meal type：

Wherein：Represent the common j in the i-th price shelves_iλ in individual set meal type_iCorresponding user is total for individual set meal type Number；

S105, server transfers the files probability and user currently contracts according to each set meal type in the fixed period for determining is corresponding Set meal type information, prediction future time section in user for each price shelves under each set meal type carry out the feelings that set meal is transferred the files Condition；

Server can work as each set meal type determined in above-mentioned fixed time period corresponding transfer the files probability and each user The set meal type information of preceding signing is matched, and current each user of acquisition carries out set meal and transfers the files for the set meal type contracted Probability so that on the whole obtain certain amount under user carry out the overall condition that set meal is transferred the files.

The Forecasting Methodology that the set meal that the present invention is provided is transferred the files, server obtains the practical business of multiple users in the fixed period Amount and the set meal type information of each user signing, each set meal type information include include in the set meal type at least one Price shelves belonging to the specified portfolio of individual packaged service and the set meal type；Each user in the multiple users of server extraction Belonging to the specified portfolio and the set meal type of at least one packaged service included in actual volume, the set meal type of signing Price shelves calculate the functional expenses of the user；Wherein, for the industry in the actual volume of user beyond specified portfolio Business amount, server carries out expense calculating by the outer unit price of set meal of its corresponding packaged service to it；Server will be calculated The functional expenses of each user price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is matched, and determines whether the user possesses Set meal is transferred the files condition；Server is expired in each price shelves down user of the identical set meal type of signing in identical type of transferring the files The transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of foot cover meal is defined as prediction user in price shelves Under the set meal type in probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files；Server is according in the fixed period for determining The set meal type information of each set meal type corresponding transfer the files probability and user's currently signing, user is directed in prediction future time section Each set meal type carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files under each price shelves.The program can make operator effectively predict that user enters The situation that row set meal is transferred the files, and then packaged service is optimized.

The flow chart of Fig. 3 transfers the files for the set meal that provides of the present invention Forecasting Methodology another embodiment, the method is such as Fig. 1 A kind of specific implementation of illustrated embodiment.As shown in figure 3, the Forecasting Methodology that the set meal is transferred the files is specifically included：

S301, server obtains the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal type of each user signing in the fixed period Information, each set meal type information includes the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type and is somebody's turn to do Price shelves belonging to set meal type；The specific implementation procedure of the step can be found in the corresponding contents of step 101.

S302, includes in the multiple users of server extraction in actual volume, the set meal type of signing of each user Price shelves belonging to the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service and the set meal type calculate the functional expenses of user；Wherein, For the portfolio in the actual volume of user beyond specified portfolio, server is pressed outside the set meal of its corresponding packaged service Unit price carries out expense calculating to it；The specific implementation procedure of the step can be found in the corresponding contents of step 102.

After server is completed to the calculating of the functional expenses of user, functional expenses and the fortune of each user that will be calculated Each price corresponding price of shelves that battalion business provides is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；The step has Body implementation procedure can be found in the corresponding contents of step 103.This gives one kind side of implementing for step 103 Formula, specifically includes following steps（Step 303~305）.

Before illustrative step 303~305, first to needing the several parameters being related to illustrate in step：

Type of service in including each set meal type under each price shelves that above-mentioned operator releases specifically related to, in this case In only consider flow, three indexs of the duration of call and short message number of user；Other types of service also can be used as the addition that branches out To in set meal type, correlation step explanation only is carried out by taking this three indexs as an example in this case, rather than the restriction to this programme.Tool Body content of parameter includes：

1. set meal content

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIndividual class The total flow included in the set meal of type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIt is individual The total duration of call included in the set meal of type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIt is individual The total short message number included in the set meal of type.

2. the actual volume of user

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, represent the j that i-th price shelves of selection include_iλ in individual set meal type_i The actually used total flow of the user of the set meal of individual type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, represent the j that i-th price shelves of selection include_iλ in individual set meal type_i The actually used total duration of call of the user of the set meal of individual type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, represent the j that i-th price shelves of selection include_iλ in individual set meal type_i The actually used total short message number of the user of the set meal of individual type.

3. univalent in set meal

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIt is individual Flow unit price in the set meal of type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIndividual class Duration of call unit price in the set meal of type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIt is individual Short message number unit price in the set meal of type.

4. set meal is outer univalent

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIt is individual Flow unit price outside the set meal of type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIndividual class Duration of call unit price outside the set meal of type；

λ_i=1,2,.......j_i, the j that i-th price shelves of expression include_iλ in individual set meal type_iIt is individual Short message number unit price outside the set meal of type.

For the magnitude relationship of price between each price shelves of clearer explanation, n price of above-mentioned division shelves can be pressed Order arrangement from small to large：That is i=1, represents minimum price shelves in n price shelves, and the corresponding package price of price shelves is most It is low；I=n, represents highest price shelves in n price shelves, the corresponding package price highest of price shelves, middle each price shelves correspondence Package price for i monotonic increasing function.

S303, each price shelves that functional expenses and the operator of each user that server will be calculated provide are corresponding Price is matched, and is determined whether the user possesses and is maintained the set meal of gear to transfer the files condition；

Give each price shelves situation belonging to the set meal type currently contracted for user in detail below is carried out respectively The scheme of judgement：

If the minimum price shelves in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type that 1. user contracts,：

Server judge user using each business actual volume whether no more than signing set meal type in include Packaged service specified portfolio；If, it is determined that the user possesses and maintains the set meal of gear to transfer the files condition；Or,

Server judges that user uses the set meal industry included in the set meal type of the actual volume more than signing of each business Whether not the outer price of the set meal and value that the difference portfolio of the specified portfolio of business determines with the product of the outer unit price of the set meal More than the difference between minimum price shelves price shelves adjacent thereto, if, it is determined that the user possesses the set of the maintenance gear Meal is transferred the files condition；

For example, when user signing specific set meal type belonging to price shelves be i=1, determine that the user possesses maintenance gear The set meal condition of transferring the files can be：

Condition 1：Or,

Condition 2：

WhenDuring for negative value, it is 0 to take its value.

If the highest price shelves in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type that 2. user contracts,：

Server judges that user uses unit price in the actual volume of each business set meal corresponding with the set meal type of signing The corresponding price of package price and value price shelves whether adjacent more than highest price shelves that determines of product；If so, then true The fixed user possesses and maintains the set meal of gear to transfer the files condition；

For example, when user signing specific set meal type belonging to price shelves be i=n, determine that the user possesses maintenance gear The set meal condition of transferring the files can be：

Condition 3：

If 3. except above-mentioned minimum price shelves and highest price shelves in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type of user's signing First price shelves, then：

Server judges that user uses unit price in the actual volume of each business set meal corresponding with the set meal type of signing The package price and value that determines of product whether the corresponding valency of adjacent price shelves more than price shelves less than the first price shelves Lattice；And it is not more than the corresponding price of the first price shelves simultaneously；If, it is determined that the user possesses and maintains the set meal of gear to transfer the files bar Part；Or,

Server judges that user uses the set meal industry included in the set meal type of the actual volume more than signing of each business Whether the outer price of the set meal and value that the difference portfolio of the specified portfolio of business determines with the product of the outer unit price of set meal is more than 0, And less than the price difference between the first price shelves and the adjacent price shelves higher than the first price shelves；If, it is determined that the user Possess and maintain the set meal of gear to transfer the files condition；

For example, when user signing specific set meal type belonging to price shelves be 1<i<N, determines that the user possesses maintenance shelves Position the set meal condition of transferring the files can be：

Condition 4：Or,

Condition 5：

WhenDuring for negative value, it is taken Be worth is 0.

S304, each price shelves that functional expenses and the operator of each user that server will be calculated provide are corresponding Price is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses upshift is transferred the files condition；Specifically, this gives a kind of true Determine the set meal whether user possess upshift to transfer the files the judgment mode of condition：

For each second price shelves of the price shelves belonging to the set meal type higher than signing, server judges that user makes With the difference business of the specified portfolio of the packaged service included in the set meal type of the actual volume more than signing of each business Whether the outer price of the set meal and value that amount determines with the outer univalent product of set meal is more than the second price grade and the set meal type of signing Difference price between affiliated price shelves, and it is higher than second to be not more than the price shelves belonging to the set meal type contracted with price shelves Difference price between the adjacent price shelves of price shelves, if, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses upshift is transferred the files condition, and is risen The class of shelves is the class difference between the price shelves belonging to the set meal type of the second price shelves and signing；Above-mentioned each packaged service Set meal in during unit price can be included in each above-mentioned set meal type information.

For example, when user signing specific set meal type belonging to price shelves be 1≤i≤n-1, judge whether user possesses Rise α（1≤α≤n-i）Shelves the set meal condition of transferring the files can be：

Condition 6：

WhenIt is negative value When, it is 0 to take its value.

S305, each price shelves that functional expenses and the operator of each user that server will be calculated provide are corresponding Price is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses downshift is transferred the files condition；Specifically, this gives a kind of true Determine the set meal whether user possess downshift to transfer the files the judgment mode of condition：

For each the 3rd price shelves of the price shelves belonging to the set meal type less than signing, server judges that user makes With determine package price of the product of unit price in the actual volume of each business set meal corresponding with the set meal type of signing and Whether value is not more than the corresponding price of the 3rd price shelves, and is the adjacent price shelves correspondence less than the 3rd price shelves more than price shelves Price；If, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses downshift is transferred the files condition, and the class of downshift is the 3rd price shelves and signing Set meal type belonging to price shelves between class difference；

For example, when user signing specific set meal type belonging to price shelves be 1<I≤n, judges whether user possesses drop α （1≤α≤i-1）Shelves the set meal condition of transferring the files can be：

Condition 7：

S306, server is expired in each price shelves down user of the identical set meal type of signing in identical type of transferring the files Transfer the files number of users and the price shelves time total number of users purpose ratio of condition of foot cover meal is defined as

Probability of transferring the files when prediction user is transferred the files in the set meal type under price shelves for the type of transferring the files； The specific implementation procedure of the step can be found in the corresponding contents of step 104.

For example, being that the Probabilistic separableness of transferring the files for maintaining gear is not expressed as type of transferring the files：

It is represented by for the probability of transferring the files that type of transferring the files is upshift：

It is represented by for the probability of transferring the files that type of transferring the files is downshift：

S307, server transfers the files probability and user currently contracts according to each set meal type in the fixed period for determining is corresponding Set meal type information, prediction future time section in user for each price shelves under each set meal type carry out the feelings that set meal is transferred the files Condition；The specific implementation procedure of the step can be found in the corresponding contents of step 105.

Further, the probability of transferring the files for being calculated in this case is referred both in different price shelves belonging to each set meal type（Set meal Price）Between transfer the files the overall probability of position.And which the specific set meal type under a certain price shelves is selected for user, Can be according to the actual demand of user（The demand percentage of flow, the duration of call and short message number）With all specific sets under price shelves Meal type is obtained after being matched.

The probability of transferring the files that type of respectively transferring the files is calculated in this programme can be counted by the of that month data of operator collection user Obtained after calculation, and as the reference to next month user selection set meal type；Meanwhile, can also by historical data according to season, half a year, It is within 1 year calculating cycle；The probability of transferring the files of each type of transferring the files monthly is calculated according to the method described above, its final probability of transferring the files Can averagely be calculated by above-mentioned calculating cycle, assign different weights also dependent on heat, dull season and transfer the files probability calculating user Variation tendency, and then operator is adjusted and optimize set meal type.

When user occurs corresponding expense or value-added service in Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, abroad（CRBT, multimedia message etc.）, can be to above-mentioned set meal The packaged service that the Forecasting Methodology transferred the files is related to suitably is expanded：

1）When in set meal comprising Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, abroad there is corresponding expense or value-added service（CRBT, multimedia message etc.）When, can be Flow, the duration of call or the short message number that these factors are equal to above-mentioned calculating merge calculating to add；

2）When in set meal not comprising Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, abroad there is corresponding expense or value-added service（CRBT, multimedia message etc.）When, press Standard rate according to these expenses are calculated, when these are costly, it is contemplated that set meal is optimized or is set again Count a kind of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, overseas or value-added service（CRBT, multimedia message etc.）Proprietary set meal.

Further, server can also be sent out according to the probability of transferring the files calculated in this case, the user transferred the files to needs Send corresponding recommendation information of transferring the files, it is proposed that the set meal type of current signing is adjusted to other lower bags of more preferential price shelves by user The set meal type for containing.And be directed to those users using and the business that produces rate and be not included in above-mentioned set meal type can be by taking Business device uses the corresponding quantitative business packet of user's active push corresponding service of the business to correspondence（Such as Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, the world, increment Business packet）Recommendation information is for reference so that user understand more preferential types of service, it is necessary to when open using saving Total bill expense.

One of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that：Realizing all or part of step of above-mentioned each method embodiment can lead to The related hardware of programmed instruction is crossed to complete.Foregoing program can be stored in a computer read/write memory medium.The journey Sequence upon execution, performs the step of including above-mentioned each method embodiment；And foregoing storage medium includes：ROM, RAM, magnetic disc or Person's CD etc. is various can be with the medium of store program codes.

The structural representation of server one embodiment that Fig. 4 is provided for the present invention, the server has collection user's industry Business informational function, can perform method and step as shown in Figure 1, and the server includes：

Acquisition module 41, for obtaining the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal of each user signing in the fixed period Type information, each set meal type information includes the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type With the price shelves belonging to the set meal type；

Computing module 42, for being wrapped in actual volume, the set meal type of signing of extracting each user in multiple users Price shelves belonging to the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service for containing and the set meal type calculate the functional expenses of user；Its In, for the portfolio in the actual volume of user beyond specified portfolio, server presses the set of its corresponding packaged service The outer unit price of meal carries out expense calculating to it；

Determining module 43, the functional expenses of each user for that will be calculated are right with each price shelves that operator provides The price answered is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；

Processing module 44, for each price shelves to be descended in the user of the identical set meal type of signing, for identical type of transferring the files It is middle to meet the transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of set meal and be defined as prediction user in the valency Probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type under the shelves of position；

Prediction module 45, for according to determine the fixed period in each set meal type it is corresponding transfer the files probability and user it is current The set meal type information of signing, user carries out what set meal was transferred the files for each set meal type under each price shelves in prediction future time section Situation.

Specifically, server shown in the present embodiment realizes that the process of the Forecasting Methodology that set meal is transferred the files is：

Acquisition module 41 obtains the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal type of each user signing in the fixed period Information, each set meal type information includes the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type and is somebody's turn to do Price shelves belonging to set meal type；The acquisition process for details, reference can be made to the corresponding contents of step 101；

Computing module 42 extract each user in multiple users actual volume, signing set meal type in include to Price shelves belonging to a few specified portfolio for packaged service and the set meal type calculate the functional expenses of user；Wherein, pin To the portfolio in the actual volume of user beyond specified portfolio, server is by single outside the set meal of its corresponding packaged service Valency carries out expense calculating to it；The calculating process for details, reference can be made to the corresponding contents of step 102；

The functional expenses of each user that determining module 43 will be calculated by computing module 42 are provided with operator The corresponding price of each price shelves is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；The determination process can specifically join See the corresponding contents of step 103；

Processing module 44 meets in the user of each price shelves identical set meal type of lower signing in identical type of transferring the files The transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of set meal is defined as prediction user under price shelves The set meal type in probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files；The processing procedure for details, reference can be made to step 104 Corresponding contents；

Corresponding probability and the use of transferring the files of each set meal type in the fixed period that prediction module 45 is determined according to processing module 44 The set meal type information of family currently signing, user carries out set meal for each set meal type under each price shelves in prediction future time section Situation about transferring the files；The prediction process for details, reference can be made to the corresponding contents of step 105.

The server of present invention offer, obtains what the actual volume of multiple users and each user in the fixed period contracted Set meal type information, each set meal type information includes the specified industry of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type Price shelves belonging to business amount and the set meal type；Extract actual volume, the set meal class of signing of each user in multiple users Price shelves belonging to the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in type and the set meal type calculate the user's Functional expenses；Wherein, for the portfolio in the actual volume of user beyond specified portfolio, server presses its corresponding set The outer unit price of the set meal of meal business carries out expense calculating to it；The functional expenses of each user that will be calculated are provided with operator Each price corresponding price of shelves matched, determine whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；By the lower signing of each price shelves In the user of identical set meal type, for meet in identical type of transferring the files set meal transfer the files condition number of users and the price shelves under Total number of users purpose ratio is defined as being adjusted for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type of prediction user under price shelves Probability of transferring the files during shelves；According to the set of corresponding transfer the files probability and the user's currently signing of each set meal type in the fixed period for determining Meal type information, user carries out what set meal was transferred the files for each set meal type under each price shelves in prediction future time section Situation.The program can make operator effectively predict that user carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files, and then packaged service is optimized.

The structural representation of server another embodiment that Fig. 5 is provided for the present invention.The structural representation is such as Fig. 4 institutes Show a kind of specific implementation of embodiment, can be used to perform the step in the Forecasting Methodology that set meal as shown in Figure 3 is transferred the files.With Embodiment illustrated in fig. 4 is compared, and further refinement has been carried out for determining module 43 in the present embodiment, and the determining module 43 has Body includes：First determining unit 431, the second determining unit 432 and the 3rd determining unit 433, wherein：

First determining unit 431, what the functional expenses of each user and operator for that will be calculated provided The corresponding price of each price shelves is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition；

Second determining unit 432, what the functional expenses of each user and operator for that will be calculated provided The corresponding price of each price shelves is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses the upshift is transferred the files condition；

3rd determining unit 433, what the functional expenses of each user and operator for that will be calculated provided The corresponding price of each price shelves is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses the downshift is transferred the files condition.

Wherein, if each price belonging to the set meal type contracted specifically for user of above-mentioned first determining unit 431 Minimum price shelves in shelves, then：

First determining unit 431 judges that whether user uses the actual volume of each business no more than the set meal class contracted The specified portfolio of the packaged service included in type；If, it is determined that the user possesses and maintains the set meal of gear to transfer the files condition；Or Person,

First determining unit 431 is judged in set meal type of the actual volume more than signing that the user uses each business Comprising packaged service specified portfolio the outer unit price of difference portfolio and set meal determine the outer price of set meal of product and Whether value is not more than the price difference between minimum price shelves price shelves adjacent thereto, if, it is determined that the user possesses maintenance The set meal of gear is transferred the files condition.

If in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type that above-mentioned first determining unit 431 is contracted also particularly useful for user most High price shelves, then：

First determining unit 431 judges that user uses the actual volume of each business set corresponding with the set meal type of signing The corresponding price of the price shelves package price that the product of unit price determines in meal and that whether value is adjacent more than highest price shelves；If It is, it is determined that the user possesses and maintains the set meal of gear to transfer the files condition.

If except most in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type that above-mentioned first determining unit 431 is contracted also particularly useful for user The first price shelves of low price shelves and highest price shelves, then：

First determining unit 431 judges that user uses the actual volume of each business set corresponding with the set meal type of signing Whether the package price and value of the product determination of unit price is less than the adjacent price shelves of the first price shelves more than price shelves in meal Corresponding price；And it is not more than the corresponding price of the first price shelves simultaneously；If, it is determined that the user possesses the set for maintaining gear Meal is transferred the files condition；Or,

First determining unit 431 judges that user is more than in the set meal type of signing using the actual volume of each business and includes The outer price of the set meal and value that determines of product of the outer unit price of difference portfolio and set meal of specified portfolio of packaged service be It is no to be more than 0, and less than the price difference between the first price shelves and the adjacent price shelves higher than the first price shelves；If so, then true The fixed user possesses and maintains the set meal of gear to transfer the files condition.

Second determining unit 432 specifically for for higher than signing set meal type belonging to price shelves each second Price shelves, the second determining unit 432 judges that user is more than in the set meal type of signing using the actual volume of each business and includes The outer price of the set meal and value that determines of product of the outer unit price of difference portfolio and set meal of specified portfolio of packaged service be The difference price between price shelves belonging to the no set meal type for being more than the second price shelves and signing, and it is not more than the set meal class of signing Belonging to type price shelves with price shelves be higher than the second price shelves adjacent price shelves between difference price, if, it is determined that The set meal that the user possesses upshift is transferred the files condition, and the class of upshift is the second price shelves and the valency belonging to the set meal type contracted Class difference between the shelves of position.

3rd determining unit 433 specifically for for less than signing set meal type belonging to price shelves each the 3rd Price shelves, the 3rd determining unit 433 judges that user uses the actual volume of each business set corresponding with the set meal type of signing Whether the package price and value of the product determination of unit price is not more than the corresponding price of the 3rd price shelves in meal, and more than price grade It is the corresponding price of adjacent price shelves less than the 3rd price shelves；If, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses downshift is transferred the files bar Part, and the class for downshifting is the class difference between the price shelves belonging to the set meal type of the 3rd price shelves and signing.

Specifically, difference of the present embodiment with embodiment illustrated in fig. 4 during the prediction that set meal is transferred the files is realized be：

Determining module 43 after above-mentioned refinement can be determined by the first determining unit 431, the second determining unit 432 and the 3rd The functional expenses of each each user that be calculated for computing module 42 respectively by unit 433 are right with each price shelves that operator provides The price answered is matched, and is determined whether the user possesses and is maintained the set meal of gear, upshift and downshift to transfer the files the process of condition；And The process for details, reference can be made to step 303~305；

Based on the 26S Proteasome Structure and Function refinement to above-mentioned determining module 43, each price shelves are descended the identical set of signing by processing module 44 In the user of type of eating, for meet in identical type of transferring the files set meal transfer the files condition number of users and the price shelves time user it is total The ratio of number be defined as predict user the price shelves under the set meal type in transferred the files for the type of transferring the files when The process of probability of transferring the files can be with further reference to the corresponding contents of step 306.

Further, the server in the present embodiment can also include recommending module, and the recommending module is used for according to this The probability of transferring the files calculated in case, the user transferred the files to needs sends corresponding recommendation information of transferring the files, it is proposed that user will be current The set meal type of signing is adjusted to the set meal type included under other more preferential price shelves.And be directed to those users and use and produce The business that production-goods is taken and is not included in above-mentioned set meal type can be used user's active push of the business from server to correspondence The corresponding quantitative business packet of corresponding service（Such as Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, the world, value-added service bag）Recommendation information is for reference, so that user Understand more preferential types of service, it is necessary to when open using saving total bill expense.

Finally it should be noted that：Various embodiments above is merely illustrative of the technical solution of the present invention, rather than its limitations；To the greatest extent Pipe has been described in detail with reference to foregoing embodiments to the present invention, it will be understood by those within the art that：Its according to The technical scheme described in foregoing embodiments can so be modified, or which part or all technical characteristic are entered Row equivalent；And these modifications or replacement, the essence of appropriate technical solution is departed from various embodiments of the present invention technology The scope of scheme.

Claims

1. the Forecasting Methodology that a kind of set meal is transferred the files, it is characterised in that including：

Server obtains the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal type information of each user signing in the fixed period, each The set meal type information includes the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type and the set meal Price shelves belonging to type；

The server is included in extracting the actual volume of each user in the multiple user, the set meal type of signing At least one packaged service specified portfolio and the set meal type belonging to price shelves calculate the functional expenses of the user； Wherein, for the portfolio in the actual volume of the user beyond the specified portfolio, the server is by its correspondence The outer unit price of set meal of the packaged service expense calculating is carried out to it；

The functional expenses of each user that the server will be calculated are corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides Price is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；

The server meets in the user of each price shelves identical set meal type of lower signing in identical type of transferring the files The transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of the set meal is defined as prediction user in the price Probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type under shelves；

The server is transferred the files probability and user according to each set meal type in the described fixed period for determining is corresponding The set meal type information of current signing, user is for each set meal class under each price shelves in prediction future time section Type carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files；

Wherein, the type of transferring the files includes：Maintain gear, upshift and downshift；

The functional expenses of each user that the server will be calculated are corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides Price is matched, and determines whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition, including：

The functional expenses of each user that the server will be calculated are corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides Price is matched, and determines whether the user possesses the maintenance gear, the set meal of the upshift and the downshift and transfer the files condition.

2. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the industry of each user that the server will be calculated Business expense price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is matched, and determines whether the user possesses the maintenance gear Set meal transfer the files condition, including：

If the minimum price shelves in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type of user's signing,：

The server judge the user use each business the actual volume whether no more than the signing set The specified portfolio of the packaged service included in meal type；If, it is determined that the user possesses the set of the maintenance gear Meal is transferred the files condition；Or,

The server judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business more than in the set meal type of the signing Comprising the packaged service specified portfolio the outer unit price of difference portfolio and the set meal the set meal that determines of product outside Price and value whether be not more than price difference between minimum price shelves price shelves adjacent thereto, if, it is determined that should The set meal that user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition.

3. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that also include the set meal type in each described set meal type information In unit price in the set meal of at least one packaged service that includes；The business of each user that the server will be calculated Expense price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is matched, and determines whether the user possesses the maintenance gear Set meal is transferred the files condition, including：

If the highest price shelves in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type of user's signing,：

The server judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business corresponding with the set meal type of the signing The set meal in unit price the package price and value price shelves whether adjacent more than highest price shelves that determine of product Corresponding price；If, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition.

4. method according to claim 3, it is characterised in that the industry of each user that the server will be calculated Business expense price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is matched, and determines whether the user possesses the maintenance gear Set meal transfer the files condition, including：

If except minimum price shelves and highest price shelves in each price shelves belonging to the set meal type of user's signing The first price shelves, then：

The server judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business corresponding with the set meal type of the signing The set meal in unit price product determine package price and value whether more than price shelves less than first price shelves The adjacent corresponding price of price shelves；And it is not more than the corresponding price of the first price shelves simultaneously；If, it is determined that the user The set meal for possessing the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition；Or,

The server judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business more than in the set meal type of the signing Comprising the packaged service specified portfolio the outer unit price of difference portfolio and the set meal the set meal that determines of product outside Price and value whether be more than 0, and less than first price shelves and higher than first price shelves adjacent price shelves between Price difference；If, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition.

5. method according to claim 1, it is characterised in that the industry of each user that the server will be calculated Business expense price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is matched, and determines whether the user possesses the set of the upshift Meal is transferred the files condition, including：

For each second price shelves of the price shelves belonging to the set meal type higher than the signing, the server judges institute State user and use the packaged service included in the set meal type of the actual volume more than the signing of each business Whether the outer price of the set meal and value that the difference portfolio of specified portfolio determines with the product of the outer unit price of the set meal is more than institute State the second price shelves and the signing set meal type belonging to price shelves between difference price, and no more than described signing set Meal type belonging to price shelves with price shelves be higher than second price shelves adjacent price shelves between difference price, if Be, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses the upshift is transferred the files condition, and upshift class for second price shelves with it is described The class difference between price shelves belonging to the set meal type of signing.

6. method according to claim 3, it is characterised in that each user's that the server will be calculated Functional expenses price corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides is matched, and determines whether the user possesses the downshift Set meal is transferred the files condition, including：

For each the 3rd price shelves of the price shelves belonging to the set meal type less than the signing, the server judges institute User is stated to multiply using unit price in the actual volume of each business and the corresponding set meal of the set meal type of the signing The price corresponding with the whether no more than described 3rd price shelves of value of the package price that product determines, and be less than institute more than price shelves State the corresponding price of adjacent price shelves of the 3rd price shelves；If, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses the downshift is transferred the files bar Part, and the class of downshift is poor class between the price shelves belonging to the set meal type of the 3rd price shelves and the signing Value.

7. the method according to claim any one of 1-6, it is characterised in that at least one included in the set meal type Packaged service is at least one business in flow, call and short message.

8. a kind of server, it is characterised in that including：

Acquisition module, for obtaining the actual volume of multiple users and the set meal type letter of each user signing in the fixed period Breath, each described set meal type information include the specified portfolio of at least one packaged service included in the set meal type with Price shelves belonging to the set meal type；

Computing module, in actual volume, the set meal type of signing of extracting each user in the multiple user Comprising at least one packaged service specified portfolio and the set meal type belonging to price shelves calculate the business of the user Expense；Wherein, for the portfolio in the actual volume of the user beyond the specified portfolio, the server presses it The outer unit price of the set meal of the corresponding packaged service carries out expense calculating to it；

Determining module, the functional expenses of each user for that will be calculated are corresponding with each price shelves that operator provides Price matched, determine whether the user possesses set meal and transfer the files condition；

Processing module, for each price shelves to be descended in the user of the identical set meal type of signing, in identical type of transferring the files Meet the transfer the files lower total number of users purpose ratio of number of users and the price shelves of condition of the set meal and be defined as prediction user at this Probability of transferring the files when being transferred the files for the type of transferring the files in the set meal type under price shelves；

Prediction module, for probability and the use of being transferred the files according to each set meal type in the described fixed period for determining is corresponding The set meal type information of family currently signing, user is for each set meal under each price shelves in prediction future time section Type carries out the situation that set meal is transferred the files；

Wherein, the type of transferring the files includes maintaining gear, upshift and downshifts；The determining module includes：

First determining unit, the functional expenses and each price grade of operator's offer of each user for that will be calculated Corresponding price is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition；

Second determining unit, the functional expenses and each price grade of operator's offer of each user for that will be calculated Corresponding price is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses the upshift is transferred the files condition；

3rd determining unit, the functional expenses and each price grade of operator's offer of each user for that will be calculated Corresponding price is matched, and determines that the set meal whether user possesses the downshift is transferred the files condition.

9. server according to claim 8, it is characterised in that first determining unit specifically for,

First determining unit judges that whether the user uses the actual volume of each business no more than the label The specified portfolio of the packaged service included in set meal type about；If, it is determined that the user possesses the maintenance shelves The set meal of position is transferred the files condition；Or,

First determining unit judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business more than the set meal of the signing The difference portfolio of the specified portfolio of the packaged service included in type determines with the product of the outer unit price of the set meal The outer price of set meal and value whether be not more than price difference between the minimum price shelves price shelves adjacent thereto, if so, then Determine that the set meal that the user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition.

10. server according to claim 8, it is characterised in that also include the set in each described set meal type information Unit price in the set meal of at least one packaged service included in meal type；First determining unit also particularly useful for,

First determining unit judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business and the set meal class of the signing Whether the package price and value of the product determination of unit price is adjacent more than highest price shelves in the corresponding set meal of type The corresponding price of price shelves；If, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition.

11. servers according to claim 10, it is characterised in that first determining unit also particularly useful for,

First determining unit judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business and the set meal class of the signing Whether the package price and value of the product determination of unit price is more than price shelves less than first valency in the corresponding set meal of type The adjacent corresponding price of price shelves of position shelves；And it is not more than the corresponding price of the first price shelves simultaneously；If, it is determined that The set meal that the user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition；Or,

First determining unit judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business more than the set meal of the signing The difference portfolio of the specified portfolio of the packaged service included in type determines with the product of the outer unit price of the set meal The outer price of set meal and value whether be more than 0, and less than first price shelves and the phase neighboring valency higher than first price grade Price difference between the shelves of position；If, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses the maintenance gear is transferred the files condition.

12. servers according to claim 8, it is characterised in that

Second determining unit, specifically for for the price shelves belonging to the set meal type higher than the signing each the Two prices shelves, second determining unit judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business more than the signing The difference portfolio of the specified portfolio of the packaged service included in set meal type is true with the product of the outer unit price of the set meal The outer price of fixed set meal and value whether more than between the price shelves belonging to second price shelves and the set meal type of the signing Difference price, and belonging to the set meal type of no more than described signing price shelves with price shelves be higher than second price shelves Adjacent price shelves between difference price, if, it is determined that the set meal that the user possesses the upshift is transferred the files condition, and upshift Class be class difference between the price shelves belonging to the set meal type of second price shelves and the signing.

13. servers according to claim 10, it is characterised in that

3rd determining unit, specifically for for the price shelves belonging to the set meal type less than the signing each the Three prices shelves, the 3rd determining unit judges that the user uses the actual volume of each business and the set of the signing Whether the package price and value that the product of unit price determines in the corresponding set meal of meal type is not more than the 3rd price shelves Corresponding price, and be the corresponding price of adjacent price shelves less than the 3rd price shelves more than price shelves；If, it is determined that The set meal that the user possesses the downshift is transferred the files condition, and downshift class be the 3rd price shelves and the signing set meal The class difference between price shelves belonging to type.

14. server according to claim any one of 8-13, it is characterised in that included at least in the set meal type One packaged service is at least one business in flow, call and short message.