JP2019045918A - Production management device, production management method and program - Google Patents

Abstract

To provide highly-reliable information regarding supply quantity of crops, while suppressing time and costs.SOLUTION: A production management device calculates a prediction production amount of an object crop, by using a vegetation index based on sensing data obtained from a satellite or a drone, and compares the calculated prediction production amount and a production request scheduled amount (S500, S500a). Here, when the prediction production amount is less than the production request scheduled amount, a past responding record is referred to, and a countermeasure message according to a past countermeasure is transmitted to a manufacturer (S600, S900). However, when the prediction production amount exceeds the production request scheduled amount, the past responding record is referred to, and the countermeasure message according to the past responding record is transmitted to the manufacturer (S600a, S900a).SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 5

Description

  The present invention relates to a production control technique suitable for controlling crop production.

  Manufacturers who use food and beverage crops as raw materials often secure stable supply of raw materials by entering into exclusive contracts when contracting with new producers that produce raw materials. . Information on the supply of raw materials relies on the provision of information from producers, or manufacturers dispatch surveyors locally to have them know the growing condition of the crop, planted area, etc. Presently, the supply amount is predicted (see, for example, Patent Document 1).

JP, 2003-6612, A

However, the on-site survey by investigators has the problem that it takes time and money to carry out the survey and tabulate results. In particular, when production areas are widely dispersed (for example, at home and abroad, etc.), it takes a lot of time and money to collect information on the site.
In addition, in the case of relying on reports from producers for information on the supply of raw materials, it is not always possible for producers to provide the information needed by the manufacturer.
In any case, the prediction of the supply of raw materials based on experience and intuition by investigators or producers has the problem that it varies widely among individuals and is unreliable.

  The present invention has been made in view of the above-described circumstances, and provides a production management technique capable of providing information on the reliable supply of crops while suppressing time and cost. To aim.

  A production management apparatus according to an aspect of the present invention is an acquisition unit that acquires vegetation index data representing a vegetation index of a target crop in a specific area, and for determining whether the crop condition of the target crop in the specific area is insufficient. Based on a first storage unit for storing the underdeveloped line threshold, a second storage unit for storing the overrun line threshold for determining whether or not the crop condition of the target crop in the specific area is excessive, and vegetation index data A calculation unit that calculates an estimated production amount of the target crop, a first notification unit that reports an insufficient condition alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below the underdeveloped line threshold, and an estimated production amount of the target crop If the planting excess line threshold is exceeded, the second reporting unit that reports the planting excess alert and the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below the planting shortage line threshold and the production request for the target crop will be requested. If the 3rd notification unit that reports the 1st emergency response alert and the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the planting excess line threshold and exceeds the planned production request amount of the target crop, Comprises a fourth notification unit for notifying a second emergency response alert.

  In the above configuration, the first correspondence history recording unit which records the past countermeasure when the actual production amount of the target crop falls below the planned production request amount of the target crop, and the actual production amount of the target crop And the second correspondence history recording unit recording the past countermeasure in the case where the production request planned amount of the target crop is exceeded, and the third notification unit has the past correspondence countermeasure in the first correspondence history recording unit. When not recorded, while notifying the first emergency response alert, when the past countermeasure is recorded in the first correspondence history recording unit, the past countermeasure is informed, and the fourth annunciator If the second countermeasure history recording unit does not record the past countermeasure, the second emergency response alert is notified, while the second countermeasure history recording unit records the past countermeasure, You may make it alert | report the past countermeasure.

  In the above configuration, when the third countermeasure unit records a plurality of measures in the past in the first correspondence history recording unit, the third correspondence unit performs the past correspondence based on the estimated production amount of the target crop this time. The priority of measures may be determined, and past measures may be notified along with the determined priority.

  In the above configuration, when the second countermeasure history recording unit records a plurality of measures in the past, the fourth notification unit measures the past countermeasure based on the estimated production amount of the target crop this time. The priority of measures may be determined, and past measures may be notified along with the determined priority.

  In the above configuration, the system further includes an actual result storage unit that stores the production amount of the target crop in the specific region in the base year, and the first notification unit indicates that the estimated production amount of the target crop is less than the production amount in the base year If the estimated production amount of the target crop is below the threshold of insufficient production line, the second informing unit determines that the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the production amount in the base year. In this case, it may be determined whether the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the overgrowth line threshold.

  In the above configuration, the acquisition unit may acquire the vegetation index data based on sensing data from a satellite or a drone.

  According to the present invention, it is possible to provide reliable information on crop supply while reducing time and cost.

It is a figure which shows the hardware constitutions of a production management apparatus. It is a block diagram showing functional composition of a production control device. It is the figure which illustrated the various data collected by the data collection part. It is a flowchart which shows the basic statistical processing by a basic statistical part. It is a flowchart which shows the alert determination processing by an alert determination part.

  Hereinafter, embodiments according to the present invention will be described with reference to the drawings. However, the embodiments described below are merely examples, and do not exclude the application of various modifications and techniques that are not explicitly described below. That is, the present invention can be variously modified and implemented without departing from the scope of the invention.

A. This embodiment
[Overview of Production Management Device]
The production management apparatus according to the present embodiment uses the vegetation index based on the sensing data obtained from the satellite and the drone to estimate the production amount of the target crop, and the estimated production amount (hereinafter also referred to as “estimated production amount” Compare the production request amount of the manufacturer etc. Here, for example, when the estimated production amount falls below the planned production request amount, the shortage of production amount is newly determined by referring to the past correspondence record (history information) and concluding a contract with a new producer. Measures are sent to the manufacturer as a countermeasure message, such as compensating for the additional producers. On the other hand, when the estimated production volume exceeds the planned production volume, the past correspondence record (history information) is referred to, and measures to expand sales by cultivating sales channels of the target crop are sent to the manufacturer as a countermeasure message Do. By adopting such a configuration, it is possible to provide the manufacturer with information (estimated production amount etc.) regarding the reliable supply amount of the crop while suppressing time and cost compared to the prior art. . On the other hand, the manufacturer can use such information to temporarily stop the sale of manufactured products due to the shortage of target crops as raw materials, and the excess of target crops as raw materials. It is possible to prevent the problem of having to dispose of in advance.

FIG. 1 is a diagram showing a schematic configuration of a production management device 1000. As shown in FIG.
The production management device 1000 is configured by an information processing device such as a personal computer. The production management apparatus 1000 includes a memory 12 such as a ROM and a RAM for storing various control programs executed by the CPU 11, an input device 13 provided with a keyboard and a mouse, operation buttons and the like, an output device 14 provided with a liquid crystal panel and the like. A storage device 15 such as a hard disk, a communication device 16 provided with each communication interface, and the like are provided.

FIG. 2 is a block diagram showing a functional configuration of the production management device 1000. As shown in FIG.
The production management apparatus 1000 provides the function of each unit shown in FIG. 2 by the CPU 11 reading software stored in the memory 12 or the like and interpreting / executing the software.

[Data collection unit 100]
FIG. 3 illustrates various data collected by the data collection unit (acquisition unit) 100.
Data collected by the data collection unit 100 can be roughly divided into production performance data, sensing data, weather information data, and map data.

  The production performance data is data representing the production performance of each producer contracted with the manufacturer, and, for example, for each target crop (eg, soybean, potato etc.) or target area (eg, land owned by producer A) It includes production data representing harvests (production) for the past few years. The production management device 1000 acquires production result data from a production management system (not shown) via the Internet or the like.

  The sensing data is configured to include vegetation index data, soil moisture content data, captured image data, and the like. Vegetation index data is an index (vegetation index) indicating the distribution status and activity of vegetation calculated using satellite data acquired by satellites and drones and drone data, for example, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index: Normalized Vegetation Index is used. The soil water content data is data indicating the soil water content calculated using satellite data and drone data. The captured image data is data indicating an image captured by a camera mounted on a satellite or a drone. The production management apparatus 1000 acquires sensing data from a third party organization such as a satellite image sales company via the Internet or the like.

  The weather information data includes various information on past, present, and future weather, and specifically includes outside temperature data, outside humidity data, sunshine data, rainfall data, and the like. The production management apparatus 1000 acquires weather information data from the Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan Meteorological Association, etc. via the Internet or the like. In addition, about a part of weather information data (for example, outside air humidity data), you may acquire from the temperature / humidity sensor etc. which were installed in the field (target area).

  Map data includes various geographical information, and specifically includes address data of each producer, latitude and longitude data, elevation data, land inclination data, river, reservoir, agricultural waterway image data, etc. Configured The production management device 1000 acquires map data from the Geographical Survey Institute and the like via the Internet or the like.

  The data collection unit 100 stores production result data, sensing data, weather information data, and map data acquired from the outside in the database unit 200.

[Database section 200]
The database unit 200 includes a production record database (DB), a vegetation / soil moisture database (DB), a weather database (DB), and a map information database (DB).
Production record data etc. are stored in the production record DB, vegetation index data and soil water content data etc are stored in the vegetation / soil moisture DB, weather information data etc is stored in the weather DB, map information Map data etc. are stored in DB. The database unit 200 includes a production amount prediction database (DB), a past correspondence record database (DB), and the like in addition to the above-described databases (described later).

[Basic Statistics Department 300]
The basic statistics unit 300 includes, for example, a machine learning tool statistical analysis tool, and performs basic statistical processing using these tools. FIG. 4 is a flowchart showing basic statistical processing by the basic statistical unit 300.
The basic statistics unit 300 organizes data for each producer using each data (for example, map data) stored in the database unit 200 (step S10), and maps the address of each producer on the map (step S10). Step S20). On that basis, the basic statistics part 300 distinguishes the crop (ie, the target crop) which is the estimation target by machine learning (step S30), analyzes the vegetation index and the soil water content (step S40), The analysis is performed (step S50), and the analysis result is graphically displayed on a liquid crystal panel or the like (step S60), and the process is ended.

[Production amount forecast calculation unit 400]
The production amount prediction calculation unit (calculation unit) 400 predicts (estimates) the available supply amount of the target crop in the specific area by using the analysis result by the basic statistical unit 300 and each data stored in the database unit 200. Then, this is stored in the production amount forecast DB as an estimated production amount.

[Alert determination unit 500]
The alert determination unit 500 calculates the estimated production amount calculated by the production amount prediction calculation unit 400, production performance data of the target crop in the target area (for example, the production amount corresponding to the harvest amount for the past several years), etc. By comparing, it is determined whether or not an alert is necessary for the production of the target crop.

  FIG. 5 is a flowchart showing an alert determination process by the alert determination unit 500. The alert determination process is performed each time captured image data of a target area is acquired by a satellite or a drone (that is, each time of capturing by a satellite or drone camera).

  The alert determination unit 500 first obtains the estimated production amount of the target crop in the target area (in this embodiment, the estimated production amount of the current year is assumed) by referring to the production amount prediction DB (step S100). Next, the alert determination unit 500 acquires the production amount of the target crop in the target area in the base year by referring to the production result DB, and the acquired production amount of the base year and the acquired estimated production amount of the present fiscal year Are compared (step S200). Here, the setting of the reference year can be input, for example, by the manufacturer or the like appropriately operating the touch panel or the like of the production management apparatus 1000. However, the present invention is not intended to be limited to this, and the previous year is fixedly set as a reference year, or the Nth (N ≧ 1) vegetation index is high and lower (or lower) is set as a reference year. You may do it.

<When the estimated production volume of this year is less than the production volume of the base year>
If the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production amount of this year acquired this time is equal to or less than the production amount of the reference year (step S200; YES), whether the estimated production amount of this year is equal to or less than the construction shortage line threshold Is determined (step S300). Here, the establishment shortage line threshold is a threshold obtained from, for example, past production results data, etc., and the production amount of the target crop is set as a threshold when the target crop is insufficient due to the effects of low temperature and insufficient sunshine. It is conceivable. The construction shortage line threshold may be manually set in the alert determination unit (first storage unit) 500, for example, by the manufacturer or the like appropriately operating the touch panel of the production management apparatus 1000, but the basic statistics unit 300 The establishment shortage line threshold may be calculated based on past production result data, and the calculated establishment shortage line threshold may be automatically set in the alert determination unit 500.

  If the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production amount of this year acquired this time exceeds the threshold value for the insufficient production condition (step S300; NO), there is no concern that the production of the target crop will be insufficient. Finish. On the other hand, when the alert determination unit (first notification unit) 500 determines that the estimated production amount for this year acquired this time is less than or equal to the underdeveloped line threshold (step S300; YES), the production shortage of the target crop is concerned. In order to inform the manufacturer or the like, a construction shortage alert is displayed on the liquid crystal panel or the like (step S400). Instead of (or in addition) notifying the manufacturer or the like of the incompletion condition alert by text message or the like, the message may be notified to the manufacturer or the like by voice message or sound effect.

  When the alert determination unit 500 outputs the condition shortage alert, the alert determination unit 500 determines whether the estimated production amount for this year is less than or equal to the planned production request amount (step S500). Here, the planned production request amount can be manually set in the alert determination unit 500, for example, by the manufacturer or the like appropriately operating the touch panel or the like of the production management apparatus 1000. If the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production volume for this year is not less than or equal to the planned production volume, that is, the estimated volume for this fiscal year exceeds the planned volume for batch production (step S500; NO), Because the supply amount of the target crop is secured, the treatment ends.

  On the other hand, when the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production amount for this year is equal to or less than the planned production request amount (step S500; YES), the alert determination unit 500 refers to the past correspondence record DB and determines whether there is a similar past case. (Step 600). Here, in the past correspondence record (the first correspondence history recording unit) DB, the actual production amount of the target crop (hereinafter, also referred to as “the actual production amount”) became less than the planned production request amount due to lack of cropping conditions. The correspondence record of the time (for example, the correspondence method, the correspondence period, the correspondence date, etc.) is registered. For example, a contract is concluded with a new producer, and a countermeasure for compensating for the shortage of the actual production volume by adding a new producer, or access to other producers who have already signed a contract, the actual production volume In order to make up for the shortfall in Japan, it is possible to take measures to increase production. We will stop selling products (such as potato chips, etc.) because there is a shortage of target crops (such as potatoes, etc.) as raw materials by examining these countermeasures before actual lack of cropping occurs. It is possible to prevent problems such as having to be done in advance. Of course, the countermeasure is not limited to the above.

  If the alert determination unit (third notification unit) 500 determines that there is no similar past case because there is no correspondence record when the actual production amount becomes equal to or less than the planned production request amount due to lack of business conditions (step S600). ; NO) For example, a letter message such as “The production volume of the target crop may be significantly lower than the planned production volume due to lack of crop condition. Please consider the countermeasure based on the analysis result.” (First Emergency Response Alert) is displayed on the liquid crystal panel or the like (step S700). Then, the alert determination unit 500 automatically sends the analysis result of this time to the manufacturer or the like as an analysis report (step S800), and ends the process. The manufacturer etc. can realize a precise procurement plan etc. of the target crop by using the received emergency response alert and analysis report.

  On the other hand, the alert determination unit (third notification unit) 500 determines that there is a similar past example when finding the correspondence record when the actual production amount becomes less than the planned production request amount due to lack of construction condition (step S600) YES, identify the corresponding case by referring to the past correspondence record DB, and then take a contract with a new producer (for example, conclude a contract with a new producer, add the shortage of actual production volume, add a new producer) To extract from the past correspondence record DB). Then, the alert determination unit 500 displays the countermeasure taken on the extracted corresponding case on the liquid crystal panel as a countermeasure message, sends a message to the manufacturer or the like (step S900), and ends the processing. If there are a large number of countermeasures, for example, because there are a plurality of past cases, the priorities of each countermeasure may be determined and recommended to the manufacturer or the like in descending order of priority. Specifically, the priority of each countermeasure may be determined in consideration of various parameters such as the characteristics of the target crop (whether or not the early harvest is possible, etc.), the shortage quantity of the target crop, and the target area.

<When the estimated production volume of this year exceeds the production volume of the base year>
If the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production amount for this year acquired this time exceeds the production amount for the reference year (step S200; NO), whether the estimated production amount for this year is equal to or greater than the activity excess line threshold It determines (step S300a). Here, the crop condition excess line threshold is a threshold value obtained from, for example, past production results data, and the target crop is excessive due to effects such as being blessed with favorable weather conditions and succeeding in cultivating new varieties resistant to plague. It is conceivable to set the production amount of the target crop when there is a threshold value. The construction excess line threshold may be manually set in the alert determination unit (second storage unit) 500, for example, by the manufacturer or the like appropriately operating the touch panel of the production management apparatus 1000, but the basic statistics unit 300 The condition excess line threshold may be calculated based on past production result data, and the calculated condition excess line threshold may be automatically set in the alert determination unit 500.

  If the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production amount of this year acquired this time is below the overgrowth line threshold (step S300a; NO), there is no concern about overproduction of the target crop. Finish. On the other hand, if the alert determination unit (the second notification unit) 500 determines that the estimated production amount for this year acquired this time is equal to or higher than the establishment excess line threshold (step S300a; YES), there is a concern that the production of the target crop is overproduced In order to inform the manufacturer or the like, an overactivity alert is displayed on the liquid crystal panel or the like (step S400a). The over-activity alert may be notified to the manufacturer or the like by voice message or sound effect instead of (or in addition to) the manufacturer or the like by text message or the like.

  When the alert determination unit 500 outputs the construction excess alert, the alert determination unit 500 determines whether the estimated production amount for this year is equal to or more than the planned production request amount (step S500a). Here, the planned production request amount can be manually set in the alert determination unit 500, for example, by the manufacturer or the like appropriately operating the touch panel or the like of the production management apparatus 1000. If the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production amount for this year is not the planned production request amount, that is, the estimated production amount for the current fiscal year is less than the planned production request amount (step S500 a; NO) Because the supply amount of the target crop does not become excessive, the treatment ends.

  On the other hand, when the alert determination unit 500 determines that the estimated production amount for this year is equal to or more than the planned production request amount (step S500 a; YES), it refers to the past correspondence record DB and determines whether there is a similar past case. (Step 600a). Here, in the past correspondence record (second correspondence history recording unit) DB, the actual production amount of the target crop (hereinafter, also referred to as “the actual production amount”) became equal to or more than the planned production request The correspondence record of the time (for example, the correspondence method, the correspondence period, the correspondence date, etc.) is registered. For example, measures may be taken to expand sales by cultivating sales channels for target crops, or measures may be taken to resell excess target crops to other companies. By examining these measures before the over-production actually occurs, it is possible to suppress the waste loss of the excess target crops. Of course, the countermeasure is not limited to the above.

  If the alert determination unit (fourth notification unit) 500 determines that there is no similar past case because there is no correspondence record when the actual production amount exceeds the planned production request amount due to excessive production conditions (step S 600 a ; NO) For example, a text message such as "The production volume of the target crop may greatly exceed the planned production volume due to over-production. Please consider the countermeasure based on the analysis result." Alert) is displayed on the liquid crystal panel or the like (step S700a). Then, the alert determination unit 500 automatically sends the analysis result of this time to the manufacturer or the like as an analysis report (step S800a), and ends the process. The manufacturer etc. can realize a precise procurement plan etc. of the target crop by using the received emergency response alert and analysis report.

  On the other hand, when the alert determination unit (fourth notification unit) 500 finds a correspondence record when the actual production amount exceeds the planned production request amount due to overproduction, it determines that there is a similar past case (step S600a) YES), identify the corresponding case by referring to the past correspondence record DB, and extract the corresponding measures at that time (for example, measures to expand sales by cultivating the sales channel of the target crop) from the past correspondence record DB. Then, the alert determination unit 500 displays the countermeasure taken in the case of the extracted applicable case on the liquid crystal panel as a countermeasure message, sends a message to the manufacturer or the like (step S 900 a), and ends the processing. If there are a large number of countermeasures, for example, because there are a plurality of past cases, each countermeasure may be prioritized and recommended to the manufacturer or the like in descending order of priority. Specifically, the priority of each countermeasure may be determined in consideration of various parameters such as the remaining stock quantity, the demand forecast amount, and the characteristics of the target crop (such as storage period).

  As described above, according to the production management apparatus according to the present embodiment, the estimated production amount of the target crop is determined by using the vegetation index based on the sensing data obtained from the satellite and the drone, and Compare with planned production request. Here, for example, when the estimated production amount is less than the planned production request amount, the past correspondence record is referred to, and a contract is concluded with a new producer, and the shortage of the production amount is added by the new producer. Send the countermeasure such as supplement to the manufacturer as a countermeasure message. On the other hand, when the estimated production amount exceeds the planned production request amount, the past correspondence record is referred to, and the countermeasure is taken such as expanding sales by cultivating the sales channel of the target crop as a countermeasure message to the manufacturer. By adopting such a configuration, it is possible to provide the manufacturer with information (estimated production amount etc.) regarding the reliable supply amount of the crop while suppressing time and cost compared to the prior art. . On the other hand, the manufacturer can use such information to temporarily stop the sale of manufactured products due to the shortage of target crops as raw materials, and the excess of target crops as raw materials. It is possible to prevent problems such as having to discard

B. Others In the above embodiment, the case where captured image data of the target area is acquired by a satellite or a drone is exemplified. However, the captured image data may be acquired by other imaging means. Note that satellites or drones may be used properly depending on the characteristics of the target area. For example, while the target area is a large area abroad or in an unstable political area, satellites may be used, while a plant factory that can not be imaged by satellites or a house for agriculture may use a drone.

  Moreover, although various plants used as raw materials, such as a foodstuff, a drink, Chinese medicine, tobacco, are mentioned as an object crop, for example, It is applicable also to brown algae, such as seaweed, for example.

  Furthermore, in the present specification, “part” does not simply mean physical configuration, and includes the case where the processing executed by the “part” is realized by software. In addition, even if the processing performed by one "unit" or device is realized by two or more physical configurations or devices, one physical means or device performs processing performed by two or more "portions" or devices. It may be realized by Further, although not particularly mentioned in the present embodiment, whether to realize the function related to the production management apparatus 1000 in a cloud environment or in an on-premises environment can be arbitrarily selected according to the request of the manufacturer etc. It is.

  The steps in each process described above in the present specification can be arbitrarily changed in order or performed in parallel as long as no contradiction occurs in the process contents.

  A program for performing each process described in the present specification may be stored in a recording medium. If this recording medium is used, the program can be installed in the production management device 1000. Here, the recording medium storing the program may be a non-transitory recording medium. The non-transitory recording medium is not particularly limited, but may be, for example, a recording medium such as a CD-ROM.

1000 ... production management device, 11 ... CPU, 12 ... memory, 13 ... input device, 14 ... output device, 15 ... storage device, 16 ... communication device, 100 ... data collection unit, 200 ... database unit, 300 ... basic statistics unit , 400 ... production amount prediction calculation unit, 500 ... alert determination unit.

Claims (8)

An acquisition unit for acquiring vegetation index data representing a vegetation index of a target crop in a specific area;
A first storage unit that stores a crop condition line threshold for determining whether crop condition of the target crop is insufficient in the specific area;
A second storage unit that stores a construction excess line threshold for determining whether the construction of the target crop in the specific area is excessive;
A calculation unit that calculates an estimated production amount of the target crop based on the vegetation index data;
A first notification unit that reports a lack of production alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below the lack of production line threshold;
A second notification unit that reports an overgrowth alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the overgrowth line threshold;
A third notification unit that reports a first emergency response alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below the insufficiency line threshold and falls below the planned production request amount of the target crop;
And a fourth notification unit for notifying a second emergency response alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the above-mentioned excess production line threshold and exceeds the planned production request amount of the target crop. Production control device. A first correspondence history recording unit that records past measures when the actual production amount of the target crop falls below the planned production request amount of the target crop;
The system further includes a second correspondence history recording unit that records past measures when the actual production amount of the target crop exceeds the planned production request amount of the target crop,
The third notification unit notifies the first emergency response alert when the past countermeasure is not recorded in the first response history recording unit, while the third notification unit notifies the first response history recording unit of the past If a countermeasure is recorded, the past countermeasure is notified,
The fourth notification unit notifies the second emergency response alert when the second countermeasure history recording unit does not record the countermeasure in the past, while the second notification history recording unit notifies the second correspondence history recording unit of the past The production control apparatus according to claim 1, wherein when the countermeasure is recorded, the past countermeasure is notified. The third notification unit is
When a plurality of measures in the past are recorded in the first correspondence history recording unit, the prioritization of the measures in the past is determined based on the estimated production amount of the target crop at this time. The production management apparatus according to claim 2, wherein the past countermeasure is notified together with the prioritized priority. The fourth notification unit is
When a plurality of measures in the past are recorded in the second correspondence history recording unit, a priority order of the measures in the past is determined based on the estimated production amount of the target crop this time. The production control apparatus according to claim 2 or 3, wherein the past countermeasure is notified together with the priority that has been set. The system further comprises an actual result storage unit for storing the production amount of the target crop in the specific area in the reference year,
The first notification unit is
When the estimated production amount of the target crop is less than or equal to the production amount in the base year, it is determined whether the estimated production amount of the target crop is below the insufficiency line threshold.
The second notification unit is
It is determined whether the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the above-mentioned excess production line threshold when the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the production amount in the base year. Production control device as described.   The production management apparatus according to any one of claims 1 to 5, wherein the acquisition unit acquires the vegetation index data based on sensing data from a satellite or a drone. An acquisition step of acquiring vegetation index data representing a vegetation index of a target crop in a specific area;
Calculating an estimated production amount of the target crop based on the vegetation index data;
A first informing step of informing a lack of establishment alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below a lack of establishment line threshold for determining whether or not the establishment of the target crop is insufficient in the specific region; ,
A second notification step of reporting a construction excess alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds a construction excess line threshold for determining whether the construction of the target crop in the specific region is excessive. When,
A third informing step of informing a first emergency response alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below the insufficiency line threshold and falls below the planned production request amount of the target crop;
A fourth notification step of notifying a second emergency response alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the above-mentioned excess production line threshold and exceeds the planned production request amount of the target crop. Management method. A first storage unit for storing a lack of cropping line threshold for determining whether the crop condition of the target crop is insufficient in the specific region, and determining whether the crop condition of the target crop in the specific region is excessive A second storage unit for storing a business excess line threshold for
An acquisition unit for acquiring vegetation index data representing a vegetation index of the target crop in the specific region;
A calculation unit that calculates an estimated production amount of the target crop based on the vegetation index data;
A first notification unit that reports a lack of production alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below the lack of production line threshold;
A second notification unit that reports an overgrowth alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the overgrowth line threshold;
A third notification unit that reports a first emergency response alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop falls below the insufficiency line threshold and falls below the planned production request amount of the target crop;
In order to function as a fourth notification unit that reports a second emergency response alert when the estimated production amount of the target crop exceeds the above-mentioned excess production line threshold and exceeds the planned production request amount of the target crop. Production management control program.

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