CN117852309A - A penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy - Google Patents

A penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy Download PDF

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CN117852309A
CN117852309A CN202410251189.5A CN202410251189A CN117852309A CN 117852309 A CN117852309 A CN 117852309A CN 202410251189 A CN202410251189 A CN 202410251189A CN 117852309 A CN117852309 A CN 117852309A
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丁一波
王浩朋
岳晓奎
代洪华
张栋
胡一繁
肖厚地
陈嵩
安宇飞
李勇
张顺家
孙军
李勰
刘传凯
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Northwestern Polytechnical University
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Abstract

The invention discloses an index layering-based anti-burst performance evaluation method, which relates to the technical field of guidance control and comprises the following steps of: establishing a game scene of attack and defense of an attack bullet and an interception bullet, and performing Monte Carlo targeting simulation on both the attack and the defense to obtain an attack and defense countermeasure simulation result; determining an offensive and defensive efficacy evaluation index system based on an offensive and defensive countermeasure simulation result; performing hierarchical analysis on the outburst prevention performance evaluation index system to obtain a hierarchical index; based on the hierarchical index, the neural network is adopted to evaluate the burst prevention performance. The method can perform hierarchical systematic evaluation on the defense efficacy of the attack bullet from the aspect of multidimensional indexes, provides a certain guiding significance for actual scenes, and has larger strategic advantages and wide application prospect.

Description

一种基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法A penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy

技术领域Technical Field

本发明涉及制导控制技术领域,特别涉及一种基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法。The present invention relates to the field of guidance and control technology, and in particular to a penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy.

背景技术Background technique

随着现代攻防博弈体系的快速发展和攻防场景复杂程度的日益增强,导弹进攻与防御之间的对抗也愈发激烈。进攻弹突防效能评估对于进攻弹的生存和任务的完成起着重要的作用,然而传统经验与解析评估法所依赖的指标主观性较强,与真实场景下攻防博弈效能评估偏差较大,所以需要提出更加客观的突防效能评估指标(位置、速度、加速度等相关量),并阐释指标间的层级关系和深层联系,在此基础下对实际场景进攻弹突防效能进行评估,同时将效能评估结果与仿真结果进行对比分析,得出突防效能评估指标的有效性和准确性。With the rapid development of modern offensive and defensive game systems and the increasing complexity of offensive and defensive scenarios, the confrontation between missile offense and defense has become increasingly fierce. The evaluation of offensive missile penetration effectiveness plays an important role in the survival of offensive missiles and the completion of missions. However, the indicators relied on by traditional experience and analytical evaluation methods are highly subjective and have a large deviation from the offensive and defensive game effectiveness evaluation in real scenarios. Therefore, it is necessary to propose more objective penetration effectiveness evaluation indicators (position, speed, acceleration and other related quantities), and explain the hierarchical relationship and deep connection between indicators. On this basis, the penetration effectiveness of offensive missiles in actual scenarios is evaluated, and the effectiveness evaluation results are compared and analyzed with the simulation results to obtain the effectiveness and accuracy of the penetration effectiveness evaluation indicators.

发明内容Summary of the invention

本发明的目的是提供一种基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法,对进攻弹突防效能进行评估,从而为其突防策略的选择提供指导依据。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy to evaluate the penetration effectiveness of offensive missiles, thereby providing a guiding basis for the selection of their penetration strategies.

为实现上述目的,本发明提供了一种基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法,包括:To achieve the above object, the present invention provides a penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy, comprising:

建立进攻弹与拦截弹攻防博弈场景,对攻防双方进行蒙特卡洛打靶仿真,得到攻防对抗仿真结果;Establish an attack and defense game scenario between the attack missile and the interceptor missile, conduct Monte Carlo shooting simulation on both the attack and defense sides, and obtain the attack and defense confrontation simulation results;

基于所述攻防对抗仿真结果确定突防效能评估指标体系;所述突防效能评估指标体系包括:突防概率、最小弹目距离、拦截弹机动过载能力、脱靶量变化率、相对视线角速度和弹目交会角;Determine a penetration effectiveness evaluation index system based on the attack and defense confrontation simulation results; the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system includes: penetration probability, minimum missile-target distance, interceptor missile maneuvering overload capability, miss amount change rate, relative line of sight angular velocity and missile-target intersection angle;

对所述突防效能评估指标体系进行层级化分析,得到层级化指标;Conducting a hierarchical analysis on the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system to obtain hierarchical indicators;

基于所述层级化指标,采用神经网络进行突防效能评估。Based on the hierarchical indicators, a neural network is used to evaluate the penetration effectiveness.

根据本发明提供的具体实施例,本发明公开了以下技术效果:According to the specific embodiments provided by the present invention, the present invention discloses the following technical effects:

本发明提供的基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法,构建了突防效能评估指标体系,并对其进行了进行层级化分析后进行突防效能的评估。本发明能够对进攻弹的突防效能从多维度指标方面进行层次化系统化评估,为实际场景提供一定指导意义,具有较大的战略优势和广阔的应用前景。The penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy provided by the present invention constructs a penetration effectiveness evaluation index system, and evaluates the penetration effectiveness after performing hierarchical analysis on it. The present invention can perform hierarchical and systematic evaluation of the penetration effectiveness of offensive missiles from the aspects of multi-dimensional indicators, provide certain guiding significance for actual scenarios, and has great strategic advantages and broad application prospects.

附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例或现有技术中的技术方案,下面将对实施例中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动性的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其他的附图。In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the drawings required for use in the embodiments will be briefly introduced below. Obviously, the drawings described below are only some embodiments of the present invention. For ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without paying creative labor.

图1为本发明提供的基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法的流程图。FIG1 is a flow chart of a penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy provided by the present invention.

图2为进攻弹与拦截弹攻防博弈场景示意图。Figure 2 is a schematic diagram of the offensive and defensive game scenario between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile.

图3为对突防效能评估指标体系进行层级化分析的示意图。Figure 3 is a schematic diagram of the hierarchical analysis of the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system.

图4为进攻弹采用比例导引时的打靶速度曲线图。Figure 4 is a target shooting speed curve diagram when the offensive missile adopts proportional guidance.

图5为进攻弹突防概率的实际值与效能评估值的曲线图。FIG5 is a graph showing the actual value of the penetration probability of an offensive missile and the effectiveness evaluation value.

图6为进攻弹采用滑模导引时的打靶速度曲线图。Figure 6 is a target shooting speed curve diagram when the attacking projectile adopts sliding mode guidance.

图7为进攻弹突防概率的实际值与效能评估值的曲线图。FIG. 7 is a graph showing the actual value of the penetration probability of an offensive missile and the effectiveness evaluation value.

图8为最小弹目距离随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线图。Figure 8 is a graph showing the variation of the minimum missile-target distance with the interception point speed (Mach number).

图9为弹目交会角随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线图。Figure 9 is a graph showing the variation of the missile-target intersection angle with the interception point speed (Mach number).

图10为脱靶量变化率随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线图。Figure 10 is a graph showing the rate of change of miss distance as a function of interception point speed (Mach number).

图11为拦截弹机动过载能力随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线图。Figure 11 is a graph showing the maneuvering overload capability of the interceptor missile as a function of the interception point speed (Mach number).

图12为相对视线角速度随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线图。Figure 12 is a graph showing the variation of relative line of sight angular velocity with intercept point velocity (Mach number).

具体实施方式Detailed ways

下面将结合本发明实施例中的附图,对本发明实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域普通技术人员在没有做出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention to clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.

本发明的目的是提供一种基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法,对进攻弹突防效能进行评估,从而为其突防策略的选择提供指导依据。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy to evaluate the penetration effectiveness of offensive missiles, thereby providing a guiding basis for the selection of their penetration strategies.

为使本发明的上述目的、特征和优点能够更加明显易懂,下面结合附图和具体实施方式对本发明作进一步详细的说明。In order to make the above-mentioned objects, features and advantages of the present invention more obvious and easy to understand, the present invention is further described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.

如图1所示,本实施例提供的基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法,包括:As shown in FIG1 , the penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy provided in this embodiment includes:

S1:建立进攻弹与拦截弹攻防博弈场景,对攻防双方进行蒙特卡洛打靶仿真,得到攻防对抗仿真结果。S1: Establish an attack and defense game scenario between an attacking missile and an intercepting missile, conduct Monte Carlo shooting simulation on both the attacking and defending sides, and obtain the attack and defense confrontation simulation results.

S2:基于攻防对抗仿真结果确定突防效能评估指标体系;突防效能评估指标体系包括:突防概率、最小弹目距离、拦截弹机动过载能力、脱靶量变化率、相对视线角速度和弹目交会角。S2: Determine the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system based on the attack and defense confrontation simulation results; the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system includes: penetration probability, minimum missile-target distance, interceptor missile maneuvering overload capability, miss distance change rate, relative line of sight angular velocity and missile-target intersection angle.

S3:对突防效能评估指标体系进行层级化分析,得到层级化指标。S3: Conduct a hierarchical analysis on the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system to obtain hierarchical indicators.

S4:基于所述层级化指标,采用神经网络进行突防效能评估。S4: Based on the hierarchical indicators, a neural network is used to evaluate the penetration effectiveness.

进一步地,步骤S1具体包括:Furthermore, step S1 specifically includes:

首先建立进攻弹与拦截弹攻防博弈场景中进攻弹与拦截弹在视线坐标系下相对运动方程:First, the relative motion equation of the attacking missile and the intercepting missile in the attack and defense game scenario between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile in the line of sight coordinate system is established:

(1) (1)

其中,为进攻弹与拦截弹相对距离;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对视线高低角;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对视线方位角;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对距离变化率;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对距离的二阶导数;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对视线高低角变化率;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对视线高低角二阶导数;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对视线方位角变化率;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对视线方位角二阶导数;/>为拦截弹沿视线切向加速度;/>为进攻弹沿视线切向加速度;/>为拦截弹沿视线法向加速度;/>为进攻弹沿视线法向加速度;/>为拦截弹沿视线侧向加速度;/>为进攻弹沿视线侧向加速度。in, is the relative distance between the attack missile and the interceptor missile;/> It is the relative sight angle between the attack missile and the interceptor missile; /> is the relative line of sight azimuth between the attack missile and the interceptor missile; /> is the relative distance change rate between the attack missile and the interceptor missile; /> is the second-order derivative of the relative distance between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile; /> is the relative change rate of the sight height angle between the attack missile and the interceptor missile;/> is the second-order derivative of the relative sight angle between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile; /> is the rate of change of the relative line of sight azimuth between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile; /> is the second-order derivative of the relative line of sight azimuth between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile; /> is the tangential acceleration of the interceptor missile along the line of sight; /> is the tangential acceleration of the attacking projectile along the line of sight; /> is the normal acceleration of the interceptor missile along the line of sight; /> is the normal acceleration of the attacking projectile along the line of sight; /> is the lateral acceleration of the interceptor missile along the line of sight;/> It is the lateral acceleration of the attacking projectile along the line of sight.

同时进攻弹分别采用比例导引律和滑模导引律进攻,拦截弹仅采用比例导引律拦截进攻弹。At the same time, the attacking missile adopts proportional guidance law and sliding mode guidance law to attack, while the intercepting missile only adopts proportional guidance law to intercept the attacking missile.

设计带落点角度约束的比例导引律为:Design the proportional guidance law with landing angle constraint as follows:

(2) (2)

其中,为进攻弹速度;/>为比例导引剩余飞行时间;/>为进攻弹纵向比例导引系数;/>为进攻弹侧向比例导引系数;/>为进攻弹视线高低角;/>为弹道倾角;/>为期望落角;/>为进攻弹与固定目标相对距离变化率;/>为进攻弹视线方位角速度。in, is the attacking projectile speed; /> The remaining flight time for proportional guidance; /> is the longitudinal proportional guidance coefficient of the attacking missile;/> is the lateral proportional guidance coefficient of the attacking missile; /> It is the elevation angle of the attacking missile;/> is the ballistic inclination angle; /> is the expected falling angle; /> is the rate of change of the relative distance between the attacking projectile and the fixed target; /> is the line of sight azimuth velocity of the attacking missile.

设计带落点角度约束的滑模导引律为:The sliding mode guidance law with landing angle constraint is designed as:

(3) (3)

其中,为进攻弹与固定目标的相对位置;/>为滑模面的系数;/>为视线高低角速度;/>为进攻弹视线方位角速度;/>为滑模导引律的第一系数;/>为滑模面;/>为滑模导引律的第二系数;/>为进攻弹侧向比例导引系数。in, is the relative position between the attacking projectile and the fixed target;/> is the coefficient of the sliding surface; /> is the line of sight height angular velocity; /> is the line of sight azimuth velocity of the attacking missile; /> is the first coefficient of the sliding mode guidance law;/> is the sliding surface; /> is the second coefficient of the sliding mode guidance law;/> It is the lateral proportional guidance coefficient of the attacking missile.

设计拦截弹末制导三维比例导引律为:The designed three-dimensional proportional guidance law for the terminal guidance of the interceptor missile is:

(4) (4)

其中,为拦截弹比例导引系数;/>为进攻弹与拦截弹相对距离变化率;/>为拦截弹视线高低角变化率;/>为拦截弹视线方位角变化率。in, is the interceptor missile proportional guidance coefficient; /> is the relative distance change rate between the attack missile and the interceptor missile; /> is the rate of change of the interceptor missile's sight elevation angle; /> is the rate of change of the interceptor missile’s line of sight azimuth.

基于上述建立场景,采用蒙特卡洛方法进行拦截打靶仿真,具体步骤为:Based on the above established scenario, the Monte Carlo method is used to perform interception and target shooting simulation. The specific steps are as follows:

1)选择重要的干扰因素并分析确定其概率分布;选取进攻弹初始的高度、速度、侧向距离为干扰因素,选择概率分布为正态分布。1) Select important interference factors and analyze and determine their probability distribution; select the initial height, speed, and lateral distance of the attacking missile as interference factors, and select the probability distribution as normal distribution.

2)产生符合干扰变量概率分布规律的抽样值。2) Generate sampling values that conform to the probability distribution law of the interference variable.

3)将抽样值送入攻防对抗数学模型进行仿真飞行;攻防对抗模型中进攻弹沿着末制导产生的弹道飞行,拦截弹先沿着预定好的程序角飞行,在靠近进攻弹时转入末制导飞行,两者进行对抗仿真。3) The sampled values are sent to the attack and defense confrontation mathematical model for flight simulation; in the attack and defense confrontation model, the attack missile flies along the trajectory generated by the terminal guidance, and the interceptor missile first flies along a predetermined program angle, and then switches to terminal guidance flight when approaching the attack missile, and the two conduct confrontation simulation.

4)对攻防对抗仿真结果进行统计;攻防对抗仿真结果为拦截弹的脱靶量均值,将脱靶量均值数据统计后作为效能评估的依据。4) Statistics are collected for the attack and defense confrontation simulation results; the attack and defense confrontation simulation results are the mean miss amount of the interceptor missile, and the mean miss amount data is counted as the basis for effectiveness evaluation.

进一步地,步骤S2具体包括:Furthermore, step S2 specifically includes:

1)突防概率 1) Penetration probability

本条指标直接地体现了进攻弹的突防能力,将突防概率定义为This indicator directly reflects the penetration capability of the offensive missile, and defines the penetration probability as

(5) (5)

其中,为突防成功次数,/>为突防仿真总数。突防概率越大,表明进攻弹可以以更高概率完成突防。in, is the number of successful penetrations, /> is the total number of penetration simulations. The greater the penetration probability, the higher the probability that the attacking missile can complete the penetration.

是否突防判断的依据是看矢量脱靶量是否超过拦截弹的杀伤半径,矢量脱靶量计算公式为:The basis for judging whether to penetrate is to see whether the vector miss amount exceeds the killing radius of the interceptor missile. The calculation formula of the vector miss amount is:

(6) (6)

其中,为矢量脱靶量,/>为进攻弹速度矢量,/>为拦截弹速度矢量,/>为进攻弹位置矢量,/>为拦截弹位置矢量,/>表示2范数。in, is the vector miss distance, /> is the attacking projectile velocity vector, /> is the interceptor missile velocity vector, /> is the attacking missile position vector, /> is the interceptor missile position vector, /> represents the 2-norm.

2)最小弹目距离 2) Minimum distance between projectile and target

本条指标在第一条突防概率指标的基础上,更为深入地计算了最小弹目距离,其计算公式为:This indicator further calculates the minimum projectile-target distance based on the first penetration probability indicator. The calculation formula is:

(7) (7)

其中,为进攻弹与拦截弹位置矢量之差,/>为进攻弹位置矢量,/>为拦截弹位置矢量。in, is the difference between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile position vector, /> is the attacking missile position vector, /> is the interceptor missile position vector.

它反映了在拦截弹导引头固定采样频率时,进攻弹速度变化、过载变化对相对运动关系的影响,所以它比突防概率更为深入地反映弹目运动的最终结果。以进攻弹与拦截弹的最小弹目距离为评价指标,最小弹目距离越大,突防效果越好,其被拦截概率越低,反之则越高。It reflects the impact of the attack missile's velocity change and overload change on the relative motion relationship when the interceptor missile seeker has a fixed sampling frequency, so it reflects the final result of the missile-target motion more deeply than the penetration probability. As an evaluation index, the greater the minimum missile-target distance, the better the penetration effect and the lower the probability of being intercepted, and vice versa.

3)拦截弹机动过载能力 3) Interceptor missile maneuverability overload capability

本条指标体现了拦截弹在末制导段的平均过载以及最后2s的平均过载的加权值,表现了拦截弹在整个末制导段的平均机动性。以拦截弹纵向过载作为机动需求评价指标,在末制导中,拦截弹纵向过载越大,表明其需要的机动越多,对拦截弹机动能力要求越高,进攻弹越易突防;反之,则进攻弹越难以突防。为更好衡量过载需求,拦截弹机动过载能力指/>计算公式设计如下:This indicator reflects the weighted value of the average overload of the interceptor missile in the terminal guidance phase and the average overload in the last 2 seconds, and shows the average maneuverability of the interceptor missile in the entire terminal guidance phase. As a maneuverability demand evaluation index, in terminal guidance, the greater the longitudinal overload of the interceptor missile, the more maneuver it needs, the higher the maneuverability requirement for the interceptor missile, and the easier it is for the attacking missile to penetrate; conversely, the more difficult it is for the attacking missile to penetrate. In order to better measure the overload demand, the maneuverability overload capability index of the interceptor missile is The calculation formula is designed as follows:

(8) (8)

其中表示整个末制导中过载平均值,/>为所占权重;/>为末制导最后2/>内过载平均值,其权重为/>。/>为拦截弹结束末制导时间,/>为时间微元。in Indicates the average overload value during the entire terminal guidance,/> is the weight; /> For the final guidance, the last 2/> The internal overload average value, with a weight of /> . /> The time for the interceptor missile to end terminal guidance, /> is the time element.

4)脱靶量变化率 4) Off-target amount change rate

本条指标体现了拦截弹末制导最后阶段与进攻弹相对的脱靶量变化率,以末制导段最后2秒脱靶量变化率为评价指标,其推导过程为:This indicator reflects the miss distance change rate of the interceptor missile relative to the attack missile in the final stage of terminal guidance. The miss distance change rate in the last 2 seconds of the terminal guidance stage is used as the evaluation indicator. The derivation process is as follows:

(9) (9)

然后计算最后2秒的脱靶量变化率,公式为:Then calculate the rate of change of the miss distance in the last 2 seconds, the formula is:

(10) (10)

其中,为进攻弹速度矢量变化率,/>为拦截弹速度矢量变化率,/>为进攻弹位置矢量变化率,/>为拦截弹位置矢量变化率,/>为矢量脱靶量变化率。in, is the rate of change of the attacking projectile velocity vector, /> is the rate of change of interceptor missile velocity vector, /> is the rate of change of the attacking projectile position vector, /> is the rate of change of the interceptor missile position vector, /> is the rate of change of vector miss distance.

脱靶量变化越快,表明拦截时刻双方相对运动速度越快,拦截弹越难以实施拦截。The faster the change in the miss distance is, the faster the relative movement speed of the two sides is at the moment of interception, and the more difficult it is for the interceptor missile to intercept.

5)相对视线角速度 5) Relative line of sight angular velocity

本条指标体现了拦截弹在末制导最后时刻的与进攻弹相对的视线角速度,表现了拦截弹瞬时的机动能力,计算公式为:This indicator reflects the line-of-sight angular velocity of the interceptor missile relative to the attacking missile at the last moment of terminal guidance, and shows the instantaneous maneuverability of the interceptor missile. The calculation formula is:

(11) (11)

以末制导段最后时刻视线角速度均值为评价指标,视线角速度越大,则拦截弹需要更大机动以完成拦截,则进攻弹突防概率更大;反之则越小。The average line of sight angular velocity at the last moment of the terminal guidance phase is used as the evaluation index. The greater the line of sight angular velocity, the greater the maneuver required by the interceptor missile to complete the interception, and the greater the probability of the attacking missile penetrating; otherwise, the smaller the probability.

6)弹目交会角 6) Projectile-target intersection angle

本条指标体现了拦截弹末制导最后时刻速度与进攻弹在拦截弹的速度之间的夹角。计算公式为:This indicator reflects the angle between the speed of the interceptor missile at the last moment of terminal guidance and the speed of the attacking missile at the interceptor missile. The calculation formula is:

(12) (12)

以弹目交会角为评价指标,由于拦截弹与进攻弹为相向运动,则弹目交会角均大于90°,弹目交会角越大(越接近180度),拦截弹弹道越平直,所以拦截概率越高,反之则越低。The missile-target intersection angle is used as the evaluation index. Since the interceptor missile and the attack missile move towards each other, the missile-target intersection angle is greater than 90°. The larger the missile-target intersection angle (the closer to 180 degrees), the straighter the interceptor missile trajectory, so the higher the interception probability, and vice versa.

进一步地,步骤S3具体包括:Furthermore, step S3 specifically includes:

如图3所示,上述突防效能评估指标体系还可以根据战术技术任务的等级层层深入地进行划分和归类。此四种层级划分从宏观到微观,从总体到个体,从全局到局部,层层递进地表现了突防效能评估指标体系的含义及其层级关系。分别为:战术级指标、交战级指标、弹道级指标、过载级指标。As shown in Figure 3, the above penetration effectiveness evaluation index system can also be divided and classified layer by layer according to the level of tactical and technical tasks. These four levels of division, from macro to micro, from overall to individual, from global to local, progressively express the meaning of the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system and its hierarchical relationship. They are: tactical level indicators, engagement level indicators, ballistic level indicators, and overload level indicators.

战术级指标为总揽全局的技术指标,指突防概率,也是决定整个突防任务是否完成的最直接的指标。指进攻弹突破拦截弹防御体系,处于拦截弹杀伤半径之外的情况。The tactical level indicator is a technical indicator that takes into account the overall situation. It refers to the probability of penetration and is also the most direct indicator to determine whether the entire penetration mission is completed. It refers to the situation where the attacking missile breaks through the interceptor missile defense system and is outside the killing radius of the interceptor missile.

交战级指标为进攻弹和拦截弹具体位置技术指标,指最小弹目距离,相较于突防概率的宏观指标显得更加具体。为考虑导引头采样频率下的进攻弹与拦截弹交战时的具体相对位置。The engagement level index is a technical index of the specific position of the attacking missile and the intercepting missile, which refers to the minimum missile-target distance. Compared with the macro index of penetration probability, it is more specific. It takes into account the specific relative position of the attacking missile and the intercepting missile at the sampling frequency of the seeker.

弹道级指标为进攻弹与拦截弹相对速度技术指标,指弹目交会角度和脱靶量变化率,这两个量均与速度矢量相关。弹目交会角度取决于进攻弹和拦截弹的速度大小和方向,脱靶量变化率取决于进攻弹和拦截弹的相对速度矢量变化。The ballistic index is the technical index of the relative speed between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile, which refers to the intersection angle between the missile and the target and the rate of change of the miss amount, both of which are related to the velocity vector. The intersection angle depends on the velocity and direction of the attacking missile and the intercepting missile, and the rate of change of the miss amount depends on the change of the relative velocity vector between the attacking missile and the intercepting missile.

过载级指标为拦截弹机动过载能力技术指标,指拦截弹机动过载能力和相对视线角速度,这两个指标都反映了拦截弹的机动能力。拦截弹机动过载能力指拦截弹进入末制导后的实际平均过载和最后2s拦截的平均过载,体现了拦截弹平均过载;相对视线角速度指拦截弹最后时刻的视线角速度,体现了拦截弹瞬时过载。The overload level index is a technical index of the interceptor missile's maneuvering overload capability, which refers to the interceptor missile's maneuvering overload capability and relative line of sight angular velocity. Both indicators reflect the interceptor missile's maneuvering capability. The interceptor missile's maneuvering overload capability refers to the actual average overload after the interceptor missile enters terminal guidance and the average overload of the last 2 seconds of interception, reflecting the average overload of the interceptor missile; the relative line of sight angular velocity refers to the line of sight angular velocity of the interceptor missile at the last moment, reflecting the instantaneous overload of the interceptor missile.

进一步地,步骤S4具体包括:Furthermore, step S4 specifically includes:

改变进攻弹飞行速度并进行拦截打靶仿真,得到具体数据如表1所示。By changing the flight speed of the attacking missile and conducting interception and target shooting simulation, the specific data obtained are shown in Table 1.

表1Table 1

神经网络拟合突防概率、最小弹目距离、拦截弹机动过载能力、脱靶量变化率、相对视线角速度、弹目交会角等底层因素指标得到突防概率指标,并与实际仿真得到的突防概率对比,得出突防效能评估指标的有效性和准确性。The neural network fits the underlying factor indicators such as penetration probability, minimum missile-target distance, interceptor missile maneuvering overload capability, miss amount change rate, relative line of sight angular velocity, missile-target intersection angle, etc. to obtain the penetration probability index, which is compared with the penetration probability obtained from the actual simulation to obtain the effectiveness and accuracy of the penetration effectiveness evaluation index.

下面通过Matlab和Visual Studio进行仿真来说明本实施例提供的基于指标层次化的突防效能评估方法。The following simulation is performed through Matlab and Visual Studio to illustrate the penetration effectiveness evaluation method based on index hierarchy provided by this embodiment.

仿真参数设置如下:The simulation parameters are set as follows:

进攻弹相关部署:选择进攻弹初始条件为在0度经度,0度纬度,距地球表面30km定速7Ma等高巡航一定时间,在相距固定目标水平距离为70km时转入末制导阶段,对固定目标实施打击。终端落角选择为-75度到-70度之间,没有约束为固定值,不过均大于-70度,满足落角约束。Deployment of offensive missiles: The initial conditions for offensive missiles are selected as cruise at a constant speed of 7 Ma at 0 degrees longitude, 0 degrees latitude, 30 km above the earth's surface for a certain period of time, and when the horizontal distance from the fixed target is 70 km, it enters the terminal guidance phase and strikes the fixed target. The terminal fall angle is selected between -75 degrees and -70 degrees, without being constrained to a fixed value, but all are greater than -70 degrees, satisfying the fall angle constraint.

固定目标选择:固定目标选择为0度纬度,3度经度,与进攻弹初始位置水平相距334km,固定目标与进攻弹的弹道在同一个纵向平面内。可以推算出进攻弹由等高定速巡航点与开始末制导点的水平飞行距离为264km。Fixed target selection: The fixed target is selected at 0 degrees latitude and 3 degrees longitude, 334 km away from the initial position of the attack missile. The fixed target and the trajectory of the attack missile are in the same longitudinal plane. It can be calculated that the horizontal flight distance of the attack missile from the constant altitude constant speed cruise point to the start and end guidance point is 264 km.

拦截弹相关部署:拦截弹部署的位置在固定目标后22km处,拦截点高度选取为10km,发射初始弹道倾角为38°,最大飞行高度为20km,发动机工作时间为22s。Interceptor missile related deployment: The interceptor missile is deployed 22km behind the fixed target, the interception point height is selected as 10km, the initial ballistic inclination angle of launch is 38°, the maximum flight altitude is 20km, and the engine working time is 22s.

图2为进攻弹与拦截弹攻防博弈场景,进攻弹处于俯冲段,拦截弹在地面发射进行拦截。图4为进攻弹采用比例导引时的蒙特卡洛打靶速度曲线,形象地展示打靶时的速度偏差。由图5-图7可以看出,通过实际打靶验证了预测值与实际值偏差较小,本发明选取的突防效能评估指标体系能够很好地预测到进攻弹突防概率。Figure 2 is an attack and defense game scenario between an attack missile and an interceptor missile, where the attack missile is in the dive phase and the interceptor missile is launched on the ground for interception. Figure 4 is a Monte Carlo shooting speed curve when the attack missile adopts proportional guidance, which vividly shows the speed deviation during shooting. It can be seen from Figures 5 to 7 that the deviation between the predicted value and the actual value is small through actual shooting, and the penetration effectiveness evaluation index system selected by the present invention can well predict the penetration probability of the attack missile.

图8为最小弹目距离随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线,当进攻弹飞行速度增大时,最小弹目距离增大,突防效果更好。图9为弹目交会角随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线,当进攻弹飞行速度增大时,弹目交会角减小,拦截弹处于侧击状态,突防效果更好。图10为脱靶量变化率随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线,当进攻弹飞行速度增大时,脱靶量变化率增大,拦截弹飞行状态处于剧烈变化之中,突防效果更好。图11为拦截弹机动过载能力随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线,当进攻弹飞行速度增大时,拦截弹机动过载能力增大,拦截弹需要更大的机动能力实施拦截,突防效果更好。图12为相对视线角速度随拦截点速度(马赫数)变化的曲线,当进攻弹飞行速度增大时,相对视线角速度增大,拦截弹与进攻弹空间位置变化剧烈,突防效果更好。Figure 8 is a curve showing the minimum missile-target distance changing with the interception point speed (Mach number). When the attack missile's flight speed increases, the minimum missile-target distance increases, and the penetration effect is better. Figure 9 is a curve showing the missile-target intersection angle changing with the interception point speed (Mach number). When the attack missile's flight speed increases, the missile-target intersection angle decreases, the interceptor missile is in a side-hit state, and the penetration effect is better. Figure 10 is a curve showing the miss amount change rate changing with the interception point speed (Mach number). When the attack missile's flight speed increases, the miss amount change rate increases, the interceptor missile's flight state is in a drastic change, and the penetration effect is better. Figure 11 is a curve showing the interceptor missile's maneuvering overload capability changing with the interception point speed (Mach number). When the attack missile's flight speed increases, the interceptor missile's maneuvering overload capability increases, and the interceptor missile needs greater maneuverability to intercept, and the penetration effect is better. Figure 12 is a curve showing the relative line of sight angular velocity changing with the interception point speed (Mach number). When the attack missile's flight speed increases, the relative line of sight angular velocity increases, the spatial position of the interceptor missile and the attack missile changes drastically, and the penetration effect is better.

以上实施例的各技术特征可以进行任意的组合,为使描述简洁,未对上述实施例中的各个技术特征所有可能的组合都进行描述,然而,只要这些技术特征的组合不存在矛盾,都应当认为是本说明书记载的范围。The technical features of the above embodiments may be arbitrarily combined. To make the description concise, not all possible combinations of the technical features in the above embodiments are described. However, as long as there is no contradiction in the combination of these technical features, they should be considered to be within the scope of this specification.

本文中应用了具体个例对本发明的原理及实施方式进行了阐述,以上实施例的说明只是用于帮助理解本发明的方法及其核心思想;同时,对于本领域的一般技术人员,依据本发明的思想,在具体实施方式及应用范围上均会有改变之处。综上,本说明书内容不应理解为对本发明的限制。This article uses specific examples to illustrate the principles and implementation methods of the present invention. The above examples are only used to help understand the method and core ideas of the present invention. At the same time, for those skilled in the art, according to the ideas of the present invention, there will be changes in the specific implementation methods and application scope. In summary, the content of this specification should not be understood as limiting the present invention.

Claims (9)

1. The index layering-based anti-burst performance evaluation method is characterized by comprising the following steps of:
establishing a game scene of attack and defense of an attack bullet and an interception bullet, and performing Monte Carlo targeting simulation on both the attack and the defense to obtain an attack and defense countermeasure simulation result;
determining a defense efficacy evaluation index system based on the attack and defense countermeasure simulation result; the burst performance evaluation index system comprises: the accident prevention probability, the minimum bullet distance, the motor overload capacity of the interception bullet, the change rate of the off-target quantity, the relative line-of-sight angular velocity and the bullet-hole intersection angle;
performing hierarchical analysis on the burst performance evaluation index system to obtain a hierarchical index;
based on the hierarchical index, performing burst prevention performance evaluation by adopting a neural network.
2. The method for evaluating the efficacy of defense on the basis of index layering according to claim 1, wherein the equation of relative motion of the attack bullet and the interception bullet in the attack and defense game scene under the line-of-sight coordinate system is:
wherein,the distance between the attack bullet and the interception bullet is relatively; />The relative distance change rate of the attack bullet and the interception bullet is set; />A second derivative of the relative distance between the attack bomb and the interception bomb; />The angle of the sight line of the attack bullet and the interception bullet is high and low; />The relative line-of-sight azimuth angle of the attack bullet and the interception bullet; />The change rate of the high angle and the low angle of the sight relative to the attack bullet and the interception bullet is set; />The second derivative of the high and low angles of the line of sight of the attack bullet and the interception bullet is obtained; />The change rate of the relative line-of-sight azimuth of the attack bullet and the interception bullet is; />The second derivative of the relative line-of-sight azimuth of the attack bullet and the interception bullet; />Tangential acceleration along the line of sight for intercepting the bullet; />Tangential acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile; />To intercept the normal acceleration of the bullet along the line of sight; />Normal acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile; />Lateral acceleration along the line of sight for the interception bomb; />Lateral acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile.
3. The method for evaluating the efficacy of defense against attack based on index layering according to claim 1, wherein the attack bullet and the interception bullet attack in the game scene adopt a proportional guidance law and a sliding mode guidance law for attack, and the interception bullet adopts a proportional guidance law for intercepting the attack bullet.
4. The method for evaluating the efficacy of defense on the basis of index layering according to claim 3, wherein the expression of the proportional guidance law adopted by the attack projectile is:
wherein,normal acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile; />Lateral acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile; />Is the velocity of the attack projectile; />Guiding the remaining flight time for the proportion; />The longitudinal proportional guiding coefficient of the attack projectile; />The angle is the high and low angle of the line of sight of the attack bomb; />Is a ballistic dip angle; />Is the desired falling angle; />The lateral proportionality guide coefficient of the attack projectile; />The relative distance change rate of the attack projectile and the fixed target is set; />Is the azimuth velocity of the line of sight of the attack bomb.
5. The method for evaluating the efficacy of defense on the basis of index layering according to claim 3, wherein the expression of the sliding mode guidance law adopted by the attack bomb is:
wherein,normal acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile; />Lateral acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile; />The relative position of the attack bullet and the fixed target; />Coefficients for the slip plane; />The visual line is high and low angular velocity; />The azimuth speed of the line of sight of the attack bomb; />A first coefficient that is a sliding mode guide law; />Is a sliding die surface; />A second coefficient that is a sliding mode guide law; />The lateral proportionality guide coefficient of the attack projectile; />Is the rate of change of the relative distance of the attacking projectile from the fixed target.
6. The method for evaluating the efficacy of a burst prevention based on index layering of claim 3, wherein the interceptor bomb adopts the expression of a proportional guidance law:
wherein,to intercept the normal acceleration of the bullet along the line of sight; />Normal acceleration along the line of sight for an attack projectile; />Lateral acceleration along the line of sight for the interception bomb; />The ratio guide coefficient is an interception bomb; />The relative distance change rate of the attack bullet and the interception bullet is set; />The high-low angle change rate of the bullet sight is intercepted; />To intercept the angular change rate of the bullet line of sight.
7. The index-based hierarchical synapse of claim 1The efficacy evaluation method is characterized in thatThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein,for preventing success times, ∈10>Is the total number of sudden anti-counterfeiting simulation;
minimum elastic distanceThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein,for the difference between the position vectors of the offensive bullet and the interceptor bullet, < >>For the offensive location vector, < >>To intercept the bullet position vector;representing a 2-norm;
motor overload capability of interceptor springThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein,for the average value of overload in the whole terminal guidance, +.>For final guidance 2%>Mean value of internal overload->Is->Weight of occupied->For intercepting longitudinal overload of cartridge->Ending terminal guidance time for interception bomb, +.>Is a time infinitesimal;
off-target rate of changeThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein,for vector off-target amount,/->For the velocity vector of the offensive bullet, < >>To intercept the spring velocity vector, +.>For the rate of change of the velocity vector of the attack projectile, +.>For intercepting the rate of change of the spring velocity vector, +.>For the attack projectile position vector rate of change, +.>For intercepting bullet position vector rate of change, +.>The change rate of the vector off-target quantity is shown as the change rate;
relative angular velocity of line of sightThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
wherein,the change rate of the high angle and the low angle of the sight relative to the attack bullet and the interception bullet is set; />The change rate of the relative line-of-sight azimuth of the attack bullet and the interception bullet is;
bullet-eye intersection angleThe calculation formula of (2) is as follows:
8. the method for evaluating the performance of a burst control based on index layering of claim 1, wherein the performing layering analysis on the burst control performance evaluation index system to obtain a layering index specifically comprises:
determining a division level of the burst performance evaluation index system; the division hierarchy includes: tactical level, combat level, ballistic level, and overload level;
and dividing the anti-accident performance evaluation index system according to the division level to obtain a hierarchical index.
9. The index-layering-based defense-efficacy-assessment method according to claim 8, wherein the defense probability is a tactical-level index and the minimum gaze distance is the engagement-level index; the bullet-mesh intersection angle and the off-target quantity change rate are ballistic grade indexes; the motor overload capacity of the interception bomb and the relative line-of-sight angular speed are overload level indexes.
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