RU2517409C2 - Method for control efficiency estimation and device to this end - Google Patents

Abstract

FIELD: physics, computation hardware.

SUBSTANCE: set of inventions relates to estimation of efficiency of control over technical systems. Efficiency estimation device comprises 1st to 12th inputs and memory devices. Besides it incorporates the following units for: computation of weight factor K, analysis of fidelity of solutions and situations, accounting of first argument importance, computation of the quantity of co-occurrence of solutions and situations, display, device control, decision making time estimation, data acquisition time estimation, definition of quantity of proper decisions, definition of quantity of comprehensive decisions, definition of quantity of situations with timely collected data, definition of probability of timely and proper decision making, estimation of decision implementation time, definition of quantity if timely implemented decisions, definition of total relative quantity of timely implemented decisions, definition of probability of timely implementation of decisions made, definition of probability of timely data acquisition, definition of control efficiency index.

EFFECT: higher efficiency of estimation.

2 cl, 2 dwg

Description

The group of inventions relates to computer technology and can find application in the development of automated control systems for various processes, as well as in assessing the effectiveness of managing a wide class of technical systems, regardless of their purpose, goals, tasks and complexity.

There is a method of determining the health of objects (see Mozgalevsky A.V., Gaskarov D.V. Technical diagnostics. - M .: Higher school, 1975, p. 38-46), including the measurement of parameters and their comparison with the relevant standards (standards) .

The disadvantage of this method is its narrow specialization - the diagnosis of technical systems, which does not allow to evaluate the effectiveness of control of these systems.

There is also known a method implemented by a device for evaluating the effectiveness of algorithmic support (RF Patent No. 2207621, class G06F 15/173, publ. 06/27/2003), in which the necessary source data is written to a storage device (memory): arguments in the form of linguistic variables for various decision options, arguments in the form of linguistic variables for the current situation, weight coefficients of importance K _{i of the} basic argument according to the results of a survey of decision makers (DM), data on the number of DM decision L, the time t _ij spent on understanding of the decision of the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation, data on the number of situations M, the value of the admissible time f _additional decision-making, calculate the sum of the values of the weight coefficients of importance K _{i the} base argument, calculate the weight coefficient K, analyze the compliance of the solutions and situations, take into account the importance coefficient of the first argument, calculate the number of matches of the solutions and situations, display on the screen of the display unit, analyze the results of assessing the number of matches of the solutions and situations and the largest number of matches Dénia choose the best solution, evaluate the time taken to make a decision by the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation, determine the number of decisions R _j made in a timely manner for the j-th situation, determine the right decisions for the j-th situation, determine the number of correctly made decisions for the j-th situation S _j, determine the total number of correct decisions, determine the total relative amount of correct decisions made determine the relative amount of timely and correct decisions made relative to define the general t he timely and correct decisions, determine the probability of a correct decision, determine the probability of timely and correct decision, determine the value of the index of efficiency of algorithmic support, displays and analyzes the evaluation of the effectiveness of the algorithmic software.

This method has the following disadvantages:

- does not allow to evaluate management by an efficiency indicator,

- does not make it possible to assess the likelihood of timely implementation of decisions taken,

- does not allow to evaluate the probability of timely collection of all the information necessary for decision-making.

The closest in technical essence to the claimed method is a method for evaluating the effectiveness of control (RF Patent No. 2326442, class G07C 3/00, G06F 17/00, publ. 06/10/2008), in which the necessary source data is recorded in the storage device: arguments in the form of linguistic variables for various solutions, arguments in the form of linguistic variables for the current situation, weight coefficients of importance K _{i of the} base argument according to the results of a survey of decision makers, data on the number of decision-makers L, time t _ij spent of decision-making by the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation, data on the number of situations M, the value of the permissible time t _extra decisions, calculate the sum of the values of the weight coefficients of importance K _{i the} base argument, calculate the weight coefficient K, analyze the correspondence of the solutions and situations , take into account the coefficient of importance of the first argument, calculate the number of matches of the solutions and situations, display on the screen of the display unit, analyze the results of assessing the number of matches of the solutions and situations and the largest number in a match, the best solution, estimate the time spent on deciding the i-th decision-makers in the j-th of the situation, determine the amount of the timely adoption of the j-th situation making R _j, determine the right decisions for the j-th of the situation, determine the number of correctly received decisions for the j-th situation S _j , determine the total number of correctly made decisions, determine the total relative number of correctly made decisions, determine the relative number of timely and correct decisions, determine the general the number of timely and correctly made decisions, determine the probability of correct decision making, determine the likelihood of timely and correct decision making, determine the value of the management efficiency indicator, display on the screen of the display unit and analyze the resulting assessment of the management efficiency, additionally simultaneously with recording the necessary initial data to storage devices recorded as data on the number of communication directions Q, data of the allowable time 1 _dop.r implementation D eny, the time value t _qj spent on the implementation of i-solutions in the j-th of the situation, together with the assessment of the time spent on deciding the i-th decision-makers in the j-th of the situation, assess the timing of decisions t _qj using a time evaluation unit the implementation of decisions, simultaneously with the determination of the number of decisions R _j made in a timely manner for the jth situation, determine the number of decisions C _{j made} in a timely manner using the block for determining the number of decisions made in a timely manner, simultaneously with the determination of the total relative TWO of timely and correctly made decisions determine the total relative number of timely implemented decisions using the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented decisions, simultaneously with determining the probability of correct decision making and the likelihood of timely and correct decision making, determine the probability of timely implementation of decisions made using the block determining the probability of timely implementation of decisions made.

The disadvantage of this method is that it does not allow to evaluate the probability of timely collection of all the information necessary for decision-making.

A device for selecting optimal solutions is known, comprising a block of m × n dimension memory elements, a block of n minimum selection elements, a first block of n and a second of m maximum selection elements, the first and second key blocks of n commuting elements, the first and second blocks subtractors for m × n elements and a block of m indicators (USSR Author's Certificate No. 1774354, class G06F 15/419, 1990).

The disadvantages of this device are the difficulty in obtaining information for the matrix of values of the a priori probability of outcomes in case of uncertainty, as well as the inability to characterize the management by the efficiency indicator.

A device for choosing rational solutions is known, comprising a block of decision memory elements in the form of an m × n matrix, a block of situation memory elements, a poll memory element block, a memory element, an accumulated adder, a divider, an m × n matrix matrix comparator block, a block multipliers, a block of OR elements, a block of accumulators, a pulse distributor, a clock generator and a block of indicators (RF Patent No. 2158955, CL G 06 F 157173,2000).

This device has the following disadvantages:

- does not allow to characterize the management in terms of performance,

- does not provide an opportunity to assess the qualifications of decision makers,

- does not allow to evaluate the probability of timely collection of all the information necessary for decision-making.

Also known is a device for evaluating the effectiveness of algorithmic support (RF Patent No. 2207621, class G06F 15/173, published June 27, 2003), containing a block of decision memory elements made in the form of a matrix, a block of situation memory elements, a block of polling memory elements , the first block of comparators, made in the form of a matrix, a block of multipliers, a block of elements OR, a first block of adders with accumulation, a first memory element, a first adder with accumulation, a first divider, a block of indicators, a clock generator and a first pulse distributor, input for which it is connected to the output of the clock generator, the first output of the pulse distributor is with the recording inputs of the first memory element, as well as with the recording inputs of all memory elements of the block of decision memory elements, the block of situation memory elements and the block of polling memory elements, the second output of the pulse distributor is connected to read inputs of the elements of the polling memory block, the third output - with the read input of the first memory element, the fourth to fourth + m outputs - with read inputs from the first to the mth block elements as decision memory elements and a block of situation memory elements, the fifth + m output is with accumulator readings of the adders of the first adder block, the outputs of which are connected to the indicators of the indicators block indicators, and the information inputs are the outputs of the elements of the OR block, the first inputs of which are connected to the outputs of the multipliers of the block of multipliers, and from the second to the mth inputs, with the outputs of the comparators of the first block of comparators, starting from the second line, and the outputs of the first line of the first block of comparators are connected to the first inputs of the multiplier multipliers block, the second inputs of which are connected to the output of the first divider, the first input of which is connected to the output of the first adder with accumulation, from the first to the Lth inputs of which are connected to the corresponding outputs of the memory elements of the block of polling memory elements, the information inputs of which are inputs of the first group device inputs, information inputs of memory elements of a block of situation memory elements are inputs of a second group of device inputs, and the outputs of each of the elements of a situation memory block are connected to the first inputs of the comparators of the corresponding line of the first block of comparators, the second inputs of which are connected to the corresponding outputs of the memory elements of the block of decision memory elements, the information inputs of which are the third group of inputs of the device, the information input of the first memory element is the first input of the device, switch, memory block of the results of work, made in the form of a matrix, the second and third memory elements, the second and third blocks of comparators, made in the form of matrices, the second and third blocks the sum tori with accumulation, divider block, second and third adders with accumulation, second, third and fourth dividers, multiplier, display unit and second pulse distributor, the input of which is connected to the output of the clock generator, the sixth output of the second pulse distributor - with the control input of the switch, and the seventh output is with the read input of the third memory element, the information input of which is the second input of the device, and the output is connected to the first inputs of the third and fourth dividers, the second inputs of which are inens with outputs of the second divider and the third adder with accumulation, from the first through the Mth inputs of which are connected to the outputs of the respective dividers of the divider block, the first inputs of which are connected to the outputs of the corresponding adders of the second adder block with accumulation, and the second inputs - with the outputs of the corresponding adders the third block of adders with accumulation, from the first to the Lth inputs of each of which are connected to the outputs from the first to Lth comparators of the corresponding column of the second block of comparators, the first input The odes of each of which are connected to the output of the second memory element, the information input of which is the third input of the device, the information inputs of each element of the block of memory elements of the work results are the inputs of the fourth group of device inputs, the outputs of each of these memory elements are connected to the second inputs of each comparator of the second block of comparators as well as to the inputs of each comparator of the third block of comparators, the outputs of each comparator of the corresponding column of which are connected to the first by the Lth inputs with the corresponding adder of the second accumulator adder block, the outputs of each of which are connected to the corresponding M inputs of the second accumulator, the output of which is connected to the first input of the second divider, the second input of which is connected to the first output of the switch, the second output of which is connected to the second input of the first divider, and the information input of the switch is with the output of the first memory element, the output of the third divider is connected to the first input of the multiplier, the second input of which is connected to the output of the fourth divider And the output of the multiplier - to the input of the indication unit. This device has the following disadvantages:

- does not allow to evaluate management by an efficiency indicator;

- does not make it possible to assess the likelihood of timely implementation of decisions taken,

- does not allow to evaluate the probability of timely collection of all the information necessary for decision-making.

The closest analogue (prototype) to the claimed one is a device for evaluating the effectiveness of management (RF Patent No. 2326442, class G07C 3/00, G06F 17/00, publ. 06/10/2008), containing memory options for solutions, memory situations, memory the results of the decision-maker’s survey, the unit for analyzing the correspondence of decisions and situations, the unit for taking into account the importance of the first argument, the unit for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations, the memory of the number of decision-makers, the unit for calculating the sum of the values of K _i , the unit for calculating the weight coefficient K, the display unit, the device operation control unit whose first exit is it is single with the second inputs of the memory of the number of decision-makers, the memory of options for solutions, the memory of situations and the memory of the results of the survey of the decision-makers, the second output of the control unit of the operation of the device is connected to the third input of the memory of the results of the survey of the decision-makers, the third output is with the third input of the memory of the number of decision-makers, the fourth output is with the third the inputs of the memory of solution options and the memory of situations, the fifth output is with the third input of the unit for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations, the output of which is connected to the first input of the display unit, the first input is connected to the output of the accounting unit of importance of the first argument a, and the second input - with the second output of the decision and situation matching analysis unit, and the first output of the decision and situation matching analysis unit is connected to the first input of the importance accounting unit of the first argument, the second input of which is connected to the output of the weight coefficient calculator K, the first input of which connected to the output unit calculating the sum values K _i, whose input is connected to the output memory DM survey results, the first input of which is a third input device, the first input memory situations is the second input device and the output of the situation memory is connected to the second input of the decision and situation analysis analysis unit, the first input of which is connected to the memory of the solutions of options, the first input of which is the first input of the device, the first input of the memory of the number of decision-makers is the fourth input of the device, the memory of the results of the work of decision-makers, memories allowable decision time and memory of the number of situations, a unit for estimating decision time and a unit for determining correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions and a unit for determining the number of decisions made in a timely manner, a unit for determining the relative amount of timely and correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the total number of correctly and timely decisions, a unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the probability of correct decision-making, block determining the likelihood of timely and correct decision-making lane, the sixth output of the device operation control unit is connected to the fourth input of the memory of the number of decision-makers, and the seventh output is connected to the third input of the number of situations memory, the first input of which is the sixth device input, the second input is connected to the first output of the device operation control unit, and the output to the first inputs of the unit for determining the probability of correct decision-making and the unit for determining the probability of timely and correct decision-making, the second inputs of which are connected to the outputs of the unit for determining the total the relative number of correctly made decisions and the unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, the first input of which is connected to the second output of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions, and the second input with the output of the unit for determining the number of decisions made in a timely manner, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for evaluating the time of decision-making, per the first input of which is connected to the memory of the allowable decision-making time, the first input of which is the seventh input of the device, and the second and third inputs are connected respectively to the first and second outputs of the unit for controlling the operation of the device, the first input of the memory of the results of the LPR operation is the fifth input of the device, and the second and the third inputs are connected respectively to the first and second outputs of the device operation control unit, the first output of this memory device is connected to the second input of the decision time evaluation unit, and the second output to the input the unit for determining correctly made decisions, the output of which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions, the first output of which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the total number of correctly made decisions, the output of which is connected to the first input of the unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions, the second input which is connected to the second output of the memory of the number of DM, the first output of which is connected to the second input of the unit for calculating the weight coefficient K, the output of the unit is determined the probability of correct decision making is connected to the first input of the unit for determining the indicator of evaluating the effectiveness of management, the second input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the probability of timely and correct decision-making, and the output is connected to the second input of the display unit, the memory of the number of communication directions, the first input of which is the eighth the input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the seventh output of the device operation control unit, the memory of the allowable solution implementation time , the first input of which is the ninth input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is to the second output of the device operation control unit, the memory of the results of the implementation of decisions, the first input of which is the tenth input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input - with the second output of the device operation control unit, a decision implementation time evaluation unit, the first input of which is connected to the memory output of the allowable decision implementation time, and the second input - with the output of the memory of decision implementation results, b lock for determining the number of timely implemented solutions, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for estimating the time for implementing decisions, a unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented solutions, the first input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the number of timely implemented solutions, and the second input - with the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions made, a unit for determining the probability of timely implementation of decisions made, the first input of which is connected to the output of the op edeleniya total relative amount promptly implemented solutions, the second input - output memory with the number of situations, the third input - with the output of the memory the number of communication lines, and an output - to a third input of determining a management efficiency.

The disadvantage of this device is that it does not allow to assess the probability of timely collection of all the information necessary for decision-making.

The task to which the claimed invention is directed is to expand the functionality of the method and device by increasing the accuracy of evaluating management effectiveness by providing an estimate of the likelihood of timely collection of all the information necessary for decision-making.

This can be done as follows. The following information is used as initial information for making a decision:

- m × n matrix of solutions, where m is the number of arguments in the form of linguistic variables, and n is the number of solutions;

- matrix of the current situation in the form of a single column of dimension m;

- the matrix of the survey results L LPR in the form of a single column of dimension L.

As a linguistic variable, an encoded quantitative or qualitative characteristic of an argument can appear that affects the choice of a solution option. For example, if some physical quantity of a certain dimension is considered as an argument, then the linguistic variable can have the following encoded values, such as, for example, small, medium, large.

. Выбирается тот вариант решения, которому соответствует наибольшее количество совпадений кодов аргументов.Next, a comparison of the codes of the arguments in the form of linguistic variables of the current situation with the code of these variables of each solution R _i , $$i=\overline{\mathrm{one,}n}$$

. The solution is selected that corresponds to the largest number of matches of the argument codes.

The first of the arguments is conditionally selected as the base one. The importance of the importance of this argument is estimated using the weight coefficient K> 1, which is determined on the basis of a survey of decision makers on the following relationship:

$$K=\frac{{\displaystyle \sum _{i=\mathrm{one}}^L{K}_i}}{L},i=\overline{\mathrm{one,}L},(\mathrm{one})$$

where K _i is the weighting coefficient of the basic argument according to the i-th decision-maker (K _i ≥1).

The efficiency indicator for the management of technical systems W can be estimated by the following formula:

$$W=P_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.\mathrm{and}nf}\times P_{PR}\times P_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.PR}\times P_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.R},(2)$$

where R _{St. INF} - the probability of timely collection of all necessary information for decision-making,

P _ol - the probability of a correct decision,

R _{St. pr} - the likelihood of timely and correct decision-making,

R _St. R - the probability of the timely implementation of the correct and timely decision (the implementation of the correct and timely decision will mean the timely delivery of an appropriately executed decision to the performers in the areas of communication).

$$P_{PR}=\frac{\mathrm{one}}{M}{\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M\frac{S_{PR.j}}{L}},j=\overline{\mathrm{one,}M},(3)$$

where M is the number of situations considered;

L is the number of decision-makers involved in the work for the j-th situation;

S _p.j - the number of correctly made decisions for the j-th situation.

For the convenience of hardware implementation, it is advisable to rewrite formula (3) in the following form:

$$P_{PR}=\frac{\mathrm{one}}{M\times L}{\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M{S}_{PR.j}},j=\overline{\mathrm{one,}M},(\mathrm{four})$$

The value of S _{p.j is} determined by counting in the column of the matrix of the results of the work of the decision maker the numbers other than zero. This matrix of dimension L × M includes initial information representing the time spent by various decision-makers in the process of finding rational solutions. In case of a wrong decision, zero is sent to the corresponding matrix cell.

$$P_{PR}=\frac{\mathrm{one}}{M}{\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M\frac{R_j}{S_{PR.j}}},j=\overline{\mathrm{one,}M},(5)$$

where R _j - the number of timely and correctly adopted decisions for the j-th situation;

$$R_j={\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^L{R}_{ij}},i=\overline{\mathrm{one,}M},(6)$$

Where

$$R_{ij}=\{\begin{array}{l}\mathrm{one,}e\mathrm{from}l\mathrm{and}{t}_{ij}\le t_{d\mathrm{about}P}\\ 0e\mathrm{from}l\mathrm{and}{t}_{ij}⊳t_{d\mathrm{about}P},\end{array}(7)$$

where t _ij is the current value of the time spent on the decision of the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation;

t _add - allowable time for a decision.

$$P_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.PR}=\frac{\mathrm{one}}{Q\times M}{\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M\frac{C_j}{R_j}},j=\overline{\mathrm{one,}M},(8)$$

where C _j - the number of timely decisions correctly and timely made for the jth situation;

$$C_j={\displaystyle \sum _{q=\mathrm{one}}^Q{C}_{qj}},q=\overline{\mathrm{one,}Q},(9)$$

where Q is the number of communication directions corresponding to the number of performers;

$$C_{qj}=\{\begin{array}{l}\mathrm{one,}e\mathrm{from}l\mathrm{and}{t}_{qj}\le t_{d\mathrm{about}P.p}\\ 0e\mathrm{from}l\mathrm{and}{t}_{qj}⊳t_{d\mathrm{about}P.p},\end{array}(10)$$

t _qj is the current value of time spent on the implementation of correctly and timely decisions in the j-th situation;

t _add.r - allowable time for the implementation of the decision.

$$P_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.\mathrm{and}nf}=\frac{\mathrm{one}}{M}{\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M{M}_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.\mathrm{and}nf,j}},j=\overline{\mathrm{one,}M},(\mathrm{eleven})$$

where M is the number of situations;

$$M_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.\mathrm{and}nf,j}=\{\begin{array}{l}\mathrm{one,}e\mathrm{from}l\mathrm{and}{t}_{uj}\le t_{d\mathrm{about}P.u}\\ 0e\mathrm{from}l\mathrm{and}{t}_{uj}⊳t_{d\mathrm{about}P.u},\end{array}(12)$$

t _uj is the current value of the time spent collecting all the information necessary for making a decision in the j-th situation;

t _add.and - allowable time to collect information.

The problem is solved due to the fact that in the known method of evaluating the effectiveness of control, in which the necessary source data is written to the storage devices: arguments in the form of linguistic variables for various solutions, arguments in the form of linguistic variables for the current situation, weight coefficients of importance K _i basic argument in a survey of decision-makers, decision-makers on the number of L, and time values t _ij, spent on deciding the i-th decision-makers in the j-th situation on the number of data situations M, the allowable value of time t _additional decision calculated sum of the weighting factors of importance K _i basic argument calculating a weighting factor K is assayed appropriate solutions and situations account for the coefficient importance of the first argument, the calculated number of matches for this solutions and situations displayed on screen of the display unit, analyze the results of estimating the number of matches of solutions and situations and by the largest number of matches choose the best solution, evaluate the time, cost Goes the decision i-th decision-makers in the j-th of the situation, determine the amount of the timely adoption of the j-th situation making R _j, determine the right decisions for the j-th of the situation, determine the number of correct decisions made for the j-th situation S _j, determine the total number of correctly made decisions, determine the total relative number of correctly made decisions, determine the relative number of timely and correct decisions, determine the total relative number of timely and correct decisions, op they make the probability of correct decision making, determine the probability of timely and correct decision-making, determine the value of the management efficiency indicator, display on the screen of the display unit and analyze the obtained estimate of the management efficiency, at the same time as recording the necessary initial data, the data on the number of communication directions Q are written to the storage devices, data on the permissible time t _{add.p of the} implementation of solutions, the values of time t _qj spent on the implementation of the i-th solution in the j-th situation and, at the same time as estimating the time taken to make a decision by the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation, they evaluate the decision time t _qj using the block for estimating the decision-making time, while determining the number of decisions R _j made in a timely manner for the j-th situation the number of timely implemented decisions With _j using the unit for determining the number of timely implemented decisions, simultaneously with the determination of the total relative number of timely and correctly made decisions determine the total relative e the number of timely implemented decisions using the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented decisions, simultaneously with determining the probability of correct decision making and the likelihood of timely and correct decision making, determine the probability of timely implementation of the decisions made using the unit for determining the probability of timely implementation of the decisions made, the new is which is additionally simultaneously with the recording of the necessary initial data in a storage device They also record data on the permissible time for collecting information 1 _additional and the value of time t _uj spent on collecting all the information necessary for making a decision in the j-th situation, at the same time as estimating the time taken to make a decision by the i-th decision maker in j- of the first situation, evaluate the time t _uj spent on collecting all the information necessary for making a decision in the j-th situation, using the block for estimating the time of collecting information, simultaneously with determining the number of decisions R _j made in a timely manner for the j-th situation, determine the number of situations M _{St. inf, j} , for making decisions in which all the necessary information was collected in a timely manner, using the unit for determining the number of situations with timely collected information, simultaneously with the determination of the probability of a correct decision, the probability of the timely collection of all the information necessary for decision making R _{St. inf} using the unit for determining the probability of timely collection of information.

The solution of this problem is also achieved by the fact that in the device for evaluating the effectiveness of management, which contains the memory of solution options, the memory of situations, the memory of the results of the decision-making survey, the unit for analyzing the correspondence of solutions and situations, the unit for taking into account the importance of the first argument, the unit for calculating the number of matches of solutions and situations, the memory the number of decision makers, the unit for calculating the sum of the values of K _i , the unit for calculating the weight coefficient K, the display unit, the unit for controlling the operation of the device, the first output of which is connected to the second inputs of the memory of the number of decision makers, the option memory solutions, the memory of situations and the memory of the results of the decision of the decision maker, the second output of the control unit for the operation of the device is connected to the third input of the memory of the results of the decision of the decision maker, the third output is with the third input of the memory of the number of decision makers, the fourth output is with the third inputs of the memory of decision options and the memory of situations, fifth output - with the third input of the unit for calculating the number of coincidence of decisions and situations, the output of which is connected to the first input of the display unit, the first input is connected to the output of the accounting unit of importance of the first argument, and the second input to the second output of the analysis unit, respectively decision requirements and situations, and the first output of the decision-analysis analysis of decisions and situations is connected to the first input of the importance accounting unit of the first argument, the second input of which is connected to the output of the weight coefficient calculator K, the first input of which is connected to the output of the sum unit K _i , input which is connected to the output of the memory of the results of the DM decision poll, the first input of which is the third input of the device, the first input of the situations memory is the second input of the device, and the output of the situations memory is connected to the second input of the unit the analysis of decisions and situations, the first input of which is connected to the output of the memory of solution options, the first input of which is the first input of the device, the first input of the memory of the number of decision makers is the fourth input of the device, the memory of the results of the work of the decision maker, the memory of the allowable decision time and the memory of the number of situations, block estimates of decision making time and a unit for determining correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions and a unit for determining the number of timely decisions, a determining unit relates unit of the number of timely and correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the total number of correctly made decisions and a unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions, a unit for determining the probability of correct decision-making, a unit for determining the probability of timely and correct adoption solutions, the unit for determining the indicator of control efficiency, the sixth output of the unit for controlling the operation of the device VA is connected to the fourth input of the memory of the number of decision-makers, and the seventh output is connected to the third input of the memory of the number of situations, the first input of which is the sixth input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output of the device operation control unit, and the output is to the first inputs of the probability determination unit decisions and the unit for determining the probability of timely and correct decision-making, the second inputs of which are connected to the outputs of, respectively, the unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions and the unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, the first input of which is connected to the second output of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions, and the second input - with the output of the determination unit the number of decisions made in a timely manner, the input of which is connected to the output of the decision time evaluation unit, the first input of which is connected to the output of the memory decision making, the first input of which is the seventh input of the device, and the second and third inputs are connected respectively to the first and second outputs of the unit for controlling the operation of the device, the first input of the memory of the results of the work of the DM is the fifth input of the device, and the second and third inputs are connected respectively to the first and to the second outputs of the device operation control unit, the first output of this memory is connected to the second input of the decision time estimation unit, and the second output is connected to the input of the unit for determining correctly made decisions, the output which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions, the first output of which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the total number of correctly made decisions, the output of which is connected to the first input of the unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions, the second input of which is connected to the second output of the memory of the number of decision-makers the first output of which is connected to the second input of the block for calculating the weight coefficient K, the output of the block for determining the probability of correct decision making it is direct to the first input of the block for determining the indicator of evaluating the effectiveness of control, the second input of which is connected to the output of the block for determining the probability of timely and correct decision-making, and the output is connected to the second input of the display unit, the memory of the number of communication directions, the first input of which is the eighth input of the device, the second input connected to the first output, and the third input to the seventh output of the device operation control unit, the memory of the permissible implementation time of decisions, the first input of which is the ninth input of the device Accordingly, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the second output of the device operation control unit, the memory of the results of implementation of decisions, the first input of which is the tenth input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the second output of the control unit the operation of the device, the unit for estimating the time for implementation of decisions, the first input of which is connected to the memory of the allowable time for the implementation of decisions, and the second input - with the output of the memory of the results of the implementation of decisions, the unit for determining the amount of timely implementation x decisions, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for estimating the time of implementation of decisions, the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented decisions, the first input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions, and the second input - with the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions, block determining the probability of timely implementation of decisions made, the first input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the total relative amount of time of implemented solutions, the second input - with the output of the memory of the number of situations, the third input - with the output of the memory of the number of communication directions, and the output - with the third input of the unit for determining the management efficiency indicator, the new one is that the memory of the admissible information collection time is additionally introduced into it, the first input of which is the eleventh input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the second output of the device operation control unit, the memory of information collection results, the first input of which is twelve the first input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the second output of the device operation control unit, an information collection time estimation unit, the first input of which is connected to the memory output of the allowable information collection time, and the second input - to the memory output of the collection results information, a unit for determining the number of situations with timely collected information, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for estimating the time of information collection, a unit for determining the probability of timely collection of information, the first input of which is connected nen with the output of the unit for determining the number of situations with timely collected information, the second input with the output of the memory of the number of situations, and the output with the fourth input of the unit for determining the indicator of management efficiency.

These distinctive features of the claimed inventions can expand the functionality of the method and device for evaluating the effectiveness of management by providing an assessment of the likelihood of the timely collection of all necessary information for decision-making.

The proposed technical solutions are new, since the proposed sequence of steps of the method and the construction of a device for evaluating the effectiveness of control are unknown from publicly available information.

The proposed technical solutions have an inventive step, since it does not explicitly follow from published scientific data and known technical solutions that the claimed sequence of actions of the method and the construction of the device lead to the expansion of the functionality of the method and device for evaluating the effectiveness of control.

The proposed technical solutions are industrially applicable, since they are based on tools widely used in automated control systems, while the device blocks for implementing the method for evaluating control efficiency can be performed on the basis of comparators, multipliers, OR elements, accumulators, dividers, clock generators pulses, pulse distributors, memory elements, and on the basis of a personal computer with appropriate software for the implementation of functions.

Figures 1 and 2 show a block diagram of a device for implementing a method for evaluating control efficiency (to eliminate cumbersome communication between the device operation control unit and the control inputs of the respective blocks, they are not shown in full, but are indicated by numbering the inputs and outputs).

On the structural diagram of the device for implementing the method of evaluating the effectiveness of control (figures 1 and 2), the numbers indicate:

1 - the first input of the device,

2 - memory solutions,

3 - the second input of the device,

4 - memory situations

5 - the third input of the device,

6 - memory of the results of the survey of decision-makers,

7 - the fourth input of the device,

8 - memory of the number of decision-making,

9 - the fifth input of the device,

10 - memory of the results of the work of the decision-maker,

11 - the sixth input of the device

12 - memory of the number of situations,

13 - the seventh input of the device

14 - memory of the allowable decision time,

15 is a block for calculating the sum of the values of K _i ,

16 - block calculating the weight coefficient K,

17 - block analysis of the compliance of decisions and situations,

18 - block taking into account the importance of the first argument,

19 is a block for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations,

20 is a display unit,

21 is a control unit of the operation of the device,

22 is a block for evaluating decision time,

23 - block determining correctly made decisions,

24 is a block for determining the number of correctly made decisions,

25 is a block for determining the number of timely decisions,

26 is a block for determining the relative number of timely and correct decisions,

27 is a block for determining the total number of correctly made decisions,

28 is a block for determining the total relative number of timely and correct decisions,

29 is a block for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions,

30 - block determining the probability of correct decision-making,

31 - block determining the likelihood of timely and correct decision-making,

32 is a block for determining the indicator of management effectiveness,

33 - the eighth input of the device,

34 - memory of the number of communication directions,

35 - the ninth input of the device

36 - memory permissible time for the implementation of decisions,

37 - the tenth input of the device,

38 - memory of the outcome of the implementation of decisions,

39 is a block for evaluating the time of implementation of decisions,

40 - block determining the number of timely implemented solutions,

41 - block determining the total relative number of timely implemented solutions,

42 - block determining the probability of timely implementation of decisions;

43 - eleventh input device

44 - memory of the permissible time for collecting information,

45 - the twelfth input of the device

46 - memory of the results of the collection of information,

47 is a block for estimating the time of collecting information,

48 - block determining the number of situations with timely collected information,

49 is a unit for determining the probability of timely collection of information.

A device for evaluating the effectiveness of management contains a storage device for decision options 2, memory of situations 4, memory of the results of a survey of decision makers 6, a unit for analyzing decisions and situations 17, an importance accounting unit for the first argument 18, a unit for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations 19, memory DMP number 8, the sum calculation unit 15 the values K _i, the weighting factor calculation unit 16 K, a display unit 20, operation control unit device 21, a first output connected to second inputs of the memory amount DMP 8 memory variants of solutions 3, the memory of situations 4 and the memory of the results of the decision of the decision maker 6, the second output of the control unit of the operation of the device 21 is connected to the third input of the memory of the results of the poll of the decision maker 6, the third output is from the third input of the memory of the number of decision makers 8, the fourth output is with the third inputs of the memory of options solutions 2 and memory of situations 4, the fifth output is with the third input of the unit for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations 19, the output of which is connected to the first input of the display unit 20, the first input is connected to the output of the importance accounting unit of the first argument 18, and the second input to the second output block the analysis of decisions and situations 17, and the first output of the analysis of decisions and situations 17 is connected to the first input of the importance accounting unit of the first argument 18, the second input of which is connected to the output of the weight coefficient calculation block K 16, the first input of which is connected to the output of the sum calculation unit values K _i 15, the input of which is connected to the output of the memory of the results of the polling decision 6, the first input of which is the third input 5 of the device, the first input of the memory of situations 4 is the second input 3 of the device, and the output of the memory of situations 4 the second input of which is connected to the output of the memory of solution options 2, the first input of which is the first input of the device 1, the first input of the memory of the number of decision-makers 8 is the fourth input 7 of the device, the memory of the results of the work of decision-makers 10, The memory of the allowable decision-making time 14 and the memory of the number of situations 12, the unit for evaluating the decision-making time 22 and the unit for determining the right decisions 23, the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions 24 and the unit for determining the number of timely decisions taken 25, a unit for determining the relative number of timely and correctly made decisions 26, a unit for determining the total number of timely and correctly made decisions 28, a unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions 29, a unit for determining the probability of correct decision making 30, the unit for determining the likelihood of timely and correct decision making 31, the unit for determining the performance indicator of 32, the sixth output of the operation control unit of the device 21 is connected to the fourth input of the memory of the number of DMs 8, and the seventh output is connected to the third input of the memory of the number of situations 12, the first input of which is the sixth input of the device 11, the second input is connected to the first output of the device operation control unit 21, and the output is to the first inputs of the probability determination block of correct decision making 30 and the probability determination block of timely and correct decision making 31, the second inputs of which are connected to the outputs of the block of determination the total relative number of correctly made decisions 29 and the unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correctly made decisions 28, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the relative number of timely and correct decisions 26, the first input of which is connected to the second output of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions 24, and the second input - with the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions 25, the input of which is connected to the output of the time evaluation unit decision-making 22, the first input of which is connected to the memory of the allowable decision-making time 14, the first input of which is the seventh input 13 of the device, and the second and third inputs are connected respectively to the first and second output of the control unit of the device 21, the first input of the memory of the results of the work 10 is the fifth input 9 of the device, and the second and third inputs are connected respectively to the first and second output of the operation control unit of the device 21, the first output of this memory 10 is connected to the second input of the time evaluation unit to receive I have solutions 22, and the second output is to the input of the unit for determining correctly made decisions 23, the output of which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions 24, the first output of which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the total number of correctly made decisions 27, the output of which is connected to the first the input of the unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions 29, the second input of which is connected to the second output of the memory of the number of LPR 8, the first output of which is connected to the second input of the unit for calculating the coefficient K 16, the output of the unit for determining the probability of correct decision making 30 is connected to the first input of the unit for determining the indicator of evaluating the effectiveness of control 32, the second input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the probability of timely and correct decision making 31, and the output is with the second input of the display unit 20 , The memory of the number of communication directions 34, the first input of which is the eighth input 33 of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is the seventh output of the operation control unit 21, the memory of the permissible time for implementing solutions 36, the first input of which is the ninth input of the device 35, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is with the second output of the control unit of the device 21, the memory of the results of the implementation of solutions 38, the first input of which is the tenth the input 37 of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the second output of the operation control unit of the device 21, the unit for estimating the implementation time of solutions 39, the first input of which is connected to the output of the memory decisions 36, and the second input, with the output of the memory of the results of the implementation of decisions 38, the unit for determining the number of timely implemented solutions 40, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for estimating the time for implementing decisions 39, the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented solutions 41, the first input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the number of timely implemented decisions 40, and the second input with the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions 25, the unit for determining the probability of timely p analysis of decisions 42, the first input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented solutions 41, the second input - with the output of the memory of the number of situations 12, the third input - with the output of the memory of the number of communication directions 34, and the output - with the third input of the determination unit control performance indicator 32, the memory of the permissible time for collecting information 44, the first input of which is the eleventh input 43 of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input to the second output of the control unit the operation of the device 21, the memory of the results of the collection of information 46, the first input of which is the twelfth input of the device 45, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the second output of the operation control unit of the device 21, the information acquisition time estimation unit 47, the first input of which connected to the output of the memory of the allowable time for collecting information 44, and the second input to the output of the memory of the results of information collection 46, the unit for determining the number of situations with timely collected information 48, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for estimating the time information 47, the block determining the probability of a timely collection of information 49, a first input coupled to the output of determining the number of situations with timely information collected 48, the second input - to the output memory number of situations 12, and an output - to a fourth input of determining a control efficacy of 32.

The method of evaluating the effectiveness of management using a device for evaluating the effectiveness of management is as follows.

From the first input 1 of the device, arguments in the form of linguistic variables for various solutions are submitted to the first input of the memory of the solutions 2 (Fig. 1). From the second input 3 of the device, the arguments in the form of linguistic variables for the current situation go to the first input of the situation memory 4. From the third input of the 5 device, the weighting coefficients K _{i of the} importance of the basic argument according to the results of the decision are submitted to the first input of the memory of the results of the DM decision poll 6. From the fourth input 7 of the device, data on the number of LPR L are supplied to the first input of the memory of the number of LPR 8. From the fifth input 9 of the device, the values of t _ij are fed to the first input of the memory of the results of the LPR 10 (if the decision was made by some LPR incorrectly, then the corresponding memory element is sent the zero value t _ij ). From the sixth input device 11 data of the number M situations saved into a first input of memory 12. Since the number of situations seventh input device 13 value of allowable _extra time t decision is sent to a first input allowable time memory 14. In decision 33, the eighth input data on the number of devices communication directions Q are fed to the first input of the memory of the number of communication directions 34. From the ninth input 35 of the device, the value of the allowable time t _{add.p of the} implementation of the solution is sent to the first input of the memory of the allowable time for implementation of the re solution 36. From the tenth input 37 of the device, the values of times t _qj are supplied to the first input of the memory of the results of the implementation of decisions 38 (if a decision was not brought to any executor in the corresponding communication direction, then the zero memory value t _{qj is} sent to the corresponding memory element). From the eleventh input 43 of the device, the values of the permissible information collection time t _{additional and are} sent to the first input of the memory of the permissible time of information collection 44. From the twelfth input 45 of the device, the values of the times t _uj are supplied to the first input of the memory of the results of information collection 46. In this case, the control signals to the second the inputs of all these storage devices come from the first output of the operation control unit of the device 21.

According to the control signal from the second output of the operation control unit of the device 21 to the third input of the memory of the results of the DM decision poll 6 from the output of this memory, the signals corresponding to the values of K _i (the weighting coefficient of the basic argument, according to the i-th DM) are fed to the input of the unit for calculating the sum of values K _i 15 (K _i ≥1). According to the same signal from the second output of the control unit of the device 21 to the third input of the memory of the results of the work of the decision-maker 10 from the first output of this memory, the values of t _ij are supplied to the second input of the decision time evaluation unit 22, and from the second output to the input of the determination unit correctly decisions made 23. in addition, the control signal output from the second operation device 21 to the control unit third input memory allowable time decision 14 output from the memory 14 the value of the permissible time decision t _ext supplied to the first WMOs time estimation decision block 22.

Also, according to the control signal from the second output of the operation control unit of the device 21 to the third input of the memory of the decision implementation time 38 and the third input of the memory of the outcome of decisions 38 from the output of the memory 36, the value of the allowed decision time is sent to the first input of the decision implementation time evaluation unit 39, and from the output of the memory 38, the time value t _qj is supplied to the second input of the same block 39.

From the output of block 15, the sum of the values of K _i goes to the first input of the weight coefficient calculation block K 16, to the second input of which, according to the control signal from the third output of the device operation control unit 21, the value L . From the output of block 16, the value of the weight coefficient K, which is the averaging of all K _i , is fed to the second input of the importance accounting unit of the first argument 18.

According to the signal from the fourth output of the control unit of the operation of the device 21 to the corresponding third inputs of the memory of solution options 2 and memory of situations 4, from the outputs of these memory codes corresponding to the arguments of the solutions and situations are fed to the first and second inputs of the decision analysis and situation analysis block 17. This block configured as follows. If the codes of the arguments of the decisions and situations coincide, the output of block 17 will be "1". In case of a difference in codes, the output of block 17 will be “0”.

From the first output of the decision and situation analysis analysis unit 17, the signals are fed to the first input of the importance accounting unit of the first argument 18, where these signals are multiplied by the weight coefficient K, taking into account the importance of the first argument. From the second output of the unit for analysis of the correspondence of decisions and situations 17 and the output of block 18, the signals are supplied respectively to the second and first inputs of the unit for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations 19.

After the calculation by the signal from the fifth output of the control unit of the operation of the device 21 to the third input of the unit for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations 19, from its output, the number of matches of the arguments of each of the n solutions and the current situation goes to the first input of the display unit 20. It should be noted that due to the presence of a weight coefficient in case of coincidence of the first argument, not “2” will be summarized, but the value will be K times large. Comparing the number of matches on the screen of the display unit 20, you can choose a rational solution that will correspond to the largest number of matches of the arguments of the solution and the current situation.

The decision time estimation unit 22 is configured in accordance with formula (7). From the output of block 22, the signals corresponding to the values of R _ij are fed to the input of the block for determining the number of timely decisions 25 (FIGS. 1 and 2). From the output of block 25, the values of R _j calculated by formula (6) are sent to the second input of the unit for determining the relative number of timely and correctly made decisions 26 and to the second input of the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented solutions 41.

The block for determining correctly made decisions 23 is configured as follows: if the input signal is greater than zero, then the output of block 23 will be one, otherwise (if it is zero), the output of block 23 will be zero. In block 23, a low-level signal corresponding to zero is “flashed” in advance. The signals from the output of block 23 are fed to the input of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions 24, from the first output of which the values of S _p.j are fed to the input of the unit for determining the total number of correctly made decisions 27, and from the second output to the first input of the unit for determining the relative amount in a timely manner and correctly adopted decisions 26, from the output of which M values of R _j / S _p.j are fed to the input of the unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correct decisions 28.

The unit for estimating the time for implementing decisions 39 is configured in accordance with formula (10). From the output of block 39, the signals corresponding to the values of _{q qj} are fed to the input of the block for determining the number of timely implemented solutions 40 (Fig. 2). From the output of block 40, the values of C _j calculated by formula (9) are sent to the first input of the block for determining the total relative number of timely implemented solutions 41.

засылается на первый вход блока определения общего относительного количества правильно принятых решений 29, на второй вход которого со второго выхода ЗУ количества ЛПР 8 подается значение L. При этом управляющие сигналы на четвертый вход ЗУ количества ЛПР 8 направляются с шестого выхода блока управления работой устройства 21. С выхода блока 29 величина $$\frac{1}{L}{\displaystyle \sum _{j=1}^M{S}_{пр.j}}$$

направляется на второй вход блока определения вероятности правильного принятия решений 30, на первый вход которого с выхода ЗУ количества ситуаций 12 по сигналу с седьмого выхода блока управления работой устройства 21 на третий вход ЗУ 12 подается значение М. Это же значение засылается также на первый вход блока определения вероятности своевременного и правильного принятия решений 31.From the output of the unit for determining the total number of correctly made decisions 27 value $${\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M{S}_{PR.j}}$$

is sent to the first input of the unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions 29, the second input of which is supplied with the value L from the second output of the memory of the number of decision-makers 8. The control signals are sent to the fourth input of the memory of the number of decision-makers 8 from the sixth output of the control unit of the device 21. From the output of block 29 value $$\frac{\mathrm{one}}{L}{\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M{S}_{PR.j}}$$

is sent to the second input of the decision-making probability determination unit 30, the first input of which is from the memory of the number of situations 12 by the signal from the seventh output of the operation control unit of the device 21 to the third input of the memory 12 is supplied M. The same value is also sent to the first input of the block determining the likelihood of timely and correct decision making 31.

From the output of the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented solutions 41, the values of C _j / R _{j are} sent to the first input of the unit for determining the probability of timely implementation of the decisions 42, to the second input of which from the memory of the number of situations 12 by the signal from the seventh output of the control unit of the device 21 the value M is supplied to the third input of the memory device 12, and information is supplied to the third input from the memory output of the number of communication directions 34 by the signal from the seventh output of the operation control unit of the device 21 Mation about the number of communication directions Q.

, засылается на первый вход блока определения вероятности своевременного сбора информации 49, на второй вход которого с выхода ЗУ количества ситуаций 12 по сигналу с седьмого выхода блока управления работой устройства 21 на третий вход ЗУ 12 подается значение М.The unit for estimating the time of collecting information 47 is constructed in accordance with formula (12). From the output of block 47, the signals corresponding to the values of M _{St. inf, j} are fed to the input of the block for determining the number of situations with timely collected information 48 (figure 2). From the output of block 48, the value $${\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M{M}_{\mathrm{from}\mathrm{at}.\mathrm{and}nf.j}}$$

is sent to the first input of the unit for determining the probability of timely collection of information 49, the second input of which from the output of the memory of the number of situations 12 by a signal from the seventh output of the operation control unit of the device 21 to the third input of the memory 12 is supplied with the value M.

подается на второй вход блока определения вероятности своевременного и правильного принятия решений 31. С выходов блоков 30, 31, 42 и блока 49 значения Р_св.инф, Р_пр, Р_св.пр и Р_св.р, определенные по формулам (11), (4), (5) и (8), поступают соответственно на первый, второй, третий и четвертый входы блока определения показателя эффективности управления W 32. С выхода блока 32 величина показателя эффективности управления W, вычисляемая по формуле (2), подается на второй вход блока отображения 20 для отображения и анализа полученной оценки эффективности управления.From the first output of the unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correct decisions 28 value $${\displaystyle \sum _{j=\mathrm{one}}^M\frac{R_j}{S_{PR.j}}}$$

applied to a second input of determining the probability of correct and timely decision block 31. Since the outputs 30, 31, 42 and block 49 _sv.inf value P, P, _etc., P and P _{sv.pr sv.r} defined by the formulas (11) , (4), (5) and (8), respectively, are received at the first, second, third and fourth inputs of the block for determining the control efficiency indicator W 32. From the output of block 32, the value of the control efficiency indicator W, calculated by formula (2), is supplied to the second input of the display unit 20 for displaying and analyzing the obtained control efficiency estimate Nia.

Thus, as follows from the description of the implementation of the method and the operation of the device, a solution to the problem is achieved, namely, expanding the functionality of the method and device by increasing the accuracy of evaluating the management efficiency by providing an estimate of the probability of the timely collection of all the information necessary for decision-making.

Claims (2)

1. A method for evaluating the effectiveness of control, in which the necessary initial data is written to storage devices: arguments in the form of linguistic variables for various solutions, arguments in the form of linguistic variables for the current situation, weight coefficients of importance K _{i of the} basic argument based on a survey of decision makers (LPR), data on the number of the DM L, and time values t _ij, spent on deciding the i-th decision-makers in the j-th situation, data on the number of cases of m, the value of the allowable time t _ext adopted solutions Ia is calculated sum of the weighting factors of importance K _i basic argument calculating a weighting factor K is assayed appropriate solutions and situations account for the coefficient of the first argument importance calculated number coincidence decision options and situations, are displayed on the screen of the display unit, analyze the results of evaluation of matches decision options and situations and for the largest number of matches choose the best solution, evaluate the time spent on the decision of the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation, determine they determine the number of decisions R _j made in a timely manner for the jth situation, determine the decisions correctly made for the jth situation, determine the number of decisions correctly made for the jth situation S _j , determine the total number of correctly made decisions, determine the total relative number of correctly made decisions , determine the relative amount of timely and correct decisions, determine the total relative number of timely and correct decisions, determine the probability of correct decision making, op they determine the likelihood of timely and correct decision-making, determine the value of the management efficiency indicator, display on the screen of the display unit and analyze the obtained estimate of the management efficiency, at the same time as recording the necessary initial data, the data on the number of communication directions Q, data on the permissible time t _{don .p of the} implementation of solutions, the value of time t _ij spent on the implementation of the i-th solution in the j-th situation, simultaneously with an estimate of the time spent on decision-making by the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation, evaluate the time for implementing decisions t _ij using the block for estimating the time for implementing decisions, simultaneously with determining the number of decisions R _j made in a timely manner for the j-th situation, determine the number of timely decisions C _j using the block determining the number of timely implemented decisions, simultaneously with determining the total relative number of timely and correct decisions, determine the total relative number of timely implemented decisions with the help of the unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented decisions, simultaneously with determining the probability of correct decision making and the likelihood of timely and correct decision making, determine the probability of timely implementation of decisions made using the unit for determining the probability of timely implementation of decisions, characterized in that it is additionally simultaneously with recording the necessary initial data in storage devices also record data on allowable collection time and the information t _{add.and the} values of time t _uj spent collecting all the necessary information for making a decision in the j-th situation, at the same time as estimating the time spent making a decision by the i-th decision maker in the j-th situation, evaluate the time t _uj spent on collecting all the information necessary for making a decision in the j-th situation, using the block for estimating the time of collecting information, simultaneously with determining the number of decisions R _j made in a timely manner for the j-th situation, determine the number of situations M _{St. inf, j} , for making decisions in which everything is necessary I information was collected in a timely manner, using a detection unit with a number of situations in a timely manner the information collected, together with the determination of the probability of a correct decision determine the probability of the timely collection of all the necessary information for decision-making P _sv.inf by block determine the likelihood of the timely collection of information. 2. A device for evaluating the effectiveness of management, containing a storage device (memory) of decision options, memory of situations, memory of the results of a survey of decision makers (DM), a unit for analyzing the correspondence of decisions and situations, a unit for accounting the importance of the first argument, a unit for calculating the number of matches of decisions and situations, the memory of the number of LPR, the unit for calculating the sum of the values of K _i , the block for calculating the weight coefficient K, the display unit, the control unit of the device, the first output of which is connected to the second inputs of the memory of the number of LPR, the memory of options solutions, situations memory and memory of the results of the DM decision poll, the second output of the unit for controlling the operation of the device is connected to the third input of the memory of the results of the DM decision poll, the third output is with the third input of the memory of the number of DM, the fourth output is with the third inputs of the memory of decision options and the memory of situations, fifth output - with the third input of the unit for calculating the number of coincidence of decisions and situations, the output of which is connected to the first input of the display unit, the first input is connected to the output of the accounting unit for the importance of the first argument, and the second input to the second output of the analysis unit, respectively tviya solutions and situations, and the first output unit correspondence analysis solutions and situations connected to the first input unit considering the importance of the first argument, the second input coupled to the output of unit calculating a weight coefficient K, the first input of which is connected to the output of the sum calculation unit values K _i, input which is connected to the output of the memory of the results of the DM decision poll, the first input of which is the third input of the device, the first input of the situations memory is the second input of the device, and the output of the situations memory is connected to the second input of the unit due to the correspondence of decisions and situations, the first input of which is connected to the output of the memory of solution options, the first input of which is the first input of the device, the first input of the memory of the number of decision makers is the fourth input of the device, the memory of the results of the work of the decision maker, the memory of the allowable decision time and the memory of the number of situations, block estimates of decision making time and a block for determining correctly made decisions, a block for determining the number of correctly made decisions and a block for determining the number of timely decisions, a block for determining the relative a number of timely and correctly made decisions, a block for determining the total number of correctly made decisions and a block for determining the total relative number of timely and correct decisions, a block for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions, a block for determining the probability of correct decision-making, a block for determining the probability of timely and correct decision solutions, a unit for determining a management efficiency indicator, a sixth output of a device operation control unit connected to the fourth input of the memory of the number of decision-makers, and the seventh output to the third input of the memory of the number of situations, the first input of which is the sixth input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output of the device operation control unit, and the output to the first inputs of the unit for determining the probability of correct decision making and a unit for determining the probability of timely and correct decision-making, the second inputs of which are connected to the outputs of, respectively, the unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions and the unit for determining the total relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the relative number of timely and correctly made decisions, the first input of which is connected to the second output of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions, and the second input - with the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions made, the input of which is connected to the output of the decision time evaluation unit, the first input of which is connected to the output of the memory of the allowable time no decision-making, the first input of which is the seventh input of the device, and the second and third inputs are connected respectively to the first and second outputs of the device operation control unit, the first input of the results memory of the LPR is the fifth input of the device, and the second and third inputs are connected respectively to the first and to the second outputs of the device operation control unit, the first output of this memory is connected to the second input of the decision-making time evaluation unit, and the second output is connected to the input of the unit for determining correctly made decisions, the output to which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the number of correctly made decisions, the first output of which is connected to the input of the unit for determining the total number of correctly made decisions, the output of which is connected to the first input of the unit for determining the total relative number of correctly made decisions, the second input of which is connected to the second output of the memory of the number of decision-makers the first output of which is connected to the second input of the block for calculating the weight coefficient K, the output of the block for determining the probability of correct decision making is connected n to the first input of the unit for determining the indicator of evaluating the effectiveness of control, the second input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the probability of timely and correct decision-making, and the output is to the second input of the display unit, the memory of the number of communication directions, the first input of which is the eighth input of the device, the second input connected to the first output, and the third input to the seventh output of the device operation control unit, the memory of the permissible implementation time of solutions, the first input of which is the ninth device input a, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is to the second output of the device operation control unit, the memory of the results of the implementation of decisions, the first input of which is the tenth input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is to the second output of the control unit the operation of the device, a unit for estimating the time for implementation of decisions, the first input of which is connected to the memory of the allowable time for the implementation of decisions, and the second input is connected to the output of the memory of the results of the implementation of decisions, a unit for determining the number of timely implemented solutions a solution, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for assessing the time for implementing decisions, a unit for determining the total relative number of timely implemented decisions, the first input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions, and the second input - with the output of the unit for determining the number of timely decisions, determination unit the probability of timely implementation of decisions made, the first input of which is connected to the output of the unit for determining the total relative amount in a timely manner of implemented solutions, the second input - with the output of the memory of the number of situations, the third input - with the output of the memory of the number of communication directions, and the output - with the third input of the unit for determining the indicator of control efficiency, characterized in that the memory also contains the memory of the permissible time for collecting information, the first input which is the eleventh input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is connected to the second output of the device operation control unit, the memory of information collection results, the first input of which is the twelfth the input of the device, the second input is connected to the first output, and the third input is to the second output of the device operation control unit, an information collection time estimation unit, the first input of which is connected to the memory output of the allowable information collection time, and the second input - to the memory output of the information collection results , a unit for determining the number of situations with timely collected information, the input of which is connected to the output of the unit for estimating the time of information collection, a unit for determining the probability of timely collection of information, the first input of which is connected with the output of the unit for determining the number of situations with timely collected information, the second input with the output of the memory of the number of situations, and the output with the fourth input of the unit for determining the indicator of management efficiency.

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