一种选择污染物治理措施的方法A method of selecting pollutant treatment measures
技术领域Technical field
本发明涉及一种选择环境污染治理措施的方法,属于环境治理领域。The invention relates to a method for selecting environmental pollution control measures, and belongs to the field of environmental control.
背景技术Background technique
2016年新大气法设立了城市空气质量限期达标机制,城市成为空气质量改善的主体,然而目前我国仍有64%以上的城市没有实现空气质量达标,大气污染防治形势依然严峻。随着我国大气污染防治的不断深入,许多治理工作都进入深水区,政策制定和执行的难度都将会不断升级,对城市空气质量的精细化管理要求将越来越高,因此以城市为单元的定制化措施需求也越来越迫切。In 2016, the new atmospheric law established a mechanism for meeting air quality standards within a time limit, and cities have become the main body of air quality improvement. However, at present, more than 64% of cities in my country still have not achieved air quality standards, and the situation of air pollution prevention and control is still severe. With the continuous deepening of air pollution prevention and control in my country, many governance works have entered deep water areas, and the difficulty of policy formulation and implementation will continue to escalate. The requirements for refined management of urban air quality will become higher and higher, so the city is the unit The demand for customized measures is becoming more and more urgent.
目前,“底数不清”的状况是制约我国大气污染防治工作的重要瓶颈。很多城市的决策者对主要污染物排放总量、时空分布、行业贡献、减排潜力等信息掌握不足,在选择大气污染防治相关措施时,脱离当地实际情况,缺乏有效的科学支撑,措施不能与当地实际的空气污染状况想匹配,难以实现精准治霾。At present, the status of "unclear numbers" is an important bottleneck restricting my country's air pollution prevention and control work. Decision makers in many cities do not have sufficient information on the total emissions of major pollutants, their temporal and spatial distribution, industry contributions, and emission reduction potentials. When choosing air pollution prevention and control measures, they are out of local conditions and lack effective scientific support. To match the actual local air pollution situation, it is difficult to achieve precise haze control.
目前已有一些控制质量预报和评估系统,用于给相关决策人员提供建议,如CMAQ(Community Multi-scale Air Quality),CMAQ是美国环保署(EPA)在拉格朗日轨迹模型和欧拉网格模型后提出的第三代空气质量预报和评估系统,该模型是在“一个大气”理论的指导下,以中尺度气象模式和SMOKE(Spare Matrix Operator Kerenl Emission)等源排放模型为依托,考虑了大气污染过程中水平传输、垂直传输、扩散过程、源排放、化学反应和去除过程等对污染物浓度的影响,将复杂空气污染状况进行综合处理。模型可模拟平流传输、湍流扩散、气相化学反应、气溶胶动力学、排放过程、沉降过程、云过程和液相过程,可用于评价大气中细颗粒物、对流层臭氧、气溶胶以及酸沉降污染水平。但是该系统主要用于空气质量预报,对措施选择有一定参考,但没有行程系统化的评估方式。At present, there are some control quality forecasting and evaluation systems that are used to provide suggestions to relevant decision-makers, such as CMAQ (Community Multi-scale Air Quality), CMAQ is the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Lagrangian trajectory model and Euler. The third-generation air quality forecasting and assessment system proposed after the grid model. This model is guided by the "one atmosphere" theory, based on the mesoscale meteorological model and SMOKE (Spare Matrix Operator Kerenl Emission) and other source emission models. The influence of horizontal transmission, vertical transmission, diffusion process, source emission, chemical reaction and removal process on the concentration of pollutants in the air pollution process is comprehensively treated. The model can simulate advection, turbulent diffusion, gas-phase chemical reaction, aerosol dynamics, emission process, sedimentation process, cloud process and liquid phase process, and can be used to evaluate the level of fine particulate matter, tropospheric ozone, aerosol and acid deposition pollution in the atmosphere. However, this system is mainly used for air quality forecasting and has certain reference to the selection of measures, but there is no systematic evaluation method for itineraries.
CMAx(Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions)模型同样是欧拉型化学传输模型,在“一个大气”理念的指导下考虑气-液-固多相化学机制,利用气象场模拟结果,通过SMOKE源排放模型对源排放清单进行处理,最后CAMx模型对污染物浓度进行模拟,与models3-CMAQ模型不同的是CAMx模型具有双向嵌套的网格结构,可以多重网格同时进行计算,在时间范围和空间范围内模拟的更精细。CAMx还包括多种分析工具如臭氧来源解析技术(OSAT)、颗粒物来源追踪技术(PAST)、网格烟羽模块(PiG)等。CAMx工具同样主要是用于污染预测,并辅助一些污染来源解析工具,也不能有效的选择污染治理的措施。The CMAx (Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions) model is also an Euler-type chemical transport model. Under the guidance of the "one atmosphere" concept, the gas-liquid-solid multiphase chemical mechanism is considered, and the meteorological field simulation results are used to pass the SMOKE source emission model The source emission inventory is processed, and finally the CAMx model simulates the pollutant concentration. The difference from the models3-CMAQ model is that the CAMx model has a two-way nested grid structure, which can be calculated in multiple grids at the same time, in the time range and space range. The internal simulation is more refined. CAMx also includes a variety of analysis tools such as ozone source analysis technology (OSAT), particulate matter source tracking technology (PAST), grid plume module (PiG), etc. The CAMx tool is also mainly used for pollution prediction, and to assist some pollution source analysis tools, and it cannot effectively select pollution control measures.
WRF-Chem(Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry)模型也是大气环境治理领域常用的技术,该模型的气象模式和化学传输模块使用相同的格点、时间步长、传输方案和物理方案,避免因差值等造成的误差,同时二者为同步计算,在时间和空间分辨率上完成耦合,实现真正的在线传输,从而完成对太阳辐射、大气动力和气溶胶化学等多过程的耦合和反馈。WRF-Chem可以对大气质量进行预测,也同样无法高效科学的选择污染治理措施。The WRF-Chem (Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry) model is also a commonly used technology in the field of atmospheric environmental governance. The weather mode and chemical transmission module of this model use the same grid point, time step, transmission scheme and physical scheme to avoid The errors caused by the difference, etc., at the same time, the two are calculated synchronously, and they are coupled in time and space resolution to achieve true online transmission, thereby completing the coupling and feedback of multiple processes such as solar radiation, atmospheric dynamics and aerosol chemistry. WRF-Chem can predict air quality, but also cannot efficiently and scientifically select pollution control measures.
以上这些用于治理措施的技术,主要用于预测空气质量,不能根据污染特征针对性的为决策者选择合适的措施或措施组合。使用这些技术需要运用复杂的数学、物理以及化学模型,需要专业的工作人员来进行实施,一次预测过程还需要使用专用的大型计算机,耗时长成本高。The above technologies used for control measures are mainly used to predict air quality, and cannot be targeted to select appropriate measures or combination of measures for decision makers based on pollution characteristics. The use of these technologies requires the use of complex mathematics, physics, and chemical models, and requires professional staff to implement them. A large-scale computer is required for a prediction process, which is time-consuming and costly.
用于污染措施选取的相关论文也比较少,最相关的一篇是【深圳交通拥堵综合治理的模式选择及策略措施】,出自2016年中国城市交通规划年会论文集,这篇论文主要介绍的是在交通治理方面的模式选择及策略措施的方法,该方法首先进行调研,收集其他的治理方法,经过人为的评估最后制定并决策出交通拥堵治理策略措施,并没有量化的选取指标,以及科学的论证方法。There are also relatively few related papers for the selection of pollution measures. The most relevant one is [Model selection and strategic measures for comprehensive management of traffic congestion in Shenzhen], from the 2016 China Urban Transport Planning Annual Conference Proceedings. This paper mainly introduces It is a method of model selection and strategic measures in traffic governance. This method first conducts investigations, collects other governance methods, and finally formulates and decides traffic congestion control strategies and measures after human evaluation. There are no quantitative indicators for selection, and science Method of argumentation.
在相关专利方面,没有检索到用于污染治理措施选择的方法专利。In terms of related patents, no method patents for the selection of pollution control measures have been retrieved.
因此根据我们的检索,对目前的大气污染治理措施的选取问题上,主要依靠人工的经验进行,没有一个科学的、高效的技术手段对相关的污染治理措施进行评估和选取。Therefore, according to our search, the current selection of air pollution control measures mainly relies on manual experience, and there is no scientific and efficient technical means to evaluate and select relevant pollution control measures.
发明内容Summary of the invention
相关术语Related terms
排放清单编号i:i=1,2,3,4…….,代表排放清单中的类别编号,如道路移动源、非道路移动源、扬尘源、工业源等。Emission inventory number i: i=1,2,3,4……., representing the category number in the emission inventory, such as road mobile sources, non-road mobile sources, dust sources, industrial sources, etc.
排放清单编号(i)示例表Example table of emission inventory number (i)
i值i value
|
11
|
22
|
33
|
44
|
污染源类别Pollution source category
|
道路移动源Road movement source
|
非道路移动源Non-road mobile source
|
扬尘源Dust source
|
工业源Industrial source
|
措施清单编号j:j=A,B,C,D……代表措施编号,如升级发动机机车:柴油电动混合动力机车、飞机地面支持设备:电力替代燃料、岸基电力、洗煤List of measures number j: j = A, B, C, D...... represents the number of measures, such as upgrading engine locomotives: diesel-electric hybrid locomotives, aircraft ground support equipment: electric alternative fuels, shore-based electricity, coal washing
措施可以治理的污染物编号k:k=1,2,3,4…….,k值代表为该措施可以治理的污染物,如NO
X、PM
2.5、SO
2、O
3。
The number of pollutants that can be treated by the measure is k: k = 1, 2, 3, 4....... The value of k represents the pollutants that can be treated by the measure, such as NO X , PM 2.5 , SO 2 , and O 3 .
可治理的污染物编号(k)示例表Example table of treatable pollutant numbers (k)
k值 k value
|
11
|
22
|
33
|
44
|
措施Measures
|
NO
X
NO X
|
PM
2.5
PM 2.5
|
SO
2
SO 2
|
O
3
O 3
|
措施的特征编号α:α=1,2,3……代表措施的特征,如实施周期特征,资金需求特征。The feature number of the measure α: α=1, 2, 3...... Represents the feature of the measure, such as the implementation cycle feature and the capital demand feature.
措施类别权重W
i系数:W
i表示一类排放措施的权重系数,这个权重系数与污染物超标情况和来源构成有关,城市污染物超标率越高、措施库所对应排放源类别(措施库的分类与排放清单中排放源分类一致)在污染物来源构成中占比越大,对本权重系数贡献越大;如W
1为机动车污染治理措施权重,W
2为燃煤污染治理措施权重。
Measures category weights W i coefficients: W i represents the weight of a class of emissions measure the weight coefficient, the weight coefficient exceedances and pollutant source configuration, the higher urban pollutants exceeding the rate, source category (measures library action library corresponding The classification is consistent with the emission source classification in the emission inventory) The greater the proportion of the pollutant source composition, the greater the contribution to this weighting coefficient; for example, W 1 is the weight of vehicle pollution control measures, and W 2 is the weight of coal pollution control measures.
措施的污染物治理效果系数
表示措施j的对污染物k的治理效果。
The pollutant control effect coefficient of the measure Indicates the treatment effect of measure j on pollutant k.
措施的特征参数
措施特征参数
代表实施该措施所反映出的一些必要特点,如实施周期等、资金需求情况;α为措施的特征参数编号,如
可以为措施j的实施周期特征,
可以为措施j的资金需求特征。
Characteristic parameters of measures Measures characteristic parameters Represents some of the necessary features reflected in the implementation of the measure, such as the implementation cycle, etc., and funding requirements; α is the feature parameter number of the measure, such as It can be the characteristic of the implementation period of measure j, It can be the characteristic of the fund requirement of measure j.
排放源对污染物贡献系数
表示i类排放源对污染物k的贡献率。
Contribution factor of emission source to pollutant Indicates the contribution rate of type i emission sources to pollutant k.
F
j:措施评分的分数。
F j : The score of the measure score.
排放源中对应污染物排放量参数
表示i类排放源中污染物k的排放量。
Corresponding pollutant emission parameters in emission sources Indicates the emission amount of pollutant k in the i-type emission source.
污染物的排放量参数E
k:污染物k的排放量。
Pollutant discharge quantity parameter E k : the discharge quantity of pollutant k.
超标率ε
k:ε
k为污染物年均浓度监测值与国家标准中的污染物年均浓度限值的比值。
Exceeding rate ε k : ε k is the ratio of the annual average concentration of pollutants monitored to the national standard.
污染物浓度限值S
k:S
k表示国家空气质量标准中规定的空气污染物年均浓度限值。
Pollutant concentration limit Sk : Sk represents the annual average concentration limit of air pollutants specified in the national air quality standard.
污染物浓度监测值T
k:S
k表示空气污染物浓度的监测值。
Pollutant concentration monitoring value T k : Sk represents the monitoring value of air pollutant concentration.
根据ε
k值判断各污染物超标情况,不同的超标情况对应的不同的超标系数e
k。
According to the value of ε k, judge the excess of each pollutant, and different excesses correspond to different excess coefficients e k .
目前很多城市的决策者对主要污染物排放总量、时空分布、行业贡献、减排潜力等信息掌握不足,在选择大气污染防治相关措施时,脱离当地实际情况,缺乏有效的科学支撑,措施不能与当地实际的空气污染状况相匹配。At present, decision makers in many cities do not have sufficient information on the total emissions of major pollutants, temporal and spatial distribution, industry contributions, and emission reduction potentials. When selecting air pollution prevention and control measures, they are out of local conditions and lack effective scientific support. Match the actual local air pollution situation.
减少大气污染的措施目前已经基本完善,但是一个城市或者一片区域为了实现精准有效的治理雾霾,需要在有限的资源下对治理措施进行合理、高效、准确的选取,同时选取的措施需要满足一定的时间资源、成本限制。目前的措施选择方式主要依靠人工的经验进行,没有科学依据,容易造成决策失误,资源使用效率低下,不能有针对性的有效解决问题。虽然有一些措施制定的辅助手段,如大气污染预测模型等,但这些模型基本都是用于预测空气质量,不能直接帮助决策者进行空气污染治理措施的选取,起到的辅助作用较小,而且这些模型基本都需要超级计算机运行,需要高水平的专业人员操作,耗时长、成本高、操作难度大。综上所述,目前还没有一个科学的、系统的、便捷、高效的技术手段,用于相关的污染治理措施进行评估和选择。The measures to reduce air pollution have been basically completed. However, in order to achieve accurate and effective control of smog in a city or a region, it is necessary to select reasonable, efficient and accurate control measures with limited resources, and the selected measures need to meet certain requirements. Time resources and cost constraints. The current method of selection of measures mainly relies on manual experience. There is no scientific basis, and it is easy to cause mistakes in decision-making, inefficient use of resources, and unable to effectively solve problems in a targeted manner. Although there are some auxiliary methods for formulating measures, such as air pollution prediction models, these models are basically used to predict air quality and cannot directly help decision makers in the selection of air pollution control measures. They play a small auxiliary role. These models basically require supercomputers to run, require high-level professionals to operate, and are time-consuming, costly, and difficult to operate. In summary, there is currently no scientific, systematic, convenient and efficient technical means for evaluating and selecting relevant pollution control measures.
针对背景技术中对污染治理措施选取方式的不足,本发明提供了一种高效、快速、便捷、科学的空气污染治理措施选择方法。该方法是一种根据城市空气污染特征为城市优选空气污染防治措施的动态选择方法。该方法依据城市PM
2.5、O
3、SO
2、NO
2等污染物浓度超标率和其相对应的排放来源构成(根据排放清单得出)对空气污染治理措施进行选取,通过为措施库中各措施进行评分,根据分数大小为各城市优选适应其空气质量现状的措施。
Aiming at the deficiencies in the selection of pollution control measures in the background technology, the present invention provides an efficient, fast, convenient and scientific method for selecting air pollution control measures. The method is a dynamic selection method that optimizes air pollution prevention and control measures for cities according to the characteristics of urban air pollution. This method selects air pollution control measures based on the excessive concentration rate of urban PM 2.5 , O 3 , SO 2 and NO 2 pollutants and their corresponding emission source composition (derived from the emission inventory). The measures are scored, and the measures that adapt to the current air quality of each city are selected according to the size of the score.
本发明所提供的空气污染治理措施选择方法可帮助决策者根据当地空气污染特征,科学的评判各项治理措施的适用性、有效性,进而有针对性的解决当地空气污染问题。该发明提供的空气污染治理措施选择方法一方面避免了依靠经验进行选择所带来的盲目性、低效性,提高了科学性、针对性;一方面与各大气污染预测模型等辅助手段相比,简单、高效、成本低、无需高级专业人员操作,可使决策者相对较快速地选择与当地实际情况相适宜的空气污染治理措施,提高措施选择效率。The method for selecting air pollution control measures provided by the present invention can help decision-makers to scientifically judge the applicability and effectiveness of various control measures based on local air pollution characteristics, and thereby solve local air pollution problems in a targeted manner. The method for selecting air pollution control measures provided by the invention avoids the blindness and inefficiency caused by the selection based on experience, and improves the science and pertinence; on the other hand, it is compared with auxiliary methods such as various air pollution prediction models. , It is simple, efficient, low cost, and does not require senior professionals to operate. It enables decision-makers to relatively quickly select air pollution control measures suitable for local conditions and improve the efficiency of measure selection.
本发明是一种根据城市空气污染特征为城市优选空气污染防治措施的动态选择方法。措施选取的基本依据是城市PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2的浓度超标率和其相对应的排放来源构成(根据排放清单得出)。该方法可通过为措施库中各措施进行评分,根据分数大小为各城市优选适应其空气质量现状的措施。
The present invention is a dynamic selection method for optimizing air pollution prevention and control measures for cities according to the characteristics of urban air pollution. The basic basis for the selection of measures is the rate of urban PM 2.5 , SO 2 , NO 2 concentration exceeding the standard and the corresponding emission source composition (based on the emission inventory). This method can be used to score each measure in the measure library, and according to the size of the score, the measures that are adapted to the current air quality of each city can be selected.
具体的选取流程包括建立措施库、分析污染物监测数据超标情况、分析污染物来源构成、计算措施权重、计算措施评分、选取措施。The specific selection process includes establishing a measure database, analyzing pollutant monitoring data exceeding the standard, analyzing the composition of pollutants, calculating the weight of the measure, calculating the score of the measure, and selecting the measure.
需要建立当地的空气污染治理措施库并按照当地污染物排放清单排放源的分类方法,根据措施本身的适用范围进行分类,形成不同类别的措施库。措施库中每项措施有针对各项污染物的去除适用性系数;措施的污染物治理效果系数用来描述某项措施是否适用于去除某项污染物,具体值根据措施对污染物的去除效率确定。It is necessary to establish a local air pollution control measure library and to classify the measures according to the scope of application of the local pollutant emission inventory according to the classification method of the local pollutant emission inventory to form different types of measure libraries. Each measure in the measure library has a removal applicability coefficient for each pollutant; the pollutant treatment effect coefficient of a measure is used to describe whether a measure is suitable for removing a certain pollutant, and the specific value is based on the removal efficiency of the pollutant. determine.
需要分析污染物监测数据超标情况,可以根据相应的环境空气质量标准来计算污染物浓度的超标率,根据超标情况确定不同的超标系数。It is necessary to analyze the excess of pollutant monitoring data, calculate the excess rate of pollutant concentration according to the corresponding ambient air quality standards, and determine different excess coefficients according to the excess.
需要分析污染物来源构成,根据城市各污染物的排放清单分析各污染物(如PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2)的排放来源构成。污染物排放清单指各种排放源在一定时间跨度和空间区域内向大气中排放的大气污染物的量的集合。根据排放清单计算得出各排放源对各污染物的贡献率。
It is necessary to analyze the source composition of pollutants, and analyze the source composition of pollutants (such as PM 2.5 , SO 2 , NO 2 ) according to the city's pollutant emission inventory. Pollutant emission inventory refers to the collection of the amount of air pollutants discharged into the atmosphere by various emission sources in a certain time span and space area. The contribution rate of each emission source to each pollutant is calculated according to the emission inventory.
根据各污染物的超标情况及来源构成为措施库中各措施类别分配不同权重。According to the over-standard situation and source composition of each pollutant, different weights are assigned to each measure category in the measure library.
根据各措施类别权重、污染物超标情况、措施的污染物去除效果系数计算各措施的评分,并根据评分按照一定的选择办法选取最优的措施。最简便的选择办法可以是评分排名的方法。Calculate the score of each measure according to the weight of each measure category, the pollutant excess status, and the pollutant removal effect coefficient of the measure, and select the best measure according to the score according to a certain selection method. The easiest way to choose is to score and rank.
本方法还可以用于水污染、温室气体污染治理,相应的所需治理污染物为水污染的污染物或者温室气体污染物;治理措施为对应的水污染、温室气体治理措施即可。This method can also be used for water pollution and greenhouse gas pollution treatment, and the corresponding required treatment pollutants are water pollution pollutants or greenhouse gas pollutants; the treatment measures can be corresponding water pollution and greenhouse gas treatment measures.
建立措施库Establish a measure library
措施库是所有可治理环境污染的有效措施(如:机动车加装DPF、燃煤电厂超低排放改造、清洁取暖等)的清单库。措施库中的措施按照城市、地理位置区域污染物排放清单排放源的分类方法,根据措施本身的适用范围进行分类,措施库的类别与排放清单中污染源的类别一致,形成不同类别的措施库,如工业源、道路移动源、非道路移动源、扬尘源、VOC相关源、火电厂、天然源等类别的措施。The measure library is the inventory library of all effective measures that can control environmental pollution (such as installing DPF on motor vehicles, ultra-low emission transformation of coal-fired power plants, clean heating, etc.). The measures in the measure library are classified according to the classification method of the emission source of the pollutant emission inventory of the city and geographical location, and are classified according to the scope of application of the measure. The category of the measure library is consistent with the category of the pollution source in the emission inventory, forming different types of measure libraries. Such as industrial sources, road mobile sources, non-road mobile sources, dust sources, VOC-related sources, thermal power plants, natural sources and other categories of measures.
措施库中每项措施有针对各项污染物的措施的污染物治理效果系数,措施的污染物治理效果系数用来描述某项措施是否适用于去除某项污染物。措施的污染物治理效果系数可以直接由措施清单而来(如美国EPA措施清单);或者措施的污染物治理效果系数可以由措施的处理效果对应转化而来,取值范围为(0,1)。Each measure in the measure library has a pollutant control effect coefficient for each pollutant. The pollutant control effect coefficient of a measure is used to describe whether a certain measure is suitable for removing a certain pollutant. The pollutant control effect coefficient of a measure can be directly derived from the list of measures (such as the US EPA measure list); or the pollutant control effect coefficient of a measure can be correspondingly transformed from the treatment effect of the measure, and the value range is (0, 1) .
措施的处理效果对应表Correspondence table of treatment effect of measures
措施对污染物的实际去除效率The actual removal efficiency of pollutants by the measures
|
措施的污染物治理效果系数The pollutant control effect coefficient of the measure
|
0%-25%0%-25%
|
00
|
26%-75%26%-75%
|
0.50.5
|
76%-100%76%-100%
|
11
|
措施的污染物治理效果系数表格示例表Example table of the pollutant control effect coefficient table of the measures
如污染物1可以为NO
X,污染物2可以为PM
2.5,污染物3可以为SO2;污染物编号可以根据城市的情况进行编辑选择。
The contaminant may be a NO X, 2 contaminant may be a PM 2.5, 3 may be of SO2 contaminant; contaminant selected according to the numbers can be edited in cities.
分析城市空气质量监测数据超标情况Analysis of urban air quality monitoring data exceeding standards
分析空气污染物超标率:根据空气污染物监测情况与空气质量标准得到各污染物超标率,空气质量标准可以为国标GB3095-2012、地方空气质量标准、国际空气质量标准等。Analyze the excess rate of air pollutants: According to the monitoring of air pollutants and air quality standards, the excess rate of each pollutant is obtained. The air quality standards can be the national standard GB3095-2012, local air quality standards, international air quality standards, etc.
污染物浓度限值S
k:S
k表示空气质量标准中规定的空气污染物年均浓度限值,PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2的分别为浓度限值。
Pollutant concentration limit S k : Sk represents the annual average concentration limit of air pollutants specified in the air quality standards, and PM 2.5 , SO 2 , and NO 2 are the concentration limits respectively.
污染物浓度监测值T
k:T
k表示空气污染物浓度的监测值,T
PM2.5、T
SO2、T
NO2、T
O3分别为PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2、O
3的浓度监测值(PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2可以为年均浓度监测值;如果选择O
3,O
3可以为日最大8小时滑动平均值的第90百分位数)根据环境空气质量标准计算PM
2.5、O
3、SO
2、NO
2的浓度超标率,计算方法如下。
Pollutant concentration monitoring value T k : T k represents the monitoring value of air pollutant concentration, T PM2.5 , T SO2 , T NO2 , and T O3 are the concentration monitoring values of PM 2.5 , SO 2 , NO 2 , and O 3 respectively ( PM 2.5 , SO 2 , and NO 2 can be the annual average concentration monitoring values; if O 3 is selected, O 3 can be the 90th percentile of the daily maximum 8-hour moving average) Calculate PM 2.5 and O according to ambient air quality standards 3. The over-standard rate of SO 2 and NO 2 concentration is calculated as follows.
ε
k为污染物年均浓度监测值与国家标准中的污染物年均浓度限值的比值,各污染物浓度限值可以由我国家标准而得,还可以由别的空气质量标准而来,如下表。
ε k is the ratio of the pollutant annual average concentration monitoring value to the annual average pollutant concentration limit in the national standard. The concentration limit of each pollutant can be derived from our national standard or other air quality standards. See the table below.
中国空气污染物浓度国家标准限制表China National Air Pollutant Concentration Standard Limit Table
污染物Pollutants
|
统计指标Statistical indicators
|
国家标准National standard
|
PM
2.5
PM 2.5
|
年均浓度Annual average concentration
|
35μg/m
3
35μg/m 3
|
SO
2
SO 2
|
年均浓度Annual average concentration
|
60μg/m
3
60μg/m 3
|
NO
2
NO 2
|
年均浓度Annual average concentration
|
40μg/m
3
40μg/m 3
|
O
3
O 3
|
日最大8小时滑动平均值的第90百分位数The 90th percentile of the daily maximum 8-hour moving average
|
160μg/m
3
160μg/m 3
|
当计算得到ε
k后便可以判断各污染物超标情况,不同的超标情况对应的得到的超标系数e
k如下表,超标系数的对应方式可以根据当地的不同情况调整。
When ε k is calculated, it can be judged that each pollutant exceeds the standard. The corresponding excess coefficient e k corresponding to different excess conditions is as follows. The corresponding method of the excess coefficient can be adjusted according to different local conditions.
超标比例ε
k
Excess ratio ε k
|
超标情况判断Excessive judgment
|
超标系数e
k
Exceeding standard e k
|
0-10-1
|
不超标Not exceeding
|
00
|
1-1.21-1.2
|
轻微超标Slightly exceeded
|
11
|
1.2-1.51.2-1.5
|
中度超标Moderately exceeded
|
22
|
1.5-21.5-2
|
严重超标Severely exceeded
|
55
|
2以上2 or more
|
重度超标Severely exceeded
|
1010
|
当PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2的超标情况处于以下几种情况时,还可以对其监测值进行修正:
When PM 2.5 , SO 2 , NO 2 exceed the standards in the following situations, the monitoring values can also be corrected:
1)PM
2.5轻微超标,SO
2和NO
2至少有其一不超标且接近排放限值;
1) PM 2.5 slightly exceeds the standard, and at least one of SO 2 and NO 2 does not exceed the standard and is close to the emission limit;
2)PM
2.5不超标且接近排放限值,SO
2和NO
2至少有其一轻微超标;
2) PM 2.5 does not exceed the standard and is close to the emission limit, and at least one of SO 2 and NO 2 slightly exceeds the standard;
3)PM
2.5、SO
2和NO
2超标情况相同(各自的ε
k值相似);
3) PM 2.5 , SO 2 and NO 2 exceed the standard conditions are the same (the respective ε k values are similar);
修正方法如下:The correction method is as follows:
根据PM
2.5的源解析结果得到PM
2.5组成成分中硫酸盐质量百分比
与硝酸盐质量百分比
应用
与
对PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2的浓度监测值进行修正,得到其浓度的修正值(T′
k),修正方法如下:
The PM 2.5 source analysis result obtained percentage composition by mass of sulfate PM 2.5 And nitrate mass percentage application versus The concentration monitoring values of PM 2.5 , SO 2 , and NO 2 are corrected to obtain the corrected value (T′ k ) of the concentration. The correction method is as follows:
根据
重新计算
重新判断PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2的超标情况。
according to recalculate Re-judge the excess of PM 2.5 , SO 2 , and NO 2 .
分析来源构成Analysis of source composition
根据城市各污染物的排放清单分析各污染物(PM
2.5、O
3、SO
2、NO
2)的排放来源构成。污染物排放清单指各种排放源在一定时间跨度和空间区域内向大气中排放的大气污染物的量的集合。根据排放清单计算得出各排放源对各污染物的贡献率,具体计算方法如下:
Analyze the emission source composition of each pollutant (PM 2.5 , O 3 , SO 2 , NO 2 ) according to the emission inventory of various pollutants in the city. Pollutant emission inventory refers to the collection of the amount of air pollutants discharged into the atmosphere by various emission sources in a certain time span and space area. The contribution rate of each emission source to each pollutant is calculated according to the emission inventory. The specific calculation method is as follows:
排放源对污染物贡献系数
表示i类排放源对污染物k的贡献率。
Contribution factor of emission source to pollutant Indicates the contribution rate of type i emission sources to pollutant k.
排放源中对应污染物排放量参数
表示i类排放源中污染物k的排放量。
Corresponding pollutant emission parameters in emission sources Indicates the emission amount of pollutant k in the i-type emission source.
E
k:污染物的排放量参数E
k表示污染物k的排放量。
E k : Pollutant discharge quantity parameter E k represents the discharge quantity of pollutant k.
措施类别权重计算Measure category weight calculation
根据各污染物的超标情况及来源构成(贡献率)为措施库中各措施分配不同权重,权重计算方法如下:According to the excess of each pollutant and the source composition (contribution rate), different weights are assigned to each measure in the measure library. The weight calculation method is as follows:
进行措施初步筛选,可以选取ε
k大于1的污染物(即超标污染物)所对应的防治措施;
Preliminary screening of measures is carried out, and the control measures corresponding to pollutants with ε k greater than 1 (ie, pollutants exceeding the standard) can be selected;
根据超标污染物超标率和其排放清单中各污染源的比重分配超标污染物涉及到的各类措施库的权重,最终将各措施所涉及措施库的权重相加,即为各措施的权重,具体计算方法方法如下。According to the excess pollutants exceeding standard rate and the proportion of each pollution source in the emission inventory, the weights of the various measure libraries involved in the excess pollutants are allocated, and the weights of the measures involved in each measure are finally added together to obtain the weight of each measure. The calculation method is as follows.
W
i:i类措施库的权重。
W i : the weight of the i-type measure library.
i:超标污染物涉及到的措施库类别,即污染源类别。i: The category of the measure library involved in the excess pollutant, that is, the category of pollution source.
k:超标污染物名称。k: The name of the excessive pollutant.
i类排放源对污染物k的贡献率。
Contribution rate of type i emission sources to pollutant k.
有一些措施可同时应用在多种污染源防治中,因此同一种防治措施可同时出现在多个类别的措施库中,这类措施权重的计算需要将其在不同的措施类别中的权重都考虑进来,在评分中进行计算。There are some measures that can be applied to the prevention and control of multiple pollution sources at the same time, so the same prevention and control measures can appear in multiple categories of measure libraries at the same time. The calculation of the weight of such measures needs to take their weights in different categories into consideration. , Is calculated in the score.
结合基础数据和措施库进行措施分数计算Combine basic data and measure database to calculate measure score
措施的评价根据评分公式进行,措施的评分公式如下。The evaluation of measures is carried out according to the scoring formula, which is as follows.
F
j:措施评分
F j : measure score
例如:E.g:
上述公式代表1类措施库中措施A的分数情况。The above formula represents the scores of measure A in the category 1 measure library.
措施选择方式Choice of measures
根据上述公式计算每项措施的评分F
j,之后根据F
j选择适用的措施。具体选择办法有以下两种,即分数直接排名法与阈值筛选法。
Calculate the score F j of each measure according to the above formula, and then select the applicable measure according to F j . There are two specific selection methods, namely, the score direct ranking method and the threshold screening method.
直接排名法Direct ranking method
将各措施按照其评分F
j大小进行排列,F
j越大,措施排名越靠前,最终选取排名前10%的措施。
Arrange the measures according to their score F j . The larger the F j , the higher the ranking of the measures. Finally, the top 10% measures are selected.
例如:总共有10项措施,这些措施的评分F
j及排名情况见下表:
For example: There are a total of 10 measures. The scores F j and rankings of these measures are shown in the following table:
措施Measures
|
AA
|
BB
|
CC
|
DD
|
EE
|
FF
|
GG
|
HH
|
II
|
JJ
|
FF
|
F
A=10
F A =10
|
F
B=9
F B =9
|
F
B=8
F B =8
|
F
D=7
F D =7
|
F
E=6
F E = 6
|
F
F=5
F F =5
|
F
G=4
F G =4
|
F
H=3
F H =3
|
F
I=2
F I = 2
|
F
J=1
F J =1
|
排名 Rank
|
11
|
22
|
33
|
44
|
55
|
66
|
77
|
88
|
99
|
1010
|
根据上表,排名前10%的措施为排名第1的措施(10*10%=1),即措施A,最终选取措施A。According to the above table, the top 10% measures are the first measures (10*10%=1), that is, measure A, and measure A is finally selected.
阈值筛选法:选取最大的评分F
j,将0.5*F
j定为阈值,最终选取评分F
j大于阈值的措施。
Threshold screening method: select the largest score F j , set 0.5*F j as the threshold, and finally select the measure with the score F j greater than the threshold.
例如:总共有10项措施,这些措施的评分E
j见下表:
For example: There are 10 measures in total, and the scores E j of these measures are shown in the table below:
措施Measures
|
AA
|
BB
|
CC
|
DD
|
EE
|
FF
|
GG
|
HH
|
II
|
JJ
|
FF
|
F
A=10
F A =10
|
F
B=9
F B =9
|
F
B=8
F B =8
|
F
D=7
F D =7
|
F
E=6
F E = 6
|
F
F=5
F F =5
|
F
G=4
F G =4
|
F
H=3
F H =3
|
F
I=2
F I = 2
|
F
J=1
F J =1
|
根据上表,阈值=0.5*10=5,评分F
j大于5的措施有A、B、C、D、E,则最终选取措施A、B、C、D、E。
According to the above table, the threshold=0.5*10=5, and the measures with a score F j greater than 5 are A, B, C, D, E, and then the measures A, B, C, D, and E are finally selected.
阈值筛选法Threshold screening
通过直接排名法对措施进行初步筛选后,且初步筛选得出的措施数目大于1,综合考虑实际的资金预算与时间要求对措施进行二次筛选。After preliminary screening of the measures by the direct ranking method, and the number of measures obtained by the preliminary screening is greater than 1, the measures shall be screened again in consideration of the actual budget and time requirements.
当优先考虑时间要求时,即要求在一定时间范围内达到一定的处理效果时:根据每项措施的实施周期选择措施,选择实施周期小于或等于所要求时间范围的措施。When priority is given to time requirements, that is, when a certain treatment effect is required to be achieved within a certain time range: measures are selected according to the implementation period of each measure, and measures with an implementation period less than or equal to the required time range are selected.
当优先考虑资金预算时,即需用一定额度的资金费用达到一定的处理效果时:根据每项措施的资金成本选择措施,选择资金成本小于或等于资金预算值的措施。When the capital budget is prioritized, that is, when a certain amount of capital costs are needed to achieve a certain treatment effect: select measures based on the capital cost of each measure, and select the measure with the capital cost less than or equal to the capital budget value.
当综合考虑时间要求与资金预算时:根据措施的实施周期与资金成本对应用基本选择方法选择出来的措施的评分F
j进行修正,修正方法如下:
When considering the time requirements and capital budget: According to the implementation period and capital cost of the measures, the score F j of the measures selected by the basic selection method is revised, and the revision method is as follows:
修正后的措施评分
Revised measure score
措施的实施周期
Implementation cycle of measures
措施的资金成本
The capital cost of the measure
修正之后,剔除E′
j值最小的措施,剩下的措施即为最终优选出的措施。
After correction, removed 'j measures a minimum value E, the rest of the measures is the preferred final measures.
附图说明Description of the drawings
图1:措施选择基础方案流程示意图。Figure 1: Schematic diagram of the basic plan for the selection of measures.
图2:引入适用性条件改进的措施选择方案流程示意图。Figure 2: Schematic diagram of the process of introducing measures to improve applicability conditions.
图3:引入PM
2.5源解析修正改进的措施选择方案流程示意图。
Figure 3: Schematic diagram of the process of the selection of measures for the introduction of PM 2.5 source analysis correction improvement.
图4:结合适用条件和PM
2.5源解析修改进的措施选择方案流程示意图。
Figure 4: Schematic diagram of the flow of the measure selection plan combined with applicable conditions and PM 2.5 source analysis modification.
图5:甲城市PM
2.5源解析结果来源构成。
Figure 5: Source composition of PM 2.5 source analysis results in City A.
图6:甲城市SO
2源解析结果来源构成。
Figure 6: Source composition of SO 2 source analysis results in City A.
图7:甲城市NO
2源解析结果来源构成。
Figure 7: Source composition of NO 2 source analysis results in City A.
具体实施方式detailed description
实施例一Example one
应用上述的措施选择方法为甲城市筛选出最优的污染治理措施。甲城市空气质量监测结果如下表。Apply the above-mentioned measure selection method to screen out the best pollution control measures for City A. The air quality monitoring results of City A are as follows.
甲市各空气污染物浓度监测结果Monitoring results of air pollutant concentrations in City A
甲城市PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2、O
3的浓度超标率计算如下:
The over-standard rate of PM 2.5 , SO 2 , NO 2 , and O 3 concentration in City A is calculated as follows:
甲城市各空气污染物源解析结果如下表。The analysis results of air pollutants in city A are as follows.
甲城市污染物排放来源构成表Composition of Pollutant Emission Sources in City A
甲城市可用污染源防治措施如下表。The available pollution source prevention and control measures in City A are as follows.
甲城市可用污染源防治措施表List of available pollution source prevention measures in City A
由于SO2超标率小于1,说明该市SO2已达标,不需采取相关措施着重治理,因此在措施库中选取PM
2.5、NO
2所对应的防治措施。
Since the SO2 over-standard rate is less than 1, it shows that the city's SO2 has reached the standard and there is no need to take relevant measures to focus on governance. Therefore, the prevention and control measures corresponding to PM 2.5 and NO 2 are selected in the measure library.
各措施类别权重计算如下:The weight of each measure category is calculated as follows:
本实施例中的处理措施来自美国EPA清单,根据措施的处理效果对应得出每个措施的污染物去除适用性系数
如下:
The treatment measures in this example are from the US EPA list, and the pollutant removal applicability coefficient of each measure is corresponding to the treatment effect of the measure. as follows:
如,
代表措施1对污染物NO
x的去除适用性系数为1,即措施1非常适合去除污染物NO
x。
Such as, Removing Applicability coefficients represent a measure of pollutants of NO x is 1, i.e., a very suitable measure to remove contaminants NO x.
通过公式:By formula:
可以计算出每个措施j的评分情况如下表:The score of each measure j can be calculated as follows:
To
|
非道路移动源Non-road mobile source
|
道路移动源Road movement source
|
工业源Industrial source
|
火电厂Thermal power plant
|
其他+自然源Other + natural source
|
扬尘源Dust source
|
措施总分Measure total score
|
|
措施1Measure 1
|
0.60.6
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
0.60.6
|
措施2 Measure 2
|
0.10.1
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
0.10.1
|
措施3 Measure 3
|
0.60.6
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
0.60.6
|
措施4Measure 4
|
To
|
To
|
00
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
00
|
措施5Measure 5
|
To
|
To
|
0.13330.1333
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
0.13330.1333
|
措施6Measure 6
|
To
|
To
|
00
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
00
|
措施7Measure 7
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
00
|
To
|
To
|
00
|
措施8Measure 8
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
0.460.46
|
To
|
To
|
0.460.46
|
措施9Measure 9
|
To
|
4.34.3
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
4.34.3
|
措施10Measure 10
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
00
|
To
|
00
|
措施11 Measure 11
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
1.26651.2665
|
1.26651.2665
|
计算示例:Calculation example:
由于措施4、6、7的主要去除物为SO
2,而该实例中SO
2未超标,所以以上三个措施的最终评分为0;或者由于是治理SO
2的措施,SO
2在本案例中没有超标,相关SO
2措施不纳入考虑范围。由于措施10的四项污染物去除率不足25%,所以措施10对四项污染物的去除适应性系数均为0,也因此措施10的最终评分为0。
Was due mainly to remove SO 2 measures as 4,6,7, and SO 2 in this example is not exceeded, so the above three measures, the final score is 0; or measures to control because it is of SO 2, SO 2 in the present case If there is no excess, the relevant SO 2 measures are not taken into consideration. Since the removal rate of the four pollutants of Measure 10 is less than 25%, the removal adaptability coefficient of Measure 10 to the four pollutants is 0, so the final score of Measure 10 is 0.
实施例二Example two
应用上述的措施选择方法为甲城市筛选出最优的污染治理措施。甲城市空气质量监测结果如下表。Apply the above-mentioned measure selection method to screen out the best pollution control measures for City A. The air quality monitoring results of City A are as follows.
甲市各空气污染物浓度监测结果Monitoring results of air pollutant concentrations in City A
甲城市PM
2.5、SO
2、NO
2、O
3的浓度超标率计算如下:
The over-standard rate of PM 2.5 , SO 2 , NO 2 , and O 3 concentration in City A is calculated as follows:
甲城市各空气污染物源解析结果如下表。The analysis results of air pollutants in city A are as follows.
甲城市污染物排放来源构成表Composition of Pollutant Emission Sources in City A
甲城市可用污染源防治措施在选择中,同一种措施对有对多个污染源有治理效果,如下表。The available pollution source prevention and control measures in City A are in the selection, and the same measure has the effect of treating multiple pollution sources, as shown in the following table.
甲城市可用污染源防治措施表List of available pollution source prevention measures in City A
措施编号Measure number
|
措施名称Measure name
|
非道路移动源Non-road mobile source
|
道路移动源Road movement source
|
工业源Industrial source
|
火电厂 Thermal power plant
|
11
|
使用重组汽油(RFG)标准Use Recombinant Gasoline (RFG) standards
|
√√
|
√√
|
To
|
To
|
22
|
飞机地面支持设备:电力替代燃料Aircraft ground support equipment: electric alternative fuel
|
√√
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
33
|
柴油改造Diesel modification
|
√√
|
√√
|
To
|
To
|
44
|
洗煤coal washing
|
To
|
To
|
To
|
√√
|
55
|
低NOx燃烧器Low NOx burner
|
To
|
To
|
√√
|
√√
|
66
|
水泥窑:喷雾干燥器吸收器Cement kiln: spray dryer absorber
|
To
|
To
|
√√
|
To
|
77
|
ESP静电除尘器ESP electrostatic precipitator
|
To
|
To
|
√√
|
√√
|
本实施例中的处理措施来自美国EPA清单,根据措施的处理效果对应得出每个措施的污染物去除适用性系数
如下:
The treatment measures in this example are from the US EPA list, and the pollutant removal applicability coefficient of each measure is corresponding to the treatment effect of the measure. as follows:
各措施类别所占权重计算如下:The weight of each measure category is calculated as follows:
通过公式By formula
可以计算出每个措施j,在源解析i的领域的评分情况如下表:Each measure j can be calculated, and the score in the field of source analysis i is as follows:
措施评分结果表Measure score result table
To
|
非道路移动源Non-road mobile source
|
道路移动源Road movement source
|
工业源Industrial source
|
火电厂Thermal power plant
|
措施总分Measure total score
|
|
措施1Measure 1
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
措施2 Measure 2
|
0.10.1
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
0.10.1
|
措施3 Measure 3
|
0.050.05
|
0.430.43
|
00
|
00
|
0.480.48
|
措施4Measure 4
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
措施5Measure 5
|
00
|
00
|
0.13330.1333
|
0.230.23
|
0.36330.3633
|
措施6Measure 6
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
00
|
措施7Measure 7
|
00
|
00
|
1.3331.333
|
2.32.3
|
3.6333.633
|
由于措施4、6的主要去除物为SO
2,而该实例中SO
2未超标,所以以上三个措施的最终评分为0;或者由于是治理SO
2的措施,SO
2在本案例中没有超标,相关SO
2措施不纳入考虑范围。由于措施1的四项污染物去除率不足25%,所以措施1对四项污染物的去除适应性系数均为0,也因此措施1的最终评分为0。最终措施5的总得分最高,使用分数排名的方式,那么最终优选的是措施5.
Was due mainly to remove SO 2 to 4, 6 measures, and SO 2 in this example is not exceeded, so the above three measures, the final score is 0; or because the measures is SO 2 treatment, SO 2 is not exceeded in the present case , Related SO 2 measures are not taken into consideration. Since the removal rate of the four pollutants of Measure 1 is less than 25%, the removal adaptability coefficient of Measure 1 to the four pollutants is 0, so the final score of Measure 1 is 0. The final measure 5 has the highest total score. Using the score ranking method, then the final measure 5 is preferred.