WO2017010188A1 - Required quantity calculation device and required quantity calculation method - Google Patents

Required quantity calculation device and required quantity calculation method Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2017010188A1
WO2017010188A1 PCT/JP2016/066607 JP2016066607W WO2017010188A1 WO 2017010188 A1 WO2017010188 A1 WO 2017010188A1 JP 2016066607 W JP2016066607 W JP 2016066607W WO 2017010188 A1 WO2017010188 A1 WO 2017010188A1
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Prior art keywords
value
item
configuration information
required amount
specification value
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PCT/JP2016/066607
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French (fr)
Japanese (ja)
Inventor
三橋 正人
峻平 荒木
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三菱電機株式会社
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Application filed by 三菱電機株式会社 filed Critical 三菱電機株式会社
Priority to CN201680040936.4A priority Critical patent/CN107851287A/en
Priority to JP2017528326A priority patent/JP6452818B2/en
Publication of WO2017010188A1 publication Critical patent/WO2017010188A1/en

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    • BPERFORMING OPERATIONS; TRANSPORTING
    • B65CONVEYING; PACKING; STORING; HANDLING THIN OR FILAMENTARY MATERIAL
    • B65GTRANSPORT OR STORAGE DEVICES, e.g. CONVEYORS FOR LOADING OR TIPPING, SHOP CONVEYOR SYSTEMS OR PNEUMATIC TUBE CONVEYORS
    • B65G61/00Use of pick-up or transfer devices or of manipulators for stacking or de-stacking articles not otherwise provided for
    • GPHYSICS
    • G05CONTROLLING; REGULATING
    • G05BCONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS
    • G05B19/00Programme-control systems
    • G05B19/02Programme-control systems electric
    • G05B19/418Total factory control, i.e. centrally controlling a plurality of machines, e.g. direct or distributed numerical control [DNC], flexible manufacturing systems [FMS], integrated manufacturing systems [IMS] or computer integrated manufacturing [CIM]
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/10Office automation; Time management
    • GPHYSICS
    • G06COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q50/00Information and communication technology [ICT] specially adapted for implementation of business processes of specific business sectors, e.g. utilities or tourism
    • G06Q50/04Manufacturing
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02PCLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES IN THE PRODUCTION OR PROCESSING OF GOODS
    • Y02P90/00Enabling technologies with a potential contribution to greenhouse gas [GHG] emissions mitigation
    • Y02P90/02Total factory control, e.g. smart factories, flexible manufacturing systems [FMS] or integrated manufacturing systems [IMS]
    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y02TECHNOLOGIES OR APPLICATIONS FOR MITIGATION OR ADAPTATION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE
    • Y02PCLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES IN THE PRODUCTION OR PROCESSING OF GOODS
    • Y02P90/00Enabling technologies with a potential contribution to greenhouse gas [GHG] emissions mitigation
    • Y02P90/30Computing systems specially adapted for manufacturing

Definitions

  • the technology disclosed in this specification relates to a requirement calculation device and a requirement calculation method, and in particular, the requirement of parts constituting the product is determined in accordance with the specifications required in the order of the product produced by the order.
  • the present invention relates to a requirement calculation device and a requirement calculation method for calculating.
  • the requirement is calculated by using the information of the estimated order or the accuracy of the order (the accuracy of the actual order in the order information). For example, as disclosed in Patent Document 1 or Patent Document 2, appropriate parts are arranged and appropriate inventory management is performed.
  • a product to be manufactured is designed without depending on a custom unit that is designed and manufactured according to specifications required by a customer and specifications required by a customer. And can be divided into standard units for manufacturing. For custom-order units, the required amount is calculated after the order and design are confirmed, and further parts are arranged. In this way, proper inventory management can be realized.
  • Patent Document 1 and Patent Document 2 a shortage or defective inventory (excess inventory) occurs depending on the accuracy of the information on the expected order or the information on the order accuracy. Further, according to the method disclosed in Patent Document 3, parts are arranged after the order and the design are confirmed, so parts may not be arranged in time and a shortage may occur.
  • the technology disclosed in this specification is for solving the above-described problems, and suppresses shortage or excess inventory in response to specifications required in ordering of products produced by ordering.
  • the present invention relates to a requirement calculation apparatus and a requirement calculation method capable of calculating a requirement.
  • the required amount calculation apparatus related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and includes a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values.
  • a predicted value storage unit that stores a predicted value of the specification value determined in advance for each, and the required amount calculation unit refers to the configuration information for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input While The required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated, and the required amount of the part is calculated based on the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input. To
  • the required amount calculation method related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and is composed of a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values.
  • the specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order, and the type and the number of the parts constituting the product required for the specification value Configuration information that is information indicating the relationship is stored in the configuration information storage unit, the predicted value of the specification value predetermined for each item of the specification is stored in the predicted value storage unit, and the required amount calculation unit is Regarding the item of the specification to which the specification value is input, the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information, and the item of the specification to which the specification value is not input. , While referring to the configuration information, to calculate the required amount of the component based on the predicted value.
  • the required amount calculation apparatus related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and includes a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values.
  • a predicted value storage unit that stores a predicted value of the specification value determined in advance for each, and the required amount calculation unit refers to the configuration information for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input While The required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated, and the required amount of the part is calculated based on the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input. To
  • the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information.
  • the required amount of the component based on the predicted value is calculated while referring to the configuration information.
  • the required amount calculation method related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and is composed of a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values.
  • the specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order, and the type and the number of the parts constituting the product required for the specification value Configuration information that is information indicating the relationship is stored in the configuration information storage unit, the predicted value of the specification value predetermined for each item of the specification is stored in the predicted value storage unit, and the required amount calculation unit is Regarding the item of the specification to which the specification value is input, the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information, and the item of the specification to which the specification value is not input. , While referring to the configuration information, to calculate the required amount of the component based on the predicted value.
  • the required amount of parts is calculated for the corresponding specification item at the stage where the specification value is determined in the order, and only the specification item for which the specification value is not fixed in the order is based on the predicted value.
  • the required amount of parts can be calculated. Therefore, the proportion of calculation of the required amount of parts based on the predicted value can be reduced in accordance with the determined status of the specification value, and the required amount can be calculated while suppressing shortage or excess inventory.
  • FIG. 3 is a diagram schematically illustrating a hardware configuration when the required amount calculation apparatus illustrated in FIG. 2 is actually operated.
  • FIG. 3 is a diagram schematically illustrating a hardware configuration when the required amount calculation apparatus illustrated in FIG. 2 is actually operated.
  • FIG. 8 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified by the matrix in FIG. 7 is expressed by an actual configuration image.
  • FIG. 9 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified in FIG. 8 is represented by an actual configuration image.
  • the number of arrangements is calculated from the past results, the demand forecast or the order estimate, and the parts are ordered. Then, after the details of the order are finalized, a deletion process is performed. With this method, there may be a shortage due to unforeseen or defective inventory (excess inventory).
  • the product is divided into standard units and custom-made units, and the custom-made units arrange parts after the order details are finalized.
  • the custom-made units arrange parts after the order details are finalized.
  • This embodiment shown below is for individual orders according to specifications required by customers, and when the specifications of products that are required to be manufactured with relatively short delivery times are determined in stages. Suitable for parts arrangement and proper inventory management.
  • FIG. 1 is a diagram for explaining an outline of a required amount calculation method according to this embodiment.
  • the requirement calculation method first, specific specification values corresponding to a request from a customer are determined for a part of product specification items from which product information is extracted.
  • the specification value is the contents of the customer request determined for each item of the product specification, and the design requirement (stainless steel, color stainless steel, etc.) and the operation specification requirement (two-speed shift, This is a value indicating the presence or absence of a voice announcement or the like.
  • the type of component and the number of components necessary for the determined specification value are determined (component development).
  • a part is selected from the extracted part candidates based on the predicted value based on the demand prediction information, and the type of component and the number of components are determined.
  • the type of component and the number of components for the specification value requested by the customer are parameterized in advance. deep.
  • the specification value of the specification item is determined at the specification detailing stage after receiving an order
  • the type of component and the number of components are calculated based on the parameter of the determined specification value.
  • the specification value of the specification item is not fixed at the specification detailing stage after receiving an order
  • the type of component and the number of components are calculated based on the predicted value based on the demand prediction information.
  • the proportion of calculation of the types of component parts and the number of component parts by the demand forecast is gradually reduced in accordance with the ratio of the specification values determined at the stage of specification refinement after receiving an order. Therefore, the occurrence of defective stock (excess stock) or shortage can be reduced as compared with the conventional case.
  • FIG. 2 is a diagram conceptually illustrating a configuration for realizing the requirement calculation apparatus according to the present embodiment.
  • the requirement calculation device includes a requirement calculation unit 11, a calculation result output unit 12, a calculation result storage unit 13, a specification information storage unit 21, a product information storage unit 31, A configuration information storage unit 32 and a demand prediction information storage unit 42 are provided.
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 determines whether or not the specification value is determined for each specification item of the product to be produced by the order. Further, the required amount calculation unit 11 calculates a required amount that is a required amount of a part for each of the specification item for which the specification value is fixed and the specification item for which the specification value is not fixed.
  • the calculation result output unit 12 outputs the calculation result of the requirement in the requirement calculation unit 11.
  • the calculation result may be output to the inventory management system 50 that is an external system.
  • the stock management system 50 orders the material based on the calculation result of the required amount in the required amount calculation unit 11 to the material system 60 which is an external system, for example.
  • the material may be received based on the calculation result of the required amount in the amount calculation unit 11.
  • the calculation result storage unit 13 stores the calculation result of the required amount.
  • the specification information storage unit 21 stores, for example, a specification value registered in the negotiation system 20 that is an external system as a specification value requested by a customer.
  • the timing for acquiring the specification value from the business negotiation system 20 may be any time after the order is received. However, the earlier the timing for acquiring the specification value, the more time it can be taken to arrange the product and the shortage of the product can be suppressed. The later the time to acquire, the higher the proportion of specifications that have been confirmed, and a more reliable arrangement will be possible.
  • the product information storage unit 31 stores product information registered in the design system 30 that is an external system, for example.
  • the configuration information storage unit 32 stores configuration information registered in the design system 30 that is an external system, for example.
  • the demand prediction information storage part 42 memorize
  • 3 and 4 are diagrams schematically illustrating a hardware configuration when the required amount calculation apparatus illustrated in FIG. 2 is actually operated.
  • FIG. 3 as a hardware configuration for realizing the required amount calculation device in FIG. 2, information such as a processing circuit 102 a that performs calculation, a storage device 103 that can store information, and a display is output. An output device 105 is shown. These configurations are the same in other embodiments described later.
  • FIG. 4 shows a processing circuit 102b that performs an operation and an output device 105 that can output a signal, such as a display, as a hardware configuration for realizing the required amount calculation device in FIG.
  • the calculation result storage unit 13, the specification information storage unit 21, the product information storage unit 31, the configuration information storage unit 32, and the demand prediction information storage unit 42 are realized by the storage device 103 or another storage device.
  • the storage device 103 includes, for example, a hard disk (Hard disk drive, ie, HDD), random access memory (random access memory, ie, RAM), read only memory (read only memory, ie, ROM), flash memory, erasable programmable read only memory (ie, ROM). EPROM) and electrically erasable programmable read-only memory (EEPROM), etc., depending on memory (storage media) including volatile or non-volatile semiconductor memory, magnetic disk, flexible disk, optical disk, compact disk, mini disk, DVD, etc. Composed It composed of such as a memory (storage medium) containing Runado.
  • the processing circuit 102 a may execute a program stored in the storage device 103.
  • a central processing unit CPU
  • a microprocessor for example, a central processing unit (CPU), a microprocessor, a microcomputer, or a digital signal processor (DSP) may be used.
  • DSP digital signal processor
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 is realized by software, firmware, or a combination of software and firmware. Note that the function of the requirement calculation unit 11 may be realized, for example, by cooperation of a plurality of processing circuits.
  • Software and firmware may be described as programs and stored in the storage device 103.
  • the processing circuit 102a reads out and executes the program stored in the storage device 103, thereby realizing the above function. That is, the storage device 103 may store a program that, as a result, is executed by the processing circuit 102a, realizes the above functions.
  • processing circuit 102b may be dedicated hardware. That is, for example, a single circuit, a compound circuit, a programmed processor, a parallel programmed processor, an integrated circuit (application specific integrated circuit, that is, ASIC), a field-programmable gate array (FPGA), or a combination thereof. It may be.
  • ASIC application specific integrated circuit
  • FPGA field-programmable gate array
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 is realized by the processing circuit 102b operating.
  • the function of the requirement calculation unit 11 may be realized by a separate circuit or a single circuit.
  • the function of the requirement calculation unit 11 is realized in the processing circuit 102a that partially executes a program stored in the storage device 103, and partially in the processing circuit 102b that is dedicated hardware. It may be realized.
  • calculation result output unit 12 is realized by the output device 105.
  • FIG. 5 is a diagram exemplifying the contents of the specification values requested from the customer regarding each specification item stored in the specification information storage unit 21. As illustrated in FIG. 5, for a specific product, a specification value requested by a customer is registered for each specification item name.
  • the negotiation number is “0001”, and the model number of the target product is “product A”.
  • a specification code (for example, A001) is attached to each specification item name (for example, XXXX), and the required specification value (for example, 10 KG) in each specification item is replaced with the specification value code (for example, 10 KG). For example, it is registered together with 10).
  • the specification item name is a specification code
  • the specification value is a specification value code
  • FIG. 6 is a diagram illustrating the content of product information stored in the product information storage unit 31. As illustrated in FIG. 6, a model number (for example, product A) and a part number (for example, B10000) corresponding to the model number are registered as product information.
  • a model number for example, product A
  • a part number for example, B10000
  • FIGS. 7 and 8 are diagrams illustrating the contents of the configuration information stored in the configuration information storage unit 32.
  • FIG. As illustrated in FIGS. 7 and 8, a parent part number and a child part number are defined, respectively. Further, according to the specification value requested for the parent part, the type of necessary child parts (components) and the number of necessary child parts (components) are displayed in a table format. That is, the types of component parts and the number of component parts required corresponding to the specification values are shown as parameters.
  • the parameterization is, for example, illustrated in FIG. 7 in which the types of required component parts and the number of component parts are variably defined according to specification values.
  • the specification value code is an alphanumeric version of the specification value so that the computer can recognize it.
  • FIG. 14 is a diagram illustrating an example of the specification value code.
  • a specification code is attached to each specification item name, and a required specification value in each specification item, that is, a fixed specification value is registered together with the specification value code.
  • FIG. 15 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified by the matrix in FIG. 7 is expressed by an actual configuration image.
  • FIG. 16 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified by the matrix in FIG. 8 is expressed by an actual configuration image.
  • the child parts (component parts) whose parent part number is “B10000” have six parts whose child part numbers are “B11001”, “B12001”, “B13001”, “B00738”, “B00773”, and “B00657”. Defined. In the column defining the number of child parts, the number of necessary child parts is described numerically for each requested specification value code of each specification code.
  • the child parts (component parts) whose parent part number is “B12001” are child parts numbers “B00867”, “B00122”, and “B00382”.
  • One part is defined.
  • the number of necessary child parts is described numerically for each requested specification value code of each specification code.
  • FIG. 9 and 10 are diagrams illustrating the contents of the demand prediction information stored in the demand prediction information storage unit 42. As illustrated in FIG. 9, as the demand prediction information, a predicted number for each model number at a certain production time is registered. In the case of FIG. 9, “200 units” for product A, “50 units” for product B, and “50 units” for product C are registered as the predicted number of production in June 2015, for example.
  • the predicted value of the specification value that can be requested by the customer is registered as the demand prediction information for each specification code of each model number.
  • the probability required for “25%” is “25%”
  • the name of the specification item is automatically converted into a code that can be recognized by the sales system 40 as a specification code, and the specification value is stored as a specification value code.
  • FIG. 11 is a flowchart illustrating the operation of the requirement calculation apparatus according to this embodiment.
  • the model number is “product A”
  • the required amount calculation is performed for all the model numbers for which the required required amount is to be calculated.
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 extracts the predicted number of the target model number and the predicted value of the specification value of the target model number from the demand prediction information storage unit 42 (see step ST111).
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 receives from the specification information storage unit 21 a specification code corresponding to the specification item requested by the customer and a specification value code corresponding to the specification value requested by the customer in the specification item. Extract (see step ST112).
  • FIG. 12 is a diagram exemplifying the determination status of the specification value of the specification item in each negotiation when the model number is “Product A” after the steps ST111 and ST112.
  • the predicted number obtained from the demand prediction information in the demand prediction information storage unit 42 is “200”
  • an ID column up to the predicted number 200 is prepared for each prediction of the production number. The That is, the required amount is calculated until the predicted number is satisfied.
  • Each specification code obtained from the specification information storage unit 21 and a specification value code requested corresponding to the specification code are indicated for each predicted number of units.
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 uses the predicted value of the specification value of the model number (product A) to be obtained from the demand prediction information in the demand prediction information storage unit 42, and is a place that is blank as described above That is, a specification value code is set for a specification item for which a specification value is not set (see step ST113).
  • the system determines the specification value code by apportioning the total number of specification value codes that are indefinite within the same specification code by the prediction probability.
  • FIG. 13 is a diagram exemplifying the determination status of the specification value of the specification item in each business negotiation when the model number is “product A” after the above processing is performed.
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 tries to extract the first line of the calculation target and determines whether or not extraction is possible (see step ST114).
  • the calculation target head line cannot be extracted, that is, when the calculation target head line does not exist (corresponding to NO)
  • the calculation result output unit 12 calculates the required amount stored in the calculation result storage unit 13. Is output and the process ends.
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 extracts the first row (see step ST115).
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires a part number associated with the model number (product A) of one extracted record from the product information storage unit 31 (see step ST116).
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires configuration information from the configuration information storage unit 32 using the acquired part number as a parent part number. Then, the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires the type of component and the number of components for the specification value associated with the parent component number from the parameterized definition (see step ST117).
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 acquires configuration information from the configuration information storage unit 32 using the acquired child part number as the parent part number. Then, the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires the type of component and the number of components corresponding to the specification value associated with the parent component number from the parameterized definition. Then, the required amount calculation unit 11 multiplies the number of acquired child parts by the number of parent parts (the previously acquired child parts). The requirement calculation unit 11 repeatedly obtains the calculation result of the requirement until the child parts constituting the above processing cannot be acquired.
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 obtains the calculation result of the requirement already stored in the calculation result storage unit 13, and obtains the calculation result of the requirement obtained in the process of step ST117. Calculate the sum of the numbers of the same part number. Then, the requirement calculation unit 11 stores the updated calculation result of the requirement in the calculation result storage unit 13 (see step ST118).
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 deletes the record extracted as one record in the first row from the calculation target record (see step ST119). Then, the process returns to step ST114.
  • the required amount is calculated using the specification values, and for some specification items for which specification values have not been determined, predicted values based on demand forecast information.
  • the required amount can be efficiently calculated by determining the type of component and the number of components required according to the determined specification value based on the parameterized configuration information.
  • the requirement calculation device includes the requirement calculation unit 11, the configuration information storage unit 32, and the demand prediction information storage unit 42 corresponding to the predicted value storage unit.
  • Requirement calculation unit 11 calculates a required amount that is a required amount of a part constituting a product to be produced upon receipt of an order. Specifically, the required amount calculation unit 11 calculates the required amount of parts based on the specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order of the product.
  • the configuration information storage unit 32 stores configuration information, which is information indicating the relationship between the specification value and the type of component and the number of components required corresponding to the specification value.
  • the demand prediction information storage unit 42 stores a predicted value of a predetermined specification value for each specification item.
  • the required amount calculation unit 11 calculates the required amount of parts based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input. Further, the requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the component requirement based on the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input.
  • the required amount calculation apparatus includes the processing circuit 102a that executes the program and the storage device 103 that stores the program.
  • the required amount of parts based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device.
  • the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device is referred to, and the components based on the predicted values stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device are referred to. The requirements are calculated.
  • the required amount calculation apparatus includes the processing circuit 102b.
  • the processing circuit 102b performs the following operation.
  • the processing circuit 102b calculates the required amount of parts based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device for the specification item to which the specification value is input.
  • the processing circuit 102b refers to the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device for the specification item for which the specification value is not input, and the prediction stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device. Calculate part requirements based on values.
  • the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information.
  • the required amount of the component based on the predicted value is calculated while referring to the configuration information.
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the type of component and the number of components based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information for the specification item to which the specification value is input. . In addition, the requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the type of component and the number of components based on the predicted value with reference to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which no specification value is input.
  • the type and the number of parts are calculated for the corresponding specification item at the stage when the specification value is determined in the order, and only the specification item for which the specification value is not fixed in the order is predicted.
  • the type of part and the number of parts based on the value can be calculated. Therefore, the proportion of calculation of the required amount of parts based on the predicted value can be reduced in accordance with the determined status of the specification value, and the required amount can be calculated while suppressing shortage or excess inventory.
  • the configuration information is information obtained by parameterizing the relationship between the specification value and the type of component and the number of components required corresponding to the specification value.
  • the type of component and the number of components required according to the determined specification value can be obtained based on the parameterized configuration information. Therefore, the required amount can be calculated efficiently.
  • the predicted value is defined together with the probability that a plurality of numerical values are required for each item of the specification.
  • the requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the requirement based on the expected value of the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input.
  • each component is a conceptual unit, and one component consists of a plurality of structures, one component corresponds to a part of the structure, and a plurality of components. And the case where the component is provided in one structure.
  • Each component includes a structure having another structure or shape as long as the same function is exhibited.
  • each component described in the above embodiment is assumed to be software or firmware, or hardware corresponding thereto, and in both concepts, each component is a “unit” or “processing circuit” or the like. Called.
  • the technique disclosed in the present specification may be a case where each component is distributed and provided in a plurality of devices (that is, an aspect like a system).
  • the calculation result storage unit 13, the specification information storage unit 21, the product information storage unit 31, the configuration information storage unit 32, and the demand prediction information storage unit 42 are illustrated as being mounted in the required amount calculation apparatus in FIG. 2.
  • at least one of these may be an external functional unit. In that case, what is necessary is just to perform the function of the requirement calculation device as a whole by causing other functional units in the requirement calculation device and external function units to interact with each other.

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Abstract

The present invention pertains to a required quantity calculation device and a required quantity calculation method for calculating a required quantity while avoiding stock shortage or excessive stock. The required quantity calculation device comprises: a required quantity calculation unit 11 which calculates, on the basis of the specification value of each specification item, the required quantity of parts that constitute a product; a configuration information storage unit 32 which stores configuration information indicating a relationship between a specification value, and the type and the number of parts corresponding to the specification value; and a predicted value storage unit (42) which stores a predicted value for the specification value of each specification item. The required quantity calculation unit calculates, for a specification item for which the specification value is inputted, the required quantity of parts based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information, and calculates, for a specification item for which the specification value is not inputted, the required quantity of parts based on the predicted value while referring to the configuration information.

Description

所要量計算装置および所要量計算方法Requirements calculation device and requirements calculation method
 本明細書に開示される技術は、所要量計算装置および所要量計算方法に関し、特に、受注により生産する製品の、受注において要求される仕様に対応して、製品を構成する部品の所要量を計算する所要量計算装置および所要量計算方法に関するものである。 The technology disclosed in this specification relates to a requirement calculation device and a requirement calculation method, and in particular, the requirement of parts constituting the product is determined in accordance with the specifications required in the order of the product produced by the order. The present invention relates to a requirement calculation device and a requirement calculation method for calculating.
 個別の受注生産における所要量計算方法では、受注の詳細が確定する前に、受注見込みの情報または受注確度(受注情報における実際の受注の確度)の情報を利用し、所要量の計算を行う。そして、たとえば、特許文献1または特許文献2に開示されるように、適正な部品の手配および適正な在庫管理を行う。 In the requirement calculation method for individual order production, before the details of the order are confirmed, the requirement is calculated by using the information of the estimated order or the accuracy of the order (the accuracy of the actual order in the order information). For example, as disclosed in Patent Document 1 or Patent Document 2, appropriate parts are arranged and appropriate inventory management is performed.
 また、製造する製品は、たとえば、特許文献3に開示されるように、顧客から要求される仕様に応じて設計および製造が行われる特注ユニットと、顧客から要求される仕様に依存せずに設計および製造が行われる標準ユニットとに区分することができる。そして、特注ユニットについては、受注および設計が確定した後に所要量の計算を行い、さらに部品の手配を行う。このようにすることで、適正な在庫管理を実現することができる。 In addition, as disclosed in, for example, Patent Document 3, a product to be manufactured is designed without depending on a custom unit that is designed and manufactured according to specifications required by a customer and specifications required by a customer. And can be divided into standard units for manufacturing. For custom-order units, the required amount is calculated after the order and design are confirmed, and further parts are arranged. In this way, proper inventory management can be realized.
特開平05-342241号公報Japanese Patent Laid-Open No. 05-342241 特開平09-282385号公報JP 09-282385 A 特開2003-058225号公報JP 2003-058225 A
 しかし、たとえば、特許文献1および特許文献2に開示された方法では、受注見込みの情報または受注確度の情報の精度に応じて、欠品または不良在庫(過剰在庫)が発生する。また、特許文献3に開示された方法では、受注および設計が確定した後に部品の手配を行うこととなるため、部品の手配が間に合わず、欠品が発生する場合がある。 However, for example, in the methods disclosed in Patent Document 1 and Patent Document 2, a shortage or defective inventory (excess inventory) occurs depending on the accuracy of the information on the expected order or the information on the order accuracy. Further, according to the method disclosed in Patent Document 3, parts are arranged after the order and the design are confirmed, so parts may not be arranged in time and a shortage may occur.
 本明細書に開示される技術は、上記のような問題を解決するためのものであり、受注により生産する製品の受注において要求される仕様に対応して、欠品または過剰在庫を抑制しつつ所要量を計算することができる所要量計算装置および所要量計算方法に関するものである。 The technology disclosed in this specification is for solving the above-described problems, and suppresses shortage or excess inventory in response to specifications required in ordering of products produced by ordering. The present invention relates to a requirement calculation apparatus and a requirement calculation method capable of calculating a requirement.
 本明細書に開示される技術の一態様に関する所要量計算装置は、受注により生産する製品であり、かつ、複数の部品から構成され、それぞれの前記部品が複数の仕様値により定められる製品の、前記受注において要求される仕様に対応する、前記仕様の項目ごとの前記仕様値に基づいて、前記製品を構成する前記部品の、必要とされる量である所要量を計算する所要量計算部と、前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係を示す情報である構成情報を記憶する構成情報記憶部と、前記仕様の前記項目ごとに予め定められた前記仕様値の予測値を記憶する予測値記憶部とを備え、前記所要量計算部は、前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算し、前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算する。 The required amount calculation apparatus related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and includes a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values. A requirement calculation unit for calculating a requirement, which is a required amount, of the parts constituting the product based on the specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order; A configuration information storage unit that stores configuration information that is information indicating a relationship between the specification value and the type of the component and the number of the components that are required corresponding to the specification value; and the item of the specification A predicted value storage unit that stores a predicted value of the specification value determined in advance for each, and the required amount calculation unit refers to the configuration information for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input While The required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated, and the required amount of the part is calculated based on the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input. To do.
 本明細書に開示される技術の一態様に関する所要量計算方法は、受注により生産する製品であり、かつ、複数の部品から構成され、それぞれの前記部品が複数の仕様値により定められる製品の、前記受注において要求される仕様に対応する、前記仕様の項目ごとの前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる、前記製品を構成する前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係を示す情報である構成情報を、構成情報記憶部が記憶し、前記仕様の項目ごとに予め定められた前記仕様値の予測値を、予測値記憶部が記憶し、所要量計算部が、前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算し、前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算する。 The required amount calculation method related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and is composed of a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values. The specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order, and the type and the number of the parts constituting the product required for the specification value Configuration information that is information indicating the relationship is stored in the configuration information storage unit, the predicted value of the specification value predetermined for each item of the specification is stored in the predicted value storage unit, and the required amount calculation unit is Regarding the item of the specification to which the specification value is input, the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information, and the item of the specification to which the specification value is not input. , While referring to the configuration information, to calculate the required amount of the component based on the predicted value.
 本明細書に開示される技術の一態様に関する所要量計算装置は、受注により生産する製品であり、かつ、複数の部品から構成され、それぞれの前記部品が複数の仕様値により定められる製品の、前記受注において要求される仕様に対応する、前記仕様の項目ごとの前記仕様値に基づいて、前記製品を構成する前記部品の、必要とされる量である所要量を計算する所要量計算部と、前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係を示す情報である構成情報を記憶する構成情報記憶部と、前記仕様の前記項目ごとに予め定められた前記仕様値の予測値を記憶する予測値記憶部とを備え、前記所要量計算部は、前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算し、前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算する。 The required amount calculation apparatus related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and includes a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values. A requirement calculation unit for calculating a requirement, which is a required amount, of the parts constituting the product based on the specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order; A configuration information storage unit that stores configuration information that is information indicating a relationship between the specification value and the type of the component and the number of the components that are required corresponding to the specification value; and the item of the specification A predicted value storage unit that stores a predicted value of the specification value determined in advance for each, and the required amount calculation unit refers to the configuration information for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input While The required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated, and the required amount of the part is calculated based on the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input. To do.
 このような構成によれば、仕様値が入力された仕様の項目については、構成情報が参照されつつ、仕様値に基づく部品の所要量が計算される。また、仕様値が入力されない仕様の項目については、構成情報が参照されつつ、予測値に基づく部品の所要量が計算される。すなわち、受注において仕様値が確定した段階で対応する仕様の項目について部品の所要量を計算しつつ、受注において仕様値が確定していない仕様の項目についてのみ予測値に基づく部品の所要量を計算することができる。よって、仕様値の確定状況に応じて、予測値に基づく部品の所要量の算出の割合を減少させることができ、欠品または過剰在庫を抑制しつつ所要量を計算することができる。 According to such a configuration, for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input, the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information. For the specification items for which no specification value is input, the required amount of the component based on the predicted value is calculated while referring to the configuration information. In other words, while calculating the required amount of parts for the corresponding specification item at the stage when the specification value is finalized in the order, the required amount of the part is calculated based on the predicted value only for the specification item for which the specification value is not fixed in the order. can do. Therefore, the proportion of calculation of the required amount of parts based on the predicted value can be reduced in accordance with the determined status of the specification value, and the required amount can be calculated while suppressing shortage or excess inventory.
 本明細書に開示される技術の一態様に関する所要量計算方法は、受注により生産する製品であり、かつ、複数の部品から構成され、それぞれの前記部品が複数の仕様値により定められる製品の、前記受注において要求される仕様に対応する、前記仕様の項目ごとの前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる、前記製品を構成する前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係を示す情報である構成情報を、構成情報記憶部が記憶し、前記仕様の項目ごとに予め定められた前記仕様値の予測値を、予測値記憶部が記憶し、所要量計算部が、前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算し、前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算する。 The required amount calculation method related to one aspect of the technology disclosed in the present specification is a product that is produced by receiving an order, and is composed of a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values. The specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order, and the type and the number of the parts constituting the product required for the specification value Configuration information that is information indicating the relationship is stored in the configuration information storage unit, the predicted value of the specification value predetermined for each item of the specification is stored in the predicted value storage unit, and the required amount calculation unit is Regarding the item of the specification to which the specification value is input, the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information, and the item of the specification to which the specification value is not input. , While referring to the configuration information, to calculate the required amount of the component based on the predicted value.
 このような構成によれば、受注において仕様値が確定した段階で対応する仕様の項目について部品の所要量を計算しつつ、受注において仕様値が確定していない仕様の項目についてのみ予測値に基づく部品の所要量を計算することができる。よって、仕様値の確定状況に応じて、予測値に基づく部品の所要量の算出の割合を減少させることができ、欠品または過剰在庫を抑制しつつ所要量を計算することができる。 According to such a configuration, the required amount of parts is calculated for the corresponding specification item at the stage where the specification value is determined in the order, and only the specification item for which the specification value is not fixed in the order is based on the predicted value. The required amount of parts can be calculated. Therefore, the proportion of calculation of the required amount of parts based on the predicted value can be reduced in accordance with the determined status of the specification value, and the required amount can be calculated while suppressing shortage or excess inventory.
 本明細書に開示される技術に関する目的と、特徴と、局面と、利点とは、以下に示される詳細な説明と添付図面とによって、より明白となる。 The purpose, features, aspects, and advantages of the technology disclosed in the present specification will become more apparent from the detailed description and the accompanying drawings shown below.
実施形態に関する、所要量計算方法の概要を説明するための図である。It is a figure for demonstrating the outline | summary of the required amount calculation method regarding embodiment. 実施形態に関する、所要量計算装置を実現するための構成を概念的に例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates notionally the structure for implement | achieving the requirement calculation apparatus regarding embodiment. 図2に例示される所要量計算装置を実際に運用する場合のハードウェア構成を概略的に例示する図である。FIG. 3 is a diagram schematically illustrating a hardware configuration when the required amount calculation apparatus illustrated in FIG. 2 is actually operated. 図2に例示される所要量計算装置を実際に運用する場合のハードウェア構成を概略的に例示する図である。FIG. 3 is a diagram schematically illustrating a hardware configuration when the required amount calculation apparatus illustrated in FIG. 2 is actually operated. 仕様情報記憶部に記憶される、各仕様項目に関する顧客から要求される仕様値の内容を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the content of the specification value requested | required from the customer regarding each specification item memorize | stored in a specification information storage part. 製品情報記憶部に記憶される、製品情報の内容を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the contents of product information memorized by a product information storage part. 構成情報記憶部に記憶される、構成情報の内容を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the content of the configuration information memorize | stored in a configuration information storage part. 構成情報記憶部に記憶される、構成情報の内容を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the content of the configuration information memorize | stored in a configuration information storage part. 需要予測情報記憶部に記憶される、需要予測情報の内容を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the contents of demand forecast information memorized by a demand forecast information storage part. 需要予測情報記憶部に記憶される、需要予測情報の内容を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the contents of demand forecast information memorized by a demand forecast information storage part. 実施形態に関する、所要量計算装置の動作を例示するフローチャートである。It is a flowchart which illustrates operation | movement of the requirement calculation apparatus regarding embodiment. 各商談における仕様項目の仕様値の確定状況を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the decision status of the specification value of the specification item in each negotiation. 各商談における仕様項目の仕様値の確定状況を例示する図である。It is a figure which illustrates the decision status of the specification value of the specification item in each negotiation. 仕様値コードの例を示す図である。It is a figure which shows the example of a specification value code. 図7にマトリクスで例示された構成情報を、実際の構成イメージで表現した場合の概念図である。FIG. 8 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified by the matrix in FIG. 7 is expressed by an actual configuration image. 図8にマトリクスで例示された構成情報を、実際の構成イメージで表現した場合の概念図である。FIG. 9 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified in FIG. 8 is represented by an actual configuration image.
 以下、添付される図面を参照しながら実施形態について説明する。なお、図面は概略的に示されるものであり、異なる図面にそれぞれ示される画像の大きさと位置との相互関係は、必ずしも正確に記載されるものではなく、適宜変更され得るものである。また、以下に示される説明では、同様の構成要素には同じ符号を付して図示し、それらの名称と機能とについても同様のものとする。よって、それらについての詳細な説明を省略する場合がある。 Hereinafter, embodiments will be described with reference to the accompanying drawings. Note that the drawings are schematically shown, and the mutual relationship between the size and position of images shown in different drawings is not necessarily described accurately, and can be changed as appropriate. Moreover, in the description shown below, the same code | symbol is attached | subjected and shown in the same component, and it is the same also about those names and functions. Therefore, the detailed description about them may be omitted.
 <実施形態>
 以下、本実施形態に関する所要量計算装置および所要量計算方法について説明する。
<Embodiment>
Hereinafter, the requirement calculation apparatus and requirement calculation method according to the present embodiment will be described.
 <構成>
 顧客から要求される仕様に応じた個別の受注であり、かつ、比較的短い納期での製造が求められる製品は、一般に、部品の在庫を持ったうえで対応する。しかし、顧客から要求される仕様に応じた設計が完了するまでは「部品」および「部品の数量」は確定しない。
<Configuration>
Products that have individual orders according to specifications required by customers and that require manufacture with a relatively short delivery time are generally handled with inventory of parts. However, “parts” and “quantity of parts” are not determined until the design according to the specifications required by the customer is completed.
 この点に関し、以下に記す方法により、あらかじめ部品の手配を行うなど在庫管理の適正化を図られたが、やはり不良在庫(過剰在庫)または欠品の問題が生じる場合がある。 In this regard, although the inventory management has been optimized by arranging parts in advance by the method described below, there may still be a problem of defective inventory (excess inventory) or shortage.
 たとえば、従来の方法では、受注の詳細が確定する前に、過去の実績、需要の予測または受注見込みなどから手配数を算出し、部品を発注する。そして、受注の詳細が確定した後に消し込み処理を行う。この方法では、予測外れによる欠品または不良在庫(過剰在庫)が生じる場合がある。 For example, in the conventional method, before the details of the order are determined, the number of arrangements is calculated from the past results, the demand forecast or the order estimate, and the parts are ordered. Then, after the details of the order are finalized, a deletion process is performed. With this method, there may be a shortage due to unforeseen or defective inventory (excess inventory).
 また、たとえば、受注後、製品のうち設計が完了したユニットから順次部品の手配を行う。この方法では、手配が間に合わずに欠品が生じる場合がある。 Also, for example, after receiving an order, we will arrange parts in order from the completed unit of the product. In this method, arrangements may not be made in time and missing items may occur.
 また、たとえば、製品を標準ユニットと特注ユニットとに分けて、特注ユニットは受注の詳細が確定した後に部品の手配を行う。この方法では、特注ユニットの手配が間に合わずに欠品が生じる場合がある。 Also, for example, the product is divided into standard units and custom-made units, and the custom-made units arrange parts after the order details are finalized. In this method, there may be a case where a custom unit is not in time and a shortage occurs.
 以上のように、従来の方法では、受注時に決められる仕様に加え、仕様の詳細を決める段階で確定する仕様があるような、仕様が段階的に確定していく場合では、確定した仕様を部分的に適用して所要量計算を行うことはできない。 As described above, in the conventional method, when there are specifications that are determined at the stage of determining the details of the specifications in addition to the specifications determined at the time of receiving an order, if the specifications are determined in stages, the determined specifications are partially It is not possible to calculate the required quantity by applying it.
 以下に示される本実施形態は、顧客から要求される仕様に応じた個別の受注であり、かつ、比較的短い納期での製造が求められる製品の、仕様が段階的に確定していく場合に適した、部品の手配および適正な在庫管理に関するものである。 This embodiment shown below is for individual orders according to specifications required by customers, and when the specifications of products that are required to be manufactured with relatively short delivery times are determined in stages. Suitable for parts arrangement and proper inventory management.
 図1は、本実施形態に関する所要量計算方法の概要を説明するための図である。 FIG. 1 is a diagram for explaining an outline of a required amount calculation method according to this embodiment.
 図1に例示されるように、本実施形態に関する所要量計算方法では、まず、製品情報が抽出された製品の仕様項目の一部について、顧客からの要求に応じた具体的な仕様値が確定する。ここで、仕様値とは、製品の仕様の項目ごとに定められる顧客要求の内容であり、その仕様の項目における、意匠の要求(ステンレスやカラーステンレス等)、動作仕様の要求(2段変速、3段変速等)、または、音声アナウンス有無などを示す値である。そして、パラメータ化された構成情報に基づいて、確定した仕様値に応じて必要となる構成部品の種類および構成部品の数が決定される(部品展開)。 As illustrated in FIG. 1, in the requirement calculation method according to the present embodiment, first, specific specification values corresponding to a request from a customer are determined for a part of product specification items from which product information is extracted. To do. Here, the specification value is the contents of the customer request determined for each item of the product specification, and the design requirement (stainless steel, color stainless steel, etc.) and the operation specification requirement (two-speed shift, This is a value indicating the presence or absence of a voice announcement or the like. Then, based on the parameterized configuration information, the type of component and the number of components necessary for the determined specification value are determined (component development).
 一方で、仕様値が確定しなかった仕様項目については、抽出された部品候補から、需要予測情報による予測値に基づいて部品が選定され、構成部品の種類および構成部品の数が決定される。 On the other hand, for the specification item for which the specification value has not been determined, a part is selected from the extracted part candidates based on the predicted value based on the demand prediction information, and the type of component and the number of components are determined.
 そして、双方の場合について、所要量の計算結果が出力される。このような動作が、末端部品まで繰り返し行われる。 And for both cases, the calculation result of required amount is output. Such an operation is repeated up to the end part.
 上記のように、本実施形態に関する所要量計算方法では、顧客から要求され得る製品の各仕様項目について、顧客から要求された仕様値に対する構成部品の種類および構成部品の数を、あらかじめパラメータ化しておく。そして、受注後の仕様詳細化の段階で仕様項目の仕様値が確定している場合には、確定した仕様値のパラメータに基づいて構成部品の種類および構成部品の数を算出する。一方で、受注後の仕様詳細化の段階で仕様項目の仕様値が確定していない場合には、需要予測情報による予測値に基づいて構成部品の種類および構成部品の数を算出する。 As described above, in the requirement calculation method according to the present embodiment, for each specification item of the product that can be requested by the customer, the type of component and the number of components for the specification value requested by the customer are parameterized in advance. deep. When the specification value of the specification item is determined at the specification detailing stage after receiving an order, the type of component and the number of components are calculated based on the parameter of the determined specification value. On the other hand, if the specification value of the specification item is not fixed at the specification detailing stage after receiving an order, the type of component and the number of components are calculated based on the predicted value based on the demand prediction information.
 このような方法によれば、受注後の仕様詳細化の段階における仕様値の確定した割合に応じて、需要予測による構成部品の種類および構成部品の数の算出の割合を段階的に減らしていくことができるため、不良在庫(過剰在庫)または欠品の発生を従来よりも低減することができる。 According to such a method, the proportion of calculation of the types of component parts and the number of component parts by the demand forecast is gradually reduced in accordance with the ratio of the specification values determined at the stage of specification refinement after receiving an order. Therefore, the occurrence of defective stock (excess stock) or shortage can be reduced as compared with the conventional case.
 図2は、本実施形態に関する所要量計算装置を実現するための構成を概念的に例示する図である。 FIG. 2 is a diagram conceptually illustrating a configuration for realizing the requirement calculation apparatus according to the present embodiment.
 図2に例示されるように、所要量計算装置は、所要量計算部11と、計算結果出力部12と、計算結果記憶部13と、仕様情報記憶部21と、製品情報記憶部31と、構成情報記憶部32と、需要予測情報記憶部42とを備える。 As illustrated in FIG. 2, the requirement calculation device includes a requirement calculation unit 11, a calculation result output unit 12, a calculation result storage unit 13, a specification information storage unit 21, a product information storage unit 31, A configuration information storage unit 32 and a demand prediction information storage unit 42 are provided.
 所要量計算部11は、受注により生産する製品の各仕様項目について、仕様値が確定しているか否かを判断する。また、所要量計算部11は、仕様値が確定している仕様項目、および、仕様値が確定していない仕様項目それぞれについて、部品の、必要とされる量である所要量を計算する。 The required amount calculation unit 11 determines whether or not the specification value is determined for each specification item of the product to be produced by the order. Further, the required amount calculation unit 11 calculates a required amount that is a required amount of a part for each of the specification item for which the specification value is fixed and the specification item for which the specification value is not fixed.
 また、計算結果出力部12は、所要量計算部11における所要量の計算結果を出力する。たとえば、外部システムである在庫管理システム50に対し、当該計算結果を出力してもよい。そして、在庫管理システム50から、たとえば外部システムである資材システム60に対し、所要量計算部11における所要量の計算結果に基づく資材の発注がなされ、資材システム60から在庫管理システム50に対し、所要量計算部11における所要量の計算結果に基づく資材の入着がなされてもよい。 Also, the calculation result output unit 12 outputs the calculation result of the requirement in the requirement calculation unit 11. For example, the calculation result may be output to the inventory management system 50 that is an external system. Then, the stock management system 50 orders the material based on the calculation result of the required amount in the required amount calculation unit 11 to the material system 60 which is an external system, for example. The material may be received based on the calculation result of the required amount in the amount calculation unit 11.
 計算結果記憶部13は、所要量の計算結果を記憶する。また、仕様情報記憶部21は、たとえば、外部システムである商談システム20に登録される仕様値を、顧客から要求された仕様値として記憶する。商談システム20から仕様値を取得する時期は、受注後の任意に時期でよいが、仕様値を取得する時期が早いほど、手配が間に合わず欠品となることを抑制でき、逆に、仕様値を取得する時期が遅いほど、確定している仕様値の割合が高まり、より確実な手配が可能となる。また、製品情報記憶部31は、たとえば、外部システムである設計システム30に登録される製品情報を、記憶する。 The calculation result storage unit 13 stores the calculation result of the required amount. In addition, the specification information storage unit 21 stores, for example, a specification value registered in the negotiation system 20 that is an external system as a specification value requested by a customer. The timing for acquiring the specification value from the business negotiation system 20 may be any time after the order is received. However, the earlier the timing for acquiring the specification value, the more time it can be taken to arrange the product and the shortage of the product can be suppressed. The later the time to acquire, the higher the proportion of specifications that have been confirmed, and a more reliable arrangement will be possible. The product information storage unit 31 stores product information registered in the design system 30 that is an external system, for example.
 また、構成情報記憶部32は、たとえば、外部システムである設計システム30に登録される構成情報を、記憶する。また、需要予測情報記憶部42は、たとえば、外部システムである営業システム40に登録される需要予測情報を、記憶する。 Further, the configuration information storage unit 32 stores configuration information registered in the design system 30 that is an external system, for example. Moreover, the demand prediction information storage part 42 memorize | stores the demand prediction information registered into the sales system 40 which is an external system, for example.
 図3および図4は、図2に例示される所要量計算装置を実際に運用する場合のハードウェア構成を概略的に例示する図である。 3 and 4 are diagrams schematically illustrating a hardware configuration when the required amount calculation apparatus illustrated in FIG. 2 is actually operated.
 図3では、図2中の所要量計算装置を実現するためのハードウェア構成として、演算を行う処理回路102aと、情報を記憶することができる記憶装置103と、ディスプレイなどの、情報を出力することができる出力装置105とが示される。これらの構成は、後述する他の実施形態においても同様である。 In FIG. 3, as a hardware configuration for realizing the required amount calculation device in FIG. 2, information such as a processing circuit 102 a that performs calculation, a storage device 103 that can store information, and a display is output. An output device 105 is shown. These configurations are the same in other embodiments described later.
 図4では、図2中の所要量計算装置を実現するためのハードウェア構成として、演算を行う処理回路102bと、ディスプレイなどの、信号の出力を行うことができる出力装置105とが示される。これらの構成は、後述する他の実施形態においても同様である。 FIG. 4 shows a processing circuit 102b that performs an operation and an output device 105 that can output a signal, such as a display, as a hardware configuration for realizing the required amount calculation device in FIG. These configurations are the same in other embodiments described later.
 計算結果記憶部13と、仕様情報記憶部21と、製品情報記憶部31と、構成情報記憶部32と、需要予測情報記憶部42とは、記憶装置103または別の記憶装置によって実現される。記憶装置103は、たとえば、ハードディスク(Hard disk drive、すなわちHDD)、ランダムアクセスメモリ(random access memory、すなわちRAM)、リードオンリーメモリ(read only memory、すなわちROM)、フラッシュメモリ、erasable programmable read only memory(EPROM)およびelectrically erasable programmable read-only memory(EEPROM)などの、揮発性または不揮発性の半導体メモリ、磁気ディスク、フレキシブルディスク、光ディスク、コンパクトディスク、ミニディスクまたはDVDなどを含むメモリ(記憶媒体)などによって構成されるなどを含むメモリ(記憶媒体)などによって構成される。 The calculation result storage unit 13, the specification information storage unit 21, the product information storage unit 31, the configuration information storage unit 32, and the demand prediction information storage unit 42 are realized by the storage device 103 or another storage device. The storage device 103 includes, for example, a hard disk (Hard disk drive, ie, HDD), random access memory (random access memory, ie, RAM), read only memory (read only memory, ie, ROM), flash memory, erasable programmable read only memory (ie, ROM). EPROM) and electrically erasable programmable read-only memory (EEPROM), etc., depending on memory (storage media) including volatile or non-volatile semiconductor memory, magnetic disk, flexible disk, optical disk, compact disk, mini disk, DVD, etc. Composed It composed of such as a memory (storage medium) containing Runado.
 処理回路102aは、記憶装置103に格納されたプログラムを実行するものであってもよい。すなわち、たとえば、中央演算処理装置(central processing unit、すなわちCPU)、マイクロプロセッサ、マイクロコンピュータ、デジタルシグナルプロセッサ(digital signal pocessor、すなわちDSP)であってもよい。 The processing circuit 102 a may execute a program stored in the storage device 103. In other words, for example, a central processing unit (CPU), a microprocessor, a microcomputer, or a digital signal processor (DSP) may be used.
 処理回路102aが記憶装置103に格納されたプログラムを実行するものである場合、所要量計算部11は、ソフトウェア、ファームウェアまたはソフトウェアとファームウェアとの組み合わせにより実現される。なお、所要量計算部11の機能は、たとえば、複数の処理回路が連携することによって実現されてもよい。 When the processing circuit 102a executes a program stored in the storage device 103, the requirement calculation unit 11 is realized by software, firmware, or a combination of software and firmware. Note that the function of the requirement calculation unit 11 may be realized, for example, by cooperation of a plurality of processing circuits.
 ソフトウェアおよびファームウェアはプログラムとして記述され、記憶装置103に記憶されるものであってもよい。その場合、処理回路102aは、記憶装置103に格納されたプログラムを読み出して実行することにより、上記の機能を実現する。すなわち、記憶装置103は、処理回路102aに実行されることにより、上記の機能が結果的に実現されるプログラムを記憶するものであってもよい。 Software and firmware may be described as programs and stored in the storage device 103. In that case, the processing circuit 102a reads out and executes the program stored in the storage device 103, thereby realizing the above function. That is, the storage device 103 may store a program that, as a result, is executed by the processing circuit 102a, realizes the above functions.
 また、処理回路102bは、専用のハードウェアであってもよい。すなわち、たとえば、単一回路、複合回路、プログラム化されたプロセッサ、並列プログラム化されたプロセッサ、集積回路(application specific integrated circuit、すなわちASIC)、field-programmable gate array(FPGA)またはこれらを組み合わせた回路であってもよい。 Further, the processing circuit 102b may be dedicated hardware. That is, for example, a single circuit, a compound circuit, a programmed processor, a parallel programmed processor, an integrated circuit (application specific integrated circuit, that is, ASIC), a field-programmable gate array (FPGA), or a combination thereof. It may be.
 処理回路102bが専用のハードウェアである場合、所要量計算部11は、処理回路102bが動作することにより実現される。なお、所要量計算部11の機能は、別々の回路で実現されてもよいし、単一の回路で実現されてもよい。 When the processing circuit 102b is dedicated hardware, the required amount calculation unit 11 is realized by the processing circuit 102b operating. The function of the requirement calculation unit 11 may be realized by a separate circuit or a single circuit.
 なお、上記の所要量計算部11の機能は、一部が記憶装置103に格納されたプログラムを実行するものである処理回路102aにおいて実現され、一部が専用のハードウェアである処理回路102bにおいて実現されてもよい。 The function of the requirement calculation unit 11 is realized in the processing circuit 102a that partially executes a program stored in the storage device 103, and partially in the processing circuit 102b that is dedicated hardware. It may be realized.
 また、計算結果出力部12は、出力装置105によって実現される。 Further, the calculation result output unit 12 is realized by the output device 105.
 図5は、仕様情報記憶部21に記憶される、各仕様項目に関する顧客から要求される仕様値の内容を例示する図である。図5に例示されるように、ある特定の製品について、顧客から要求された仕様値が、仕様項目の名称ごとに登録される。 FIG. 5 is a diagram exemplifying the contents of the specification values requested from the customer regarding each specification item stored in the specification information storage unit 21. As illustrated in FIG. 5, for a specific product, a specification value requested by a customer is registered for each specification item name.
 図5においては、商談番号が「0001」であり、対象となる製品の機種番号は「製品A」である。また、仕様項目の名称(たとえば、XXXX)ごとに仕様コード(たとえば、A001)が付され、それぞれの仕様項目において要求された、すなわち、確定した仕様値(たとえば、10KG)が、仕様値コード(たとえば、10)とともに登録される。 In FIG. 5, the negotiation number is “0001”, and the model number of the target product is “product A”. In addition, a specification code (for example, A001) is attached to each specification item name (for example, XXXX), and the required specification value (for example, 10 KG) in each specification item is replaced with the specification value code (for example, 10 KG). For example, it is registered together with 10).
 登録された情報で、仕様項目の名称は仕様コードとして、仕様値は仕様値コードとして、商談システム20が認識可能なコードに自動変換されてそれぞれ保存される。 In the registered information, the specification item name is a specification code, the specification value is a specification value code, and is automatically converted into a code that can be recognized by the negotiation system 20 and stored.
 図6は、製品情報記憶部31に記憶される、製品情報の内容を例示する図である。図6に例示されるように、製品情報として、機種番号(たとえば、製品A)と当該機種番号に対応する部品番号(たとえば、B10000)が登録される。 FIG. 6 is a diagram illustrating the content of product information stored in the product information storage unit 31. As illustrated in FIG. 6, a model number (for example, product A) and a part number (for example, B10000) corresponding to the model number are registered as product information.
 図7および図8は、構成情報記憶部32に記憶される、構成情報の内容を例示する図である。図7および図8に例示されるように、それぞれ親部品番号と子部品番号とが定義される。さらに、親部品に対して要求された仕様値に応じて、必要となる子部品(構成部品)の種類および必要となる子部品(構成部品)の数が表形式で示される。すなわち、仕様値に対応して必要とされる構成部品の種類および構成部品の数が、パラメータ化されて示される。 7 and 8 are diagrams illustrating the contents of the configuration information stored in the configuration information storage unit 32. FIG. As illustrated in FIGS. 7 and 8, a parent part number and a child part number are defined, respectively. Further, according to the specification value requested for the parent part, the type of necessary child parts (components) and the number of necessary child parts (components) are displayed in a table format. That is, the types of component parts and the number of component parts required corresponding to the specification values are shown as parameters.
 つまり、パラメータ化とは、必要とされる構成部品の種類と構成部品の個数とが、仕様値に応じて可変に定義された、たとえば、図7に例示されるものである。 That is, the parameterization is, for example, illustrated in FIG. 7 in which the types of required component parts and the number of component parts are variably defined according to specification values.
 また、仕様値コードは、計算機が認識できるように仕様値を英数字化したものである。図14は、仕様値コードの例を示す図である。 Also, the specification value code is an alphanumeric version of the specification value so that the computer can recognize it. FIG. 14 is a diagram illustrating an example of the specification value code.
 図14に例示されるように、仕様項目の名称ごとに仕様コードが付され、それぞれの仕様項目において要求された、すなわち、確定した仕様値が、仕様値コードとともに登録される。 As illustrated in FIG. 14, a specification code is attached to each specification item name, and a required specification value in each specification item, that is, a fixed specification value is registered together with the specification value code.
 図14における場合では、仕様項目の名称が「壁素材」であり、かつ、仕様コードが「A004」である場合が例示され、それぞれ、仕様値「ステンレス」が仕様値コード「2」とともに登録され、また、仕様値「アルミ」が仕様値コード「1」とともに登録され、さらに、仕様値「指定」が仕様値コード「0」とともに登録される。 14 exemplifies a case where the name of the specification item is “wall material” and the specification code is “A004”, and the specification value “stainless steel” is registered together with the specification value code “2”. In addition, the specification value “aluminum” is registered together with the specification value code “1”, and the specification value “designated” is registered together with the specification value code “0”.
 図15は、図7にマトリクスで例示された構成情報を、実際の構成イメージで表現した場合の概念図である。 FIG. 15 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified by the matrix in FIG. 7 is expressed by an actual configuration image.
 また、図16は、図8にマトリクスで例示された構成情報を、実際の構成イメージで表現した場合の概念図である。 FIG. 16 is a conceptual diagram when the configuration information exemplified by the matrix in FIG. 8 is expressed by an actual configuration image.
 上記について、図7を参照しつつ、具体的に説明する。親部品番号が「B10000」である子部品(構成部品)は、子部品番号が「B11001」、「B12001」、「B13001」、「B00738」、「B00773」および「B00657」である6つの部品が定義される。そして、それら子部品の個数を定義する列には、必要な子部品の個数が、各仕様コードの、要求された仕様値コードごとに数字で記載される。 The above will be specifically described with reference to FIG. The child parts (component parts) whose parent part number is “B10000” have six parts whose child part numbers are “B11001”, “B12001”, “B13001”, “B00738”, “B00773”, and “B00657”. Defined. In the column defining the number of child parts, the number of necessary child parts is described numerically for each requested specification value code of each specification code.
 詳細に説明すると、仕様コードA001の要求される仕様値コードが「4よりも大きく8以下」である場合は、子部品(構成部品)として、「B11001」が1個、「B00738」が2個、「B00773」が2個、そして、「B00657」が2個必要と定義される。ここで、数字が記載されず空白である子部品(構成部品)は、0個(不要)と判断する。 More specifically, when the required specification value code of the specification code A001 is “greater than 4 and less than or equal to 8”, one “B11001” and two “B00738” are child components (components). , “B00773” and two “B00657” are defined. Here, it is determined that there are zero (unnecessary) child parts (components) that are not described with numerals and are blank.
 また、仕様コードA001の要求される仕様値コードが「8よりも大きく11以下」である場合は、子部品(構成部品)として、「B12001」が1個、「B00738」が2個、「B00773」が2個、そして、「B00657」が2個必要と定義される。 Further, when the required specification value code of the specification code A001 is “greater than 8 and 11 or less”, as the child parts (component parts), one “B12001”, two “B00738”, “B00773” "And two" B00657 "are defined.
 また、仕様コードA001の要求される仕様値コードが「11よりも大きく15以下」である場合は、子部品(構成部品)として、「B13001」が1個、「B00738」が3個、「B00773」が3個、そして、「B00657」が3個必要と定義される。 Further, when the required specification value code of the specification code A001 is “greater than 11 and 15 or less”, “B13001” is one, “B00738” is three, and “B00773” is a child component (component). ”And three“ B00657 ”are defined.
 また、図8を参照しつつ、具体的に説明すると、親部品番号が「B12001」である子部品(構成部品)は、子部品番号が「B00867」、「B00122」および「B00382」である3つの部品が定義される。そして、それら子部品の個数を定義する列には、必要な子部品の個数が、各仕様コードの、要求された仕様値コードごとに数字で記載される。 In more detail, referring to FIG. 8, the child parts (component parts) whose parent part number is “B12001” are child parts numbers “B00867”, “B00122”, and “B00382”. One part is defined. In the column defining the number of child parts, the number of necessary child parts is described numerically for each requested specification value code of each specification code.
 詳細に説明すると、仕様コードA005の要求される仕様値コードが「1」である場合は、子部品(構成部品)として、「B00867」が1個、「B00122」が2個必要と定義される。ここで、数字が記載されず空白である子部品(構成部品)は、0個(不要)と判断する。 More specifically, when the required specification value code of the specification code A005 is “1”, it is defined that one “B00867” and two “B00122” are required as child parts (components). . Here, it is determined that there are zero (unnecessary) child parts (components) that are not described with numerals and are blank.
 また、仕様コードA005の要求される仕様値コードが「2」である場合は、子部品(構成部品)として、「B00867」が3個必要と定義される。 Further, when the required specification value code of the specification code A005 is “2”, it is defined that three “B00867” are necessary as child parts (component parts).
 また、仕様コードA005の要求される仕様値コードが「3」である場合は、子部品(構成部品)として、「B00382」が3個必要と定義される。 Further, when the required specification value code of the specification code A005 is “3”, it is defined that three “B00382” are necessary as child parts (component parts).
 このように、図7および図8によれば、登録された仕様コードおよび登録された仕様値コードを参照することで、必要となる構成部品の種類および必要となる構成部品の数が特定される。 As described above, according to FIG. 7 and FIG. 8, by referring to the registered specification code and the registered specification value code, the type of required component and the number of required components are specified. .
 なお、仕様コードと仕様値コードとが、図7または図8に例示される定義範囲と矛盾する場合には、製品として存在し得ない部品構成であると判断し、部品展開エラーとして部品展開を中止する。 When the specification code and the specification value code are inconsistent with the definition range illustrated in FIG. 7 or FIG. 8, it is determined that the component configuration cannot exist as a product, and the component expansion is performed as a component expansion error. Cancel.
 図9および図10は、需要予測情報記憶部42に記憶される、需要予測情報の内容を例示する図である。図9に例示されるように、需要予測情報として、ある生産時期における機種番号ごとの予測台数が登録される。図9の場合は、生産時期がたとえば2015年6月の予測台数として製品Aが「200台」、製品Bが「50台」、製品Cが「50台」登録される。 9 and 10 are diagrams illustrating the contents of the demand prediction information stored in the demand prediction information storage unit 42. As illustrated in FIG. 9, as the demand prediction information, a predicted number for each model number at a certain production time is registered. In the case of FIG. 9, “200 units” for product A, “50 units” for product B, and “50 units” for product C are registered as the predicted number of production in June 2015, for example.
 さらに、需要予測情報として、各機種番号の仕様コードごとに、顧客に要求されうる仕様値の予測値が登録される。図10に例示される場合では、製品Aの仕様コードA005に対して、「仕様値コード=1」が顧客に要求される確率は「50%」であり、「仕様値コード=2」が顧客に要求される確率は「25%」であり、「仕様値コード=3」が顧客に要求される確率は「25%」である。なお、仕様項目の名称は仕様コードとして、仕様値は仕様値コードとして、営業システム40が認識可能なコードに自動変換されてそれぞれ保存される。 Furthermore, the predicted value of the specification value that can be requested by the customer is registered as the demand prediction information for each specification code of each model number. In the case illustrated in FIG. 10, for the specification code A005 of product A, the probability that the customer is requested to specify “specific value code = 1” is “50%”, and “specification value code = 2” is the customer. The probability required for “25%” is “25%”, and the probability that the customer requires “specification value code = 3” is “25%”. The name of the specification item is automatically converted into a code that can be recognized by the sales system 40 as a specification code, and the specification value is stored as a specification value code.
 <作用>
 図11は、本実施形態に関する所要量計算装置の動作を例示するフローチャートである。なお、以下では、機種番号が「製品A」である場合を例として説明するが、必要な所要量を算出すべきすべての機種番号について、所要量計算を実施するものとする。
<Action>
FIG. 11 is a flowchart illustrating the operation of the requirement calculation apparatus according to this embodiment. In the following description, the case where the model number is “product A” will be described as an example. However, the required amount calculation is performed for all the model numbers for which the required required amount is to be calculated.
 まず、所要量計算部11が、需要予測情報記憶部42から、対象となる機種番号の予測台数、および、対象となる機種番号の仕様値の予測値をそれぞれ抽出する(ステップST111を参照)。 First, the requirement calculation unit 11 extracts the predicted number of the target model number and the predicted value of the specification value of the target model number from the demand prediction information storage unit 42 (see step ST111).
 次に、所要量計算部11が、仕様情報記憶部21から、顧客から要求された仕様項目に対応する仕様コード、および、当該仕様項目で顧客から要求された仕様値に対応する仕様値コードを抽出する(ステップST112を参照)。 Next, the requirement calculation unit 11 receives from the specification information storage unit 21 a specification code corresponding to the specification item requested by the customer and a specification value code corresponding to the specification value requested by the customer in the specification item. Extract (see step ST112).
 図12は、ステップST111およびステップST112を経た段階での、機種番号が「製品A」である場合の、各商談における仕様項目の仕様値の確定状況を例示する図である。 FIG. 12 is a diagram exemplifying the determination status of the specification value of the specification item in each negotiation when the model number is “Product A” after the steps ST111 and ST112.
 図12に例示されるように、需要予測情報記憶部42の需要予測情報から得られる予測台数が「200台」であるため、予測台数200台までのID列が生産台数の予測ごとに用意される。すなわち、予測台数を満たすまで所要量計算の対象とする。また、仕様情報記憶部21から得られる各仕様コードと、当該仕様コードに対応して要求された仕様値コードとが、予測台数ごとに示される。 As illustrated in FIG. 12, since the predicted number obtained from the demand prediction information in the demand prediction information storage unit 42 is “200”, an ID column up to the predicted number 200 is prepared for each prediction of the production number. The That is, the required amount is calculated until the predicted number is satisfied. Each specification code obtained from the specification information storage unit 21 and a specification value code requested corresponding to the specification code are indicated for each predicted number of units.
 図12に例示される場合では、「ID60」までの仕様値コードが示されているため、商談中の生産台数が「60台」であることが分かる。なお、仕様値コードが示されるべき箇所が空欄である場合は、仕様値コードが未設定であることを示す。 In the case illustrated in FIG. 12, since the specification value code up to “ID60” is shown, it can be seen that the number of production during the negotiation is “60”. In addition, when the location where the specification value code is to be indicated is blank, it indicates that the specification value code is not set.
 次に、所要量計算部11が、需要予測情報記憶部42の需要予測情報から得られる対象となる機種番号(製品A)の仕様値の予測値を用いて、上記の空欄となっている箇所、すなわち、仕様値が未設定である仕様項目について、仕様値コードを設定する(ステップST113を参照)。 Next, the required amount calculation unit 11 uses the predicted value of the specification value of the model number (product A) to be obtained from the demand prediction information in the demand prediction information storage unit 42, and is a place that is blank as described above That is, a specification value code is set for a specification item for which a specification value is not set (see step ST113).
 具体的には、同じ仕様コード内で未確定となっている仕様値コードの総数を予測確率で按分することにより、仕様値コードをシステムが決定する。 More specifically, the system determines the specification value code by apportioning the total number of specification value codes that are indefinite within the same specification code by the prediction probability.
 上記について図10および図12を用いて説明すると、図12において仕様コードA005の列で仕様値が未確定である、すなわち空欄である箇所が100個存在する場合に、図10に例示される予測値を参照すると、「仕様値コード=1」が顧客に要求される確率は「50%」であり、「仕様値コード=2」が顧客に要求される確率は「25%」であり、「仕様値コード=3」が顧客に要求される確率は「25%」であるため、空欄となっている箇所の仕様値コードには、それぞれ、「仕様値コード=1を50個」、「仕様値コード=2を25個」、「仕様値コード=3を25個」設定する。 The above will be described with reference to FIG. 10 and FIG. 12. In FIG. 12, when the specification value is uncertain in the column of the specification code A005, that is, there are 100 blank portions, the prediction illustrated in FIG. Referring to the value, the probability that the customer is required to specify “specific value code = 1” is “50%”, the probability that the customer is required to specify “specific value code = 2” is “25%”, and “ Since the probability that the customer is required to have “specification value code = 3” is “25%”, the specification value codes in the blank spaces are “specification code = 1”, “specification code 50”, “specification code”. “25 value codes = 2” and “25 specification value codes = 3” are set.
 図13は、上記の処理が行われた後の、機種番号が「製品A」である場合の、各商談における仕様項目の仕様値の確定状況を例示する図である。 FIG. 13 is a diagram exemplifying the determination status of the specification value of the specification item in each business negotiation when the model number is “product A” after the above processing is performed.
 図13に例示されるように、上記の処理が行われた後は、すべての仕様コードにおけるすべての仕様値コードが設定された計算対象レコードが作成される。 As illustrated in FIG. 13, after the above processing is performed, a calculation target record in which all the specification value codes in all the specification codes are set is created.
 所要量計算部11は、上記の計算対象の先頭行の抽出を試み、抽出できるか否かを判断する(ステップST114を参照)。計算対象の先頭行の抽出ができない、すなわち、計算対象の先頭行が存在しない場合(NOに対応)には、計算結果出力部12が、計算結果記憶部13に記憶された所要量の計算結果を出力し、処理を終了する。一方で、計算対象の先頭行が存在する場合(YESに対応)は、所要量計算部11は、当該先頭行を抽出する(ステップST115を参照)。 The required amount calculation unit 11 tries to extract the first line of the calculation target and determines whether or not extraction is possible (see step ST114). When the calculation target head line cannot be extracted, that is, when the calculation target head line does not exist (corresponding to NO), the calculation result output unit 12 calculates the required amount stored in the calculation result storage unit 13. Is output and the process ends. On the other hand, if there is a first row to be calculated (corresponding to YES), the required amount calculation unit 11 extracts the first row (see step ST115).
 そして、所要量計算部11は、抽出した1レコードの機種番号(製品A)に関連づけられる部品番号を、製品情報記憶部31から取得する(ステップST116を参照)。 Then, the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires a part number associated with the model number (product A) of one extracted record from the product information storage unit 31 (see step ST116).
 さらに、所要量計算部11は、取得した部品番号を親部品番号として、構成情報記憶部32から構成情報を取得する。そして、所要量計算部11は、親部品番号に関連づけられた、仕様値に対する構成部品の種類および構成部品の数を、パラメータ化された定義から取得する(ステップST117を参照)。 Further, the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires configuration information from the configuration information storage unit 32 using the acquired part number as a parent part number. Then, the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires the type of component and the number of components for the specification value associated with the parent component number from the parameterized definition (see step ST117).
 引き続き、所要量計算部11は、取得した子部品番号を親部品番号として、構成情報記憶部32から構成情報を取得する。そして、所要量計算部11は、親部品番号に関連づけられた、仕様値に対する構成部品の種類および構成部品の数を、パラメータ化された定義から取得する。そして、所要量計算部11は、取得した子部品の個数に、親部品(先に取得した子部品)の個数を乗じる。所要量計算部11は、上記の処理を構成する子部品が取得できなくなるまで繰り返し、所要量の計算結果を得る。 Subsequently, the requirement calculation unit 11 acquires configuration information from the configuration information storage unit 32 using the acquired child part number as the parent part number. Then, the required amount calculation unit 11 acquires the type of component and the number of components corresponding to the specification value associated with the parent component number from the parameterized definition. Then, the required amount calculation unit 11 multiplies the number of acquired child parts by the number of parent parts (the previously acquired child parts). The requirement calculation unit 11 repeatedly obtains the calculation result of the requirement until the child parts constituting the above processing cannot be acquired.
 次に、所要量計算部11は、すでに計算結果記憶部13に記憶されている所要量の計算結果があればそれを取得し、ステップST117の処理で得た所要量の計算結果に対して、同じ部品番号同士で個数の和を計算する。そして、所要量計算部11は、更新した所要量の計算結果を計算結果記憶部13に記憶させる(ステップST118を参照)。 Next, the requirement calculation unit 11 obtains the calculation result of the requirement already stored in the calculation result storage unit 13, and obtains the calculation result of the requirement obtained in the process of step ST117. Calculate the sum of the numbers of the same part number. Then, the requirement calculation unit 11 stores the updated calculation result of the requirement in the calculation result storage unit 13 (see step ST118).
 次に、所要量計算部11は、先頭行の1レコードとして抽出したレコードを計算対象レコードから削除する(ステップST119を参照)。そして、ステップST114へ戻る。 Next, the requirement calculation unit 11 deletes the record extracted as one record in the first row from the calculation target record (see step ST119). Then, the process returns to step ST114.
 このように、仕様値が確定した一部の仕様項目については、当該仕様値を用いた所要量計算を行い、仕様値が確定していない一部の仕様項目については、需要予測情報による予測値に基づいて所要量計算を行うことで、欠品または不良在庫(過剰在庫)が生じることを抑制することができる。 In this way, for some specification items for which specification values have been determined, the required amount is calculated using the specification values, and for some specification items for which specification values have not been determined, predicted values based on demand forecast information. By calculating the required amount based on the above, it is possible to suppress the occurrence of a shortage or defective inventory (excess inventory).
 また、パラメータ化された構成情報に基づいて、確定した仕様値に応じて必要となる構成部品の種類および構成部品の数が決定されることで、効率的に所要量の計算ができる。 Also, the required amount can be efficiently calculated by determining the type of component and the number of components required according to the determined specification value based on the parameterized configuration information.
 <効果>
 以下に、上記の実施形態による効果を例示する。なお、以下では、上記の実施形態に例示された具体的な構成に基づく効果が記載されるが、同様の効果が生じる範囲で、本明細書に例示される他の具体的な構成と置き換えられてもよい。
<Effect>
Below, the effect by said embodiment is illustrated. In the following, effects based on the specific configuration exemplified in the above-described embodiment will be described. However, other similar configurations exemplified in the present specification may be substituted within a range where the similar effect is generated. May be.
 上記の実施形態によれば、所要量計算装置が、所要量計算部11と、構成情報記憶部32と、予測値記憶部に対応する需要予測情報記憶部42とを備える。 According to the above embodiment, the requirement calculation device includes the requirement calculation unit 11, the configuration information storage unit 32, and the demand prediction information storage unit 42 corresponding to the predicted value storage unit.
 所要量計算部11は、受注により生産する製品を構成する部品の、必要とされる量である所要量を計算する。具体的には、所要量計算部11は、製品の受注において要求される仕様に対応する、仕様の項目ごとの仕様値に基づいて、部品の所要量を計算する。 Requirement calculation unit 11 calculates a required amount that is a required amount of a part constituting a product to be produced upon receipt of an order. Specifically, the required amount calculation unit 11 calculates the required amount of parts based on the specification value for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order of the product.
 構成情報記憶部32は、仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる部品の種類および部品の数との関係を示す情報である構成情報を記憶する。 The configuration information storage unit 32 stores configuration information, which is information indicating the relationship between the specification value and the type of component and the number of components required corresponding to the specification value.
 需要予測情報記憶部42は、仕様の項目ごとに予め定められた仕様値の予測値を記憶する。 The demand prediction information storage unit 42 stores a predicted value of a predetermined specification value for each specification item.
 ここで、所要量計算部11は、仕様値が入力された仕様の項目については、構成情報を参照しつつ、仕様値に基づく部品の所要量を計算する。また、所要量計算部11は、仕様値が入力されない仕様の項目については、構成情報を参照しつつ、予測値に基づく部品の所要量を計算する。 Here, the required amount calculation unit 11 calculates the required amount of parts based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input. Further, the requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the component requirement based on the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input.
 また、上記の実施形態によれば、所要量計算装置は、プログラムを実行する処理回路102aと、プログラムを記憶する記憶装置103とを備える。 Further, according to the above-described embodiment, the required amount calculation apparatus includes the processing circuit 102a that executes the program and the storage device 103 that stores the program.
 そして、処理回路102aがプログラムを実行することによって、以下の動作が実現される。 And the following operation | movement is implement | achieved when the processing circuit 102a runs a program.
 すなわち、仕様値が入力された仕様の項目については、記憶装置103または別の記憶装置に記憶された構成情報が参照されつつ、仕様値に基づく部品の所要量が計算される。また、仕様値が入力されない仕様の項目については、記憶装置103または別の記憶装置に記憶された構成情報が参照されつつ、記憶装置103または別の記憶装置に記憶された予測値に基づく部品の所要量が計算される。 That is, for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input, the required amount of parts based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device. In addition, for specification items for which specification values are not input, the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device is referred to, and the components based on the predicted values stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device are referred to. The requirements are calculated.
 また、上記の実施形態によれば、所要量計算装置は、処理回路102bを備える。 Further, according to the above embodiment, the required amount calculation apparatus includes the processing circuit 102b.
 そして、処理回路102bは、以下の動作を行う。 The processing circuit 102b performs the following operation.
 すなわち、処理回路102bは、仕様値が入力された仕様の項目については、記憶装置103または別の記憶装置に記憶された構成情報を参照しつつ、仕様値に基づく部品の所要量を計算する。また、処理回路102bは、仕様値が入力されない仕様の項目については、記憶装置103または別の記憶装置に記憶された構成情報を参照しつつ、記憶装置103または別の記憶装置に記憶された予測値に基づく部品の所要量を計算する。 That is, the processing circuit 102b calculates the required amount of parts based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device for the specification item to which the specification value is input. In addition, the processing circuit 102b refers to the configuration information stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device for the specification item for which the specification value is not input, and the prediction stored in the storage device 103 or another storage device. Calculate part requirements based on values.
 このような構成によれば、仕様値が入力された仕様の項目については、構成情報が参照されつつ、仕様値に基づく部品の所要量が計算される。また、仕様値が入力されない仕様の項目については、構成情報が参照されつつ、予測値に基づく部品の所要量が計算される。すなわち、受注において仕様値が確定した段階で対応する仕様の項目について部品の所要量を計算しつつ、受注において仕様値が確定していない仕様の項目についてのみ予測値に基づく部品の所要量を計算することができる。よって、仕様値の確定状況に応じて、予測値に基づく部品の所要量の算出の割合を減少させることができ、欠品または過剰在庫を抑制しつつ所要量を計算することができる。 According to such a configuration, for the item of the specification to which the specification value is input, the required amount of the part based on the specification value is calculated while referring to the configuration information. For the specification items for which no specification value is input, the required amount of the component based on the predicted value is calculated while referring to the configuration information. In other words, while calculating the required amount of parts for the corresponding specification item at the stage when the specification value is finalized in the order, the required amount of the part is calculated based on the predicted value only for the specification item for which the specification value is not finalized in the order. can do. Therefore, the proportion of calculation of the required amount of parts based on the predicted value can be reduced in accordance with the determined status of the specification value, and the required amount can be calculated while suppressing shortage or excess inventory.
 なお、これらの構成以外の本明細書に示される他の構成については適宜省略することができる。すなわち、これらの構成のみで、上記の効果を生じさせることができる。しかし、本明細書に示される他の構成のうちの少なくとも1つを上記の構成に適宜追加した場合、すなわち、上記の構成としては記載されなかった本明細書に示される他の構成を上記の構成に追加した場合でも、同様に上記の効果を生じさせることができる。 It should be noted that other configurations shown in the present specification other than these configurations can be omitted as appropriate. That is, the above effect can be produced only with these configurations. However, when at least one of the other configurations shown in this specification is appropriately added to the above configuration, that is, the other configurations shown in this specification that are not described as the above configuration are Even when added to the configuration, the above-described effects can be similarly produced.
 また、上記の実施形態によれば、所要量計算部11は、仕様値が入力された仕様の項目については、構成情報を参照しつつ、仕様値に基づく部品の種類および部品の数を計算する。また、所要量計算部11は、仕様値が入力されない仕様の項目については、構成情報を参照しつつ、予測値に基づく部品の種類および部品の数を計算する。 In addition, according to the above-described embodiment, the requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the type of component and the number of components based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information for the specification item to which the specification value is input. . In addition, the requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the type of component and the number of components based on the predicted value with reference to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which no specification value is input.
 このような構成によれば、受注において仕様値が確定した段階で対応する仕様の項目について部品の種類および部品の数を計算しつつ、受注において仕様値が確定していない仕様の項目についてのみ予測値に基づく部品の種類および部品の数を計算することができる。よって、仕様値の確定状況に応じて、予測値に基づく部品の所要量の算出の割合を減少させることができ、欠品または過剰在庫を抑制しつつ所要量を計算することができる。 According to such a configuration, the type and the number of parts are calculated for the corresponding specification item at the stage when the specification value is determined in the order, and only the specification item for which the specification value is not fixed in the order is predicted. The type of part and the number of parts based on the value can be calculated. Therefore, the proportion of calculation of the required amount of parts based on the predicted value can be reduced in accordance with the determined status of the specification value, and the required amount can be calculated while suppressing shortage or excess inventory.
 また、上記の実施形態によれば、構成情報は、仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる部品の種類および部品の数との関係をパラメータ化した情報である。 Further, according to the above-described embodiment, the configuration information is information obtained by parameterizing the relationship between the specification value and the type of component and the number of components required corresponding to the specification value.
 このような構成によれば、パラメータ化された構成情報に基づいて、確定した仕様値に応じて必要となる構成部品の種類および構成部品の数を求めることができる。よって、効率的に所要量の計算ができる。 According to such a configuration, the type of component and the number of components required according to the determined specification value can be obtained based on the parameterized configuration information. Therefore, the required amount can be calculated efficiently.
 また、上記の実施形態によれば、予測値は、仕様の項目ごとに、複数の数値がそれぞれ要求される確率とともに定義される。 Also, according to the above embodiment, the predicted value is defined together with the probability that a plurality of numerical values are required for each item of the specification.
 そして、所要量計算部11は、仕様値が入力されない仕様の項目については、構成情報を参照しつつ、予測値の期待値に基づく所要量を計算する。 The requirement calculation unit 11 calculates the requirement based on the expected value of the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input.
 このような構成によれば、受注において仕様値が確定していない仕様の項目について予測値の期待値に基づく部品の所要量を計算することができる。よって、仕様値の確定状況に応じて、予測値に基づく部品の所要量の算出の割合を減少させつつ、仕様値が確定していない仕様の項目についてその確定を待たずに部品の所要量を計算することができる。よって、欠品または過剰在庫を抑制しつつ所要量を計算することができる。 According to such a configuration, it is possible to calculate the required amount of parts based on the expected value of the predicted value for the item of the specification whose specification value is not fixed in the order. Therefore, while reducing the proportion of calculation of the required amount of parts based on the predicted value according to the specification value confirmation status, the required amount of parts can be reduced without waiting for the specification items for which specification values have not been fixed. Can be calculated. Therefore, the required amount can be calculated while suppressing shortage or excess inventory.
 <変形例>
 上記実施形態では、各構成要素の寸法、形状、相対的配置関係または実施の条件などについても記載する場合があるが、これらはすべての局面において例示であって、本明細書に記載されたものに限られることはない。よって、例示されていない無数の変形例が、本明細書に開示される技術の範囲内において想定される。たとえば、少なくとも1つの構成要素を変形する場合、追加する場合または省略する場合が含まれる。
<Modification>
In the above-described embodiment, the dimensions, shapes, relative arrangement relations, or implementation conditions of each component may be described. However, these are examples in all aspects and are described in this specification. It is not limited to. Accordingly, innumerable modifications not illustrated are envisaged within the scope of the technology disclosed in this specification. For example, a case where at least one component is modified, a case where it is added, or a case where it is omitted are included.
 また、矛盾が生じない限り、上記実施形態において「1つ」備えられるものとして記載された構成要素は、「1つ以上」備えられていてもよい。さらに、各構成要素は概念的な単位であって、1つの構成要素が複数の構造物から成る場合と、1つの構成要素がある構造物の一部に対応する場合と、さらには、複数の構成要素が1つの構造物に備えられる場合とを含む。また、各構成要素には、同一の機能を発揮する限り、他の構造または形状を有する構造物が含まれる。 In addition, as long as no contradiction arises, “one or more” components described as being provided with “one” in the above embodiment may be provided. Furthermore, each component is a conceptual unit, and one component consists of a plurality of structures, one component corresponds to a part of the structure, and a plurality of components. And the case where the component is provided in one structure. Each component includes a structure having another structure or shape as long as the same function is exhibited.
 また、本明細書における説明は、本技術に関するすべての目的のために参照され、いずれも、従来技術であると認めるものではない。 In addition, the description in the present specification is referred to for all purposes related to the present technology, and none of them is admitted to be prior art.
 また、上記実施形態で記載された各構成要素は、ソフトウェアまたはファームウェアとしても、それと対応するハードウェアとしても想定され、その双方の概念において、各構成要素は「部」または「処理回路」などと称される。 In addition, each component described in the above embodiment is assumed to be software or firmware, or hardware corresponding thereto, and in both concepts, each component is a “unit” or “processing circuit” or the like. Called.
 本明細書に開示される技術は、各構成要素が複数の装置に分散して備えられる場合(すなわち、システムのような態様)であってもよい。たとえば、計算結果記憶部13、仕様情報記憶部21、製品情報記憶部31、構成情報記憶部32および需要予測情報記憶部42は、図2においては所要量計算装置内に搭載されるものとして示されたが、これらのうちの少なくとも1つは、外部の機能部であってもよい。その場合、所要量計算装置内の他の機能部と外部の機能部とが互いに作用しあうことによって、全体として所要量計算装置の機能を果たすものであればよい。 The technique disclosed in the present specification may be a case where each component is distributed and provided in a plurality of devices (that is, an aspect like a system). For example, the calculation result storage unit 13, the specification information storage unit 21, the product information storage unit 31, the configuration information storage unit 32, and the demand prediction information storage unit 42 are illustrated as being mounted in the required amount calculation apparatus in FIG. 2. However, at least one of these may be an external functional unit. In that case, what is necessary is just to perform the function of the requirement calculation device as a whole by causing other functional units in the requirement calculation device and external function units to interact with each other.
 11 所要量計算部、12 計算結果出力部、13 計算結果記憶部、20 商談システム、21 仕様情報記憶部、30 設計システム、31 製品情報記憶部、32 構成情報記憶部、40 営業システム、42 需要予測情報記憶部、50 在庫管理システム、60 資材システム、102a,102b 処理回路、103 記憶装置、105 出力装置、200 予測台数、A,B,C 製品、A001,A005 仕様コード。 11 requirement calculation unit, 12 calculation result output unit, 13 calculation result storage unit, 20 negotiation system, 21 specification information storage unit, 30 design system, 31 product information storage unit, 32 configuration information storage unit, 40 sales system, 42 demand Prediction information storage unit, 50 inventory management system, 60 material system, 102a, 102b processing circuit, 103 storage device, 105 output device, 200 predicted number, A, B, C product, A001, A005 specification code.

Claims (9)

  1.  受注により生産する製品であり、かつ、複数の部品から構成され、それぞれの前記部品が複数の仕様値により定められる製品の、前記受注において要求される仕様に対応する、前記仕様の項目ごとの前記仕様値に基づいて、前記製品を構成する前記部品の、必要とされる量である所要量を計算する所要量計算部(11)と、
     前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係を示す情報である構成情報を記憶する構成情報記憶部(32)と、
     前記仕様の前記項目ごとに予め定められた前記仕様値の予測値を記憶する予測値記憶部(42)とを備え、
     前記所要量計算部(11)は、
     前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算し、
     前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算する、
     所要量計算装置。
    The product for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order for a product that is produced by an order and is composed of a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values. A required amount calculation unit (11) for calculating a required amount which is a required amount of the parts constituting the product based on a specification value;
    A configuration information storage unit (32) for storing configuration information, which is information indicating a relationship between the specification value and the type of component and the number of components required corresponding to the specification value;
    A predicted value storage unit (42) for storing a predicted value of the specification value predetermined for each item of the specification;
    The requirement calculation unit (11)
    For the item of the specification to which the specification value has been input, calculate the required amount of the part based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information,
    For the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input, the required amount of the part based on the predicted value is calculated while referring to the configuration information.
    Requirements calculation device.
  2.  前記所要量計算部は、
     前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の種類および前記部品の数を計算し、
     前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の種類および前記部品の数を計算する、
     請求項1に記載の所要量計算装置。
    The requirement calculation unit
    For the item of the specification to which the specification value has been input, while referring to the configuration information, calculate the type of the part and the number of the parts based on the specification value,
    For the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input, the type of the part and the number of the parts based on the predicted value are calculated while referring to the configuration information.
    The requirement calculation apparatus according to claim 1.
  3.  前記構成情報は、前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係をパラメータ化した情報である、
     請求項1または請求項2に記載の所要量計算装置。
    The configuration information is information obtained by parameterizing the relationship between the specification value and the type of component and the number of components required corresponding to the specification value.
    The requirement calculation apparatus according to claim 1 or 2.
  4.  前記予測値は、前記仕様の前記項目ごとに、複数の数値がそれぞれ要求される確率とともに定義され、
     前記所要量計算部(11)は、前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値の期待値に基づく前記所要量を計算する、
     請求項1から請求項3のうちのいずれか1項に記載の所要量計算装置。
    The predicted value is defined with a probability that a plurality of numerical values are required for each item of the specification,
    The requirement calculation unit (11) calculates the requirement based on the expected value of the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input.
    The requirement calculation apparatus according to any one of claims 1 to 3.
  5.  受注により生産する製品であり、かつ、複数の部品から構成され、それぞれの前記部品が複数の仕様値により定められる製品の、前記受注において要求される仕様に対応する、前記仕様の項目ごとの前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる、前記製品を構成する前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係を示す情報である構成情報を、構成情報記憶部(32)が記憶し、
     前記仕様の項目ごとに予め定められた前記仕様値の予測値を、予測値記憶部(42)が記憶し、
     所要量計算部(11)が、
     前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算し、
     前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の前記所要量を計算する、
     所要量計算方法。
    The product for each item of the specification corresponding to the specification required in the order for a product that is produced by an order and is composed of a plurality of parts, and each of the parts is defined by a plurality of specification values. The configuration information storage unit (32) stores configuration information, which is information indicating the relationship between the specification value and the type of the component constituting the product and the number of the components, which is required corresponding to the specification value. Remember,
    A predicted value storage unit (42) stores a predicted value of the specification value predetermined for each item of the specification,
    The requirement calculator (11)
    For the item of the specification to which the specification value has been input, calculate the required amount of the part based on the specification value while referring to the configuration information,
    For the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input, the required amount of the part based on the predicted value is calculated while referring to the configuration information.
    Requirements calculation method.
  6.  前記所要量計算部(11)は、
     前記仕様値が入力された前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記仕様値に基づく前記部品の種類および前記部品の数を計算し、
     前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の種類および前記部品の数を計算する、
     請求項5に記載の所要量計算方法。
    The requirement calculation unit (11)
    For the item of the specification to which the specification value has been input, while referring to the configuration information, calculate the type of the part and the number of the parts based on the specification value,
    For the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input, the type of the part and the number of the parts based on the predicted value are calculated while referring to the configuration information.
    The required amount calculation method according to claim 5.
  7.  前記構成情報は、前記仕様値と、当該仕様値に対応して必要とされる前記部品の種類および前記部品の数との関係をパラメータ化した情報である、
     請求項5または請求項6に記載の所要量計算方法。
    The configuration information is information obtained by parameterizing the relationship between the specification value and the type of component and the number of components required corresponding to the specification value.
    The requirement calculation method according to claim 5 or claim 6.
  8.  前記予測値は、前記仕様の前記項目ごとに、複数の数値がそれぞれ要求される確率とともに定義され、
     前記所要量計算部(11)は、前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値の期待値に基づく前記所要量を計算する、
     請求項5から請求項7のうちのいずれか1項に記載の所要量計算方法。
    The predicted value is defined with a probability that a plurality of numerical values are required for each item of the specification,
    The requirement calculation unit (11) calculates the requirement based on the expected value of the predicted value while referring to the configuration information for the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input.
    The required amount calculation method according to any one of claims 5 to 7.
  9.  前記所要量計算部(11)は、
     前記仕様値が入力されない前記仕様の前記項目については、前記構成情報を参照しつつ、前記予測値に基づく前記部品の種類および前記部品の数を計算し、
     すべての前記仕様におけるすべての前記仕様値が設定された計算対象レコードを作成し、
     前記計算対象レコードの先頭行が存在する場合は、当該先頭行を抽出し、
     抽出された前記先頭行の前記部品の種類、および、前記部品の数を、パラメータ化された情報である前記構成情報から取得することによって、前記所要量を計算する、
     請求項5から請求項8のうちのいずれか1項に記載の所要量計算方法。
    The requirement calculation unit (11)
    For the item of the specification for which the specification value is not input, while referring to the configuration information, calculate the type of the part and the number of the parts based on the predicted value,
    Create a calculation target record in which all the specification values in all the specifications are set,
    If the first row of the calculation target record exists, extract the first row,
    The required amount is calculated by obtaining the extracted type of the part in the first row and the number of parts from the configuration information which is parameterized information.
    The requirement calculation method according to any one of claims 5 to 8.
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