JP2021082045A - Future evaluation device and future evaluation method - Google Patents

Abstract

To provide a future prediction device which predicts the future of an a region based on information such as position information of a mobile body.SOLUTION: In a future evaluation system, a future evaluation device 30 includes: a visit detection part 314 which detects a visit of a plurality of mobile bodies to a facility; a storage part 32 which stores facility information including position information of the plurality of facilities; a facility extraction part 313 which extracts the facility present inside a first predetermined region specified by a user; a stay and visit frequency counting part 315 which calculates, for a plurality of mobile bodies which have visited the facility in the first predetermined region, an average frequency of visit to the facility in the first predetermined region per mobile body and per day as a first visit frequency for each of a plurality of predetermined periods; and an evaluation part 316 which calculates a prediction index related to the future of the first predetermined region based on the first visit frequency.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 8

Description

The present invention relates to a future potential evaluation device and a future potential evaluation method for predicting the future potential of a region.

Conventionally, as a technology for grasping the regional economy, ministries and agencies have compiled questionnaires and issued reports. In addition, technologies for predicting the regional economy are being developed. For example, Patent Document 1 discloses a technique for predicting the future retail performance of a product at a specific location based on the degree to which the past sales performance of a plurality of products at a plurality of locations is affected by the weather. ..

Special Table 2000-503434 Gazette

However, the technique described in Patent Document 1 does not reflect fluctuation factors other than weather factors. In this regard, no technology has been established for predicting trends by grasping trends in the regional economy from objective data other than weather factors.

In the present invention, for each of a plurality of mobiles that visit a facility existing inside a user-designated area (user-designated area), each mobile visits a facility located in the user-designated area per day. It is an object of the present invention to provide a future potential evaluation device and a future potential evaluation method for creating predictive index information regarding the future potential of the area based on the numbers. Hereinafter, the area is also referred to as an area.

(1) The future potential evaluation device of the present invention (for example, the future potential evaluation device 30 described later) is
A visit detection unit (for example, a visit detection unit 314 described later) for detecting a visit to a facility of a plurality of moving objects (for example, the moving body 60 described later), and
A map information storage unit (for example, a storage unit 32 described later) that stores facility information including location information of a plurality of facilities, and
A prediction condition reception unit (for example, a prediction condition reception unit 312 described later) that receives input from a user in a first predetermined area included in a map, and
A facility extraction unit (for example, a facility extraction unit 313 described later) that extracts a facility existing inside the first predetermined area as a facility in the first predetermined area from the map information storage unit, and
For each of the plurality of mobiles that visited the facilities in the first predetermined area, the number of the facilities in the first predetermined area that each mobile visited in one day was calculated, and further, one movement of the plurality of mobiles was performed. The stay visit count totaling unit (for example, the stay visit count totaling unit 315 described later) that calculates the average number of visits to the facilities in the first predetermined area per day as the first visit for each of a plurality of predetermined periods. When,
An evaluation unit (for example, an evaluation unit 316 described later) that calculates a prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area based on the number of first visits.
To be equipped.

According to the above (1), it is possible to predict the future potential of the region, which is the first predetermined region, only with objective and observable data.

(2) In the future potential evaluation device (for example, the future potential evaluation device 30 described later) according to the above (1), the visit detection unit (for example, the visit detection unit 314 described later) receives position information from the vehicle. , The visit may be detected by either receiving the location information from the terminal carried by the user or receiving the entry / exit information from the device that records the entry / exit.

According to the above (2), it is possible to detect a visit to a facility corresponding to various moving objects such as a vehicle and a smartphone.

(3) In the future potential evaluation device (for example, the future potential evaluation device 30 described later) according to the above (1) or (2), the evaluation unit (for example, the evaluation unit 316 described later) visits the first visit. A prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined region may be calculated from the temporal transition of the number.

According to the above (3), it is possible to predict the future potential of the area which is the first predetermined area only by objective and observable data based on the increasing tendency or the decreasing tendency of the number of first visits.

(4) In the future potential evaluation device (for example, the future potential evaluation device 30 described later) according to the above (3), the evaluation unit (for example, the evaluation unit 316 described later) is the same as the number of first visits in a predetermined period. , The prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area may be calculated based on the comparison with the number of the first visits in the predetermined period of the same period of the previous year.

According to the above (4), the same effect as that of the future potential evaluation device of the above (3) is obtained.

(5) In the future potential evaluation device described in (3) above (for example, the future potential evaluation device 30 described later),
The facility extraction unit (for example, the facility extraction unit 313 described later) further sets a facility existing inside a second predetermined area different from the first predetermined area as a facility in the second predetermined area, and uses the map information storage unit (for example, the facility extraction unit 313) as a facility in the second predetermined area. Extracted from the storage unit 32) described later,
The stay visit number totaling unit (for example, the stay visit number totaling unit 315 described later) further visits the second predetermined area for each of the plurality of mobiles visited in one day. The number of facilities in the predetermined area is calculated, and the average number of visits to the facilities in the second predetermined area per day for each of the plurality of mobiles is calculated as the second visit for each of the plurality of predetermined periods. Calculated as a number
The evaluation unit (for example, the evaluation unit 316 described later) further calculates a relative prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined region from each time transition of the number of first visits and the number of second visits. You may do so.

According to (5) above, it is possible to make a relative comparison between the future potential of the evaluation target area and the future potential of another region different from the evaluation target area.

(6) In the future potential evaluation device described in (3) above (for example, the future potential evaluation device 30 described later),
The facility extraction unit (for example, the facility extraction unit 313 described later) further uses the facility existing inside the wider third predetermined area including the first predetermined area as the facility in the third predetermined area, and the map information storage unit. (For example, the storage unit 32 described later) is extracted and
The stay visit number totaling unit (for example, the stay visit number totaling unit 315 described later) further visits the third predetermined area for each of the plurality of mobiles visited in one day. The number of facilities in the predetermined area is calculated, and the average number of visits to the facilities in the third predetermined area per day for each of the plurality of mobiles is calculated as the third visit for each of the plurality of predetermined periods. Calculated as a number
The evaluation unit (for example, the evaluation unit 316 described later) further calculates a relative prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined region from each time transition of the number of first visits and the number of third visits. You may do so.

According to (6) above, it is possible to make a relative comparison between the future potential of the evaluation target area and the future potential of the entire wide area including the evaluation target area.

(7) The future potential evaluation method of the present invention is a computer (for example, a future potential evaluation device described later) including a map information storage unit (for example, a storage unit 32 described later) that stores facility information including location information of a plurality of facilities. This is the future potential evaluation method performed by 30).
A prediction condition acceptance step that accepts input from the user in the first predetermined area included in the map, and
A facility extraction step of extracting a facility existing inside the first predetermined area as a facility in the first predetermined area from the map information storage unit, and
A visit detection step that detects visits to multiple mobile facilities,
For each of the plurality of mobiles that visited the facilities in the first predetermined area, the number of the facilities in the first predetermined area that each mobile visited in one day was calculated, and further, one movement of the plurality of mobiles was performed. A step of counting the number of staying visits, which calculates the average number of visits to the facilities in the first predetermined area per day as the number of first visits for each of a plurality of predetermined periods.
An evaluation step of calculating a predictive index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area based on the number of first visits, and an evaluation step.
To be equipped.

According to the method (7), the same effect as that of the future potential evaluation device (1) is obtained.

According to the present invention, for each of a plurality of mobiles that visit a facility existing inside a user-designated area (user-designated area), each mobile visits a facility located in the user-designated area per day. Based on the number of visits to the area, it is possible to provide a future potential evaluation device and a future potential evaluation method for creating predictive index information regarding the future potential of the area.

It is a block diagram which shows the basic structure of the whole future possibility evaluation system which is one Embodiment of this invention. It is a figure which shows an example of the number of visits when a moving body visits a facility existing in a predetermined area in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a figure which shows an example of the number of visits when a moving body visits a facility existing in a predetermined area in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a figure which shows the example of the parking information database in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a figure which shows an example of the 1st predetermined area, the 2nd predetermined area, and the 3rd predetermined area in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a functional block diagram which shows the functional structure of the vehicle-mounted navigation device in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a functional block diagram which shows the functional structure of the mobile terminal in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a functional block diagram which shows the functional structure of the user terminal in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a functional block diagram which shows the functional structure of the future possibility evaluation apparatus in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a figure which showed an example of comparison between the average number of visits of a facility in a 1st predetermined area and the average number of visits of a facility in a 2nd predetermined area in one Embodiment of this invention. In the figure which showed an example of comparison between the average number of visits of a facility in a 1st predetermined area and the average number of visits of a facility in a wider 3rd predetermined area including the 1st predetermined area in one Embodiment of this invention. is there. It is a flowchart which shows the basic operation at the time of the update process of the parking information database in one Embodiment of this invention. It is a flowchart which shows the basic operation at the time of creating the prediction index information about the future potential of a user-designated area in one Embodiment of this invention.

Hereinafter, a preferred embodiment of the future potential evaluation system of the present invention will be described with reference to the drawings.

<Overall configuration of future potential evaluation system 1>
First, the future potential evaluation system 1 according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention will be outlined. FIG. 1 shows the overall configuration of the future potential evaluation system 1.
As shown in FIG. 1, the future potential evaluation system 1 includes an in-vehicle navigation device 10, a mobile terminal 20, a future potential evaluation device 30, a user terminal 40, and a communication network 50. It should be noted here that the future potential evaluation device 30 is described as being provided with an FCD (Floating Car Data) collecting means and a mobile parking data creation / updating means, but the present invention is not limited to this. Even if the FCD collecting means and the mobile parking data creation / updating means are configured as a device (for example, an FCD server) separate from the future potential evaluation device 30, and are communicably connected to the future potential evaluation device 30 directly or via a network. Good.
Each of these devices and each terminal is communicably connected to each other via the communication network 50. In the figure, the information transmitted and received by each of these devices and each terminal is also shown, but these information are merely examples. In the present embodiment, information other than those shown in the illustration may be transmitted and received.
The mobile body means a mobile body, a user who moves by carrying a mobile terminal 20, a user who moves, and the like, which will be described later. In this embodiment, as the moving body, for example, a moving body representing a vehicle 60a equipped with an in-vehicle navigation device 10 or a vehicle 60b on which a user carrying a mobile terminal 20 rides is illustrated.
In the figure, one set each of the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the vehicle 60a and one set of the mobile terminal 20 and the vehicle 60b are shown, but the number of these sets is not particularly limited. Further, in the following description, when the vehicle 60a on which the in-vehicle navigation device 10 is mounted and the vehicle 60b on which the user using the mobile terminal 20 rides are described without distinction, the alphabet at the end is omitted. It is simply called "vehicle 60". Further, the vehicle 60 means, for example, a means for moving a four-wheeled vehicle, a three-wheeled vehicle, a two-wheeled vehicle, a bicycle, or the like.

The in-vehicle navigation device 10 is a device that provides navigation (route guidance) to a user who has boarded the vehicle 60a. The in-vehicle navigation device 10 provides route guidance from the current position to the destination based on the user's request. The vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 also has a function of positioning the position information of the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 (that is, the position information of the vehicle 60a). The position information positioned by the in-vehicle navigation device 10 is appropriately transmitted to the future potential evaluation device 30 together with the moving body identification information for identifying the vehicle 60a.
The in-vehicle navigation device 10 can be realized by a car navigation device installed on a moving vehicle 60a or a portable PND (Portable Navigation Device) simply installed on the moving vehicle 60a. In addition to this, the in-vehicle navigation device 10 can be realized by an electronic device such as a smartphone in which a predetermined application is installed.

The mobile terminal 20 is a mobile terminal used by a user who gets on the vehicle 60b. The mobile terminal 20 has a function of positioning the position information of the mobile terminal 20 (that is, the position information of the vehicle 60b), similarly to the in-vehicle navigation device 10 described above. The position information positioned by the mobile terminal 20 is appropriately transmitted to the future potential evaluation device 30 together with the moving object identification information for identifying the vehicle 60b, similarly to the position information positioned by the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10. The moving body identification information may be acquired by the mobile terminal 20 from the vehicle 60b, or the identification information of the mobile terminal 20 itself may be regarded as the moving body identification information.
The mobile terminal 20 can be realized by a smartphone, a mobile phone, a tablet terminal, a laptop computer, or other portable electronic device on which a predetermined application is installed.
In the present embodiment, the detection of a visit to a facility of a mobile body exemplifies a case based on FCD which is position information of the mobile body collected from an in-vehicle navigation device 10 and a mobile terminal 20 or the like.

As a process peculiar to the present embodiment, the future potential evaluation device 30 provides at least one facility in a predetermined area (predetermined area) designated by the user based on various information such as position information of each vehicle 60 which is a moving body. Within the predetermined area (predetermined area) where one mobile visited in one day based on the calculated number of visits for each mobile, each calculated the number of facilities visited by one mobile on the day. Calculate the average number of visits, which is the number of facilities in.
2A and 2B show an example of the number of visits when the moving body visits a facility existing inside a predetermined area (predetermined area). As shown in FIG. 2A, when the moving body 60 visits four facilities in the predetermined area (predetermined area) in one day, the number of facilities in the predetermined area (predetermined area) that the moving body visited in one day. Let be 4. Further, as shown in FIG. 2B, when the moving body 60 visits three facilities in the predetermined area (predetermined area) and one facility outside the predetermined area (predetermined area) in one day, the moving body visits one facility outside the predetermined area (predetermined area) in one day. The number of facilities in the designated area (prescribed area) visited in Japan is 3. In this way, by calculating the number of facilities visited on the day by one mobile that visited at least one facility in the predetermined area (predetermined area), one mobile visited on the day. Calculate the average number of visits to facilities within a predetermined area (predetermined area).
The future potential evaluation device 30 is a device that predicts the future potential of the predetermined area based on the calculated average number of visits.
Therefore, the future potential evaluation device 30 includes position information (for example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude), address information, facility information of a plurality of facilities, and position information of each facility (for example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude) corresponding to the position on the map. For example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude), map information 321 that stores address information, and the like are provided. By doing so, the future potential evaluation device 30 can extract the facilities located inside the designated area from the arbitrary area designated on the map, for example, by the user. The area may be specified based on the address. On the contrary, the future potential evaluation device 30 can determine whether or not the facility is located inside the designated area for any facility.
In this way, the future potential evaluation device 30 extracts, for example, a facility existing inside the predetermined area as a facility in the predetermined area based on the map information 321 when the predetermined area on the map is designated by the user. be able to.

On the other hand, in the future potential evaluation device 30, the moving body 60 is the facility 70 for each facility 70 based on the FCD (Floating Car Data) which is the position information of the moving body collected from the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20 and the like. Parking information parked in the parking lot (hereinafter, also referred to as "moving vehicle parking data") can be calculated and stored in a database (hereinafter, also referred to as "parking information database"). FIG. 3 shows an example of a parking information database.
As shown in FIG. 3, the parking information (mobile parking data) in which the mobile body 60 parked in the facility 70 corresponds to the facility ID related to the facility parking lot, and the day when the mobile body 60 entered the facility parking lot. And time (also referred to as "mobile entry time"), date and time of exit from the facility parking lot of the mobile 60 (also referred to as "mobile exit time"), parking time of the mobile 60, and the like. It is assumed that each moving body is identified by the identification ID of the moving body 60.

From the above configuration, when a predetermined area on the map is designated by the user, the future potential evaluation device 30 extracts a facility existing inside the predetermined area (hereinafter, also referred to as a “facility within the predetermined area”) and parks the facility. Based on the information database, it is possible to identify a moving body that has visited a facility in a predetermined area during a predetermined period (specifically, every day included in the predetermined period).
Further, the future potential evaluation device 30 is based on the parking information database, and every predetermined period (specifically, every day included in the predetermined period), each moving body that visits the facility in the predetermined area on the same day It is possible to calculate the number of facility visits within a predetermined area visited. In addition, it is counted as the number of visits including the case where the same moving body visits the same facility at different times on the same day. Specifically, when the facility A is visited in the morning and the facility A is visited again in the afternoon of the day, the number of visits is counted as 2.
In this way, the future potential evaluation device 30 calculates the average number of visits per day that each moving object that visited at least one facility in the predetermined area visited on that day for each day included in each predetermined period. be able to. By doing so, the future potential evaluation device 30 can calculate the average number of visits to the facilities in the predetermined area per day for each moving object for each predetermined period.

By doing so, for example, when the predetermined period is one month, the average number of visits to the facilities in the predetermined area, which is visited by one mobile unit per day of each month, is calculated in the predetermined area (designated area). It can be obtained as a statistical value that is the basis for creating predictive index information (positive, negative, neutral) regarding the future.
For example, if the average number of visits per day tends to increase monthly, or if the average number of visits per day at a certain time of the year (eg, each month) is the same as last year (eg, last year). If it increases compared to the average number of visits per day in each month), it can be estimated that this year's economic activity within the specified area is more active than last year. That is, it can be estimated that the greater the number of daily visits per mobile vehicle, the more active the economic activity in the area (region). In such a case, the future potential evaluation device 30 can predict the prediction index information regarding the future potential of the predetermined area (region) as positive.

Further, the future potential evaluation device 30 is, for example, one mobile body per day for each predetermined period in different predetermined regions (for example, the first predetermined region and the second predetermined region) as shown in FIG. It is possible to calculate the first average number of visits to the facilities in the first predetermined area visited by the company and the second average number of visits to the facilities in the second predetermined area visited by one mobile unit per day for each predetermined period.
By doing so, the future potential evaluation device 30 can make a relative comparison of the average number of visits between different predetermined regions (for example, the first predetermined region and the second predetermined region). For example, according to the ratio of the first average number of visits to the second average number of visits, relative predictive index information regarding the future such that the first predetermined area is more positive than the second predetermined area is created. be able to.

Further, the future potential evaluation device 30 is, for example, in each of a wider area (third predetermined area) including the predetermined area (first predetermined area) as shown in FIG. 4, 1 per day for each predetermined period. To calculate the first average number of visits to facilities in the first predetermined area visited by one mobile and the third average number of visits to facilities in the third predetermined area visited by one mobile per day for each predetermined period. Can be done.
By doing so, the future potential evaluation device 30 can make a relative comparison of the average number of visits between the predetermined area (first predetermined area) and the wider area including the predetermined area (third predetermined area). Become. For example, depending on the ratio of the first average number of visits to the third average number of visits, the first predetermined area is more positive in the wider third predetermined area including the first predetermined area. Predictive index information can be created.
In this way, the future potential evaluation device 30 can predict the future potential of the region using only objective and observable data.

The user terminal 40 is a terminal operated by the user, and is a terminal that acquires and inquires prediction index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area (predetermined area specified by the user) by communicating with the future potential evaluation device 30. ..

The future potential evaluation device 30 and the user terminal 40 described above can be realized by incorporating software for realizing the present embodiment into, for example, a server device or a personal computer.

The communication network 50 is realized by a network such as the Internet or a mobile phone network, or a network in which these are combined. Further, a LAN (Local Area Network) may be included in a part of the network (for example, between the future potential evaluation device 30 and the user terminal 40).
The above is the outline of the future potential evaluation system 1 according to the preferred embodiment of the present invention.
Next, the details of each device will be described.

<Functional block included in the in-vehicle navigation device 10>
First, the functional blocks included in the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 will be described with reference to the block diagram of FIG.
Here, the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 is supplied with power from the vehicle 60a, and is automatically activated when the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a is turned on (starts the engine) by the user who gets on the vehicle 60a. Then, the in-vehicle navigation device 10 operates until the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a is turned off (the engine is stopped) by the user who gets on the vehicle 60a.

As shown in FIG. 5, the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 includes a control unit 11, a storage unit 12, a communication unit 13, a sensor unit 14, a display unit 15, and an input unit 16.

The control unit 11 is composed of an arithmetic processing unit such as a microprocessor, and controls each unit constituting the in-vehicle navigation device 10. The details of the control unit 11 will be described later.

The storage unit 12 is composed of a semiconductor memory or the like, and is used to perform a control program called a firmware or an operating system, a program for performing route guidance processing, and a processing for transmitting position information to the future potential evaluation device 30. Each program such as the program of the above, and various other information such as map information are stored. In the figure, as the information stored by the storage unit 12, the position information 121 and the moving body identification information 122, which are information related to the transmission process of the position information, are shown.

The position information 121 is the position information of the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 (that is, the position information of the vehicle 60a) positioned by the sensor unit 14 described later. The position information 121 includes not only the information indicating the positioned position but also the time when the positioning was performed.
Further, the moving body identification information 122 is information for identifying the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10. As the moving body identification information 122, for example, a serial number uniquely assigned to the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 can be used. In addition, in order for the communication unit 13 to connect to the communication network 50, which is a network such as a mobile phone network, the telephone number assigned to the SIM (Subscriber Identity Module) inserted in the communication unit 13 is identified as a mobile phone. It can be used as information 122. In addition, the VIN (Vehicle Identification Number) and license plate number uniquely assigned to the vehicle 60a can be used as the moving body identification information 122.

Each piece of information stored in these storage units 12 may be stored in the storage unit 12 in advance, or may be stored in advance from a server device (not shown) or the like connected to the communication network 50, if necessary. It may be configured to be downloaded as appropriate. Further, it may be appropriately modified according to the input of the user or the like.

The communication unit 13 has a DSP (Digital Signal Processor) and the like, and has standards such as 3G (3rd Generation), LTE (Long Term Evolution), 4G (4th Generation), 5G (5th Generation) or Wi-Fi (registered trademark). In accordance with the above, wireless communication with another device (for example, a future potential evaluation device 30) via the communication network 50 via the communication network 50 is realized. In the communication unit 13, for example, the position information transmission unit 112 described later uses the position information 121 and the moving object identification information 122 stored in the storage unit 12 in the future potential evaluation device 30 (specifically, for example, the FCD described later). It is used to transmit to the collecting unit 310). However, the data transmitted / received between the communication unit 13 and the other device is not particularly limited, and information other than the position information 121 and the moving object identification information 122 may be transmitted / received.

The sensor unit 14 is composed of, for example, a GPS (Global Positioning System) sensor, a gyro sensor, an acceleration sensor, or the like. The sensor unit 14 has a function as a position detecting means for detecting the position information, receives a GPS satellite signal by the GPS sensor, and positions the position information (latitude and longitude) of the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10. Positioning by the sensor unit 14 is performed at predetermined time intervals (for example, 3 second intervals) as described above. The positioned position information is stored in the storage unit 12 as the position information 121.

The sensor unit 14 can further improve the positioning accuracy of the position information of the in-vehicle navigation device 10 based on the angular velocity measured by the gyro sensor and the acceleration sensor and the acceleration.
Further, when GPS communication becomes difficult or impossible, the sensor unit 14 uses AGPS (Assisted Global Positioning System) communication, and the position information of the in-vehicle navigation device 10 is based on the base station information acquired from the communication unit 13. It is also possible to calculate.

The display unit 15 is composed of a display device such as a liquid crystal display or an organic electroluminescence panel. The display unit 15 displays an image in response to an instruction from the control unit 11. The information displayed by the display unit 15 includes, for example, the current position of the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10, map information around the current position of the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 read from the map information, a destination set by the user, and other vehicle-mounted information. Examples include the meeting information, route information, and various user interfaces notified from the navigation device 10.

The input unit 16 is composed of a physical switch called a numeric keypad, an input device (not shown) such as a touch panel provided on the display surface of the display unit 15. By outputting an operation input from the input unit 16, for example, a signal based on the user pressing the numeric keypad or touching the touch panel to the control unit 11, it is possible to realize an operation such as a selection operation by the user or enlargement / reduction of a map. it can.

In addition, although not shown, a speaker, a microphone, or the like may be provided. The speaker outputs voice to the driver, and the microphone collects the voice and the like emitted by the driver.
By doing so, the information can be output by voice from the speaker, and various selections and instructions by the driver input by voice through the microphone can be input to the control unit 11 by the voice recognition technology.

Next, the details of the control unit 11 will be described. The control unit 11 is composed of a microprocessor having a CPU (Central Processing Unit), a RAM (Random access memory), a ROM (Read Only Memory), an I / O (Input / output), and the like. The CPU executes each program read from the ROM or the storage unit 12, reads information from the RAM, the ROM, and the storage unit 12 at the time of execution, and writes the information to the RAM and the storage unit 12. Signals are exchanged with the communication unit 13, the sensor unit 14, the display unit 15, and the input unit 16. Then, in this way, the processing in the present embodiment is realized by the cooperation of the hardware and the software (program).

The control unit 11 includes a route guidance unit 111 and a position information transmission unit 112 as functional blocks.

The route guidance unit 111 is a part that performs route guidance processing to a destination such as a facility input or selected by the user.
The route guidance process to the destination is equivalent to the route guidance process in a general car navigation system. That is, the route guidance unit 111 generates a map to the destination based on the map information (not shown) stored in the storage unit 12, and the vehicle-mounted navigation system positioned on this map by the sensor unit 14. Route guidance can be performed by superimposing the current position of the device 10, the position of the destination, and the route information to the destination, and displaying this on the display unit 15. In this case, further, the sound for route guidance may be output from the speaker (not shown). In addition, information on road congestion status, weather information, and the like may be acquired by communication by the communication unit 13, and the acquired information may be used for route guidance processing.
Since the route guidance process to the destination is well known to those skilled in the art, further detailed description thereof will be omitted. Further, since map information for performing route guidance processing is also well known to those skilled in the art, further detailed description and illustration will be omitted.

The position information transmitting unit 112 transmits the position information 121 and the moving object identification information 122 stored in the storage unit 12 to the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310) by wireless communication using the communication unit 13. This is the part to send.
When the position information transmitting unit 112 transmits the position information 121 and the moving object identification information 122 to the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310), the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a is turned on (the engine is started) by the user who got on the vehicle 60a. ), The operation is periodically performed from the time when the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 is automatically started until the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a is turned off (the engine is stopped). For example, each time the sensor unit 14 performs positioning at a predetermined time interval (for example, every 3 seconds), transmission is performed in real time. Further, instead of transmitting to the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310) in real time, a plurality of them are collectively (for example, position information 121 updated at 3 second intervals in 3 minutes and moving object identification information). You may send them all at once (collectively with 122). That is, so-called burst transmission may be performed. The length of the predetermined time interval and whether to transmit in real time or burst can be arbitrarily set according to the environment to which the present embodiment is applied and the like.

By performing real-time transmission and burst transmission in this way, the position information transmission unit 112 provides the position information 121 for identifying the movement route of the vehicle 60a positioned by the sensor unit 14 and the moving body identification information 122. , Is transmitted to the future potential evaluation device 30.

In this case, the position specified by the position information 121 determined immediately after the ignition switch is turned on (the engine is started) and the in-vehicle navigation device 10 is automatically started is used as the first vehicle position, that is, the departure position to evaluate the future potential. It can be transmitted to the device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310). Further, the position specified by the position information 121 determined immediately before the ignition switch is turned off (engine stopped) is transmitted to the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310) as the final vehicle position, that is, the parking position. Can be done.

In this case, after adding the start information indicating that the position information 121 represents the departure position and the stop information indicating the position information 121 indicating the parking position to the position information 121, the future potential evaluation device 30 ( It may be transmitted to the FCD collecting unit 310). For example, the flag indicating that it is start information may be set to 1 for transmission, or the flag indicating that it is stop information may be set to 1 for transmission. Regarding the position information 121 (that is, the parking position) positioned immediately before the ignition switch is turned off (engine stopped), when the ignition switch is turned on (engine is started) and the in-vehicle navigation device 10 is started again. May be sent to.

Further, even in the case of burst transmission, if the route guidance unit 111 determines that the vehicle 60a has arrived at the destination (for example, a certain facility), the position information transmission unit 112 transmits in real time. It is good to switch to do. In this way, after arriving at a certain facility, the ignition switch is turned off (engine stopped) before the parking position position information 121 is transmitted, and the location information 121 of the destination such as the facility has a future potential. It is possible to prevent a situation in which transmission is not performed to the evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310).

<Functional block included in mobile terminal 20>
Next, the functional block included in the mobile terminal 20 will be described with reference to the block diagram of FIG.
Here, the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 described above receives power from the vehicle 60a, but the mobile terminal 20 receives power from its own battery (not shown). However, the mobile terminal 20 may be supplied with power from a cigar socket or the like of the vehicle 60b in order to charge the battery.

As shown in FIG. 6, the mobile terminal 20 includes a control unit 21, a storage unit 22, a communication unit 23, a sensor unit 24, a display unit 25, an input unit 26, and a short-range communication unit 27. Consists of.
Here, the control unit 21, the storage unit 22, the communication unit 23, the sensor unit 24, the display unit 25, and the input unit 26 have the same functions as the functional blocks of the same name included in the in-vehicle navigation device 10 described above. Have. That is, by substituting the wording of the "vehicle-mounted navigation device 10" and the wording of the "mobile terminal 20" in the above-mentioned description of the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10, each functional block of the mobile terminal 20 will be described. Is omitted.

On the other hand, the mobile terminal 20 is different from the in-vehicle navigation device 10 in that it includes the short-range communication unit 27 and the like, and this difference will be described below.
The short-range communication unit 27 performs non-contact short-range communication conforming to standards such as NFC (Near Field Communication) and Bluetooth (registered trademark), or wired short-range communication via a USB (Universal Serial Bus) cable or the like. It is a part for.
On the other hand, the vehicle 60b includes a short-range communication unit for communicating with the short-range communication unit 27. For example, the ECU (Electronic Control Unit) of the vehicle 60b includes a short-range communication unit.
The case where the mobile terminal 20 can communicate with the ECU by short-range communication is a case where the mobile terminal 20 exists in the vehicle 60b. In this case, the position information determined by the sensor unit 24 of the mobile terminal 20 corresponds to the position information of the vehicle 60b.

Therefore, the mobile terminal 20 activates the position information transmission unit 212 while the mobile terminal 20 can perform short-range communication with the ECU via the short-range communication unit 27. Then, the activated position information transmitting unit 212 identifies the moving body and the position information 221 for identifying the moving route of the vehicle 60b positioned by the sensor unit 24 in the same manner as the position information transmitting unit 112 of the in-vehicle navigation device 10. The information 222 and the information 222 are transmitted to the future potential evaluation device 30.

For example, when the user possesses the mobile terminal 20 and gets on the vehicle 60b and turns on the activation switch of the vehicle 60b such as the ignition switch, the vehicle 60b and the mobile terminal 20 are connected (paired) and the mobile terminal 20 is connected. The positioned position information 221 and the moving object identification information 222 are transmitted from the mobile terminal 20 to the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310). In this case, the position specified by the position information 121 determined immediately after the pairing of the vehicle 60b and the mobile terminal 20 is transmitted to the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310) as the first vehicle position, that is, the starting position. be able to.

Further, when the start switch of the vehicle 60b such as the ignition switch is turned off, the pairing between the vehicle 60b and the mobile terminal 20 is released. In this case, the position specified by the position information 121 determined immediately before the release can be transmitted to the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD collecting unit 310) as the final vehicle position, that is, the parking position.
In this case, the point may be transmitted in real time, the point may be burst transmission, the point that burst transmission may be switched to real-time transmission when it is determined that the parking position has been reached, and the departure position. Alternatively, the same as the position information transmitting unit 112, the starting information and the stopping information indicating that the parking position may be added, and the parking position may be transmitted at the time of restarting.

When the vehicle 60b has a function of positioning the position information, the future potential evaluation device 30 (FCD) uses the position information positioned by the vehicle 60b as the position information 121 instead of the position information positioned by the sensor unit 24. It may be transmitted to the collecting unit 310). In this case, the sensor unit 24 may be omitted from the mobile terminal 20.

<Functional block included in user terminal 40>
Next, the functional blocks included in the user terminal 40 will be described with reference to the block diagram of FIG.
As shown in FIG. 7, the user terminal 40 includes at least a control unit 41, a storage unit 42, a communication unit 43, a display unit 44, and an input unit 45. The configuration of each part is, for example, the same as the configuration of each part having the same name as the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20. Since the user terminal 40 can be realized by a general personal computer, detailed description thereof will be omitted.
The control unit 41 includes a future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411. The future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411 accesses the future potential evaluation device 30 by, for example, a user ID assigned to a person who has the authority to refer to the mobile parking data to the facility 70 located in a predetermined area. It can be possible.
The future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411 transmits, for example, information relating to a predetermined area on the map designated by the user to the future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411 to the future potential evaluation inquiry unit 30, for each predetermined period. It is possible to acquire and inquire the prediction index information regarding the future potential of the predetermined area based on the average number of visits of the facilities in the predetermined area per day calculated in.
Similarly, the future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411 refers to the future potential evaluation device 30, for example, information relating to two different predetermined areas (for example, a first predetermined area and a second predetermined area) on a map designated by the user. Is calculated for each predetermined period in each of two different predetermined areas (first predetermined area and second predetermined area) by transmitting to the future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411, one day per moving body. Relative prediction index regarding the future potential of two predetermined areas (first predetermined area and second predetermined area) according to the average number of visits of each facility in each predetermined area visited and their relative comparison (for example, relative ratio). Information can be obtained and inquired.
Similarly, the future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411 refers to the future potential evaluation device 30, for example, a predetermined area (first predetermined area) on the map designated by the user and a wider area (third) including the predetermined area (first predetermined area). By transmitting the information related to the predetermined area) to the future potential evaluation inquiry unit 411, the average number of visits in the predetermined area (first predetermined area) and the average of each in a wider area (third predetermined area) including the average number of visits. Acquires relative predictive index information regarding the future potential of a predetermined area (first predetermined area) and a wider area (third predetermined area) including the predetermined area (first predetermined area) according to the number of visits and their relative comparison (for example, relative ratio). Can be inquired.
The future potential evaluation device 30 may be provided with the function related to the user terminal 40.

<Functional block included in the future potential evaluation device 30>
Next, the functional block included in the future potential evaluation device 30 will be described with reference to the block diagram of FIG.

As shown in FIG. 8, the future potential evaluation device 30 includes a control unit 31, a storage unit 32, and a communication unit 33.

The control unit 31 is composed of an arithmetic processing unit such as a microprocessor, and controls each unit constituting the future potential evaluation device 30. The details of the control unit 31 will be described later.

The storage unit 32 is composed of a semiconductor memory or the like, and includes programs such as a control program called a firmware or an operating system, a program for performing a future evaluation analysis process for predicting the future of the facility, and further. In addition, various information such as map information is stored. In the figure, as the information stored in the storage unit 32, the map information 321 and the parking information database 323, which are information related to the analysis processing of the position information, are shown.

The map information 321 includes information on features such as facilities including roads and business entities of companies, road information, facility position information (for example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude), and parking lot information (for example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude). ) Etc. are included. In addition, the map information 321 includes display map data for displaying the background of roads and road maps, position information of nodes (for example, road intersections, bend points, end points, etc.) and their type information. It includes road network data including link cost data related to link position information and its type information, which is a route connecting nodes, and cost information (for example, distance, required time, etc.) of all links.
Further, as described above, the map information 321 includes position information of points corresponding to positions on the map (for example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude), address information, facility information of a plurality of facilities, and each facility. The location on the map, the location information of each facility (for example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude), address information, and the like are included. As a result, the future potential evaluation device 30 (facility extraction unit 313 described later) can extract a facility located inside an arbitrary area designated on a map, for example, from a user.

As road information, so-called road map information such as the position and shape of a road, the type of road, and the position of a traffic light is stored.
As the facility location information, the location information of each facility including the business entity of the company is stored as latitude / longitude information. In addition, as facility location information, identification information (facility ID) of the facility including the business entity of the company, name, industry type of the facility including the business entity of the company, telephone number, address (including the area name), business hours And other incidental information may be included.
As the parking lot information, the location information of the parking lot is stored as the latitude and longitude information. If the parking lot is the parking lot of each facility, the facility and the parking lot are linked and saved.

The map information 321 may be stored in the storage unit 32 in advance, or may be appropriately downloaded from a server device (not shown) or the like connected to the communication network 50 as needed. .. Further, it may be appropriately modified according to the input of the user or the like.

The parking information database 323 is constructed based on the position information 121 and the position information 221 received from each of the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20, and the mobile body identification information 122 and the mobile body identification information 222. A database that contains data. The parking information database 323 is constructed by the parking information database update unit 311 described later. The details of the parking information database 323 will be described later when the parking information database update unit 311 is described. In the following description, when the position information 121 and the position information 221 are described without distinction, the reference numerals are omitted and they are referred to as "position information". Similarly, when the moving body identification information 122 and the moving body identification information 222 are described without distinction, the reference numerals are omitted and they are referred to as "moving body identification information".

The communication unit 33 has a DSP or the like, and performs wireless communication with other devices via the communication network 50 in accordance with communication standards such as 3G, LTE, 4G, 5G or Wi-Fi (registered trademark). Realize. The communication unit 33 is used, for example, to receive the position information and the moving object identification information transmitted from each of the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20.
However, there is no particular limitation on the data transmitted / received between the communication unit 33 and the other device, and information other than these information may be transmitted / received.

Next, the details of the control unit 31 will be described. The control unit 31 is composed of a microprocessor having a CPU, RAM, ROM, I / O, and the like. The CPU executes each program read from the ROM or the storage unit 32, reads information from the RAM, the ROM, and the storage unit 32 at the time of execution, and writes the information to the RAM and the storage unit 32. Sends and receives signals to and from the communication unit 33, the display unit 34, and the input unit 35. Then, in this way, the processing in the present embodiment is realized by the cooperation of the hardware and the software (program).

As functional blocks, the control unit 31 includes an FCD collection unit 310, a parking information database update unit 311, a prediction condition reception unit 312, a facility extraction unit 313, a visit detection unit 314, a stay visit count totaling unit 315, an evaluation unit 316, and evaluation information. Includes provider 317.

As described above, the FCD collecting unit 310 receives and collects the FCD which is the position information of the moving body collected from the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20 and the like. Based on the position information received from each of the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20, the FCD collecting unit 310 obtains the departure position, the departure position information including the departure time, the arrival position, and the arrival time for each identification information of the vehicle 60. Travel history data having arrival position information and movement route information as attributes may be created and updated according to the movement order.
Here, the "departure position information" in the travel history data is information for specifying the position and departure time when the user departs from the vehicle 60. Further, the arrival position information in the travel history data is information for specifying the position where the user arrived by the vehicle 60 and the departure time.
FCD collection is a technique known to those skilled in the art (see, for example, WO2019 / 082826, WO2019 / 065349, etc.), and detailed description thereof will be omitted.

The parking information database update unit 311 is a part that constructs the parking information database 323 and updates the parking information database 323 as appropriate based on the travel history data collected by the FCD collection unit 310. An example of the data structure of the parking information database 323 will be described with reference to FIG. FIG. 6 is a diagram showing an example of the data structure of the parking information database 323.

<Parking information database 323>
As described above, the parking information database 323 includes mobile parking data at each facility 70. Specifically, the parking information database 323 includes "facility identification information" for identifying a facility including a business entity of a company visited by the vehicle 60. Further, the parking information database 323 includes "moving object identification information" received from the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20 of the vehicle 60 parked in the parking lot of the facility including the business entity of the company corresponding to the facility identification information. .. Further, the parking information database 323 parks based on the "location information" received from the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20 of the vehicle 60 parked in the parking lot of the facility including the business entity of the company corresponding to the facility identification information. Includes "parking date and time information" and "movement route information" specified by the information database update unit 311.
Then, the parking information database update unit 311 constructs and updates the parking information database 323 by storing each of these pieces of information in the corresponding fields in the parking information database 323.

The "facility identification information" in the parking information database 323 is information for identifying a facility including a business entity of a company in which the vehicle 60 is parked, and is acquired from the map information 321 described above. As the facility identification information, for example, numbers and alphabets uniquely assigned to the facility including the business entity of the company, the facility name, the telephone number of the facility, and the like can be used.

The "moving object identification information" in the parking information database 323 is information for identifying the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 or the mobile terminal 20 which is the transmission source of the position information as described above. That is, it is information for identifying the vehicle 60 corresponding to the in-vehicle navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20.

The "parking date / time information" in the parking information database 323 is information related to the date and time when the vehicle 60 corresponding to the moving object identification information has moved. Specifically, for example, the parking day (YYYY / MM / DD) of the parking lot of the moving body 60 related to the facility, the entrance time (hh / mm) of arrival at the parking lot of the moving body 60, and the movement. The exit time (hh / mm) of leaving the parking lot of the body 60 related to the facility, the parking time of the moving body 60, and the like may be included.

The "movement route information" in the parking information database 323 is based on, for example, location information that changes discretely with time received during the movement until the arrival at the facility and during the movement after the departure from the facility. It may include information indicating the movement route specified by the user. In the environment in which the present embodiment is implemented, when the accuracy of the position information is low, the parking information database update unit 311 specifies the movement route by performing map matching that compares the map information 321 with the position information. You may do so. However, when the accuracy of the position information is high, it is not always necessary to perform map matching.

The parking information database update unit 311 is based on the received position information and moving object identification information each time the transmission of the position information and the moving object identification information is started and then ended from any of the in-vehicle navigation devices 10 or the mobile terminal 20. The parking information database 323 is updated by storing each of the above-mentioned information in the new field.

Further, when constructing and updating the parking information database 323, the parking information database updating unit 311 needs to specify which vehicle 60 is parked in the parking lot of which facility.
Therefore, the parking information database update unit 311 identifies the position where the user parked in the vehicle 60 from the received position information. For example, as described above, if the position information includes information indicating the parking position, the parked position is specified by this information. If the position information does not include information indicating the parking position, for example, the position corresponding to the last received position information from the start to the end of the transmission of the position information, or a constant position. A position that does not change with time can also be regarded as a parking position.

Then, the parking information database update unit 311 compares the specified parking position with the position of each facility (and the position of the parking lot associated with the facility) included in the map information 321 and determines which of the specified parking position. When the positions of the facilities (and the positions of the parking lots associated with the facilities) match, it is determined that the vehicle 60 has parked in the matching facilities. Then, it is determined that the position information corresponding to the parking position on the outbound route has been received before it is received. The degree of "matching" between the parking position and the facility position may be arbitrarily determined. For example, when the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 or the mobile terminal 20 can measure the position information with high accuracy, the range for determining the match may be narrowed. On the other hand, when the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 or the mobile terminal 20 cannot measure the position information with such high accuracy, the range for determining the match may be widened. That is, even if the positions are slightly deviated, it may be determined as a match.
The user of the future potential evaluation device 30 may modify the parking information database 323 as appropriate.

<Forecast condition reception department 312>
As described above, the prediction condition reception unit 312 receives the user-designated area, which is a predetermined area to be evaluated for the future, via the user terminal 40. Further, the prediction condition reception unit 312 may accept the input of the predetermined period related to each predetermined period.
The prediction condition includes, for example, the designation of a predetermined area (region) for which the prediction index information regarding the future potential is calculated. In addition, the designation of the period, which is the basis of the forecast index information, may be included. As the period, for example, an arbitrary period such as monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, etc. may be specified. Further, for example, a partial period such as the last week of the month or Saturday or Sunday of each month may be specified.
For example, the user specifies a predetermined area (region) to be evaluated based on a map (or address information), a predetermined period (for example, a month), and a period range for calculating the average number of visits via the user terminal 40. By inputting conditions such as designation (for example, in the range of 2018 to 2019), as described above, the stay visit number totaling unit 315, which will be described later, will be used for one moving body 60 per day for each predetermined period. It is possible to calculate the average value (average number of visits) of the number of facilities in the predetermined area visited (the number of facility visits in the predetermined area). By doing so, the evaluation unit 316, which will be described later, can create predictive index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area, for example, based on the temporal transition of the average number of visits. When the partial period is applied, for example, the average number of visits per day of one mobile unit may be calculated for each last week of each month. By doing so, if the average number of visits in the last week of each month tends to increase, for example, it can be determined that economic activity in the predetermined area is active.
Therefore, the prediction condition reception unit 312 receives the conditions for calculating the prediction index of the future potential of the region from, for example, the user terminal 40 via the communication network 50. Therefore, the prediction condition reception unit 312 generates a user interface for receiving input of a condition for specifying an area or the like to be evaluated from the user, and displays the generated user interface on the user terminal 40. You may. By doing so, the user can refer to the user interface and input the prediction condition.
FIG. 4 is a diagram illustrating three patterns of a predetermined area (region) designated by the user as a future prospect prediction target. As shown in FIG. 4, at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) is designated by the user as one pattern. Further, as the second pattern, at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and another area (second predetermined area) different from the area (first predetermined area) are designated by the user. As the third pattern, the user specifies at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and a wider area (third predetermined area) including the area (first predetermined area).

<Facility extraction unit 313>
When the facility extraction unit 313 receives the input of the predetermined area (first predetermined area) to be predicted in the future from the user via the user terminal 40 by the prediction condition reception unit 312, the facility extraction unit 313 is based on the map information 321. Therefore, all the facilities having the position information (for example, GPS coordinates of latitude and longitude, address, etc.) inside the first predetermined area are extracted as the facilities in the first predetermined area. The facility extraction unit 313 outputs the extracted facility information to the visit detection unit 314 and the stay visit number totaling unit 315.
For example, as shown in FIG. 4, when at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) is designated by the user, the facility extraction unit 313 sets the facility located inside the first predetermined area as the first predetermined area. Extract all as an internal facility.
Further, as shown in FIG. 4, at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and another area (second predetermined area) different from the area (first predetermined area) are designated by the user. In this case, the facility extraction unit 313 extracts all the facilities located inside the first predetermined area as the facilities in the first predetermined area, and all the facilities located inside the second predetermined area as the facilities in the second predetermined area. Extract.
Further, as shown in FIG. 4, the user has designated at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and a wider area (third predetermined area) including the area (first predetermined area). In this case, the facility extraction unit 313 extracts all the facilities located inside the first predetermined area as the facilities in the first predetermined area, and all the facilities located inside the third predetermined area as the facilities in the third predetermined area. Extract.

<Visit detection unit 314>
The visit detection unit 314 can detect when and which mobile body visited each facility 70 based on the parking information database 323. The visit detection unit 314 may detect whether or not the moving body 60 parked in the parking lot of the facility 70 corresponds to the visit of the facility 70. Specifically, for example, when the parking time of the vehicle 60 exceeds a preset first time, the user of the vehicle 60 is not a visitor of the facility 70, but an employee of the facility 70 or a person involved in construction work. By determining that, it may be detected whether or not the parking of the moving body 60 corresponds to the visit of the facility 70.
By doing so, the visit detection unit 314 will be described later for each predetermined period (specifically, for each date) based on the predetermined period and the predetermined area specified by the user via the prediction condition reception unit 312. The moving body 60 that visited the facility in the predetermined area extracted by the facility extraction unit 313 is detected.
Specifically, for example, the visit detection unit 314 provides mobile identification information for visiting a facility in a predetermined area and a visit visited by the mobile for each predetermined period (specifically, every day included in each predetermined period). The facility identification number, the entrance time, and the like can be stored in the storage unit 32 as visit detection data.
The default value may be set in advance for the predetermined period.

<Number of stay visits totaling department 315>
Based on the visit detection data, the stay visit count totaling unit 315 sorts the visit detection data in the order of parking date, moving object identification information, admission time, and facility ID, so that the facilities in the user-designated area can be sorted by day. The number of facilities in the user-designated area of each mobile body visited can be counted, and the average number of visits of facilities in the user-designated area visited per day for each mobile body can be calculated for each predetermined period.
As shown in FIG. 4, when at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) is designated by the user, the stay visit number totaling unit 315 is used for each of the plurality of mobiles visiting the facility in the first predetermined area. , Calculate the number of facilities in the first predetermined area that each mobile visits in one day, and further calculate the average number of visits of the facilities in the first predetermined area that each mobile visits in one day. , Calculated as the number of first visits for each of a plurality of predetermined periods.
Further, as shown in FIG. 4, at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and another area (second predetermined area) different from the area (first predetermined area) are designated by the user. In this case, the stay visit count totaling unit calculates the number of first visits described above, and further, for each of the plurality of mobiles visiting the facilities in the second predetermined area, the second predetermined area visited by each mobile in one day. The number of in-house facilities is calculated, and the average number of visits to facilities in the second predetermined area visited per day for each of a plurality of mobiles is calculated as the number of second visits for each of a plurality of predetermined periods. ..

FIG. 9A shows the average number of visits to facilities in the first predetermined area per day per mobile body per month (April, June, July) and the number of visits per day per mobile body. It is a figure which showed an example of comparison with the average number of visits of the facility in the 2nd predetermined area. Referring to FIG. 9A, the average number of visits per day of one mobile in the first predetermined area (region) is larger than the average number of visits per day of one mobile in the second predetermined area (region). You can see that it is big. By doing so, it can be estimated that the economic activity in the first predetermined area (region) is more active than the economic activity in the second predetermined area (region).
In addition, when comparing the average number of visits per day of one mobile body in each month, for example, in the first predetermined area (region), the economic activity in the first predetermined area (region) is May rather than April. , It can be estimated that June is more active. Similarly, when comparing the average number of visits per day of one mobile in each month in the second predetermined area (region), for example, the economic activity in the second predetermined area (region) is 5 more than in April. It can be estimated that the month and June are more active.

Further, as shown in FIG. 4, the user has designated at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and a wider area (third predetermined area) including the area (first predetermined area). In this case, the stay visit count totaling unit 315 calculates the number of first visits as described above, and further, for each of the plurality of mobiles that visited the facilities in the third predetermined area, each mobile visits in one day. 3 Calculate the number of facilities in the predetermined area, and further calculate the average number of visits to the facilities in the third predetermined area that were visited per day for each mobile of multiple mobiles, and the number of third visits for each of the plurality of predetermined periods. Calculate as.

FIG. 9B shows the average number of visits to facilities in the first predetermined area per day per mobile body per month (April, June, July) and the number of visits per day per mobile body. It is a figure which showed an example of comparison with the average number of visits of the facility in the 3rd predetermined area which is wider including the 1st predetermined area.
Referring to FIG. 9B, in each month, the average number of visits to the facilities in the first predetermined area per day per moving object in the first predetermined area is 1 per moving object in the third predetermined area. It can be seen that it is larger than the average number of visits to the facilities in the third predetermined area visited on a daily basis. Then, it can be estimated that the economic activity in the first predetermined area (region) is more active than the economic activity in the wider third predetermined area including the first predetermined area.
On the contrary, when the average number of visits of the facilities in the first predetermined area is smaller than the average number of visits of the facilities in the third predetermined area visited per day per moving object in the third predetermined area, the first predetermined area It can be estimated that the economic activity in the (region) is less active than the economic activity in the wider third predetermined area including the first predetermined area.

<Evaluation unit 316>
As shown in FIG. 4, when at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) is designated by the user, the evaluation unit 316 becomes a facility in the first predetermined area calculated by the stay visit number totaling unit 315. Of the first predetermined area (region) based on the number of first visits, which is the average number of visits of the facilities in the first predetermined area visited per day for one mobile of the plurality of visited objects in a predetermined period. Calculate forecast index information regarding future potential. Here, the prediction index information is, for example, information indicating positive, negative, and neutral.
For example, in FIG. 9A, 3 months is illustrated, but it is not limited to 3 months. If the number of first visits (i) calculated for each predetermined period (i) (1 ≦ i ≦ N) indicating a temporal transition is on an increasing trend, the evaluation unit 316 will determine the future of the first predetermined area (region). The prediction regarding sex may be positively determined. For example, the predetermined period (1) is January 20XX, the predetermined period (2) is February 20XX, the predetermined period (3) is March 20XX, ... The predetermined period (N) is 20XY Z month. In addition, when expressing the temporal transition, when it is determined that the slope of the first visit number (i) calculated for each predetermined period (i) tends to be positive, it relates to the future potential of the first predetermined area (region). The prediction may be positively determined.
On the contrary, when it is determined that the slope of the first visit number (i) calculated for each predetermined period (i) tends to be negative, the prediction regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area (region) is negatively determined. May be good.
In addition, the evaluation unit 316 may compare the number of first visits in a predetermined period of this year with the number of first visits in a predetermined period of one or more past years (for example, the previous year, the year before the previous year, etc.). Good. By doing so, for example, when the number of first visits in the predetermined period of this year is larger than the number of first visits in the predetermined period of the same period in the past year (for example, the previous year, the year before last, etc.), the predetermined area It can be estimated that the economic activity in Japan is becoming more active.
In this case, the evaluation unit 316 may positively determine the prediction regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area (region).
Conversely, if the number of first visits during a given period of this year is less than the number of first visits during a given period of the same period in the past year (eg, the year before, the year before last, etc.), then the economic activity in the given area is , Can be estimated to be decreasing.
In this case, the evaluation unit 316 may make a negative determination of the prediction regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area (region).
In this way, it is possible to predict the future potential of the region, which is the first predetermined area, only with objective and observable data based on the increasing or decreasing tendency of the number of first visits (in the temporal transition). ..
In this way, the evaluation unit 316 can predict the future potential of the region, which is the first predetermined region, using only objective and observable data.

Similarly, when the user specifies at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and another area (second predetermined area) different from the area (first predetermined area), the evaluation unit 316 , It is possible to make a relative comparison between the economic activity in the first predetermined area and the economic activity and future potential in the second predetermined area.
Specifically, the evaluation unit 316 visited a plurality of moving objects that visited the facility in the first predetermined area, which was calculated by the staying visit number counting unit 315, per day for each moving object for each predetermined period. One for each predetermined period of a plurality of moving objects that have visited the second predetermined area facility, which is calculated by the first visit number, which is the average number of visits of the first predetermined area facility, and the stay visit number totaling unit 315. Relative comparison of economic activity in the first predetermined area and economic activity in the second predetermined area based on the number of second visits, which is the average number of visits to facilities in the second predetermined area per day. can do.
For example, when the number of first visits calculated for each predetermined period tends to be larger than the number of second visits (for example, there is a probability that the number of first visits will be larger than the number of second visits). (When the rate is equal to or higher than a predetermined rate), it can be estimated that the economic activity in the first predetermined area is more active than the economic activity in the second predetermined area. In this case, the evaluation unit 316 may determine that the prediction regarding the future potential of the first predetermined region (region) is more positive than the future prospect of the second predetermined region (region).
In this way, the evaluation unit 316 can make a relative comparison between the future potential of the evaluation target area and the future potential of another region different from the evaluation target area by using only objective and observable data.

Further, when at least one arbitrary area (first predetermined area) and a wider area (third predetermined area) including the area (first predetermined area) are designated by the user, the evaluation unit 316 determines. The average number of visits to the facilities in the first predetermined area calculated by the staying visit number totaling unit 315 for each of the plurality of moving objects visited in the facilities in the first predetermined area in one day for each predetermined period. The number of first visits and the number of stay visits, which is calculated by the total number of visits 315, is the third of a plurality of moving objects that have visited facilities in the third predetermined area, and one moving object for each predetermined period has visited one day. To make a relative comparison between the economic activity in the first predetermined area and the economic activity in the wider third predetermined area including the first predetermined area, based on the third visit number, which is the average number of visits of the facilities in the predetermined area. Can be done.
For example, when the number of first visits calculated for each predetermined period tends to be larger than the number of third visits (for example, there is a probability that the number of first visits will be larger than the number of third visits). (When the rate is equal to or higher than a predetermined rate), it can be estimated that the economic activity in the first predetermined area is more active than the economic activity in the wider third predetermined area including the first predetermined area.
In this way, the evaluation unit 316 can make a relative comparison between the future potential of the evaluation target area and the future potential of the entire wide area including the evaluation target area, using only objective and observable data. it can. In this case, the evaluation unit 316 may determine that the prediction regarding the future potential of the first predetermined region (region) is more positive than the future prospect of the second predetermined region (region).

<Evaluation Information Providing Department 317>
The evaluation information providing unit 317 provides the user terminal 40 (future evaluation inquiry unit 411) with predictive index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area (first predetermined area) determined by the evaluation unit 316.
As shown in FIG. 9A, for example, the evaluation information providing unit 317 determines the average number of visits per day of one mobile body for each predetermined period in each of the two different regions (first predetermined region and second predetermined region). Predictive index information of the first predetermined region and the second predetermined region (for example, positive, negative, neutral) and relative predictive index information comparing the two predetermined regions (for example, more positive, more negative, etc.) together with the graph to be represented. May be provided.
Further, as shown in FIG. 9B, for example, the evaluation information providing unit 317 has a day of one moving body for each predetermined period in each of the first predetermined region and the wider third predetermined region including the first predetermined region. Predictive index information (eg, positive, negative, neutral) in the first and third predetermined regions and relative predictive index information comparing the two predetermined regions (for example, more positive), along with a graph showing the average number of visits per visit. , More negative, etc.) may be provided.

<Operation of this embodiment>
Finally, the operation of the present embodiment will be described with reference to the flowcharts of FIGS. 10 and 11. Here, FIG. 10 is a flowchart showing an operation at the time of collecting location information and updating the parking information database 323, which is performed by the FCD collecting unit 310 and the parking information database updating unit 311. Further, FIG. 11 is a flowchart showing a basic operation when the future potential evaluation device 30 creates predictive index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area.

First, the operation when the parking information database 323 is updated by the position information collected from the in-vehicle navigation device 10 will be described with reference to FIG.
It is determined whether or not the position information transmitting unit 112 starts transmitting the position information (step S11). Here, as described above, transmission is started when the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a is turned on. If the ignition switch remains off (No in step S11), transmission by the position information transmitting unit 112 is not started. On the other hand, when the ignition switch is turned on (Yes in step S11), the process proceeds to step S12.

In step S12, the sensor unit 14 acquires position information by positioning the position of the vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 (step S12).
The position information transmission unit 112 acquires position information from the sensor unit 14, and transmits the acquired position information to the FCD collection unit 310 in real time or burst transmission at a predetermined cycle (step S13).

Next, it is determined whether or not the position information transmission unit 112 ends the transmission of the position information (step S14). As described above, the transmission ends when the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a is turned off. If the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a remains on (No in step S14), the positioning in step S12 and the transmission in step S13 are repeated.

On the other hand, when the ignition switch of the vehicle 60a is turned off (Yes in step S14), the process proceeds to step S15.

In step S15, the parking information database update unit 311 of the future potential evaluation device 30 updates the parking information database 323 based on the position information transmitted by repeating steps S12 and S13 (step S15).
By the operation described above, the collection of location information and the update of the parking information database 323 are realized.

Next, the operation when the parking information database 323 is updated by the position information collected from the mobile terminal 20 will be described with reference to FIG. In this case, in the above description with reference to FIG. 10, the position information transmitting unit 112 is replaced with the position information transmitting unit 211, the sensor unit 14 is replaced with the sensor unit 24, and the reference to be Yes in step S11 is set to "ignition switch or the like". When the start switch of the vehicle 60b is turned on and the mobile terminal 20 is paired with the vehicle 60b ”, the criterion of Yes in step S14 is changed to“ the start switch of the vehicle 60b such as the ignition switch is turned off and the vehicle 60b And when the pairing of the mobile terminal 20 is canceled ”. Therefore, duplicate description will be omitted.

Next, with reference to the flowchart of FIG. 11, the basic operation when creating the prediction index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area will be described.
First, the prediction condition reception unit 312 receives conditions related to prediction indexes such as a user-designated area and a predetermined period from, for example, the user terminal 40 via the communication network 50. At that time, the prediction condition reception unit 312 outputs the received condition to the facility extraction unit 313 (step S21).

The facility extraction unit 313 extracts all the facilities located inside the user-designated area based on the map information 321 and the like. At that time, the facility extraction unit 313 outputs the extracted facility information to the visit detection unit 314 and the stay visit number totaling unit 315 (step S22).

The visit detection unit 314 detects the moving object identification information that visited the facility in the user-designated area, the visiting facility identification number that the moving object visited, the admission time, and the like for each predetermined period (specifically, for each date). Extracted as data, the stay visit count totaling unit 315 visits the facility in the user-designated area on a daily basis based on the visit detection data (for example, sorting the detection data). The number is counted, and the average number of visits to the facilities in the user-designated area visited per day for each moving object is calculated for each predetermined period (step S23).

The evaluation unit 316 creates predictive index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area based on the average number of visits of the facilities in the user-designated area per day per moving object calculated in step S23 for each predetermined period. (Step S24).

The evaluation information providing unit 317 transmits predictive index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area to the user terminal 40 via the communication network 50. The user terminal 40 presents the prediction index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area to the user by displaying it on the display unit 444 (step S24).

According to the operation of the present embodiment described above, the prediction index information regarding the future potential of the user-designated area is based on the average number of visits of the facilities in the user-designated area that are visited per day for one mobile object every predetermined period. Can be created and presented to the user.

<Modification example>
Although the above-described embodiment is a preferred embodiment of the present invention, the scope of the present invention is not limited to the above-described embodiment, and various modifications are made without departing from the gist of the present invention. Can be implemented. For example, it is possible to carry out in a modified form such as each modification described below.

<First modification>
In the above-described embodiment, the visit detection unit 314 makes a visit to the target facility of the mobile body based on the position information of the mobile body transmitted from the mobile body (vehicle-mounted navigation device 10 and the mobile terminal 20 carried by the user). Detected, but not limited to this.
Specifically, for example, when the target facility is equipped with a device for recording the entry / exit of a moving object to the target facility, the visit detection unit 314 provides entry / exit information of the moving object obtained from the device for recording entry / exit. Based on the data, visits to the target facility of the mobile can be detected.
Then, the stay visit number totaling unit 315 counts the number of facilities in the user-designated area of each mobile that visited the facility in the user-designated area based on the entrance / exit information, and 1 per one mobile body for each predetermined period. The average number of visits to facilities in the user-specified area visited on a daily basis can be calculated.
Further, for example, a visit of a moving object to a target facility (facility parking lot) can be detected by using a satellite image of the facility parking lot taken at a predetermined cycle.
Then, the stay visit number totaling unit 315 counts the number of facilities in the user-designated area of each mobile that visited the facilities in the user-designated area based on the satellite image, and counts the number of facilities in the user-designated area for each predetermined period per day. It is possible to calculate the average number of visits to facilities in the user-specified area that have been visited.

<Second modification>
In the above-described embodiment, the average number of visits to facilities in the user-designated area visited per day per moving object has been illustrated and described, but the number is not limited to the average number of visits. For example, instead of the average number of visits to facilities in the user-designated area visited per day per mobile body, for example, the median value of the number of visits to facilities in the user-designated area visited per day per mobile body is adopted. You may try to do it. In addition, any appropriate statistical value may be applied.

<Other variants>
As another modification, in the above-described embodiment, it has been described that the future potential evaluation device 30 is realized by one server device or the like, but each function of the future potential evaluation device 30 is appropriately distributed to a plurality of server devices. It may be a processing system. Further, each function of the future potential evaluation device 30 may be realized by using a virtual server function or the like on the cloud. Further, instead of the user terminal 40, the future potential evaluation device 30 may have the function of the user terminal 40.
That is, the functional configurations of FIGS. 5, 6, 7, and 8 are merely examples, and do not limit the functional configurations of the present embodiment. That is, it suffices if each device is provided with a function capable of executing a series of processes related to the information analysis function of the present invention as a whole, and what kind of functional block is used to realize this function is particularly determined in FIGS. 6, but not limited to the examples of FIGS. 7 and 8.

<About hardware and software>
Each device included in the above navigation system can be realized by hardware, software, or a combination thereof. In addition, a navigation method performed by cooperation of each device included in the above navigation system can also be realized by hardware, software, or a combination thereof. Here, what is realized by software means that it is realized by a computer reading and executing a program.

Programs can be stored and supplied to a computer using various types of non-transitory computer readable media. Non-transitory computer-readable media include various types of tangible storage media. Examples of non-temporary computer-readable media include magnetic recording media (eg, flexible disks, magnetic tapes, hard disk drives), optomagnetic recording media (eg, optomagnetic disks), CD-ROMs (Read Only Memory), CD- Includes R, CD-R / W, semiconductor memory (eg, mask ROM, PROM (Programmable ROM), EPROM (Erasable PROM), flash ROM, RAM (random access memory). Also, programs are of various types of temporary. The computer may be supplied by a transparent computer readable medium. Examples of temporary computer readable media include electrical signals, optical signals, and electromagnetic waves. Temporary computer readable media are electric wires. The program can be supplied to the computer via a wired communication path such as an optical fiber or a wireless communication path.

1 Future potential evaluation system 10 In-vehicle navigation device 11, 21, 31 Control unit 111, 211 Route guidance unit 112, 212 Position information transmission unit 12, 22, 32 Storage unit 121, 221 Position information 122, 222 Mobile identification information 13, 23, 33 Communication unit 14, 24 Sensor unit 15, 25, 34 Display unit 16, 26, 35 Input unit 20 Mobile terminal 27 Short-distance communication unit 30 Future potential evaluation device 310 FCD collection unit 311 Parking information database update unit 312 Prediction conditions Reception department 313 Facility extraction department 314 Visit detection department 315 Number of stay visits 316 Evaluation department 317 Evaluation information provision department 32 Storage department 321 Map information 322 Area information 323 Parking information database 40 User terminal 50 Communication network 60 Mobile 60a, 60b Vehicle 70 facilities

Claims (7)

A visit detector that detects visits to multiple mobile facilities,
A map information storage unit that stores facility information including location information of multiple facilities,
A prediction condition reception unit that accepts input from the user in the first predetermined area included in the map,
A facility extraction unit that extracts a facility existing inside the first predetermined area as a facility in the first predetermined area from the map information storage unit, and a facility extraction unit.
For each of the plurality of mobiles that visited the facilities in the first predetermined area, the number of the facilities in the first predetermined area that each mobile visited in one day was calculated, and further, one movement of the plurality of mobiles was performed. A stay visit count totaling unit that calculates the average number of visits to the facilities in the first predetermined area per day as the number of first visits for each of a plurality of predetermined periods.
An evaluation unit that calculates a prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area based on the number of first visits.
A future potential evaluation device characterized by being equipped with. The visit detection unit detects a visit by receiving position information from a vehicle, receiving position information from a terminal carried by a user, or receiving entry / exit information from a device that records entry / exit. The future potential evaluation device according to claim 1. The future potential evaluation device according to claim 1 or 2, wherein the evaluation unit calculates a prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined region from the temporal transition of the number of first visits. The evaluation unit calculates a prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area based on the comparison between the number of the first visits in the predetermined period and the number of the first visits in the predetermined period in the same period of the previous year. The future potential evaluation device according to claim 3. The facility extraction unit further extracts a facility existing inside a second predetermined area different from the first predetermined area as a facility in the second predetermined area from the map information storage unit.
The stay visit number totaling unit further calculates the number of the facilities in the second predetermined area that each mobile visits in one day for each of the plurality of mobiles that visited the facilities in the second predetermined area, and further, the said The average number of visits to the facilities in the second predetermined area visited per day by one of the plurality of mobiles was calculated as the number of second visits for each of the plurality of predetermined periods.
The third aspect of the present invention is characterized in that the evaluation unit further calculates a relative prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area from each time transition of the first visit number and the second visit number. The described future potential evaluation device. The facility extraction unit extracts from the map information storage unit a facility existing inside a wider third predetermined area including the first predetermined area as a facility in the third predetermined area.
The stay visit number totaling unit further calculates the number of facilities in the third predetermined area that each mobile visits in one day for each of the plurality of mobiles that visit the facilities in the third predetermined area, and further calculates the number of facilities in the third predetermined area. The average number of visits to the facilities in the third predetermined area that were visited per day by one of the plurality of mobiles was calculated as the number of third visits for each of the plurality of predetermined periods.
According to claim 3, the evaluation unit further calculates a relative prediction index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area from each time transition of the first visit number and the third visit number. The described future potential evaluation device. It is a future potential evaluation method performed by a computer equipped with a map information storage unit that stores facility information including location information of a plurality of facilities.
A prediction condition reception step that accepts input from the user in the first predetermined area included in the map, and
A facility extraction step of extracting a facility existing inside the first predetermined area as a facility in the first predetermined area from the map information storage unit, and
A visit detection step that detects visits to multiple mobile facilities,
For each of the plurality of mobiles that visited the facilities in the first predetermined area, the number of the facilities in the first predetermined area that each mobile visited in one day was calculated, and further, one movement of the plurality of mobiles was performed. A step of counting the number of staying visits, which calculates the average number of visits to the facilities in the first predetermined area per day as the number of first visits for each of a plurality of predetermined periods.
An evaluation step of calculating a predictive index regarding the future potential of the first predetermined area based on the number of first visits, and
A future potential evaluation method characterized by providing.

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