CN117649257A - System, method, storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of power spot market operation risk - Google Patents

System, method, storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of power spot market operation risk Download PDF

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Publication number
CN117649257A
CN117649257A CN202311361722.5A CN202311361722A CN117649257A CN 117649257 A CN117649257 A CN 117649257A CN 202311361722 A CN202311361722 A CN 202311361722A CN 117649257 A CN117649257 A CN 117649257A
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CN
China
Prior art keywords
risk
market
early warning
monitoring
power spot
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Pending
Application number
CN202311361722.5A
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Chinese (zh)
Inventor
曹斌
昌力
朱敏健
刘宇轩
朱丽叶
吴静
陈才
刘韡
王博
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NARI Nanjing Control System Co Ltd
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NARI Nanjing Control System Co Ltd
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Priority to CN202311361722.5A priority Critical patent/CN117649257A/en
Publication of CN117649257A publication Critical patent/CN117649257A/en
Pending legal-status Critical Current

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    • YGENERAL TAGGING OF NEW TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS; GENERAL TAGGING OF CROSS-SECTIONAL TECHNOLOGIES SPANNING OVER SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE IPC; TECHNICAL SUBJECTS COVERED BY FORMER USPC CROSS-REFERENCE ART COLLECTIONS [XRACs] AND DIGESTS
    • Y04INFORMATION OR COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES HAVING AN IMPACT ON OTHER TECHNOLOGY AREAS
    • Y04SSYSTEMS INTEGRATING TECHNOLOGIES RELATED TO POWER NETWORK OPERATION, COMMUNICATION OR INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR IMPROVING THE ELECTRICAL POWER GENERATION, TRANSMISSION, DISTRIBUTION, MANAGEMENT OR USAGE, i.e. SMART GRIDS
    • Y04S10/00Systems supporting electrical power generation, transmission or distribution
    • Y04S10/50Systems or methods supporting the power network operation or management, involving a certain degree of interaction with the load-side end user applications

Abstract

The invention discloses a system, a method, a storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of the operation risk of an electric power spot market. The method comprises the steps of obtaining power grid data and market data of electric power spot market operation, defining electric power spot market risk monitoring types, risk early warning levels and early warning measures, calculating risk index data of the electric power spot market operation according to related data, and carrying out visual monitoring, display and risk early warning on the electric power spot market operation condition according to the risk index. The invention comprehensively analyzes the operation risk of the electric power spot market and the influence factors thereof; a timely and effective early warning system is formulated, so that operators are assisted in timely mastering the market operation condition, and the operation efficiency of the electric power market is improved; the electric power spot market can be ensured to run healthily and continuously.

Description

System, method, storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of power spot market operation risk
Technical Field
The present invention relates to a method for monitoring operation of an electric power spot market, and more particularly, to a system, a method, a storage medium and an electronic device for monitoring and early warning risk of operation of an electric power spot market.
Background
The power spot market is a transaction mechanism for providing power service in a market transaction mode by market main bodies of power generation enterprises and the like, and mainly comprises daily, daily and real-time electric energy transaction, time-sharing market price clearing through competition, and auxiliary service transaction such as frequency modulation, standby and the like. With the steady development of social economy and the rapid increase of the demand of the electric power market, in order to continuously and steadily promote the construction and development of the electric power spot market, the electric power spot market operation monitoring and early warning technology research is carried out by calculating and analyzing the electric power market operation index, market operators are assisted to grasp the market operation condition in time, the operation efficiency of the electric power market is improved, and the electric power spot market can be ensured to operate healthily and sustainably. Because the operation system is complex, the influence factors are many, the operation state is changeable and closely related to the power grid dispatching operation control, the operation pressure of the power spot market is high, the operation risk is high, the analysis difficulty is also high, no effective risk monitoring and early warning exist, operators cannot grasp the market operation condition even, and meanwhile, the healthy and sustainable development of the market is not facilitated.
Disclosure of Invention
The invention aims to: the invention aims to assist market operators to master market operation conditions in time, improve the operation efficiency of an electric power market, and provide a system, a method, a storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning the operation risk of the electric power spot market, wherein the system, the method, the storage medium and the electronic equipment can ensure that the electric power spot market can run healthily and sustainably.
The technical scheme is as follows: the invention relates to an electric power spot market operation risk monitoring and early warning system, which comprises a data acquisition module, a risk grade and early warning rule definition module, a risk index calculation module, a monitoring and display module and an early warning module; the data acquisition module is used for acquiring power grid data and market data of electric power spot market operation; the risk grade and early warning rule definition module is used for defining the risk monitoring type, the risk early warning grade and early warning measures of the electric power spot market; the risk index calculation module is used for calculating risk index data of electric power spot market operation; the monitoring and displaying module is used for visually monitoring and displaying risk indexes and early warning information; the early warning module is used for risk early warning of power grid data and market data of power spot market operation.
Further, the grid data includes grid model data and grid operation data.
Further, the power grid model data comprise models and parameters of plant stations, generator sets, bus loads and power transmission lines.
Further, the power grid operation data comprise system load, active power of a tie line, active power of a generator set and active power information of a bus load.
Further, the market data includes market model data and market operating data.
Further, the market model data includes models and parameters of market subjects, power generation groups, power companies, large users.
Further, the market operation data includes market pre-disclosure information, market declaration information, and market clearing result information.
Further, the power spot market risk monitoring type includes market supply and demand risk, market quote risk, market force risk, market price risk and grid operation risk.
Further, the risk indicators of the market supply and demand risk include market supply capacity, market bid space, market supply and demand ratio and standby demand; the risk indexes of the market quotation risks comprise low price reporting rate, high price reporting rate, quotation capacity retention rate and average quotation; risk indicators of market force risk include the herhadamard-herhman HHI index, top-4 index, residual supply rate RSI index, and marginal concentration; the risk indexes of market price risk include highest price, lowest price and average price; the risk indexes of the power grid operation risk comprise an important section load rate and a system standby residual rate.
Further, the risk early warning level of the electric power spot market is set to be risk-free, low-risk, medium-risk and high-risk according to different threshold intervals, corresponding early warning measures are no-flashing prompt, popup window prompt and sound prompt respectively, operators are assisted to master the running condition of the market in time, the running efficiency of the electric power market is improved by timely adjusting, and the electric power spot market can run healthily and continuously.
Further, the power spot market risk index calculation module performs logic calculation based on the power grid model information, the market model information, the power grid operation information and the market operation information to obtain a result of the market operation risk index.
A method for monitoring and early warning the risk of electric power spot market operation comprises the following steps:
(a) Acquiring power grid data and market data of an electric power spot market;
(b) Defining power spot market risk monitoring types including market supply and demand risk, market quote risk, market force risk, market price clearing risk and grid operation risk;
(c) Defining the level of the risk early warning of the power spot market, and setting the level of the risk early warning of no risk, low risk, medium risk and high risk according to different threshold intervals from low to high, wherein corresponding early warning measures are no, flashing prompt, popup prompt and sound prompt respectively;
(d) Performing logic calculation based on the power grid data and the market data to obtain an operation risk index of the power spot market;
(e) Judging whether the risk index data reaches the limit according to the risk identification threshold of the risk monitoring index of the electric power spot market, identifying risk content and monitoring and displaying through a visual display picture;
(f) Based on the risk identification result of the electric power spot market, carrying out risk early warning according to the early warning grade definition of the risk identification index, wherein the early warning measure forms comprise popup windows, sounds, flickering and the like.
A readable storage medium for power spot-market operational risk monitoring and warning, having stored thereon a computer program for execution by a processor of the power spot-market operational risk monitoring and warning.
An electronic device for power spot-market operational risk monitoring and warning includes a memory for storing instructions and an operation processor for executing the power spot-market operational risk monitoring and warning.
The beneficial effects are that: compared with the prior art, the invention has the following remarkable advantages: 1. comprehensively and comprehensively analyzing the operation risk of the electric power spot market and influence factors thereof; 2. a timely and effective early warning system is formulated, so that operators are assisted in timely mastering the market operation condition, and the operation efficiency of the electric power market is improved; 3. the electric power spot market can be ensured to run healthily and continuously.
Drawings
FIG. 1 is a schematic diagram of the structure of the present invention;
fig. 2 is a flow chart of the operation of the present invention.
Detailed Description
The technical scheme of the invention is further described below with reference to the accompanying drawings.
The system for monitoring and early warning the risk of the operation of the electric power spot market shown in fig. 1 comprises a data acquisition module, a risk level and early warning rule definition module, a risk index calculation module, a monitoring and display module and an early warning module; the data acquisition module is used for acquiring power grid data and market data of electric power spot market operation; the risk grade and early warning rule definition module is used for defining the risk monitoring type, the risk early warning grade and early warning measures of the electric power spot market; the risk index calculation module is used for calculating power grid data and risk index data of market data of the electric power spot market operation; the monitoring and displaying module is used for visually monitoring and displaying risk indexes and early warning information; the risk early warning module is used for risk early warning of power grid data and market data of power spot market operation.
The power grid data comprises power grid model data and power grid operation data, the power grid model data comprises a plant station, a generator set, a bus load and a power transmission line model and parameters, and the power grid operation data comprises system load, tie line active power, generator set active power and bus load active power information. The market data includes market model data including models and parameters of market subjects, power generation groups, power companies, large users, and market operation data including market pre-exposure information, market declaration information, and market clearing result information.
According to the characteristics of the electric power spot market, the defined risk monitoring type comprises market supply and demand risks, market quotation risks, market force risks, market price clearing risks and power grid operation risks, and relevant influence factors of all risk indexes are shown in the table I.
Form-risk monitoring type and related influencing factors thereof
Risk monitoring type Risk index
Risk of supply and demand in market Market supply capacity, market bid space, market supply-demand ratio, standby demand, etc
Market quotation risk Low price reporting rate, high price reporting rate, quotation capacity retention rate, average quotation, etc
Risk of market forces HHI index, top-4 index, RSI (residual Provisioning Rate) index, marginal concentration, etc
Market price risk Maximum price, minimum price, average price, etc
Risk of grid operation Important section load rate, system standby residual rate and the like
Taking an index of an important section load rate in the power grid operation risk as an example, a risk identification threshold interval, a risk early warning level and early warning measures are defined as follows.
Meter two risk level and early warning measure thereof
Threshold interval 0%-70% 70%-80% 80%-90% 90%-100%
Risk early warning grade No risk Low risk Risk in High risk
Early warning measures Without any means for Flashing prompt Popup window prompt Audible prompts
A method for monitoring and early warning the risk of electric power spot market operation comprises the following steps:
(a) Acquiring operation data of the power spot market:
the power grid model data comprise models and parameters of plant stations, generator sets, busbar loads and power transmission lines;
the power grid operation data comprise system load, tie line active power, generator set active power and bus load active power information;
the market model data comprises models and parameters of market main bodies, power generation groups, power selling companies and large users;
the market operation data comprises market pre-disclosure information, market declaration information and market clearing result information;
(b) According to the characteristics of the electric power spot market and relevant influence factors thereof, defining the electric power spot market risk monitoring types including market supply and demand risk, market quotation risk, market force risk, market price clearing risk and power grid operation risk, wherein the details are shown in the table I;
(c) Defining the level of the power spot market risk early warning, setting the level of the power spot market risk early warning to be no risk, low risk, medium risk and high risk according to different threshold intervals, wherein the corresponding early warning measures are no, flashing prompt, popup window prompt and sound prompt respectively, and detailed in a second table;
(d) Logic calculation is performed based on the power grid model data, the power grid operation data, the market model data and the market operation data to obtain an electric power spot market risk index;
(e) Judging whether the risk index data reaches the limit according to the risk identification threshold of the risk monitoring index of the electric power spot market, identifying risk content and monitoring and displaying through a visual display picture;
(f) Based on the risk identification result of the electric power spot market, carrying out risk early warning according to the early warning grade definition of the risk identification index, wherein the early warning measure forms comprise popup windows, sounds, flickering and the like.
A computer readable storage medium for power spot market operational risk monitoring and warning having stored thereon a processor for executing the computer program of the power spot market operational risk monitoring and warning method described above.
A computer device for monitoring and early warning of the operation risk of an electric power spot market comprises a memory for storing instructions and an operation processor for executing the monitoring and early warning of the operation risk of the electric power spot market, and assists operators to grasp the operation condition of the market in time, so that the operation efficiency of the electric power market is improved.
Different power spot markets have different risk monitoring types due to different operation modes and different requirements of customers, risk indexes of the risk monitoring types also have different, early warning threshold intervals of the risk indexes and corresponding risk early warning levels and early warning measures also have different, and in practical application, the relevant monitoring risk types, the risk indexes, the early warning threshold intervals of the risk indexes and the corresponding risk early warning levels and the early warning measures need to be adjusted according to the operation conditions of the power spot markets so as to be suitable for a risk monitoring and early warning system and method of the corresponding power spot markets.

Claims (14)

1. The power spot market operation risk monitoring and early warning system is characterized by comprising a data acquisition module, a risk grade and early warning rule definition module, a risk index calculation module, a monitoring and display module and an early warning module; the data acquisition module is used for acquiring power grid data and market data of electric power spot market operation; the risk grade and early warning rule definition module is used for defining the risk monitoring type, the risk early warning grade and early warning measures of the electric power spot market; the risk index calculation module is used for calculating risk indexes of electric power spot market operation; the monitoring and displaying module is used for visually monitoring and displaying risk indexes and early warning information; the early warning module is used for risk early warning of power grid data and market data of power spot market operation.
2. The power spot-market operation risk monitoring and warning system of claim 1, wherein the grid data comprises grid model data and grid operation data.
3. The system of claim 2, wherein the grid model data includes models and parameters of plant, generator set, bus load, and transmission line.
4. The power spot market operation risk monitoring and early warning system of claim 2, wherein the grid operation data includes system load, tie line active power, genset active power, bus load active power information.
5. The power spot-market operation risk monitoring and warning system of claim 1, wherein the market data comprises market model data and market operation data.
6. The power spot market operation risk monitoring and warning system of claim 5, wherein the market model data comprises models and parameters of market principals, power generation groups, power companies, large users.
7. The power spot market operation risk monitoring and warning system of claim 5, wherein the market operation data includes market pre-exposure information, market declaration information, and market clearing result information.
8. The power spot market operation risk monitoring and warning system of claim 1, wherein the power spot market risk monitoring type comprises market supply and demand risk, market quote risk, market forces risk, market price risk, and grid operation risk.
9. The power spot market operation risk monitoring and warning system of claim 8, wherein the risk indicators of market supply and demand risk include market supply capacity, market bid space, market supply and demand ratio, and backup demand; the risk indexes of the market quotation risks comprise low price reporting rate, high price reporting rate, quotation capacity retention rate and average quotation; risk indicators of market force risk include the herhadamard-herhman HHI index, top-4 index, residual supply rate RSI index, and marginal concentration; the risk indexes of market price risk include highest price, lowest price and average price; the risk indexes of the power grid operation risk comprise an important section load rate and a system standby residual rate.
10. The system for monitoring and early warning risk of electric power spot market operation according to claim 1, wherein the electric power spot market risk early warning level is set to be no risk, low risk, medium risk and high risk according to different threshold intervals, and the corresponding early warning measures are no risk, flashing prompt, popup prompt and sound prompt.
11. The power spot-market operation risk monitoring and warning system of claim 1, wherein the power spot-market risk indicator calculation module performs a logical calculation based on grid model information, market model information, grid operation information, and market operation information to obtain a result of a market operation risk indicator.
12. A method of power spot market operation risk monitoring and warning using the system of any one of claims 1-11, comprising the steps of:
(a) Acquiring power grid data and market data of an electric power spot market;
(b) Defining power spot market risk monitoring types including market supply and demand risk, market quote risk, market force risk, market price clearing risk and grid operation risk;
(c) Defining the level of the risk early warning of the power spot market, and setting the level of the risk early warning of no risk, low risk, medium risk and high risk according to different threshold intervals from low to high, wherein corresponding early warning measures are no, flashing prompt, popup prompt and sound prompt respectively;
(d) Logic calculation is carried out based on the power grid data and the market data to obtain an electric power spot market risk index;
(e) Judging whether the risk index data reaches the limit according to the risk identification threshold of the risk monitoring index of the electric power spot market, identifying risk content and monitoring and displaying through a visual display picture;
(f) Based on the risk identification result of the electric power spot market, carrying out risk early warning according to the early warning grade definition of the risk identification index, wherein the early warning measure forms comprise popup windows, sounds, flickering and the like.
13. A readable storage medium for power spot-market operational risk monitoring and warning, characterized in that it has stored thereon a computer program for executing the power spot-market operational risk monitoring and warning of any one of claims 1-12.
14. An electronic device for power off-the-shelf operational risk monitoring and warning, comprising a memory for storing instructions and an operational processor for performing the power off-the-shelf operational risk monitoring and warning of any one of claims 1-12.
CN202311361722.5A 2023-10-19 2023-10-19 System, method, storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of power spot market operation risk Pending CN117649257A (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN202311361722.5A CN117649257A (en) 2023-10-19 2023-10-19 System, method, storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of power spot market operation risk

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
CN202311361722.5A CN117649257A (en) 2023-10-19 2023-10-19 System, method, storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of power spot market operation risk

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
CN117649257A true CN117649257A (en) 2024-03-05

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Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
CN202311361722.5A Pending CN117649257A (en) 2023-10-19 2023-10-19 System, method, storage medium and electronic equipment for monitoring and early warning of power spot market operation risk

Country Status (1)

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CN (1) CN117649257A (en)

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