JP2006221482A - Greenhouse gas emission setting support device and method - Google Patents

Greenhouse gas emission setting support device and method Download PDF

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JP2006221482A
JP2006221482A JP2005035333A JP2005035333A JP2006221482A JP 2006221482 A JP2006221482 A JP 2006221482A JP 2005035333 A JP2005035333 A JP 2005035333A JP 2005035333 A JP2005035333 A JP 2005035333A JP 2006221482 A JP2006221482 A JP 2006221482A
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Tomohito Okamura
智仁 岡村
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Osaka Gas Co Ltd
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    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
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Abstract

<P>PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a greenhouse gas emission setting support technology for reducing any risk associated with greenhouse gas emission in an energy supply company and a customer. <P>SOLUTION: This greenhouse gas emission setting support device 1 for supporting setting of greenhouse effect gas emission for a plurality of customers is provided with a customer information managing means 10 for acquiring customer information including the past energy consumption results for each customer, an estimated quantity calculating means 12 for calculating the individual estimated quantity of each customer on the basis of the energy consumption result of each customer and at least weather data and economic data in an estimation period, an emission managing means 13 for calculating the past individual result of each customer on the basis of the energy consumption result, and a target quantity calculating means 15 for calculating the whole estimated quantity of the whole customers by using the individual estimate, and for calculating the target quantity of the whole customers on the basis of the overall estimate and a predetermined cut rate, and for distributing the target quantity to each customer on the basis of the individual result, and for setting the individual target quantity of each customer. <P>COPYRIGHT: (C)2006,JPO&NCIPI

Description

本発明は、エネルギ消費によって温室効果ガスを排出する複数の顧客に対する温室効果ガス排出量の設定を支援する温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置に関する。   The present invention relates to a greenhouse gas emission setting support device that supports setting of greenhouse gas emissions for a plurality of customers who emit greenhouse gases through energy consumption.

1997年12月に気候変動に関する国際連合枠組条約第3回締約国会議(COP3)が開催され、日本を含めた先進国の温室効果ガス排出削減目標を具体的数値として約束した「京都議定書」が採択された。既に日本を始めとし、EU諸国等の多くの国々が批准しており、2005年2月には京都議定書が発効する。日本の場合、京都議定書により取り決められた基準年に対するCO削減目標として、1990年比6%削減することが求められている。尚、京都議定書では、温室効果ガス排出削減目標を達成するための対策として排出権取引制度が認められており、欧州連合(EU)では排出権取引制度が試験的に導入されている。 The 3rd Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP3) was held in December 1997, and the “Kyoto Protocol”, which promised specific greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for developed countries including Japan, was established. It was adopted. Japan and other countries such as the EU have already ratified, and the Kyoto Protocol will come into force in February 2005. In Japan, as a CO 2 reduction goals for the reference year negotiated by the Kyoto Protocol, it has been required to be reduced by 6% 1990. The Kyoto Protocol recognizes the emission trading system as a measure to achieve the greenhouse gas emission reduction target, and the European Union (EU) has introduced a pilot trading system.

係る状況下において、温室効果ガスとしてのCO排出量の削減量を最適化するための技術として、エネルギを消費してCOを排出する需要家のエネルギ消費実績から実際のCO排出量を取得し、基準年に対する目標CO排出量と比較して、目標CO排出量を上回る場合は取引市場からCO排出権を購入し、目標CO排出量を下回る場合は取引市場にCO排出権を販売する装置がある(例えば、特許文献1参照)。 In a situation according, as a technique for optimizing the reduction of CO 2 emissions as a greenhouse gas, the actual CO 2 emissions from the customer of the energy consumption data for discharging CO 2 consumes energy obtained, as compared with the target CO 2 emissions for base year, the target CO 2 when exceeding the emissions purchased CO 2 emission rights from trading markets, CO 2 in the trading market if below the target CO 2 emissions There is an apparatus that sells emission rights (see, for example, Patent Document 1).

しかし、特許文献1に記載の装置は、需要家のCO排出権の購入及び販売を支援するものであるが、CO排出量の変動による経営上のリスクを考慮したものではない。京都議定書が2005年2月に発効することから、排出権取引制度やCO排出規制等により、COを排出する需要家においてCO排出量が経営上のリスクとなる虞がある。また、排出権取引制度の下では、エネルギ供給事業者が需要家(顧客)に対しエネルギを販売する際、当該エネルギを消費することで排出されるCOの排出量に対するCO排出権を同時に販売することが考えられる。このため、顧客にエネルギを供給するエネルギ供給事業者においても、顧客に対しエネルギを販売する際、販売したエネルギにより顧客において排出される温室効果ガス排出量が経営上のリスクとなる虞がある。 However, the device described in Patent Document 1 supports the purchase and sale of CO 2 emission rights by consumers, but does not consider management risks due to fluctuations in CO 2 emissions. Since the Kyoto Protocol entered into force in February 2005, CO 2 emissions may become a management risk for consumers who emit CO 2 due to the emission trading system and CO 2 emission regulations. In addition, under the emission trading system, when an energy supplier sells energy to a customer (customer), the CO 2 emission credit for the CO 2 emission emitted by consuming the energy is simultaneously provided. It is possible to sell. For this reason, even in an energy supply company that supplies energy to customers, when selling energy to customers, there is a risk that greenhouse gas emissions emitted by customers due to the sold energy may become a management risk.

これに対し、電力供給事業者において、顧客の経営上のリスク変動(金利変動、為替レートの変動、天候、株価変動、原材料の価格変動、景気等)に応じて電気料金を変動させる装置がある(例えば、特許文献2参照)。   On the other hand, there is a device in the electricity supply company that fluctuates the electricity rate according to customer's management risk fluctuation (interest rate fluctuation, exchange rate fluctuation, weather, stock price fluctuation, raw material price fluctuation, economy, etc.) (For example, refer to Patent Document 2).

特開2003―331088号公報Japanese Patent Laid-Open No. 2003-331088 特開2004―078692号公報JP 2004-078692 A

しかし、特許文献2に記載の装置は、リスク変動が顧客の経営に与える影響を電気料金で吸収するものであるが、エネルギ供給事業者が価格設定を行えないCO排出権の管理に適用するのは困難である。このため、排出権取引制度の下で、CO排出量に伴うリスクを抱えるエネルギ供給事業者及び顧客の双方のリスクを低減させることが可能な技術が望まれている。 However, the device described in Patent Document 2 absorbs the influence of risk fluctuations on the management of customers with electricity charges, but is applied to the management of CO 2 emission rights that cannot be priced by the energy supplier. It is difficult. For this reason, a technology capable of reducing the risks of both energy suppliers and customers who have risks associated with CO 2 emissions under the emissions trading system is desired.

本発明は上記の問題に鑑みてなされたものであり、その目的は、エネルギ供給事業者及び顧客における温室効果ガス排出量に伴うリスクを低減することができる温室効果ガス排出量設定支援技術を提供する点にある。   The present invention has been made in view of the above problems, and an object of the present invention is to provide a greenhouse gas emission setting support technology capable of reducing risks associated with greenhouse gas emissions in energy suppliers and customers. There is in point to do.

この目的を達成するための本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置は、エネルギ消費によって温室効果ガスを排出する複数の顧客に対する温室効果ガス排出量の設定を支援する温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置であって、顧客毎に少なくとも過去のエネルギ消費実績を含む顧客情報を取得する顧客情報管理手段と、前記顧客夫々の前記エネルギ消費実績、並びに少なくとも温室効果ガス排出量の推定を行う推定期間の気象データ及び経済データに基づいて、前記顧客夫々の温室効果ガス排出量の個別推定量を求める推定量算出手段と、前記個別推定量を用いて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の全体推定量を算出し、当該全体推定量及び所定の削減率に基づいて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の目標量を算出し、前記目標量を所定の分配ルールに基づいて前記顧客夫々に分配し、前記顧客夫々の個別目標量を設定する目標量算出手段と、を備えることを特徴とする。   A greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention for achieving this object is a greenhouse gas emission setting that supports the setting of greenhouse gas emission for a plurality of customers that emit greenhouse gas by energy consumption. A customer information management means for obtaining customer information including at least past energy consumption results for each customer, and an estimation period for estimating the energy consumption results of each customer and at least greenhouse gas emissions. Based on the meteorological data and economic data, an estimated amount calculating means for obtaining an individual estimated amount of the greenhouse gas emission of each customer, and an overall estimation of the greenhouse gas emission of the entire customer using the individual estimated amount Calculate a target amount of greenhouse gas emissions for the entire customer based on the total estimated amount and a predetermined reduction rate, and determine the target amount. On the basis of the distribution rules customer partitioned respectively, characterized in that it comprises a target amount calculating means for setting the individual target amount of the customer each.

上記特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置によれば、気象データ及び経済データを用いて顧客の温室効果ガス排出量の個別推定量を求めるので、顧客毎の個別推定量の総和である全体推定量を精度よく求めることができる。各顧客のエネルギ消費は、天気や気候、気温等の気象要素及びGDPや国内総支出等の経済指標の変化に対して影響を受けやすいところ、顧客のエネルギ消費に起因して決まる個別推定量を気象要素及び経済指標に対して求めるので、個別推定量をある程度精度良く求めることができる。   According to the greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention having the above characteristics, since the individual estimated amount of the greenhouse gas emission of the customer is obtained using the weather data and the economic data, the sum of the individual estimated amounts for each customer is obtained. It is possible to accurately obtain the overall estimation amount. Each customer's energy consumption is easily affected by changes in weather factors such as weather, climate, and temperature, and economic indicators such as GDP and gross domestic expenditure. Since it calculates | requires with respect to a meteorological element and an economic parameter | index, an individual estimated amount can be calculated | required with a certain amount of precision.

尚、推定期間中の気象変動や経済変動に対して、個別推定量の推定に用いた気象データや経済データも予測値であり、誤差を伴うため、各個別推定量も誤差を含むことになる。しかし、個別推定量の気象データ及び経済データに対する感度は顧客毎に異なり、顧客全体では正の感度をもつ個別推定量と負の感度を持つ個別推定量とが並存する。このため、顧客全体の全体推定量の推定誤差は、各個別推定量の持つ正負の感度による誤差が相殺しあって全体としては小さくなる。つまり、顧客全体の全体推定量は、個々の顧客の個別推定量より高精度に求まることになる。   Note that the weather data and economic data used to estimate the individual estimates are also predicted values with respect to weather fluctuations and economic fluctuations during the estimation period, and each individual estimate also contains an error because it involves an error. . However, the sensitivity of the individual estimator to weather data and economic data differs for each customer, and the individual estimator having positive sensitivity and the individual estimator having negative sensitivity coexist in the entire customer. For this reason, the estimation error of the overall estimation amount of the entire customer becomes smaller as a whole because errors due to the positive and negative sensitivities of the individual estimation amounts cancel each other. That is, the total estimated amount of the entire customer is obtained with higher accuracy than the individual estimated amount of each individual customer.

従って、上記特徴の本発明によれば、顧客毎に個別目標量を求める場合に比べ、顧客全体として温室ガス排出量の目標量が気象要素及び経済指標を加味して精度良く求まる。これにより、エネルギ供給事業者における自己の供給したエネルギに起因する全体としての温室効果ガス排出量の管理が容易になる。   Therefore, according to the present invention having the above characteristics, the target amount of greenhouse gas emissions as a whole customer can be accurately obtained in consideration of weather factors and economic indicators, as compared with the case where the individual target amount is obtained for each customer. Thereby, management of the greenhouse gas discharge | emission amount as a whole resulting from the energy which self supply in the energy supply company becomes easy.

更に、この全体での温室効果ガス排出量の目標量を個々の顧客に分配し、顧客全体として目標量を管理することで、全体で調整することができ、ある顧客の推定期間における個別実績量が個別目標量より上回り、別の顧客の推定期間における個別実績量が個別目標量より下回った場合には、夫々の過不足を補完し合うことができる。結果として、例えば、エネルギ供給事業者と顧客との間で温室効果ガス排出権の過不足を補う補完契約を結ぶことで、エネルギ供給事業者及び顧客の双方のリスク管理が可能になる。これによって、個々の顧客が個別に温室効果ガス排出権を管理する場合に比べ、温室効果ガス排出権の過不足を低減でき、エネルギ供給事業者及び顧客の双方の温室効果ガス排出量に伴うリスクを軽減することができる。また、個々の顧客が温室効果ガス排出量を自社で管理する必要がなくなることから、個々の顧客の温室効果ガス排出量の管理に係る手間を軽減できる。   Furthermore, by distributing the overall greenhouse gas emissions target amount to individual customers and managing the target amount as a whole customer, it can be adjusted as a whole. Is more than the individual target amount, and the individual actual amount in the estimation period of another customer is lower than the individual target amount, it is possible to complement each excess and deficiency. As a result, for example, by establishing a supplementary contract that compensates for excess or deficiency of greenhouse gas emission rights between the energy supplier and the customer, risk management of both the energy supplier and the customer becomes possible. As a result, it is possible to reduce the excess and deficiency of greenhouse gas emission rights compared to the case where individual customers individually manage greenhouse gas emission rights, and the risks associated with greenhouse gas emissions from both energy suppliers and customers. Can be reduced. In addition, since it is not necessary for individual customers to manage greenhouse gas emissions in-house, it is possible to reduce the labor involved in managing the greenhouse gas emissions of individual customers.

上記特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置は、前記エネルギ消費実績に基づいて前記顧客夫々の過去の温室効果ガス排出量の個別実績量を算出する排出量管理手段を備え、前記分配ルールは、前記個別実績量を加重平均した値を用いることを特徴とする。   The greenhouse gas emission amount setting support device according to the present invention having the above-described features includes an emission amount management means for calculating an individual actual amount of past greenhouse gas emissions of each of the customers based on the energy consumption results, The distribution rule is characterized in that a value obtained by weighted averaging the individual performance amount is used.

上記特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置によれば、個別実績量を加味して目標量を分配するので、顧客夫々の個別目標量を、過去の実績に応じてより適切に設定することができる。   According to the greenhouse gas emission amount setting support device according to the present invention having the above characteristics, since the target amount is distributed in consideration of the individual actual amount, the individual target amount of each customer is more appropriately determined according to the past results. Can be set.

上記何れかの特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置は、前記推定量算出手段は、前記顧客毎に、少なくとも前記エネルギ消費実績と過去の前記気象データと過去の前記経済データとを回帰分析し、前記回帰分析によって得られた回帰式を記憶し、前記回帰式に基づいて前記個別推定量を求めることを特徴とする。   In the greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention of any one of the above features, the estimated amount calculation means includes, for each customer, at least the energy consumption record, the past weather data, and the past economic data. , Regression analysis obtained by the regression analysis is stored, and the individual estimation amount is obtained based on the regression formula.

上記特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置によれば、個々の顧客の個別推定量を求めるための具体的な実施態様を得ることができる。回帰分析により得られた式に基づいて個別推定量を求めるので、個別推定量の信頼性を担保でき、個別推定量を容易に求めることができる。   According to the greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention having the above characteristics, a specific embodiment for obtaining the individual estimated amount of each customer can be obtained. Since the individual estimation amount is obtained based on the formula obtained by the regression analysis, the reliability of the individual estimation amount can be ensured, and the individual estimation amount can be easily obtained.

上記何れかの特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置は、前記推定期間経過後に、前記推定期間における個別実績量を算出し、前記推定期間における前記個別実績量と前記個別目標量との差を求める実績量評価手段を備えていても良いし、前記実績量評価手段は、前記推定期間における前記個別実績量が前記個別目標量を上回った前記顧客に対し該超過分を補填するために、前記推定期間における前記個別実績量が前記個別目標量を下回った前記顧客を検索する構成としても良い。   The greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention having any one of the above characteristics calculates an individual actual amount in the estimation period after the estimation period has elapsed, and the individual actual amount and the individual target amount in the estimation period The actual amount evaluation means for obtaining the difference between the actual amount and the actual amount evaluation means compensates the excess for the customer whose individual actual amount in the estimation period exceeds the individual target amount. Therefore, it is good also as a structure which searches the said customer in which the said individual performance amount in the said estimation period fell below the said individual target amount.

上記特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置によれば、推定期間における個別実績量が個別目標量を下回った顧客、即ち、温室効果ガス排出権を販売できる顧客を検索できる。このため、エネルギ供給事業者が、温室効果ガス排出権の過不足を補う契約を通して、個別実績量が個別目標量を上回り、目標達成のために温室効果ガス排出権を得る必要が生じた顧客に対し温室効果ガス排出権を補填することが容易になる。   According to the greenhouse gas emission amount setting support device according to the present invention having the above characteristics, it is possible to search for customers whose individual performance amount in the estimation period is lower than the individual target amount, that is, customers who can sell greenhouse gas emission rights. For this reason, the energy supplier has exceeded the individual target amount through a contract to compensate for excess and deficiency of greenhouse gas emission rights, and to customers who need to obtain greenhouse gas emission rights to achieve the target. It will be easier to compensate for greenhouse gas emission rights.

また、上記何れかの特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置は、気象データを記憶する気象データベースを備え、過去の前記気象データに基づいて、前記推定期間の気象データを推定する気象データ管理手段を備えることを特徴とする。更に、上記何れかの特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置は、経済データを記憶する経済データベースを備え、過去の経済データを回帰分析し、前記推定期間の経済データを作成する経済データ管理手段を備えることを特徴とする。   The greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention having any one of the above features includes a weather database that stores weather data, and estimates weather data for the estimation period based on the past weather data. Meteorological data management means is provided. Furthermore, the greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention having any one of the above features includes an economic database for storing economic data, and performs regression analysis of past economic data to create economic data for the estimated period. An economic data management means is provided.

上記特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置によれば、過去の気象データ及び過去の経済データを蓄積しておき、これらに基づいて推定期間の気象データ及び経済データを作成するので、作成された気象データ及び経済データの精度及び信頼度をより高めることができる。   According to the greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention having the above characteristics, the past meteorological data and the past economic data are accumulated, and based on these, the meteorological data and the economic data of the estimation period are created. The accuracy and reliability of the created weather data and economic data can be further increased.

この目的を達成するための本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援方法は、エネルギ消費によって温室効果ガスを排出する複数の顧客に対する温室効果ガス排出量の提案を支援する温室効果ガス排出量設定支援方法であって、顧客毎に少なくとも過去のエネルギ消費実績を含む顧客情報を取得する顧客情報管理工程と、前記顧客夫々の前記エネルギ消費実績、少なくとも温室効果ガス排出量の推定を行う推定期間の気象データ及び経済データに基づいて、前記顧客夫々の温室効果ガス排出量の個別推定量を求める推定量算出工程と、前記個別推定量を用いて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の全体推定量を算出し、当該全体推定量及び所定の削減率に基づいて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の目標量を算出し、前記目標量を所定の分配ルールに基づいて前記顧客夫々に分配し、前記顧客夫々の個別目標量を設定する目標量算出工程と、を実行することを特徴とする。   To achieve this object, the greenhouse gas emission setting support method according to the present invention is a greenhouse gas emission setting that supports proposal of greenhouse gas emission to a plurality of customers who emit greenhouse gas by energy consumption. A customer information management process for obtaining customer information including at least past energy consumption results for each customer, and an estimation period for estimating the energy consumption results of each customer, at least greenhouse gas emissions. An estimated amount calculating step for obtaining an individual estimated amount of greenhouse gas emissions of each customer based on weather data and economic data, and an overall estimated amount of greenhouse gas emissions of the entire customer using the individual estimated amount And calculating a target amount of greenhouse gas emissions of the entire customer based on the total estimated amount and a predetermined reduction rate, and calculating the target amount to a predetermined amount. Distributed people in the customer her husband on the basis of the rules, and executes and a target amount calculation step of setting an individual target amount of the customer each.

上記特徴の本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援方法は、上記本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置と同様の作用効果を奏することができ、エネルギ供給事業者及び顧客の双方における温室効果ガス排出量に係る経営上のリスクを低減することができる温室効果ガス排出量設定支援方法を提供することができる。   The greenhouse gas emission setting support method according to the present invention having the above characteristics can achieve the same operational effects as the greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to the present invention, and can be used by both energy suppliers and customers. It is possible to provide a greenhouse gas emission setting support method capable of reducing management risks related to greenhouse gas emission.

以下、本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置(以下、適宜「本発明装置」と略称する)、及び温室効果ガス排出量設定支援方法(以下、適宜「本発明方法」と略称する)の実施形態を図面に基づいて説明する。   Hereinafter, a greenhouse gas emission amount setting support device according to the present invention (hereinafter referred to as “the present device” as appropriate) and a greenhouse gas emission amount setting support method (hereinafter referred to as “the present method” as appropriate). The embodiment will be described with reference to the drawings.

本発明装置は、コンピュータのハードウェアとそのハードウェア上で実行されるアプリケーションソフトウェアで構成される。本実施形態の本発明装置は、特に、電気や都市ガス、LPG等のエネルギを顧客に供給するエネルギ供給事業者によって利用され、前記エネルギを消費して温室効果ガスを排出する複数の顧客に対する温室効果ガス排出量の目標量の設定を支援するものである。また、エネルギ供給事業者が、温室効果ガス排出権の過不足を補填する契約を通して、複数の顧客の温室効果ガス排出量を全体として管理するものである。尚、本実施形態では、温室効果ガスとしてCO(二酸化炭素)を想定して説明する。 The apparatus according to the present invention includes computer hardware and application software executed on the hardware. The apparatus of the present invention of this embodiment is used particularly by an energy supplier that supplies energy such as electricity, city gas, and LPG to customers, and is used for greenhouses for a plurality of customers who consume the energy and discharge greenhouse gases. It supports the setting of the target amount of effective gas emissions. In addition, the energy supplier manages the greenhouse gas emissions of multiple customers as a whole through a contract to compensate for excess and deficiency of greenhouse gas emission rights. In the present embodiment, CO 2 (carbon dioxide) is assumed as a greenhouse gas.

図1に示すように、本発明装置1は、顧客情報管理手段10、推定量算出手段12、排出量管理手段13、及び目標量算出手段15を備えて構成される。更に、本実施形態では、顧客毎に顧客情報を記憶する顧客情報データベース11(以下、顧客情報DB11と略称する)、顧客毎に個別実績量及び個別推定量を記憶する排出量管理データベース14(以下、排出量管理DB14と略称する)、推定期間経過後に個々の顧客の温室効果ガス排出量を評価する実績量評価手段16、気象データを記憶する気象データベース17aを備え、過去の気象データに基づいて、推定期間の気象データを推定する気象データ管理手段17、及び、経済データを記憶する経済データベース18aを備え、過去の経済データを回帰分析し、推定期間の経済データを作成する経済データ管理手段18を備えている。   As shown in FIG. 1, the device 1 of the present invention includes a customer information management unit 10, an estimated amount calculation unit 12, an emission amount management unit 13, and a target amount calculation unit 15. Further, in the present embodiment, a customer information database 11 (hereinafter referred to as customer information DB 11) that stores customer information for each customer, and an emission amount management database 14 that stores individual performance amounts and individual estimated amounts for each customer (hereinafter referred to as customer information database 11). , Abbreviated as emission management DB 14), actual amount evaluation means 16 for evaluating greenhouse gas emissions of individual customers after the estimation period has elapsed, and a weather database 17 a for storing weather data, and based on past weather data The economic data management means 18 includes weather data management means 17 for estimating meteorological data for the estimation period, and an economic database 18a for storing economic data, and performs regression analysis of past economic data to create economic data for the estimation period. It has.

以下、本発明方法の各工程を実行する本発明装置1の各手段について、機能及び動作を図2乃至図4に基づいて説明する。   Hereinafter, functions and operations of each means of the device 1 of the present invention for executing the steps of the method of the present invention will be described with reference to FIGS.

顧客情報管理手段10は、顧客毎に少なくとも過去のエネルギ消費実績を含む顧客情報を取得する顧客情報管理工程を実行する(ステップ#100)。ここでの顧客情報は、エネルギ消費実績、売上高や製品の生産量等の活動量、従業員数や拠点等の事業情報、エネルギ設備や建屋等の設備情報等である。詳細には、例えば、顧客情報管理手段10は、入出力手段19を介して表示手段(図示せず)上に顧客情報の入力を促す顧客情報入力画面を表示する。表示手段上に本発明装置1を利用するエネルギ供給事業者または顧客によって顧客情報が入力されると、入力された顧客情報を入出力手段19を介して受け取り、顧客毎に顧客情報DB11に記憶する。   The customer information management means 10 executes a customer information management process for acquiring customer information including at least past energy consumption results for each customer (step # 100). The customer information here includes energy consumption results, sales amount, activity amount such as product production amount, business information such as number of employees and bases, facility information such as energy facilities and buildings. Specifically, for example, the customer information management means 10 displays a customer information input screen that prompts the customer information to be input on a display means (not shown) via the input / output means 19. When customer information is input by the energy supplier or customer using the apparatus 1 of the present invention on the display means, the input customer information is received via the input / output means 19 and stored in the customer information DB 11 for each customer. .

気象データ管理手段17は、本発明方法の各工程の実行にあたって、本発明装置1の各手段において用いられる気象データの作成及び蓄積を行う。ここでの気象データは、天気や気候、気温等の気象要素からなる。詳細には、気象データ管理手段17は、気象庁等から取得した気象データを記憶する気象データベース17aを備え、過去の気象データに基づいて、推定期間の気象データを推定する。気象データ管理手段17は、本発明工程の実施の際に、気象要素夫々について回帰分析を行い、推定期間の気象データを作成する。   The meteorological data management means 17 creates and accumulates meteorological data used in each means of the device 1 of the present invention when executing each step of the method of the present invention. The meteorological data here includes meteorological elements such as weather, climate, and temperature. Specifically, the meteorological data management means 17 includes a meteorological database 17a for storing meteorological data acquired from the Japan Meteorological Agency and the like, and estimates meteorological data for an estimation period based on past meteorological data. The meteorological data management means 17 performs regression analysis for each meteorological element and creates meteorological data for the estimated period when the process of the present invention is performed.

経済データ管理手段18は、本発明方法の各工程の実行にあたって、本発明装置1の各手段において用いられる経済データの作成及び蓄積を行う。ここでの経済データは、GDPや国民総支出等、企業活動に影響を与えると考えられる経済指標である。詳細には、経済データ管理手段18は、経済データを記憶する経済データベース18aを備え、過去の経済データを回帰分析し、推定期間の経済データを作成する。経済データ管理手段18は、本発明工程の実施の際に、経済指標夫々について回帰分析を行い、推定期間の経済データを作成する。   The economic data management means 18 creates and accumulates economic data used in each means of the device 1 of the present invention when executing each step of the method of the present invention. The economic data here are economic indicators that are considered to affect corporate activities, such as GDP and gross national expenditure. Specifically, the economic data management means 18 includes an economic database 18a for storing economic data, and performs regression analysis on past economic data to create economic data for an estimated period. The economic data management means 18 performs regression analysis for each economic index and creates economic data for the estimated period when the process of the present invention is performed.

推定量算出手段12は、顧客夫々のエネルギ消費実績、並びに少なくともCO排出量の推定を行う推定期間の気象データ及び経済データに基づいて、顧客夫々のCO排出量の個別推定量を求める推定量算出工程を実行する(ステップ#200)。ここでの推定期間は、例えば、次年度の1年間である。また、本実施形態の推定量算出手段12は、回帰分析において用いるエネルギ消費実績として、後述する排出量管理手段13によりエネルギ消費実績を換算して得られた個別実績量を用いる。 Estimate calculation means 12, a customer respective energy consumption data, and at least CO 2 on the basis of the weather data and economic data estimation period for emission of estimation, estimation determining the single estimate of CO 2 emissions s customers husband An amount calculation step is executed (step # 200). The estimation period here is, for example, one year of the next fiscal year. Moreover, the estimated amount calculation means 12 of this embodiment uses the individual performance amount obtained by converting the energy consumption performance by the emission amount management means 13 described later as the energy consumption performance used in the regression analysis.

次に、推定量算出手段12の動作について、図3を基に説明する。推定量算出手段12は、先ず、エネルギ消費実績として、排出量管理DB14から顧客夫々の過去の個別実績量を取得し(ステップ#201)、気象データ管理手段17から過去の気象データを取得し、経済データ管理手段18から過去の経済データを取得する(ステップ#202)。次に、推定量算出手段12は、顧客毎に、個別推定量を目的変数、気象データ及び経済データを説明変数として回帰分析し(ステップ#203)、各回帰係数を求めて得られた回帰式を回帰式記憶部12aに記憶する(ステップ#204)。   Next, the operation of the estimated amount calculation means 12 will be described with reference to FIG. First, the estimated amount calculating means 12 acquires the past individual actual amount of each customer from the emission management DB 14 as the energy consumption result (step # 201), acquires the past weather data from the weather data management means 17, Past economic data is acquired from the economic data management means 18 (step # 202). Next, the estimated amount calculation means 12 performs regression analysis for each customer using the individual estimated amount as an objective variable, weather data and economic data as explanatory variables (step # 203), and the regression equation obtained by calculating each regression coefficient. Is stored in the regression equation storage unit 12a (step # 204).

[数1]
Eε(n)=f(C(n)+B(n))
=a+a+・・・+b+b+・・・+c
[Equation 1]
Eε (n) = f (C (n) + B (n))
= A 1 C 1 + a 2 C 2 + ... + b 1 B 1 + b 2 B 2 + ... + c

ここで、Eεは個別推定量、Cは気象データの各気象要素、aは各気象要素に対する回帰係数、Bは経済データの各経済指標、bは各経済指標に対する回帰係数、cは回帰定数を夫々表している。nは期間を表す変数である。尚、回帰係数aの値が相対的に大きい気象要素は、エネルギ消費実績に与える影響の大きい気象要素であると考えられる。同様に、回帰係数bの値が相対的に大きい経済指標は、エネルギ消費実績に与える影響の大きい経済指標であると考えられる。   Here, Eε is an individual estimated amount, C is each weather element of weather data, a is a regression coefficient for each weather element, B is each economic index of economic data, b is a regression coefficient for each economic index, and c is a regression constant. Represents each. n is a variable representing a period. Note that a weather element having a relatively large regression coefficient a is considered to be a weather element having a large influence on the energy consumption performance. Similarly, an economic index having a relatively large regression coefficient b is considered to be an economic index having a large influence on the energy consumption performance.

次に、推定量算出手段12は、気象データ管理手段17から次年度の1年間の気象データを取得し、経済データ管理手段18から次年度の1年間の経済データを取得する(ステップ#205)。取得した気象データの気象要素及び経済データの経済指標を数1の回帰式に当てはめることにより、推定期間の個別推定量Eε(n)を求める(ステップ#206)。   Next, the estimated amount calculation means 12 acquires the weather data for the next year from the weather data management means 17, and acquires the economic data for the next year from the economic data management means 18 (step # 205). . By applying the meteorological element of the acquired meteorological data and the economic index of the economic data to the regression equation (1), an individual estimated amount Eε (n) for the estimation period is obtained (step # 206).

尚、本実施形態では、過去1年間の個別推定量Eε(n−1)と、過去1年間の個別実績量Eγ(n−1)とを用いて推定期間の個別推定量ε(n)を補正する。詳細には、過去1年間の気象データの気象要素及び過去1年間の経済データの経済指標を数1の回帰式に当てはめることにより、過去1年間の個別推定量Eε(n−1)を求める。更に、後述する排出量管理手段13により過去1年間のエネルギ消費実績を変換して得られた個別実績量Eγ(n−1)を排出量管理DB14から取得する。推定量算出手段12は、以下の数2の式から補正後の推定期間の個別推定量E’ε(n)を求める。   In this embodiment, the individual estimated amount ε (n) for the estimation period is calculated using the individual estimated amount Eε (n−1) for the past year and the individual actual amount Eγ (n−1) for the past year. to correct. Specifically, the individual estimated value Eε (n−1) for the past year is obtained by applying the meteorological element of the weather data for the past year and the economic index of the economic data for the past year to the regression equation of Formula 1. Furthermore, the individual performance amount Eγ (n−1) obtained by converting the energy consumption performance of the past one year by the emission amount management means 13 described later is acquired from the emission amount management DB 14. The estimated amount calculation means 12 obtains the individual estimated amount E′ε (n) for the corrected estimation period from the following equation (2).

[数2]
E’ε(n)={Eγ(n−1)/Eε(n−1)}×Eε(n)
[Equation 2]
E′ε (n) = {Eγ (n−1) / Eε (n−1)} × Eε (n)

推定量算出手段12は、この個別推定量E’ε(n)を顧客毎に排出量管理DB14に記憶する(ステップ#207)。   The estimated amount calculation means 12 stores the individual estimated amount E′ε (n) in the emission amount management DB 14 for each customer (step # 207).

引き続き、排出量管理手段13は、図2のステップ#100で取得したエネルギ消費実績に基づいて顧客夫々の過去のCO排出量の個別実績量を算出する排出量管理工程を実行する(ステップ#300)。詳細には、エネルギ種別毎に、予めエネルギ消費実績をCO排出量に換算するための換算係数を備えておき、この換算係数を用いてエネルギ消費実績から個別実績量を算出する。本実施形態では、更に、個別実績量を顧客毎に排出量管理DB14に記憶する。 Subsequently, the emission amount management means 13 executes an emission amount management process for calculating the individual actual amount of past CO 2 emission amount of each customer based on the energy consumption result acquired in step # 100 of FIG. 2 (step #). 300). Specifically, for each energy type, a conversion coefficient for converting the actual energy consumption into the CO 2 emission amount is prepared in advance, and the individual actual amount is calculated from the actual energy consumption using the conversion coefficient. In the present embodiment, the individual performance amount is further stored in the emission amount management DB 14 for each customer.

引き続き、目標量算出手段15は、図2のステップ#200で求めた個別推定量を用いて顧客全体のCO排出量の全体推定量を算出し、全体推定量及び所定の削減率に基づいて顧客全体のCO排出量の目標量を算出し、目標量を所定の分配ルールに基づいて顧客夫々に分配し、顧客夫々の個別目標量を設定する目標量算出工程を実行する(ステップ#400)。 Subsequently, the target amount calculation means 15 calculates the total estimated amount of CO 2 emission of the entire customer using the individual estimated amount obtained in step # 200 of FIG. 2, and based on the total estimated amount and a predetermined reduction rate. A target amount calculation step of calculating a target amount of CO 2 emission amount of the entire customer, distributing the target amount to each customer based on a predetermined distribution rule, and setting an individual target amount for each customer is executed (step # 400). ).

次に、目標量算出手段15の動作について、図4を基に説明する。目標量算出手段15は、先ず、排出量管理DB14から個々の顧客の個別推定量を取得し(ステップ#401)、これらを加算して全体推定量を算出する(ステップ#402)。次に、目標量算出手段15は、削減率を取得し、CO排出量の目標量を算出する(ステップ#403)。ここでの削減率は、例えば、京都議定書に基づく政策等を考慮して本発明装置1を使用するエネルギ供給事業者が決定するものであり、本発明装置1の入出力手段19を介して入力される。次に、目標量算出手段15は、目標量を所定の分配ルールに基づいて個々の顧客に分配する(ステップ#404)。具体的には、排出量管理DB14から顧客夫々の個別実績量を取得し、顧客毎に個別実績量を加重平均した個別加重平均値を求め、個別加重平均値に応じて分配する。例えば、個別加重平均値を加算して顧客全体の全体加重平均値を求め、顧客夫々について、個別加重平均値が全体加重平均値に占める割合により個別目標量を設定する。更に、顧客情報に基づき、事業拡大に伴うエネルギ消費の増加等により、エネルギ消費の増加が予想される顧客の個別目標量を増加させる補正を行う。このように構成することで、各顧客の推定期間における個別目標量を適切に求めることができる。 Next, the operation of the target amount calculation means 15 will be described with reference to FIG. The target amount calculation means 15 first acquires individual estimated amounts of individual customers from the emission amount management DB 14 (step # 401), and adds them to calculate an overall estimated amount (step # 402). Next, the target amount calculation means 15 acquires the reduction rate and calculates the target amount of the CO 2 emission amount (step # 403). The reduction rate here is determined by the energy supplier using the apparatus 1 of the present invention in consideration of, for example, a policy based on the Kyoto Protocol, and is input via the input / output means 19 of the apparatus 1 of the present invention. Is done. Next, the target amount calculation means 15 distributes the target amount to each customer based on a predetermined distribution rule (step # 404). Specifically, the individual actual amount of each customer is acquired from the emission amount management DB 14, and an individual weighted average value obtained by weighted averaging the individual actual amount for each customer is obtained and distributed according to the individual weighted average value. For example, the total weighted average value of the entire customer is obtained by adding the individual weighted average value, and the individual target amount is set for each customer by the ratio of the individual weighted average value to the total weighted average value. Further, based on the customer information, correction is performed to increase the individual target amount of the customer who is expected to increase the energy consumption due to the increase of the energy consumption accompanying the business expansion. By comprising in this way, the individual target amount in the estimation period of each customer can be calculated | required appropriately.

実績量評価手段16は、図2のステップ#400の実行後、推定期間経過後に、顧客夫々について、推定期間における個別実績量を算出し、推定期間における個別実績量と個別目標量との差を求める(ステップ#500)。ここで、推定期間における個別実績量は、推定期間における個々の顧客のエネルギ消費実績を換算係数によりCO排出量に換算して求める。尚、排出量管理手段13において、推定期間における個々の顧客のエネルギ消費実績をCO排出量に換算して個別実績量を求め、これを取得する構成としても良い。更に、本実施形態では、この個別実績量を排出量管理DB14に記憶する。次に、実績量評価手段16は、推定期間における個別実績量が個別目標量を上回った顧客に対するCO排出権を補填するために、推定期間における個別実績量が個別目標量を下回った顧客を検索する(ステップ#500)。更に、本実施形態では、CO排出権の補填が必要な顧客、つまり、個別実績量が個別目標量を上回った顧客についても検索可能に構成してある。 The performance amount evaluation means 16 calculates the individual performance amount in the estimation period for each customer after the execution of the estimation period after the execution of step # 400 in FIG. 2, and calculates the difference between the individual performance amount and the individual target amount in the estimation period. (Step # 500). Here, the individual performance amount in the estimation period is obtained by converting the energy consumption performance of each customer in the estimation period into a CO 2 emission amount using a conversion coefficient. The emission amount management means 13 may be configured to obtain the individual actual amount by converting the energy consumption actual result of each customer during the estimation period into the CO 2 emission amount. Furthermore, in this embodiment, this individual performance amount is memorize | stored in discharge amount management DB14. Next, the actual amount evaluation means 16 selects a customer whose individual actual amount in the estimation period is lower than the individual target amount in order to compensate for the CO 2 emission right for the customer whose individual actual amount in the estimation period exceeds the individual target amount. Search (step # 500). Furthermore, in this embodiment, it is possible to search for customers who need to compensate for CO 2 emission rights, that is, for customers whose individual performance amount exceeds the individual target amount.

このように構成することにより、エネルギ供給事業者は、本発明装置1によって検索された個別実績量が個別目標量を下回った顧客からCO排出権を買い取ることで、個別実績量が個別目標量を上回った顧客に対するCO排出権の補填を行うことができる。尚、個別実績量が個別目標量を上回った顧客に対するCO排出権の補填後、CO排出権が更に必要な場合には、エネルギ供給事業者が市場からCO排出権を購入する。これによって、顧客のCO排出量に伴うリスクを軽減でき、エネルギ供給事業者においても、個別実績量が個別目標量を下回った顧客からCO排出権を買い取ることで、CO排出量に伴うリスクを軽減できる。また、エネルギ供給事業者は、個別実績量が個別目標量を上回った顧客に対するCO排出権の補填後、CO排出権に余剰がある場合には販売するよう構成してもよい。 By configuring in this way, the energy supply company purchases the CO 2 emission right from the customer whose individual actual amount retrieved by the device 1 of the present invention falls below the individual target amount, so that the individual actual amount becomes the individual target amount. It is possible to compensate for CO 2 emission rights for customers exceeding the above. In addition, after supplementing the CO 2 emission right for the customer whose individual actual amount exceeds the individual target amount, when the CO 2 emission right is further required, the energy supplier purchases the CO 2 emission right from the market. This allows reducing the risks associated with CO 2 emissions of customers, even at an energy supply company, by purchase of CO 2 emission rights from a customer individual actual amount falls below the individual target amount, due to the CO 2 emissions Risk can be reduced. Further, the energy supply company may be configured to sell if there is surplus CO 2 emission rights after compensation, CO 2 emission rights to customers individual actual amount exceeds the individual target amount.

以下に、別の実施形態につき説明する。   Hereinafter, another embodiment will be described.

〈1〉上記実施形態において、推定量算出手段12が、過去1年間の個別推定量Eε(n−1)と過去1年間の個別実績量Eγ(n−1)とを用いて推定期間の個別推定量ε(n)を補正する例について説明したが、これに限定されるものではない。複数年等、任意の期間における個別推定量Eεと個別実績量Eγとを夫々加重平均した値を用いて推定期間の個別推定量ε(n)を補正するのも好適である。また、設備等の更新により個別推定量Eεと個別実績量Eγとが大きく異なる期間のデータを除外する構成とするのも好ましい実施態様である。   <1> In the above embodiment, the estimated amount calculation means 12 uses the individual estimated amount Eε (n−1) for the past year and the individual actual amount Eγ (n−1) for the past year for each estimated period. Although the example which correct | amends estimated amount (epsilon) (n) was demonstrated, it is not limited to this. It is also preferable to correct the individual estimated amount ε (n) of the estimation period by using a weighted average value of the individual estimated amount Eε and the individual actual amount Eγ in an arbitrary period such as a plurality of years. In addition, it is also a preferable embodiment to exclude data in a period in which the individual estimated amount Eε and the individual actual amount Eγ are greatly different due to the update of the equipment or the like.

〈2〉上記実施形態では、気象データ管理手段17により推定期間の気象データの作成、過去の気象データの蓄積を行う構成について説明したが、外部から気象データを購入して利用する構成にしても良い。同様に、経済データ管理手段18により推定期間の経済データの作成、過去の経済データの蓄積を行う構成について説明したが、外部から経済データを購入して利用する構成にしても良い。   <2> In the above embodiment, the weather data management means 17 has been described to create weather data for the estimation period and accumulate past weather data. However, the weather data is purchased from outside and used. good. Similarly, the construction in which economic data management means 18 creates economic data for the estimation period and accumulates past economic data has been described. However, economic data may be purchased from outside and used.

本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置の一構成例を示すブロック図The block diagram which shows the example of 1 structure of the greenhouse gas emission amount setting assistance apparatus which concerns on this invention 本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置の動作を示すフローチャートThe flowchart which shows operation | movement of the greenhouse gas emission amount setting assistance apparatus which concerns on this invention. 本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置の推定量算出手段の動作を示すフローチャートThe flowchart which shows operation | movement of the estimated amount calculation means of the greenhouse gas emission amount setting assistance apparatus which concerns on this invention. 本発明に係る温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置の目標量算出手段の動作を示すフローチャートThe flowchart which shows operation | movement of the target amount calculation means of the greenhouse gas emission amount setting assistance apparatus which concerns on this invention.

符号の説明Explanation of symbols

1 温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置
10 顧客情報管理手段
11 顧客データベース
12 推定量算出手段
12a 回帰式記憶部
13 排出量管理手段
14 排出量管理データベース
15 目標量算出手段
16 実績量評価手段
17 気象データ管理手段
17a 気象データベース
18 経済データ管理手段
18a 経済データベース
19 入出力手段
DESCRIPTION OF SYMBOLS 1 Greenhouse gas emission amount setting assistance apparatus 10 Customer information management means 11 Customer database 12 Estimated amount calculation means 12a Regression type | formula memory | storage part 13 Emission amount management means 14 Emission amount management database 15 Target amount calculation means 16 Actual amount evaluation means 17 Weather data Management means 17a Meteorological database 18 Economic data management means 18a Economic database 19 Input / output means

Claims (8)

エネルギ消費によって温室効果ガスを排出する複数の顧客に対する温室効果ガス排出量の設定を支援する温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置であって、
顧客毎に少なくとも過去のエネルギ消費実績を含む顧客情報を取得する顧客情報管理手段と、
前記顧客夫々の前記エネルギ消費実績、並びに少なくとも温室効果ガス排出量の推定を行う推定期間の気象データ及び経済データに基づいて、前記顧客夫々の温室効果ガス排出量の個別推定量を求める推定量算出手段と、
前記個別推定量を用いて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の全体推定量を算出し、当該全体推定量及び所定の削減率に基づいて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の目標量を算出し、前記目標量を所定の分配ルールに基づいて前記顧客夫々に分配し、前記顧客夫々の個別目標量を設定する目標量算出手段と、を備えることを特徴とする温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置。
A greenhouse gas emission setting support device that supports the setting of greenhouse gas emissions for a plurality of customers that emit greenhouse gases through energy consumption,
Customer information management means for obtaining customer information including at least past energy consumption results for each customer;
Estimated amount calculation for obtaining an individual estimated amount of greenhouse gas emission of each customer based on the energy consumption performance of each customer and at least weather data and economic data of an estimation period for estimating greenhouse gas emission amount Means,
The total estimated amount of greenhouse gas emissions of the entire customer is calculated using the individual estimated amount, and the target amount of greenhouse gas emissions of the entire customer is calculated based on the total estimated amount and a predetermined reduction rate And a target amount calculation unit that distributes the target amount to each of the customers based on a predetermined distribution rule and sets an individual target amount for each of the customers. apparatus.
前記エネルギ消費実績に基づいて前記顧客夫々の過去の温室効果ガス排出量の個別実績量を算出する排出量管理手段を備え、
前記分配ルールは、前記個別実績量を加重平均した値を用いることを特徴とする請求項1に記載の温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置。
Emission amount management means for calculating an individual actual amount of past greenhouse gas emissions of each of the customers based on the energy consumption results,
The greenhouse gas emission amount setting support device according to claim 1, wherein the distribution rule uses a value obtained by weighted averaging the individual actual results.
前記推定量算出手段は、前記顧客毎に、少なくとも前記エネルギ消費実績と過去の前記気象データと過去の前記経済データとを回帰分析し、前記回帰分析によって得られた回帰式を記憶し、前記回帰式に基づいて前記個別推定量を求めることを特徴とする請求項1または2に記載の温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置。   The estimated amount calculation means performs regression analysis on at least the energy consumption record, the past weather data, and the past economic data for each of the customers, stores a regression equation obtained by the regression analysis, and stores the regression 3. The greenhouse gas emission amount setting support apparatus according to claim 1, wherein the individual estimated amount is obtained based on an equation. 前記推定期間経過後に、前記推定期間における個別実績量を算出し、前記推定期間における前記個別実績量と前記個別目標量との差を求める実績量評価手段を備えることを特徴とする請求項1乃至3の何れか1項
に記載の温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置。
2. The apparatus according to claim 1, further comprising: an actual amount evaluation unit that calculates an individual actual amount in the estimation period after the estimation period has elapsed and calculates a difference between the individual actual amount and the individual target amount in the estimation period. 4. The greenhouse gas emission amount setting support device according to any one of 3 above.
前記実績量評価手段は、前記推定期間における前記個別実績量が前記個別目標量を上回った前記顧客に対し該超過分を補填するために、前記推定期間における前記個別実績量が前記個別目標量を下回った前記顧客を検索することを特徴とする請求項4に記載の温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置。   The actual amount evaluation means determines the individual target amount as the individual target amount in the estimation period in order to compensate the customer for which the individual actual amount in the estimation period exceeds the individual target amount. The greenhouse gas emission setting support device according to claim 4, wherein the customer who has fallen below is searched. 気象データを記憶する気象データベースを備え、過去の前記気象データに基づいて、前記推定期間の気象データを推定する気象データ管理手段を備えることを特徴とする請求項1乃至5の何れか1項に記載の温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置。   The weather data management means which has a weather database which memorize | stores weather data, and estimates the weather data of the said estimation period based on the said weather data in the past is provided. The greenhouse gas emission setting support device described. 経済データを記憶する経済データベースを備え、過去の経済データを回帰分析し、前記推定期間の経済データを作成する経済データ管理手段を備えることを特徴とする請求項1乃至6の何れか1項に記載の温室効果ガス排出量設定支援装置。   7. An economic database for storing economic data, comprising economic data management means for regression analysis of past economic data and creating economic data for the estimated period. The greenhouse gas emission setting support device described. エネルギ消費によって温室効果ガスを排出する複数の顧客に対する温室効果ガス排出量の提案を支援する温室効果ガス排出量設定支援方法であって、
顧客毎に少なくとも過去のエネルギ消費実績を含む顧客情報を取得する顧客情報管理工程と、
前記顧客夫々の前記エネルギ消費実績、少なくとも温室効果ガス排出量の推定を行う推定期間の気象データ及び経済データに基づいて、前記顧客夫々の温室効果ガス排出量の個別推定量を求める推定量算出工程と、
前記個別推定量を用いて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の全体推定量を算出し、当該全体推定量及び所定の削減率に基づいて前記顧客全体の温室効果ガス排出量の目標量を算出し、前記目標量を所定の分配ルールに基づいて前記顧客夫々に分配し、前記顧客夫々の個別目標量を設定する目標量算出工程と、を実行することを特徴とする温室効果ガス排出量設定支援方法。
A greenhouse gas emission setting support method for supporting proposal of greenhouse gas emission to a plurality of customers who emit greenhouse gas by energy consumption,
A customer information management process for obtaining customer information including at least past energy consumption results for each customer;
An estimated amount calculation step for obtaining an individual estimated amount of greenhouse gas emissions of each customer based on the energy consumption results of each customer, at least weather data and economic data of an estimation period for estimating greenhouse gas emissions. When,
The total estimated amount of greenhouse gas emissions of the entire customer is calculated using the individual estimated amount, and the target amount of greenhouse gas emissions of the entire customer is calculated based on the total estimated amount and a predetermined reduction rate And a target amount calculation step of distributing the target amount to each of the customers based on a predetermined distribution rule and setting an individual target amount for each of the customers, and setting a greenhouse gas emission amount, Support method.
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