CN1659565A - System and method for animal feed market analysis - Google Patents

System and method for animal feed market analysis Download PDF

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Publication number
CN1659565A
CN1659565A CN 03813488 CN03813488A CN1659565A CN 1659565 A CN1659565 A CN 1659565A CN 03813488 CN03813488 CN 03813488 CN 03813488 A CN03813488 A CN 03813488A CN 1659565 A CN1659565 A CN 1659565A
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batching
new
improved
market
animal feed
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瓦莱丽·汤普森
迈克·克雷格
戴维·A·库克
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CAN Technologies Inc
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CAN Technologies Inc
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Priority claimed from US10/122,256 external-priority patent/US20030195758A1/en
Priority claimed from US10/122,283 external-priority patent/US20030195792A1/en
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    • G06QINFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
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    • G06Q30/02Marketing; Price estimation or determination; Fundraising

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Abstract

A valuation system for determining the impact of a modification in the nutrient composition of an ingredient or the impact of a new ingredient on the value of the ingredient and the value of competing ingredients. The system can include a repository of information related to potential markets that is incorporated in the evaluation to provide a valuation. This system allows analysis of multiple formulations of animal feed utilizing the new or modified ingredient in a designated market to determine projected usage and value.

Description

The system and method that is used for animal feed market analysis
Technical field
The present invention relates generally to the animal feed market analysis field.More specifically, the present invention relates to be used for to assess the improved batching of a kind of nutritional labeling or a kind of new batching computer system and method to the influence that value caused of the value of this batching of animal feed markets and competition batching.
Background technology
In general, animal feed product is the potpourri of plurality of raw materials or batching.These batchings can use two kinds of standards to select.First standard is the nutritional labeling of this batching.Second standard is the cost of this batching.
The use that can combine with the nutritional labeling of each other batching in the feed of a kind of nutritional labeling of forage compounding reaches optimized animal feed to produce growth of animal and output and/or economy return.Animal feed producers has realized that with using other nutritional labeling and compares that some nutritional labeling can help animal to grow up quickly.And animal feed producers recognizes that also in fact some heavy dose of nutrients can hinder the speed of growth of animal.And animal feed producers recognizes that also best nutritional labeling changes (for example baby, childhood, the gestational period) according to the animal development stage.Desirable nutritional labeling also can be owing to other factors changes, and described factor comprises whether health status of animal and animal are bringing up the young baby.Therefore, animal feed producers is recognized by mix can make growth of animal the best with the desirable nutritional labeling of production department in the particular animals in particular growth stage.
Select second cost that standard is this batching of animal feed ingredient.Although a kind of batching may have desirable or better nutrition condition, if it can be replaced by preparing burden more cheaply, using more so, batching may be better.Batching cost and growth maximization mutual balance in opposition.For example, when not having economic advantages owing to the high speed of growth such as the reason particular animals of seasonal market or demand, the animal producer may select to use the lower feed of cost that can not reach the same speed of growth.
Raw ingredient producers attempts to maximize with minimum cost the nutritional labeling of its product.Raw ingredient producers is usually by producing new batching or improving the nutritional labeling that existing nutritional labeling of preparing burden maximizes batching.In decision research with when producing what feed, the batching that raw ingredient producers evaluate is new or have the value of the batching of improving nutritional labeling.Because new batching is brand-new, there is not the straightforward procedure of the value of the new batching of prediction.
Therefore, need a kind of can aid forecasting new batching or system and method with value of the batching of improving nutritional labeling.And, need a kind of like this can aid forecasting new batching or have the system and method for the influence that the batching of improving nutritional labeling is worth existing batching in the animal feed markets.
Summary of the invention
An exemplary embodiments relates to a kind of animal feed market analysis system, and it is used to assess a kind of new batching or has the influence of the batching of improvement nutritional labeling to economic worth with the economic worth that can replace described existing batching new or improved batching of this batching.This system can comprise the input equipment that is used to receive described nutrition condition new or improved batching, is used to receive from the nutrition condition of described input equipment and is based in part on the processor that this nutrition condition is calculated; And be used to provide output device from the result of calculation of described processor, wherein said processor to be used to predict described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
Another exemplary embodiments relates to a kind of animal feed market analysis system that may operate in the network environment, and it is used to assess a kind of new batching or has the influence to the economic worth of this batching and existing batching that can be replaced of the batching of improving nutritional labeling.This system can comprise the device that is used to receive described nutrition condition new or improved batching, and the device that is used to predict described economic worth new or improved batching.
A kind of system that is used to provide to the visit of animal feed market analysis system is provided another exemplary embodiments.This system can comprise that use first disposal system is to support the animal feed markets information process unit, described animal feed markets information process unit receives and handles for request new or that improved animal feed ingredient is assessed, also comprise second disposal system, be used for sending the signal of request animal feed markets information by network.This signal can send by the selection of second disposal system in response to hypermedia link.
Another exemplary embodiments relates to a kind of definite system of newly preparing burden or having the economic worth of the batching of improving nutritional labeling that is used for.This system can comprise the input equipment that is used to receive nutrition condition new or improved batching, is used to visit the data storage bank of animal feed markets situation, and the processor that is used for determining described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
Another exemplary embodiments relates to a kind of animal feed market analysis method, and described method is used to assess new batching or has the batching of improving nutritional labeling to this batching economic worth with can replace the influence of the economic worth of described existing batching newly or improved batching.This method can comprise the described nutrition condition new or improved batching of reception, predicts described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
Another exemplary embodiments relates to a kind of method that can visit animal feed market analysis system.This method can comprise uses first disposal system to support the animal feed markets information process unit, described animal feed markets information process unit receives and handles for request new or that improved animal feed ingredient is assessed, this method also comprises the signal that is used to enable described animal feed markets information process unit by network receiving remote disposal system, wherein said signal sends by the selection of described teleprocessing system in response to hypermedia link, and this method also comprises uses described first disposal system to control described animal feed markets information process unit to respond described signal.
Another exemplary embodiments relates to a kind of method of determining new batching or having the economic worth of the batching of improving nutritional labeling.This method can comprise the nutrition condition new or improved batching of reception from input equipment, obtains the animal feed markets situation, determines described economic worth new or improved batching.
Other principle features of the present invention and advantage can be by to the argumentations of following accompanying drawing, embodiment and claims and become clear for those skilled in the art.
Description of drawings
Describe described exemplary embodiments below with reference to accompanying drawing, wherein same numbers is represented similar elements, and:
Fig. 1 is for showing the overall construction drawing according to the independent computing system of an exemplary embodiments;
Fig. 2 is for showing the overall construction drawing that is operated in the computing machine in the network environment according to an exemplary embodiments;
Fig. 3 is the webpage according to an exemplary embodiments;
Fig. 4 A is for being used to assess a kind of improvement of nutritional labeling of batching or a kind of new batching process flow diagram to the method for the influence of the value of the value of this batching and competition batching according to an exemplary embodiments;
Fig. 4 B is for indicating the map describe according to an exemplary embodiments based on the animal species intensity to regional markets;
The overall construction drawing of Fig. 5 for the data storage vault being described according to an exemplary embodiments; And
Fig. 6 is the process flow diagram of the step a kind of improvement of the nutritional labeling of preparing burden or a kind of new batching calculated for the influence of the value of the value of this batching and competition batching according to an exemplary embodiments.
Embodiment
A kind of system and method that is used to assess a kind of new batching or the improved batching of nutritional labeling for the influence of the value of the value of this batching and competition batching is described below.In the following description, in order to explain, a large amount of specific detail have been set forth so that thorough understanding of the present invention to be provided.Yet clearly, these exemplary embodiments can be implemented under the situation that does not possess these specific detail to those skilled in the art.In other example, structure and equipment are described to help the description to exemplary embodiments with the form of chart.
In at least one exemplary embodiments that is described below, described a kind of computer system, it has CPU (central processing unit) (CPU), and this CPU (central processing unit) is carried out the instruction sequence that is included in the storer.More specifically, the execution to these instruction sequences makes this CPU carry out below with the step of describing.These instructions can be loaded into random access storage device (RAM) to be used for the execution of CPU from ROM (read-only memory) (ROM), mass memory unit or some other permanent storage appliance.In other embodiments, can use hardware circuit to replace or in conjunction with software instruction to realize described function.Therefore, embodiment described herein is not limited to any specific instruction source of being carried out by described computer system.
Fig. 1 has shown stand alone computer system 400, and it can be used to assess the influence for the value of the value of this batching and competition batching of the improved batching of a kind of nutritional labeling or a kind of new batching.Computer system 400 can comprise processor 420, visual display unit 430, input equipment 440, and output device 450.Stand alone computer system 400 can further be associated with the Memory Storage Unit as data storage bank 200 that is described with reference to figure 5, thereby computer system 400 can be visited the data that are stored in the data storage bank 200.
Computer system 400 can be the computing equipment of any kind, comprise workstation, portable computer, notebook computer, PDA(Personal Digital Assistant), perhaps other equipment that can receive input from input equipment 440, access data repository 200, carry out a series of instructions and output is provided to visual display unit 430 or output device 450.Processor 420 can be the processor that can execute instruction of any kind, for example Intel Pentium Processor.Visual display unit 430 can be the visual displays of any kind, for example CRT crt display unit or LCD display.Input equipment 440 can be a keyboard, touch pad, and speech recognition, file transmits, and perhaps any other is used for method or the equipment of transmission information to independent computing system 400.Output device 450 can be a laser printer, dot-matrix printer, and e-mail program, perhaps any other sends method or equipment from the information of independent computing system 400.
According to exemplary embodiments, seek to utilize the method for the system of describing with reference to figure 4-6 that uses a computer 400 to the user that new or improved batching are carried out value analysis.The user can use input equipment 440 so that the input that needs to be provided.Computing system 400 can be used for realizing the batching evaluating system, and wherein processor 420 can receive input, access data repository 200 obtaining other information needed, and the calculating of carrying out necessity.The result who analyzes optionally offers visual display unit 430 or output device 450.
Fig. 2 has shown feed market analysis system 500, and it is used to assess the improved batching of a kind of nutritional labeling or a kind of new influence that batching is worth for this batching and the competition batching is worth.System 500 can comprise first computing system 520, computer network 530, and second computing system 540.With reference to the description of figure 3, second computing system 540 further comprises the network browsing application program 550 that the Webpage 600 that is provided by first computing system 520 can be provided.
First computing system 520 and second computing system 540 can be the computer systems of any kind, for example the independent computing system of describing with reference to figure 1 400.Computing system 520 and second computing system 540 further comprise be used for the equipment of communicating by letter on networks 530.In addition, first computing system 520 further can be associated with data storage bank 200, thereby first computing system 520 can be visited the data that are stored in the data storage bank 200.
According to exemplary embodiments, network 530 is the Internets, promptly uses various protocols with the WWW network in the computer network that promotes data transmission and exchange.Network 530 can use for example TCP/IP procotol or DECnet, X.25, and udp protocol.According to alternative embodiment, network 530 can be the network of any kind, VPN(Virtual Private Network) for example, Ethernet, perhaps Netware network.And network 530 can comprise a kind of configuration, for example wide area network (WAN) or Local Area Network.Network 530 preferably provides communication with HTML(Hypertext Markup Language).
Network browsing application program 550 can be any kind can visit the application program that is stored in the information on other computing system in the network 530.Example can comprise for example Internet Explorer of Microsoft's release in Washington state Lei Mengde city , the perhaps Netscape that releases of the Netscape Communications Corporation in California mountain scene city According to exemplary embodiments, network browsing application program 550 can be used to visit first computing system 520 to receive data and display network page 600.With reference to figure 6 a typical Webpage has been described.
According to exemplary embodiments, attempt to utilize system 500 can visit second computing system 540 and operational network viewer applications 550 for the user of the influence of the value of the value of this batching and competition batching to assess the improved batching of a kind of nutritional labeling or a kind of new batching.Network browsing application program 550 can be controlled to obtain Webpage 600 from first computing system 520 by network 530.
In case obtain, Webpage 600 can be used so that required input to be provided by the user.Described required input can comprise the user who describes with reference to the figure 4A input of preparing burden.According to exemplary embodiments, provide the typical method of information to discuss with reference to figure 3 below by Webpage 600.First computing system can receive the assessment that this input and access data repository 200 are worth to collect necessary information.First computing system 520 can send to assessment result second computing system 540 on the network 530 so that show on Webpage 600 then.
According to exemplary embodiments, Webpage 600 assess and send assessment result before may need to satisfy a logging program.The username and password consistent with storing value in the text input frame of the appointment that provides on the Webpage 600 can be provided the example of a logging program.
Fig. 3 has shown the Webpage 600 of exemplary embodiments.Webpage 600 is the Visual Display that comprise the document that embeds picture, link and data field of writing with HTML(Hypertext Markup Language).Webpage 600 can be the single network page or a series of Webpages that pass through the embedding links and accesses in the Webpage homepage.First Webpage in the series page can comprise the username and password access control method so that User Recognition to be provided.
According to exemplary embodiments, Webpage 600 can comprise title 603, instruction set 605, new or improved batching nutrition condition input domain 610, regional input domain 620, type of animal input domain 630, and domain output 640.Title 603 can be used to identify this page, and comprises the proprietary picture in this page source of sign.Instruction set 605 can be that the required information of user is to utilize described batching evaluating system and method.
Input domain 610,620 and 630 can be implemented as the text input domain, selectable drop down menu field, and file transfer points, perhaps any other can insert information needed to send to the method for first computing system 520.Domain output 640 can be a file in download, the electrical form embedded object, and perhaps any other can show the method for the result of calculation that sends over from first computing system 520.Can adopt the electrical form that is written into analysis result as example, described analysis result comprises picture, chart and the description that is used to explain result of calculation.
According to exemplary embodiments, the user can use network browsing application program 550 access web page 600.Webpage 600 may be displayed on the visual display unit of second computing system 540.How the user can read instruction set 605 use described batching appraisal procedure and Webpage 600 to understand.The user can import data as described with reference to figure 4A in input domain 610,620 and 630.In case data are transfused to, system can use the method for describing with reference to figure 4A to handle this information.The result of described batching appraisal procedure can return to the user in domain output 640.
Fig. 4 A has shown flow process Figure 100, and it has described to be used to assess the improved batching of a kind of nutritional labeling or a kind of new batching is worth for this batching and the step of the method for the influence that the competition batching is worth.A kind of new batching can be a kind of new material composition, and described composition has the nutritive peculiarity that can use in animal feed.A kind of improved batching can be a kind of existing batching, and some aspect of its nutrition condition has been modified.The competition batching can be a kind of can the batching together as described batching new or improved batching sub individually or in conjunction with other competition.
According to exemplary embodiments, in step 110, user's ingredient information is received.According to an embodiment, human operator may moves this method and the information of carrying out transmits and information gathering.According to this exemplary embodiments, information can directly or indirectly be received by person-to-person communication by described operator.According to alternative embodiment, user's ingredient information can be used the input equipment of any kind by stand alone computer system, and for example keyboard, mouse, speech recognition system etc. receive.With reference to figure 1 exemplary stand alone computer system has been described.According to other alternative embodiment, user's ingredient information can be received by the computing machine that is operated in the network environment.With reference to figure 2 representative network embodiment has been described.
User's ingredient information of being passed on by the user can comprise described nutritional labeling new or improved batching, described potential market new or improved batching, and as described animal species new or improved batching raising object.Described nutritional labeling new or improved batching generally can comprise physics and chemical property, for example mineral content, vitamin content, particle size, fiber content or the like.
Potential market can comprise specific geographic area, country for example, trade organization, for example commodity market, the perhaps market of other any kind.This potential market can be the definition of user to required market, or the user from limited quantity define the selection that market is made, perhaps the user specifies any other method in the described market of studying based on various criterion arbitrarily.
Fig. 4 B has shown the market designation map 180 of the U.S., and it comprises the limited market set of setting up based on the intensity of particular animals type.Market designation 181 comprises the pig producer's who wherein has high concentration degree geographic area.Market designation 182 comprises the ox producer's who wherein has high concentration degree geographic area.Type of animal as described raising object new or improved batching can be the animal of any kind, comprises ox, pig, turkey, fish or the like.
Return Fig. 4 A, after the step 110, carry out step 120, in step 120, can obtain data from data storage bank.Described data can be obtained or obtain from any other source from data storage bank.According to exemplary embodiments, the operator can obtain data by the reference data storage vault or by using the out of Memory source.Described out of Memory source can include but not limited to: newspaper, the Internet, market report, trade journal or the like.
Further described the example of data storage bank with reference to figure 5.Usually, being stored in data type in this storage vault can be needed or useful any information in the prediction, and described prediction is meant to be predicted for the influence of the value of the value of this batching and competition batching a kind of new batching or the improved batching of a kind of nutritional labeling.
Be stored in data in the described data storage bank and can be based on the archived values of the research of carrying out every year.The example of such data can be the expectation animal population in the given area.Replacedly, described data storage bank can be used to visit every day, per hour or even data updated constantly.The example of such data can be the price of competition batching.These data can be used polling method or be linked to the Internet of the price indicator in the commodity market for example and constantly upgrade.
After the step 120, can carry out step 130, wherein be that described new or improved batching is determined to be worth.With reference to figure 6 example that exemplary value is determined has been described.Usually, can carry out describedly determining to predict a kind of new or the new value of improved batching or the change of value based on above-described given input.
After the step 130, can determine in step 140 whether the change of described value new or improved batching or value has produced influence to the value of competing batching.This deterministic process can be based on several factors.These factors can comprise described expectation market penetration new or improved batching, described production rate new or improved batching or the like.
Produce influence if in step 140, determined the value that the change of described value new or improved batching or value is prepared burden to competition, then can carry out step 150, wherein calculated the new predictive value of competition batching.After this calculates, can use the new value repeating step 130 of competition batching.Describedly comprise step 130,140 and 150 cycling condition can repeat up to having set up stable system.When being changed by other ingredient prices effect no longer, the ingredient prices in this method then set up systems stabilisation.
Do not exert an influence if in step 140, determined the value that the change of described value new or improved batching or value is prepared burden to competition, then can carry out step 160, wherein provide described value analysis new or improved batching.This analysis can be as user's request be concise and to the point or complicated.The example of brief analysis can be a simple price value that makes value maximization.The example of complex analyses can be included in the price that makes value maximization under the production level of variation, makes impregnable price of competition batching or the like.
Advantageously, the described batching appraisal procedure of describing with reference to the figure 4A service of can be used as offers ingredient producers, researchist or other people.Replacedly, this method can be used as the internal evaluation tool use.Outside or inner user can be the ingredient producers of considering to produce a kind of new batching or having the improved batching of nutritional labeling.The user can also be the researchist of method who is considering to develop a kind of new batching or improving a kind of nutritional labeling of existing batching.The potential user need know anyone for the influence of the value of the value of this batching and competition batching of a kind of improvement of nutritional labeling of batching or a kind of new batching.
Fig. 5 has shown the data storage bank 200 that can be used for canned data, and described information can be used for determining a kind of value new or improved batching.Usually, the information in the data storage bank 200 and user may attempt to sell described potential market new or improved batching and be associated.Data storage bank 200 can be to comprise storer, database, computer documents, file or any other can carry out the computing machine of data storage and device that obtains and equipment.
According to an exemplary embodiments, data storage bank 200 can comprise multiple file, and for example regional ingredient file 210, regional ingredient price file 220, and regional ingredient bias file 230, based on the recipe file 240 in stage, and animal population file 250.Other may impact evaluation data also can comprise into or shine upon information category recited above.
Regional ingredient file 210 can be the current of an area or the record of estimating available batching.The batching of example comprises corn, wheat, wheat bran, lysine, HCL and high protein soy meal.This information can be passed through market report, expert's input or any other source and obtain.According to exemplary embodiments, the zone of the particular items in the regional ingredient file 210 can or be selected from predetermined tabulation by user's appointment.Regional ingredient file 210 can be the history file of creating and being stored in the data storage bank 200.This document can upgrade when needed to reflect market situation current or that estimate.According to preferred embodiment, regional ingredient file 210 can also comprise the nutritional labeling of the available batching in this area.Described nutritional labeling can comprise physics and chemical property, for example mineral content, vitamin content, particle size, fiber content or the like.
Regional ingredient price file 220 can be the price file of the batching in regional ingredient file 210.This price can be comprise freight charges ingredient prices.Use comprises that the price of freight charges illustrates freight charges easily.Price can comprise value historical, current and that estimate.Historical price information can obtain from existing record.Present price can be from any tabulation, and for example newspaper, network list or any other are reported the source of the present price of preparing burden and obtained.Anticipated price can be by obtaining from the historical price deduction on the basis of current any correlated condition.Regional ingredient price file 220 can be the history file that is stored in the data storage bank 200.Replacedly, regional ingredient price file 220 can link the reflection information of current ingredient prices.This link can provide by phone, newspaper, the Internet or any other means.Advantageously, storing and allow to obtain various pricing informations makes the user to satisfy their information of needs and come predictive value with the most suitable.
Regional ingredient bias file 230 can be the weighted list of preparing burden in calculating the process of estimating utilization rate.According to exemplary embodiments, this weight can be included in the minimum value of using the amount of batching in the area.The example of weight can be that a thousand metric tons corn is used in northern zone in the state of Iowa, and no matter any idle cost.Advantageously, a kind of regional preference of regional ingredient bias file 230 explanations, wherein the participant in the market tends to use certain level but not certain specific batching of economics optimum.This value can be by to analysis, scholarly forecast or any other method of market trend produced in the past.Regional ingredient bias file 230 can be the value of storing in the file in the data storage bank 200.
Nutrient requirement file 240 based on the stage can be for being in the file of various growths with the nutritional need of the various animals in healthy stage.The example in growth and healthy stage can comprise the baby, wean, and childhood, maturation, the gestational period or any other can reflect the idiophase of Different Nutrition demand.Usually, totally different for the demand of the nutritional need of the animal of new birth or gravidic animal and healthy adult animal.For example, gravidic animal may need to comprise the prescription of high-concentration Ca to promote the growth of fetus.
According to preferred embodiment, can also comprise the feed consumption of the animal that is in the given stage based on the nutrient requirement file 240 in stage.This value can obtain on the basis of historical record or expert's proof.Example can be that gravidic pig consumed 150 pounds feed in every month.Advantageously, the nutritional need of the different animals of inspection different phase makes and can calculate projected demand for specific ingredients more accurately.Nutrient requirement file 240 based on the stage can be the history file that is stored in the data storage bank 200.
Animal population file 250 can be the tabulation of an animal population in the zone.Example can comprise the quantity of pig, quantity of ox or the like.Animal population file 250 can also be with reference to the nutrient requirement file 250 based on the stage, with the stage of development of the animal in the population discussed above be that the basis is divided into the subgroup.
According to exemplary embodiments, animal population file 250 can also comprise historical, current and the value of estimating.Described history and current value can obtain from any source, for example the regional department of agricultural report.Estimate that population can be based on inferring from described history value when precondition.
Animal population file 250 can also be in conjunction with the market penetration notion, thereby only uses a subclass of total animal population to come computation requirement on the basis of the market penetration of expection.According to exemplary embodiments, a subclass of described animal population can only use local batching of producing to raise.Therefore, this this locality fed subset should be got rid of when calculating demand-expected.
Advantageously, the analysis based on the nutrient requirement file 240 in stage and animal population file 250 is made the calculating of the batching demand that can estimate on the basis of the nutritional need of the animal population of given area.This calculating can use the compounding method of describing below with reference to Fig. 6 to carry out.
Fig. 6 has shown the process flow diagram 300 of the step in the computing method of calculating a kind of value new or improved batching.In step 310, the user is prepared burden the data of collecting can be evaluated.An example of collecting ingredient information has been described with reference to the step 110 among the figure 4A and 120.Described data are evaluated may to make analysis and assessment deviate from any unusual or deviation of normal value to detect.This analysis can be carried out according to linear regression analysis or similar methods.Any exceptional value can be reexamined or be abandoned from sample set.
After step 310, can carry out step 320, wherein from the information of memory storage device be used as the input of minimum cost prescription system from the information that the user receives.The minimum cost prescription system is determined desirable batch mixes, comprises described new or improved batching, and described batch mixes satisfies a series of nutritional needs of possible least cost.Described a series of nutritional need is as with reference to figure 5 described nutritional needs for the particular animals that is in the specific stage of development.The minimum cost prescription system is known for those skilled in the art.Described minimum cost prescription can be for each stage of development of target animal and is carried out.Advantageously, the perfect prescription for each stage of development of animal target makes and can carry out more perfect prediction to demand.
After step 320, can carry out deterministic process to determine whether described prescription satisfies feasibility and health requirement in step 330.If this prescription does not meet the demands, can comprise that additional constraint comes repeating step 320 to improve required health or feasibility.
After determining that in step 330 described prescription is satisfied, whether the batching that can determine examine in step 340 is that the existing batching with improvement nutritional labeling still is a kind of new batching.
If the batching of examine is confirmed as having the existing batching of improving nutritional labeling in step 340, then can carry out step 350.In step 350, the ideal formulations of calculating in the step 320 can be analyzed in the minimum cost prescription system.Described minimum cost prescription system mixes the desirable feed of various recipe calculation on the basis of Market Constraint (for example producing this, speed of production, ingredient availability or the like).An example of minimum cost prescription system is the Multi-Mix by the Format International company limited release of the fertile gold in England.Advantageously, use the minimum cost formulation analysis to allow to carry out simultaneously to the assessment of the improved batching in some prescriptions.In step 350, can provide expectation utilization rate to all batchings of using as the input of described calculating.
If the batching of examine is confirmed as a kind of new batching in step 340, then can carry out step 360.In step 360, can use in the step 320 ideal formulations calculated and only the inclusion region particular commodity carry out the minimum cost formulation analysis.After this is analyzed, can use the ideal formulations of calculating in the step 320 and comprise the minimum cost formulation analysis that the new batching except that regional particular commodity is added.Analyze for this, described new batching can be designated as and the identical price of existing batching with similar nutritional labeling.Advantageously, this step provides the initial assessment for the reality of new batching.In step 360, can provide expectation utilization rate to all batchings of using as the input of described calculating.
After the minimum cost formulation analysis in step 350 and 360 to described two ingredient sets, can be in the enterprising line parameter analysis of the output of described two cost minimization analysises, to predict the best price of described new batching.The parameter analysis be inspection to data set to determine such price, utilization rate significantly descends when promptly being higher than this price.For example, utilization rate may slowly reduce the price of Zhi Dao $2.00/ pound, but during Zai $2.25/ pound, makes utilization rate significantly reduce owing to the user turns to more cheap substitute.Therefore best price can Shi $2.00/ pound.This best price is used as the price of described new batching in final least cost recipe calculation then.
After step 350 or 360, can carry out step 370, wherein the utilization rate that calculates in described minimum cost prescription operation is used to calculate by introducing described total value new or that improved batching is created.According to exemplary embodiments, this calculating can be used for producing the output electrical form.This output electrical form can be used for showing the amount that is described new or improved batching that described minimum cost prescription system uses, and surpasses the relatively extra benefit of commodity.
Although show in the accompanying drawing and above-described exemplary embodiments current be preferred, should be appreciated that these embodiment only provide as example.Other example can comprise, for example is used to transmit the several different methods of the information of relevant value new or improved batching, wireless application protocol (wap) for example, PDA(Personal Digital Assistant) agreement, and other transfer approach.
And although exemplary embodiments has been described the present invention in the background of animal feed markets, the present invention can expand to other batching market as formula components.In addition, described above from the customizing messages of particular source being used for described system and method, but all can be used for calculating from any relevant information in any source.The present invention is not limited to specific embodiment, but expands to various modifications, combination and change within the scope and spirit that still fall into claims.

Claims (62)

1. animal feed market analysis system, be used to assess a kind of new batching or a kind of influence with batching of improved nutritional labeling to described economic worth new or improved batching and the economic worth that can replace described existing batching new or improved batching, described system comprises:
Input equipment is used to receive described nutrition condition new or improved batching;
Processor is used to receive from the nutrition condition of described input equipment and is based in part on this nutrition condition and calculates; And
Output device is used to provide the result of calculation from described processor;
Wherein said processor is used to predict described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
2. system according to claim 1, the described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching of wherein said processor prediction.
3. system according to claim 2, wherein said processor predicts that by calculating the market clout that is caused by described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching expectation is worth.
4. system according to claim 2, wherein said processor is predicted described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching by using described new or improved batching as the input of minimum cost prescription system, and for example price and minimum nutritional requirement are that the mixing as the given batching of importing is calculated on the basis to wherein said minimum cost prescription system with user-defined constraint.
5. system according to claim 4, wherein said minimum cost prescription system uses initial anticipated price to be used for described cost new or improved batching based on the price that can relatively prepare burden.
6. system according to claim 4, wherein said minimum cost prescription system only uses the batching of the selling input as this minimum cost prescription system in the market of user's appointment.
7. system according to claim 4 wherein uses described new or improved batching to carry out the analysis of described minimum cost prescription system to the every kind of feed formula that exists in the zone, and wherein feed formula is the mixing of the batching of specified quantitative.
8. system according to claim 4, wherein said every kind of feed formula comprises the different formulations for various animals.
9. system according to claim 4, wherein said every kind of feed formula comprises the different formulations for the different developmental phases of particular animals.
10. system according to claim 4, wherein said processor uses the minimum cost prescription system to estimate by definite whether existing batching is replaced predicting described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching by described expectation use new or improved batching.
11. system according to claim 4, wherein said processor uses prescription system by calculating described demand-expected amount new or improved batching to be predicted described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching.
12. system according to claim 11, wherein said processor is by the analyzed area animal population and determine that the size of animal of each population calculates the demand-expected amount.
13. system according to claim 12, wherein said processor is by determining the stage of development analyzed area animal population of animal in a plurality of populations.
14. system according to claim 12, wherein said processor takes in the analyzed area animal population by the expectation of animal population being determined various prescriptions.
15. system according to claim 3, wherein said processor is by with history, the current condition with estimating serving as the basic market clout that existing animal feed markets situation is predicted described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching of assessing.
16. system according to claim 3, wherein said processor is predicted the market clout of described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching by analyzed area ingredient prices and availability.
17. system according to claim 3, wherein said processor is by analyzing the market clout of the regional preference of each existing batching being predicted described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching.
18. system according to claim 3, wherein said processor by with introduce described new or improved batching be the existing batching of basic calculation price may change the market clout of predicting described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching.
19. system according to claim 18, wherein said processor recomputates described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching and determines described economic worth newly or improved batching by change into the basis with existing ingredient prices.
20. system according to claim 3, wherein said processor is predicted the market clout of described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching by calculating market penetration.
21. system according to claim 1, wherein said processor is the described economic worth new or improved batching of basic calculation with the economic worth that is substituted batching in the described minimum cost prescription process.
22. animal feed market analysis system that is operated in the network environment, it is used to assess the influence to the economic worth of the economic worth of this batching and alternative existing batching of a kind of new batching or a kind of batching with improved nutritional labeling, and this system comprises:
Be used to receive the device of described nutrition condition new or improved batching; And
Be used to predict the device of described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
23. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 22 further comprises being used for by predicting that described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching determines the device of expectation economic worth.
24. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 23 further comprises the device of the market clout that is used to predict described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching, by described market clout, the utilization rate of existing batching may change.
25. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 22 comprises that further the client computer that is used for to request expectation economic worth new or improved batching being analyzed on network transmits the device of described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
26. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 25, wherein said network is the Internet.
27. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 22, wherein client computer receives described nutrition condition new or improved batching.
28. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 25, wherein said client computer is connected to network effectively by network browser program, described network browser program comprises application program, and the client can use this application program to transmit request to start the analysis to described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
29. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 28, wherein said client computer send nutrition condition to server computer to start the process of determining described economic worth new or improved batching.
30. animal feed market analysis system according to claim 29, visit of wherein said server computer and value, thereby definite described economic worth newly or improved batching in conjunction with the database that comes the self-contained storing value relevant with current market situation in the zone.
31. one kind is used to provide the system to the visit of animal feed market analysis system, this system comprises:
First disposal system is used to support the animal feed markets information process unit, and described animal feed markets information process unit receives and handles a kind of request new or that improved animal feed ingredient is assessed; And
Second disposal system is used for sending the signal of asking animal feed markets information by network, and this signal is sent in response to the selection of hypermedia link by described second disposal system.
32. system according to claim 31, wherein said first handles request need comprise log-on message.
33. a system that is used for determining the economic worth of a kind of new batching or a kind of batching with improved nutritional labeling, this system comprises:
Input equipment is used to receive described nutrition condition new or improved batching;
Data storage bank is used to visit the animal feed markets situation; And
Processor is used for determining described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
34. animal feed market analysis method, it is used to assess a kind of new batching or has the influence of the batching of improved nutritional labeling to described economic worth new or improved batching and the economic worth that can replace described existing batching new or improved batching, and described method comprises:
Receive described nutrition condition new or improved batching; And
Predict described expectation economic worth new or improved batching.
35. method according to claim 34 predicts that wherein described economic worth new or improved batching comprises the described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching of prediction.
36. method according to claim 35 predicts that wherein described economic worth new or improved batching comprises the market clout of predicting described expectation utilization rate, by this market clout, the utilization rate of existing batching may change.
37. method according to claim 35, predict wherein that described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching comprises and use of the input of described new or improved batching that for example price and minimum nutritional need are the mixing of basic calculation as the given batching of input to wherein said minimum cost prescription system with user-defined constraint as the minimum cost prescription system.
38. according to the described method of claim 37, wherein said minimum cost prescription system serves as that the basis uses initial anticipated price to be used for described cost new or improved batching with the price that can relatively prepare burden.
39. according to the described method of claim 37, wherein said minimum cost prescription system only uses the batching of the selling input as this minimum cost prescription system in the market of user's appointment.
40. according to the described method of claim 37, wherein utilize described new or improved batching that the every kind of feed formula that exists in the zone is carried out the analysis of described minimum cost prescription system, wherein feed formula is the mixing of the batching of specified quantitative.
41. according to the described method of claim 37, wherein said every kind of feed formula comprises the different formulations for various animals.
42. according to the described method of claim 37, wherein said every kind of feed formula comprises the different formulations for the different developmental phases of particular animals.
43., wherein use the described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching of minimum cost prescription system prediction to comprise and determine to be used the batching that is replaced by described expectation new or improved batching according to the described method of claim 37.
44., wherein use the described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching of prescription system prediction to comprise the described demand-expected amount new or improved batching of calculating according to the described method of claim 37.
45., wherein calculate the size of animal that the demand-expected amount comprises the analyzed area animal population and determines each population according to the described method of claim 44.
46. according to the described method of claim 45, wherein the analyzed area animal population comprises the stage of development of determining animal in a plurality of populations.
47. according to the described method of claim 45, wherein the analyzed area animal population comprises the expectation absorption of animal population being determined various prescriptions.
48. method according to claim 36 predicts that wherein the market clout of described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching comprises that with history, the current condition with estimating be the existing animal feed markets situation of basis assessment.
49. method according to claim 36 predicts that wherein the market clout of described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching comprises analyzed area ingredient prices and availability.
50. method according to claim 36 predicts that wherein the market clout of described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching comprises the regional preference of analysis to each existing batching.
51. method according to claim 36, the market clout of wherein predicting described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching comprise to introduce may the changing of price that described new or improved batching is the existing batching of basic calculation.
52., determine that wherein described economic worth new or improved batching comprises that changing into the basis with existing ingredient prices recomputates described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching according to the described method of claim 51.
53. method according to claim 36 predicts that wherein the market clout of described expectation utilization rate new or improved batching comprises the calculating market penetration.
54. method according to claim 35 determines that wherein described economic worth new or improved batching is to be substituted on the basis of economic worth of batching to calculate in described minimum cost prescription process.
55. one kind is used to provide the method to the visit of animal feed market analysis system, this method comprises:
Use first disposal system to support the animal feed markets information process unit, described animal feed markets information process unit receives and handles a kind of request new or that improved animal feed ingredient is assessed;
By the signal of network reception from the described animal feed markets information of the request of teleprocessing system, described signal is sent in response to the selection of hypermedia link by described teleprocessing system; And
Use described first disposal system to control described animal feed markets information process unit to respond described signal.
56. according to the described method of claim 55, wherein the reception to the signal of request animal feed markets information comprises that login process is with limiting access.
57. the method for economic worth of determining a kind of new batching or having the batching of improved nutritional labeling, the method comprising the steps of:
Obtain described nutrition condition new or improved batching;
Zoologize the feed market situation; And
Predict described economic worth new or improved batching.
58., predict that wherein described economic worth comprises that use animal feed formulation system determines described demand-expected new or improved batching according to the described method of claim 57.
59., predict that wherein described economic worth comprises the price of determining existing animal feed ingredient according to the described method of claim 57.
60., wherein use the visit of login process control to this method according to the described method of claim 57.
61., wherein receive described nutrition condition new or improved batching and comprise and the communicating by letter of operator according to the described method of claim 57.
62., wherein receive described nutrition condition new or improved batching and comprise and the communicating by letter of computing machine according to the described method of claim 57.
CN 03813488 2002-04-12 2003-04-10 System and method for animal feed market analysis Pending CN1659565A (en)

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US10/122,283 US20030195792A1 (en) 2002-04-12 2002-04-12 Method of animal feed market analysis
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CN102014659B (en) * 2008-05-07 2014-04-23 福斯分析股份公司 Feedstuff formulations
CN104021313A (en) * 2014-06-25 2014-09-03 四川省畜牧科学研究院 Method for evaluating nutrition economic value of feed

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US8301483B2 (en) 2008-01-16 2012-10-30 The Procter & Gamble Company Modeling system and method to predict consumer response to a new or modified product
CN117455528A (en) * 2023-10-20 2024-01-26 广州慧正智联科技有限公司 New material price trend analysis method and system based on big data

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US3626377A (en) * 1970-08-11 1971-12-07 Arizona Feeds Matrix generator for use in solving feed formulation problems
CA1329849C (en) * 1989-01-03 1994-05-24 Blair Gordon Computerized monitoring system for animal feed ration processing mills
US6076043A (en) * 1993-09-22 2000-06-13 American Institute Of Nutrition And Management Utilization effectiveness of nutrients in a population
AU6840000A (en) * 1999-08-31 2001-03-26 Aventis Animal Nutrition S.A. Improvements in or relating to the production of animal feed

Cited By (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN102014659B (en) * 2008-05-07 2014-04-23 福斯分析股份公司 Feedstuff formulations
CN104021313A (en) * 2014-06-25 2014-09-03 四川省畜牧科学研究院 Method for evaluating nutrition economic value of feed
CN104021313B (en) * 2014-06-25 2017-06-09 四川省畜牧科学研究院 The evaluation method of feed nutrition economic worth

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